Our first BCS Projections. What are yours?

We are less than a month from Selection Sunday so it is not too early to make our BCS Projections. These projections are based on the major players involved winning out . W e know that won’t happen but  if it does, I want to give you an idea of how the process is going to work.

 
BCS championship: Oregon vs. Auburn. Oregon still has to win on the road at California and on the road at Oregon State. Auburn has two tough SEC games with Georgia at home and Alabama on the road. If this is the matchup, don’t think we’ll have a lot of complaints except from the precincts in Fort Worth and Boise who may go undefeated and not get a shot. This would be a good year for a four-team playoff, don’t you think?

 

Here are the rest of the projected  BCS Bowls:

Rose: Wisconsin vs. TCU

Sugar: LSU vs. Boise State

Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

Fiesta: Nebraska vs. Pittsburgh

Here is how we get there.
 
The two bowls who lose their designated champions to the BCS title game get the first two picks after the BCS title game is set:
 
Rose (which lost No. 1 Oregon). The rules of the new BCS contract say that the Rose has to take No. 3 TCU or No. 4 Boise State as a replacement pick if one of those teams qualifies for an at-large berth. BCS expert Jerry Palm tells me that it is still possible for Boise to jump back to No. 3 and in that case the Rose might take the Broncos as its replacement pick. 
 
Sugar (which lost No. 2 Auburn, the SEC champ) Takes 11-1 LSU. That’s a no brainer.
 
Big 12 champ (Nebraska) is placed in the Fiesta.
 
ACC champ (Virginia Tech) is placed in the Orange
 
Big Ten champ (Wisconsin)  is placed in the Rose
 
 
So the BCS championship is full and the Rose Bowl is full.
 
Now the selection order, which is determined before the season, is Sugar, Orange, Fiesta. Remember that to be considered for a BCS at-large bid you have to finish in the final top 12 and win at least nine games.
 
Sugar: They could take a 11-1 Ohio State whose only loss is to Wisconsin. But at the end of the day the Sugar will take the highest ranked team they can get. That will be undefeated Boise State which gets a chance to test itself against one of the best defenses in the country. Or it could be undefeated TCU if Boise goes to the Rose.
 
Orange: You could take 11-1 Stanford, 11-1 Michigan State or 11-1 Ohio State. It’s an easy choice. You take the Buckeyes and all those TV sets that will turn on to watch them.
 
Fiesta is left with Pittsburgh, the Big East champ.
  
Understand that if Oregon or Auburn lose down the strech it will open up the argument of whether or TCU and Boise should both play in the big game or if a one-loss team from one of the power conferences should get one of those spots.

So what do you think of the BCS matchups? Do any of those games interest you? Is there a team getting left out that is more deserving than the 10 on this list? The floor is yours.

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269 comments Add your comment

Cam Watch

November 9th, 2010
6:42 am

Report: Newton cheated while enrolled at Florida
From Associated Press
November 09, 2010 1:12 AM EST

NEW YORK (AP) — Foxsports.com is reporting that Auburn quarterback Cameron Newton had three instances of academic cheating while attending Florida and faced potential expulsion from the university.

Newton was arrested for the theft of a laptop from a Florida student’s dorm room in November 2008. The website reported late Monday night that Newton again violated the university’s honor code by putting his name on another student’s paper and turning it in.

Newton then turned in a second paper to the instructor, but it was later found to have been purchased off the Internet.

His father, Cecil Newton Sr., declined comment to Foxsports.com.

“I wasn’t there,” the elder Newton said. “I cannot confirm or deny. At a time like this, I’m taking a defensive posture.”

The NCAA is reviewing the recruitment of Newton.

Palladin

November 9th, 2010
6:47 am

I’ll look at the bowl match-ups after the season ends, thank you. Speculation is for filling empty space when there is nothing of consequence on which to report.

Saint Simons

November 9th, 2010
6:58 am

(((( 34 – 31 ))))

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:10 am

Is Urban Meyer really such a poor judge of talent that he believed that Brantley was a better QB than Cam Newton, or did he only make that pronouncement after he had determined that Cam would not be able to remain at the University of Florida?

