Coaches on the hot seat; new coaches who will succeed, struggle

We have 24 new head coaches in Division I-A football. Some will succeed early. Some will struggle early.

Among veteran coaches, there are a number of who enter this season very much on the hot seat.

So with the start of  season just eight days away, it is a good time to look at our coaches on the hot seat, the new coaches who will succeed and the new coaches who will struggle.

This is  just one man’s opinion. If you have others to add to these lists, please do so:

 

FIVE VETERAN COACHES ON THE HOT SEAT

1. Rich Rodriguez, Michigan: The problem for Rich Rod is that regardless of how many games he wins, there are just a lot of people who don’t want him to be the coach at Michigan any more. NCAA investigations at both his current and former (West Virginia) employers don’t help Rodriguez with a proud Michigan fan base.

2. Dan Hawkins, Colorado: When Hawkins came to Boulder from Boise State, folks thought the Buffs would become a Big 12 force again. Instead they are 16-33 in five seasons. Colorado is going to the Pac-10 either in 2011 or 2012. Will Hawkins be the coach?

3. Ron Zook, Illinois: The Zooker got the Illini to a Rose Bowl in 2007 but things have not been good since with seasons of 5-7 and 3-9. He shook up his coaching staff in an effort to get back to a bowl. Another losing season could be Zook’s last in Champaign.

4. Les Miles, LSU: Normally, a guy who is 51-15 with a national championship (2007) doesn’t belong on this list. But the closer you get to the LSU program the more people try to convince me that Miles has to make something happen after going 8-8 in the SEC the past two seasons. He’s picked to finish fourth in the SEC West. A win over North Carolina on Sept. 4 is very important. Miles’ buyout, media reports have said, is about $16 million.

5. Dennis Erickson, Arizona State: Erickson, who won two national championships at Miami, led the Sun Devils to 10 wins and a share of the Pac-10 championship in his first season (2007) in Tempe. The past two seasons Arizona State has won a total of nine games. Erickson shook up his staff bringing in Noel Mazzone to install the spread offense. He needs a winning season.

FIVE NEW COACHES WHO WILL HAVE EARLY SUCCESS

1. Brian Kelly, Notre Dame: Based on what he did at Cincinnati and Central Michigan, Kelly is an offensive genius who really knows how to coach quarterbacks. I think the schedule is set up for 8-9 wins.

2. Lane Kiffn, USC: Depth and recruiting are going to be issues down the road for Kiffin but the Trojans could still win a lot of games this season. In fact, I’m looking at 9 or 10 wins on that schedule.

3. Jimbo Fisher, Florida State: No one questions the offense, which returns a veteran line and a Heisman Trophy candidate at quarterback (Christian Ponder). A Sept. 11 trip to Oklahoma should tell us a lot. I have Florida State winning the ACC’s Atlantic Division over Clemson.

4. Skip Holtz, South Florida: Holtz has proven what he can do with a mobile quarterback and he has a good one in B.J. Daniels. Road trips to Florida, Miami and West Virginia will temper expectations but the Bulls can be a factor in the Big East.

5. Butch Jones, Cincinnati: Jones takes over for Brian Kelly, who won a pair of Big East championships.  The Bearcats won’t win the conference again but they will continue to be very competitive with a proven quarterback in Zach Collaros..

FIVE NEW COACHES WHO WILL STRUGGLE

1. Derek Dooley, Tennessee: Dooley inherited a bad situation that has gotten progressively worse with injuries and other issues. The schedule is brutal. Five wins would be a very good season.

2. Tommy Tuberville, Texas Tech: Tuberville will try to change the culture established by Mike Leach, which means Tubs will try to run the ball and play better defense. In the short term this has a chance to be ugly until Tuberville can get his recruits in place.

3. Mike London, Virginia: London won a Division I-AA championship at Richmond but begins his time at Virignia with a roster that is very, very thin. The Cavaliers are in the ACC Coastal, which will be one of the toughest divisions in football.

4. Robbie Caldwell, Vanderbilt: Caldwell got the job when Bobby Johnson suddenly retired in July. The Commodores were going to struggle this season regardless of who was the coach. Nine of the 12 teams on the schedule went to bowls last season.

5. Turner Gill, Kansas: The Jayhawks are only three years removed from a 12-1 season and an Orange Bowl appearance. But the former head coach at Buffalo has a lot of work to do to get Kansas back in the mix in the Big 12 North, which is pretty weak this year.

 

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342 comments Add your comment

Christian Dior Dogg

August 25th, 2010
10:41 am

I wonder what color jerseys our beloved Dawgs will wear for the season opener – do they dare wear black before Labor Day?

