Alabama can jump over Boise, but can it jump over Michigan State, Missouri?

Here are some of the BCS questions I’ve gotten since the new standings came out on Sunday. Included are my best answers after talking to a bunch of people smarter than me:

1. If No.1 Auburn and No. 2 Oregon win out, will they play in the BCS title game regardless of what everyone else does?  The answer appears to be yes. Oregon is a solid No. 1 in the human polls and that doesn’t figure to change as long as the Ducks keep winning and winning impressively. Oregon is No. 8 in the computer polls but its numbers should improve with games against USC, Cal, and Oregon State down the stretch. Auburn’s a lock to stay No. 1 in the BCS Standings as long as the Tigers win.  They are already No. 1 in the computers and that won’t change with a date looming against No. 7 Alabama on Nov. 26.

2. We have seven undefeated teams left. What are the odds that we will still have four or more when the season is over? It would say the odds are pretty long. First of all, two of the undefeated teams—TCU and Utah—face each other in Salt Lake on Nov. 6. Every team in the top eight has a meaningful road game or two where they could stumble. Here is the list:

1. AUBURN (8-0): at Ole Miss, Oct. 30; at Alabama, Nov. 26

2. OREGON (7-0): at USC, Oct. 30; at California, Nov. 13; at Oregon State, Dec. 4

3. BOISE STATE (6-0): at Nevada, Nov. 26

4. TCU (8-0):  at Utah, Nov. 6

5. MICHIGAN STATE (8-0): at Iowa, Oct. 30; at Penn State, Nov. 27

6. MISSOURI (7-0): at Nebraska, Oct. 30.; at Texas Tech, Nov. 6; at Iowa State, Nov. 20

7. ALABAMA (6-1): at LSU, Nov. 6.

8. UTAH (7-0): at Air Force, Oct. 30.

 

3. If we end the season with only two undefeated teams—Boise State and TCU—will they play for the BCS championship? I doubt it. It’s not impossible for two non-AQ’s (automatic qualifiers) to play for the national title but I have to believe that a one-loss team from one of the power conferences could slip in there and jump either TCU or Boise, especially if that team has played 13 games (instead of 12) and won its conference championship. For example: No. 7 Alabama has the perfect schedule to move up the rankings if a bunch of teams in front of them lose. The Crimson Tide plays No. 12 LSU, No. 21 Mississippi State, and No. 1 Auburn in the month of November. Should Alabama win all those games and then win the SEC championship to finish 12-1, I would expect Alabama to jump over an undefeated Boise or an undefeated TCU for a spot in the BCS title game.

4. So you’re saying that it’s possible that if No. 1 Auburn and No. 2 Oregon lose down the stretch, then either No. 3 Boise State or No. 4 TCU could get left out of the  BCS championship game even if they go undefeated? Won’t that make a lot of people mad and create a whole bunch of criticism for the BCS yet again? Won’t that bring about cries for Congressional investigations and speeches from politicians (in Idaho and Texas) about how awful the BCS is?

You betcha.

Won’t that FINALLY blow up the BCS?

Nope. Got three years left on the contract.

5. Okay, so a 12-1 Alabama can jump over an undefeated Boise or TCU. Could a 12-1 Alabama jump over an undefeated Michigan State or an undefeated Missouri into the BCS championship game?

Okay, now you’re getting greedy. The answer is probably not. According to Jerry Palm of collegebcs.com, a one-loss team from one of the six original BCS conferences has never jumped over an undefeated team from another BCS conference to play in the championship game. The SEC folks may argue that their one-loss team is more deserving, given the fact that their conference has won four straight national championships. But an undefeated Big Ten champion or an undefeated Big 12 champion is going to get an edge over a one-loss SEC champion when it comes down to the final human polls.

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652 comments Add your comment

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:23 pm

ChaneyJM

October 27th, 2010
2:18 pm
I would argue that Boise wad last years National Champion, and that Utah held that honor the year before.

Then you would be wrong. See, there’s this whole polling process that goes on. They take the best consensus they can from a whole bunch of people who know something about football and combine their rankings with some unbiased computers. They decide the champion.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:23 pm

“Auburn barely beat South Carolina by a touchdown and LSU wasn’t great anyway”

We beat them. Your team did not. If LSU was overrated then why were they ranked number 6?

Keep on making up excuses.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:24 pm

Ask yourself this question? Did LSU beat Tennessee? And all this talk will end in a couple of weeks. Cam Newton will be stopped

Silver Britches, Red Panties

October 27th, 2010
2:25 pm

Tony, do you think Our Beloved Dawgs have a shot at the Humanitarian Bowl?

I know Coach Richt would reach into his “bag of tricks” and come up with a nice color combination to match that blue field!

