Georgia wins; Mizzou, Michigan State, Utah lose

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Yes, I’ve seen and written the numbers about Urban Meyer and what he has done with more than a week to prepare a team. But as many of you pointed out, those numbers tend to be pretty good when you’ve got better players than the team you’re facing after the open date. Georgia has better players at quarterback (Aaron Murray), wide receiver (A.J. Green), running back (Washaun Ealey) and the offensive line is way better. Great quarterbacks are defined by this game and Murray, the redshirt freshman  from Tampa, puts his stamp on his first Georgia-Florida game by leading the Bulldogs to a victory. Georgia 24, Florida 20.

2. Auburn at Ole Miss: Yes, it’s okay for Auburn to be a little nervous about this road trip because in each of the past three weeks No. 1 has gotten beat away from home. This won’t be a dominating performance by Auburn because the last two weeks against Arkansas and LSU have been pretty draining. In fact, I think it will be close because Houston Nutt, the Ole Miss coach, has a way of winning these kinds of games. I just don’t think the Rebels defense is playing well enough to slow down this Auburn offense. Auburn 31, Ole Miss 24.

3. Tennessee at South Carolina: Freshman running back Marcus Lattimore is returning to the lineup after sitting out the past six quarters with an injury. That is all you need to know because when Lattimore plays South Carolina is a pretty good team. South Carolina 35, Tennessee 10.

4. Kentucky at Mississippi State: We haven’t even gotten to Halloween but already Mississippi State is bowl eligible (6-2). The Bulldogs have figured out exactly who they are. They run the football with quarterback Chris Relf and running back Vick Ballard. They are so much better on defense with new coordinator Manny Diaz running the show. Kentucky just can’t stop anybody on defense. Mississippi State 31, Kentucky 20.

5. Miami at Virginia:  Okay, Hurricanes. It’s time to show us something. You got taken to the woodshed by Florida State on Oct. 9 at Miami. You took care of business last week at home against North Carolina. You are still very much in the ACC Coastal race as you  go to Georgia Tech on Nov. 13 and host Virginia Tech on Nov. 20. Saturday’s game against the Cavaliers is the kind where you usually slop it around on the road. Step up, U. Show us that you’re for real. Miami 35, Virginia 7.

6. Michgian State at Iowa: The Spartans, ranked No. 5 in the BCS, have visions of getting into the national championship mix at best and a strip to the Rose Bowl at worst. But Iowa is in a must-win situation after falling to Wisconsin last week. Sparty hasn’t won at Kinnick Stadium since 1989. Michigan State’s run comes to an end. Iowa 24, Michigan State 21.

7. Missouri at Nebraska: Missouri (7-0) knocked off No. 1 Oklahoma last week and is off to its best start in 50 years. But Nebraska has to win at home if the Cornhuskers want to get to the Big 12 championship game. Another undefeated team goes down. Nebraska 21, Missouri 17.

8. Utah at Air Force: Everybody in the country is talking about next week’s game when the No. 8 Utes (7-0) host No. 4 TCU (8-0). It says here that Utah is going to get caught looking ahead. Air Force, despite a 38-7 loss to TCU last week, still leads the nation in rushing (326.5 ypg). Air Force 24, Utah 23.

9. Oregon at Southern California: The Ducks looked absolutely unstoppable last week when they simply destroyed UCLA. This is USC’s bowl game because the Trojans are on probation. But this is not a vintage Southern California defense as it is No. 87 nationally, giving up over 400 yards a game. Monte Kiffin is one of the best defensive coordinators of this generation.  But he doesn’t have an answer for Oregon. Oregon 35, USC 20.

10.  Clemson at Boston College: What a difference a week makes. Last Saturday Clemson running back Andre Ellington shredded the Georgia Tech defense for two long touchdowns runs, part of 236 total rushing yards against the Yellow Jackets. On Saturday the Tigers face a Boston College defense that is giving up only 83 yards rushing per game and 2.6 per carry. The Eagles are ranked fourth nationally. Thanks to N.C. State’s win over Florida State last night, Clemson is back in the chase for the ACC Atlantic championship. Clemson has to take care of business on the road. Clemson 21, Boston College 17.

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Barnhart and Durham: We finish up the month of October with a jammed pack show. We have the Legendary Larry Munson. We have Brady Ackerman of the Florida radio network to give us an update on the Gators. We have Jerry Allen, the voice of the Oregon Ducks, who have a huge game with USC. We have John Morris, the voice of the No. 25 ranked Baylor Bears. We will have trivia with David Hubbard and will get another visit from the Bowl Guru. Please join us at 10 a.m. www.790thezone.com.

