What happens if the Big Ten goes to 16 teams?

 

Indianapolis—Yes, we are attending the Super Bowl of college basketball and tonight the story lines abound: Duke will go for its fourth national championship and its first since 2001, under Coach K against Butler. Rated rival North Carolina has cut down the nets twice (2005, 2009) since their hated rival won a title. Coach Mike Krzyzewski is in his 11th Final Four, which ties Carolina’s Dean Smith. One more for K and he passes the Dean for No. 2 on the all-time list.

Butler is playing six miles from its campus. Their playing facility, Hinkle Fieldhouse, was where the championship game in “Hoosiers” was filmed. CBS must be tempted to bring in Gene Hackman and let him walk onto the floor and measure the baskets like he did in the movie that is beloved by all hoopsters.

Understand this about Butler. This isn’t tiny Milan taking on Muncie Central for the Indiana state high school championship in 1954. Butler is really good and is well coached  by a guy who looks like he should be a study hall monitor instead of a coach with an 89-14 record. They can beat Duke if they are healthy and the Blue Devils are little cold from behind the arc. We’re expecting another crowd of over 70,000 at Lucas Oil Field.

But enough about hoops. That’s tonight.  I’m here today to tell you what’s going on behind the scenes of tonight’s national championship game.  I am not big into hyperbole, but you need to know that two things are being discussed that could, in the next six months, could radically change the college athletics landscape as we know it.

The first, of course, is the potential expansion of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament field from 65 to 96 teams. The NCAA floated that trial balloon on Thursday and for the first time gave details about how it could work. That effort was met with criticism that turned into downright derision from fans and media. Why take one of the best sporting events in the world and risk hurting it by trying to shoe-horn another round of games into the same three-week calendar?

You already know the answer. It’s about the money. It’s always been about the money. The NCAA has three more years on its current 11-year, $6 billion contract with CBS but has the option to opt out of those years and put the tournament back up for bid. Needless to say there are other suitors, like ESPN or NBC/Comcast who might want to step up to the plate.  Given the realities of the economy, all schools need more money.

Here is my prediction and that’s all it is: The tournament goes to 96 team  out of pure financial necessity. The 32 team NIT, which the NCAA  also controls, will go always and those teams will be folded into the big tournament. CBS retains the rights to the tournament and finds a cable partner to share in the costs and the distribution. Don’t be surprised if it’s Turner Broadcasting. Then the NCAA will have to do a lot of selling to a skeptical public and press and convince them that the event that they love so much will not be watered down with first round games that include a 9 vs. 24 seed.

I spoke to several commissioners of smaller conferences who are convinced that the vast majority of this money is not going to trickle down to them because most of those 32 extra slots in the tournament will go to teams in the BCS conferences.

The NCAA insists this is not a done deal but my conversations this week tell me the train is at the station and getting ready to move out. Everybody just needs to jump on board.

The other big topic here has a chance to completely change college football as we know it. I’ve spoken to a number of athletics directors and commissioners who are convinced that the Big Ten is positioning itself to seriously consider becoming college football first super conference by expanding to as many as 16 teams.

The Big Ten is looking at three plans: Stand pat with 11 teams, add one team (hopefully Notre Dame) or make a blockbuster move and go to 16.

“If they go to 16 and one of them is Notre Dame then we’ve got an entirely new ball game,” a conference commissioner told me confidentially.

There is pretty serious speculation that The Big Ten would look to the Big East in its big master plan. Now I don’t know which teams are involved, but Just for fun, let’s  say the Big Ten asks Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Connecticut and Rutgers to join. If they said yes, the Big East would be out of the football business. I think the Catholic schools (Georgetown, Villanova, St. John’s, Marquette, Seton Hall, DePaul, Providence)  in the league move on  and form their own basketball conference.

What would happen to the other football playing schools in the Big East: West Virginia, Louisville, Cincinnati, South Florida? Does the ACC take them in order to match the Big 16?

What would happened to Notre Dame? Would they be invited to join the Catholic conference for basketball? What about their other sports?

And what does the SEC do if the Big Ten throws down this gauntlet? The conference has its 15-year, $3 billion television contract in place.  Does the SEC have to react to the new marketplace that has been created? The SEC and Big Ten have separated themselves financially from the rest of Division I. If the SEC stood pat would it risk watching the Big Ten with the additional dollars that would come in, pull away from the SEC?

 

Does the SEC get aggressive and pick up the phone call Texas? That’s the one school that would move the financial needle to improve  the great deal the SEC already has. And if you take Texas, you have to take Texas A&M because of the politics. Does the SEC take another look at Florida State and Miami and see if those schools would be interested in leaving the ACC for a better financial deal?

I have been saying this for years: The dominoes of expansion will start tumbling when the Big Ten makes its move. If it only adds one team, even if it’s Notre Dame, then relatively little will change.  But if commissioner Jim Delany wants to make a splash and go to 16, then absolutely  anything is possible.   If members of the Big East want to leave, they must remain in the conference for an additional 27 months after they declare. So if the Big Ten wants to take some Big East teams, they must make a decision soon in order for those teams  to be in place for the 2012 football season.

Understand that there is a lot of smoke here. None of this could happen. Or all of it could. So stay tuned.

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264 comments Add your comment

Steve

April 5th, 2010
8:49 am

Would the big 10, if expanded to 16 teams, have more than one or two competitive teams as they have now? Whateve4r they decide, good luck to them.

Worm

April 5th, 2010
9:01 am

Don’t really care what the Big 10 does..I like the SEC product as it stands..OOC scheduling would be a nightmare for the Big 10.

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
9:08 am

AS THE AUTHOR STATES “SMOKE.” AND THAT DOES SUM IT ALL UP! The Irish, no matter how harried, will not join any conference soon. However the theories and articles will continue like a California wildfire! “Would the Big Ten consider adding Trinity or Eaton?” Enjoy people!

naganole

April 5th, 2010
9:08 am

What does it matter? Unless they do add Pitt, it’s only going to be more fluff for tOSU and soon UMich…

DIXIE

April 5th, 2010
9:09 am

Leave the Big Ten alone!!!

Rudy

April 5th, 2010
9:11 am

16 teams in the Big 10 would be terrible but at least they could change the name without an issue! I’d rather see the Big 10 add a 12th team like Notre Dame or Pitt. If that doesn’t happen then kick out a team and go back to 10 and play a round robin schedule.

glenn

April 5th, 2010
9:16 am

A sixteen team conference is silly . 12 teams I see . A title football game ? Sure . That would just a very watered down product IMO . The SEC is currently perfect .

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
9:21 am

Worm-What scheduling problem? Computerized programs take care of that and then the league fills in the dates. The problem comes with this scenario for example-Ohio State has league dates with Michigan (stop laughing they will return with a vengeance), MSU,Iowa, PSU, Pitt,and for good measure adds in the Irish, Texas, or USC. ‘Suicide by schedule.’I still say it’s smoke and mirrors!

Old Dawg

April 5th, 2010
9:23 am

I could imagine the SEC offering Texas, Texas A&M, and FSU – but I think they would offer Clemson rather than Miami. They want large state universities with large fan bases. Miami does not have that despite their hype. The old Orange Bowl was half empty even when Miami was the power in the 80’s and 90’s.

Larry

April 5th, 2010
9:32 am

The Big 10 can’t count to 11 so they are really going to have problems if they go to 16 teams !!!

Autiger

April 5th, 2010
9:32 am

Really hope Texas, Fla St and Miami doesn’t join the SEC. Texas is a prennial national contender and Miami and Florida State may come back around in a couple years. It they were to join that would mess up the National landscape big time as you would have 5 or 6 teams in the SEC that could compete for a NC.

mike

April 5th, 2010
9:33 am

Then there will be 16 mediocre teams.

Brian

April 5th, 2010
9:36 am

I’d like to see them add a 12th football team, split into 2 divsions and have a title game in Lucas Oil Stad.

droopydawg

April 5th, 2010
9:38 am

please do not add Texas and A&M to the SEC…if anything, let Arkansas go to the Big 12 if it expands (since those are its natural rivals anyway) and add Clemson, FSU and GT or UM to get to 14 in the SEC.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
9:38 am

Tony, IMO if the Big10 expands with the Big East teams it will not damage the SEC or Big 12 much. However, Nebraska and Mizzou have been linked to Big10 expansion. Further Colorado has been linked to a PAC10 expansion.

If those happen it really shakes up the CFB world. What happens to the Big 12? The Big10 with Nebraska and Mizzo the Big10 could rise to the 2nd strongest Football conf by default with the fall of the Big12.

How could this happen? Many point to the way Big12 money is distributed to the teams with Texas and OU getting 1st cut and others getting smaller slices of the pie.

If Texas sees the Big12 start to fold do they take an early invitation to the PAC10? and move with Colorado

droopydawg

April 5th, 2010
9:39 am

Lucas Oil is smaller than most of the Beg Ten football stadiums…70000 for b-ball is about 62000 for football which is a SMALL venue

Otto

April 5th, 2010
9:43 am

Miami vs. Clemson? Miami draws bigger TV viewership, Clemson draws bigger ticket sales. The SEC is making their money off the TV contract not at the Ticket Counter. However, Miami’s image (which imo does not reflect the current program) does clash with the SEC culture. It is an intersting debate.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
9:43 am

13 NATIONAL TITLES – 22 SEC TITLES!!!

Hate the super conference concept – too large and totally locked into your side of the conference.

Notre Dame to the B10 would be good for that conference – and college football. With that said, I hate it that ND get’s it own special provisions as an independent.
For example:
– automatic BCS bowl berth if they win 10 games.
– They get a slice of the BCS payout – even if they do not participate in a bowl – not just a BCS Bowl – any bowl.

With their independent arrangement – I hope ND continues to be mediocre.

REGARDING SEC EXPANSION:
12 seems to be a perfect number. I like how the SEC rotates opponents so that you get to play each school within a few years.

If anything were to change in the SEC – I would like to see ARKANSAS go the the B12 – as they have natural rivalries with Texas AM, Texas, and their geography to Kansas, K-State and Mo is ideal. MO/ARK would be a great rivalry. This would be good for the B12 – of course Colorado would probably be sent to the Pac 10 for this to work.

The SEC would then pick up GT.
Would love to see GT back in the SEC, Ironic that ALABAMA was one of the reasons that GT left.

Back in the day – GT had a great rivalry with Auburn, Tennessee and Alabama – and obviously UGA. And GT could more than hold there own then – and I think could do so now.

Imagine Saturday – Auburn rolling into GT – or Tennessee – or Florida – or Alabama. Atlanta is truly the heart of SEC – not Birmingham – heck we have our Conference Title game a few miles from Tech’s campus – and the geography is just too dang convenient.

How would this work?
GT in the SEC EAST – KY to the SEC WEST.

I would NOT be in favor of FSU. The SEC offered – FSU turned us down stating it was too hard FOR THEM to win Titles – and went to the weaker ACC – THE PATH OF LEAST RESISTANCE – of which they dominated.
Geogrpahy favors GT and Atlanta – pull these guys back in!!

ROLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL TIDE!!!

morgwreck243

April 5th, 2010
9:43 am

Miami moves the TV ratings, much like Notre Dame. But Clemson would be a good fit.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
9:48 am

Arkansas will not leave the SEC on their own. Nobody can offer them near the money.

FSU what has happened is in the past. They would draw TV ratings and sell tickets. It is a natural fit.

