The Fearless Friday Forecast

 

As the calendar turns to October, let’s hope we have better luck with the Fearless Friday Forecast:

1.  Florida at Alabama: Alabama proved last week at Arkansas that it is good enough and certainly tough enough to at least think about repeating as national champions. The Crimson Tide secondary was vulnerable to the pass but grew up as the game went along. Florida also did some growing up last week by using freshman quarterback Trey Burton in the Wildcat package. He scored a school-record six touchdowns against Kentucky. Alabama coach Nick Saban will try to turn this into a blue collar football game while Florida will hope to hit some big plays against a rebuilt Crimson Tide secondary. Alabama 24, Florida 14.

2.  Miami at Clemson: Clemson has had a week off since a tough overtime loss at Auburn. The question I have is whether or not Miami quarterback Jacory Harris can keep from being an interception machine on the road. He had four at Ohio State on Sept. 11 and two last week at Pittsburgh. Clemson won a shootout (40-37) last year at Miami. This one, played at Death Valley, will feature less scoring but the outcome will be the same. Clemson 17, Miami 14.

3. Georgia Tech at Wake Forest: Wake Forest got off to a 2-0 start by beating Presbyterian and Duke and scoring 107 points in the process. Since then it’s been pretty bleak for the Deacons, losing 68-24 at Stanford and 31-0 at Florida State. The Deacons have given up 147 points against their three Division I-A opponents. I’m not sure why, but Georgia Tech didn’t really have a sense of urgency in last week’s  45-28 loss to N.C. State. The Yellow Jackets bounce back and go to 3-2. Georgia Tech 42, Wake Forest 21.

4. Georgia at Colorado: It was tempting pick Colorado because I don’t know if there is any fight left in this Georgia team. But Colorado (2-1) is so bad and A.J. Green is finally available for the Bulldogs. Colorado will be welcoming back its 1990 AP national championship team but, fortunately for the Bulldogs, Eric Bienemy will not be suiting up for the Buffs.  But you know what? I just talked myself out of picking Georgia. It’s time for this team to man up. I’ll believe it when I see it. Colorado 21, Georgia 20.

5. Virginia Tech at N.C. State: The Wolfpack is 4-0 and showed it was legit last week by winning at Georgia Tech. The young Virginia Tech defense has improved since a 33-30 loss to Boise State on Sept. 6. But has it improved enough to handle N.C. State quarterback Russell Wilson? I think not. N.C. State 28, Virginia Tech 24.

6. Tennessee at LSU: LSU has won four ugly games and on Saturday in Baton Rouge the Tigers will win ugly again. Undermanned Tennessee has played four straight home games to open the season. The Vols needed double overtime and five missed UAB field goals to win last week. LSU’s defense may be the best in the SEC. Its offense, given the talent at hand, might be the worst. LSU 24, Tennessee 3.

7. Stanford at Oregon: If not for Florida-Alabama this would be the best game on the board this weekend. Oregon had to work to win at Arizona State last week but I still think the Ducks are a Top 10 team. Stanford is just mashing everybody they play and Andrew Luck is the best quarterback in the Pac-10. I like the speed of Oregon and the home field edge of Autzen Stadium, where Stanford has lost its last four visits. Oregon 28, Stanford 24.

8. Texas vs. Oklahoma (Dallas):  Man, the air sure went out of this game when Texas lost to UCLA  (34-12) last week. It was the worst Texas loss at home in the Mack Brown era and the Longhorns simply we not ready to play.  That’s won’t be the case this week. Oklahoma has had close wins over Utah State, Air Force, and Cincinnati. It could be that we are looking at two pretty average teams. Look for Texas to commit to stopping the run and hope that OU quarterback Landry Jones won’t beat them. He will. Oklahoma 28, Texas 24.

9. Kentucky at Ole Miss: Kentucky has come back down to Earth after last week’s trip to the woodshed at Florida. But the Ole Miss defense has struggled all season and it won’t be better without DE Kentrell Lockett, who is out for the season with a knee injury. Kentucky 31, Ole Miss 21.

10. Wisconsin at Michigan State: Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio returns after suffering a heart attack two weeks ago after a win over Notre Dame. Dantonio will work from the press box. I like Sparty at home. Michigan State 21, Wisconsin 17.

Please follow me on Twitter:

www.twitter.com/MrCFB

Programming note: Among our guests on the “Barnhart and Durham” show on Friday will be Caulton Tudor, veteran columnist of the Raleigh News & Observer. He will give us the latest on the growing story surrounding the troubled football program at North Carolina. Rachel Baribeau of TideSports.com joins us to break down Saturday’s Florida-Alabama game. The fun starts at 10 a.m. on www.790thezone.com.

313 comments Add your comment

G8R GRAD

October 1st, 2010
10:08 am

5IML @ 8:49:

Death Wish Boy makes this alumnus SO proud!

