The Fearless Friday Forecast: Bama, Dawgs, and Jackets win

The Fearless Friday Forecast as we reach the midway point of the 2010 season (Man, that was fast!)

1. Alabama at South Carolina: South Carolina has never beaten the No. 1 team in the nation. ESPN’s College Game Day will be there. The game will be nationally televised on CBS. It’s certainly the biggest game in Steve Spurrier’s six years in Columbia. Some games are tough to break down. This one is not.  If South Carolina can slow down the running game just a little bit, the Gamecocks have a chance to put some pressure on Alabama quarterback Greg McElroy.  If McElroy, who had two interceptions against Arkansas, has an off day the Gamecocks have a shot.  There is a reason McElroy is undefeated as a starting quarterback. He knows how to win these kinds of games. Alabama 24, South Carolina 10.

2. Tennessee at Georgia: Let’s dub this one the “Desperation Bowl.” Both teams really need a win after very tough losses last week. I’m not sure how Georgia’s team is going to respond–if they respond at all–after four straight losses. I’m not sure if Tennessee is completely over last week’s crazy loss to LSU. Georgia gets the edge at home and wins with a Blair Walsh field goal at the buzzer. Georgia 17, Tennessee 14.

3. Virginia at Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech is very much a work in progress and will need to tighten up in several areas in order to beat the Cavaliers. The Yellow Jackets have to get pressure on Virginia quarterback Mark Verica and make him uncomfortable. They will. Georgia Tech 24, Virginia 14.

4. LSU at Florida: The Les Miles Traveling High Wire and Mass Confusion Show makes an appearance at The Swamp, where the Gators are still smarting from a beat down at Alabama last week. This is going to be a very ugly football game because neither team really has a coherent offense.  Florida is average. LSU is awful. LSU will be in this game all the way because the Tiger defense is so good. It will be a low scoring game because both coaches know their offense can lose the game and will thus be very conservative. Florida wins the game when LSU mismanages the clock and fails to kick a potential winning field goal. Florida 14 LSU 13.

5. Auburn at Kentucky: After a quality scrimmage last week against Louisiana-Monroe, Auburn starts a string of four straight SEC games against Kentucky, Arkansas, LSU, and Ole Miss. The Tigers have a rising star in quarterback Cameron Newton, the nation’s No. 2 most efficient passer. But it is the Auburn defense that is really exceeding expectations and will force three Kentucky turnovers. Auburn 35, Kentucky 24.

6. Florida State at Miami: It comes down to quarterback play. Jacory Harris of Miami makes big plays but he tends to throw interceptions. He has eight in only 119 passing attempts. Florida State’s Christian Ponder has only three interceptions in 129 attempts. It is tempting to go with Florida State because the Seminoles lead the nation with 25 quarterback sacks. But I just like Miami at home. Miami 24, Florida State 20.

7.  Clemson at North Carolina: Both teams have lost a conference game and so both need a win in order to stay competitive in their respective divisions. I just think that with all of the issues going on at North Carolina (five defensive starters are still out due to various investigations) the Tar Heels don’t have enough steam to beat a pretty good team like Clemson. Clemson 27, North Carolina 21.

8. Michigan State at Michigan:  Coach Mark Dantonio had a mild heart attack after Michigan State’s win over Notre Dame on Sept. 25 and was in a hospital bed for last week’s big win over Wisconsin. He returns and will coach in the press box at Michigan, who has the Heisman Trophy frontrunner in quarterback Denard Robinson. Robinson has been unstoppable this season and is just 95 yards away from the 1,000-yard mark. This will be a shootout because the Wolverines can’t stop anybody. Michigan 38, Michigan State 35.

9. Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (Arlington, Tex.): This will be a battle of two very good quarterbacks. Ryan Mallett of Arkansas is second in the nation, averaging 359.5 yards passing per game. Texas A&M’s Jerrod Johnson has a gun for an arm but tends to throw a lot of interceptions.  He threw 62 passes in last week’s loss at Oklahoma State but had an interception to set up the winning field goal for the Cowboys. There will be at least 90 passes thrown in this game and the number could be closer to 100. The winner will be the team that can get a couple of defensive stops. That would be Arkansas.  Arkansas 42, Texas A&M 37.