GT left the SEC over Bobby Dodd throwing a tantrum, and I would tink Clemson could have joined after the Southern Conf. fell from power. Miami on the other hand tried to join in the 60s and was turned down. So does the SEC take Miami?

T3

April 5th, 2010
9:49 am

Tony:

While you’re in Indy, please give us ALL the reasons why a playoff system for
College Basketball (and every other college sports for that matter) is a REALLY bad idea.

Afterall, you enthusiatically denounce a legit playoff system for College Football.

Obvious

April 5th, 2010
9:51 am

If the Big Ten expands, the SEC will try to go even bigger, I know one of the targets for SEC expansion is the Clarke County jail, there’s more college football players there than anywhere.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
9:53 am

Big Orange

April 5th, 2010
9:55 am

Agree with B-STAN – current 12 team format is great for the SEC – adding Tech captures that Atlanta market – and is much more convenient to fans traveling to games. Tennessee/GT was great – miss the rivalry.

WonderDawg

April 5th, 2010
9:59 am

Tony, I don’t know if the Steelers will leave the NFL for the Big Ten…

Big Orange

April 5th, 2010
10:00 am

Tech tried to get back into the SEC in teh late 70’s – was voted down. Bobby Dodd said leaving the SEC was his big regret.

Plenty of Tennessee, Auburn, Bama, Florida and Carolina fans in Atlanta area – geography is perfect – convenient for the local fans.

Miami TV market would be huge – would take Miami over FSU. Miami over Clemson. However, dang it is a long way to Miami – ever driven there? Stay with GT. Monopolize Atlanta TV market – best fit for fans.

HokieMan

April 5th, 2010
10:02 am

How about VaTech in the SEC??? Va Tech / Tennessee would be a great rivalry. Va Tech/ UGA, Va Tech / Florida – man – that would be great!

13 NATIONAL TITLES - 13 NCAA PROBATIONS!!

April 5th, 2010
10:03 am

PJ ain’t coming to the SEC …

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
10:04 am

13 NATIONAL TILES – 22 SEC TITLES!!!

OTTO – I always enjoy your posts and respect your comments. your thoughts on SEC expansion – GT. Miami, Clemson, Va Tech, Texas, Texas A&M?

ROLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL TIDE???

Otto

April 5th, 2010
10:07 am

GT would bring back memories of past great games. As a UGA fan it opens up an OOC date for UGA. However, IMO GT can not compete over a full season, year in year out. They would be another Ole Miss.

FSU would sell just as many tix and would draw even bigger on the TV.

I do agree 12 teams works very well, more teams would split up long time rivals. The only really BIG game lost in the expansion was Auburn/UF.

Fast Eddie

April 5th, 2010
10:09 am

Tony, I expect the everyday fans who respond to your articles to be lousy typists and wordsmiths but I thought you were a professional writer. Do you ever read over your articles before you post them? After I read your article, I thought I had read something written by a Jawja Bulldawg. Oh, wait. Never mind!

Ramblin Wreck for Georgia Tech!!!

April 5th, 2010
10:14 am

I personally would hate to leave the ACC. Have grown accustomed to our great rivalry with Clemson – and enjoy our side of the division with VA Tech and Miami – great schools. Playing Georgia at the end of the year really caps off our season. If the SEC did raid the ACC for a team – I would want TECH to go back to the SEC. Just a better football conference and the thoughts of playing Tennessee, Florida, Kentucky and rotating Auburn, LSU and Alabama would be too much to turn down.

And I agree with the Tennessee fan – geopgrpahy wise – a better fit – and easier for all of us to travel.
UGA – 90 minutes
Tennessee – 3-1/2 hours
Auburn – 1-3/4 hours
Alabama – 3 hours
Vandy – 4 hours
South Carolina – 3 hours
Florida – 6 hours

Clemson is our closets ACC school – everything else is a minimum of 4 hours.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
10:21 am

13 NATIONAL TITLES – 22 SEC TITLES!!!

OTTO – Agree that FSU is also a fit – but still would rather see GT. I would think that GT might be a little better than Ole Miss over the long haul – but I get your point.

I am being selfish – but GT is more convenient – and I’vd had enough FSU drama to last for while – heck – I’ve had enough BAMA drama to last for a while – just leave SABAN in Tuscaloosa and keep fighting to stay on top!!! Also – something about FSU – them turning down the SEC in favor for a weaker conference – just rubs me the wrong way. At least Bobby Dodd and GT left the SEC on a sound arguement. Dodd regretted leaving and wanted back in – man – he screwed up!

Otto

April 5th, 2010
10:27 am

Stan likewise,

Expansion will be interesting if it does happen because IMO the SEC will be reacting and thus depeneding on where other chips fall.

I read a story where the Regents vote that decided Colorado’s conf with the Big12 would have been in the PAC10 if the vote was taken later. They took the vote and it did not pass. However new board members were coming on (that would have voted PAC10) could only witness the vote.

http://www.thewizofodds.com/the_wiz_of_odds/2010/03/cost-of-colorado-jumping-to-pac10-9-million.html

The wizoffods blog also has some interesting news linking Nebraska and Mizzou to the Big10.

16 teams for the SEC? FSU, Miami, Clemson, GT top 4 in that order.

If Texas goes with the PAC10. The Big takes Neb. and Mizzou. Further if the ACC teams don’t join, the remaing Big 12 gets very interesting. Oklahoma is not linked to any moves. I would imagine the MWC and WAC gets shuffled too.

If the Big10 does get serious on going to 16 teams, Nebraska and Mizzou have one foot out the the door. Does Oklahoma try to sweeten the deal? OU vs. Nebraska has spent far to long not being a yearly fixture of the season. The Big12 dropped the ball on that one.

Don’t forget L’ville could be hung out to dry with the Big10 raiding the Big East and would be a nice fit especially with Basketball.

DaveDawg

April 5th, 2010
10:31 am

I think Syracuse is the most likely Big East team to join the Big 10. (It’s the best candidate to bring in the NY market, despite what Rutgers backers say. You do have to consider the basketball component.) The next best fit is Missouri, and of course Notre Dame is always on the table. So, those schools make it a Big 14.

I also think Colorado and Utah will got to the PAC-10. This would be a two team loss for the Big 12 (Mizzou and Colorado), so I think it is possible for Arkansas to move to the Big 12 (with a little cash from Jerry Jones) along with TCU.

The SEC void could be filled by FSU or Clemson.

The ACC fills its void with West Virginia.

Then the Mountain West fills its two vacancies with Boise State and Nevada.

The Big East fills its two vacancies and adds two more schools with Memphis, Marshall, East Carolina and Central Florida.

So a lot of dominoes would fall across the country, but it’s not the seismic move described by Tony and a Big 16.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
10:34 am

67 NATIONAL TITLES – 123 SEC TITLES!!!

I personally don’t understand why anyone would join a conference with my mighty TIDE. 0% chance of success.

Ala-FREAKIN-bama, Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

ECDawg

April 5th, 2010
10:35 am

Enter your comments here

DaveDawg

April 5th, 2010
10:35 am

I think Syracuse is the most likely Big East team to join the Big 10. (It’s the best candidate to bring in the NYC market, despite what Rutgers backers say. You do have to consider the basketball component.) The next best fit is Missouri, and of course Notre Dame is always on the table. So, those schools make it a Big 14.

I also think Colorado and Utah will got to the PAC-10. This would be a two team loss for the Big 12 (Mizzou and Colorado), so I think it is possible for Arkansas to move to the Big 12 (with a little cash from Jerry Jones) along with TCU.

The SEC void could be filled by FSU or Clemson.

The ACC fills its void with West Virginia.

Then the Mountain West fills its two vacancies (Utah, TCU) with Boise State and Nevada.

The Big East fills its two vacancies (Syracuse, WVU) and adds two more schools with Memphis, Marshall, East Carolina and Central Florida.

So a lot of dominoes would fall across the country, but it’s not the seismic move described by Tony and a Big 16.

Will

April 5th, 2010
10:38 am

I wonder what the new name of the SEC would be if Texas came over?

Otto

April 5th, 2010
10:38 am

Stan, Agreed I think FSU drama will calm down with the new staff. Miami drama has really calmed down. A board I used to post on had a Miami alum that would post arrest and graduation stats. From what he posted Miami looked cleaner than UF or FSU. I need to see if I can find their Fulmer Cup standings.

IIRC Bowden wanted to be 100% certain that he did not have to play Auburn and Bama in the same year on top of UF, and Miami. In the 90s that could have been half of the AP top 10. It rubs me wrong too but he does have a point. Also the ACC was knocking on their door wanting the exposure. Bowden is retired and the new staff has SEC ties. Besides I have family down in Tallahassee sp? and always liked going down there.

Ogeechee Dawg

April 5th, 2010
10:39 am

Let the rest of the world twist and turn – the SEC is perfectly set up for the long haul. Only move I would like to see is somehouw get GT back in – but only if Arkansas bailed out to a revamped B12 or South Carolina goes to the ACC.

ECDawg

April 5th, 2010
10:39 am

A 16 team Big Ten still loses the title game to the SEC champion. 16 teams splitting a pie that expands little means less for all 16 teams. Delaney, if he has a brain, adds one team and tries to play second fiddle to the SEC. That is the maximum he can achieve in this scenerio.

A 16 team Big Ten would be about as popular as the Big Ten Network, wherever that is in any cable package………..

Otto

April 5th, 2010
10:42 am

Dave Dawg, Big12 guys are saying Nebraska is looking as or maybe more likely to move than Mizzou at the moment.

http://www.thewizofodds.com/the_wiz_of_odds/2010/03/nebraskas-proactive-approach-is-bad-news-for-big-12.html

knute rockne

April 5th, 2010
10:43 am

the logical choice would be expand to 12 with ND filling the role. ND plays 3-4 Big 10 schools annually (MSU, Michigan and Purdue every year, with Indiana, Northwestern and/or Penn State from time to time). but as previously noted, ND isn’t going to join a conference anytime soon. and it’s about more than just $$$. ND likes its independence and sole control over its brand. the SEC seems to be the gold standard for college football conference brand and ND is the gold standard for individual brand. let’s say that as in independent, ND’s annual (football) revenue is $100 million, but as a member of the Big 10 they could earn $150 million, so what? while it is true all college sports are about the money, in ND’s case, $100 million is enough, if the school maintain sole ownership of the brand.

JB

April 5th, 2010
10:45 am

The SEC really really needs to swap Vandy for Clemson.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
10:46 am

67 NATIONAL TITLES – 123 SEC TITLES!!!

Correction fellas: Make that 69 NATIONAL TITLES. Just found a couple more while surfin’ the net.

Ala-FREAKIN-bama, Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

david

April 5th, 2010
10:47 am

Otto

April 5th, 2010
9:43 am

Miami vs. Clemson? Miami draws bigger TV viewership, Clemson draws bigger ticket sales. The SEC is making their money off the TV contract not at the Ticket Counter. However, Miami’s image (which imo does not reflect the current program) does clash with the SEC culture. It is an intersting debate.

Otto, how many arrests has UGA, and Tenn had over the last few years? Miami’s so called bad image is mostly from the press the last 10 years. The only arrest they had was Marve breaking a side view mirror on south beach. Marve is now at Purdue.

