The Fearless Friday Forecast: Bama, Dawgs, and Jackets win

The Fearless Friday Forecast as we reach the midway point of the 2010 season (Man, that was fast!)

1. Alabama at South Carolina: South Carolina has never beaten the No. 1 team in the nation. ESPN’s College Game Day will be there. The game will be nationally televised on CBS. It’s certainly the biggest game in Steve Spurrier’s six years in Columbia. Some games are tough to break down. This one is not.  If South Carolina can slow down the running game just a little bit, the Gamecocks have a chance to put some pressure on Alabama quarterback Greg McElroy.  If McElroy, who had two interceptions against Arkansas, has an off day the Gamecocks have a shot.  There is a reason McElroy is undefeated as a starting quarterback. He knows how to win these kinds of games. Alabama 24, South Carolina 10.

2. Tennessee at Georgia: Let’s dub this one the “Desperation Bowl.” Both teams really need a win after very tough losses last week. I’m not sure how Georgia’s team is going to respond–if they respond at all–after four straight losses. I’m not sure if Tennessee is completely over last week’s crazy loss to LSU. Georgia gets the edge at home and wins with a Blair Walsh field goal at the buzzer. Georgia 17, Tennessee 14.

3. Virginia at Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech is very much a work in progress and will need to tighten up in several areas in order to beat the Cavaliers. The Yellow Jackets have to get pressure on Virginia quarterback Mark Verica and make him uncomfortable. They will. Georgia Tech 24, Virginia 14.

4. LSU at Florida: The Les Miles Traveling High Wire and Mass Confusion Show makes an appearance at The Swamp, where the Gators are still smarting from a beat down at Alabama last week. This is going to be a very ugly football game because neither team really has a coherent offense.  Florida is average. LSU is awful. LSU will be in this game all the way because the Tiger defense is so good. It will be a low scoring game because both coaches know their offense can lose the game and will thus be very conservative. Florida wins the game when LSU mismanages the clock and fails to kick a potential winning field goal. Florida 14 LSU 13.

5. Auburn at Kentucky: After a quality scrimmage last week against Louisiana-Monroe, Auburn starts a string of four straight SEC games against Kentucky, Arkansas, LSU, and Ole Miss. The Tigers have a rising star in quarterback Cameron Newton, the nation’s No. 2 most efficient passer. But it is the Auburn defense that is really exceeding expectations and will force three Kentucky turnovers. Auburn 35, Kentucky 24.

6. Florida State at Miami: It comes down to quarterback play. Jacory Harris of Miami makes big plays but he tends to throw interceptions. He has eight in only 119 passing attempts. Florida State’s Christian Ponder has only three interceptions in 129 attempts. It is tempting to go with Florida State because the Seminoles lead the nation with 25 quarterback sacks. But I just like Miami at home. Miami 24, Florida State 20.

7.  Clemson at North Carolina: Both teams have lost a conference game and so both need a win in order to stay competitive in their respective divisions. I just think that with all of the issues going on at North Carolina (five defensive starters are still out due to various investigations) the Tar Heels don’t have enough steam to beat a pretty good team like Clemson. Clemson 27, North Carolina 21.

8. Michigan State at Michigan:  Coach Mark Dantonio had a mild heart attack after Michigan State’s win over Notre Dame on Sept. 25 and was in a hospital bed for last week’s big win over Wisconsin. He returns and will coach in the press box at Michigan, who has the Heisman Trophy frontrunner in quarterback Denard Robinson. Robinson has been unstoppable this season and is just 95 yards away from the 1,000-yard mark. This will be a shootout because the Wolverines can’t stop anybody. Michigan 38, Michigan State 35.

9. Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (Arlington, Tex.): This will be a battle of two very good quarterbacks. Ryan Mallett of Arkansas is second in the nation, averaging 359.5 yards passing per game. Texas A&M’s Jerrod Johnson has a gun for an arm but tends to throw a lot of interceptions.  He threw 62 passes in last week’s loss at Oklahoma State but had an interception to set up the winning field goal for the Cowboys. There will be at least 90 passes thrown in this game and the number could be closer to 100. The winner will be the team that can get a couple of defensive stops. That would be Arkansas.  Arkansas 42, Texas A&M 37.

