The Fearless Friday Forecast

 

As the calendar turns to October, let’s hope we have better luck with the Fearless Friday Forecast:

1.  Florida at Alabama: Alabama proved last week at Arkansas that it is good enough and certainly tough enough to at least think about repeating as national champions. The Crimson Tide secondary was vulnerable to the pass but grew up as the game went along. Florida also did some growing up last week by using freshman quarterback Trey Burton in the Wildcat package. He scored a school-record six touchdowns against Kentucky. Alabama coach Nick Saban will try to turn this into a blue collar football game while Florida will hope to hit some big plays against a rebuilt Crimson Tide secondary. Alabama 24, Florida 14.

2.  Miami at Clemson: Clemson has had a week off since a tough overtime loss at Auburn. The question I have is whether or not Miami quarterback Jacory Harris can keep from being an interception machine on the road. He had four at Ohio State on Sept. 11 and two last week at Pittsburgh. Clemson won a shootout (40-37) last year at Miami. This one, played at Death Valley, will feature less scoring but the outcome will be the same. Clemson 17, Miami 14.

3. Georgia Tech at Wake Forest: Wake Forest got off to a 2-0 start by beating Presbyterian and Duke and scoring 107 points in the process. Since then it’s been pretty bleak for the Deacons, losing 68-24 at Stanford and 31-0 at Florida State. The Deacons have given up 147 points against their three Division I-A opponents. I’m not sure why, but Georgia Tech didn’t really have a sense of urgency in last week’s  45-28 loss to N.C. State. The Yellow Jackets bounce back and go to 3-2. Georgia Tech 42, Wake Forest 21.

4. Georgia at Colorado: It was tempting pick Colorado because I don’t know if there is any fight left in this Georgia team. But Colorado (2-1) is so bad and A.J. Green is finally available for the Bulldogs. Colorado will be welcoming back its 1990 AP national championship team but, fortunately for the Bulldogs, Eric Bienemy will not be suiting up for the Buffs.  But you know what? I just talked myself out of picking Georgia. It’s time for this team to man up. I’ll believe it when I see it. Colorado 21, Georgia 20.

5. Virginia Tech at N.C. State: The Wolfpack is 4-0 and showed it was legit last week by winning at Georgia Tech. The young Virginia Tech defense has improved since a 33-30 loss to Boise State on Sept. 6. But has it improved enough to handle N.C. State quarterback Russell Wilson? I think not. N.C. State 28, Virginia Tech 24.

6. Tennessee at LSU: LSU has won four ugly games and on Saturday in Baton Rouge the Tigers will win ugly again. Undermanned Tennessee has played four straight home games to open the season. The Vols needed double overtime and five missed UAB field goals to win last week. LSU’s defense may be the best in the SEC. Its offense, given the talent at hand, might be the worst. LSU 24, Tennessee 3.

7. Stanford at Oregon: If not for Florida-Alabama this would be the best game on the board this weekend. Oregon had to work to win at Arizona State last week but I still think the Ducks are a Top 10 team. Stanford is just mashing everybody they play and Andrew Luck is the best quarterback in the Pac-10. I like the speed of Oregon and the home field edge of Autzen Stadium, where Stanford has lost its last four visits. Oregon 28, Stanford 24.

8. Texas vs. Oklahoma (Dallas):  Man, the air sure went out of this game when Texas lost to UCLA  (34-12) last week. It was the worst Texas loss at home in the Mack Brown era and the Longhorns simply we not ready to play.  That’s won’t be the case this week. Oklahoma has had close wins over Utah State, Air Force, and Cincinnati. It could be that we are looking at two pretty average teams. Look for Texas to commit to stopping the run and hope that OU quarterback Landry Jones won’t beat them. He will. Oklahoma 28, Texas 24.

9. Kentucky at Ole Miss: Kentucky has come back down to Earth after last week’s trip to the woodshed at Florida. But the Ole Miss defense has struggled all season and it won’t be better without DE Kentrell Lockett, who is out for the season with a knee injury. Kentucky 31, Ole Miss 21.