10. Southern California at Stanford: USC (4-1) can’t win the Pac-10 because of NCAA probation but the Trojans can have someting to say about who does. USC  got beat at the buzzer last week by Washington and now has an opportunity to hand Stanford (4-1) it’s second Pac-10 loss of the season. The Cardinal had a 21-3 lead on Oregon last week and got beat 52-31. I just like Jim Harbaugh’s Stanford team to be tougher than the Boy Wonder who’s coaching the Trojans. Stanford 31, USC 24.

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336 comments Add your comment

What we've learned so far

October 9th, 2010
7:29 pm

Tennessee is probably quitting, and ending their season right now. They stunk the joint out royally, after giving away the game last week to Lessie “Duh” Miles. Don’t mind seeing a Doodley boy get his face kicked in either.
South Carolina got the biggest win in the history of the program. They played an almost perfect game. Amazing take down of Bama.
UNCheat takes out the Tiggers. Kind of surprised, but Clempsun always seems to do this.
Michigan is much improved, but still has no defense at all.
Tech rolls up 500+ yards, and runs all over Uva. Must work on ball security, because there would’ve been at least 50 points.
Penn State stinks.

At this point, I’d say Ohio State/Oregon for the national title. Rematch of last year’s Rose Bowl.

Stanford/USC should be on tv here.

savannah dawg

October 9th, 2010
7:37 pm

I destroy you every week Tony. How to Iget on TV every week and get a big salary?

Dawg_Mike

October 9th, 2010
7:44 pm

Dear Gator nation, please don’t rag on us Dawgs again for gimmicky gear.
Those orange jerseys are hideous. YIKES !!!

deaddawgintheroad

October 9th, 2010
8:00 pm

It took a fifth rate team like Tnnessee for THUGA to finally win

Glory Glory

October 9th, 2010
9:46 pm

Congrats to the North Avenue Fighting Virgins on their win today. Too bad no one was there to see it in person…

Bleaux Tony

October 9th, 2010
11:38 pm

How you like them Tigers now….Geaux Tigers
Gators sux
Urban swallows

Geaux Tigers!

October 10th, 2010
12:10 am

ahahahahahaha!!!!! Geaux Tigers!!!! So much for no offense and a weak defense. UF got man handled by LSU’s D. they only reason they score the 2 early TD’s was because of turnovers. LSU has the best defense in the nation and the craziest coach. The players play hard every play!

Something special is brewing on the bayou!!! Geaux Tigers!!

Oh No alabama lost

October 10th, 2010
7:58 am

So Much for the alabama win over South Carolina team they lost so guess who No1 Ohio state is now Number 1 followed by the Ugly uniform of Oregon and Boise state is 3 in nation…

GAIllini

October 10th, 2010
8:48 am

Nice job Tony.

Palladin

October 10th, 2010
9:24 am

Congratulations to all of the fans of the South Carolina team whose name dare not be spoken on this blog. South Carolina played a magnificent game and made the Crimson Tide appear slow and weary as they made history by defeating a Number 1 team for the first time in Gamec0ck history.

There are no excuses. South Carolina out-performed Alabama for 60 minutes and deserved this victory and all of the celebration that goes along with it.

Palladin

October 10th, 2010
9:28 am

Week 6
SEC Stock Report:

Alabama – DOWN – South Carolina ends the Tide’s win streak with a 35-21 victory in Columbia.

Next Up: Ole Miss

Arkansas – UP – A 24-17 win over Texas A&M puts the Razorbacks back on track.

Next Up: Auburn

Auburn – UP – Auburn takes it to the wire once again and comes out on top with a 37-34 win over Kentucky.

Next Up: Arkansas

Florida – DOWN – Florida finds themselves in the unusual position of suffering two defeats in a row as LSU hands the Gators a 33-29 loss at home. This could be the Old Ball Coach’s year, after all.

Next Up: Mississippi State

Georgia – UP – The Dawgs find relief at last with a 41-14 trouncing of the Vols.

