Georgia and Georgia Tech win because they GOTTA win

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. Georgia Tech at North Carolina: There is no nice way to say it. Last week at Kansas was a bad loss for the men of The Institute. But there is a sense of urgency at Georgia Tech as it prepares to go to Chapel Hill because every game in tightly-bunched Coastal Division will be crucial. There is also a sense of frustration at North Carolina as a promising season may soon start to unravel if the Tar Heels don’t win this one. If the Tar Heels had all of their talented defenders, I’d be tempted to go with the home team. Barring some last minute announcement on Friday or Saturday, those seven defensive starters won’t be there for this game. I’m going with the Jackets. Georgia Tech 28, North Carolina 21.

2. Arkansas at Georgia: There isn’t a whole lot of positive energy coming out of Athens today. The Bulldogs got manhandled on both lines of scrimmage at South Carolina. The offensive line couldn’t run block and the defense could not tackle. My friend Lee Corso says two of the greatest motivators in college football are Urgency and need for Redemption. Georgia is feeling a lot of both right now. Georgia 31, Arkansas 21.

3. Florida at Tennessee: Florida’s offense was awful in the first game against Miami of Ohio. It got a little better last week against USF. The Gators are just too talented not to get better and will take another step forward in Knoxville, where the reality of Tennessee’s situation set in during the second half against Oregon last week. Derek Dooley called out his team for not competing once they fell behind to the Ducks. Let’s see how the Volunteers respond this week when they face more adversity. Florida 35, Tennessee 17.

4. Clemson at Auburn: After scoring only 17 points last week against Mississippi State why do I get the feeling that Auburn is going to put together a very complete game at home? We didn’t learn a lot about Clemson in wins over North Texas and Presbyterian. But I just don’t think Dabo Swinney’s bunch can match the offensive firepower that Auburn will have. Auburn 31, Clemson 21.

5. Miss. State at LSU: LSU beat North Carolina in Atlanta and then went to Vanderbilt and won pretty easily. Now the Tigers get three straight home games (Mississippi State, West Virginia, Tennessee) before going to Florida on Oct. 9. I’m watching this game to see if backup quarterback Jarrett Lee gets a chance to jump start an anemic offense. Regardless, LSU wins at home. LSU 24, Mississippi State 10.

6. Vanderbilt at Ole Miss: Jeremiah Masoli will get the start at quarterback and will run an offense that is going to get better each week. The same cannot be said about the Vanderbilt offense. Ole Miss gets three straight home games before going to Alabama on Oct. 16. Ole Miss 27, Vanderbilt 10.

7. Alabama at Duke:  Lot of history here. Duke coach David Cutcliffe went to Alabama and was once a graduate assistant to Bear Bryant. Wallace Wade, for whom Duke’s stadium is named, won three national championships at Alabama before leaving for Duke in 1931. Wallace Wade Stadium will add 3,900 temporary seats just to get to about 38,000. The only question is how long Nick Saban will go with his starters because a big trip to Arkansas is coming  up next week. Alabama 42, Duke 10.

8. BYU at Florida State: Hopefully Florida State has forgotten what an awful performance it had at Oklahoma last week. BYU, which is leaving the Mountain West to become an Independent after this season, got its fans excited with a win over Washington in week one. But last week the Cougars got steamrolled, giving up 409 yards rushing to Air Force in a 35-14 loss. Florida State will do the same. Florida State 35, BYU 10.

9. Notre Dame at Michigan State: After two easy wins over Western Michigan and Florida Atlantic, Michigan State finally gets a test against the Irish, who lost to Michigan on a late touchdown last week. Traditionally, Michigan State has had trouble with the spread offense under  Mark Dantonio and Brian Kelly, the new Notre Dame coach, is a spread guru. Notre Dame came close to getting its first significant win under Kelly last week. Saturday the Irish get it done. Notre Dame 21, Michigan State 20.

10. Jacksonville at Georgia State: Jacksonville State is 2-0 after a huge upset at Ole Miss (49-48 OT) on Sept. 4 and then a 21-17 win over Chattanooga. Jack Crowe’s Gamecocks simply have too many athletes for Georgia State.  But if Bill Curry’s Panthers are going to  play in the CAA down the road, this is the level of competition they must eventually match. It just won’t happen on Saturday. Jacksonville State 42, Georgia State 20.

