Georgia and Georgia Tech win because they GOTTA win

The Fearless Friday Forecast:

1. Georgia Tech at North Carolina: There is no nice way to say it. Last week at Kansas was a bad loss for the men of The Institute. But there is a sense of urgency at Georgia Tech as it prepares to go to Chapel Hill because every game in tightly-bunched Coastal Division will be crucial. There is also a sense of frustration at North Carolina as a promising season may soon start to unravel if the Tar Heels don’t win this one. If the Tar Heels had all of their talented defenders, I’d be tempted to go with the home team. Barring some last minute announcement on Friday or Saturday, those seven defensive starters won’t be there for this game. I’m going with the Jackets. Georgia Tech 28, North Carolina 21.

2. Arkansas at Georgia: There isn’t a whole lot of positive energy coming out of Athens today. The Bulldogs got manhandled on both lines of scrimmage at South Carolina. The offensive line couldn’t run block and the defense could not tackle. My friend Lee Corso says two of the greatest motivators in college football are Urgency and need for Redemption. Georgia is feeling a lot of both right now. Georgia 31, Arkansas 21.

3. Florida at Tennessee: Florida’s offense was awful in the first game against Miami of Ohio. It got a little better last week against USF. The Gators are just too talented not to get better and will take another step forward in Knoxville, where the reality of Tennessee’s situation set in during the second half against Oregon last week. Derek Dooley called out his team for not competing once they fell behind to the Ducks. Let’s see how the Volunteers respond this week when they face more adversity. Florida 35, Tennessee 17.

4. Clemson at Auburn: After scoring only 17 points last week against Mississippi State why do I get the feeling that Auburn is going to put together a very complete game at home? We didn’t learn a lot about Clemson in wins over North Texas and Presbyterian. But I just don’t think Dabo Swinney’s bunch can match the offensive firepower that Auburn will have. Auburn 31, Clemson 21.

5. Miss. State at LSU: LSU beat North Carolina in Atlanta and then went to Vanderbilt and won pretty easily. Now the Tigers get three straight home games (Mississippi State, West Virginia, Tennessee) before going to Florida on Oct. 9. I’m watching this game to see if backup quarterback Jarrett Lee gets a chance to jump start an anemic offense. Regardless, LSU wins at home. LSU 24, Mississippi State 10.

6. Vanderbilt at Ole Miss: Jeremiah Masoli will get the start at quarterback and will run an offense that is going to get better each week. The same cannot be said about the Vanderbilt offense. Ole Miss gets three straight home games before going to Alabama on Oct. 16. Ole Miss 27, Vanderbilt 10.

7. Alabama at Duke:  Lot of history here. Duke coach David Cutcliffe went to Alabama and was once a graduate assistant to Bear Bryant. Wallace Wade, for whom Duke’s stadium is named, won three national championships at Alabama before leaving for Duke in 1931. Wallace Wade Stadium will add 3,900 temporary seats just to get to about 38,000. The only question is how long Nick Saban will go with his starters because a big trip to Arkansas is coming  up next week. Alabama 42, Duke 10.

8. BYU at Florida State: Hopefully Florida State has forgotten what an awful performance it had at Oklahoma last week. BYU, which is leaving the Mountain West to become an Independent after this season, got its fans excited with a win over Washington in week one. But last week the Cougars got steamrolled, giving up 409 yards rushing to Air Force in a 35-14 loss. Florida State will do the same. Florida State 35, BYU 10.

9. Notre Dame at Michigan State: After two easy wins over Western Michigan and Florida Atlantic, Michigan State finally gets a test against the Irish, who lost to Michigan on a late touchdown last week. Traditionally, Michigan State has had trouble with the spread offense under  Mark Dantonio and Brian Kelly, the new Notre Dame coach, is a spread guru. Notre Dame came close to getting its first significant win under Kelly last week. Saturday the Irish get it done. Notre Dame 21, Michigan State 20.

10. Jacksonville at Georgia State: Jacksonville State is 2-0 after a huge upset at Ole Miss (49-48 OT) on Sept. 4 and then a 21-17 win over Chattanooga. Jack Crowe’s Gamecocks simply have too many athletes for Georgia State.  But if Bill Curry’s Panthers are going to  play in the CAA down the road, this is the level of competition they must eventually match. It just won’t happen on Saturday. Jacksonville State 42, Georgia State 20.