10. Southern California at Stanford: USC (4-1) can’t win the Pac-10 because of NCAA probation but the Trojans can have someting to say about who does. USC  got beat at the buzzer last week by Washington and now has an opportunity to hand Stanford (4-1) it’s second Pac-10 loss of the season. The Cardinal had a 21-3 lead on Oregon last week and got beat 52-31. I just like Jim Harbaugh’s Stanford team to be tougher than the Boy Wonder who’s coaching the Trojans. Stanford 31, USC 24.

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336 comments Add your comment

atlnole

October 8th, 2010
7:12 am

Im done with you tony! Go Noles~

atlnole

October 8th, 2010
7:13 am

Wait…was I first and didn’t even put First? LOSER!

Beast from the East

October 8th, 2010
7:21 am

Agree with all the winners except for 2. I can’t pick UGA over UT at this point. UT has played much better lately and UGA has not. Gotta go with the Vols in this game. Also, I’m going with State over Meechigan.

Don’t think the Gators will need a gfift from The Hat to get the win…..at least I hope not.

bamafan

October 8th, 2010
7:23 am

Nothing unusual about these picks………..was surprised to see you label LSU as “awful.” Your next sentence says that their defense is great. I suppose you are referring to the coaching, both as relates to clock management and the platooning of two less than average QB’s. Actually, the Lee kid looks better than the Jefferson kid. Still, don’t know how you say LSU is “awful” when they are 5-0. From what I have seen and read, the center for LSU should be named head coach for his savvy play in snapping the ball before the clock ran out against Tennessee. Had he waited for the QB signal, the clock would have run out resulting in a delay of game penalty. Since the game CAN end on an offensive penalty, Tennessee would have won because their 13 defenders did not participate. As much as it pains me to pull for Florida, Bama needs LSU to pick up a loss because we may not be as good as folks think. Same story with SCAR – had for them to pick up second loss, but …………….

bamafan

October 8th, 2010
7:24 am

sorry – “hate for them to pick up second loss, but…….”

dawgsux

October 8th, 2010
7:27 am

Ga….please don’t fire Richt. The Gators love having him on the sidelines 2-7.
Gators win this week and play Bama again.

MURPHY

October 8th, 2010
7:29 am

Tony,

I have never questioned your thoughs on games and very rarely dis-agree with you. BUT-I think you are off in some areas:
*Bama loses to Carolina-been saying this for 3 weeks
*Florida by 1 point? The Gaytors will beat LSWHO? by at least 10
*UT will out physical the Dawgs.UT will run the ball right at us all day long. UT-28 UGA-13

TheTaxJacket

October 8th, 2010
7:31 am

**** “Well, they’re losing a lot of games and have a lot of people getting arrested,” Crowell said of Georgia. “There’s just a lot of things going wrong. I do want to play right away but I also want to be where it’s disciplined and they win championships.” ****

(((( 45 – 42 ))))

how2fish

October 8th, 2010
7:32 am

I think Bama and the Gators win big this week..

FLA DAWG

October 8th, 2010
7:32 am

UT beats The Dawgs by 21 or more points.

Steve Spurrier

October 8th, 2010
7:35 am

I am going to throw the kitchen sink at these bammers. A little of this and that. The biggest sneakiest attack since Pearl Harbor.

You Ain't-Know Gaily Whacker

October 8th, 2010
7:37 am

The Reporter: Mr. McGarity, are there any coaching jobs in jeopardy ?

Greg: No, they have all the time in the world to correct the problem–about this much time, after the last game.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vXGhvoekY44

how2fish

October 8th, 2010
7:38 am

dawgsux how big a fool are you? Did you see the game last week? What in the world would make you think the Gators would have any better showing against Bama in the ATL? See you in Jax.. “What does the University of Florida have in common with sandcastles? They both look good until the Tide Rolls In” That being said I do think you smash the Hat this week.

You did it again...

October 8th, 2010
7:40 am

…picked UGA as a blind homer. UGA still has not been able to stop UT, and Kiffin was absolutely correct when he said they knew what was coming since UGA has been doing the same things at the same time for 8 years – and Dooley is smuch smarter than Kiffin…that game in Athens 3 years ago when UGA let 31-14 at the half and then gave up 37 straight points, they have not been able to stop them since then. And last year UGA did not even get past into the red zone the whole game…

Kiffin was right, UGA never did beat him while he was coach at UT…

The other bad pick is Clemson over UNC – Clemson has NO mental toughness, none, nada, zilch – they NEVER win games against quality opponents, and usually find ways 2-4 time a year to lose to inferior opponents.

