Georgia wins; Mizzou, Michigan State, Utah lose

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Yes, I’ve seen and written the numbers about Urban Meyer and what he has done with more than a week to prepare a team. But as many of you pointed out, those numbers tend to be pretty good when you’ve got better players than the team you’re facing after the open date. Georgia has better players at quarterback (Aaron Murray), wide receiver (A.J. Green), running back (Washaun Ealey) and the offensive line is way better. Great quarterbacks are defined by this game and Murray, the redshirt freshman  from Tampa, puts his stamp on his first Georgia-Florida game by leading the Bulldogs to a victory. Georgia 24, Florida 20.

2. Auburn at Ole Miss: Yes, it’s okay for Auburn to be a little nervous about this road trip because in each of the past three weeks No. 1 has gotten beat away from home. This won’t be a dominating performance by Auburn because the last two weeks against Arkansas and LSU have been pretty draining. In fact, I think it will be close because Houston Nutt, the Ole Miss coach, has a way of winning these kinds of games. I just don’t think the Rebels defense is playing well enough to slow down this Auburn offense. Auburn 31, Ole Miss 24.

3. Tennessee at South Carolina: Freshman running back Marcus Lattimore is returning to the lineup after sitting out the past six quarters with an injury. That is all you need to know because when Lattimore plays South Carolina is a pretty good team. South Carolina 35, Tennessee 10.

4. Kentucky at Mississippi State: We haven’t even gotten to Halloween but already Mississippi State is bowl eligible (6-2). The Bulldogs have figured out exactly who they are. They run the football with quarterback Chris Relf and running back Vick Ballard. They are so much better on defense with new coordinator Manny Diaz running the show. Kentucky just can’t stop anybody on defense. Mississippi State 31, Kentucky 20.

5. Miami at Virginia:  Okay, Hurricanes. It’s time to show us something. You got taken to the woodshed by Florida State on Oct. 9 at Miami. You took care of business last week at home against North Carolina. You are still very much in the ACC Coastal race as you  go to Georgia Tech on Nov. 13 and host Virginia Tech on Nov. 20. Saturday’s game against the Cavaliers is the kind where you usually slop it around on the road. Step up, U. Show us that you’re for real. Miami 35, Virginia 7.

6. Michgian State at Iowa: The Spartans, ranked No. 5 in the BCS, have visions of getting into the national championship mix at best and a strip to the Rose Bowl at worst. But Iowa is in a must-win situation after falling to Wisconsin last week. Sparty hasn’t won at Kinnick Stadium since 1989. Michigan State’s run comes to an end. Iowa 24, Michigan State 21.

7. Missouri at Nebraska: Missouri (7-0) knocked off No. 1 Oklahoma last week and is off to its best start in 50 years. But Nebraska has to win at home if the Cornhuskers want to get to the Big 12 championship game. Another undefeated team goes down. Nebraska 21, Missouri 17.

8. Utah at Air Force: Everybody in the country is talking about next week’s game when the No. 8 Utes (7-0) host No. 4 TCU (8-0). It says here that Utah is going to get caught looking ahead. Air Force, despite a 38-7 loss to TCU last week, still leads the nation in rushing (326.5 ypg). Air Force 24, Utah 23.

9. Oregon at Southern California: The Ducks looked absolutely unstoppable last week when they simply destroyed UCLA. This is USC’s bowl game because the Trojans are on probation. But this is not a vintage Southern California defense as it is No. 87 nationally, giving up over 400 yards a game. Monte Kiffin is one of the best defensive coordinators of this generation.  But he doesn’t have an answer for Oregon. Oregon 35, USC 20.

10.  Clemson at Boston College: What a difference a week makes. Last Saturday Clemson running back Andre Ellington shredded the Georgia Tech defense for two long touchdowns runs, part of 236 total rushing yards against the Yellow Jackets. On Saturday the Tigers face a Boston College defense that is giving up only 83 yards rushing per game and 2.6 per carry. The Eagles are ranked fourth nationally. Thanks to N.C. State’s win over Florida State last night, Clemson is back in the chase for the ACC Atlantic championship. Clemson has to take care of business on the road. Clemson 21, Boston College 17.