Was Cam really so inept at playing the position during his time at Florida? If so, shouldn’t the QB coach at Blinn College be nominated for the CFB Hall of Fame?

Bill King is a.............

November 9th, 2010
7:12 am

Tony,
Since i have a chance to be at top of the posts, i have a question that i’d like for Richt to answer for himself. I wouldnt expect him to answer it publicy. Here’s the scenerio……If Richt could start with a fresh start at a new school and could hire all the assistants he wanted……..Out of our current staff, who would he want to take with him? And the ones that he wouldnt want to take do not need to be at UGA. I believe Richt is our guy, but some of the asst coaches are questionable. I wish he would honestly answer this question to himself and then act appropriately.

Thanks

Saint Simons

November 9th, 2010
7:16 am

I still live with my mom and eat my boogers…

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:18 am

@Bill King is a………….

If Richt is “your guy”, then so are his assistants. If you don’t want the entire package, then why would you want the Head Coach?

I don’t understand the tortured logic used to justify keeping this guy on the payroll. It is not a hypothetical situation. Mark Richt is your Head Coach and the assistant coaches were chosen by Coach Richt. You should either support him, or fire him. There is no “middle way”.

Saint Simons

November 9th, 2010
7:18 am

I’ve never kissed a girl…but I touched a girl’s hand once. It made me feel funny so I asked my sister to sit somewhere else.

Bill King is a.............

November 9th, 2010
7:26 am

Incredulous……Who else is out there to replace Richt? Lots of head coaches replace their assistants all the time. I just wish Richt would do the same. And if he doesnt replace a few at the end of this season, then i def will be on the fire MR bandwagon. I’d like him to start with Bobo, Garner and Van Halenger. Maybe in this order….Bobo, Van Halenger and then Garner. Garner is a cancer to this team. And apparently Garner(as our head recruiter) has a hard time evaluating talent. Our guys are just not that good. And i know MR is hte head man, but damn, Garner is the main one pushing for these guys. We should have let Garner go to Texas several years ago when we had the chance.

Wayde

November 9th, 2010
7:31 am

Boring…no playoff… same old problem…meaningless games

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:31 am

@Bill King is a………….

Head Coaches change jobs every year. “There is no man capable of replacing Mark Richt” is the poorest excuse that I have ever heard for renewing a contract with a man who is not getting the job done.

Have you considered the possibility that these “better assistant coaches” that you desire simply don’t want to work for Coach Richt?

Boise Dawg

November 9th, 2010
7:31 am

I hope you are right about the Sugar Bowl taking Boise State. The system stinks though when a teams as good as Stanford or Boise State might get left out and a team as bad as Pittsburgh gets in.

The fact that an undefeated Boise State isn’t a lock and could be left out of the BCS all together is tragic. There needs to be a new rule that if you are top 4 in the BCS you should have to be selected regardless if you are AQ or non AQ. Just think, Virginia Tech, TCU and Oregon could all get into BCS games and Boise might not. 3 teams they have beaten within the last year.

dip

November 9th, 2010
7:31 am

Not a chance that VT is in the Orange Bowl.

dip

November 9th, 2010
7:32 am

Cam cheated – I am shocked!

TCM

November 9th, 2010
7:33 am

Even though I hate AUBURN being a UGA fan, I kind of hope they and OREGON stay undefeated since things are where they are now. This will give us the best matchups as far as bowl games for this year. With so many teams with 1 – 3 losses, this might turn out to be at least on paper, some of the best bowl matchups we have ever seen in one season. On top of all the BCS games, imagine ALABAMA vs MICH ST, or STANFORD vs OKLAHOMA or OKLA ST, or possibly IOWA or WISCONSIN vs FLORIDA or SCAROLINA, or even ARKANSAS vs MISSOURI. There are so many possibilities for intriguing matchups it could realistically almost trickle down to the Micron PC Bowl being a must see matchup, hahahahaha. Speaking as a fan of college football, that is the best!!

Fire Mike Bobo,
GO DAWGS!!