JB

October 8th, 2010
7:42 am

UT almost lost to UAB, not two weeks ago. Yeah, UAB… Many have evidently forgotten that. Hanging with LSWho is no great feat.

We could have easily won all the games we lost. Can UT say that?

If we don’t shoot ourselevs in the foot, this week, we win.

HBTD!!!

dawgsux

October 8th, 2010
7:43 am

How2fish——-take away 4 turnovers and you have a very close ballgame. Hopefully, the Gators won’t have that happen in Atlanta.

FEATHERS A FLYIN'

October 8th, 2010
7:44 am

HEY OBC & MURPHY TUNE IN TO CBS @ 3:30 TO SEE THE PLUCKIN’ OF THE CENTURY!!!!

Purple Drank

October 8th, 2010
7:46 am

Harris stinks! Plain and simple. Weak arm. Wouldn’t surprise me to see him finally get knocked out of a game, effectively euthanizing this over hyped team.

AUM

October 8th, 2010
7:49 am

I think you may be going out on a limb with your UGA pick. Don’t think FL/LSshoo will be that close. Hoping Auburn will score at least 42. SC just might make it very interesting for UAT.
War Eagle everybody!

JB

October 8th, 2010
7:50 am

Taxjacket@7:31…………………..comments about UGA and does not comment about his hapless jackets………………….living rent free in their head I tell ya…..

GT Dude

October 8th, 2010
7:50 am

agree with most of your stuff today; however, you are only giving your beloved UGA a 3 point victory
dude where is the love or do you really think that Richt’s team is that bad?

AUM

October 8th, 2010
7:51 am

Hey JB, who is we? What position do you play?

Finchdawg

October 8th, 2010
7:51 am

You did it again. . ., Tony’s not a blind homer. He picked Colorado over UGA last week and was one of the few I saw, other than Schultzy, to do so. He does rely a lot on those late Blair Walsh field goals for his picks, however. Somehow, unfortunately, it never seems to come out that way.

I Agree

October 8th, 2010
7:51 am

Clemson does have a deeply ingrained mental problem when playing a quality opponent — even if they are the superior team. That said, North Carolina is not a quality opponent. Clemson should win this one easily. I consider GA vs. TN a “pick-em” game. It could be close, or it could be a blowout going either way. I wouldn’t bet on this one, despite the huge spread.

Pulpwood Smith

October 8th, 2010
7:54 am

You Gators will be whupped up on this year in JAX.

Keep running your snout

I Agree

October 8th, 2010
7:56 am

@AUM

Auburn probably needs to score 42 against the mildcats. I don’t think that they can hold Kentucky to under 35 points.

Beast from the East

October 8th, 2010
7:56 am

JB,
Your point about UT having a tough game with UAB is noted. But they did find a way to win a close ballgame. That’s something UGA has yet to prove they can do. That’s why I have to go with them over the Dawgs. Should be a good game and I hope your Dawgs can get things going this week.
Best of luck!

Who do you think "we" is you idiot?

October 8th, 2010
7:56 am

AUM, dont know why you and some others have a problem with someone calling their team “we”. The team represents the school, of which there are over 100,000 “we” alumni. “We” are proud of “our” school, if not the team this year.

What about you AUM? I guess you are proud of that Auburn U Montgomery degree “if you have one”.Who do “you” play this week, Alabama Huntsville?

Whaa...

October 8th, 2010
7:58 am

I just don’t see how you can pick Colorado to beat UGA , but not UT??? I wouldn’t be shocked if the Vols hold UGA to the goose-egg.

MURPHY

October 8th, 2010
8:00 am

Feathers A Flyin’

I hope so. I do believe the kick-in chickens will pull this off.

Dooley the Vol

October 8th, 2010
8:03 am

Classic trap game, Dawgs win but no where near a cover.

Dawg_Mike

October 8th, 2010
8:07 am

“Georgia gets the edge at home and wins with a Blair Walsh field goal at the buzzer. Georgia 17, Tennessee 14″

Tony, thats the entire problem- we keep playing for field goals ….
We have not found a way to win a close game yet and until we do………

5IML

October 8th, 2010
8:07 am

My prediction for this weekend: BAMA devours a two-piece original recipe, breast and wing. Hold the biscuits and hot sauce.

