Georgia can beat Gators, lose to Auburn, and still win SEC East

 I  put this list together yesterday as sort of a sanity check of what could happen in the whacky SEC East as we move into the stretch drive. It doesn’t include every scenario, such as Kentucky winning its last three conference games with Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, and Tennessee to finish 4-4. If that happens, I will gladly stand corrected.

Here are SOME possibilities, not all, of what could happen to determine a champion in the SEC East race.  The most fascinating one is that if Georgia beats Florida, the Bulldogs could still lose to Auburn and go to the SEC championship game in Atlanta. In that respect, the game in Jacksonville is huge to both teams.

Have fun.

First, the teams:

SOUTH CAROLINA (3-2 SEC)

Wins: Georgia, Alabama, Vanderbilt

Losses: Auburn, Kentucky

Games left: vs. Tennessee (Saturday), vs. Arkansas (Nov. 6), at Florida (Nov. 13)

 

FLORIDA (2-3)

Wins: Tennessee, Kentucky

Losses: Alabama, LSU, Miss. State

Games left: Georgia (Jacksonville, Saturday), at Vanderbilt (Nov. 6), vs. South Carolina Nov. 13.

 

GEORGIA (3-3)

Wins: Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Kentucky

Losses: South Carolina, Arkansas, Miss. State

Games left: Florida (Jacksonville, Saturday), at Auburn (Nov. 13).

 

THE SCENARIOS

1. South Carolina controls its own destiny. If the Gamecocks beat Tennessee, Arkansas, and Florida they win the SEC East at 6-2.

2. Florida controls its own destiny. If the Gators beat Georgia, Vanderbilt and South Carolina they will be 5-3 in the conference. Florida would win the tiebreaker with South Carolina if both are 5-3 and Georgia would be 4-4 at best.

3. Georgia doesn’t control its destiny because it lost to South Carolina on Sept. 11. But if it beats Florida and Auburn, and South Carolina loses two of its last three conference games, Georgia will win the Division. Georgia will be 5-3 while South Carolina and Florida will be 4-4 at best.

4. If Georgia beats Florida and South Carolina loses two of its last three conference games, Georgia will win the division whether or not it beats Auburn on Nov. 13. Here’s how:

If Georgia beats Florida but loses to Auburn, Georgia will be 4-4 in the SEC but 4-1 in the Eastern Division (loss to South Carolina).

If Florida loses to Georgia but beats Vanderbilt and South Carolina, it will be 4-4 in the conference but also 4-1 in the Division (Loss to Georgia).

If South Carolina drops two of its last three conference games and one of those losses is to Florida it will be 4-4 in the conference but no better than 3-2 in the division (Losses to Kentucky and Florida).

South Carolina is thus eliminated from the three-way tie at 4-4. Georgia wins the division on the head to head win over Florida.

 That should keep us all busy for a while.

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649 comments Add your comment

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:21 am

“I hope UGA shows the nation that we have battled back into a force in the SEC.”

The nation does not care about UGA. It only cares about the mighty CAMERON!!!!!!!

Mike Hunt

October 26th, 2010
10:21 am

Georgia fans should NOT even worry about the East at this point. Just be concerned with Florida this weekend.

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:22 am

“Wouldn’t it be kinda embarrassing for the SEC championship to have a 5 loss unranked team play? ”

No, it would be embarrassing for UGAY if they are the team to make it. After Auburn/Alabama destoys UGAY, they would have 6 losses and would be returning to a Shreveport type of bowl….again.

WOOF WOOF

BAMA dude

October 26th, 2010
10:22 am

Well, “Reality” is the chosen name of the resident Aubie blog hijacker today. I shall ignore him as he responds to every single post on the page. The conversation will prove more enjoyable for all if everyone follows suit.

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:23 am

“Gaytors suck! Tebow is gone! Urban is exposed! ”

UF has a better record than UGAY.

Tebow is in the pros.

Urban has TWO national championships. Two more than UGAY.

Signs say UGAY sucks.

killcasualfan

October 26th, 2010
10:24 am

SadDawg – Does that make North Dakota State the ACC Champs?