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:34 am

There should be a new rule that if you don’t play an equivalent schedule to that of the BCS conference teams, then you cannot be ranked in the FBS Top 10. That would end this BS University whining once and for all.

Georgia is almost Auburn this year

November 9th, 2010
7:35 am

We, like Auburn, are one “Cam Newton” away from being undefeated. College football is just too close. If we struggle next year, I agree it is time for a change. However, we have been in every game this year but just have not made the plays. However, we are doing this with a redshirt freshman and a completely new defensive scheme. I do agree that we need to get rid of Van Halenger and the atheletic department needs to spend some of that huge profit on new strength coaches.

BCS is flawed

November 9th, 2010
7:37 am

To be considered for a BCS at-large bid, you have to finish
in the final top 12 and win at least nine games.

The same rules should be enforced for teams who win their conference.
Three loss Pittsburgh of the Big East is not even ranked.

A playoff system would solve everything.

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:37 am

Cam Newton was right under your nose in Newnan, Georgia. Why isn’t he on the team?

TCM

November 9th, 2010
7:43 am

Cam Newton wasn’t recruited by UGA’s coaches. Makes you wonder……..

Mike

November 9th, 2010
7:43 am

Oregon vs Texas Christian for it all.

Auburn loses at Bama

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:45 am

@BCS is flawed

I agree. “The same rules should be enforced for teams who win their conference. Three loss Pittsburgh of the Big East is not even ranked.”

There should be no automatic placement of teams simply for winning their conference. Any playoff system that included such rules would be just as flawed as is the BCS.

TCM

November 9th, 2010
7:45 am

The defense gets a pass since its a new system. But UGA needs a real OC and new strength and conditioning coaches who know what they are doing. Too many ticky-tack injuries the last 3 years along with all that “Mickey Mouse” play-caling………a joke!!

TCM

November 9th, 2010
7:47 am

Pittsburgh should be in the Micron PC Bowl……….

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:49 am

@TCM

It is interesting. Although both Cecil Senior and Cecil Junior play(ed) in the NFL, neither of them was recruited by Georgia either.

Boise Dawg

November 9th, 2010
7:51 am

Incredulous… there is an easier solution that I am sure you would be fine with. Just limit the BCS bowl games to only teams from BCS conferences. I guess the only problem with that is the ACC and Big East are considered BCS conferences. The other problem with this is somehow these lousy teams from lousy conferences find a way to win BCS bowl games.

Gator Mike

November 9th, 2010
7:53 am

It looks like there are a lot of questions about Cam Newton with the latest academic cheating issue which was going to get him expelled from UF. Cam’s father sure gave a weak comment when asked about the cheating incident.
I am a Gator pulling for the DAWGS to beat AU on Saturday.
Go GATORS and Go Dawgs!

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
7:56 am

The ACC and Big East are certainly marginal football conferences. The real problem is that the FBS includes far too many teams that have no business being in the league. The only way to fix this problem is to force the NCAA to create a separate division for the contenders and the pretenders.

This solution would not go over well, because even the best conferences have teams that don’t belong among the contenders. What happens to Vandy in such a scenario?

TCM

November 9th, 2010
7:57 am

@Incredulous

Yeah that is another interesting point. It would be interesting to know what the top 25 of UGA’s wish list looks like for recruits in GA vs neighboring program’s top 25 GA list like CLEM. AUB, ALA, FLA etc since GA is such a highly sought after state talent wise………

Fleming Island Dawg

November 9th, 2010
8:00 am

Funny how things happen at Florida and you never hear about it. If the “Water Girl” is cheating in class at Georgia its front page news. Just like now the press is truning the whole Rainey incident into a “feel good” story about how his teammates are crying with him and the adversity he had to overcome to earn his way back on the team. The way he earned his way back was to have Florida lose without him. Pouncey said from the first day he would be back and fans on here bragged about Meyer nipping it in the bus when we all knew he would be back just like jarvis Moss in the Past. Meyer recently cut a freshman DB and at the end of the story had to throw out”he has no chance of returning.” Pretty bad when you have to add those words to your statement when you dismiss a player. I think Georgia needs to bring back Montez Robinson for his pass rush and just call it a suspension.