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:25 pm

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:21 pm
Auburn barely beat South Carolina by a touchdown and LSU wasn’t great anyway

No point arguing with the Aubies. They really think this is their year with Blinn College’s first ever Heisman candidate. When we take care of ‘em you’ll never see ‘em again.

Marv

October 27th, 2010
2:26 pm

GT would be any Alabama team as usual

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:27 pm

“Bama will win again this year and all you bum tiger fans can shut up until you guys beat a real team.”

So what you’re saying is Bama LOST to a team that wasn’t a REAL team? You guys are worse than we realized!

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:28 pm

“Ask yourself this question? Did LSU beat Tennessee? And all this talk will end in a couple of weeks. Cam Newton will be stopped”

Yes, LSU beat TN. Not sure what you were trying to prove with that one, Forrest Gump.

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:29 pm

Oops, somebody used the wrong style to match the wrong name. How unfortunate.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:29 pm

BAMA dude all Cam Newton does is run the ball, similar to a guy we stopped one year called Tim Tebow. He barely throws the ball and Bama recievers will eat up their secondary all day. Auburn’s day is coming

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:29 pm

“No point arguing with the Aubies. They really think this is their year with Blinn College’s first ever Heisman candidate. When we take care of ‘em you’ll never see ‘em again.”

Bama dud can’t read. If he could, he’d see just how dumb that comment was from his cousin.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:30 pm

“BAMA dude all Cam Newton does is run the ball, similar to a guy we stopped one year called Tim Tebow.”

Huh, I just checked his stats and he’s already passed for over 1300 yards. Try again, Forrest.

“He barely throws the ball and Bama recievers will eat up their secondary all day.’

You mean like they did against SC?

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:30 pm

“Cam Newton will be stopped”

The only way Cam will be stopped is when the clock runs out with a W beside Auburns name.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:31 pm

o what you’re saying is Bama LOST to a team that wasn’t a REAL team? You guys are worse than we realized

I never said South Carolina wasn’t a real team? I said Auburn barely beat south carolina. You tiger fans are dumb as hell

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:31 pm

“Oops, somebody used the wrong style to match the wrong name. How unfortunate.”

It must be a glitch on your library computer.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:33 pm

“Bama will win again this year and all you bum tiger fans can shut up until you guys beat a real team.”

So what you’re saying is Bama LOST to a team that wasn’t a REAL team whereas Auburn beat them.

And LSU not so good? Why? Because we BEAT them? That’s not what you bandwagons were saying the week before we played. You tauted all their stats, #6 defense in the nation and we were we going to get our clocks punched – particularly Newton! So what is it? Make up your minds people. LSU can’t be good one minute and then bad the next JUST because you’re making excuses. 8-0..

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:33 pm

“o what you’re saying is Bama LOST to a team that wasn’t a REAL team? ”

You ain’t smart, is ya.

“I said Auburn barely beat south carolina. You tiger fans are dumb as hell’

No, you said Auburn hasn’t beaten a real team, Forrest. Speaking of dumb as hell, you may want to try checking your facts before putting inserting your foot into your mouth.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:33 pm

Huh, I just checked his stats and he’s already passed for over 1300 yards. Try again, Forrest

1300 yards passing in 8 games? Dumbo that is bad! That is barely 150 yards passing a game.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:34 pm

Stink Risingn

Those two bama fans aren’t too bright. One says we haven’t played a real team, and another says Cam can’t throw.

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:34 pm

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:29 pm
BAMA dude all Cam Newton does is run the ball, similar to a guy we stopped one year called Tim Tebow. He barely throws the ball and Bama recievers will eat up their secondary all day. Auburn’s day is coming

He also makes dumb plays. Stand the linemen up, send pressure up the middle but not from the edges, and keep everybody in a zone so they can pursue when he runs. Don’t worry about a pass rush, he’ll throw possessions away if you let him. Nobody has employed this strategy against him that I’ve seen.

PC Easy

October 27th, 2010
2:34 pm

Get a hold of yourselves. Auburn is not that great. Bama Rules is right. Barely beat UK, OT against Clemson, and please LSU is not that great.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:35 pm

No, you said Auburn hasn’t beaten a real team, Forrest. Speaking of dumb as hell, you may want to try checking your facts before putting inserting your foot into your mouth.

How about I insert my foot up your a$$ after Bama beats Auburn and sends Cam back to the community college

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:35 pm

I can’t believe this idiot is really responding to posts twice. Certifiable insanity.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:36 pm

“1300 yards passing in 8 games? Dumbo that is bad! That is barely 150 yards passing a game.”