350 comments Add your comment

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
1:45 pm

That ain’t water the Water Girl will be drinking after this game.

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
1:46 pm

The Big Yeast? Isn’t that a Soroity at UGA?

KimZ'sPackage - TOOL

October 29th, 2010
1:48 pm

Whopper with Cheese is a soroity at Tech

how2fish

October 29th, 2010
1:49 pm

KimZ’sPackage hey Clemson just scored again..

Delbert D.

October 29th, 2010
1:49 pm

Here is a synopsis of an online article by the Birmingham News SEC writer.

Top 10 recruiting classes during the past five years:
1. USC
2. Florida
3. Alabama
4. LSU
5. Texas
6. Georgia
7. Oklahoma
8. Florida State
9. Notre Dame
10. Ohio State

How the current BCS Top 10 falls in the same recruiting rankings:
1. Auburn (11th in recruiting)
2. Oregon (22nd)
3. Boise State (not ranked)
4. TCU (59th)
5. Michigan State (33rd)
6. Missouri (32nd)
7. Alabama (third)
8. Utah (tied for 52nd)
9. Oklahoma (seventh)
10. Wisconsin (42nd)

How the SEC West should look based on recruiting rankings alone:
1. Alabama (third in recruiting)
2. LSU (fourth)
3. Auburn (11th)
4. Ole Miss (18th)
5. Arkansas (29th)
6, Mississippi State (37th)

How the SEC East should look based on recruiting rankings alone:
1. Florida (second)
2. Georgia (sixth)
3. Tennessee (14th)
4. South Carolina (15th)
5. Kentucky (tied for 52nd)
6. Vanderbilt (not ranked)

Miles

October 29th, 2010
1:52 pm

USC will beat Oregon…a shootout…final score: Trojans 100 Ducks 99…

Nate the Great

October 29th, 2010
1:54 pm

Georgia beat 3 SEC teams. I dont care how you cut it, its still the SEC and those “lesser” teams are still more talented than any ACC of Big Least teams. To try and degrade who we lost to is a little foolish when you are playing SEC opponents.

And for the Gators that wanna talk about how you lost to superior teams, two of your three loses came at home. LSU is not that good and will be exposed at least twice more by the end of the season and MSU is, historically, the cellar dweller of the West. Your four wins Miami (OH), USF, Kentucky, and Tennessee. And of the two teams we have both played, UGA was by far more convincing in their wins.

UGA 35 – UF 14 (and thats being generous for your off week)

Nate the Great

October 29th, 2010
2:02 pm

@ KimZ’sPackage: Your $#!t is weak and you talk like a f&g

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
2:11 pm

Kentucky just fumbled on their own 10 yardline again. Maybe UGA can score.

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
2:13 pm

Don’t score too fast Dawgs because your Defense will have to play some more.

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
2:42 pm

Even non-college towns and non-football teams are calling out UGA Fans now that is bad.
Delta Flight Attendent

October 29th, 2010
2:38 pm
Nice to know the dawg fans trash other places as bad as their own campus. St. Simons Beach is the UGA dump too. Damn don’t you people have any class? You people are just pigs no matter where you go.

1eyedJack

October 29th, 2010
2:47 pm

@KimZ’sPackage

Zombies invade Atlanta on AMC Sunday night
•’Walking Dead’ premieres Halloween
• Atlanta’s got zombie in its blood
• Can’t-miss zombie movies

Haven’t you got some preparations to go make?

Paul in RDU

October 29th, 2010
2:49 pm

Wow – according to Nate the Great the 3 “lesser” teams in the SEC (UK, Vandy and UT) are better than any team in the ACC or Big East. Then how the heck did UK and UT lose to ACC teams in bowl games last year?

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
2:59 pm

They let ‘em win, Paul.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
3:02 pm

What’s this? No more dividing up pages and such?

KimZ'sPackage - TOOL

October 29th, 2010
3:05 pm

Paul in RDU – How did Yech lose to UGA? That was last year ace. We are talking this year. which, by the way, Yech will lose again!

HAZ MAT Team

October 29th, 2010
3:05 pm

Do these people not know any better? Dawg fans defecated on the campus grounds in Athens. Are we needed in St. Simons too?