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Barnhart and Durham: We finish up the month of October with a jammed pack show. We have the Legendary Larry Munson. We have Brady Ackerman of the Florida radio network to give us an update on the Gators. We have Jerry Allen, the voice of the Oregon Ducks, who have a huge game with USC. We have John Morris, the voice of the No. 25 ranked Baylor Bears. We will have trivia with David Hubbard and will get another visit from the Bowl Guru. Please join us at 10 a.m. www.790thezone.com.

350 comments Add your comment

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
9:01 am

Gen Neyland—-By “Darth,” I assume you mean “Darth Visor.” Give the Devil his due, man, and show some respect. That’s Mr. Darth Visor to you.

5IML

October 29th, 2010
9:02 am

Atlanta Gator,

In spite of the teams’ records, it’s still the CBS game and folks nationwide will still watch.

Dan Mullen’s departure is a very big part of Florida’s current problems. From OC to HC in the SEC (regardless of the schools) seems like a promotion to me. I suspect BAMA will lose a couple of coaches before next season.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:03 am

Atlanta Gator

gotta admit. Mullen and Chizek have done as good a job the first two season’s as Saban. Couldn’t ask more from a coaching staff.

Reality

October 29th, 2010
9:03 am

I’m waiting for Georgia fans to start trying to figure out how they can get into the BCS championship.

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
9:03 am

Charlie Bama—-I thought Admiral Ackbar was a better pick for Ole Miss’ new mascot.

Rick

October 29th, 2010
9:04 am

Tony, I agree that the Dawgs are better at QB and WR, but when Demps is healthy (as he should be now), I’ll take him over Ealey anytime. Demps is much more versatile – and you can’t coach or prepare for the type of speed he has. It will be an interesting game, even though for the first time in a while it has no national significance.

5IML

October 29th, 2010
9:05 am

3rd,

I know this is the time when they usually collapse but, we need S. Car to hold it together and win-out.

Obviously, we also need Aub to win this weekend but, this is a dangerous game. Going into the season, I thought we’d beat Ark, UF, and S. Car then lose to Ole Miss.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:07 am

Radio personality in B’Ham picking Ole Miss in an upset. Can’t see it happening. This AU team is on a mission….just hope Bama’s jock straps are strong enough come Nov. 27.

4-G Dawg

October 29th, 2010
9:07 am

Why is no one talking about how much Cuff sucks at corner? Last week he got burned 4 times on the same play and all resulted in touchdowns. Is there no one they can put in to replace him? He should be benched. If I am not mistaken, he is also the player that got burned on the winning touchdown in the Ark game. We can win if we have a corner we can put in the game instead of Cuff, if we don’t Meyer will throw the ball to any receiver that Cuff is covering because it is a sure catch usually resulting in a TD and FL will win the game.

The rest of us

October 29th, 2010
9:09 am

Atlanta Gator

October 29th, 2010
8:34 am

I can’t remember the last time I was less excited about a Florida-Georgia game. Even thought the Gators are still in the running for the SEC East Division title, that just doesn’t seem to matter much. Thankfully, I am not the Gators head coach, and the guy who is knows that the future of a great program is made or lost in games like this one. The Gators should win this game on talent alone, but having suffered one blowout and two disappointingly close losses, it’s time for Urban Meyer to pull a “Gene Ellenson” and motivate these young Gators to rise from their pissing, moaning and feeling sorry for themselves and play for the future.

I do feel better for one reason, however. Every time Tony picks UGA or Tech in a competitive game, it turns out to be a forlorn hope. Go, Tony!

So, is this an attempt to less the blow if the Gators lose or showing that you are a true Gator fan that doesn’t think SEC Championships matter only BCS Championships?

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:10 am

51ML

agree re: USC. If they can make it to Atlanta, and assuming Bama does, it will help the SOS. It will also give Bama a chance to erase the pathetic performance of October 9.