;o)~

Atlanta Gator

October 1st, 2010
10:11 am

Contrary to today’s conventional wisdom, it is not impossible for the Gators to be beat the Tide in Tuscaloosa. In fact, 9 of the Gators’ 14 wins over the Tide happened in the hostile environments of Tuscaloosa, Birmingham or Montgomery. One of the greatest wins in the history of the Florida Gators football program was the 10-6 upset victory of Ray Graves’ Gators over a 1963 Tide team quarterbacked by Joe Namath in Tuscaloosa—-one of only two losses suffered by the Tide in Tuscaloosa while Bear Bryant was coach. In 1923, future general James Van Fleet’s superbly coached Gators upset the Tide in Tuscaloosa and cost Wallace Wade a Southern Conference title in his first year as coach. On the other hand, the Tide is one of only two teams to ever beat the Gators twice in the same season (1999), the other being FSU (1994).

Oddly, 9 of the Tide’s 21 victories over the Gators took place in either Gainesville or Jacksonville. The overall series record favors the Tide 21-14, but the Gators are 8-5 vs. the Tide since 1990. The outcome of the Alabama-Florida game has determined a Southern Conference or SEC championship at least ten times (1923, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1996, 1999, 2007, 2008, 2009), and has been a key determinant of a national championship at five times (1992, 1996, 2006, 2008, 2009).

The Tide dominated the series while Bryant was coach, posting a 7-1 record between 1963 and 1979. Under Spurrier, the Gators went 6-3 between 1990 and 1999. Under Meyer, the Gators are 2-2 against the Tide.

This really is a much more interesting series than most people seem to remember. Good luck to Tide fans, and may the best team win (it usually does).

6 meaningless titles in minor league football

October 1st, 2010
10:11 am

No prediction about Georgia Southern’s game against Agnes Scott?

Oh, right, this is the REAL college football blog.

Sick of the trolling

October 1st, 2010
10:13 am

If you are sick of people ‘trolling’ these boards with juvenile comments, please send the AJC a suggestion to require a user name and password log-in to post comments. I think that this will dissuade this behavior as they will lose the ability to use multiple user names. Also, only people who really are motivated to comment will take the 5 minutes to register through email. Personally, I’d like to see some civility and intelligence return to these boards. You can send your suggestion/request through this link: http://projects.ajc.com/customercare/contactus-form/

some things are more important than $aban

October 1st, 2010
10:17 am

`
Bama finally loses one.

Sick of the trolling

October 1st, 2010
10:18 am

Did I mention I’m gay?

G8R GRAD

October 1st, 2010
10:21 am

AG:

As with investments disclaimers, so goes your contribution:

“Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted.”

dawgmatic

October 1st, 2010
10:22 am

Georgia should be glad they don’t have to play Ole Miss???

Ole Miss should be grateful they don’t have to play Jacksonville State again!!

Atlanta Gator

October 1st, 2010
10:25 am

G8R GRAD—-

Please note: I did not suggest who would win this year’s game(s), only that the series has a very interesting history in which the home team does not have an overwhelming advantage.

Don’t count the Gators out just yet.

Ted Brogan

October 1st, 2010
10:25 am

Isn’t the main point of college football to win a national championship? So everyone can talk smack about Bama cheating and Florida but their fans have a championship in the past two years. So Auburn and GA fans keep on talking but I’ll let you know it’s pretty fun to go to the big game, hope you get to do it in your lifetime.
Good luck to FL this weekend but Roll Tide.

Ramblinon&on

October 1st, 2010
10:27 am

Colonel Sanders, I think Ole Miss fans smack talking rights have been revoked at least until the 2011 season. You lost to an FCS school & Vandy (badly at home I might add). Ole Miss is worse than Tech & Georgia this year. I wish we played you this year. We beat your instate rival two years in a row like a redheaded stepchild & I don’t think yall would do much better even with our inept team.

G8R GRAD

October 1st, 2010
10:29 am

G8R GRAD

October 1st, 2010
10:29 am

Delbert D.

October 1st, 2010
10:30 am

Uh-oh. My picks are the same as Tony’s, except I picked Georgia. I’m doomed.

G8R GRAD

October 1st, 2010
10:33 am

AG:

I’m not worried.
Even if the Gators lose and we run the rest of the season unscathed, we, in all likelihood, get another shot at the Tide in Atlanta with a healthy Demps, a beat up Bama squad and our only loss being to the then #1.

:o )

T3

October 1st, 2010
10:33 am

Will a loss by UGA to Colorado be consdiered another one of Tony’s……

“unspeakable human tragedies” ????????

Wally Butts' Designated Stumbler

October 1st, 2010
10:36 am

Richt must really be scared of losing this one. Otherwise, he would’ve “walked the walk” on his “integrity” talk and benched the thug Ben Jones.