Gtkenz

October 29th, 2010
3:08 pm

Hate to say it, but Georgia wins out including the SEC title and BCS game. Hottest team in the nation right now.

76-DAWG

October 29th, 2010
3:09 pm

Great recruiting classes for the big name schools can be a curse also . Look how many Juniors go pro and along with the normal senior class it can hurt a great school with great players still there because it is so disruptive. The new sophomores and junior have to learn to be starters and the Freshman class has to learn the play book. So it is very disruptive for a team to get great recruiting classes every year. Schools life South Carolina want have players leave early and most of their Juniors and senior have been there for 4 or 5 years.
The other big reason that many of the great recruiting class schools struggle is because they lose their coordinators or head coach on a regular basis and the players have to all learn new plays or develop new philosophies. Georgia, Florida, Southern Cal , Notre Dame , Tennessee just to name a few.

Delbert D.

October 29th, 2010
3:12 pm

Flashback to Sept. 11: USC 17, Virginia 14.

I don’t see the Trojans beating Oregon.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
3:15 pm

Gtkenz

October 29th, 2010
3:08 pm
Hate to say it, but Georgia wins out including the SEC title and BCS game. Hottest team in the nation right now.

Bartender, I’ll have what he’s having.

Another Steve

October 29th, 2010
3:25 pm

Tony, I just don’t see the dogs getting the job done in Jacksonville. If they win, you will certainly be justified in boasting on Monday. However, if the Gators are victorious, please no whining and moaning and going on as if this were another week of your favorite soap opera.

Looking forward to number 18 and hoping it comes this Saturday. Go Gators.

Chap

October 29th, 2010
3:32 pm

Hey tony nice homework. air force’s top rusher is out. you’re the biggest cf idiot out there. stewart mandel and andy staples work circles around you. who did you know to get your label cause you are a friggin idiot.
btw, fla will beat ga once again. 19/22. i know it hurts.

JASon

October 29th, 2010
3:34 pm

Air Force held Oklahoma close in week 3, but lets be honest, there’s no way they beat Utah.

I actually believe TCU is better than Boise St. this year. TCU, Auburn, and Oregon are the three top teams in the country. Talk amongst yourselves…

DIT

October 29th, 2010
3:35 pm

“Hate to say it, but Georgia wins out including the SEC title and BCS game. Hottest team in the nation right now.”

Dude, love the enthusiasm! I would be happy if we can just win tomorrow. One game at a time! This team can’t focus on anything else. Off the record, the only way we beat Auburn is if that team came down with Malaria. The way this year started out I’ll take winning 3 of the last 4!

Go Dawgs!

Delbert D.

October 29th, 2010
3:41 pm

76-DAWG – Counterpoint to part of your analysis: Auburn, with multiple coaching changes, new QB, new system; and Georgia, whose DC coordinator change is a positive (albeit a new 3-4 is part of the explanation there.)

With consistently good recruiting, there should not be talent gaps due to 3 year players. Florida is the most surprising, and it is in part to losing the coordinators, as you said.

Oregon, Michigan St., and Missouri in the current top 10 with 5 year recruiting rankings in the 20s and 30s, along with coaching stability are getting the job done.

USC didn’t have a great year last year under Carroll, plus he left a stink bomb for Kiffin with the sanctions. Texas projected to be much better this year. Tennessee is a recovery effort from a devastating situation.

Vince The Prince

October 29th, 2010
3:41 pm

How many red panties will be trashed in St. Simons this weekend?

Vince The Prince

October 29th, 2010
3:42 pm

Saint Mark says the thugs are running on to the field wearing nothing but red panties on Saturday. That ought to work….

DIT

October 29th, 2010
3:45 pm

That was original Vince. Did you think of that on your own?
Thanks for those underacheiving words! Tech blog is calling for you now!

Delbert D.

October 29th, 2010
3:46 pm

Here is a link to the original article on recruiting rankings vs. performance, with the writer’s analysis:

http://www.al.com/sports/index.ssf/2010/10/sometimes_numbers_lie_recruiti.html

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
3:52 pm

With consistently good recruiting, there should not be talent gaps due to 3 year players. Florida is the most surprising, and it is in part to losing the coordinators TEBOW, as you said.

Fixed

DIT

October 29th, 2010
3:53 pm

That was a good one BAMA dude

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
3:57 pm

Thanks DIT. I’m here all week- tip your waiters. 8)

kaput

October 29th, 2010
3:58 pm

If we were to go by Barnhart’s picks, Georgia would be undefeated . . .