Next Up: Vandy

Kentucky – DOWN – A 37-34 loss to Auburn leaves the Cats winless in SEC play.

Next Up: South Carolina

LSU – UP – A 33-29 win over the Gators quiets discontent among the Bayou Bengal fan-base.

Next Up: McNeese State

Mississippi – UNCHANGED – Ole Miss takes a breather to prepare for the Crimson Tide.

Next Up: Alabama

Mississippi State – UP – A 47-24 win over Houston.

Next Up: Florida

South Carolina – UP – The 35-21 victory over the Crimson Tide propels the Gamec0cks to first place in the SEC East.

Next Up: Kentucky

Tennessee – DOWN – The embattled Volunteers suffer a 41-14 defeat at the hands of Georgia.

Next Up: Bye Week

Vanderbilt – UP – Vandy pounds Eastern Michigan 52-6.

Next Up: Georgia

True Dawg

October 10th, 2010
10:39 am

Barnhardt- you messed the SEC all up!

5150 P.O.A.D

October 10th, 2010
11:09 am

Bama, Florida, Miami, Clemson, & Michigan. Tony stop making Picks and just write about what happened after the games are over.

brian

October 10th, 2010
11:18 am

hey tony i guess you think bama should be ranked less than sc now since you got lucky on your pick. But i dont think albama should fall past ohio state either because if alabama had such competition as indiana every week we would never loose. I say let teams such as ohio state and boise state play at least four sec teams a year and then rank them.

5150 P.O.A.D

October 10th, 2010
11:42 am

Brian yea Make Ohio St and Bosie Play Vandy Kentucky Ole Miss and Miss St that will teach them How TUFF the SEC really is.

Geaux Tigers!

October 10th, 2010
12:16 pm

Where’s everybody who thought UF would beat LSU 34-10? HAHAHAHA

fishtales

October 10th, 2010
12:21 pm

Congrats SC fans…ya’ll whooped us good on both sides of the ball! RTR

SuperB

October 10th, 2010
12:28 pm

Phil_will1

October 10th, 2010
12:33 pm

JB

“October 8th, 2010
9:19 am

Bama will shut Lattimore down, which leaves Garcia to win it, and he normally folds like a cheap chair. Bama 31-17″

Don’t quit your dayjob, JB.

South Carolina 35
Alabama 21

Mike

October 10th, 2010
12:53 pm

Hey Tony are you tired of picking against LSU yet? Have you ever picked LSU to win an SEC game? Other than a laffer. We lead the SEC in winning percentage for the last decade. Miles is 22 and 11 against the top 20. 3 and 3 against Urban. Are you guys finished worshipping Bama as the greatest college football team ever? They are very good not great. They have 9 new starters on defense. If you can stop the run the QB is vulnerable. Saban is great. He cannot win every week in the SEC on his genius. Ridley sure does look better then Mr Heisman, Ingram. He is also running in an offense that is/was a lot more limited. If we figure out how to play QB we have a very high potential.

Gamec0ckmike017

October 10th, 2010
1:32 pm

This is the year of the Gamec0ck! All you Spurrier haters knew it was only a matter of time. We just didn’t think it would take this long. That was a beat down on ‘Bama. Can’t afford to let up now. Oh, and thank you LSU for knocking off the Gators.

WAR DAMN EAGLE!

October 10th, 2010
3:00 pm

Gamec0ckmike017

Hello, remember us? We kicked the chicken $hit out of the game chickens.

WAR DAMN EAGLE!

October 10th, 2010
3:00 pm

By the way, where are all the trash talking Bama losers today?

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Gamec0ckmike017

October 10th, 2010
3:30 pm

WAR DAMN EAGLE!
If you have any sense at all you know you did not kick the $hit out of the chickens. You got very lucky because WE screwed up. You almost lost to Kentucky. Auburn fans are usually cool. You break the mold. Just wait til Bama beast you down.

Gamec0ckmike017

October 10th, 2010
3:32 pm

Correction:
WAR DAMN EAGLE!
If you have any sense at all you know you did not kick the $hit out of the chickens. You got very lucky because WE screwed up. You almost lost to Kentucky. Auburn fans are usually cool. You break the mold. Just wait til Bama beats you down.