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
10:37 am

Bama will beat the Gators this week but lose to Carolina next week

GT Dude

October 1st, 2010
10:40 am

Well, I see that Tony and Shultz have put the kiss of death on TECH this weekend and Dodd’s Luck on the doggies; both predict a TECH win while both predict a UGA lose
I think the last time this happened was the last year on the Saturday after Thanksgiving and we all know how that turned out.:-(

Atlanta Gator

October 1st, 2010
10:41 am

Best of the rest—-

2. Clemson over Miami? Home field advantage edge for the CU Tigers worth a 21-14 victory.

3. Georgia Tech gets a feel-good win over Wake Forest 35-10.

4. UGA at Colorado? Well, we’re going to find how bad the Dawgs really are, whether Richt can still motivate his players, and whether UGA will have the same coach next year. My prediction: the Dawgs pull out a squeaker on the road, 17-14.

5. Virginia Tech at NC State? Hokies win one because the Wolfpack has always been good for at least one major choke every season in my lifetime.

6. Tennessee at LSU? Home team Tigers crush the Vols with defense 21-0.

7. Stanford at Oregon? My wild-@ss east coast guess: Cardinal over the Fighting Ducks (or Furry Beavers, or Felonious Transfers, or whatever).

8. Red River Shoot-out? Texas returns to form and beats Oklahoma, 24-17.

9. Kentucky vs. Ole Miss? Wildcats, Wildcats, Wildcats. Pick a score. Nutt has started his slide.

10. Wisconsin at Michigan State? Spartans 13, Bucky Badger 9, and Cloud of Dust 2.

ceph

October 1st, 2010
10:42 am

Richt needs to stop talking and start coaching. He is a combination of Barney Fife (Andy Griffith) and Eddie Haskell (Leave it to Beaver) The more he talks the more stupid things he says (Barney) then he tries to get you to believe them (Eddie).Richt is on a mission to save the Bulldog Nation from themselves and to convince us mediocrity is the norm and is ok. I can’t believe he actually said that for the fans watching who actually have their own problems he is going to show us “how to deal with adversity” What a joke, personally I don’t need Richt to show me anything except how to right the ship which is sinking fast! What is the adversity? Is it the fans simply wanting him to take a very talented team (that is getting steamrolled by lesser talent) and make them winners, is that adversity, I think not! The adversity is in his own mind because the fans won’t go along with his inane excuses and alibis. He is trying to get us to go along with his complacency (8 or 9 wins is OK) I think Richt is basically a lazy person who doesn;t have a will to win and he simply doesn;t have the skills to get us to another level and he keeps trying to convince us that where we are is fine and dandy, wrong!!!!!!! He simply needs to get the hell out of Georgia and go to Mt. Sinai and save the world instead of Dawg fans. We don’t ned saving we need a coach who is committed to making us a national player. We never get mentioned on ESPN unless we have an arrest and that is pathetic!

TheTaxJacket

October 1st, 2010
10:43 am

*** Nesbitt for Heismen ***

(((( 45 – 42 ))))

RxDawg

October 1st, 2010
10:46 am

6 meaningless titles in minor league football
October 1st, 2010
10:11 am

Georgia Southern has a troll now? I’m so proud of my little bros down in Statesboro. They’ve truly hit the big time now.

Atlanta Gator

October 1st, 2010
10:52 am

Ceph—-

Some Dawg fan who has more disposable income than I do these days needs to send CMR and the entire Dawgs roster copies of David Maraniss’ book “When Pride Still Mattered: A Life of Vince Lombardi.” Lombardi knew how to challenge his players’ manhood. Lombardi never had a perfect season, but he sure won a few championships.

BTW, it’s no fun kicking a Dawg who won’t fight back. Buck up.

The General Feeling

October 1st, 2010
10:54 am

Tennessee’s Daniel Lincoln is perfect in FGs this year with three outside of 47 yards. He might be the only one NOT stinking.

@BAMA CHEATS Yep, and they are so proud of it…

I’ll be pulling for Floriduh over The Cheaters because, we’ll, I’ve never pulled for The Cheaters.

UGA will beat Colorado. I’m not sure how, but they will.

Clemmons, Ole Misery, and Red River sleepfest? Who cares? Oregon vs. Stanford will be the best game of the day. Pine nutts beat foie gras.

RxDawg

October 1st, 2010
10:55 am

We’ll try AG….we’ll try

Sean

October 1st, 2010
10:55 am

Florida is going to beat Alabama. And I’d be shocked if Clemson won…Miami is simply a better team.

http://thebubblescreen.blogspot.com/2010/10/week-5-picks-florida-oregon-iowa-and.html

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
10:55 am

ceph,

We get mentioned every week on ESPN. We are the team everyone gets to use their highlights on. Any time Mallet,Carolina or Florida is on it seems they show the highlights from the games with UGA.