My prediction for the rest of the season: Apart from the game in Jax, all of UGA’s games appear on the SEC network at 12:21.

CFan

October 8th, 2010
8:10 am

I agree with all the picks (surprising). I believe the ‘Bama-SC game will end up being closer than most people think though, Florida-LSU won’t be quite that close, nor will Arkansas-Texas A&M.

JB

October 8th, 2010
8:10 am

Both JB’s posting this AM…….One of us signs off at the end with HBTD
THIS HAS BEEN A PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT.

I do think Dawgs will play a good game this week and win 24-17 or so

Tim

October 8th, 2010
8:14 am

No sense in even playing the rest of the season. The media has made Alabama the team of the century. Why don’t we call off the rest of the season, give the title to Bama and lets start the preseason talk all over again for next year!!!!

According to the media (even the awful Tony Barnhart), nobody is going to come close to beating Alabama.

CFan

October 8th, 2010
8:14 am

For all those up in arms about how Tony could pick UGA over UT, it must completely throw you for a loop to know that UGA is 11 pt favories in that game. I know I was lol.

MURPHY

October 8th, 2010
8:15 am

Not to get off the subject of this blog,but did anyone else see Nebraska play last nite? They are pretty impressive.

a blair walsh field goal wins it...ha!

October 8th, 2010
8:17 am

that was the “game plan” against both arkansas and colorado……with time running out.
but mike’ bobo’s offense couldn’t get us 20 yards when we needed it. .

Yellow Fuzz

October 8th, 2010
8:17 am

I would like attend the Tech game tomorrow, but with this runny nose and a dang yeast infection, I better stay in my room and just play video games…………….I think this yellow wig is causing my nose to run

Alphare

October 8th, 2010
8:17 am

Florida 14 LSU 13?

If it’s that close, Les M. will have another hard time with mathematics. Aren’t Urburn and Les good friends, a good friend won’t embarrass the other with sophisticated number countdown Maths question. Florida 34 LSU 13.

uga news flash

October 8th, 2010
8:17 am

UNIVERSITY NEWS UPDATE: UGA football practice was delayed nearly 2 hours this morning after a player found a foreign, white, powdery substance on the field. University authorities immediately suspended practice. GBI forensic experts quickly determined that the white substance was, in fact, the goal line. Practice resumed this afternoon after GBI agents decided the team was unlikely to encounter the substance again.

Henry

October 8th, 2010
8:18 am

Tennessee showed they still had a pulse last week. UGA is still DOA.

Tater Chugger

October 8th, 2010
8:22 am

As a Boise State fan, I just KNEW that Kansas State would win last night. After all, both teams were undefeated. I just don’t buy all of these theories about “strength of schedule”. Undefeated is undefeated… Right?

It’s not fair man. It’s just not fair.

reebok

October 8th, 2010
8:22 am

since UGA hasn’t beaten a division 1 team yet this year, i’m not sure why they should be favored over anybody (yeah, i know it’s not called Div 1 any more, but you know what I mean).

DawginLex

October 8th, 2010
8:22 am

Winners

Falcons
Bama
Georgia
FSU
Clemson
Michigan
Tech
Auburn
Arkansas
Stanford

closest game of the day will be Florida/LSU

Blowout of the day will be Stanford over USC

Most entertaining game will be the Georgia game.

reebok

October 8th, 2010
8:22 am

oh, and not to be one, but seriously…how can a 1-4 team have a ‘trap game?’

DawginLex

October 8th, 2010
8:24 am

Murphy,

If Richt can’t make this thing get better and he ends up leaving, Bo Pelini would be in the first group of coaches that I would hope UGA would consider. That freshman QB beat out last year’s starter. He might not want to leave him.

DawgFan

October 8th, 2010
8:24 am

Here’s the deal with UGA… Aaron Murray is getting better (not that he’s been to blame for this season), A.J. Green is back (and finally back between the hedges), and it’s not like Georgia’s been too far out of any of their games (save for one bad play against ARK, and the seeming inability to stop the Miss St ground game, the Dawgs would be 3-2). All that’s left is for the Georgia ground game to step up.

The Dawgs will break out against someone. Maybe it’s Tennessee, maybe Vandy. We’re not too far (Lord willing) from seeing this Georgia team realize that they actually can play ball.

jeff

October 8th, 2010
8:28 am

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