GT

April 5th, 2010
10:48 am

In the past decade, GT played for the national title in basketball, and went to the BCS. How many other schools have done that? Just Flordia and Ohio State I believe. And GT maintains a top 30 national ranking in academics. And we’re ranked #3 in baseball. I think that whatever happens as far as re-alignment, if we end up in the ACC or the SEC, GT will be just fine.

The SEC isn’t as strong as you think in football. It’s just Alabama, Florida, and the 10 dwarves. GT would do fine in the SEC.

Rob

April 5th, 2010
10:55 am

If the Big 10 expands to 16 teams, then the SEC and PAC-10 might feel that they have to expand to keep up.

The big questions then would be what Texas decides to do and which direction the SEC tries to go. Does the SEC try to get the football schools from the ACC or does it try to expand its footprint (and tv base) by going west after Big 12 schools?

Its not hard to see this ending up with four 16-team megaconferences in football and a restructured basketball conference made of the Big East basketball schools and a handful of ACC schools (Duke, UNC?) who decide they might be better off in a basketball based conference.

HugoStiglitz

April 5th, 2010
10:56 am

Wow. If the Big Ten went to 16 with those teams then they would not only be the premier football conference but would also be the premier basketball conference. That would be amazing to watch. Seems like an overly bold move though.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
10:57 am

David,

That is my point fans turn their nose at Miami due to “image” when they’re cleaner than many teams in the SEC.

GT, Oklahoma made the final 4 in ‘02, Elite 8 2 more times, and played for mutiple BCS titles. Texas’ record just about mirrors OU.

LSU went to the Final 4 in ‘06 and 2 BCS titles.

Annette

April 5th, 2010
10:57 am

Another UGA thug arrested, this one for the second time.

Is there no end to UGA’s smame for recruiting and coddling these thugs?

Apparently not.

DaveDawg

April 5th, 2010
11:00 am

Otto, I don’t blame Nebraska. The Big 12 is going to have to change its payout system if it wants to stay relevant. This is the only way they can draw in Arkansas and keep Nebraska, both of which would likely prefer to be in the Big 12 with their natural rivalries as long as their income is at least comparable to what they can get elsewhere.

Ormewood

April 5th, 2010
11:05 am

GT,

Kansas went to the Orange Bowl a few years back, so they did both as well. Might want to throw Maryland in there, too. Fridge took them to the Orange Bowl one time, and they won a natty at the GA Dome.

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
11:05 am

Bama Stan-meds my friend, meds! They will allay those nightmares you are tormented by. I suggest valium.

CanadianWolf

April 5th, 2010
11:08 am

The Big Ten Conference will expand this year as the lucrative Big Ten Network needs additional programming & wants to expand into other cable television markets. The top two most likely expansion candidates are Notre Dame & Missouri. Notre Dame offers a national fan base while Missouri offers the St. Louis & Kansas City cable TV markets.

G

April 5th, 2010
11:15 am

It’s more real for the Big 10 to make changes sooner than later. They have to be economically and psychologically effected due to the supremacy of the SEC. Big 10 is desperate because they have been exposed to produce an inferior product when it comes to “national championships”. SEC will stay as is, because they are on top. Big 10 makes changes because of the SEC, not the other way around. Even on the high school level, the midwest teams can’t come close to competing on the same level as southeastern schools. What that means is that recruitment for the blue chips will get even harder for the Big 10.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
11:15 am

I don’t think Arkansas leaves for even equal $$$. If Arkansas wanted to be in the Big12 they would have likely stuck around for it. Further the Big12 would be in a state of flux, the SEC is rock solid and has the TV contracts to offer up 2 or 4 more teams.

If I were the Big10, I’d put a package together to offer up Nebraska, OU, and Mizzou. I’d also talk to my long time Rose Bowl counter parts and get them to offer Texas and Colorado. The PAC10 offer would make it an easier sale to the prospective teams. The PAC10 would go to 12 and the Big10 to 14. Its puts both in position to be on equal or better footing than the SEC.

CanadianWolf

April 5th, 2010
11:17 am

The Big Ten Conference will probably expand to either 14 or to 16 teams this year. Expansion to 14 teams will be accomplished by adding Notre Dame, Missouri & Pittsburgh. Growth to 16 teams requires a bit more speculation as the Big Ten could target Texas & Texas A&M if the Pac 10 conference disrupts the Big 12 by stealing Colorado, or the Big Ten could add Rutgers & Syracuse to capture the densely populated new York & New Jersey cable TV markets. Other Big Ten expansion candidates might be Colorado, Kansas & Nebraska. Colorado offers the large & still growing Denver/Boulder TV market.

Willie

April 5th, 2010
11:21 am

Your analysis sounds a lot like climategate to me. The SEC got its tv time and money for their play on the field. I really do not believe the referees have given a SEC the NC like they did Ohio State against Miami. But I do know a few high school team that would love to join the Big 10. Hey it may improve competition.

16 NOT

April 5th, 2010
11:21 am

The Big Ten will not expand to 16 teams. There aren’t enough teams that would make the jump that would still bring in enough revenue to raise each current team’s piece of the pie. No current team is going to take a decrease just to have 16 teams. The Big Ten will expand to 12 teams, still call themselves the Big 10, and the 12th team will be Notre Dame. The Dodgers left Brooklyn, the Browns left Cleveland and Notre Dame will leave its independence. Money talks…even for Catholics.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
11:24 am

Money talks thats why ND stays on their own.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
11:25 am

69 NATIONAL TITLES – 126 SEC TITLES!!!

No Rx needed here my man. The Orlando Sentinal may call Paul Finebaum (my personal hero after only The Bear), the “most powerful voice in trailer parks across the great state of Alabama,” but I hold that great distinction here on the AJC’s comment section.

Rollllllllllllllllllll Tide!!!

Ala-FREAKIN-bama, Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

GeoffDawg

April 5th, 2010
11:27 am

Adding several mediocre teams to the Big Ten will not make it a bigger threat to SEC dominance. It will increase its market share but the increased revenue per school is not likely to change as it will then be split 16 ways instead of 11. Much adieu about nothing.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
11:29 am

The Stan Imposter is getting old. When will the AJC have a login required like AL.com It is just sad when the Alabama paper has better technology than Atlanta.

WildHog

April 5th, 2010
11:32 am

Tony,

You might want to re-educate everyone on the original SEC expansion plan back in the early 90s. When Texas, Texas A&M, FSU and Miami were all part of the plan along with Arkansas and South Carolina. The state politicians in Texas with ties to TCU, SMU, Texas Tech, Rice, etc. kept the Longhorns and Aggies from leaving. FSU and Miami both passed and went to the ACC & Big East a year or so later.

And Arkansas isn’t leaving the SEC. There’s too much money involved. Jerry Jones already gives the school a lot of money. He’s not contributing more so we play a couple of more games in Texas. He set up the Southwest Classic (Hogs vs Aggies for the next 9 years) at Cowboy Stadium. That helps recruiting and is a fix for those fans that want to remember the old SWC days.

Yes, Fayetteville is farther geographically from the rest of the conference, but it also has an advantage when recruiting against Oklahoma, Okie State, Texas, and A&M in Texas, Oklahoma and Missouri. Those schools (at present) don’t offer the kids a chance to play in the best conference in football. For example, heard of Felix Jones? He’s from Oklahoma.

It will be interesting to see if any of these dominoes fall.

athensdawg

April 5th, 2010
11:33 am

the beginnings of a football playoff system are taking shape before our very eyes….al driven by the two edged sword that makes america the greatest nation on earth….capitalism.

Big 10 goes to 12 – championship game.
Big 10 goes to 16 – perhaps a 2 round playoff?

Eventually, what we are going to have is a playoff system whereby the conference champions (decided by playoff games) will be seeded into BCS Bowls. From there, it is only a short step to what we really need.

When this happens, you will see an end to cupcake scheduling and perhaps see one conference circle the wagons and play round-robin. If the SEC did that right now, it would leave room for 1 out of conference game. The SEC won’t do that right now because it would kill any hopes of having a team to play for the NC….since it’s all about wins/losses. However, with a guaranteed spot in the NC playoff, why not? I’d love to play Bama and LSU every year…..just think of all the money that could be made…..

Be patient everyone…..it’s coming…..

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
11:40 am

69 NATIONAL TITLES – 126 SEC TITLES!!!

Thanks, Otto. Don’t worry about it, though. That other guy’s about 56 National Titles short anyway, so everyone knows to skip the post from jump.

Get with the program AJC.

Ala-FREAKIN-bama, Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

English

April 5th, 2010
11:40 am

Mr. Barnhart,
It is funny to see how everyone thought the Big East was done when the ACC raided their conference a few years ago and no one thought having a 16 team league for basketball would be successful. Well like most, you’re wrong. The Big East will continue to draw attention because of their geographical footprint across the country. It allows the Big East to hype up college basketball as everyone feels they’re the best basketball conference (even though it hasn’t won a national title in a few year) because their media footprint can silence all naysayers. However, Syracuse, Pittsburg, UConn are not leaving the Big East for the cheap Big Ten conference. The Big Ten will get Rutgers or Missouri. End of story. Those others are the foundations to the Big East and will not be bought. Plus Joe Pa’ will not be in the same conference with Pittsburg. 16 teams to the Big Ten? Yeah, take Northern Iowa, Iowa State, Missouri, Rutgers, Butler, blah blah blah but only one team that’s Big East affiliated will potentially leave – Rutgers.
Ok I’m done blabbing. But you’re so wrong Mr. Football.

Heck with Tech

April 5th, 2010
12:01 pm

I agree with Otto, Tech quit the SEC in a huff because they thought they were better than everyone else & wanted to be the Notre Dame of the south. Tech is where they belong, the All Creampuff Conference.

[...] the SEC might pick up Texas and form a super conference ourselves. Pretty interesting read…. What happens if the Big Ten goes to 16 teams? | Mr. College Football __________________ "If you believe in yourself and have dedication and pride, and never [...]

16 NOT

April 5th, 2010
12:02 pm

Otto, Notre Dame also has an ego. Indiana and Northwestern EACH make more money than Notre Dame in TV revenue. There’s money in being independent, but there’s a whole lot more being shared in the Big Ten…and even Notre Dame can’t pass that up….not when they’re only alternative would be the Big East if the Big Ten went with someone else.

Joe

April 5th, 2010
12:05 pm

Here is hoping Va Tech FSU and Miami join the SEC (aka the NFL development league) and the ACC returns to its roots of being one of the few student athlete conferences. We will take Vandy and let the paid players have their fun and give their beer swilling fan base more to do.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
12:06 pm

The PAC10 plays round robin and how has that worked?

NCAA basketball has expanded playoffs to the point it is eating into their ratings not only in the regular season but in their beloved tournament.

What college football needs is more scholarships to take some of the parity out.

College football ratings are growing while other sports are shrinking. The flaws in the system are wht makes it so hotly debated and thus blogs about it during the middle of the offseason.

Who will be talking about the NCAA tournament 2 months from now?

Joe

April 5th, 2010
12:06 pm

Love the Ala-Freaking- stuff- was that some sort of jihad rant?

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
12:08 pm

69 NATIONAL TITLES – 126 SEC TITLES!!!

All Creampuff Conference! That makes me giggle!

Ala-FREAKIN-bama, Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

mike

April 5th, 2010
12:09 pm

GA Tech in the SEC???? They would replace Vandy as the perenial loser.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
12:10 pm

16 not, Post some links verifying that ND makes less money than Northwestern after ND’s BCS and TV contracts.