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:41 am

I think LSU Fan is really the new Patrick M. Sulley.

SulleyB

August 25th, 2010
10:42 am

what?

That is the funniest thing I have heard ALL day. Burn of the blog!!! Hilarious!!

Tide Rising

August 25th, 2010
10:42 am

I’m not going to be the head coach,

Boise also scheduled Oregon State which is a decent enough football team. They were 1 win away from a Rose Bowl berth last year and have won 8,9,9, and 10 games the last 4 yrs and have split the last 4 with USC. Your premise is still correct though that they basically have a 2 game schedule since Fresno state has dropped off a little bit.

Agreed!

August 25th, 2010
10:42 am

LSU Fan – good post! I couldn’t agree more. You cam’t judge CMR because he hasn’t been voted into the Championship game.

5IML

August 25th, 2010
10:42 am

RxDawg,

Wasn’t that the same game where Richt cursed on national TV during the sideline interview before halftime?

Also, the BAMA players thought the game was over (just as they did at half time of the BCSCG). That’s what allowed UGA to make the score respectable. It was never, at any time beyond kickout, a close game. Saban was coaching for the future. Even he knew that game was over.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:43 am

Actually if you google UGA since 1980 you will find that they have won a ton of games so bad example.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:44 am

The Most Interesting Man Alive ,

you are the biggest troll. Now you’ve resorted to ‘jacking my name? You are pathetic.

DawginLex

August 25th, 2010
10:45 am

I don’t get it. Google a successful program since 1980?

I guess I’m supposed to be burned?????/

Must be a techno nerd

MoDawg

August 25th, 2010
10:45 am

JB, note the 2nd half of my post at 9:17. You and I are on the same page. 2 more years of losing to Florida might be enough to get Richt gone, or at the very least on the “hot seat”.

I say we will turn it around this year and show some marked improvement. I can see a 9 or 10 win season this year. Our last 2 seasons have been decent by most standards and close to good, but disappointing, nonetheless.

5IML

August 25th, 2010
10:45 am

Or at least that is what I am going to believe!

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:45 am

Somebody else said that 2008 was CMR’s worst coaching job. I agree and last year was a result of poor planning (recruiting) and not firing wet back willie the previous year.

Tide Rising

August 25th, 2010
10:45 am

what?,

That was definitely the insult of all insults you levied on LSU fan. I checked his other posts which all seem sane but that last one at 10:39 did seem Sulleyesque.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:46 am

DawginLex

August 25th, 2010
10:46 am

The childish crap is starting so i’m out.

Gotta go back to work.

The fries are burning :) :) :)

404

August 25th, 2010
10:46 am

dawginlex

All members of LSU’s (10-2 regualr season) 2007 BCS title team are gone.
All of Saban’s talent there is gone. It really showed last year.

LSU struggled with a Washington team that went 5-7
in teh Pac-10 with a new head coach.

In 2010, LSU scored 23 pts on vandy. Techies scored 50+ pts on vandy.

LSU got really lucky on the goaline vs MsSt and first year head coach Dan Mullen.

Losing to Florida 13-3 only outlined how weak Florida really was last year. But dont even get me started on the SEC refs hading out “gimmes” to Florida in the MsST and Ark games.

The LSU lost to Ole Ms really showed how much Miles had derailed that program.

The 2010 UNC team is MUCH BETTER at almost every position
than the 2010 LSU team.

Everyone but me are gonna be stunned when UNC beats LSU convincingly.

LSU will finish DEAD LAST in the SEC-West, and Miles will get fired.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:47 am

404, you forgot to mention how the humpers get cheated by the refs every game.

GeneralNeyland96

August 25th, 2010
10:47 am

I’ve seen both Vol fans and “Objective Observers” picking us to win anywhere from 4 to 8 games….I can see 6 (UTM, UAB, Memphis, Ol’Miss, UK, Vandy), but we’ll have to have the planets align just right to pull off a 7th or 8th win against the likes of Oregon, UGA, USC, etc.

I’ll take 6 wins by a team that stays healthy and out of trouble…that should give Dooley a reasonable base to recruit from for next year.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:48 am

This is the real “what?” I did NOT post any of that. Lex, The Most Interesting Man Alive has ‘jacked my name and is posting crap.

See what a computer and a GT education gives the world?

5IML

August 25th, 2010
10:49 am

I feel honored that I have an impostor. I have finally arrived. I am now ready to compete for Finebaum’s “Caller of the Year.”

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:49 am

what? what? what? yes I did post it. Now we have a double imposter!

