Georgia wins; Mizzou, Michigan State, Utah lose

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Yes, I’ve seen and written the numbers about Urban Meyer and what he has done with more than a week to prepare a team. But as many of you pointed out, those numbers tend to be pretty good when you’ve got better players than the team you’re facing after the open date. Georgia has better players at quarterback (Aaron Murray), wide receiver (A.J. Green), running back (Washaun Ealey) and the offensive line is way better. Great quarterbacks are defined by this game and Murray, the redshirt freshman  from Tampa, puts his stamp on his first Georgia-Florida game by leading the Bulldogs to a victory. Georgia 24, Florida 20.

2. Auburn at Ole Miss: Yes, it’s okay for Auburn to be a little nervous about this road trip because in each of the past three weeks No. 1 has gotten beat away from home. This won’t be a dominating performance by Auburn because the last two weeks against Arkansas and LSU have been pretty draining. In fact, I think it will be close because Houston Nutt, the Ole Miss coach, has a way of winning these kinds of games. I just don’t think the Rebels defense is playing well enough to slow down this Auburn offense. Auburn 31, Ole Miss 24.

3. Tennessee at South Carolina: Freshman running back Marcus Lattimore is returning to the lineup after sitting out the past six quarters with an injury. That is all you need to know because when Lattimore plays South Carolina is a pretty good team. South Carolina 35, Tennessee 10.

4. Kentucky at Mississippi State: We haven’t even gotten to Halloween but already Mississippi State is bowl eligible (6-2). The Bulldogs have figured out exactly who they are. They run the football with quarterback Chris Relf and running back Vick Ballard. They are so much better on defense with new coordinator Manny Diaz running the show. Kentucky just can’t stop anybody on defense. Mississippi State 31, Kentucky 20.

5. Miami at Virginia:  Okay, Hurricanes. It’s time to show us something. You got taken to the woodshed by Florida State on Oct. 9 at Miami. You took care of business last week at home against North Carolina. You are still very much in the ACC Coastal race as you  go to Georgia Tech on Nov. 13 and host Virginia Tech on Nov. 20. Saturday’s game against the Cavaliers is the kind where you usually slop it around on the road. Step up, U. Show us that you’re for real. Miami 35, Virginia 7.

6. Michgian State at Iowa: The Spartans, ranked No. 5 in the BCS, have visions of getting into the national championship mix at best and a strip to the Rose Bowl at worst. But Iowa is in a must-win situation after falling to Wisconsin last week. Sparty hasn’t won at Kinnick Stadium since 1989. Michigan State’s run comes to an end. Iowa 24, Michigan State 21.

7. Missouri at Nebraska: Missouri (7-0) knocked off No. 1 Oklahoma last week and is off to its best start in 50 years. But Nebraska has to win at home if the Cornhuskers want to get to the Big 12 championship game. Another undefeated team goes down. Nebraska 21, Missouri 17.

8. Utah at Air Force: Everybody in the country is talking about next week’s game when the No. 8 Utes (7-0) host No. 4 TCU (8-0). It says here that Utah is going to get caught looking ahead. Air Force, despite a 38-7 loss to TCU last week, still leads the nation in rushing (326.5 ypg). Air Force 24, Utah 23.

9. Oregon at Southern California: The Ducks looked absolutely unstoppable last week when they simply destroyed UCLA. This is USC’s bowl game because the Trojans are on probation. But this is not a vintage Southern California defense as it is No. 87 nationally, giving up over 400 yards a game. Monte Kiffin is one of the best defensive coordinators of this generation.  But he doesn’t have an answer for Oregon. Oregon 35, USC 20.

10.  Clemson at Boston College: What a difference a week makes. Last Saturday Clemson running back Andre Ellington shredded the Georgia Tech defense for two long touchdowns runs, part of 236 total rushing yards against the Yellow Jackets. On Saturday the Tigers face a Boston College defense that is giving up only 83 yards rushing per game and 2.6 per carry. The Eagles are ranked fourth nationally. Thanks to N.C. State’s win over Florida State last night, Clemson is back in the chase for the ACC Atlantic championship. Clemson has to take care of business on the road. Clemson 21, Boston College 17.

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Barnhart and Durham: We finish up the month of October with a jammed pack show. We have the Legendary Larry Munson. We have Brady Ackerman of the Florida radio network to give us an update on the Gators. We have Jerry Allen, the voice of the Oregon Ducks, who have a huge game with USC. We have John Morris, the voice of the No. 25 ranked Baylor Bears. We will have trivia with David Hubbard and will get another visit from the Bowl Guru. Please join us at 10 a.m. www.790thezone.com.