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
12:12 pm

BamaStan-Big games mean big draws. A few years ago people (creeps) were crowing about the death of Bama and USC. They are back indeed. How big will the reborn Irish be in a game against the Tide-two schools that may have more tradition than the Big Ten combined? That’s what draws-super conferences could kill such awesome matchups on the premise that you really can’t afford to schedule monster after monster. And from what I’m hearing and seeing the Domers will be back just like Bama and USC-with a vengeance too. Got to love this greatest of all sports!

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
12:15 pm

69 NATIONAL TITLES – 126 SEC TITLES!!!

Otto,
Each Big Ten team recieves $22 million per (from a $242 million pie)vs. $9 million for ND.

Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!! Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!

Joe

April 5th, 2010
12:25 pm

Yeah the ACC can’t compete- who is playing in the national championship game tonight? can my sec friends stop playing video poker for a minute?

murfdawg

April 5th, 2010
12:26 pm

As we all know, the Big 10 has 11 teams. Would a mathematically challenged conference end up with 15 or 17 teams? I’ll bet you all the PBR in Alabama they will not end up with 16 teams.

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
12:27 pm

Otto-The Irish rake in in excess of $100 million a year on football-do not be fooled by cleverly disguised props-they have the cash cow by the pinkbag all the way. That’s is why the independent status remains.
You have to love the spirit of the Stanman!

HugoStiglitz

April 5th, 2010
12:31 pm

College Basketball ratings are not shrinking. This years Final Four had ratings 8% higher then last year and the highest ratings since 2005. And if Butler wins tonight then I think it will be talked about for much more then 2 months. I would agree though that people talk alot about college football because its postseason is such a joke.

Charlie Bama

April 5th, 2010
12:31 pm

And what could be more anticipated than a road trip to Minneapolis, Inianapolis, or Anygenericplace-in-Ohio in December for a Big 16 football championship game? Freezing temps or maybe cold rain and slushy snow left over from the previous week. HmmUmmm! Sounds great. The annual SEC championship game is successful because it’s in ATL in a dome, and almost always features one (if not two) contenders for the national championship game in January.

bigstack19

April 5th, 2010
12:41 pm

As for the tourney, it loses luster if anyone can get in and at 96 teams we are talking about almost a third of the teams that play D-1 ball getting in. As someone pointed out to me Friday, who wants to date the pretty girl if everyone gets a shot at her. As for expansion of the big conferences I would love to see FSU, The U, and Texas in the SEC. I would hope they would go after Clemson too. I think Notre Dame will stay where they are at because they basically pick who and where and when they play every game. Notre Dame also carries the same weight as a conference champion if they win 10 games. They get in the BCS. What do they have to gain by joining the Big Ten for football? The Big Ten should go after Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, and Syracuse. South Florida, Rutgers, and West Virginia could go to the ACC. Maybe the ACC makes a play for South Carolina or adds Florida Atlantic or Florida International or both. Maybe they even add U-Conn. The possibilities are endless, but one thing appears to be clear, if there is any major expansion the Big East as we know it will vanish.

SCDawg

April 5th, 2010
12:45 pm

No school will leave the SEC, at least on its own, because of the television contract that the conference now has.

Big XII

April 5th, 2010
12:54 pm

Mizzou to the Big 10 is what I’ve read. ND would need to lose its lucrative NBC contract before it’ll be enticed to join the Big 10.

There is a lot of talk of Colorado and Utah moving to the Pac 10 and Mizzou to the Big 10 on Big XII message boards. That throws the Big XII into scramble mode as well. It isn’t clear who the Big XII would add, but should either the Big XII or Big 10 expand, the ACC and maybe the SEC could be impacted.

Big XII

April 5th, 2010
12:58 pm

How does the SEC allocate tv revenue? I’ve heard rumors (with little substance behind them) that Arkansas might leave. TV contracts (and their value to member schools) will change post-expansion and addition of a conference championship.

jumbeauxtiger

April 5th, 2010
1:00 pm

I can see why the Big 10 would want to expand to 16 teams. It would certainly shake up the college football world. I would love for the SEC to expand if that happens.

BTW does anyone else think expanding the NCAA Tourney to 96 teams is hipocritical? The presidents have used the excuse of not wanting a football playoff because athletes would miss more class time yet basketball players will miss even more class if an expansion does become reality.

termigator

April 5th, 2010
1:13 pm

Some sort of expansion for the Big Ten will be announced before the 2010. As for the SEC; I believe it will expand to 16 teams with Tx, Tx A&M, Clemson and FSU.

termigator

April 5th, 2010
1:14 pm

jumbeauxtiger you are exactly correct about the Prez’s being hypocritical. If they could figure out a way to make more money with a playoff for football they would do it in a heartbeat.

ChuckWDawg

April 5th, 2010
1:17 pm

It’s championship time in basketball. I’ll stick to that topic. I was initially against the idea of tournament expansion. But once I realized it would eliminate the NIT via a new “play in” round I changed my mind. There’s is something at odds with rooting your team through a tournament that is utterly irrelevant while the rest of the world ignores it and celebrates the Big Dance that you barely missed being a part of. As a fan I would rather my team forget the NIT. Withe expansion teams on the bubble that felt they were snubbed will stay alive. Teams that proved less than worthy during the regular season but got hot and played their way in via a conference tournament championship must prove their worthiness. By playing one less game the top 32 will get a litte bit of a break compared to the rest of the field which I think is only fair after being the among the most successful teams during the long season. I get excited by upsets the same as the next guy and the Butler story is the kind of thing that makes sports great. On the other hand I wouldn’t exactly be complaining if Duke were instead playing a Kansas or Syracuse tonight.

cajdawg

April 5th, 2010
1:21 pm

I hope the Big 10, doesn’t go to 16 teams. That would create WWIII. It is impossible to predict what would happen after that…but speculation is fun so…

The SEC should add Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma and Missouri. The conference could be renamed God, Guns and Football conference.

Pago Pago Trojan

April 5th, 2010
1:24 pm

I think we all pretty much agree…who cares about the big ten!

hawkeye

April 5th, 2010
1:29 pm

Nobody I know in B10 country wants to expand. As a Hawk, we already don’t play Michigan and OSU every year. By splitting into 2 divisions we might as well be different conferences. Now we will only get OSU or Michigan every how many years? That just waters down the conference if you ask me. We might as well say the entire BCS is “one conference” and leave the current conferences as the divisions in the conference. It would not be that different. Also, not one person west of State College that I know wants to travel to New Jersey or Connecticut for a conference game. Grow slow of stay put, I say.

Ogeechee Dawg

April 5th, 2010
1:34 pm

I’ll say it again – the SEC – in it’s current 12 team format – is set up for the long haul.

I would hate to see the SEC exapnd to 16 teams.

If the SEC were to expand – I would like to see it expand to 14 teams.
Adding TEXAS to the West and GT to the EAST.

Again – 12 is a great number – you play 8 league games – schedule an interesting BCS foe (like a Colorado, Oregon, OK STATE, MICH STATE) then have a few tune-up and breathers in their to develop your depth and attempt to stay healthy.

12 is the magic number! Anything more – becomes unmanagable – or you really run the risk of overloading your schedule with tough games.

If you expanded to 14 teams – adding Texas to the WEST – and either GT, FSU or Clemson to the EAST – you would have to add conference games to balance out the schedule – and come up a fair way to achieve a conference title between SEC EAST and WEST.

Imagine a UGA schedule that would include:
SEC EAST: Florida, Tennessee, South Carolina, Kentucky, Vandy, (GA TECH, FSU or CLEMSON)
SEC Perm Opponent: AUBURN
SEC WEST Rotation: TEXAS, LSU, MISS STATE (home & home for two years – then switch to ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, OLE MISS for home &home the next tow years)

Again – you will wear your team out – and remember the GOLDEN RULE OF BCS AND NATIONAL RANKINGS: IT’S NOT ABOUT THE WINS – IT’S ALL ABOUT LOSSES!!!

you lose two conference games – win your conference title – then watch a weak OHIO STATE play MIAMI or So Cal – who did not have as near a tough schedule.

12 – the magic number. let the other conferences twist and turn. The SEC is set up perfect!!!

rebman76

April 5th, 2010
1:34 pm

You bring up an interesting point, Tony. Personally, i would love to see Texas and Florida St. get the invite to the SEC. Keep the permanent opponents the same for the current members of the conference and just make FSU and Texas play each other as their SEC West-East game.

Taylor

April 5th, 2010
1:45 pm

If the SEC were to expand, I would like to see it look like this…

SEC East – Florida, Florida State, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Clemson, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt

SEC West – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Miss St, Arkansas, Kentucky, Texas

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
1:47 pm

Ogeechee-Count on the Big Ten (or whatever its real number is) to expand. Sixteen is foolish and impractical. Fourteen is possible but fright with scheduling too, but twelve is the correct number. Therefore you sir are correct. The intergers (Big Ten) really do want those Irish which they will not get-Domers are too smart to fall into the atheistic clutches of the big two-OSU/Michigan. Any way the premier game of the 2012 season will be Bama and the Irish of Notre Dame-the ratings will be huge and good for college football and each schools traditions. Anytime an SEC school plays ND it is great. And of course this could all be a smoke screen to make the other guy blink first and then make your moves?
Are you still there BamaStan?

Taylor

April 5th, 2010
1:48 pm

Or if the ACC were to expand, I would like to see it look like this…

ACC South – Miami, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Clemson, UNC, Duke, NC State, Wake

ACC North – Virginia, Virginia Tech, West Virginia, Maryland, Boston College, Pitt, Syracuse, Rutgers

Ogeechee Dawg

April 5th, 2010
1:54 pm

hawkeye – adding Notre Dame or an additional team to get 12 teams would be in your best interest – currently – the B10 enjoys splitting conference titles to keep members happy.

However – Imagine two 6 team conferences:
B10 WEST (MINN, Iowa, Wisconsin, Notre Dame, Michigan, ILL)
B10 East (Penn STATE, OHIO ST, Mich ST, N’western, IND, Purdue)

Just like the SEC – IOWA would play your own division – a perm. East Opponent ( say Perdue), and rotate 2 B10 East opponentes home and home every two years – you would go throught the entired – home and home in 6 years…………………..and you could get a chance at Ohio State in the B10 Championship game!!!

Can you dig it??

crack for lindsey

April 5th, 2010
1:55 pm

Forget the Pig Pen, Tony – tell us about the Bratwurst Boys and their taxi ride. It should be easy to look into, it happened in your backyard. Maybe you could use it to fill the space you usually devote to Spikes and his eyegouge.

VolsRule

April 5th, 2010
1:59 pm

Taylor – look at the traditional power schools in the ACC – most clumped in the south – GT, FSU, MIA, Clemson, UNC – I doubt you would get the school Presidents to sign off on that. VA TECH would love that set-up!!! West VA is very good – BC can be good, PITT – about the same as BC – Rutgers – not so good.

Parker

April 5th, 2010
2:00 pm

The SEC should make the move and add Clemson, GT, Florida State and Miami.

SEC East – UF, FSU, Miami, UGA, GT, Clemson, USC, Vandy

SEC West – Bama, Auburn, UT, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Miss State, Ark, LSU

Otto

April 5th, 2010
2:02 pm

$9 mil from what NBC, the BCS, or ND and their Big East Basketball deal. Remember this about the entire picture not just football. From what I can find ~$9 mil from NBC plus ~$9mil from the Big East. So that is $18mil plus $1.3 mil from the BCS or $4.5 mil if they make the BCS. In addition they have 100% control of their image (more royalties) and do not split bowl money or special matchups such as playing in the Jerry Dome.