Please follow me on Twitter:

www.twitter.com/MrCFB

Programming note: Our guests on today’s “Barnhart and Durham Show” include Duke coach David Cutcliffe, Texas Tech coach Tommy Tuberville, and Woody Durham (dad of Wes), the long time voice of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Please joing us starting at 10 a.m. on 790 The Zone.

403 comments Add your comment

3rdn8

September 17th, 2010
9:14 am

@ WashingtonDCduck

Congratulations to Oregon. I agree in your assessment of the Oregon team. They looked fast and talented. I’m a Bama fan, but get a little weary of the “SEC, SEC….stuff”.

Conferences ebb and flow, but all of them have some very good teams (although we haven’t been able to locate the ACC’s yet).

And……I don’t mean to be disrespectful, but “Go Ducks” is like shouting “Go Rabbits”.

Has Oregon always been the “Ducks”, or did it come about via the political correctness movement?

how2fish

September 17th, 2010
9:17 am

Dooley the Vol really your opening your mouth about any program after laying down the 2nd half last week and the Gators knocking on the door this week? Sadly you need to worry about your house before throwing barbs at anyone else..best of luck vs the Gators.

long time sec fan

September 17th, 2010
9:17 am

@Jackets1985
“no way Dawgs score 31 points”
sure there is a way: Arky may miss their fllight & not show up. But would prob. take dawgs 2-3 qtrs. to score that many even if unopposed.

Rep. Corinne Brown

September 17th, 2010
9:17 am

Democrat Dawg

September 17th, 2010
9:18 am

We will win because we are at home we dominate arkansas. I will be at the game cheering for my dawgs and a roy victory in november! Go roy and go dawgs!

3rdn8

September 17th, 2010
9:19 am

re: Oregon’s uniforms

that is a stroke of genius. Oregon gets an unbelievable amount of free advertising by wearing outlandish uniforms.

I’m guessing a 17 or 18 y/o kid is more impressed with the flash of Oregon uniforms, than they would be by the “tradition” of the Bama and PSU unis.

Just hoping Bama doesn’t go with that flow.

nc4000

September 17th, 2010
9:23 am

jax st will throw a brick through geo st. fightin’ currys.

MURPHY

September 17th, 2010
9:26 am

3rdn8,

I dont know about 18 year olds being impressed but I know my 9 year old is. Whether you like them or not they serve the purpose of getting attention for the program. I dont think you have to worry about Bama going this route. To much tradition in the old uniforms.

For real SEC FAN?

September 17th, 2010
9:26 am

The ACC has one bad week and everyone want’s to bash them. COME ON MAN! Let’s take care of business this week ACC and shut up the haters!

SecGuy

September 17th, 2010
9:27 am

After watching a replay of the Arkansas game, I think they’re overrated. The line has Georgia favored and it looks about right, I think Georgia will win a close one. I’m a Bama fan and am still not sold on them having an easy time at Duke. Their passing game could give a green secondary fits. Bama wins, but gets exposed some.

Robert Seaman

September 17th, 2010
9:27 am

This is a less experienced team on defense than the last few years; couple that with obvious limits caused by this style of offense, you get an average football team in a now proven WEAK conference. No offense, but as long as you have little in the way of passing schemes necessary to move the ball in critical third and/or long situations, and you have a QB who cannot throw, never has been able to throw and never will be able to throw, this is what you are left with.

WashingtonDCduck

September 17th, 2010
9:28 am

@ 3rdn8

Well, “DUCKS”, is not as fierce as Tigers or Gators, nor does it have the tradition of “Volunteers”. A younger kid, no more than 16, explained to me the history of Tennessee getting its name, ‘The Volunteers’, in an incredible amount of depth- I was pretty dam impressed. So yes, Ducks does not have that scary mascot, I agree with you there. But when you grow up with it, and it’s in your blood, you love it. When we won the national championship in basketball, early 20th century, we were called the “Tall Firs”. Once again, not a real ferocious presence.

RxDawg

September 17th, 2010
9:29 am

Last week wasn’t too bad, but I whiffed on thinking the ACC and UGA play football…

Hawgs at Dawgs: Arkansas faces a rabid and angry UGA team in Athens. I do think UGA matches up better against a passing team than they do a running team, and thus I think they may play a little better against Arkansas. That said, USC laid out the blueprint on how to beat Georgia last week. So Petrino may just come out and challenge Georgia like USC did. I would. Apparently vegas has the dawgs favored in this one. (Really!?) I think UGA wins because the match up well, and the pretty much have to.

