Dawgs, Jackets win; Wisconsin upsets No. 1 Ohio State

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. Arkansas at Auburn: This game features the two hottest quarterbacks in the SEC in Ryan Mallett of Arkansas and Cameron Newton of Auburn. I’m giving the edge to Auburn at home and because the Tigers will be able to run the ball with Newton and Michael Dyer and limit Mallett’s posssessions.  Auburn will also play a little more defense with Nick Fairley up front. Auburn 27, Arkansas 21.

2. Vanderbilt at Georgia: The Bulldogs finally showed some signs of life last week in beating Tennessee 41-14 and should be able to take care of a Vanderbilt team  that is still having some issues on offense (11th in the SEC in scoring) when running back Warren Norman does not have a big game.  UGA VIII starts with a win. Georgia 28, Vanderbilt 10.

3. Middle Tennessee State at Georgia Tech: The Yellow Jackets take a break from conference action to play the Blue Raiders of Rick Stockstill. MTSU will be playing its second game with quarterback Dwight Dasher, who sat out the first four games of the season on suspension. Dasher is a good athlete but Tech rolls and starts getting ready for next week’s big trip to Clemson. Georgia Tech 31, MTSU 10.

4. South Carolina at Kentucky:  South Carolina’s upset of No. 1 Alabama last Saturday has the Gamecocks’ fans dreaming of their first-ever trip to the SEC championship game. But those same fans have seen their hopes dashed before when the Gamecocks have stumbled after a big win. If Kentucky RB Derrick Locke (shoulder) can’t go, that changes this game significantly. The Cats’ Randall Cobb is good, but South Carolina wins because of defense. South Carolina 24, Kentucky 20.

5. Ohio State at Wisconsin: Ohio State just moved to No. 1 but the Buckeyes have to play on Saturday night at Camp Randall Stadium, where the Badgers are 40-4 since 2004. Make that 41-4. Our Upset Special for this week:  Wisconsin 17, Ohio State 16.

6. Maryland at Clemson: After three straight losses to Auburn, Miami, and North Carolina, Clemson really needs a win against the 4-1 Terps. Maryland has won three of its last four meetings with the Tigers but Clemson gets it done at home. Clemson 24, Maryland 20.

7. Ole Miss at Alabama: Yes, I know. Ole Miss has had a week off and Alabama is coming of its first regular season loss since the 2007 season. Doesn’t matter. Alabama and Nick Saban are mad, refocused, and have to take it out on somebody. That somebody will be Houston Nutt and the Rebels. Alabama 31, Ole Miss 10.

8. Mississippi State at Florida: For only the second time since Urban Meyer became coach in 2005, Florida has lost two straight games. The Gators have never lost three in a row under Meyer. It will be an ugly game because Florida’s offense is, well, ugly. Mississippi State’s Dan Mullen, the former OC at Florida, will not have a pleasant Homecoming. Florida 21, Miss. State 10.

9. Texas at Nebraska: Some of the national spice got taken out of this game when the Longhorns dropped two straight games to UCLA and Oklahoma. But the folks at Nebraska have had this one circled on the calendar since last December then they lost a controversial Big 12 championship game to the Longhorns. This will be the last time these two teams will meet as members of the Big 12. Nebraska wants it to be a game to remember. Nebraska 23, Texas 14.

10. North Carolina at Virginia: The Tar Heels have had a season of distractions but they are still very much in the ACC Coastal race. The Tar Heels haven’t won in Charlottesville since 1981. That changes Saturday. North Carolina 27, Virginia 20.

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592 comments Add your comment

rusty

October 15th, 2010
7:02 am

Hope you are correct about Auburn. I am not so confident.

Urban Crier

October 15th, 2010
7:11 am

Second … No. 2 tries harder.

KidRay

October 15th, 2010
7:12 am

Do you pick UGA and GT to win every week? Go Rutgers!