Please follow me on Twitter:

www.twitter.com/MrCFB

Programming note: Our guests on today’s “Barnhart and Durham Show” include Duke coach David Cutcliffe, Texas Tech coach Tommy Tuberville, and Woody Durham (dad of Wes), the long time voice of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Please joing us starting at 10 a.m. on 790 The Zone.

403 comments Add your comment

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
8:20 am

Jeezsus Barnhart with the name dropping. Your friend Corso? You are now another of the self proclaimed “prognosticator elitist”. Will you avoid mentioning your wrong prognostications in the future as they do?

Your picks are milk toast and mirror the espn talking heads almost verbatim. Auburn’s high powered offense? Please explain that one if you can find time out of your busy schedule

Out on a Limb

September 17th, 2010
8:21 am

NC beats tek….. UGA beats Arkansas…… Tenn. Upsets Gators…….Miss St beats LSU and Vandy beats Ole Miss It’s just gonna be that crazy kind of season. I do love college football

dagnabit

September 17th, 2010
8:21 am

Miss. State has a pretty good team. Beats LSU.

Palladin

September 17th, 2010
8:21 am

@Who Dat …Two Dat

Looks like they’ve been creeping up on you guys for the past two seasons. Still, I suspect that the Bulldogs are highly over-rated. Mullen might be a good coach, but Starkville ain’t Gainesville.

Who Dat ...Two Dat

September 17th, 2010
8:22 am

LSU will spank Oregon and have Duck Gumbo next year in Dallas….

When was the last time the PAC 10…won a National Championship in Football….SEC rules…quack

Gam on

September 17th, 2010
8:24 am

Bam. Did it really take you that long to come up with that? Run Forest Run!

DawginLex

September 17th, 2010
8:25 am

Tech wins because UNC is depleted 35-24
UGA loses because this team has no heart(or AJ) 27-23
Florida wins but it is ugly 19-14
Auburn loses to Clemson late 38-37-best game of the day
LSU nips MSU 24-21
Ole Miss destroys Vandy 35-7
Alabama 27-7
FSU 49-24
ND 28-23
Jacksonville St 42-21

UGA can and will win if Richt will unleash Murray. He won’t.
Bobo destroys the day.

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
8:26 am

WA Duck

For you to come on here and brag about a beatdown on a very depleted Vol team only shows how hard up you are to brag. You are aware of Tennessee’s recent history? Unlikely any SEC fan will brag about a win over the Vols this year. They have a situation most teams periodically experience. You won’t find LSU so accomadating next year

MURPHY

September 17th, 2010
8:26 am

Who Dat…Two Dat

Thats in the past. Mullen will take his less talented team and coach them up. Miss St is a sneaky ball club-BEWARE !!!!! YOUR Q.B AND HEAD COACH BETTER STEP IT UP!

Palladin

September 17th, 2010
8:26 am

“Go Ducks!”

That’s just funny — I don’t care who you are!

Gen Neyland

September 17th, 2010
8:28 am

I like UGA’s chances at home better than GT’s on the road. But win because they gotta win..? The other teams will see things similarly as well…Florida at UT may be dubbed The Longest Yard Bowl this year. Simms is sorta, kinda adequate compared to Brantley’s expectations but that’s where it ends in QB comparisons. Florida has has a way of coming out in the second half and going to work after a 30 minute coffe break. I could break down the reasons why the Vols can’t win this game but that’ll bore the he#% out of y’all. Florida should beat the Vols but I’ll not give in. UT 20-UF 19…

Jacket1985

September 17th, 2010
8:29 am

There is no way the Dawgs score 31 points. I don’t care if they are at home.

It doesn’t look any better for my beloved Jackets. It will take more than luck to come out of Chapel Hill with a win. It will take tackling and some sort of a passing game.

I think UGA and TECH have the same problem on defense. Both are in a new scheme and don’t really know what to do. Also, neither has a huge nose guard to clog up the middle and force a double team on most every play. All of the down linemen at 290 are undersized.

We’ll see what happens when everyone lines up and plays.

