Alabama can jump over Boise, but can it jump over Michigan State, Missouri?

Here are some of the BCS questions I’ve gotten since the new standings came out on Sunday. Included are my best answers after talking to a bunch of people smarter than me:

1. If No.1 Auburn and No. 2 Oregon win out, will they play in the BCS title game regardless of what everyone else does?  The answer appears to be yes. Oregon is a solid No. 1 in the human polls and that doesn’t figure to change as long as the Ducks keep winning and winning impressively. Oregon is No. 8 in the computer polls but its numbers should improve with games against USC, Cal, and Oregon State down the stretch. Auburn’s a lock to stay No. 1 in the BCS Standings as long as the Tigers win.  They are already No. 1 in the computers and that won’t change with a date looming against No. 7 Alabama on Nov. 26.

2. We have seven undefeated teams left. What are the odds that we will still have four or more when the season is over? It would say the odds are pretty long. First of all, two of the undefeated teams—TCU and Utah—face each other in Salt Lake on Nov. 6. Every team in the top eight has a meaningful road game or two where they could stumble. Here is the list:

1. AUBURN (8-0): at Ole Miss, Oct. 30; at Alabama, Nov. 26

2. OREGON (7-0): at USC, Oct. 30; at California, Nov. 13; at Oregon State, Dec. 4

3. BOISE STATE (6-0): at Nevada, Nov. 26

4. TCU (8-0):  at Utah, Nov. 6

5. MICHIGAN STATE (8-0): at Iowa, Oct. 30; at Penn State, Nov. 27

6. MISSOURI (7-0): at Nebraska, Oct. 30.; at Texas Tech, Nov. 6; at Iowa State, Nov. 20

7. ALABAMA (6-1): at LSU, Nov. 6.

8. UTAH (7-0): at Air Force, Oct. 30.

 

3. If we end the season with only two undefeated teams—Boise State and TCU—will they play for the BCS championship? I doubt it. It’s not impossible for two non-AQ’s (automatic qualifiers) to play for the national title but I have to believe that a one-loss team from one of the power conferences could slip in there and jump either TCU or Boise, especially if that team has played 13 games (instead of 12) and won its conference championship. For example: No. 7 Alabama has the perfect schedule to move up the rankings if a bunch of teams in front of them lose. The Crimson Tide plays No. 12 LSU, No. 21 Mississippi State, and No. 1 Auburn in the month of November. Should Alabama win all those games and then win the SEC championship to finish 12-1, I would expect Alabama to jump over an undefeated Boise or an undefeated TCU for a spot in the BCS title game.

4. So you’re saying that it’s possible that if No. 1 Auburn and No. 2 Oregon lose down the stretch, then either No. 3 Boise State or No. 4 TCU could get left out of the  BCS championship game even if they go undefeated? Won’t that make a lot of people mad and create a whole bunch of criticism for the BCS yet again? Won’t that bring about cries for Congressional investigations and speeches from politicians (in Idaho and Texas) about how awful the BCS is?

You betcha.

Won’t that FINALLY blow up the BCS?

Nope. Got three years left on the contract.

5. Okay, so a 12-1 Alabama can jump over an undefeated Boise or TCU. Could a 12-1 Alabama jump over an undefeated Michigan State or an undefeated Missouri into the BCS championship game?

Okay, now you’re getting greedy. The answer is probably not. According to Jerry Palm of collegebcs.com, a one-loss team from one of the six original BCS conferences has never jumped over an undefeated team from another BCS conference to play in the championship game. The SEC folks may argue that their one-loss team is more deserving, given the fact that their conference has won four straight national championships. But an undefeated Big Ten champion or an undefeated Big 12 champion is going to get an edge over a one-loss SEC champion when it comes down to the final human polls.

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652 comments Add your comment

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:47 pm

“Use Common Sense 26-21!!!”

Forrest, are you really that st…st….st…stupid?????? Auburn controlled all four quarters up until the last .52 seconds of the game. Dumb a$$.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:47 pm

Common
What about their Grandma? She no longer has her teeth and stays on her knees at their feet!