Hey, Tony

October 15th, 2010
7:18 am

…listening to your show yesterday you and Wes were trying to name college players who were good who went back to their school as head coach and had great success. You guys, at the time, could only come up with Spurrier. I had to leave and my question is whether y’all or anyone else ever came up with that guy that played and coached fairly successfully at Alabama…and I am not referrring to Ray Perkins, Mike Dubose or Mike Shula…

Dawg_Mike

October 15th, 2010
7:18 am

No, KidRay, he doesn’t. He picked Colorado over UGA and that was the only time he went against either UGA or GT so far this season…stay tuned.

My upset special tomorrow is Miss St over the Gators…unless Urb lightens the punishment even more and Rainey plays.

JB

October 15th, 2010
7:20 am

Ummmm… It’s the Atlanta, Georgia paper. DO you really need to ask that question?

AR beats AU. Just like last year, their slide begins again.

HBTD!!!

JB

October 15th, 2010
7:22 am

And I misunderstood the question but as DM points out, no he doesn’t.

HBTD!!!

OrlG8r

October 15th, 2010
7:23 am

Hey Tony….Can you drop Addazio a line and let him know that Florida’s offense is “ugly”? He’s convinced we’re all moving along “swimmingly”….

some things are more important than $aban being mad

October 15th, 2010
7:30 am

Alabama will lose again.

You Ain't-Know Gaily Whacker

October 15th, 2010
7:34 am

The Reporter: Mr. McGarity, what are your plans to keep the fan donations coming in until you have a good team ?

Greg: We will use this new machine, they will all think it is 1980, again.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpgJzlY9y8A&feature=related

Dontavius Supremo

October 15th, 2010
7:39 am

I think Arkansas handles Auburn rather easily. I pretty much agree otherwise. Teach should beat MTSU with zero problems. Georgia starts slow, ends fast. Big numbers. Ohio State? Wishful thinking.

crabapplejoe

October 15th, 2010
7:40 am

Yep, Tony is hoping and praying that all those undefeated teams like Ohio State lose….so a one or two loss team from his beloved SEC can play in the NC game. What would the local sports talk radio folks do if its an Oregon/Ohio State NC game?

Beast from the East

October 15th, 2010
7:41 am

Florida’s offense ugly? Naw, it’s just not pretty. Ugly is a bit harsh…LOL!

I’m pulling for the Barners but I’m afraid Arky pulls the mild upset.

Go Gators!

SC Boy

October 15th, 2010
7:44 am

Once again Spurrier is UGA’s worst nightmare. LMAO after all of you Dawgs said he was washed up. Pretty bad nightmare for Klempsin, too. But who cares about the lame ACC?

MMA is stupid

October 15th, 2010
7:44 am

TB,
you are right on all except one. Hogs upset the Tigers.

FLA DAWG

October 15th, 2010
7:47 am

I hope your upset pick of Wisconsin over Ohio State comes true. But as much as I like Wisconsin and have much less respect for Ohio State I don’t see that happening.

Ohio State wins this game in the second half by 10 points.

ATL is TigerTown

October 15th, 2010
7:58 am

Very real possibility of a Miss St victory at Swampsylvania.
I’m hopeful that Auburn puts 4 quarters together tomorrow. It’s time for the Piglets to get a dose of their own medicine. War Eagle!!

Not a Tech or UGA Fan.....

October 15th, 2010
8:00 am

Tony
I’m with you on all but one, Upset special 2: Texas beats Nebraska. I too think the S Carolina game will be very close and won’t be surprised if UK pulls off the upset at home.

Sam Houston

October 15th, 2010
8:01 am

The head lines in this morning’s Columbus Ledger-Enquirer states the Bulldogs could possibly go to a bowl with a 5-7 record. The reason for this is the SEC has so many bowl tie-ins. The bowl system is a mess, a team should not be rewarded for a losing year or even a 6-6 year. Because of tie-ins a more deserving team will probably be staying home. And Tony supports the BCS and this set up. So for the next no telling how many years they will keep voting on who is lucky enough to play for the so-called National Championship. Also we’ll keep having these meaningless bowls which a few thousand fans in attendance.