Florida at UT: Last week after I quit mourning over the UGA loss, we watched a movie. Well before we watched the movie I checked out the UT/Oregon game. UT was up something like 13-3. I thought “hey, look at that”. Then we watched a movie. Then I turned back on the game and it was 40somethin – 13 Oregon. Again I thought “hey, look at that”. That was pretty much all I needed to know….. Gators haven’t looked great, but they probably will in this one. Even if it takes a quater or two to weed through UT’d depth.

Clemson at Auburn: An ACC team vs. a higher ranked SEC team….at the SEC team’s stadium. This one is a no brainer. If Clemson wins, they’ll probably make a Disney movie out of it.

Miss St at LSU: LSU is either very vulnerable or they have brilliantly been sandbagging. I don’t really place brilliant and Les Miles into the same category. Here is your upset, I think cow bells ring. MSU wins and overcomes their horrific QB skills. (Could you imagine if Masoli would of went to MSU instead?)

Bama at Duke: Puhhlease. The biggest headline on this one is how many carries they are going to let Ingram carry.

Tech at North Carolina: I think the Tarheels pull this one out, although I’m still not sure how many people they have playing for them. Still, they should have enough of a D to properly defend Tech’s option attack. Besides, until Tech finds something of a passing game it’s going to be a tough road for them.

Vandy at Ole Miss: The worst team in the west plays the worst team in the east. I guess the west wins.

BYU at FSU: Both of these teams got rolled over last week. But only one of them got rolled over by Air Force. FSU wins at home.

That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

Gary

September 17th, 2010
9:30 am

Nice title captain obvious….

Ormewood

September 17th, 2010
9:33 am

Does Tony ever pick against the Dawgs? I think UNC is down six defensive starters, not seven, not that it’ll probably matter much.

Mike R.

September 17th, 2010
9:33 am

Hogs Roll 42-14. The Hogs are much better on defense.

joe

September 17th, 2010
9:35 am

Wow Tony…10 games and you picked all the favorites…that must be really hard to do. There will be some upsets on Saturday.

Tough guy ga proud

September 17th, 2010
9:37 am

If Arkansaw look ahead to bama, we will win ez. If they come to play, will be tough game.

T3

September 17th, 2010
9:37 am

1. GT > UNC:
A close win by GT; UNC QB Yates throws 2 INTs to Isaiah Johnson

2. ARK > UGA:
With or without AJ Greed, ARK has the edge on Offense.

3. FLA > TENN:
Meyer will put up style points and score more than Oregon
Meyers sends a recruiting message to Tenn.

4. CLEM > AUB:
Best game of the weekend. Clemson slightly better on O & D than AUB.

5. MSST > LSU:
LSU is hapless and QB Jefferson gets benched. MSST almost won in 2009.

6. OLEMS > VANDY: Poor Vandy

7. BAMA > DUKE:
The “Wallace Wade” Bowl; Duke QB Renfree has a good day.

8. F$U > BYU:
F$U drilled BYU in Provo in 2009. F$U wins comfortably here.

9. ND > MSU:
Long history of the road team winning this: ND wins.

10. JAXST > GSU:
A total beatdown by JAXST.

lawzoo

September 17th, 2010
9:39 am

Wow. Certainly not surprised that you picked ‘em dawgs for the 306th straight week but reduced to quoting Lee Corso in doing so?

Not so fast my friend ! That is absolutely horrible…worse than the last minute FG last week. Errrr…have ‘em dawgs kicked it yet?

Alphare

September 17th, 2010
9:40 am

Tony, I think your local mentality clouds your picks. Sorry have to pick local teams to lose. UNC is good last time I watched them and Tech was bad.

About UGA, here is 3 reasons they will lose:

1. AR is ranked 12 and UGA is ranked 26, more than twice as high. The AP people must know something, right?
2. Bobo is too predictable as complained by lots of fans, so a bad AR defense should be good enough to handle UGA offense.
3. Early in the game, UGA coaches will let loose Arron Murray as demanded by UGA fans, the fresh man QB throws more interruption than touchdown as a result, and reception is too low to mount any threat. And in the 2nd quarter, UGA decides to run the ball, but too late.

Dawg gone gittin' it

September 17th, 2010
9:40 am

Our Q.B. settles down, we got it in the bag. We’ll see.

Jerry

September 17th, 2010
9:44 am

Joe
GT is not favored

Swampdawg

September 17th, 2010
9:46 am

The Dawgs will win as long as we don’t hear “NOOOO Blocking” too many times. Running backs and OGuards have to perform! Dawgs running game has to keep Mallet off the field.
As far as our Defense… we need to say a prayer. Too many kids running around ricchocheting off tackles. Need more uppper body strength on the Defensive line.