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
8:01 am

Cecil Sr. attended Savannah State. Cecil Jr. attended Tennessee State. I suspect that none of the Newtons were academically eligible at UGA. I guess Florida thought they could “work around” that little issue?

Dog Island Gator

November 9th, 2010
8:01 am

Tony, In this crazy year of upsets you may be a bit premature in your selections. I like Alabama over Auburn, it’s a classic setup. And me thinks the Gators will upset the west champ in the SEC championship game, probably Auburn.

TCM

November 9th, 2010
8:02 am

@Gator Mike

Save your energy, Mike Bobo make sure UGA loses to AUBURN with his Mickey Mouse play calling……….

Hal

November 9th, 2010
8:04 am

After reading this blog . I have one comment . Do you ever feel that the some people who comment in you column are suffering from mental disorders. They just see a blog and make a comment without reading your article.

bdawg

November 9th, 2010
8:05 am

Tony,
When LSU loses to Arkansas, Auburn to Alabama but Auburn wins the SEC what happens. If there are any better teams out there than Alabama, Auburn, Arkansas and LSU then I wish they could play in a division of a conference like that. Any school in the country would have 1-2 loses easy with that schedule. It’s going to be a good year for lower tier bowl matchups. Those bowls have to be smiling at the what ifs: UGA, Texas, Oklahoma, Clemson, Michigan, Notre Dame all will be barely if at all bowl eligible. Could be some big fan bases going to strange places. Also, love the fact the Rose has to take a Non AQ school. Still mad they didn’t take UGA in 2007 and give us a USC-UGA matchup. Intresting times.

3rdN8

November 9th, 2010
8:06 am

Hal

I’ve noticed several people who’ve apparently never read anything.

Incredulous

November 9th, 2010
8:09 am

@Hal

Were you commenting on the blog, or the comments?

Just curious…

;-)

merculf

November 9th, 2010
8:10 am

Why the witch hunt for Cam Newton all of the sudden? One week ago this kid was on top of the Football World and then all this crap is coming at him.

Lum

November 9th, 2010
8:11 am

BCS Championship: Oregon vs. TCU. The rest don’t even matter.

Just One Question

November 9th, 2010
8:12 am

Is Cameron Newton a Sociology Major at Auburn?

3rdN8

November 9th, 2010
8:13 am

Incredulous

both….sometimes

Cr

November 9th, 2010
8:14 am

The big east still doesn;t even have a bowl eligible team. I think if your conf winner isn’t even ranked, they should forefeit the bcs bid.

Whatever

November 9th, 2010
8:14 am

Oregon vs. TCU would save me the trouble of watching the game.

More CAM @ UF

November 9th, 2010
8:16 am

From rollbamaroll.com:

Go to the Alachua County Clerk of the Court’s website, click “Log In,” then “General Index Search,” and search for “Cameron Newton” to see his 13 traffic offenses while in Gainesville.

Steve

November 9th, 2010
8:16 am

which team dominated auburn for a half and has come the closest to beating them?
4th or 5th acc clemson
oh and unc without 14 players, 7 starters, would have beaten the sec’s second best team if the refs hadn’t blown the end of the game call
sec is not any different than the acc this year. you have the rankings because of perceived greatness

Whatever

November 9th, 2010
8:18 am

The ACC almost won two games against the SEC.

See. We’re just as good… Almost.

Smitty

November 9th, 2010
8:19 am

A resurgent Gator team just might sneak into the sugar bowl with a stunning win over auburn….
Hey, it could happen….thwg

Tom, Resident Georgia Fan

November 9th, 2010
8:19 am

Man would I love to see LSU destroy Boise State!!!

The Grinch

November 9th, 2010
8:20 am

Tech will be in the Orange Bowl, right?. After all, their fans and head coach said they were all about winning championships. They were a juggernaut in waiting……BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!

Miles

November 9th, 2010
8:20 am

Cam Newton and Auburn get beat in Tuscaloosa and in the SEC Championship…thus, no BCS National Championship for Newton…then, later he’ll have to give back the Heisman trophy…what a piece of crap he is!