It looks like a wash on ND being solo vs joining the Big10 but ND will most likely be able to extend their TV contract for more money. ND will not join a conf. until the TV money stops putting them even with the Big 10.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
2:07 pm

Another thought all this talk of Pitt and Rutgers. They can only sell out their home stadiums on good years and distantly behind in TV viewrship due to being in Pro Sports towns. The Big East teams were put in the picture when JoePa made waves with the idea of expansion. However recently Big12 teams have been generating more talk. Nebraska vs. Penn St. would be a national TV draw.

Will

April 5th, 2010
2:08 pm

Has anyone given any thought to what an expanded NCAA tournament would do to scheduling? What would be the incentive for anyone to schedule any tough games?

For example, Va. Tech just missed the tournament this year. Good record but a weak schedule kept them out. If the field had been 96 instead of 65 this year, would the weak schedule have kept Va. Tech out? Certainly not.

I guess I don’t mind an expanded field IF that means more mid-majors get in but, if it means that more 18-16 10th place so called “majors” get in, count me out.

78Lion

April 5th, 2010
2:08 pm

Tony,

If the SEC calls Texas, Texas sees the caller id is coming from a conference that could give a rat’s azz about academics and doesn’t pick up the phone. They rejected the SEC before and the academic standing of the SEC hasn’t improved since that rejection.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
2:09 pm

Ogeechee Dawg, Permanent rivals from the other division are not a given. The Big12 does not have that provision.

scXenon

April 5th, 2010
2:12 pm

Ah, the key is “big changes in the BCS” I think ….

If I were running the BigTen, I’d talk to the SEC at this point and say …
“Look, we both know that the New Year’s Bowls are really all about us anyway. So, we’ll expand to 16, and you expand to 16, and we’ll rewrite the BCS rules.

The new rules are:
Power Conferences with 16 teams get TWO automatic bids to the BCS, one for each division champ, AND can have one at-large bid as well, for a total of 3 possible BCS bids.
Power Conferences with less than 15 teams get ONE automatic bid to the BCS, and can have one at-large bid, for a total of 2 possible BCS bids.
Non-Power Conferences, regardless of conference, can have ONE bid for teams ranked 10th or better.”

For the BigTen and SEC, it sets them up to be the absolute dominant conferences, and get probably 3 bids every year. If the BigTen expands by taking the best of the BigEast and the BigXII North, and the SEC expands by taking the best of the ACC / BigEast / BigXII south, no one else will be close to those two conference.

The BigXII, if they lose 1 or 2 or more teams, will never be able to at 4 or 5 or even 6 top level schools to get the 16 level with the BigTen/SEC
The PAC10 is struggling to figure out how to add 2 teams, let alone 6, especially if the BigTen takes some BigXII teams.
The ACC would be hard pressed to get to 16 as well, and the strong basketball side of the conference would probably veto any expansion that hurts the basketball in the conference.
The BigEast could never expand to 16 teams and 20 to 24 basketball teams

That’s my vision …..

knute rockne

April 5th, 2010
2:13 pm

guys, ND’s decision is not solely based on money – I know – I’ve been there. it’s about autonomy. ND Football is a stand alone brand. it would be like Coca Cola becoming part of Kroger’s house brand. Coca Cola will ALWAYS allow Kroger, and Publix, and Ingels, and Winn-Dixie to sell their product, but they will never surrender control. OK, well “never say never” but not likely in our lifetime, well, wait a minute I am already dead. ND wants $$ as much as the next school, but what they have to gain ($) and what they have to lose (control) puts us years away from seeing ND Football in a conference (besides, the Ivy League, where they belong!).

FSU Fan

April 5th, 2010
2:15 pm

As a Florida State supporter, I would be in favor of moving to the SEC if we were to be invited. The only teams that travel their fans to our stadium are Miami, Georgia Tech, Clemson and Virginia Tech. GT and VT are in the other division so we only see them at Doak once every 5 years. UNC and UVA are ok, but again we only see them in Doak once every 5 years. The other schools hardly bring any fans (Duke, NC State, Wake, Maryland, BC). Despite our recent troubles in football, we are still drawing huge television ratings and selling out our allocated tickets when we go on the road. We are a natural fit for the SEC and would love to be in it.

Erik

April 5th, 2010
2:22 pm

Tony,

Would expanding the tournament field guarantee more money from a network (or networks)? The new watered-down tournament may not be as valuable. This plan seems like it could very easily backfire.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
2:22 pm

13 NATIONAL TITLES – 22 SEC TITLES!!!

Real Bama Stan here – Doub Coleman – you are a wise man! I agree with you and Ogeechee – 12 is the perfect number.

B10 would be wise to add Notre Dame – If ND acts arrogant – go get PITT. PITT would be a great pick up!!!

One last thing – Notre Dame is best to play – when Notre Dame is in full strength. I either want them to stay totally irrelevent – like they are now – or be a monster. If you beat them at their full strength – it makes for a great victory.

I for one would not care to play Notre Dame – unless it is for a National Title! Who cares to play them after they just got beat by Navy!!!
ROLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL TIDE!!!

D

April 5th, 2010
2:29 pm

Have 5 super conferences and a 8 team playoff

Super conferences would be the
South
Southwest
North Midwest and West.
Each conference would have around 16 teams.
Acc would add Wv, Louis, S fla and Uconn
Sec would add Texas Tex am Missouri and another team. West would take much of the big 12 and the North would be the current big 10 plus ND and some big east schools like pitt and cuse. Midwest conf, which could be named something else would have boise, tcu byu and some other decent smaller schools.

Winner of the 5 conf gets into the playoff. Then 3 at large based on final rankings.

BigTimeTECHFan

April 5th, 2010
2:30 pm

I say just have 8 major conferences. All BCS teams play in those 8 Conf:
1. SEC
2. ACC
3. Big East
4. Big 10
5. Big 12
6. Pac 10
7. WAC
8. USA

All teams rolled into those conf, all conf must play title game($).
1st round of playoffs after tile game would be (all other teams can play in stupid bowl games):
a ACC vs SEC($)
b PAC10 vs WAC($)
c Big East vs USA($)
d Big 10 vs Big 12($)
2nd round
game a winner vs game b winner
game c winner vs game d winner

Then championship game.
Sweet never have to deal with polls again. some say 8 team playoff but I can see it harder to say who no 8 would be vs the number 9 team then it is today figuring out who no 2 is verse no 3. FORGET polls all together, no selection commitees, just play on the field.

BAMA STAN

April 5th, 2010
2:31 pm

13 NATIONAL TITLES – 22 SEC TITLES!!!

OTTO – thanks for covering my back! Imposters are a fact of life on this sight.

It’s great to debate and trade thoughts with guys like DawginLex, Otto, Ogeechee Dawg, Altamaha Dawg – and guys like Doug Coleman. These are true college football fans! Even Gator Bob!

ROLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL TIDE!!!!

BAMA STAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 5th, 2010
2:32 pm

95 National Titles – 103 SEC Titles!!!!

Ogeechee Dawg

April 5th, 2010
2:37 pm

Otto – you are correct about the B12 and permanent opponent provision. That is THEIR mistake!!!!

The B12 would be better served to look at the SEC model on payment distribution, scheduling and tie break rules!!! The SEC got it right – after some twisting and turning. For example – dropping the two team permanent opponent in favor of ONE team – alowing to rotate all the teams quicker through your schedule.

In our case – UGA kept Auburn – dropped Ole Miss – but now we get to play LSU, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS more frequently – which is they way it should be!

B12 has hurt itself – and I think they are in danger of losing Nebraske, Colorado or MO as a result of their current policy and protocols.

Laker

April 5th, 2010
2:37 pm

The Big Ten should go to 14 schools- add Nebraska, Mizzou and Kansas. That would be better than having Notre Dame in there. If they want to be an independent, let them.

The NCAA should just reorganize the whole BCS thing, make it an eight team playoff that would include the top eight ranked conference winners. You could still have bowl games, like an NIT, even though they don’t mean anything, for the other schools. Sure there would be some problems and controversies but it couldn’t be any worse than it is now.

Big B CH 99

April 5th, 2010
2:38 pm

It’s a given that if the Big 10 goes to 16, that the SEC will have to expand, they’re not gonna let the Big 10 one up them & get better TV deals. They’ll look to get teams from the ACC, I would think they’re top 4 would be GT, Clem, FSU, & Miami. Getting all 4 of those would put a strangle hold on the south where a lot of the best talent is located. All 4 of those teams fit the SEC geographically, that would lock up the S. Carolina, Florida, & GA schools. And it would completely get the Atlanta TV market. The Big 10 definitely wants to get in on the New York TV market. If the Big 10 & SEC expand, the Big 12 & Pac 10 will follow.

GATOR88

April 5th, 2010
2:46 pm

Has anyone ran this by Urban Meyer yet? He has the final say…..

Ogeechee Dawg

April 5th, 2010
2:47 pm

Big Time Tech Fan – not a bad idea – however, I would seed the tournament based on rating consensus.

For example – #1 vs #8, #2 vs #7, #3 vs #6 and #4 vs #5.

My concern is that a Weak Conf USA team – playing a weaker Big East team moves forward.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
2:52 pm

Ogeechee Dawg, the irony is the Big8 let the SWC in and now the Big8 teams are looking at getting out.

I have a friend that is an OU fan in OKC and he never could understand why the Big 12 let a game like OU/Neb. go on rotation.

Stan, no prob

Doug Coleman

April 5th, 2010
2:53 pm

BAMASTAN-Who or what was that imposter all about?
If that coach from Cincy (Brian Kelly) is half as good as I hear and read then we will get one insane eyepopping game between the Tide and the Domers in 2012. This guy is a mixture of Coach Saban, Urban Meyer, and Lou Holtz. He can resore the glory and put the fight back in the Irish-what a game for the NC!
I am torn as to who the greatest coach was though-hard to discount votes for the awesomeness of Coaches Bear Bryant, Bud Wilkinson, Knute Rockne,and Blake of Army. They are all in the Football Hall of Fame and Heaven for sure!
Remember 12 is the number!

Otto

April 5th, 2010
2:57 pm

Playoff. 6 teams. #1 and #2 get the 1st week off.

#3 vs #6 and #4 vs #5 with winners going on to play #1 and #2 repectively.

It keeps the regular season very special as teams will want to be in the top 2 and schedule to get the voters attention.

Top 8 will be the 6 BCS conf champs. ND with 1 loss or less. The last bid going to the best nonBCS conf champ….yawn……..

I know it is not what was proposed it the post but it what the politics and contracts will dictate. The NCAA tourney also started out for conf. champs only and look where it is.

Ogeechee Dawg

April 5th, 2010
2:58 pm

ON thought on the playoff – scre conference winners – I would rather take the top 8 ranked teams. You could have a situation where two undefeated SEC or B12 teams play for a conference title – and one of the teams get elimated. The a weak Conf. USA team with 2 or 3 losses gets into a playoff.

Go with the top ranked teams – regardless of conference affiliation – or better yet – go to a 16 team play-off – 8 conference winners – 8 at large.