Atlanta Gator 3IML

October 29th, 2010
9:10 am

5IML—-

Between Mullen and Chizik the Gator “alumni” are doing well for their new teams. Former Gator walk-on Chizik has silenced all doubters and made Auburn a legitimate SEC contended by rebuilding the Tigers’ traditional strength: defense. Former Gator coordinator Mullen has certainly exceeded expectations in second season at MSU.

The Gators are suffering from a variety of problems this year, including the loss of Mullen. But coaches come and go from great programs all the time; you just have to deal with it. The Gators are loaded with young talent on both sides of the ball, and it’s time for Meyer to rally the troops and start building the foundation for another run in 2011 and 2012.

GT Fan ...

October 29th, 2010
9:11 am

In case you folks haven’t figured it out yet, Tony B is a homer. He doesn’t need to ruffle the feathers to get people to read/react to his columns, so why pick against the locals only to have their diehard fans rip him a new arsehole?

TOs and special teams will certainly help GA vs. FL. They can still win if they don’t get last week’s UK TO/Special teams experience, but it will be tough solely b/c of UF’s track record in this one over the past couple of decades.

Also, the NCAA has all its financial eggs in the SEC basket, thus the BCS will make sure an SEC team is in the title game. They’ve already set the table by leapfrogin Auburn, and not dropping Alabama enough. Think about it:
Alabama gets its butt kicked, and barely drops. Boise State, TCU, and Utah keep winning and are getting jumped by a team that started the season ranked below them. What have BS,TCU,Utah done to say they are not just as good or better than preseason predictions? Now, should one of them SQUEAK out a last minute/OT win or, god forbid LOSE a game, how far will they drop?

5IML

October 29th, 2010
9:13 am

3rd,

I see Mullen as the SEC COY. He’s neck-and-neck with Chizik but folks will give Cam and Malzhan more credit for Aub’s success than Chizik.

Atlanta Gator 3IML

October 29th, 2010
9:13 am

“the rest of us”—-

In the immortal words of the Evil Genius, “we never get tired of winning SEC championships.”

Like I said, it’s time for some one in the Gators locker room to pull a “Gene Ellenson,” break a few chairs, restore the Gators’ wounded pride, and rally the troops.

Bama Fan #2

October 29th, 2010
9:15 am

GO DAWGS and EVERYBODY IN THE TOP TEN HAVE A ROTTEN WEEKEND
EXCEPT THE DUCKS. Can not pull for USC because of that brown stain of a head
coach!! RTR

404

October 29th, 2010
9:15 am

UGA vs Florida

Like watching the State of Georgia penal system
playing the State of Florida penal system.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:16 am

GT Fan….

don’t think you’ll find many arguments against your post. Nobody likes the system we’re dealing with….but the NCAA (they don’t make the polls) has nothing to do with it, and they certainly don’t have all of their financial eggs in the SEC basket. I’m not sure that I’ve even seen an NCCA egg.

Dane

October 29th, 2010
9:17 am

Tony –

Still not sold on Oregon. USC has a shot at this one i think. But as badly as I despise Pac-10 football, I by no means want to see a Boise or TCU at number 1.

5IML

October 29th, 2010
9:17 am

GT Fan,

Of course, CBS and ESPN want an SEC team to win but, the NCAA?

How far should BAMA have dropped?
What should Aub be ranked?

Please provide your rational for each answer.

Kenny Powers

October 29th, 2010
9:17 am

Ole Miss is going to wear those powered-blue helmets tomorrow

Atlanta Gator 3IML

October 29th, 2010
9:19 am

3rdn8 et al—–

Chizik and Mullen have both done a fabulous job this season, but Mullen has brought his troops further and faster, given the relative talent levels of the two teams. Notwithstanding Auburn’s recent problems, there was not a day in the past decade when the Tigers didn’t have twice the talent on paper that the Underdogs had on their roster.

BTW, I like that “Underdogs” nickname for the 2010 MSU Bulldogs. I think I will continue to use it as a measure of my new-found respect for the Starkville program.