North Dakota has not played an ACC team this season.

Again, Could Colorado win the SEC least?
And who can get me tickets to the Phil Fulmer Fried Catfish Eating Contest that replaced the SEC championship?

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:24 am

“Well, “Reality” is the chosen name of the resident Aubie blog hijacker today. I shall ignore him as he responds to every single post on the page. ”

Bama Turd is just angry that Bama has taken a backseat to Auburn.

Also, if one is to ignore another person………..then don’t keep relying to the person you are claiming to ignore.

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:25 am

“Again, Could Colorado win the SEC least?”

Yes, the full power of the SEC is now in the West. The west currently has 5 ranked teams out of 6. The east……….one.

BLAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

BAMA dude

October 26th, 2010
10:26 am

killcasualfan

October 26th, 2010
10:24 am
SadDawg – Does that make North Dakota State the ACC Champs?

North Dakota has not played an ACC team this season.

North Dakota State beat the team that beat Georgia Tech.

Mobile Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:26 am

This game is about one thing and one thing only. UGA getting a little of it’s self esteem back. Regardless of who wins the East, it’s meaningless. If we beat UF we can feel a little bit better about ourself and maybe about our future.

As records go this year is a wash, let’s just be realistic and call it what it is. I put the kool aid down in 2007 when we got our rear ends handed to us in Knoxville because our coaching staff can’t “mentally” prepare a team to play. They haven’t shown me they can since.

I had some gator tail on Saturday prepping for the game. I would love to see the Dawgs continue their roll of late, the Gators however down they may seem “are still the Gators”. They won’t play dead like UT and Vandy.

Frankly speaking

October 26th, 2010
10:27 am

Moonpie, Jim Jones’s minions killed over 900 people by making them drink cyanide-laced kool-aid.Most of them had guns aimed at their heads to make them drink! I think we use this tradgedy, way to often!

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:27 am

“North Dakota State beat the team that beat Georgia Tech.”

Is that like Bama dude dating the donkey of the donkey that dated his dad?

BAMA dude

October 26th, 2010
10:28 am

I think we use this tradgedy, way to often!

Realy? U think so? I’m not to sure.

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:30 am

“This game is about one thing and one thing only. UGA getting a little of it’s self esteem back. ”

Staying out of jail is one way to get your esteem back.

Dawgs > UF@gs

October 26th, 2010
10:31 am

“UF has a better record than UGAY.” Not after this weekend!

“Tebow is in the pros.” And what has he done? NOTHING! Talk to me when you have some Super Bowl MVPs!

“Urban has TWO national championships. Two more than UGAY.” Correction – Tebow has two MNCs. That had nothing to do with Urban which is apparent on his “success” without him based on the talent he has.

“Signs say UGAY sucks.” We’ve won three in a row and have put up over 120 points in that span and you’re on a three game losing streak AND coming off a loss to MSU at the DREADED swamp during HOMECOMING! OUCH! That must’ve been a memorable homecoming!

Mobile Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:32 am

Moonpie, read my last post. This staff hasn’t been able to prepare a football team to mentally play in a big game since dinosaurs roamed the earth. Someone has obviously slipped some kool aid to you without your knowledge.

This game is “meaningless” except for bragging rights and talking smack. The East is irrelevant this year. Realistically we may end up 6-6, WOW. Sip some kool aid on that record and it’s still terrible. How far do we slide before we make the needed changes McGarity?

Roll Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:32 am

Georgia’s winning the SEC East—bank on it! They will blowout florida this saturday in an easy win. South Carolina will choke as usual and lose 2 out of 3 to florida, tennessee and arkansas. The Dawgs are going to the SEC title game—look for a rematch with Auburn, where the Dawgs will pull the upset in Atlanta, with 80% of the fans!!! Dawgs to the BCS baby!!!!!!

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:34 am

GTBob,

What would be embarassing is that 5 loss SEC team win the Conference Championship.

Mobile Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:34 am

Reality, don’t you know that you get brain damage chasing cars. What does a smart guy like you do when you catch one?