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:00 pm

The B10 already has a better TV deal than the SEC. Their total TV revenues are larger now, and wait until ABC/ESPN has to re-up in 2015. SEC TV deal looks good now (#2 behind the B10), but they are locked into that rate through 2025. Unless deflation occurs, by 2020 the Big Ten will be doubling the SEC TV revenue.

Otto

April 5th, 2010
3:04 pm

Ogeechee Dawg, the BCS confernces have to agree to it and to insure they get their slice of the pie their team has to be in.

Dan

April 5th, 2010
3:05 pm

I would add Clemson, Georgia Tech, Miami and Florida State to form a 16 team SEC.

[...] the Rust Belt — one foot in the Mississippi, the other in the East River — is very much on the table: "I’ve spoken to a number of athletics directors and commissioners who are convinced [...]

BDawg

April 5th, 2010
3:08 pm

It’s time for ND to join a conference or not be allowed to participate in BCS bowls. They have been given special treatment for so long and now they have a perfect opportunity to join the Big Ten or Eleven. College football has survived without the Domers in a BCS bowl for many years…send the messege…join a conference or forget about a BCS bid.

Are you kidding?

April 5th, 2010
3:19 pm

HawkeyeFB, you’re full of garbage. The SEC has the better deal.

Gators04

April 5th, 2010
3:20 pm

Does anyone know where I can get a good pair of jean shorts? I like the comfort of jeans but the length of shorts since it hot in the Swamp and in Jacksonville. Thanks in advance.

Adam

April 5th, 2010
3:21 pm

What an awfully written article. His intro takes up 2/3 of the page and he doesn’t ever get to what he set out to talk about.

Not only that, he doesn’t give any justification for his rambling ideas and incoherent plans. There is no way this guy’s name can actually be Mr. Collegefootball. Good god haha…Why would the B10 do that? It IS about money, but there’s no way B10 fans want anything like that. As an alumni, I don’t want that academically. There are so many better plans, not to mention, 16 is practically unmanageable. No way another B10 member goes 5-7 years without playing Michigan or OSU. Not happening.

You sir, are a moron. If this guy is getting paid, please get me an application…

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:21 pm

Citing the latest figures available in late 2009, the ESPN report revealed these annual TV revenues:

Big Ten: $242 million
SEC : $205 million
Big 12: $78 million
ACC : $67 million
Pac-10: $58 million
Big East: $33 million

http://westvirginia.scout.com/2/948903.html

Tide Rising

April 5th, 2010
3:22 pm

16 is ludicrous and would kill any big time intersectional contests such as Penn State vs Alabama. No one is going to play a rugged 10 game conference slate, only 1 cupcake game, and then a big time intersectional opponent. And assuming it would be a 10 game conference game slate it would just about kill any chances of a big 10 team escaping undefeated and having a shot at a national title.

So they would kill 2 birds with one stone 1) big time intersectional matchups and 2) a much tougher conference slate making an undefeated season and shot at a national title game extemely difficult.

Jay-Z

April 5th, 2010
3:23 pm

The Big 10 moves as slow on expansion as they do on the football field.

Are you kidding?

April 5th, 2010
3:32 pm

HawkeyeFB,

“Citing the latest figures available in late 2009″…if those “latest” figures are from before the season, that’s not going to take into account the new contract. And even if they are from the end of the regular season, the new contract would have only been in place for 3-4 months at that point.

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:34 pm

Go do your own accounting wherever and however you like. The B10 has higher total TV revenues than the SEC.

UF Alum

April 5th, 2010
3:34 pm

I am one of the few Gator fans who would like to see us move to the ACC. We are the only academics first school in the SEC right now. I would rather see us aligned with schools like North Carolina, Duke, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Virginia because we are making a commitment towards being a Public Ivy to go along with our push to be the flagship university of the State of Florida as designated by the legislature.

Are you kidding?

April 5th, 2010
3:37 pm

I would expect nothing less from a Big 10 fan. Can’t admit that the SEC is better than you in anything. What’s with you people?

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:38 pm

What should I admit? I’ve posted published figures, and you have refuted them with zero evidence. I think is a microcosm of the academic differences between the two conferences.

LOL at UF Alum!!

April 5th, 2010
3:39 pm

“We are the only academics first school in the SEC right now.”

You sir, are the reason I read this blog!!

Say no to barefoot bama blowhards

April 5th, 2010
3:39 pm

“BAMASTAN-Who or what was that imposter all about?”

Probably someone sick of that loser’s laughable tagline of 13 national titles, which counts supposed titles awarded by the AP (Alabama Press), Montgomery Rotary Club, Huntsville Webelos, and Mobile Chapter of the Daughters of the Confederacy.

A shame those perennial cheats backed into one this year because of a freak injury, but that’s football. At least that one is a semi-legit title.

UGA Alum

April 5th, 2010
3:40 pm

The only academics first school in the SEC…uh, no. Vandy and UGA are up there too.

Vandy – 17, Florida – 47, UGA – 58

http://colleges.usnews.rankingsandreviews.com/best-colleges/national-universities-rankings

FSUFAN

April 5th, 2010
3:41 pm

This is one FSU fan who so wishes to be in the SEC West. FSU joining the ACC was a bad mistake.

Buckskin

April 5th, 2010
3:42 pm

As a Big Ten fan, my issue with aggressive expansion is how do you create the schedule and still consider yourself a conference. With 16 team conference you have to split into 2 divisions of 8 team. That means you’d obviously need to schedule 7 games vs your division foes. How do you schedule the other 5 games? Currently the Big Ten has 8 conference games (4 home – 4 away) and 4 out of conference games (3 home – 1 away). They won’t reduce the number of out of conference games because that would reduce home games and decrease revenue. So that really only allows them to schedule 1 game per year against the other division. It wouldn’t make sense to only play one game against the other division so it would be likely that they conference would just go to 7 conference games instead of 8. At that point my question would be — is it really a conference if your teams never play in the regular season?

I much prefer the SEC method of a 12 team conference. That means each team would play the other division at least once every other year and the term “conference” actually has meaning.

Are you kidding?

April 5th, 2010
3:42 pm

You published old data. Get over it.

UGA Alum

April 5th, 2010
3:45 pm

HawkeyeFB,

Iowa is #71 on the list of national universities. UGA is #58. Stick that in your microcosm you pompous a$$.

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:45 pm

AYK, if you have any figures to support your claim, I’m happy to review them.

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:46 pm

Iowa is at the bottom of the Big Ten, yet outranks half the SEC.

UF Alum

April 5th, 2010
3:48 pm

@ LOL – Tell me of another degree from an SEC school that has more prestigue than the University of Florida. That’s right, you can’t find one.

PENNstOWNSsec

April 5th, 2010
3:50 pm

The sec getting Texas is as funny as looking at a South Eastern Criminal OOC schedule or their graduation rates LOL

Cameron

April 5th, 2010
3:53 pm

I agree that 12 is the magic number and here is what you do:
Big 10 should stop catering to Notre Lame and get Iowa St to join
Big 12 then should get TCU to take ISU’s place
Pac-10 should then get Boise St and either Fresno St or Byu or Utah to join.
Every conference would then ahve a conference championship and no more worries about the “BCS” busters

HawkeyeFB

April 5th, 2010
3:55 pm

ZERO chance the Big Ten takes ISU.

Charlie Bama

April 5th, 2010
3:59 pm

Tony: Change the subject & cut this one off. By tonight they’ll be dreaming up 24-team conferences with affiliated starter conferences, and schedules will be harder to calculate than the square root of your granny’s zip code.

LOL at UF Alum!!

April 5th, 2010
4:08 pm

“prestigue”… beautiful.

Charlie Bama

April 5th, 2010
4:10 pm

To LOL at UF Alum: Funny. Like a Gator told me just last week “We are more smarter than peoples think”

BD

April 5th, 2010
4:16 pm

Having been to the FSU/GT game in Tallahassee many times, I can tell you SEC folks for certain that you do not want to make the trip to Tallahassee over Atlanta. Tallahassee is in the middle of nowhere and a lot of the hotel operators, by my experience, really jack up the rates for football weekends. Some even require a two night stay. Couple that with the fact that there isn’t anything to do down there and it makes for a pretty crappy trip.

One thing the Miami folks that I have met were so happy about when they came into the ACC was that they got to come to Atlanta for a game. Wives like to make that trip. Shopping, restaurants, entertainment – more to do in Atlanta than any other city on the list.

Shelley Meyer

April 5th, 2010
4:16 pm

WHAT GOES AROUND COMES AROUND!! WHAT GOES AROUND COMES AROUND!! (stomping on table)

16 NOT

April 5th, 2010
4:23 pm

Hawkeye, you must not know too many people. There is a pretty big movement not only by the fans but many of the coaches in the Big Ten to expand by at least one team in order to get a conference championship game. Right now the Big Ten gets very little to no media coverage after November while the SEC and Big XII continue to saturate college football news. I understand very few people like change, but adding a 12th team (which I truly believe will be Notre Dame) and getting that championship game would be the best thing the Big Ten has done since adding Penn State.

David

April 5th, 2010
4:24 pm

I don’t see Pitt, UConn, or Syracuse going into the picture – they simply don’t add enough $$$s to the mix to make it worthwhile to the Big 10. Notre Dame obviously does, as does Missouri, Rutgers, Nebraska, and Texas.

I think 14 is a more plausible number – the only way I see 16 teams is if they somehow got both ND and Texas to come on board.

ACC Fan

April 5th, 2010
4:28 pm

Is there any chance that Boston College would go back to the Big East and then West Virginia could come over to the ACC? West Virginia makes so much sense to have in our athletic conference.

Noles9399

April 5th, 2010
4:46 pm

I would switch West Virginia for Boston College.

New Atlantic – FSU, Clemson, GT, Miami, NC St, Wake
New Coastal – VT, UVA, WV, Maryland, UNC, Duke

[...] heard of the first potential plan, which is to add one team (hopefully Notre Dame), but now according to a conference commissioner the Big10 just might make a blockbuster move and go to 16 teams! Stepping up to the Big East sized [...]

Jeff

April 5th, 2010
4:55 pm

The Big Ten will expand and it’s just a matter of which teams will join the conference. It’s all about money. The Big Ten offers the most money per team then any conference. What ever teams they add will have to allow the Big Ten to expand in its revenue or the schools that are currently getting 22-23 million a year for being in the Big Ten will not buy off on the expansion as they would lose money. So the schools they will look at will be the ones that can help them expand coverage into a new area. Also every school in the Big Ten are in the Association of American Universities (AAU). Notre Dame is not a part of the AAU but would think Big Ten would look the other way to get them to join since they did reach out to ND years ago. As for the other schools being mentioned in expansion, I would have to believe the Big Ten would stick to that the school must already be a part of the AAU or qualifies to join the AAU. So if you want to speak of teams that could join the Big Ten then you should look at Iowa State, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Syracuse, and Vanderbilt. Out of those schools what brings the most to the Big Ten. Never rule out a school from another conference as the Big Ten can offer the most out of any conference. Iowa State, Kansas, Nebraska, and Vanderbilt would bring nothing to the media market. Maryland would bring in the DC market but suspect that is a far reach as distance does become a factor. Missouri brings the St. Louis and Kansas City Market. Rutgers and Syracuse bring the NY market. Pittsburgh really brings nothing in media market as the Pittsburgh area is already covered being between Penn State and Ohio State, but they do fit in the Big Ten area and would be a great addition in multiple sports.