Alphare

October 29th, 2010
9:19 am

Many potential upset games against the unbeaten:

Oregon-USC
BSU-Hawaii
Auburn-Ole Miss
Mich St-Iowa
Missouri-Nebraska
Utah-Air Force

The most likely are Missouri and Mich State to me.

jumbeauxtiger

October 29th, 2010
9:20 am

Atlanta Gator,

The last time that Florida and Georgia were both unranked going in to the WLOCP was 1979.

Jet

October 29th, 2010
9:21 am

@ GT Fan,

When you play in the best BCS conference in the nation and haven’t lost a regular season game in 2 years you are not going to drop very far in the polls. Hence why most SEC fans pull for their conference brethren when they play outside of the conference just for this very advantage, to get the benefit of the doubt from the voters. Bama has earned the right not to slip very far.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:21 am

51ML

think the COY is still up for grabs. The thing I like about Chizek’s chances is….oddly enough…his defense. AU has been behind early in several games this year. Their “D” is anything but great, but those guys keep playing. They’ve become “believers”. They believe that if they can keep it close, Newton will find a way to win. That type of team is hard to beat

Charlie

October 29th, 2010
9:22 am

ESPN wants the SEC to win? Hmm….you could have fooled me with just about every commentator on there insisting this is a horrible year for the SEC and they are no longer top dog. Not to mention their infatuation with Boise. Sorry, not seeing it.

johnny seed

October 29th, 2010
9:23 am

BOOM!!!

Right on Jet!!! That’s the post of the day. You explained it perfectly.

Tard Dawg

October 29th, 2010
9:24 am

I live in my Georgia bubble and believe the rest of the nation revolves around UGA football. I am unrealistic with how bad we are but if I chant “Hunker down” enough and bark, “WE” are sure to win.

jumbeauxtiger

October 29th, 2010
9:24 am

I would have to give the nod to Chizik right now and Mullen 2nd for COY.

There’s still some football left so that could change.

Red Fox

October 29th, 2010
9:25 am

“Georgia wins this game because of team work this team is playing like a will oiled machine . Defence will win it a close one.”

1) Nice spelling
2) UK outgained UGA by 130 yards and had nearly twice as many 1st downs. The Dawgs did force 4 turnovers.

I’ll take the Gaytors (+3) all day.

blazer

October 29th, 2010
9:25 am

3 wins in twenty years-the percentages are certainly in their favor!!

TallaDawg

October 29th, 2010
9:25 am

Atlanta Gator -

Maybe in the Gator world assault (threats of violence with reasonable capability to carry out the threat, which is what Rainey did under the specific classification of stalking) is not violence, but in most civilized societies assault is violence. Also, from the stories from Rainey’s recruitment and freshman year, he is not a “good kid.” Please, remove the ugly orange and blue glasses before commenting on an issue that really is beyond simple football.

go cubs

October 29th, 2010
9:25 am

dogs beat gators, then beat auburn idaho state and tech to finish at 7-4.
South Carolina loses to UT, Florida, and Arky.
Dawgs go to SEC Championship game and beat Alabama/Auburn winner.
Dawgs go to Sugar Bowl and beat whatever BCS competition they come up against.

The following summer, the cubs will go undefeated and win the world series.

Go dawgs.
Go cubs.
One in the same.

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:26 am

anything but an objective viewpoint…….

Sports Illustrated’s poll predictions mathces Bama and Oregon for the NC.

THAT would be one of the more interesting matchups that I could envision.

Oregon’s fastbreak offense would hamper Bama’s substitution pattern, but more importantly, limit their blitz packages. Bama’s best chance would be to control the ball, and keep Oregon’s offense on the sidelines.

Here’s hoping.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
9:26 am

Morning folks. All of the SEC contenders are certainly hoping Tony’s right this week. We need Mizzou and MSU out of the way. Ieteresting stat note from Bruce Feldman via Twitter:

Cam Newton is hitting 74% of his passes vs. the blitz & has an 8-0 TD-INT ratio. No blitz: he’s at 62% and 5-5

As many of us have said, putting pressure on him, especially off the edges, is the wrong way to attack him. He’s big and strong enough to escape, and then your defense is out of position when he takes off. Better to trap him in the pocket and wait for his mistakes. Send pressure straight up the middle if you’re sending it at all then contain the edges. Mainly, focus on keeping him in front of you and sound tackling (like a good RB) vs. trying to get a big hit in the backfield (like a classic QB).