350 comments Add your comment

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:04 am

Yeah, I especially liked Charley, the 50 year-old, time-traveling golden retriever.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:04 am

bigdawg

good point. UF keeps Newton, they’re 8-0, and Meyer is Coach of year.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:05 am

I liked Kathrine Ross….fifty years old, or not.

Hoopster

October 29th, 2010
11:06 am

Good grief. Georgia has gotten healthy beating 2 high school teams from Tennesse and a high school team from Kentucky. Now they face real college competition. Florida by more than 7.

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:06 am

ugaclassof 2004—-I agree with your analysis of the relative talent levels of the Dawgs and Gators, but college football is a game of emotion. And that’s why UGA may win this game. Damn it.

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:09 am

More like sixty years old, but who’s counting?

Re keeping Cam Newton, yeah, but Meyer and the Gators are all a bunch of criminals, and we know the UAA never appropriately punishes Gator athletes when they screw up, right?

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:10 am

Atlanta Gator

you might like this.

I made a similar post (re: the A-10s) on an AL.Com Forum (Bama) the other night.

Some guy thought I was referring to penis sizes.

Way too much porn on the web.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:11 am

is “UAA” the “The University of Alabama Anonymous”?

Silver Britches, Red Panties

October 29th, 2010
11:13 am

Tony, I think everybody reading this column knew we could count on you to come through for Our Beloved Dawgs!

I just wish I knew what color helmets Coach Richt is going to pick out for the game, I’m trying to put together an outfit that matches!

Dontavius Supremo

October 29th, 2010
11:16 am

I agree except for the USC/Oregon game. USC wins by, oh, 10 points. I think Georgia may win going away, bu we’ll have to see. Auburn easily handles Ole Miss.

im4bama

October 29th, 2010
11:18 am

Georgia, this is your best shot to take down the Gators. Don’t blow it.

Let’s Huskers and Hawkeyes. TCB Auburn, Bama’s gonna put the shaft in Cam in the Iron Bowl baby!

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:19 am

A-10s? Penis size? What?? There’s apparently some terminology out there of which I am ignorantly unaware.

The UAA, for the uninitiated, is the University Athletic Association, Inc., the Florida non-profit corporation that finances and manages the University of Florida’s Florida Gators intercollegiate sports program.

ugaclassof2004

October 29th, 2010
11:22 am

Atlanta Gator,

I don’t think emotion will be a factor in this game, just execution. I would like my Dawgs chances better if the Gators had beaten LSU and MSU and UGA had only beaten Vandy and Kentucky by a TD. In that scenario, I could see Florida thinking they are better than they are and then losing to UGA. But I think that since your team has been down, they’ll be motivated enough to want to get off the snide vs. UGA. I think Florida views UGA in the same way UGA views Tech, in that they think that is a game they should win 90% of the time. I think Gator players, even in a down year; feel that they are good enough to still beat UGA who is also having a down year. And like I mentioned before, if I felt like we had compentent coaching I would like our chances in this game, but we don’t. I think if the Dawgs continue stick to their game plan, they can beat the Gators. But Bobo has proven to me that he’s incapable of just sticking with what works. I can see him doing something really dumb like running the Wildcat formation on the goal line, which would get knocked for a 5 yard loss and totally kill our momentum. Bad coaching is such a liability in games like this.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:25 am

gotta label me as “uninitiated”. I’d never heard of that orginization.

But…let me say this about that….I don’t know how coaches can possibly control 105 testosterone stoked athletes 24/7. It was all that I could do to ride herd on two sons.

I also do not have all of the facts when it comes to a given coach or player, and the discipline applied.

Therefore, I’m a little hesitant to cast stones. Think eveyone else should be as well….but that’s just me.

Not So Fast

October 29th, 2010
11:26 am

Hey Tony:

Wrong. USC will score 40+ against the Duckeys. If they hold Oregon to the 35 as you predict, They win.

As usual you base your opinions on what you read in the stats. If you had seen the improvement in the USC defense over the past 2 games (esp Cal) you would know it as much about the Duckeys defense holding Matt Barkley and the USC offense as the USC defense holding Oregon.

The over/under is 70, bet the over; USC 49 UO 35 in a shootout. Barkley may throw for 400+ this game. He has 20 TDs /4 INTs. He’ll be 26/4 after the Duck Hunt.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:28 am

Have enjoyed talking football.

Hope you all have a good weekend……just be sure that your hopes don’t unduly color your expectations.

Old Dawg

October 29th, 2010
11:33 am

The Georgia-Florida game could be decided by the kicking game, and we know who has the advantage there.