And yet we’re 8-0, Forrest.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:36 pm

There!!! Two posts at 2:33!!! Wow Common! We posted at the same time! Let’s keep it a secret. We wouldn’t want anyone to know how we performed THAT amazing trick!

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:36 pm

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:34 pm
Stink Risingn

Those two bama fans aren’t too bright. One says we haven’t played a real team, and another says Cam can’t throw.

Use Common Sense you idiot! Cam Newton has 1300 passing yards in 8 games. How is that good? Nick Saban will stop that wanna be heisman

MURPHY

October 27th, 2010
2:37 pm

This is almost comical. Auburn has a good team this year,Cam is a very good player. BUT-To be considered in the same class as Bama? Come on Common sense. You need to follow your blog name and let your common sense prevail. AU has one 8 games straight,isnt that 23 less than Bama has rolled off in two regular seasons?

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:37 pm

Look at the anger. Woah. Have you consulted someone about that? You could bust an artery in your brain. Careful about that Bama Rules.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:38 pm

“How about I insert my foot up your a$$ after Bama beats Auburn and sends Cam back to the community college”

Forrest, I’m not a fag like you are. If you want to insert objects into someones a$$, go over to Bama dudes house. I hear he likes things shoved up his butt.

Upset Alert!!!

October 27th, 2010
2:38 pm

OLE MISS OVER AUBURN!!!! You heard it here first

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:38 pm

“I can’t believe this idiot is really responding to posts twice. Certifiable insanity.”

I can’t believe the public library allows overweight welfare recipients to blog all day about Alabama football.

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:39 pm

Murphy, the troll is talking to itself. This is beyond crazy.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:39 pm

“How is that good? Nick Saban will stop that wanna be heisman”

8-0, troglodyte.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:40 pm

BAMA dude = Bama Rules

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:41 pm

No Common..I’ve thought they were missing a few but now they’ve proven it. Yes, DUDE..BAMA absolutely SAID when Auburn plays a REAL team. I simply repeated what you said. And by that what you were saying is South Carolina wasn’t a REAL team then? And yet YOU lost to them and Auburn BEAT them.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:41 pm

Auburn hasn’t won anything, we will shut you guys up the friday after thanksgiving, beavis and butthead don’t know football

MURPHY

October 27th, 2010
2:41 pm

Common sense,

Sorry may math is terrible. Disregard that

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:41 pm

Stink Risingn

Bama fans have absolutely nothing to live for other than knocking up their sisters, shaving their back hair and maintaining their meth labs.

MURPHY

October 27th, 2010
2:42 pm

spelling also

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:42 pm

“AU has one 8 games straight,isnt that 23 less than Bama has rolled off in two regular seasons?”

What in the hell does last season have to do with this one?

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:43 pm

Bama Dude…check 2:33 post…you WISH it was your favorite friend talking to himself. It just makes you ill that there are TWO great minds calling out the jealousy and delusions in Double Wide Nation. YOU are the Troll because you refuse to see the SUPERIORITY of the mighty Aubie! Go away Troll!

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:43 pm

Common sense prevails and Stink Risingn are transvestite lovers Bama dude. You can’t break up love like that

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:44 pm

Bama Dude and Bama Rules are two brothers still getting it from their mama!

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:44 pm

“Auburn hasn’t won anything, we will shut you guys up the friday after thanksgiving, beavis and butthead don’t know football”

Never said Auburn did win anything, Forrest. Also, if you think you’re going to just shut Auburn down then you are completely retarded. Gus Malzahn had a mediocre team last year and he shut your hillbilly team down for 4 quarters.

Also, if you think that Malzahn is only going to use Cam Newton to score against Bama then you really are dumber than you write.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:45 pm

26-21!!!!! Roll Tide

Roll Tide, Roll!!!!

October 27th, 2010
2:45 pm

All yous idiots on hear talking about Aburn like they the best are stupid. They aint done jack to desurve that much praise. Why dont yall weight and see how they be gainst a real team like mine.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:45 pm

“Common sense prevails and Stink Risingn are transvestite lovers Bama dude. You can’t break up love like that’

Bama rules is an inbred welfare baby mama who lives off the government and has pictures of Obama on the wall of her double wide.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:46 pm

Gus Malzahn had a mediocre team last year and he shut your hillbilly team down for 4 quarters.

Use Common Sense 26-21!!!

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:46 pm

“26-21!!!!! Roll Tide’

SIX STRAIGHT YEARS OF BEATING BAMA. WAR EAGLE!!!!!!!!

MURPHY

October 27th, 2010
2:46 pm

Im outta here.Good luck Bama Dude-Man its gonna be crazy next week on here if UGA destroys UF-Thats a big if though. It will be a 3 way circus with Bama fans and Dawgs fans getting on the Aubarn crazies.