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
9:46 am

Tony, and RxDawg, if all it takes for UGA to win is “because they have to,” maybe we just need somebody to convince them that they “have to win” every week . . .

Democrat Dawg, . . . . . . . . you just about made me lose my breakfast. I’ve know someplace for Roy to go . . .

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
9:48 am

Alphare, I don’t believe I’ve seen any QB throw “interruptions” before.

bank walker

September 17th, 2010
9:48 am

GATA DAWGS! SIC’EM RUUF!!

McDawg

September 17th, 2010
9:48 am

Enter your comments herKing might not play?? J. Andersen won’t play…somebody needs to step and take some ownership of this team-we are going to need some playmakers to win this game

take the redshirt off BOO and let him run the ball

Alphare

September 17th, 2010
9:49 am

WonderDawg, my bad, what do you think of my reasonings?

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
9:51 am

WA Duck

Don’t feel so bad. I paid for my sons education to Delta State. Home of the Fighting Okra

3rdn8

September 17th, 2010
9:51 am

@ WashingtonDCduck

I guess that a team named the “Ducks” isn’t so bad.

I cheer for a team that could correctly be called the “Algal Bloom”

3rdn8

September 17th, 2010
9:57 am

gotta go. enjoyed the conversation.

Just remember Vol fans, that Lane Kiffin in German means: “Mann, der Esel frisst Schwänze!!”.

Dawg Fud

September 17th, 2010
9:58 am

Tony,

you really feel like we are going to beat Arkansas?

I predicted South Carolina would play in the SECCG v. Bama this season. They are legit. No surprise we got beat there but we just played so soft it is concerning.

Dogs go 4-8 or 5-7 this season and rebound with a nice ‘11 campaign.

History repeats itself. LSU was 3-8 with DiNardo and then went onto to do great things. Bama struggled and now is top dog again. Auburn struggled then went undefeated.

Georgia has never gone throught hat phase but I believe it is finally upon us. Sometimes you just have to be “bad” before you can be “good” again.

I am just saying…

Say What???

September 17th, 2010
10:00 am

Gator Mike, I like your opinon on the UT-Gator game… but I have to ask you about your comments on Granthem. My fellow Dawg fans say alot of things on this blog, but I don’t recall ANYONE calling CTG a “defensive genius.” As a matter of fact, I don’t really think the Dawg fans would care if he was. What all of us are excited about is how much of a positive effect he is having on our defense, tackling aside. The fact that the Sanford crowd broke into appaulse when CTG was ripping Rambo a new backside for costing us a shutout against La-La speaks volumes. We havn’t seen that since Van Gorder. And given how those years worked out, it has us licking our chops with posibilities.

I don’t have visions of grandeur for this year. With a red-shirt QB and a new defensive coordinator and scheme, there are bound to be bumps (aka losses) this year. However, at this point, I am looking for proof that we are moving in the right direction. IMO, we are moving in the right direction defensivly. I am withholding my opinon on the offense until after the Arkanasas game. CMB has a lot of questions to answer…

5IML

September 17th, 2010
10:01 am

@ WashingtonDCduck

BAMA’s current OOC strategy is to play:

1. Games in areas in which Saban wants to recruit (i.e. Chick-fil-A game in Atlanta and attempts to play in the Jerry Dome in Dallas)

2. Traditional opponents the old school fans remember (e.g. Penn State and attempts to schedule Notre Dame)

Unfortunately, Oregon does not satisfy either of these requirements. Hopefully, we play you guys in the BCSCG.

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
10:04 am

All I know, Alphare, is Murray doesn’t have much of a chance to be great with Bobo calling the plays. It’s a shame.

It’s like having a really great Hendricks racing car, but having Jr drive it. Just kidding, Jr fans!

Like I wrote earlier, Grantham better have his D ready, or it could get ugly.

Beast from the East

September 17th, 2010
10:07 am

1….UNC beats GT. Don’t know why I feel this way, I just do.
2….I’m pulling for the Dawgs, but common sense says they lose this one. How many “must win” games have teams lost? Too many to count.
3….Gators win a game that’s close the first half. Pull away in the third quarter and mock “Rocky Top” all night long in honor of Lane!
4….Plainsmen/Tigers/War Eagles/whatever else they call themselves take it to the Clemmies!
5….The “other” bulldogs win this one in an upset. Miles get ticked off in his post-game press conference about anyone doubting his “damn fine football team”. Then he runs out because the seat of his pants catch on fire from the heat!
6….Nutt U over the Dores.
7….The Blue Devils steamroll the Tide! Not gonna happen, but Saban will take it easy on ‘em. Something like 35-3.
8….The Semis over the Mormons.
9….State beats ND. ND changes their name from the Irish to the Sheepish!
10…Who really cares.