As for USC-Oregon, it’s Lane Kiffin’s Little Big Horn and he’s gonna get scalped by the Ducks. I know their nickname doesn’t sound intimidating but their offense is amazing!

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:40 am

I did have one more comment.

In the interest of political correctness…..

Now that Ole Miss has adopted a more, less controversial (please note the oxymoron) team mascot of “Rebel Black Bear”, or “Black Bear Rebels”…..doesn’t everyone agree that it just makes good sense to do a complete cleansing? I mean, let’s get rid of the “Ole” part of the name as well. That’s clearly a slam at the “old” people….and senior citizens have enough problems.

Thank you for your support.

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:41 am

3rdN8—-I’m not adverse to casting stones, but in this case there was a bit of an overreaction. Rainey had been knocked unconscious the previous day and was suffering from a severe concussion. No prior history of violence or threats of violence against women. Probably would never have been arrested if he hadn’t mouthed off to the cops, which was also oddly out of character. In a better world, he probably should have been under medical supervision, not arguing with his “girlfriend.” There was also the weirdness that was related to the fact that the woman in question was significantly older and apparently is some kind of Gators groupie. It wasn’t the woman, but the woman’s sister who actually called the cops, and the woman in question wanted no part in bringing charges. Frankly, given the facts, it would have been a grotesque judicial travesty if this kid had been convicted of a felony.

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:42 am

ugaclassof2004—–Your points are well taken.

Barnhart is a homer

October 29th, 2010
11:44 am

Dogs get beat by 3 TD’s

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
11:44 am

As I said…I didn’t have all of the facts.

Do you have the groupies number?

Just the FACTS

October 29th, 2010
11:45 am

I think it’s funny that every single week, Mr. Football (Tony Barnhart) picks UGA to win. Could it be that he’s a UGA grad or that he thinks UGA’s just alot better than their record shows. Let me recite a very notable phrase that was used by the great Bill Parcells. ” You are what your record is”.
Just the FACTS.

4-4 ball is 4-4 ball

October 29th, 2010
11:54 am

Around 7pm tomorrow uga will be own a newly minted 4-5 record and firemarkricht.com will be launched

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
11:54 am

Sorry, but she’s apparently busy filling the Susan Sarandon role from “Bull Durham” for the Gators.

jumbeauxtiger

October 29th, 2010
11:56 am

5IML

October 29th, 2010
10:43 am

“Atlanta Gator,

Please summarize the Rainey case using the IRAC model.

Also, I plan to commence legal proceeding against you for trademark infringement of screen name. Your use of “3IML” is confusingly similar to “5IML.” lol”

Actually I have been thinking for a while about changing mine as well, since I was born in ‘58, to 3IML :D

how2fish

October 29th, 2010
11:57 am

Just the FACTS really then riddle me this O wise one…why are the bookies giving the Gators points?

dawgfacedboy

October 29th, 2010
11:59 am

So because UGA has the better team they should win??????? Is this only the 4th time in 20 years they have had the better team??????

Who wants it more? Plain and simple. If UGA loses it’s because they didn’t want it bad enough and were out coached (which hasn’t seemed to be too hard as of late)

4-4 ball is 4-4 ball

October 29th, 2010
12:00 pm

how2fish

You obviously don’t understand how lines are set and why they move during the week leading up to the games

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
12:01 pm

Bulldawg taste just like Chicken.

Sitting Bull

October 29th, 2010
12:01 pm

LA Coliseum no Little Big Horn. Lakota, we eat duck. Sioux have great respect for Lane Kiffin magic, me say bet on Trojans.

slaughdog

October 29th, 2010
12:03 pm

It’s great to be an AUBURN TIGER!!!!

War CAM Eagle

Georgia Tee

October 29th, 2010
12:04 pm

How hot was the seat CMR was on at UGA? Not very if wins over Tenn., Vandy and Ky. can cool it off. Coach’s job is secure for a life time if these 3 wins are all it takes to satisfy the zany Bulldog Nation. Domdawg,the Dawgs have gone from a team in total disarray to a “Well oiled machine” in three weeks? Give me a break!!

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
12:05 pm

You obviously don’t understand how lines are set and why they move during the week leading up to the games

I do, and the final published lines are right straight-up well over 70% of the time. You make your money on the points, not on straight upsets.

bruce mac

October 29th, 2010
12:11 pm

Tony is just playing to the masses. He knows the Gators will rock as usual. And so do all reasonably minded Dawgs like me. And this is not the only chance the Dawgs will have to beat the Gators, it is however the last chance CMR will have to beat the Gators. Good luck sir in your next job. My only hope for this game is that some obnoxious Gator player once again runs up and down the sideline playing to the crowd like a grade school kid. Please please please keep rubbing salt in the wound as this will serve to resolve our pitiful situation sooner than later.

