Tech wins a squeaker; Georgia survives in Starkville

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. N.C. State at Georgia Tech: The last time the Wolfpack was 3-0 (2002) they eventually got to 9-0 before the run was stopped by Georgia Tech in Raleigh. As a Tech fan you need to be concerned that N.C. State quarterback Russell Wilson is just now knocking off the rust after playing minor league baseball all summer–and he threw for 333 yards and three touchdowns in his last outing against Cincinnati. Wilson has thrown 101 passes this season without an interception. That will change at Bobby Dodd Stadium on Saturday. Georgia Tech 21, N.C. State 20.

2. Georgia at Miss. State: Don’t worry about the cowbells, Bulldog fans. They are loud. It’s life on the road in the SEC. The thing to worry about is that the Mississippi State quarterbacks–Chris Relf and Tyler Russell–are due for a breakout game. And after giving up just less than four bills against Arkansas last week, the Georgia secondary is not going to put a lot of fear into anyone. My advice to Georgia? Just run the football and wear this team down. It’s time for the offensive line to man up and win a game for Georgia. Georgia 24, Miss. State 17.

3. Alabama at Arkansas: This summer I asked Arkansas quarterback Ryan Mallett about Saturday’s date with No. 1 Alabama and how excited the Hogs’ fans would be. He smiled: “I hear we’ve sold all the tickets and will probably draw a big crowd.” Yep. With both teams in the Top 10, it’s the second biggest game ever played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. In 1969 No. 1 Texas beat No. 2 Arkansas 15-14 in a game that decided the national championship. Arkansas will have the crowd but Alabama still has that massive offensive line and the best running back combo on the planet in Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson. I could be wrong.  But I think Alabama starts to pull away in the fourth quarter. Alabama 34, Arkansas 21.

4. South Carolina at Auburn: First of all, I wonder how much Auburn has left in the tank after last week’s very physical overtime win against Clemson. South Carolina is going to come to Jordan-Hare Stadium for its first road of the season and try to beat Auburn by using the Georgia game plan: That’s a heavy dose of running back Marcus Lattimore and just enough passing to keep the defense honest. Look for Auburn to put an extra defender in the box and to force the Head Ball Coach to air it out with quarterback Stephen Garcia. Then what happens is anybody’s guess. I like the Gamecocks in this one because Ellis Johnson’s defense is going to cause some problems for Auburn’s quarterback, Cameron Newton. South Carolina 17, Auburn 14.

5. Kentucky at Florida: So how many times have we said this: Kentucky has the best offense in the SEC East? Right now the Wildcats are certainly better on offense than Florida. Kentucky needs to keep one streak going: The Wildcats have not given up a turnover in three games. If the Wildcats can do that, then they have a puncher’s chance to end their 23-game losing streak to the Gators. All I know is that the Florida defense already has 10 interceptions. UK quarterback Mike Hartline must take care of  the football. Florida 21, Kentucky 10.

6. Oregon State at Boise State: The Broncos are ranked No. 3 and the release of the first BCS standings don’t come until Oct. 17. In the meantime Boise must keep winning and do it with style points. I’ve got Oregon State as my darkhorse pick to win the Pac-10. The Beavers (1-1) lost to No. 4 TCU  (30-21) and almost lost to Louisville (35-28) last week. College Game Day is coming to Boise and the world will be watching. The Broncos need to put on a show. Boise State 42, Oregon State 27.

7. Stanford at Notre Dame: Stanford has won its first three games (Sacremento State, UCLA, Wake Forest) by a combined score of 155-41. Quarterback Andrew Luck has already thrown for 674 yards with no interceptions. Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh has got a little bit of an attitude about him and his fans like that. I know this sounds crazy but I have it on good authority that Stanford was really jacked up to play Wake Forest after losing to the Deacons last year in Winston-Salem. Could the Cardinal have a let down at Notre Dame (1-2), which needs a win after two straight losses at the buzzer? I’ll go with Stanford and the hot quarterback. Stanford 35, Notre Dame 27.