As our most famous alumnus says, GO GATUH!

roughrider

September 17th, 2010
10:07 am

” Georgia and Georgia Tech win because they GOTTA win”

reply: They don’t gotta win becasue they didn’t win last week.

Dawg Fud

September 17th, 2010
10:08 am

I just don’t see this Georgia team being successful. It appears we have too many individual pieces and not enough team pieces. I thinkw e have talent but we just have not leanred how to play well together. Lots of seniors playing with freshman or first yr starters.

Ormewood

September 17th, 2010
10:08 am

I think this is a much bigger game for UNC than it is for Tech. If UNC loses at home, with all of the other stuff swirling around, their season may end up in the toilet. If the Jackets lose, it’s not a crippler. For that reason, I’m picking UNC 31-28.

Dawgs win 28-17.

ATLNative

September 17th, 2010
10:09 am

Auburn handles it’s SC-twin with ease. Cam Newton gives DC’s fits and the game’s at home. I love the comments about Auburn’s “horrid defense” – yeah, compared to Auburn in the the mid-00’s, EVERYONE’S defense is horrid. Our secondary would have gotten burned like a witch in Salem last week if the MSU receivers actually had working hands, so sure… we lucked out at the end there. But the D-line?? Two words – Nick Fairley.

I pick UGA over Arky because not only should the Dawgs be starving for a win, but it should be Petrino’s destiny to never beat a team from GA again. He has no class and Richt should punish him mercilessly on principle alone.

Tech… I really hope the Jackets got a wake up call last week, but my gut feeling is a UNC win here.

GSU vs. Jax St – JSUs got more experience and more weapons, but come on down to the Dome and support the new guys in town. We’ve got beer inside and every seat’s a good seat.

WDE & Go State!

Beast from the East

September 17th, 2010
10:10 am

Say What???,
Not start any trouble but there were NUMEROUS Dawgs calling Grantham the best in the business. I recall hearing repeatedly about how he “teaches” Saban’s teams in the off-season. Maybe it was just one idiot using 100 different names, but he sure was vocal.

Nix_2_Sanders

September 17th, 2010
10:11 am

Rumor of the week: http://atlanta.sbnation.com/2010/9/16/1692868/auburn-blue-helmets-clemson

This is the game that will put the national media attention on Ark, but I’m still not sold on ArKansas. I EXPECT UGA to come out like a house of fire and shut down that offense. I expect the defensive line to get a push and the DBs to play lockdown coverage.

The Auburn game is going to be a nail biter. From some reason I think whoever has the ball last will win.

I think you’ll have a perfect record over the weekend Tony…..except that Ole Miss- Vandy game is going to be closer that you think.

WAR EAGLE!

BAMA dude

September 17th, 2010
10:12 am

I think both GA schools have a good shot at winning, but both will struggle in doing so. Both games could go either way imo. And while we won’t have any problems with Dook, I think the vanilla defense you’ll see from Saban will expose the young secondary enough for them to put a few more than 10 up. I look for something along the lines of last year’s Kentucky game, which ended up at 38-20.

Beast from the East

September 17th, 2010
10:15 am

WashingtonDCduck,
Glad to hear from an “outsider”. You should be proud of your team. They look like a program that is on the rise and have a rabid fanbase. I’ve been following them for a number of years and really enjoy watching their games. Good luck this season.

GeneralNeyland96

September 17th, 2010
10:16 am

Regarding UT/UF this weekend, the General himself said it best: “The team that makes the fewest mistakes will win”

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
10:16 am

Grantham must be one of the best, Beast, or Saban wouldn’t have tried to hire him in ‘08. I think he worked for Saban at MSU, also.

Look, it took Saban a full year to get Bama’s D looking good, so everybody should do the same with Grantham. I think he is already a big improvement, but ask me again Sat night.

Miles

September 17th, 2010
10:18 am

AR will beat GA…

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
10:18 am

Gen Neyland

I would also add to that, the team that scores the most points will win :)

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
10:19 am

BAMA dude, I have a feeling all of UGA’s games will be of the “could go either way” variety, except Idaho State and UF.