4-4 ball is 4-4 ball

October 29th, 2010
12:12 pm

BAMA dude

the question was not how you make money. florida getting points is not only a function of ga likely winning the game but also of how oddmakers speculate degenerates will bet

Either way, uga/uf game has absolutely nothing to do with Alabama and my comment was not posed to you

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
12:17 pm

the question was not how you make money. florida getting points is not only a function of ga likely winning the game but also of how oddmakers speculate degenerates will bet

That is correct. Again, the favorite wins straight up over 70% of the time. Point is, Vegas (not the bookies but the consensus of the money) usually picks the right team to win. Not always, of course, but usually. An interesting note about that is something I read, and I can’t remember where now, that showed where Vegas is right almost 90% of the time when Number 2 is favored over Number 1 in college football i.e. Florida over Ohio St. in the 2009 BCSCG. Small sample size since that situation doesn’t happen very often, but interesting nonetheless.

DIT

October 29th, 2010
12:30 pm

My cents worth…..

Dawgs 3 Gators 2 – Murray hit a 2 run double in the 8th (toss-up, can’t call it)
Auburn 42 Ole Miss 17
SC 52 UT 10
UK 31 MSU 28
Miami vs UVA Called due to boredom
Iowa 17 Michigan St 14 (what do I know)
Neb 39 Mizz 37
Utah 35 Air Force 14
Oregon 37 USC 3
Clemson vs BC Called due to lack of interest (just love to mess with you ACC people)

dawgfan

October 29th, 2010
12:42 pm

I would like all of the Techies running their mouths on this blog (you know who you are) to explain to me why anyone else outside of North Avenue should give a rat’s azz in China about Georgia Tech football. I can’t think of a single reason.

Thanks.

GTBob

October 29th, 2010
12:59 pm

dawgfan, nobody on this page has even mentioned GT. They aren’t even playing this weekend. You really need to get over your obsession with them.

KimZ'sPackage

October 29th, 2010
1:02 pm

Dawgfan
Did all the Dawg Players Probation officers give them permission to leave the state and be around other convicts on the Gator team.

Chris Rainey

October 29th, 2010
1:03 pm

I score the winning TD with 4 seconds left and 368 UGA fans have a heart attack tryin to get me comin off the field.

davidinloganville

October 29th, 2010
1:05 pm

Georgia had “Hershal Walker The Goal Line Stalker” Florida has “Chris Rainey The Co Ed Stalker”

Chris Rainey

October 29th, 2010
1:07 pm

davidinloganville, I heard Hershel came out of the closet last week.

how2fish

October 29th, 2010
1:22 pm

4-4 ball is 4-4 ball have you lost your mind? What degenerate gambler is beating on a team that has lost 3 of its first 4 games and playing a team they are 3-17n the last 20 tries against..and your right about one thing I realize I know a lot less on setting lines than the bookies..you seem to think you do..

dawgfan

October 29th, 2010
1:28 pm

GTBob, of course nobody is talking about Georgia Tech football. Duh. That doesn’t stop bitter Techies coming on here under neutral names and spewing their hateful garbage. How dumb do you think I am? Its as clear as glass. Techies LOVE Georgia-Florida week. You can’t go 30 seconds in to an argument with a Tech fan before they bring up Georgia’s poor record against Florida. So I think a strong case can be made that half the UGA haters on here are Tech fans, bare minimum.

I seriously had no idea Tech had an off week. The amount of Tech media coverage seemed about the same to me.

Joker Phillips

October 29th, 2010
1:30 pm

Thanks to all of you favoring UK this weekend. BTW, do any of you know any defensive coordinators who need a job? They are fairly scarce in Lexington.

davidinloganville

October 29th, 2010
1:31 pm

Chris that don’t mean that you can text any threats to me or I will stomp a mud hole in you and walk it dry

Miss Cleo

October 29th, 2010
1:37 pm

I see Coach Urban Meyer in a dark, foreboding place. Him is surrounded by a negative aura, and me see karma creeping up on him. Him will not win da game against Georgia dis time. Me see numba 8 for Georgia run real fast. Georgia win 32-20. Tank you.

johnnyinsouthcarolina

October 29th, 2010
1:45 pm

Georgia vs Florida – Who cares? Both are weak and belong in the Big Yeast.