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:48 pm

Common sense prevails and Stink Risingn the transvestite lovers never stop calling names. You two make a beautiful couple! couple of dumba$$es

Alphare

October 27th, 2010
2:49 pm

BAMA & Auburn fans,

be careful who you are blogging with, the other side may be your brother. Some families have children in both schools.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
2:49 pm

Forrest, are you really that st…st….st…stupid?????? Auburn controlled all four quarters up until the last .52 seconds of the game. Dumb a$$.

Final Score 26-21!!! Roll Tide

Roll Tide, Roll!!!!

October 27th, 2010
2:49 pm

why dont yall try and talk to me like that you dorks. I aint gonna take it.

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:49 pm

Later Murph. Maybe one of these days Tony will wise up and give this knucklehead an IP adress ban.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:50 pm

SIX STRAIGHT YEARS OF BEATING BAMA. WAR EAGLE!!!!!!!!

And we’re about to make it TWO more! Newton Heisman 2010, 2011!!

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
2:50 pm

Alphare, the two Aubies are one sad soul.

Roll Tide, Roll!!!!

October 27th, 2010
2:50 pm

Alphare,

whats wrong with keeping it in the family? Are you some yankee snob that thinks your sh*t smells like roses or sumthing???

GTBob

October 27th, 2010
2:50 pm

Ok buzz. How about more recently then. Auburn could only beat Kentucky by 3. A team that Florida, and UGA blew out and even Ole Miss beat by 7. Are those teams better then Auburn? Should we keep Auburn out of the championship because of that? Of course not. And saying that Boise should have put up 60 on La Tech is a little over the top. Even Auburn could only put up 37 on them last year. Not everyone can score like Oregon.

Wow

October 27th, 2010
2:51 pm

I thought Georgia and Bama fans were low class but Auburn has some low-down trailer park trash redneck fans. Just sad

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:51 pm

“Common sense prevails and Stink Risingn the transvestite lovers never stop calling names. You two make a beautiful couple! couple of dumba$$es’

You may be the dumbest person ever to grace this blog. First, you claim that I am calling you names and THEN you call me a name!!!!! Priceless, Forest.

Go sell stupid somewhere else.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:51 pm

Bama Dude…can’t handle the sling, huh, but ya been dishing. You only like it one way dude! Bye Double Wide Nation…don’t let the air fizz out of your tires on the way out!

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:52 pm

“thought Georgia and Bama fans were low class but Auburn has some low-down trailer park trash redneck fans. Just sad”

Looks like Bama rules has taken up a new blog handle.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:53 pm

BAMA dude

You have the IQ of a carrot.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:54 pm

Common!! We did it AGAIN!!! How do we make two different posts at the same time if we are the SAME person? Don’t be upset Bama…there are PLENTY of Bama pokes to be shared by all. Maybe I’ll get some of my OTHER Aubie’s on here and then 8 or 10 of us Trolls can be the same one talking to Sybil!

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
2:56 pm

Stink Risingn

Because we are faster than the two bama troglodytes.

the deal

October 27th, 2010
2:57 pm

GTBob,

So are you saying Boise has the greatest coaching staff in college football history? You do realize this is what you are essentially implying, right? Since Boise doesn’t even show up on any recruiting outlets rankings, are we to assume that the Boise coaches are the best in the world? What about the weirdo that was coaching at Boise and then left for Colorado? He was having undefeated and one loss seasons as well at Boise. Did he get stupid when he arrived at Colorado or did the competition, week in and week out, drastically change??

Roll Tide, Roll!!!!

October 27th, 2010
2:57 pm

Bama dude is probeberly a doctor. he aint stupid. he be the smarterest person on hear!!!!

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:58 pm

Common…and on that note I bow to you. I’ll be lurking the rest of the day but unable to post. “I’ll be back”. In the meantime, I bid the Double Wide Nation adieu for a few hours.

Rick

October 27th, 2010
2:59 pm

With no real dog in the fight here, even though I sort of do think of Auburn as our cousin, I have to say Bama has by far the worst fans in the conference. And that’s saying something since that obviously includes UF, LSU and UT.

Stink Risingn

October 27th, 2010
2:59 pm

Because we are faster than the two bama troglodytes.

^5

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:00 pm

Stink Risingn

Alright, I’ll be here checking to see what else the Bama morons will write next.