Laughing at War Damn Eagle!

October 10th, 2010
3:51 pm

War Damn Eagle, for a team that BARELY beat the high and mighty Kentucky Wildcats, you make yourself look like an idiot for boasting about your team.

We’ll see how good the Plainsmen are after they play Arkansas and LSU the next 2 weeks.

WAR DAMN EAGLE!

October 10th, 2010
5:20 pm

“You got very lucky because WE screwed up. You almost lost to Kentucky. Auburn fans are usually cool. You break the mold. Just wait til Bama beast you down.”

No, we beat SC on good defense and great offense.

How does a team “beast” us down?

WAR DAMN EAGLE!

October 10th, 2010
5:21 pm

“for a team that BARELY beat the high and mighty Kentucky Wildcats, you make yourself look like an idiot for boasting about your team.”

LSU, Bama, Arkansas etc have all “barely” escaped losses this season.

Like I tell all inbred retards. Go sell stupid somewhere else, ma’am.

Ed

October 10th, 2010
5:40 pm

I’ve been tellling Tony for months, Saban’s a clown. Saban’s the human yo-yo of inconsistency, up one year, down the next. I’ve been telling Tony the 6 teams coming off a bye, all with 2 weeks to study film, and get better physically, is a nightmare for Nick Saban. I’ve been telling Tony that so few people repeat in the SEC as National Champs.

Nice to be right. Even if I’m not Mr. College Football, maybe I’m Mr. Coolege Football Jr.

I was right about Brantley and Florida too.

Alabama will lose AT LEAST 3 games.

Chris

October 10th, 2010
9:25 pm

Tony, I don’t know how anyone has ever considered you an expert. If I was as bad at my job as you are at yours, I’d be fired by Tuesday.

Laughing at War Damn Eagle!

October 10th, 2010
10:37 pm

WAR DAMN EAGLE!:

LSU, Bama, Arkansas etc have all “barely” escaped losses this season.

Like I tell all inbred retards. Go sell stupid somewhere else, ma’am.”

We all acknowledge we have won close games. But give me proof of a single LSU fan that bragged about beating Tenn on here last week like you have after beating a UK that was stomped by Florida and beaten by lowly Ole Miss.

It’s clear you are the one that is stupid.

pbj

October 10th, 2010
11:52 pm

Tony-Tony-Tony- 5-5 for the week? bad week eh?

T-Town is still the Capstone

October 11th, 2010
12:06 am

Congratulations to South Carolina for a very good win. USC, with Garcia made some great throws to a great WR in Jeffries. Jeffries is a hoss. Spurrier had his team ready to play. With an off week each week in front of us by our opponents it is going to be like this every week from here on out.

Georgia beat up a weak Tennessee team and with a home crowd behind the Dawgs it was a blow out early. Dooley is in for a long long season. With this win, UGA is still not out of the EAST, but then again UGA is still not a very good team either.

Auburn for three weeks in a row has pulled it out and held on for a late win. This will be the week that Auburn will take a loss at home and possibly losing three in a row. So you Auburn fans enjoy the 7 days, because by 7 p.m. the list of the beaten will have a name to add to the list. But enjoy it, enjoy it and be joyful, lets all get back together in a month an see where Auburn is then when getting ready for a Georgia team who will be looking forward to beating you once again in their annual whipping of Georgia. Then you come to T-Town where the beatings will continue. But once again for a week you have bragging rights as the undefeated team in the SEC West.

Rammer Jammer

October 11th, 2010
3:35 am

Bama lost due to bad officating and overconfidence. They will beat USc easily in a rematch in Atlanta–mark it down!

Palladin

October 11th, 2010
7:40 am

There were some bad calls and bad spots against Bama in the Arkansas game. That is not why South Carolina won. They just beat Bama straight up. It happens.

RTR!!!

Anyway… Maybe we’ll get another shot at SC in December. I still expect Bama to win every game they play.

dean

October 11th, 2010
9:22 am

Where is “LSU Is A Fraud” this morning?