Charlie Bama

October 15th, 2010
8:07 am

All good, logical picks, Tony! Go Hogs!! Soooeeeee…..

USC GAMEC0CK

October 15th, 2010
8:10 am

Really it’s the big games that matter…that said:

USC whips Kentucky
Wisconsin knocks off Ohio State
Auburn tackles Arky
Texas upsets Big Red and sends them off to the Big 10 with kisses.

Getrealtony

October 15th, 2010
8:11 am

Tony if I didn’t know better I would say you graduated from Bama. Your excuse making for bama on national shows was hilarious. BTW Bama won’t win 31 to 10. Ole Miss had 2 weeks off and they are a bad matchup for bama and their defense.

Greg

October 15th, 2010
8:12 am

The cool thing is that, given Tony’s record (which he doesn’t seem to be willing to share here), you can read through these to figure out who will really win. Just pick the opposite of Tony!

USC GAMEC0CK

October 15th, 2010
8:13 am

Forgot to mention….every game USC plays is a big game but get much bigger with each of their wins….watch out folks…USC is riding a cinderella season right into Atlanta and on to Glendale!………..remember you read it here first!!

T3

October 15th, 2010
8:14 am

I think Bo Pelini would to score a lot more than 23 points on Texas.

I look for Nebraska to run-up the score if the opportunity is there.

SimpleDawg

October 15th, 2010
8:15 am

Good Picks. I agree.

Saturday will be a good day for viewing SEC football. UGA / Vandy, Awbarn / Arkysaw, USC / UK, & Bama / Ole Miss.

Oh, and whats up with the Ole Miss Bear mascot? Who thought that one up? Is this a stretch of a reference to Elvis? …..Teddy Bear?

I thought the NCAA had already told them, “Don’t be cruel.”

Bride of Chucky Knapp

October 15th, 2010
8:16 am

That should be the Ole Miss Rebears.

Steve Addazio

October 15th, 2010
8:16 am

Tony, my offense is doing just fine and Pouncey consistently grades out as a champion after watching the tape every Sunday. Between you and me though, that’s just what I have to say because I feel terrible I asked him to come back and change positions to potentially make millions in the NFL.

JOD

October 15th, 2010
8:18 am

YOU ONLY WISH MR. SEC, TO TRY TO SNEAK ONE OF YOUR SEC DRONES BACK INTO THE MNC. OHIO STATE WINS OUT MY FRIEND. BANK ON IT.

kirk herbstreit

October 15th, 2010
8:19 am

Wisconsins O is too one dimensional and won’t be able to rely on John Clay. Ohio St. wins this in Madison. My upset special is Texas beating Nebraska. The Horns have had two weeks to stew over the loss to OU and hear how badly Nebraska wants to put a number on them. It isn’t vintage Texas but they’ll play pissed and win.

gary

October 15th, 2010
8:21 am

Not sure if you watched the Tennessee game last week but Turnovers gave Georgia the game. Happy for the win but I doubt Vandy will cough up the ball quite as often. Georgia will have to work for points. The real question is how many times will Georgia give up the ball. Vandy is every but as good as Colorado and Missippi State. Tennessee had a complete meltdown last week. Georgia has not gotten any better.

Go Dogs

October 15th, 2010
8:21 am

MURPHY

October 15th, 2010
8:23 am

Im going out on a limb and and saying Miss St. over the Gaytors 23-21. I just have a sneaky feeling these bulldogs are believers and Mullen knows how to attack Florida.

kirk herbstreit

October 15th, 2010
8:27 am

I think Bama beats Ole Miss but it might be closer than most people think. Masoli surely can put some yards and numbers on the board if Garcia could. Bama 35-Miss21.

Eaassy

October 15th, 2010
8:30 am

tony looks like ray in ghostbusters

Jake

October 15th, 2010
8:32 am

Don’t think Arkansas has faced an offense like Auburns. Auburn forces defenses to defend all 11 players. If Arkansas does not turn the ball over, they can win this game, plus their at home. Look for Auburn to really put some heat on the Hogg QB. Most of Auburns big games have and are at home this year,,all but Arkansas and Bama.