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
8:31 am

Gen Neyland = True Statesman of college football

MURPHY

September 17th, 2010
8:33 am

Gen Neyland,

Good to hear from you.I have a friend that coaches in Knoxville and he told me on Wed that the players were not discouraged about the Oregon game. They realized even though they are young that they could play with teams like the Ducks.They are very excited about the Gaytors comming to Knoxville.Im telling you this game is gonna be close! Dont be surprised if you see some gimmicks from Dooley. They are gonna leave it all on the field on Sat. You will be happy about this performance!

just a fan

September 17th, 2010
8:36 am

palladin I am a fan of UGA and the burners would be auBURN

Barkin'Dog

September 17th, 2010
8:41 am

Years ago I heard Dr. Laura say on her radio show, “Kids need a parent, not a friend.” Then she always closed her show with, “Go do the right thing.” As much as I love CMR, he needs to follow that advice and DO THE RIGHT THING… BE A COACH, NOT A FRIEND. Only then will the Dawgs perform at the level Dawg Nation expects each week.

ga gator

September 17th, 2010
8:41 am

Tony I agree that UGA wins this week but here is the real question: It wukk be a huge test for Bobo this week; what makes it important is that Arkansas will score more than 28 points and to beat them Bobo will have to more than match them. I hope he at Richts direction takes the reins off of Aaron Murray because the kid can flat play. The bigger question is did Bobo put the reins on Murray in the first place or was he following orders?

SEC Fan

September 17th, 2010
8:41 am

Gen Neyland

September 17th, 2010
8:42 am

WashingtonDCduck says : ” For the most part, folks in Knoxville were very friendly and the hospitality was alright.” Nice of you to say that and thank you. Others see it different because they want to, not because it is…

Tennessee has it’s problems and for that, there is no excuse other than it looks like a long year. This isn’t gonna be a pretty season Atop Rocky for reasons toooo many to breakdown. We’re hoping CDD can install the turn-around needed. Your Ducks simply wore the Vols down. The Simms pick-6, your RB breaking tackles enroute to 6 and the Ducks ST-6 didn’t help. Congrats on your W in Knoxville.

Dawg_Mike

September 17th, 2010
8:42 am

The Dawgs as a team have no heart but number 11 does. Hope it is contagious…

Reality Stinks

September 17th, 2010
8:42 am

Washington Duck Brains

Wait until you see Tennessee’s record at the end of the year before you go QUAKING about your tremendous beat down of a Powerful top tiered SEC team moron

Palladin

September 17th, 2010
8:43 am

Okay, just a fan.

Best of luck on Saturday. Give them sassers hell!

WashingtonDCduck

September 17th, 2010
8:43 am

“Who Dat …Two Dat” and “ARDog” and the rest of the board….

****GO BACK AND RE-READ MY POST*****

I specifically said, I get that UT is down. My post was an attempt to show the satirical comedy of us getting heckled as we walked out of the stadium after giving a real @ss whooping. NO OREGON FAN WILL BE BRAGGING ABOUT BEATING A 4-6 WIN VOL TEAM, trust me on that one. We’ve got bigger fish to fry.

I give props and always have to the South Eastern Conference for the recent run of consecutive national championships, quite unprecedented and impressive. I’m not some kool-aid drunk Pac-10 fan that is delusional and thinks the Pac-10’s fervor for college football matches the entire body of the SEC. The point of the post was don’t sleep on Oregon, because as one long time UT Football season ticket holder who lives in Atlanta, told me, “well, you Oregon boys might as well be called the SEC school of the west.”

Oregon’s got one rabid fans base, a blue collar bunch that travel well, plays an exciting brand of football, and is no chump squad. The 2010 Oregon Football team is a solid crew, and could compete with anyone. That’s no shot at anyone in the sun belt, just a notation to take notice outside the warmer states because some other schools are playing some dam good football too.

ga gator

September 17th, 2010
8:45 am

Gen Neyland you are correct, Brantley has not lived up to expectations yet, and may not. The Gator D is good however, maybe very good and also very young. I think Florida finally figured out last week that you can’t run the same plays without Tebow. He aint coming back. They did start knocking people off the ball in the second half though and Brantley did throw well, so we will see. UF 41 Tenn 17 going away in the 4th qtr.

MURPHY

September 17th, 2010
8:49 am

WashingtonDCduck,

Being a rabid UGA/SEC fan I was impressed with your Ducks on Sat. They are very well coached and have alot of team speed. We in the SEC of course think no one plays football like us. I truly believe that,but I will give your team credit-they are good and can contend on a national level.Plus-they have the best uniforms in college football !!!