I would have to suspect those that are locked to join the Big Ten will be Missouri and Rutgers. Then it becomes a matter of if Notre Dame will join and if the Big Ten goes for 16 teams. Let’s say the Big Ten takes Rutgers, Missouri, and Pittsburgh or Notre Dame. Then the Big Ten can keep the conference name as 10 states could be represented in the conference. Seriously I can see the Big Ten trying everything possible to keep the name of the conference the same as it is the oldest conference.

cutter

April 5th, 2010
5:01 pm

Keep in mind that any Big Ten expansion scenario has to account for the B10’s current geographic footprint, and by extension, how the conference and Fox Sports (who owns a 49% equity stake in the Big Ten Network with the remaining 51% owned by the conference) plan to grow the network.

For example, while Pittsburgh might make a more ideal partner in the Big Ten than Rutgers, that program is already within the conference’s footprint. If the B10/BTN mindtrust thinks Rutgers might bring in more cable subscription fees through the New York/New Jersey market, than RU becomes more valuable revenue-wise than Pitt.

As was pointed out earlier, each Big Ten programs gets about $22M from the BTN broadcast rights per year. That does not include additional revenues from ESPN, ABC, etc. Keep in mind that this is from a conference that has no football conference championship game.

The question at hand is what programs and how many will not only increase revenue per school, but will also position it for how collegiate athletics looks in 2012 and beyond. There will probably be a 96-team NCAA men’s basketball tournament. There’s also no way of telling how the BCS will look in the future–or whether or not it will even exist ten years down the road.

I think its apparent that the Big Ten wants to add either one of two program–Texas and Notre Dame. As Mr. Barnhart says, any invitation to UT will have to be accompanied by one to Texas A&M–and that means the conference will have at least 14 members. I suspect Texas will have little motivation to go unless the Big XII is really destabilized, i.e., Colorado goes to Pac 10, Missouri or Nebraska are also invited to B10, etc.

Because Notre Dame is allowed to put its non-football teams into the Big East, the only reasons why ND moves is (1) an enormous increase in revenues to join the B10 or (2) destabilization of the Big East. Sure, ND could opt to put the majority of its sports teams in the Atlantic Ten or some Catholic-oriented conference, but it would also leave a lot of money on the table by doing so.

That’s why I imagine any invitation by the Big Ten to Notre Dame will also include at least two more invites to Big East programs (and perhaps four, as Mr. Barnhart suggests). That would allow the Big Ten to bring the BTN firmly into the northeast–something the ACC tried to do with its invitations to Boston College and Syracuse some years back.

I do agree with the posters that we’ll know more by the summer given the timelines in place. The Big Ten has approached Notre Dame before (in 1999) and ND nearly joined the B10 in 2003 when there were internal problems with the Big East. The third time may be a charm . . .

RedKnights

April 5th, 2010
5:06 pm

The Big 10 needs “change”. Contrasting the “change” that’s going on in this country now whereby the increase in the size of the Federal government is having a catastrophic effect financially, an increase in the size of the Big 10 Conference would be benefit it greatly. As far as I’m concerned, the more teams added the better. That’s the kind of “change” I can believe in.

Goyo

April 5th, 2010
5:19 pm

If the dominos start to fall, you want to act fast and not slow to make sure you get the teams you want and not whats left. I agree that not much will happen if the B11 becomes the B12. However, if they become the B14 by adding two BE teams and a B12 school (to hell with ND) then the door is wide open for the ACC to pick up two more BE teams to also move to 14 teams. At that point, the SEC would be wise not to assume that they can just cherry pick who they want from the other conferences. If the ACC were setup as a 14 team league with the appropriate TV contracts, I just don’t see any of the teams jumping anywhere. Even if Colorado were to bolt to the PAC12 (along with Utah), the BTwelve still has some pretty good options to pickup three teams. Houston, TCU, BYU or Air Force would be nice additions. Liousville and USF would be the most likely candidates to the SEC in this scenario (where they wait around and watch what happens). The SEC could go after some other teams, but it won’t work if they are the last to act.

The Eternal Pessimist

April 5th, 2010
5:24 pm

Add Clemson and FSU to the east, Texas and A&M to the west. Expand to a nine-game conference schedule, with one permanent opponent and one rotating opponent from the other division. No one would be able to touch us. I, for one, have no desire to see Tech given the prestige of an SEC membership.

Kincade Licks Buck's Nuggets

April 5th, 2010
5:41 pm

If the Big Ten expands, I am sure the other major conferences will look into it. I would like to see teams such as Boise State, TCU, Utah, etc. have to play tougher competition during the regular season so we don’t have to have the argument about whether or not they belong in a BCS bowl game.

Carlos

April 5th, 2010
6:17 pm

If the Big Ten wants to add five more teams … and Notre Dame doesn’t want to play ball … they need to look in multiple directions.

1) Missouri
2) Kentucky
3) Pitt
4) Rutgers
5) Syracuse

This gives you a Big Ten West of Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Illinois, Purdue, and Indiana … along with a Big Ten East of MSU, Michigan, Ohio State, Kentucky, Pitt, Penn State, Rutgers, and Syracuse.

Now that is truly a super conference. The SEC can react by adding Texas, TAMU, Oklahoma, and OSU … along with a geographic charity case like East Carolina to replace the Wildcats … which keeps them right in step with the Big Ten.

The other Big 12 teams will end up adding some Mountain West schools and perfect a few Conference USA tag alongs. The ACC, if it wants to go to 16 as well, can add West Virginia, UConn, Temple, and maybe Buffalo … since Syracuse would be off the table … then break into true North and South divisions like it should have right now.

In Decatur

April 5th, 2010
6:21 pm

Should have checked the site earlier – Mr. Southern College Football actually discussed other parts of the country. As for UGA Alum – your school is 5 spaces BEHIND that “giant community college in Columbus, OH.” Is that pompous enough for you?

12? 14? 16? Just get us to a championship game.

WhatheBuck

April 5th, 2010
6:58 pm

adding teams to the Big10is not about sports necessarily. It is about adding to the research coffers and expanding the Big Ten Network viewing footprint. ND gets 9mil per year from NBC, Texas gets 12. Poor little Northwestern gets 22mil as it’s share. No less than 3 institutions will be added. add Missou and you get St.Louis and KC. ND will add a national following and along with Rutgers will add the coveted NYC market. If they go to 16 it may be Texas and A&M or two more eastern teams.$$$$$$$$$ talks

IrishInArizona

April 5th, 2010
7:19 pm

14 is more likley. Split into two 7-team divisions with each team playing all teams it its division plus 1 permanent team in the other division and 1 rotating team in the other division plus 3 non-conf games. Dividing the new conf between north and south and adding Pitt, Syr and Notre Dame leaves in tact existing rivalries within the Big Ten and some of the Big East (e.g. ND-MICH, ND-PITT, PITT-SYR), brings back PSU-PITT and enables ND to hang onto USC and Navy as OOC games.

Marlin Cone

April 5th, 2010
7:24 pm

What if the Big 12 merged with the Pac 10 and added Colorado, Colorado State, Boise State, Utah, BYU to the “Western Division” and added TCU, LSU, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Mississippi & Tennessee to the “Eastern Division”, making two 15 team divisions and opening the door for an addition of 1 more for each division during the next 5 years. Given what the new census will be showing for population, don’t you think that new league would be right in the thick of the grwoth of our country?

BAMA STAN!

April 5th, 2010
7:31 pm

71 NATIONAL TITLES – 126 SEC TITLES!!!

Mr. Coleman, I’m not sure where that freak came from or what his motives are. Thanks go out to you and monitor Otto, though, for keeping the AJC comment section at the elite level we’ve all come to expect.

Oh, and you read correctly; that’s 2 more National Titles since lunch!!!

Ala-FREAKIN-bama, Ala-FREAKIN-bama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

knute rockne

April 5th, 2010
8:07 pm

you know what’s crazy? ND in the ACC is a better fit. Academically, they’re better suited to “compete” against Wake Forrest, Duke, BC, and UVA. AND they just booked a “home game” at FedEx Field in Novemeber 2011 with Maryland. but as I said, they aren’t hooking up with anyone anytime soon. let’s face it, they are not a factor in the BCS mix and have not been since the pre-Weis era, and they seem content to be independent. let’s be real; the only shot they have – as an independent – of making it to the BCS championship game is 12-0, and they can’t beat Navy. Boise State or Utah has a better argument. their best shot at the BCS is joining the ACC.

Knoxville Nick

April 5th, 2010
8:31 pm

If the Big 10 goes big, the SEC needs to match to keep up their power / money base with the networks. The SEC should go after Ga Tech, Clemson, FSU and Miami—these teams would quickly leave the mediocre ACC to be in the best conference in the U.S.!!!!

HoyaGoon

April 5th, 2010
8:47 pm

The key(s) to all this, as it always is, is what Notre Dame decides to do. I think ND can remain independent, for now, but risks long-term damage if it does. Assuming that the Big Ten and Pac-10 both expand to 12 teams each, the college football landscape could be drastically altered. The Big XII is a prime target of expansion by both the Big Ten and Pac-10, and it’s members (other than Texas) are more than happy to entertain offers. Colorado is as good as gone to the Pac-10 if they come calling, and Mizzou has all but said it will jump at the chance to join the money pot that is the Big Ten. [An aside to Are You Kidding? above: the ESPN-SEC contract that was just signed is more lucrative than the Big Ten's ESPN contract, but all estimates show that total revenue brought in, because of the Big Ten Network, the Big Ten teams are getting somewhere between $3 and $5 MORE per year than the SEC. Thus, the total tv revenue available to the Big Ten is significantly higher, and will probably increase in any new contract since the SEC is now locked-in for the next 15 years to ESPN].

If two Big XII teams bolt, than that confernce will immediately look to expand, probably to the West (TCU and someone else), but could also look to it’s quasi-past in Arkansas, which is much more a fit with the Texas-dominated Big XII than it is with the SEC. If that were to happen, the SEC would look, probably to the ACC for a replacement, setting off a chain-reaction. Add to that fact that once it’s current contract with ND is up, NBC will NOT be giving the Irish anywhere near the amount they have been (the contract has been a $$ loser for NBC), and all of a sudden, ND is outside looking in. The only way ND maintains it’s independence is if it is generally equal to the other “national” football programs in terms of revenue. to date, that has generally been true, but those days are quickly coming to a close. If Notre Dame were to look at it’s long-term interests, it would see that joining the Big Ten is a no-brainer (from both sides’ perspective) and get out ahead of this thing while it still has some negotiating leverage.

And, if ND were to join the Big Ten, that would be it as far as the league’s expansion goes. Not that I really think a 16-team super conference is really in play (just too big and unwieldy).

PatNole

April 5th, 2010
8:59 pm

mmmmmm beer swilling

RockytopATL

April 5th, 2010
9:01 pm

Tony, you buried you lead. To heck with all the waste of time hoops talk. A 16 team Big Ten is big news

Rob

April 5th, 2010
9:26 pm

The Big 10 and PAC-10 will go to 12 teams to add a title game. If anyone goes to 14 or 16, then chaos could follow and the politics could get ugly.

I wouldn’t be suprised if the SEC made a pre-emptive move to add FSU, Miami, Clemson, and GT.

At that point, I think the Big-10 would try to match with ND, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Rutgers, and Boston College. (Academic rankings matter to the Big 10 presidents, so these are the most likely candidates.)