8. UAB at Tennessee: It’s obvious now that Tennessee is going to have to take baby steps (two steps forward, one step back) in this first season under Derek Dooley. The good news is that Tennessee played the full 60 minutes against Florida before losing 31-17. The week before the Volunteers basically packed it in after falling behind in the second half against Oregon. Here is why Saturday’s game with UAB is so important. A win gives the Volunteers a 2-2 record with games coming up at LSU, at Georgia, Alabama in Knoxville, and at South Carolina. You have to figure Tennessee will be 2-6 heading into November. They will still be able to get to 6-6 and Dooley can point to a tangible goal. Having a goal is important to a struggling team. Tennessee 27, UAB 10.

9. Virginia Tech at Boston College: After a tough three weeks to open the season, the Hokies (1-2) open ACC play on the road. My buddy Bill Roth, the radio voice of Virginia Tech, tells me that no Hokie has scored a rushing touchdown at Boston College since Lee Suggs did it in 2002. In fact, Boston College has beaten Virginia Tech in five of its last six meetings, including a 14-10 win at Virginia Tech in 2007 led by Matt Ryan. I think Boston College beats the Hokies again. Boston College 21, Virginia Tech 17.

10. West Virginia at LSU: It’s a non-conference game. It will also be the best party in all of college football this weekend. LSU (3-0) needs to keep winning because the Tigers want to be 5-0 when they go to Florida on Oct. 9. West Virginia (3-0) may be the class of the Big East now that Pittsburgh is 1-2. The Mountaineers have some playmakers in QB Geno Smith (800 yards passing, 7 TD) and Noel Devine (118 yards rushing per game). But I see LSU’s defense as too big and quick. Both sides win the party. LSU wins the game. LSU 24, West Virginia 14.

Please follow me on Twitter:

www.twitter.com/MrCFB

Programming note: Today on the “Barnhart and Durham Show” we’ll welcome Gainesville Sun columnist Pat Dooley to give us an update on the Florida Gators. Sports agent Pat Dye, Jr. will join us as well as Bob Behler, the radio voice of Boise State. We’ll also replay an interview I did with Arkansas coach Bobby Petrino as he talks about Saturday’s big game with Alabama. The fun starts at 10 a.m. on 790 The Zone. www.790thezone.com.

520 comments Add your comment

GoGators

September 24th, 2010
8:21 pm

Better get this right Tony. By your predictions, your dawgs would be 4-0 after this weekend.

Bama fans for bammers

September 24th, 2010
9:50 pm

Will the fleabag nation riot if thUGA loses tomorrow night?

Losers

Palladin

September 24th, 2010
9:52 pm

Auburn has the historical advantage in this series. Since 1930 Auburn has won 6, tied 1 and lost 1 to South Carolina. Auburn also has home field advantage. With both teams posting a 3-0 record, one would think that Auburn would be the favored team in this contest — but apparently people aren’t betting that way.

This is a make or break game for South Carolina. It should matter more to them than it does to Auburn. This season represents the best chance they’ve had for a shot at the SEC Championship since they’ve been in the Conference.

They’ve only played 3 games, but I’ve been more impressed by the play of South Carolina… so far.

RED PANTIES for tHUGA

September 24th, 2010
10:35 pm

uga suxs & loses to MS 41- 10
RAMBLIN WRECK 55 NC St 10
bama 39 Ark 17
SC 24 Auburn 23

Dawg Whisperer

September 24th, 2010
10:44 pm

Dichotomy of the Gator – You won’t likely ever see me agree with a Gator fan again but GaGator actually made sense with his nonbiased assessement concerning the state of UGA football. Yes, I know that is a very rare event since mostly what you see from the overgrown lizard fans is pure hokey. Then you have Al E. Gator, a true representation of gator fans on AJC blogs. Here is their company line…. uh, you know UGA has never been any good, just mediocre, no history.

What planet do these creatures live on? Do they ever read history or simply read each other’s propaganda? I think they teach from a different college football history book in Florida. Wake up, you sleepy head lizards. UGA has the #11 winningest college football program in America, not the state of Georgia, not in the SEC, but the US of A. Where is UF… like maybe 30 or 40. And it is not all ancient history. Just look at coach Richt’s record at UGA. Again, one of the best in the country. So, Al E. Gator, pick up a non-fiction book on college football history and understand that 7-5 records are not representative of the history of UGA but it is strikingly close to the history of UF football.