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:35 am

“Correction – Tebow has two MNCs. That had nothing to do with Urban which is apparent on his “success” without him based on the talent he has.”

Uh huh, so what you’re saying is the head coach, the guy who controls everything about the football team, had nothing to do with winning. Oh, and Tebow didn’t play the whole game in 2006, Leak did.

“Not after this weekend!”

I bet you said the same thing when you went to Colorado.

“Talk to me when you have some Super Bowl MVPs!”

I had no idea UGAY was a pro football team. Last time I checked, PITT had the SB MVP.

“We’ve won three in a row and have put up over 120 points in that span”

Against the worst teams in the SEC. Your team has yet to beat a ranked team. In fact, you have lost to every ranked opponent you’ve played.

“That must’ve been a memorable homecoming!”

That same team that beat FL beat UGAY by many more points.

Gators Roll Again!

October 26th, 2010
10:35 am

dawg fans should be scared about Saturday…all of this big talk because you beat Kentucky, Tennessee, and Vandy? Truth is if you dont beat the Gators in a down year, when will you ever win again?

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:36 am

“The Dawgs are going to the SEC title game—look for a rematch with Auburn, where the Dawgs will pull the upset in Atlanta, with 80% of the fans!!! ”

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAAHAHAHAH

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:36 am

“Reality, don’t you know that you get brain damage chasing cars. ”

I’m not a dumb dawg, dawg fan.

BAMA dude

October 26th, 2010
10:37 am

Roll Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:32 am
Georgia’s winning the SEC East—bank on it! They will blowout florida this saturday in an easy win.

No way this game is a blowout. UGA could very well win it, but no way they blow them out. UF will be hungry for this one. Should be a good game and some entertainment for Bama fans as well since the Tide rests and gets ready to handle business in Baton Rouge next week. I really don’t care who wins it, just want to see good football.

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:37 am

Bama has taken a back seat to Auburn? Bahhhhhhhhhh!

That’s only because the Auburn guy is the chaueffer

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:37 am

Gators Roll Again!

Dawg fans know they won’t win the SEC east and may not go to a bowl game this year.

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:38 am

“That’s only because the Auburn guy is the chaueffer”

Jealous much, moon?

GeneralNeyland96

October 26th, 2010
10:38 am

OK Posters…well, the regular, more interesting ones anyway…Sign your posts today with where you ACTUALLY graduated from and when.

Tennessee 94 & 96

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:39 am

BAMA dude

Is Bama off this weekend?

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:39 am

Hard to jealous of a one hit wonder.(Aubarn)

Dawgs73

October 26th, 2010
10:39 am

Tony, I believe a little of your blind UGA loyalty is showing but it’s commendable nonetheless. UGA will not be in the SEC championship this year or any time in the near future as long as we keep this mediocre staff in place (with Todd Grantham being the lone exception). The coaching staff’s lack of player evaluation, discipline, and development are the reason year in and year out we under achieve. It’s too little too late for this year’s team but we have been in this “defending Mark Richt mode” for the past four years (and it will continue until people wake up and stop apologizing for this under performing product/style of football).

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:40 am

“Hard to jealous of a one hit wonder.(Aubarn)”

1980 was a long time ago, moony.

killcasualfan

October 26th, 2010
10:40 am

SadDawg – Does that make North Dakota State the ACC Champs? North Dakota State beat the team that beat Georgia Tech.

You must be dizzy from dreaming about all of the fried catfish you will be eating at Phil Fulmers eating contest that’s replaced the SEC championship.

Colorado beat Georgia who may win the SEC Least. Thus it’s reasonable to ask whether Colorado could win the SEC Least.

There is no logical analogy between that and North Dakota State beating the team that beat GT since you are connecting to many dots and regardless, GT is not in contention for the ACC championship

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:41 am

Moonpie

UGAY’s last Heisman winner came in 1980. Auburn had one in 1983. Auburn will have another one in a few months.