10. Wisconsin at Michigan State: Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio returns after suffering a heart attack two weeks ago after a win over Notre Dame. Dantonio will work from the press box. I like Sparty at home. Michigan State 21, Wisconsin 17.

Please follow me on Twitter:

www.twitter.com/MrCFB

Programming note: Among our guests on the “Barnhart and Durham” show on Friday will be Caulton Tudor, veteran columnist of the Raleigh News & Observer. He will give us the latest on the growing story surrounding the troubled football program at North Carolina. Rachel Baribeau of TideSports.com joins us to break down Saturday’s Florida-Alabama game. The fun starts at 10 a.m. on www.790thezone.com.

313 comments Add your comment

Polobert

October 1st, 2010
7:39 am

Thanks for the 3 points Tony. Not sure the Dooley Vols will get that with Stinking Lincoln kicking

Big time?? Not

October 1st, 2010
7:39 am

First and FOur tickets, four hot dogs, four cokes

Well, you finally...

October 1st, 2010
7:39 am

…got off the UGA bandwagon…

Big time?? Not

October 1st, 2010
7:40 am

Or 2nd. tech is still a loser program

steve

October 1st, 2010
7:40 am

UGA can’t score enough pionts to beat anyone!!!!

JB

October 1st, 2010
7:48 am

Well, we win this week……………..Schultz, then Tony picking us to lose………….Automatic in Boulder.

travy

October 1st, 2010
7:49 am

gators shake up the world. 27-19

david

October 1st, 2010
7:50 am

I think this is one of the few times I have seen blue blood pick against UGA. At least your Miami hate is still intact, by picking Clemson. Miami’s running goes out of hiding this week.

Colonel Rebel

October 1st, 2010
7:51 am

Tony, you’re dead wrong about the Ole Miss Rebels this weekend. They are going to beat Kentucky.

Jeremiah Masoli has been getting better and better, and this is going to be a breakout game for him.

Yes, Ole Miss’s defense sucks, but the offense is going to be able to put up enough points to overcome that.

Shocker: Ole Miss will win the SEC West this season after Bama, Auburn, LSU, et al., beat themselves senseless and take themselves out of contention.

Mark my words, Tony, you fat redneck.

WEAGLE!!

October 1st, 2010
7:52 am

Traitor! How can you pick CO? I’m shocked. Shocked, I tell you. And you picked UAT too. It’s the end of the freaking world! Oh yeah, fearless.

JB

October 1st, 2010
7:53 am

Colonel…………………You really ought to wait till after lunch to start indulging for the day.

Jehro Bodeen

October 1st, 2010
7:54 am

Right now…Tech couldn’t beat Bugtussle even if Sam Drukerd was coaching this team! Georgia will win big time! Tony..you need Granny to read the tea leaves for you on this picking football games! Did you go to Potts School too?

DawgnGA

October 1st, 2010
7:55 am

Colonel HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.. Go back to the Grove and get another Toddy

tiger

October 1st, 2010
7:56 am

Bama 27 Gators 13
Miami 24 Clemson 17
GT 38 Wake 24
UGA 20 Colorado 17
NC St 28 Va Tech 24
LSU 24 Tenn 13
Oregon 34 Stanford 28
OU 28 UT 17
UK 33 Ole Miss 30

Purple Drank

October 1st, 2010
7:57 am

Are the “Richt is a God” kncukleheads still around here? Don’t see them anywhere.

jumbeauxtiger

October 1st, 2010
7:58 am

tiger is me.

Scrap

October 1st, 2010
7:58 am

Tony………let me ask you about Durham………since I can’t break away to phone in, I wish you would ask him a question on your show……I’m a Tech fan, and have been since Bobby Dodd’s big win over Alabama in 63…….I used to love listening to Ciraldo on the Radio…….When Wes took over, I thought Wes is a pretty good ball game caller, but he’s not a Tech fan like Ciraldo was…..and I missed that…….Somewhere along the way, he began to sound like a real Tech fan, and he’s absolutely a Paul Johnson fan…….I’d love to know when and why he became a real Homer.