Tide Rising

August 25th, 2010
10:49 am

5IML,

We gotta break that habit of complacency after building huge halftime leads. It happened several times where we went to sleep in the 3rd qtr. Not just UGA and Tejas but in the 08 season Ole Miss, UK, etc.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:50 am

Ditto, 51MIL

These Nerds think they are so clever.

LSU Fan

August 25th, 2010
10:50 am

And yet LSU still has two more than UGA. @ the fake 10:39

5IML

August 25th, 2010
10:51 am

plainsman

August 25th, 2010
10:52 am

first time ive seen it stated but i agree that
lsu will finish last in the west.

lsu is in real trouble this year.

BJohnDawg

August 25th, 2010
10:52 am

boise State top 5. Please.
VaTech #10
Wyoming #83
Oregon State #27
New Mexico St #117
Toledo# 92
San Jose St #110
La Tech #84
Hawaii #94
Idaho #101
Fresno St #59
Nevada # 57
Utah St # 93

Outside of Va. Tech….its a bunch of non competes.
Tony…media putting BS at #5 is well…just BS.

Even with my 5th grade mentality I am still smarter than all of the chicken house owning humpers

August 25th, 2010
10:53 am

LSU Fan

August 25th, 2010
10:53 am

404

Is that same UF team that hammered UGA?

The samw Washington team that beat One-Pete and USCw?

G8R GRAD

August 25th, 2010
10:54 am

Poor ol’ Ron Zook.
He could always recruit with the best of them, but coach?
Well, not so much.

LSU Fan

August 25th, 2010
10:55 am

Plainsmen

The same LSU team that has beaten AU 3 times in a row?

Ron Zook

August 25th, 2010
10:55 am

I wish I could play jawja again.

1eyedJack

August 25th, 2010
10:56 am

Coach Richt ain’t going nowhere Tekkies, so quit dreaming. The beatdowns for ya’ll will continue on a regular basis. McGarity knows that he has a proven and known commodity, and he ain’t going to stir that pot right now.

Let’s just hope that VaTech beats Boise. To have Boise in the MNC game with that schedule would be a disservice to all of the rest of college football.

Tide Rising

August 25th, 2010
10:56 am

BJohnDawg,

Give Oregon State a little more credit. But outside of Oregon State and VT that Boise schedule is horrendous. Basically a 2 game schedule.

SEC FAN

August 25th, 2010
10:56 am

I hope the guy who posted that he bets “McGarity won’t put up with this mediocrity”, meaning Richt, sure knows what the hell he is talking about.

404

August 25th, 2010
10:57 am

Heres my estimated finish

Sec-East
1. SC
2. FLa
3. Uga
4. Ky
5. Tenn
6. Vandy

Sec west
1. Ala
2. Ark
3. Aub
4. MsSt
5. Ole Ms
5. Lsu

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:58 am

Sorry to all the serious football blogers that some GT immature punk has turned this topic into a D&D forum of name calling and mud slinging. Please, buzz off geek.

LSU Fan

August 25th, 2010
10:58 am

404

I am glad no one is paying you to think..

Revenge of The Nerds!

August 25th, 2010
10:58 am

Spokesman for the SEC East

August 25th, 2010
10:58 am

SEC FAN, I hope no one ever fires Richt. The rest of us will even chip in for an upgraded tanning bed.

what?

August 25th, 2010
10:59 am

what and why?

We run this state!

August 25th, 2010
10:59 am

Most of the “Fire Mark Richt” fans on here are really Techies who will do anything to somehow win a game. Afterall, the Mark Richt era has not been kind to them.

G8R GRAD

August 25th, 2010
10:59 am

Gimme:

“Bobo has to go. When my wife can sit in the stands and call the plays before the snaps I assure you that the D knows what is coming.”

Sad, but funny.

Tide Rising

August 25th, 2010
10:59 am

404,

LSU dead last? Hard to see that with all the talent on that team.

404

August 25th, 2010
10:59 am

I am drunk right now!

Tide Rising

August 25th, 2010
11:00 am

G8R GRAD,

You must be talking about the screen passes that everyone knows when Bobo’s gonna call them.

Spokesman for the SEC East

August 25th, 2010
11:01 am

We run this state! not kind to Tech but it has for the restivus.

LSU Fan

August 25th, 2010
11:01 am

404

I hope so!

UT96

August 25th, 2010
11:01 am

RXDawg, we can win some games this year but we can ill afford any injuries. We have virtually no depth at some positions.

Festivus for the Restivus

August 25th, 2010
11:01 am

That is what we call the CMR annual contract extension signing celebration.