Rick

October 27th, 2010
3:01 pm

Bingo ‘the deal!!!!!!” No one ever brings up anything you just mentioned on tv. Probably because it makes too much sense and they don’t want to diminish the myth of Boise they are creating.

Wow

October 27th, 2010
3:03 pm

Common Sense needs some spelling classes, and grammar also

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:04 pm

“Common Sense needs some spelling classes, and grammar also”

What did I misspell, Forrest?

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:06 pm

Did you kiss you boyfriend before he left common sense, 26-21!!!! Fig Newton will be stopped

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:08 pm

Defending National Champs will show your team how to play, just like florida got a beat down, the tigers will lose

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
3:08 pm

Well, I went through the process to report a few of the personal attacks. Probably won’t do any good, but maybe they’ll look at them. Hopefully it’s enough to warrant a ban.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:10 pm

BAMA dude the Auburn fans don’t have any respect for the defending national champs but they can get a beatdown just like the gators

5IML

October 27th, 2010
3:10 pm

Jumbeaux,

What is the mood in Baton Rouge heading into the BAMA game next week? Also, what does LSU do during the bye week?

During the bye week, BAMA is working on individual fundamentals (e.g. footwork for O-lineman, form talking for D-backs) this week–our bye week. Next week will be a normal game week as far a practice and team preparation are concerned.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:11 pm

“Well, I went through the process to report a few of the personal attacks. Probably won’t do any good, but maybe they’ll look at them. Hopefully it’s enough to warrant a ban.”

Did you include the ones your cousin wrote to me another poster?

PC Easy

October 27th, 2010
3:11 pm

Common Sense prevails:

Wow you really live in history don’t you? Only claim to fame for Auburn is that you beat us 6 times in a row. Do you have anything better that you can present to us?

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:12 pm

“BAMA dude the Auburn fans don’t have any respect for the defending national champs but they can get a beatdown just like the gators”

Forrest, you barely beat us by 5 points last year. HARDLY a beat down. Then again, you’re not good with math.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:12 pm

“nly claim to fame for Auburn is that you beat us 6 times in a row.”

IF you had half a brain, you’d have known that I only brought it up because a certain bama tard brought up last year.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:13 pm

BAMA dude

I also sent a few complaints about you and your alternative name.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:14 pm

Hey Common Dud where is all the smack talk now, to be the champ you gotta beat the champs and you haven’t beat us this year loser

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
3:14 pm

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:10 pm
BAMA dude the Auburn fans don’t have any respect for the defending national champs but they can get a beatdown just like the gators

You mean like 36-0, after which they all became Ute fans?

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:15 pm

“Hey Common Dud where is all the smack talk now, to be the champ you gotta beat the champs and you haven’t beat us this year loser”

Speaking of losers, how’s that one loss holding up, Forrest?

BAMA dude

October 27th, 2010
3:15 pm

What’s happening, 5IML?

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:15 pm

I also sent a few complaints about you and your alternative name

Shows how much common sense you really have

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:16 pm

“You mean like 36-0, after which they all became Ute fans?”

Florida also took your clowns to your outhouse for a beat down.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:16 pm

“Shows how much common sense you really have”

Comeback fail, troglodyte.

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:17 pm

“you haven’t beat us this year loser”

HAHAHAHAHAAHAHAH!!!!!! You really are retarded. WE HAVE YET TO PLAY, FORREST!!!!!!!

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:17 pm

Speaking of losers, how’s that one loss holding up, Forrest?

To be SEC Champs and the National Champs goes through Bama, and Auburn will lose because the game is not in auburn

JL

October 27th, 2010
3:18 pm

This is so stupid. Can Alabama jump these teams? YES! Why not?! Auburn jumped from 12 to 5 to 1. It’s subjective to a large extent. If Alabama wins out, they jump.

Bama graduates more KKK members than any other school

October 27th, 2010
3:18 pm

Just sayin……

George Wallace and Bull Connor were fans of Bama.

Bama Rules

October 27th, 2010
3:18 pm

Hey Bama Dude,

When is the last time we actually lost a game at home?

Common sense prevails

October 27th, 2010
3:19 pm

“To be SEC Champs and the National Champs goes through Bama, and Auburn will lose because the game is not in auburn”

No, actually it goes through whoever is left undefeated. There is no way a one loss Bama team jumps 6 unbeaten teams.