5IML

October 29th, 2010
9:30 am

Charlie,

Because of the ESPN-SEC contract, SEC wins directly (financially) benefit ESPN in the form of increased viewership which leads to increased advertising revenue. I doubt the head hunchos at ESPN tell the commentators to favor the SEC but, some of the commentators can see the big picture.

how2fish

October 29th, 2010
9:31 am

Reality we are only trying to figure out how to beat the Gators…all that matters at this point in time,Beat the Gators…line up, kick off, hit somebody and Beat the Gators…don’t care who they play, what time, what city all that matters is Beat the Gators…

SadDawg

October 29th, 2010
9:32 am

If, and it’s a big if, Murray can pull out a win for UGA, he may turn this matchup with UF back into a real rivalry during the next 4 years.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
9:33 am

Oregon’s fastbreak offense would hamper Bama’s substitution pattern, but more importantly, limit their blitz packages. Bama’s best chance would be to control the ball, and keep Oregon’s offense on the sidelines.

We’ll be able to run on those guys if that were to happen. Also, give a good coaching staff a month to prepare and they’ll get the defensive players accustomed to the pace (see 2010 Rose Bowl vs. OSU, held to 17 pts.)

The Ghost of Wally Butts

October 29th, 2010
9:35 am

Are we going to wear our Grambling University uniforms in Jax this year?

If so, will Green charge extra on e-bay for his jersey since it’s a limited edition?

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:36 am

(pardon me for a brief discussion of SEC football)

I’ve followed Bama, AU, and SEC football for a long time. I never recall better coaching staffs , top to bottom, than the conference has this year. Every school (with the possible exception of Ole Miss and Vandy) has outstanding coaching/recruiting.

If this status continues, there will be wild swings in which teams are dominate.

dawgfan

October 29th, 2010
9:37 am

I don’t know what’s funnier, Florida’s offense or Gator fans trying to rationalize Chris Rainey’s behavior. I’m sure we’ve all texted death threats to some one at one point or another. He’s a “good kid” that just made a “dumb mistake.” What’s the big deal? Its not like he’s going to beat his wife one day or anything. Men who threaten women almost never turn out like that!!!

LOL @ the Gator Trash Nation. The karma simply isn’t good for you clowns. I hate it for ya.

Dawgs roll.

TJ

October 29th, 2010
9:37 am

Tony, you’re wrong about the Utah game. If you’ve watched Utah play the past few years, you would know that they don’t look past anyone. Coach Whittingham ALWAYS keeps them focused.

You also neglect to mention that Air Force has absolutely stunk ever since FB Jared Tew got injured. With Tew out, no one has to worry about the FB dive, so they can focus on stopping Tim Jefferson and Asher Clark.

The Utes win by two scores!!

DawginLex

October 29th, 2010
9:40 am

Auburn 49 ole Miss 28
Kentucky 28 Miss St 27
SC 31 UT 14
Iowa 24 MSU 23
Clemson 24 BC 10
Utah 34 AF 17
Miami 35 UVA 20
Oregon 47 SC 42
UGA 42 Florida 38

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:41 am

should be “dominant”

I’m so embarrassed.

BAMA dude

October 29th, 2010
9:41 am

The Utes win by two scores!!…TJ

So you’re saying they win by four to fourteen points?

ratherBgambling

October 29th, 2010
9:41 am

UF 31
Mutts 27

Book It!!!!!!!!!!!!!

3rdN8

October 29th, 2010
9:46 am

The last time Bama traveled to Baton Rouge, I got the feeling that the LSU fans were upset with Saban. Maybe I was overreacting, but that was my initial impression.

Turns out that Saban recommended Houston Nutt as his replacement when he left for the Dolphins. Can you imagine how upset the LSU fans would be if anyone had listened to that advice?

404

October 29th, 2010
9:48 am

UGA vs Florida

The team with the most players out on bail/work-release will win.

Most likely UGA.