JB

October 1st, 2010
8:00 am

Columnist for the Boulder paper this week ( it’s still online if you want to read it) wrote that he hoped their AD would bump into Mark on the filed before the game and chit chat about how wonderful Colorado is and Boulder is and wouldn’t it be a great place to live Coach Richt.
Funny how we have him packing and they would love to have him. The article starts off by telling the readers that Mark lived near Boulder as a young Child.

Please....

October 1st, 2010
8:02 am

You’re “Colonel Rebel” and you’re calling Tony a “fat redneck”? Have you ever heard the phrase, “the pot calling the kettle black”? And you think Tired Old Miss will win the west? Maybe you should be Colonel Dumbell. Ha!

UGA=Yawn

October 1st, 2010
8:07 am

They took Reggie Bush’s Heisman back – they need to take Colorado’s Nat’l Championship back. 5 downs to beat Missouri. Way to go. There was only 1 true Nat’l Championship in 1990 – and that is Georgia Tech!!

UGA=Yawn

October 1st, 2010
8:09 am

. . . and PS: stop bad mouthing Richt. He is a good guy. I don’t like UGA at all but find it difficult to dislike Mark. He is classy and has good intentions. 100 times better than that awful loser Vince Dooley!

Palladin

October 1st, 2010
8:10 am

RE: No. 4

Channeling Pat Dye much there, Tony?

Maybe it’ll work… This week. :-)

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
8:11 am

Rocky Top upsets Lswho? in Baton rouge!
Miami beats Clem-son
Tide tops Gaytors but lose next week agains the kickin chickens
Dawgs-who knows?

Colonel Rebel

October 1st, 2010
8:17 am

Go ahead and make your derogatory comments about the mighty Rebels, you Georgia homers. You know as well as I do that Mark Richt isn’t qualified to shave the Right Reverend Houston Nutt’s ballsack.

UGA is lucky it doesn’t have to play Ole Miss this season. Of course, if Ole Miss was on UGA’s schedule, UGA would probably just back out like it did with Oregon.

But you’re right about one thing: I should not have called Tony a fat redneck. I apologize Tony. You’re not a fat, redn. . . . oh, wait a minute.

ratherBgambling

October 1st, 2010
8:19 am

UF 23
Bammers20

Urban is the best big game college coach around.

ChizzedOn

October 1st, 2010
8:19 am

Bama oversigns, cheats, and no one honestly believes they have 13 championships.

Regardless they beat the worst Gaytors team that CUM has coached, 37-14. FLA is AWFUL!

Dawg_Mike

October 1st, 2010
8:20 am

With FL defense playing well, Bammer should get no more than 2 TD’s.
FL should also get 2 TD’s, so it becomes a FG to win it, from the home team.

5IML

October 1st, 2010
8:20 am

ratherB,

Wasn’t last year’s SECCG a big game?

Raze

October 1st, 2010
8:23 am

Surpirse, all the AJC writer picking AGAINST Georgia????

Thanks for the support and loyalty guys.

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
8:25 am

Urban is the best big game college coach around?

Yeah he looked real good in last years SEC Championship game!! Wasnt he crying along with Tebow?

ratherBgambling

October 1st, 2010
8:25 am

Urban:

3-O BCS games
14-0 vs Big 3 rivals (UGA, UT, FSU)
2-1 SEC Championship games

UF 23
Bammers20

5IML

October 1st, 2010
8:28 am

0-1 in last big game

ratherBgambling

October 1st, 2010
8:29 am

Correction

Those Dwags got use one year

5IML

October 1st, 2010
8:32 am

BAMA by 10.

UGA rebounds and beats Colorado badly.