Palladin

September 17th, 2010
8:49 am

Duckie,

If you think chanting SEC is heckling, then you should play Bama sometime and have to endure Rammer Jammer on your way out of the stadium.

Best of luck against the Tater Chuggers.

ga gator

September 17th, 2010
8:53 am

Duckie should have visited when UT was rolling. Fans are loud and as obnoxious as any SEC school. They will be back.

Nancy

September 17th, 2010
8:53 am

Dawgturds lose big to Arkansas, say 34-17.

That’s called a beatdown, by the way.

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
8:53 am

WA Duck,

You’ll find most SEC fans who are rational btw, give kudos to the Ducks. You have a good team and no doubt could play in this league at this time. However, I do remember times when you couldn’t. We respect you, I like your coach but, seriously, bragging about beating TN is uncalled for. Play’em with the same results in 4-5 years and then brag. They are a hull of a team not even to the point of rebuilding yet. They were seriously screwed by a dipshat AD and an ex coach. Welcome to the boards but please keep things in perspective

ARdawg

September 17th, 2010
8:55 am

I thought the Ducks uniforms sucked…..no kidding

Coach Hewitt..

September 17th, 2010
8:57 am

Forget about A.J. this week, word from the Big Money beverage guys who pay the Tolley bills…. Next week!

NCAA told them not to bother with an appeal the evidence was overwhelmingly against AJ. They are working for a one game reduction which is a win for UGA and the NCAA.

Here is a side note from these guys. They are P.Oed about the continuation of our sucking on offense. Word is (as I reported last winter) that they wanted a new OC. Look for a tidal wave if we suck on offense again this week. Arky has a very weak D.

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
8:57 am

Tony, I ain’t buying the fact that Bobo can out gameplan any SEC DC anymore. There’s no doubt we have some weapons, but Bobo cannot get the ball in their hands enough for them to make a difference. No way our offense scores 31.

Our hopes of winning lie with Grantham’s D and special teams. If Smith or Boykin can get a couple of big returns, and the D gets a couple of picks, and gives Murray a short field, we may can punch a TD in, but Richt will once again rely on FGs.

If the D plays, we may can squeeze out a 15-14 victory.

Chuck

September 17th, 2010
8:59 am

Great logic, Tony. The home state teams are going to win because they GOTTA win. Having to win doesn’t help you block and tackle better if you’re UGA. Tennessee has to win, also, but you’re not picking them. Miss. St. has to win to avoid going 0-2 in their own division, but you’re not picking them. But, UGA–they really gotta win–so you’re picking them. OK.

Iron Oregon Ducks

September 17th, 2010
8:59 am

The ducks would roll over the weak girly sec teams this year.
Let’s compare scores. Fla won’t come close to our domination. See you in the national champ game bama. Then it will be 2-0.

Steve

September 17th, 2010
8:59 am

JWalker-

South Carolina’s win against Clemson last season was their second in the last ten years. They haven’t beaten Clemson in back-to-back seasons in about 40 years, and you shouldn’t expect that to change this season. Simply stated, they haven’t dominated anything.

Any notion that South Carolina is the better team is only held by those in Columbia and a limited, uneducated few that blindly cheer for the SEC.

DawginLex

September 17th, 2010
9:00 am

Agreed Dawg Mike. But, when your OC won’t let you play while trying to “protect” you, you won’t be able to show the true talent you have.

This game is bigger than big for Mike Bobo IMO.

Gator Mike

September 17th, 2010
9:01 am

We should have some good games this weekend. If the UF-UT Game is close in the 4th quarter, I believe the VOLS will win it because they are hungry for some success. Otherwise, it will be a blowout. I am not buying in to Dooley yet simply because he has shown nothing in his coaching career to date.
I find it hilarius in how the DAWG Fans deem Grantham as such a genius defensive mind. Many of us never heard of him until Coach Richt hired him. Additionally, last year, the DAWG Fans were foam at the mouth to get either of their 2 alums as the Defensive Coordinator – Will Muschamp or Kirby Smart. They would have been a much better hire than Grantham but they spurned UGA for personal reasons. Muschamp and Smart will both be successful SEC Head Coaches dome day. Perhaps one will eventually relieve Richt. They are young gugs being mentored by exceptionally good head coaches. Thus far, the DAWGS have struck out on Muschamp and Smart which says a lot about the UGA Program.