Auburn Guy

October 26th, 2010
10:42 am

I am here to represent the voice of sanity and reason for Auburn football. We are really enjoying Auburn’s success right now but we know how fragile that can be. So, for all of you other bloggers out there, please know that Mr. Reality ( the same guy who has been a terror on this blog page under different names ) does not represent us as a whole. In fact we are out there right now with nets trying to subdue him and put him in a safe place where he will be no danger to himself or others. In fact, his form of rabies may be curable with a BC and a cup of hot milk. War Eagle, and let’s enjoy the ride while it lasts.

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:43 am

And when was AU’s last National Championship? Cam”Lap top” Newton hasnt won anything yet?

Reese

October 26th, 2010
10:43 am

Sure we noticed it. Why do you think I spelled it correctly? Nerd fans aren’t the sharpest tools in the shed, but still tools nonetheless.

Mobile Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:43 am

Why would any sane Dawg fan be worried about Saturday, we’re 4-4 and have nothing to lose except a HC. We win either way, how bout that. Go Dawgs. And one more thing Gators, remember we’re used to losing according to you guys so it won’t hurt us nearly as bad as it will you.

Reality, your not a fan of anything except ignorance that I can see. If you can’t contribute something worthy just go chase some more cars.

JB

October 26th, 2010
10:44 am

ONE MORE TIME for all who DON’T READ or STAY INFORMED… The Bowl game in SHREVEPORT is NOW tied by contract to the ACC and the Mountain West Conference or something like that. THE SEC will not be able to send a team there. IF anyone you know is going, it might be GEORGIA TECH !…….

Reality

October 26th, 2010
10:44 am

Auburn Guy

How do you know that I am an Auburn fan?

Mark

October 26th, 2010
10:44 am

Whipee. What a joke you even talk about a 5 loss team playing in a conf champ. What a pathetic joke the sec east is.

Moot

October 26th, 2010
10:44 am

Fla 31
Ga 13

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:44 am

Auburn guy,

With out a doubt we all know this. Just fun to pick at him.

Frankly speaking

October 26th, 2010
10:46 am

Angelina,get your facts straight,the thing that drove Vince out of the race for Senate,was when the woman came to his hotel room door, and he realised how dirty the politics were at the time. He resigned from the race a few days later! I think the Key word is the AD… WAS the drunk debaucherer. Besides,the NEW AD is from your beloved UFraud..U.

Dirty Dawg

October 26th, 2010
10:46 am

Here;s one UGA fan that’s just thankful that we’ve turned this mess around – regardless of who we’ve played. To the point that I like our chances against anybody left on the schedule. Sure UF will have had an extra week to get ready, but that can be overcome…and Tech has shown that they’re ordinary – we can beat ordinary. As for Auburn, it kinda reminds you of the British Navy’s (sorry Derek but you started this) view of the Bismark…and we know what happened back then. Mr. Newton -who’s one purchase of a stolen lap-top away from being the starting QB for UF this weekend – needs to get his rudder busted and we’ll see how that game will turn out. Not that we have anybody that can hurt him, but then that’s why they play the games.

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:46 am

Auburn guy,

Sounds more like a disgruntled TECHIE to me,but if you want to claim him go ahead

BAMA dude

October 26th, 2010
10:46 am

Moonpie

October 26th, 2010
10:44 am
Auburn guy,

With out a doubt we all know this. Just fun to pick at him.

Except that just serves to fill the blog with nonsense because he tries to “one up” every jab with sophomoric humor. I made the mistake of contributing yesterday. Won’t happen again.

JB

October 26th, 2010
10:47 am

Ya’ll don’t think Meyer will cry Saturday…….Man, I hate watching that…..And Timmy won’t be there……………..I love the whistle he wears during the game……I know he’s serious……

RC Cola

October 26th, 2010
10:47 am

Anyone who thinks UGA will win the SEC east is smoking some bad weed. Sure, you guys have beaten three teams in a row, but who hasn’t beaten Vandy, TN and KY?

Fl 32
UGA 21

Greg

October 26th, 2010
10:48 am

Dream on Tony. Funny thing is the most likely scenario is for Ken to win out and go.