SEC Fact Finder(the real one)

September 24th, 2010
11:12 pm

Tough week for picking games. Several undefeated teams will see their first loss as a result of head to head. I will start with the game I will be working on this weekend.

Auburn at home against South Carolina. Auburn had a very physical game last week against Clemson, they lost a couple of players and Dyer will need to continue to get 5 plus yards a carry, but he will need more touches than he has been getting, Whoever controls the ball the most will win this one.
USC 34 Auburn 28

Georgia goes to Starkville to hear the cow bells. UGA does need to win so life returns to normal post AJ Green suspension. UGA will need to run the ball and move the big linemen of MSU around to make a difference. They do and win 37 to 27

Oregon State and Alabama alumnus Mike Riley takes on the Blue Carpet baggers. Oregon St knows that this game can prime their season to conference play and keep them from their second loss which they can ill afford. OSU 31 Boise State 28

Kentucky Wildcats at Florida Gators in Ben Hill. UK has played three cupcakes and passed with flying colors. UK has had very few injuries during the preseason games. Urban Meyer has found some answers to his anemic offense. UK will be the most physical team that UF has played. UK has more talent than any other team that UF has played. Tight game and possible upset.
UF 35 UK 32

Georgia Tech has their hands full with a much improved N.C. State team. The question should be can GT and their defense stop a multiple dimensional offense. GT at home is the difference
GT 44 N.C. State 37

Alabama visits Arkansas and the Hawgs in Fayetteville(not in Little Rock as Jack Arute kept saying on his Sirius/XM radio show). Alabama will control the line of scrimmage, score from every angle and will continue to make life miserable for every defense. The biggest question is how much does Mallett keep Arkansas in the game? Arkansas scores 3 touchdowns and kicks a couple of field goals but cannot stop the Alabama offense.
Alabama 48 Arkansas 31

Stanford pounds Notre Dame from opening kickoff .
42-31

LSU holds on against WVU
27-24

Good Luck to your teams this weekend and be careful everyone.

Ghostballer

September 24th, 2010
11:43 pm

Tony’s got the greatest job in the world. Knows everybody in football. Knows nothing about it.

DawgByte

September 25th, 2010
1:45 am

Forget about all the other UGA/MSU stats!!!!!!!!! UGA is 2 and 6 in there last 8 SEC games. MSU has the same record in their last 8.

Big Earl

September 25th, 2010
6:35 am

how can yall even think about football when lindsey lohan is in so much trouble

Roy Massey

September 25th, 2010
8:02 am

The Dawgs could stomp Alabama even if half our plyers were sidelined.

Roy Massey

September 25th, 2010
8:05 am

DAWGS— 9 wins – 2 losses / 2010. DAWGS stomp Tide in Atlanta.

Sorry Dogs

September 25th, 2010
8:05 am

In point 3 Tony says “I could be wrong”.

Yeah Tony, we’ve noticed, but thanks for the warning.

[...] Tony Barnhart, Mr. College Football of the AJC, makes his Saturday picks. [...]

Gen Neyland

September 25th, 2010
8:41 am

Auburn got whacked, smacked, beat and bloodied last week against and beating Clemson. Do they have 4 qtrs of fight in ‘em today..? If so, Cheesey has them headed in the right direction to be sure. If not, it’s a setback. USCe is one of the best in the SEC East to date. Spurrier has had a way of allowing his Chickens to falter down the stretch but this ain’t the stretch yet. Should the Chickens pick up physically where Clemson let off, Auburn should lose this one. Of course, one can’t know which Garcia takes the field and Lattimore might be reading the papers.

gt

September 25th, 2010
8:52 am

The reality of football is why we all love it. It is one of the few things in society that can’t be bought though a huge river of money flows through it. Today a stadium of 55,000 face the school that back home houses crowds of 90,000 plus. Buckhead comes to the ghetto. With all that money you can only play eleven at a time. Georgia should win, actually should kill em, lets see what happens.

Tech historically has had difficulty with State. I think the trip to Atlanta gets them pumped up but they always play us well. I was surprised at Vegas making it a 8 and a half point spread this week. One thing about Vegas points don’t come cheap, they know something.

Palladin

September 25th, 2010
9:08 am

Vegas only “knows” what gamblers’ betting preference is at any given moment. Large groups tend to make predictions that are slightly better than random guesses, and yet football teams often fail to adhere to the wisdom of the point spread generators.