Go Gators!

DawginLex

September 17th, 2010
9:01 am

Steve,

I am now picking clemson to win the ACC and to upset Auburn tomorrow simply because Auburn’s defense is horrid.

However, SC ran the ball down your throat last year and I expect will do the same in 2010.

Tony's brain

September 17th, 2010
9:02 am

gt 33 unc 29
ark 38 uga 31
fla 27 tenn 17

DawginLex

September 17th, 2010
9:03 am

gator mike,

Nobody I know is touting Grantham as a genius. In my book, DC’s are judged by how many points they give up.

Last year-SC 37
This year-SC 17

Defense was not the problem.

dawgfan

September 17th, 2010
9:05 am

Although I think Arkansas is a big fat overrated poser, I’m not sure we’re capable of beating any top 25 team right now, let alone by double digits. That’s a bit of a homer pick.

Gen Neyland

September 17th, 2010
9:05 am

ARdawg : Thanks. I’ve got no choice but to be humble.

MURPHY : Oregon was a good test to see what needed work to try and salvage at least a .500 SEC season. This Tennessee team is looking for an identity and leadership. Last year, it was Mayo, Hardesty, Berry and yes, Crompton. So far no one has emerged. Maybe this week.

The Ghost of Wally Butts

September 17th, 2010
9:06 am

I hate to say it, but my money is on Bobby “Pig-Sooey” Patrino due to that QB of his. I don’t think we have the toughness to win this one, regardless of whether E.Bay Green shows up or not.

WonderDawg

September 17th, 2010
9:06 am

If Dooley coaches like his daddy, he will have some surprises for a stronger UF. I don’t think he will just try to keep it close like Kiffin did.

Barkin'Dog

September 17th, 2010
9:06 am

The Ducks, IMO, are the best of the PAC 10… with team speed similar to SEC team leaders. They could very well end up in the MNC Game, but I don’t think it will be against LSU (judging by their 1st 2 games anyway). Speaking of speed, I thought USC was slower than Virginia when I watched them last week… perhaps even Hawaii the week before on some plays. So they will be toast against the Ducks.

The only way I see the dawgs winning tomorrow is with about 3 TOs, and 2 run in for scores. I am counting on that. Mallett will be pressured into errors, and Murray will play lights out – throwing to TEs for a change. Go Dawgs! YOU CAN DOooooo IT!

TommyJack

September 17th, 2010
9:07 am

Wrong, Tony. Dawgs lose, begin inexorable slide into the depths.

Gen Neyland

September 17th, 2010
9:07 am

Oooppps. Not Mayo, McCoy…

toddy

September 17th, 2010
9:07 am

Play the same consartivie game and we lose again. If we open up some, murry may have an int or 2 but we will score and win i beleve.

WashingtonDCduck

September 17th, 2010
9:08 am

Fellas,

First off- scheduling is done 5-10 years out as you know. When we put UT up on the schedule, they were still under the old regime and Lane Kiffin was still working at Pizza Hut, delivering pies in his Firebird. We’ve got Georgia on the schedule for a home/away series, and now a quickie season opener neutral site with LSU. Tennessee will come to Eugene in two years.

My other point is that Oregon has tried FOREVER to schedule home/away series with the Gators, ‘Bama, LSU, amongst others. Nobody will come back to Eugene and play at Autzen. Every school has their own theory on out of conference scheduling, and I’m not here to debate that, I’m simply saying it’s not like this summer we said, “hey UT is down, let’s go play them and get on the first plane back to the west coast before we have to go play in Tuscaloosa.”

As far as the uniforms, ok, I’ll give you that, we sold our soul to NIKE a long time ago. BUT, WITH THAT SAID…. It’s all FREE. Meaning, come on out to our facilities in Eugene. Why do NFL scouts call Oregon’s facilities better than most NFL teams (ESPN Insider article by Mel Kipper pre-draft, I think around Feb or March ’09)? So while every now and then we have to put up with some just eye gouging awful uniforms, not often, but yes sometimes, we’ve been fortunate that a lot of NIKE upper brass are Oregon grads or close to the program, not just the man Phil Knight being a former UO athlete and alum.

GTJeff

September 17th, 2010
9:09 am

We’re not gonna beat UNC let alone hold them to 3 touch downs as shioty as our defense is.

UNC-31
GT-19