GatorGuy

October 1st, 2010
10:59 am

ratherBgambling – Your point is well taken but Urban did lose one game to UGA.

Les W. Moore

October 1st, 2010
11:02 am

Volunteer coaches gave the team an extra day off (Monday) to rest and relax for a trip to Death Valley and the Bengal Tigers. So do you think the Vols have game tape on how to beat a John Chavis defense?

Imagine Tommy Tuberville’s ears and Mark Richt’s forehead on a chick? Mrs. Potato Head?

Papa Jack

October 1st, 2010
11:08 am

Silver Britches, Red Panties

October 1st, 2010
11:12 am

Tony, I think I know what you are doing and I believe the reverse psychology will work and Our Beloved Dawgs will prevail!

Especially if Coach Richt has a few tricks up his sleeve, like those stunning black jerseys!

Big Time, I love it when a fan of Our Beloved Dawgs calls another team a “loser”! Talk about sassy!

S FL Chapter of the Bulldog Nation

October 1st, 2010
11:16 am

UGA needs to Win…bottom line. That’s all I have to say about it. This teams been waiting for someone to step up and say “follow me”. AJ’s that guy, and he’s been foaming at the mouth to do it….UGA Wins in CO. They have no choice! Their backs are flat against the wall and they do have fight left in them. There’s no way in hell this team lays down for the rest of this season….no way in hell!!

GO OUT THERE AND HANDLE YOUR BUSINESS DAWGS!!!! 60 MIN OF HARD HITTING SMASH MOUTH SEC FOOTBALL!!!!! LET’S GO!!!! DO WORK DAWGS!!!! MAN UP!!!!!

GO DAWGS!!!!!!!!!

RxDawg

October 1st, 2010
11:16 am

lol MURPHY, great point. We’re the “hears what not to do” team.

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
11:26 am

RxDawg,

Amen to that!

Tide4u2c

October 1st, 2010
11:27 am

I pick Alabama to win every week they play and they have won every week so I’m going to pick them again over Florida. Roll Tide! Tide 24 Gators 17.

#1 BAMA FAN

October 1st, 2010
11:28 am

Hey ratherbgambling…..are you saying you want the GATORS straight up? How about Meyers least trip to Tuscaloosa and last trip to Atlanta…they were embarassed. Tide rolls 38-13…RTR

GeneralNeyland96

October 1st, 2010
11:28 am

C’mon everybody…..Please send “orange thoughts” towards Baton Rouge on Saturday at 2:30 Central……we need all the well wishes we can garner and dammit, it’s about time UT has a game go their way!!

UT 24 LSU 21 (on a last second DL Field Goal)

You Ain't-Know Gaily Whacker

October 1st, 2010
11:34 am

jbirdawg

October 1st, 2010
11:39 am

Tony, You must be pulling a Pat Dye here, challenging the home team. It will come off looking like it may have helped because the Dawgs are going to put it together this week. A can of Whoop Arse will be opened up in Boulder.

MURPHY

October 1st, 2010
11:40 am

GeneralNeyland96,of the orange nation

I picked UT to pull the upset! Dooley will win a couple he isnt suppose to. I dont believe UT is as bad as everyone thinks. I sure dont look forward to playing them in Athens!

Sam

October 1st, 2010
11:48 am

When UGA loses Tony, it has lost America.

sunny purdue

October 1st, 2010
11:49 am

Jawga does not lose games because you pick them to win – they lose because the players, coaches, stadium, campus, student body and alumni suck.

Ed

October 1st, 2010
11:50 am

Bama 24 UF 17
Miami 21 Clemson 24
GT 27 Wake 21
UGA 24 Colorado 26
LSU 31 Tenn 13
OU 31 UT 23
UK 33 Ole Miss 23

Bear's Ghost

October 1st, 2010
11:55 am

Feeling, do you pull for Bruce Pearl?

Gen Neyland

October 1st, 2010
11:56 am

MURPHY : We thank you for your, ahem, support. GBO

Gen Neyland

October 1st, 2010
11:58 am

Bear’s Ghost : Can we stay focused on football..? Ask THAT question in DEC…

Dontavius Supremo

October 1st, 2010
12:05 pm

Colorado 28, Georgia 10. Just a feeling. A very sick feeling. I hope Tech does better, and I predict a win for them inasmuch as they are playing a patsy. Oregon will take Stanford t the woodshed. And by the way, when’s the last time a PAC 10 team won a national chamoionship? Not since USC got caught cheating??

ceph

October 1st, 2010
12:07 pm

Murph, you are correct we make great highlights for opposing teams, pretty sad isn’t it!!!

Gen Neyland

October 1st, 2010
12:10 pm

To my Tennessee Brothers : How many false starts does our OL get pegged with tomorrow..? Would it a leap to ask for zero..?