Alphare

October 15th, 2010
8:34 am

SC Boy,

Once the ole ball coach fired his son, I know he is on fire.

lanier

October 15th, 2010
8:35 am

You picked the hoe team in all except 2 games. Consider KY also to win at home if its a nite game Its one of the toughest places to play on a cold Sat nite

BAMA dude

October 15th, 2010
8:36 am

I hope you’re right but I see Ohio State rolling over Wisconsin. Aubie/Arky could go either way I’d say. I kinda like Texas over Nebraska for some reason. No real logic to it, I just think Texas has the talent to put a game together at some point. Nebraska’s kids are flying high after the big win in Manhattan last week and have the opportunity for a let down. The rest of the games either don’t interest me (here’s looking at you ACC) or won’t be close.

GB=Trash

October 15th, 2010
8:38 am

Gen Neyland

October 15th, 2010
8:42 am

When was the last time Vandy was a favorite over UGA..? My guess is it predates Uga I and facemasks but over the years I’ve seen Vandy cover spreads against UGA and even, er, surprise them. Vandy, like Tennessee, plays a bunch of youth. The difference is they seem to be a bit better than the Tennessee youth at this point… Question for the Gators : Will Rainy be fitted with a tear-away ankle bracelet the rest of the way..? MURPHY, If MS ST beats Florida, Meyer just might have to go into hiding…

TB : Get you out of the SEC and you’ll take a wag at the upset. Good show..!

nature boy

October 15th, 2010
8:43 am

Jake…do you keep up with college football? Arky is playing @Auburn.

nature boy

October 15th, 2010
8:47 am

Bama wins out, Nebraska loses to Texas, Ohio St loses to Iowa, Nebraska beats Oklahoma in Big 12 champ game. Bama v Oregon in Glendale. ROLL TIDE!!!

SadDawg

October 15th, 2010
8:49 am

“Don’t think Arkansas has faced an offense like Auburns. Auburn forces defenses to defend all 11 players”
******************************************
What, Jake, Auburn throws passes to the tackles, guards, and center? I definitely haven’t seen an offense like that. Haha.

kirk herbstreit

October 15th, 2010
8:54 am

nature boy–what about tcu and boise…just saying

jj

October 15th, 2010
8:57 am

no…wis will not win i would love to see it since im an alum, but this is tonys wishful thinking and hoping because he couldnt stand the fact a “sec” team wont go to the national championship…if oregon and ohio st run the table they will be in nc game over a one loss sec team sorry tony…your biased attitude never surprises me

Paul in RDU

October 15th, 2010
8:57 am

Only pick I disagree with is OSU-WI. Buckeyes are too good for the Badgers. OSU’s toughest game will be against Iowa.
In yesterday’s column Tony said that ARK-AUB would be lower scoring “than some people think”. Today he has it as the highest scoring game of the 10 he’s picked.

5IML

October 15th, 2010
8:59 am

Leave Jake alone.

The 11 men Auburn’s offense forces you to defend are Cam, the two-deep at each skill position (2 RB’s, 2 TE’s, 4 WR’s), Malzahn, and Chizik.

By Arkansas playing “at home”, Jake meant Arkansas is comfortable with who they are as individuals and feel “at home” with themselves wherever they play.

Makes prefect sense.

jj

October 15th, 2010
9:04 am

why are we talking about USC here on these blogs…i thought it was south carolina playing…must have missed something…dumb sec fans

Arlo

October 15th, 2010
9:07 am

If it boils down to a Oregon/Ohio State NC game, then I will not be watching. Just because you’re undefeated against weak opponents, doesn’t put you on the same level with teams like BAMA, Florida, Oklahoma or Texas that must face each other (usually) in a conference championship game. Make all the conferences that do not have a championship game play each other. Solves the playoff issue & eliminates the pretenders.