That’s why they bother to actually play the games.

Stumble Bum year it might be

September 25th, 2010
9:33 am

I am a long term kind of person. Do we ( grads ) want UGA to win vs MSU and then stumble along to some sort of ugly 6-6 or 5-6 thang this year? Nope. I say no. Think long term only.

McGarity is reading every minute of every day to guage how Richt is dealing with this adversity. He is watching to see how the $$$ alumni act and the players toward the staff and vice versa. If Richt stumbles to some 6-6 year ………….. then we may be stuck with him next year. The 2011 recruiting and even last year’s recruiting are suffering. Such is the nature of college ball when the head man is viewed as a lame duck or one in waiting. The sharks assemble around the prey.

No, I say cut the cord after UGA whups GT, then go get a big boy, tough coach that understands the physicality of SEC football. Finess just ain’t cutting it. UGa has been built on an outdated FSu of the 90s model. THAT is not working in the better now ACC nor the SEC. It was really never very dominate in the SEC and Richt’s record proves it vs really physical teams.

I have had enough.

UGA class of 71 & 73

Palladin

September 25th, 2010
9:58 am

You’re right. Richt may be a good coach, but Georgia’s been in a slump over the past several years and the modern CFB environment doesn’t allow for a long-term investment in engineering a turnaround with an incumbent Head Coach. You can’t have a winning program in the SEC if you don’t recruit the best players. The best players want to play for the best team. Perception is everything and Georgia is no longer perceived as a winning program. There are two ways to shake this perception: win or hire a new coach that inspires people to believe that the program will win — sooner rather than later. The first option has already been squandered this season. If Georgia’s new AD is smart, then Richt will be announcing his retirement by the end of this season.

It may not be “fair”, but it is what it is.

DIT

September 25th, 2010
10:24 am

Not really feeling it for UGA tonight. If our O-Line lived up to half the hype then I would say we win by 10. If we can’t run tonight we lose by 3.

Tech crushes NCS by 21.

I was saying an upset by ARk over Bama yesterday. Had time to think and take a good grumpy. Changing my mind on that one. Bama by a TD.

Still say that SC beats Auburn. When Auburn puts in a full 60 minutes of football together they will be a dangerous team. Have not seen it yet. SC by 3

Miami by the score of 31-3 over Pitt….. sorry, had to throw that one in there.

LSU squeaks by WVU

UF clobbers UK. Sorry UK, but you have played no one this year. Still a good team, but have yet to the stage of beating UF. Florida by 17

Oregon state upsets a over confident Boise on the blue carpet in OT by 7

Hey I might about two of them right. Don’r claim to be an expert, just having a little fun! Good luck to everyone today.

Poetaster

September 25th, 2010
10:27 am

Roses are red,
Violets are blue.
The dawgs suck
More than MSU.

MSU 31,
Uga 21

Poetaster is a TOOL

September 25th, 2010
10:53 am

roses are red
violets are blue
no one on this blog
is more gay than you! (poetaster)

Mr. Georgia Football Returns

September 25th, 2010
12:23 pm

Don’t worry the Mark Richt Apologists will find a “clever” way to defend this five year downturn.

The Senator should change the name of his website to “GET THE APOLOGY”.

Realist

September 25th, 2010
2:23 pm

NC State 31, Tech 14, late in the 3rd.

There’s a putrid odor coming from the State of Georgia. It’s UGA and Tech football.

How did both programs get so bad in a state loaded with high school talent?

Ed

September 25th, 2010
2:29 pm

“UGa has been built on an outdated FSu of the 90s model.”

You got that right, Stumble Bum. Georgia runs the most outdated, predictable plays. That’s why I find it hard to put most of the blame on Bobo, even though I think he’s average at best. But he doesn’t even have the chance to be average with this offense.

Bottom line, Richt is the head man. He’s an offensive coach, the highest ranking one on the team. The blame is his. He’s just not getting the job done.

Tech

September 25th, 2010
2:33 pm

is getting manhandled.

Jughaid

September 25th, 2010
2:45 pm

Tech
September 25th, 2010
2:33 pm
is getting manhandled.