Tool.

5IML

October 29th, 2010
4:05 pm

BAMA dude,

The common is misconception is that it was all about Tebow. The truth is that is was Tebow + excellent skill players (e.g. Harvin) + Dan Mullen.

2007 = Tebow + Mullen – excellent skill players = No titles
2008 = Tebow + Mullen + (Harvin, Murphy, Hernandez) = SEC and BCS Championships
2009 = Tebow – Mullen + (Hernandez, Cooper) = No titles

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
4:06 pm

Interesting article, Delbert. Of course, the author says that Boise’s classes are underrated because they have had eight players taken in the NFL (two 1st rounders) over a 6 year period. Not getting his logic since most of the top schools will have three times that many, some having six drafted just about every year. Miami put six in the first round one year.

Homerism = Tony Barnhart

October 29th, 2010
4:07 pm

When your homerism becomes such that you can no longer hide it, then your credibility for unbiased opinions and commentary becomes worthless as a degree from…well i won’t say the schools’ names and ruffle sensitive sensibilities

According to Barnhart’s picks, Ga should be 7-1.

Florida rolls. It’s not even going to be close. firemarkricht.com coming soon.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
4:10 pm

5IML, I’d submit that they would have had a title in 2009 if Saban was still in Miami. I thought they were clearly the number two team. The problem from my perspective is that the whole offense was built for and around Tebow, much like our little brothers this year with Cam. Texas struggled when VY left and now when McCoy left. Saban’s offense is more balanced and less QB driven, which I think is a good thing.

Jay

October 29th, 2010
4:10 pm

As predictable as gravity, Barnhart picks Uga. Boring.

DIT

October 29th, 2010
4:15 pm

Of course Florida will fall off when a player of Tebow’s caliber leaves. He was the main part of that team let alone offense. He was a schools once in a life-time player as Herschel was to UGA and Bo was to Auburn(of course we will see where Newton pans out after all is said and done)
Florida won’t be down for long. Look at the freshmen they have now. Lots of talent.
I do agree that teams witha more balanced attack does stand for a quicker turn around time when that top player leaves.

Eric C.

October 29th, 2010
4:15 pm

Red Fox, you are a moron…go back to your hole dude

Eric C.

October 29th, 2010
4:18 pm

“Homerism = Tony Barnhart,”

UGA was favored in seven of eight games and they are favored by vegas in this game you idiot

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
4:18 pm

DIT, it’s a whole lot easier to replace a running back than it is a Senior All-American QB in a spread/zone read system. Teams that run these gimmicky offenses struggle the most with turnover. Good old meat and potatoes football, run the ball and pass off play action, lends itself to smoother transitions. And as a fan, I like it a whole lot better.

DIT

October 29th, 2010
4:20 pm

Eaassy

October 29th, 2010
4:20 pm

Homerism=TB, How is Tech doing this year?

5IML

October 29th, 2010
4:26 pm

BAMA Dude,

In the long run, a balanced attack is definitely a more sound strategy. But most fans would auction their giblets for one BCS championship followed by 9 winless seasons.

I’m not sure Saban is as offensively conservative as we think. Over the summer, during one of BAMA’s 40K behind-the-scenes specials, Saban said you make players play within your defensive system but you tailor offensive systems to the strengths of the players. I think we will see the offense change with AJ or Sims.

Master of Analysis

October 29th, 2010
4:29 pm

Tony, somewhere I read that you are “Mr. Football” among Atlanta sportswriters. I believe that. However, it appears you are a bit off the mark on that game tomorrow at the Ga.-Fla. line “neutral” site.
Florida is ALWAYS pumped for this game. Maybe it’s because our Georgia
stalwarts used to beat them so often. Howsoever, I see a reverse of your GA-FLA prediction. It’ll be the Alligators again, by maybe three or four points more than 24-20.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
4:32 pm

I think we will see the offense change with AJ or Sims.

I think the playcalling might change, not sure about the offense. And the playcalling itself might not even have to. I think Greg lacks confidence sometimes, holding the ball when a gunslinger might make a play downfield. Of course, that gunslinger mentality creates INTs too. One thing is for sure, our D is just too young for him to be too careful. We need some more explosive plays from that position.

5IML

October 29th, 2010
4:34 pm

Agreed.

Have a good weekend. I hope any injuries you may have heal during this bye week.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
4:35 pm

Same to you friend.