DawginLex

October 1st, 2010
8:34 am

The most entertaining game of the weekend will be Miami and Clemson. I’m picking Clemson to win the ACC.

Now that I have done so, they will promptly go 6-6……………

Tech wins but Weak Forest makes it close.
UGA wins on a FG
Bama beats Florida 24-20
LSU 24 UT 9
OK vs Texas will be close say 24-23 OK
Stanford makes a statement and smashes Oregon in the mouth 49-35

ArchDawg

October 1st, 2010
8:35 am

Georgia wins big this weekend. No ifs, ands or buffaloes about it.

GStateBen

October 1st, 2010
8:35 am

No Georgia State pick? Come on TB! You’re better than that!

AJ should not start and Texas Tech

October 1st, 2010
8:35 am

AJ Green should not play in the game until late in the game and that should be mid thrid qtr. This will show the world that Coach Richt can deal with selfish punk players.

UGA faithful will not recall his name in say 4 or 5 more years. AJ Green and Ealey are two men that will soon be forgotton like Japser Sanks has been. Both Ealey and Green will be gone for 2011 but for different reasons.

We will see the beginning of UGA’ new spread offense with Aaron MUrray throwing the ball left and right and verticallybut for the most part, a short to intermediate passing game. It is about time. Aaron MUrray will use the pass to set up the run instead of vice versa. Ala Texas Tech’s old style to move the chains. This will keep UGa alive on long, steady drives and rest our horrific d team. Murray could easily throw for 350 yds with this style of play and UGA should win like 31-20.

Go Dogs.

Bama Cheats

October 1st, 2010
8:35 am

Not to start a new rumor, but rumor has it Saban is about to be on the hot seat in Tuscaloosa. NCAA is quietly going after Bama for a couple of violations.

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
8:35 am

Urban is a great coach but I will take Saban every time to coach a big game .

SEC Fact Finder(the real one)

October 1st, 2010
8:38 am

Tony,

Good article and insight.

UA stops a UF team on pure force and shut down strenght. 31 – 20
GT musters a win while still finding their identity 40- 21
UGA fights to win in long day for the dogs 34- 30
Clemson bounces back 28-24
MSU beats Wisconsin for coach d. 38-28
Oklahoma tops Texas 48-34

Good luck to all of your teams this weekend.

Christopher

October 1st, 2010
8:39 am

Alabama over Florida
Ole Miss over Kentucky
Colorado over Georgia
and the big upset:
Tennessee over LSU

5IML

October 1st, 2010
8:39 am

@ Bama Cheats,

Rumor also has it that there are a lot of jealous and fearful fans of other programs posting rumors on blogs. Thank you for confirmation.

Admiral Ackbar

October 1st, 2010
8:40 am

Colonel Rebel…IT’S A TRAP!

Purple Drank

October 1st, 2010
8:42 am

. . . and PS: stop bad mouthing Richt. He is a good guy. I don’t like UGA at all but find it difficult to dislike Mark. He is classy and has good intentions. 100 times better than that awful loser Vince Dooley!

Classy guy? Kind of like when he ordered his guys to get an unsportsmanlike penalty and sent them out as a team to dance in the endzone? Very classy indeed. How’d that work out for hairbrush anyway?

82Dawg

October 1st, 2010
8:43 am

@Bama Cheats ….Bama could be banned from football,and Saban still would not be on the “hot seat”

Bama Cheats

October 1st, 2010
8:43 am

@ 5IML

I’ll remember that 5 years from now as Saban leads the Detroit Lions to the playoffs.

Bama Cheats

October 1st, 2010
8:43 am

Barack Hussein Obama

October 1st, 2010
8:44 am

Admiral Ackbar…..IT’S A TARP!!!!!

5IML

October 1st, 2010
8:46 am

@ Bama Cheats

Are you:

A. Jealous and fearful of Saban, the individual
B. Jealous and fearful of BAMA, the program
C. Both A & B

I’m just curious.