Just wait until you see the tickle pile after the game!

archangeladidas

September 25th, 2010
3:25 pm

Mr. College Football! Yeah right! Tech got stomped at home. Now what?

Bony Tarnhardt

September 25th, 2010
3:29 pm

Get ready for your second pick to be wrong Mr. Barnhardt ! Mark Richt will get embarrassed today !

Jughaid

September 25th, 2010
3:31 pm

How ’bout them Blazers?

23 -23 in the 4th.

North Avenue Ned

September 25th, 2010
4:13 pm

Now that CPJ has his own players, and not Chan’s, do we see the real man? What a lousy showing.

NOBODYYOUKNOW

September 25th, 2010
4:57 pm

Being just a fan I’m not impressed with UGA or Tech. UGA maybe down this year but they have the best talent. They should handle Miss. State. Tech can’t handle anybody. I don’t care what anybody says about that “watch me run” “watch me pitch the ball” and “watch me fumble the ball offense” It don’t fool anybody any more. I’m no Tech hater but the dogs are gonna SWAT those bees in Nov.

Baldemar Huerta

September 25th, 2010
6:52 pm

Should be a good GA Tech /GA game this year, as neither team is going to a bowl.

TrueCrimson

September 25th, 2010
7:01 pm

big dawg man

September 25th, 2010
7:53 pm

am i the only one who thinks that ga. broadcasting team, especially eric zier STINKS? I AM TRYING TO LISTEN TO GA. AND MISS STATE AND ERIC IS TRYING TO HOG THE SHOW. NO WONDER DAWGS IS STINKING.

Bully

September 25th, 2010
10:30 pm

Good game UGA!

@GA Gator…Great prediction on the score of 24-12 but you pick the wrong Dawg to win! Good luck in the future UGA and don’t make a foolish mistake by calling for the firing of Mark Richt. Remember the days of Goff and you will realize that Richt is much better than you think!

12-2

September 25th, 2010
10:41 pm

WRONG on BOTH counts

Tony BLOWhart

girl know better than you

September 25th, 2010
10:50 pm

geez could you be any worse at picking winners, that is shameful

gcs

September 25th, 2010
11:34 pm

Dear Tony,
I hope you are not too lonely on the Brian Kelly bandwagon. Call us sometime and let us know you are okay.
Sincerely,
Everyone else

.

DZ

September 25th, 2010
11:35 pm

UGA will lose because it is a MUST WIN.

FLA DAWG

September 26th, 2010
12:22 am

Hey Tony,

Let’s see………last week GT & UGA “GOTTA WIN’……….and lost.

………………….this week both win by squeekers………….and both lost.

Time for you to update your resume………….talk to Richt, he’s doing the same thing.

FLA DAWG

September 26th, 2010
12:23 am

Tony never responds……………………now we know why

MikeP

September 26th, 2010
12:41 am

Talk about a bad picker! Look what this Sabanite wrote!

Tide Blowout

September 24th, 2010
7:25 am

USC beats auburn by 10, bama blows out arkansas, uf struggles with UK, Ga beats a terrible miss st. team. Book those bets and get the money the easy way.

I bet you graduated from UAT’s school of finance. Book bets your way and lose all your money!

GT BABy

September 26th, 2010
1:07 am

GOOD JOB MR FOOTBALL, YOU SUCK AT PICKING GAMES ;)

bully11

September 26th, 2010
2:11 am

You had the 24 right in the battle of the Bulldogs. MSU 24 UGA 12.
The only remedy is MORE COWBELL!!!!

Truth Sayer

September 26th, 2010
9:37 am

Barnhart – Mr. college football? hah! YOu should be stripped of this moniker and fired!

AU1985 Alum

September 26th, 2010
9:53 am

Not a real good week of making predictions, Tony.

DUI Dawg

September 26th, 2010
10:14 am

Woof…woof.

Tony Jabroni will spin this loss into a positive

September 26th, 2010
10:29 am

OHHHHH how the fleabags have fallen.

Will they win another game this year?

Tony will predict they win out.

Steven

September 26th, 2010
10:32 am

off a little this week weren’t we.

Ronald

September 26th, 2010
10:35 am

3 wrong picks in a row. Keep picking them tony. One day you will be right. Moron.