The next move would belong to Texas. They could lead a mass jump of four to six Big XII teams to the PAC-10 or they could stay put. If they stay put, the Big XII and PAC-10 probably absorb two to four Mountain West teams each.

At that point, the seven remaining ACC teams (Duke, NC State, UNC, Wake, UVA, VT, and Maryland) have little choice but to invite the five remaining Big East teams (Louisville, UConn, West Virginia, South Florida, and Cincinnatti) in an attempt to keep an BCS automatic bid.

NJLion1992

April 5th, 2010
9:29 pm

I’ve read quite a bit of interesting analysis here, both in the article and in the comments. Here are my thoughts:

1) I hate to say it as a Big Ten fans, but there probably is a great deal of jealousy on behalf of Big Ten fans towards the SEC whether we admit it to ourselves or not. So I have to agree that part of the motivation to expand would be to counter the SEC.
2) I’ve longed to renew our rivalry with Pitt (I’m a Penn Stater if you haven’t guessed), but I know Pitt joining by itself would be a hard sell. So I’d be happy to go to 14 or 16 teams as long as Pitt is one of them.
3) The hell with Notre Lame. Why should ANY conference help them after the way they’ve back-stabbed everyone else in college football? I’d rather pick up schools like Pitt, Syracuse, Missouri or Rutgers. We’ve had great rivalries with both Syracuse and Rutgers, and Missouri would give the conference access to another television market.
4) 14 teams would probably be the ideal number. 12 is too few to really shake up the conference, and 16 is too much.

Brian

April 5th, 2010
9:30 pm

I doubt the Big 10 considers going to 16 without at the very least having ND or Texas, and probably both. Consider this: Big 10 adds Texas, Texas A&M, ND, Syracuse and Rutgers. The Big 10 would have over 100 million people in its ‘footprint’, not to mention all the random hot spots ND would bring in. To respond, the SEC and PAC-10 would have to go to at least 14. This would effectively end the Big 12 and the Big East.

Brian

April 5th, 2010
9:36 pm

Also, remember try to think like a commissioner or college president, not a fan. There is only one reason why the Big 10 would expand: more money FOR EACH SCHOOL. This is why Pitt, despite being a great choice from the FANS point of view, will almost certainly not be joining the Big 10. They occupy the same market as PSU, hence severely decreasing their value. This is also why Cinci and Iowa St. are out as potential expansion candidates (not to mention quality academics, or lack there of, at both schools). The list of potentials is probably Syracuse, Rutgers, Texas, Texas A&M (in order to get Texas), Mizzou, Nebraska and maybe UConn.

Sugar Hill Dawg

April 5th, 2010
9:52 pm

A quick geography lesson for those of you NOT from Georgia….Saying “Georgia Tech will bring to the SEC the Atlanta TV market” is absurd. As a Gwinnett County resident (NE metro ATL for the unknowing), I can guarantee the AJC readers Atlanta is a UGA market, not a Tech market. I assume the confusion lies in Tech’s Midtown (not Downtown as most commentators claim during Tech home games) address. Yes, Tech is located in the corporate limits of Atlanta. No, Tech is not the dominate team in the market. Given the fact not many Tech students and alumni hail from Atlanta (or, Georgia, for that matter), there’s not much of a connection between the school and the ATL. Given UGA’s proximity to metro Atlanta (the campus is less than an hour from my house, for example, closer (or, at least shorter, due to the famous ATL traffic nightmare) than The Flats, the high percentage of UGA students who graduated from metro high schools, the impact the University has had in terms of politics and the economy of metro ATl – UGA IS THE ATLANTA TEAM!!!! Tech turned it’s yellow backside in the ’60s – they can stay in the ACC and enjoy irrelevancy. I happen to believe the SEC is fine as is. What are often regarded as “expendable” schools (Vandy, Kentucky, Arkansas, and South Carolina) have long and colorful histories with SEC teams. (Okay – Arkansas doesn’t, but the Waltons can promise to lower gas at Wal-Marts in order to bribe the rest of us to let the Hogs stay.) As a UGA alum, I can guarantee the USC-UGA series is just as heated and storied as any in the SEC. (Okay – UGA – UF, UF – UT, UGA – Au, UT – UA, MSU – Ole Miss, LSU v Everybody are probably bigger.) Keep well enough alone. If someone has to go, bye-bye Arkansas, welcome Clemson!

[...] Barnhart is hearing whispers from conference commissioners indicating that the Big 10 is at least considering expanding to a superconference of 16 teams. The [...]

Big L

April 5th, 2010
10:06 pm

Read someone say that adding Tech would seal up the Atlanta market. How? Noone in Atlanta watches the Yellow Jacket games. They can’t fill 50,000 seats. Besides , Johnson’s gimmick high school offense would not hold up aginst an SEC schedule. By the way, adding half the Big Least to the Big 11 would just make a really large, mediocre conference. Just add Notre Dame and a championship game and the Big Ten will be great. Besides, you should have to be in a conference to even be considered for a championship shot. Notre Lame fits the Big Ten mold, play soft schedule and build up average wins and wait a month while the rest of the big boy football conferences( not including Yak 10) determine a chamionship with an extra game.

Big L

April 5th, 2010
10:16 pm

You people are nuckin futz. Texas ain’t goin to the Big Ten. It would be a step backward astheticaly. The Big Ten already looks bad with it’s teams not playing high quality , out of conference schedules. Not to mention they all dissapear for a month. Pac Ten or SEC are the only real choices for Texas and Pac Ten would have to create a championship to lure them. Just imagine. Texas vs UGA in Atlanta. Sounds like 10 million bucks to me.

HugoStiglitz

April 5th, 2010
10:39 pm

lol. Wow. UGA fans sure are getting upset about even the possibility of Ga Tech adding something positive to the SEC. Insecure much? Dont worry, I doubt many people from the Ga Tech side want to move to the SEC. You guys are safe.

Brandon

April 5th, 2010
10:57 pm

This is an awful piece of writing. Barnhart and the AJC should be ashamed.

cantondawg

April 5th, 2010
11:23 pm

Big 10 would be wise to pickup ND only and then have a conference championship game. SEC and Big 12 get all of the publicity and momentum because of theirs. It would be dumb of them to add up to 16 members. They would just be adding 4 more mediocre teams to dilute the money pool.

As far as the SEC, i think we should stay pat at 12. If we were to offer, i think Texas would be the biggest draw but i don’t see them leaving the Big 12. Next, i would pick Clemson over FSU and Miami.

Va Dawg

April 5th, 2010
11:41 pm

PAC-10 adds Colorado, Colorado State, Utah and BYU because they like the in-state rivalries and becomes the PAC-14. Missouri goes to the Big 10 and Big 12 moves Oklahoma and Oklahoma State to the North division and adds TCU and either Houston or SMU to the South, This reunites Nebraska and Oklahoma to play every year. Big 10 now has 12 teams and can add 2 or 4 more teams from the Big East depending on where they want to expand their TV market. I say they add Pitt to appease JoPa and either Rutgers or Syracuse for the NY TV market. The Big East raids Conference USA and takes Marshall, Memphis, Central Florida and ECU to go to at least 10 teams and has a championship game.Conference USA raids the Sun Belt to get back to 12 or 14 teams. If SEC feels compelled to expand which I don’t think they are they could add Clemson and GT or FSU to the East and move Vandy and Kentucky to the West. ACC adds UConn and Rutgers or Syracuse depending on who the Big 10 chooses.Major changes but not earth shattering..

joeeaster

April 6th, 2010
12:06 am

I’ve been saying for years that the major conferences should restructure into eight 16-team super conferences. This would add eight teams to the 120 FBS teams existing, allow for conference champions to play an eight team playoff for the NCAA championship, and still maintain the integrity of the bowls. And before anyone screams semester overlap and student-athlete overload, the season for the playoff would not exceed the current 14 game season. As for Notre Dame, join or there is always NBC.

savannadawg

April 6th, 2010
12:15 am

Whatever does or does not happen. I would like to see at least the Big11 and the Pac10 get their mess together and have a conference championship game as we do in the SEC. At least if one of those teams in those other conf. gets to play for a NC it would calm some of the retoric down about who is legit. Pac10 should offer Boise St and Fresno St. Notre Dame needs to get off their High Horse and go into the Big11. The Big east needs to expand by adding Youngstown St. Buffalo if they continue to improve, and two other top tear MAC schools. IMO.

savannadawg

April 6th, 2010
12:21 am

Va Dawg I like your idea a little better than mine. But I still would like to see what BS would do in a bigger conference. Hopefully they would realize who they really are at that point. Can they still win? sure but at a much higher cost!

Heel

April 6th, 2010
12:24 am

whoever said GT would be the doormat of the SEC is just stupid and suffering from the delusion that only teams from the SEC are allowed to be good.

Heel

April 6th, 2010
12:24 am

ps this article ain’t worth the corn in my poo

WhittNole

April 6th, 2010
12:25 am

FSU would have little interest in leaving the ACC. The current alignment affords them equal exposure to BCS dollars, a formidable schedule (always top 5 in the country…remember you play a schedule, not a conference) that obliges them to more TV coverage (Google ESPN’s top watched programs ever – the top two are FSU vs Miami) and thus dollars. Not to mention that the ACC is not a one-trick pony like the SEC. Sure you have a few good basketball and baseball teams here and there (KY, UF) but it’s even better for those sports in the ACC. Of course, then there is the topic of academics; I don’t need to list all the great universities in the ACC because you already know who they are – and there is a precipitous academic drop between the bulk of ACC and SEC schools. The SEC has 3 great universities (Vandy, UF, UGA) and all the rest are average. FSU is an excellent university, and only bound to be greater aligned with the likes of Duke, UNC, Virginia, Boston College, GT….shall I continue?

Go Noles

April 6th, 2010
1:03 am

LOL at the people who think GT should be added to the SEC to secure the Atlanta market. Really? UGA IS the Atlanta market. Same thing can be said for Miami? If the SEC wants Miami, fine, but please keep in mind the SEC already has a huge foothold in south Florida. Florida Gators anyone? Their press coverage across the state of Florida (outside of Tallahassee and the panhandle) easily eclipses that of Miami and FSU put together.

For the record I do not see the Big 10 going to 16. That is just too much. To be honest, I think 14 is prolly too much too, but it seems they’re intent on doing it.

As an FSU fan I hope they do as I do not think the SEC will stand idly by while the Big 10 tries to usurp all the power and prestige. The SEC will reciprocate and IMO, FSU is probably the first school they’ll call. I do think Va Tech would be an interesting call, but I think there will be too much political pressure to stay pat in the ACC after how the last expansion went. FSU is a national program. They bring in huge TV numbers. Louisville is another.

Something like this would be awesome…

SEC East – UF, FSU, UGA, Clemson or GT, USC, Kentucky, Vandy
SEC West – Tennessee, Bama, Auburn, Ole Miss, Miss State, Arkansas, LSU

All that said, I wouldn’t be crushed if FSU remained in the ACC so long as the divisions were redone and maybe UConn and WVU were brought in.

All you lamers calling FSU “chicken” can go pound sand. We tried to get into the SEC for nearly 30 years and the SEC said “no thanks”. The ACC’s financial offer was better and Bobby rationalized it in the media. FSU is an anytime, anyone, anywhere program. Look up “Octoberfest” and get back to me. Hell, throughout the 90s we got had the upper hand against UF who absolutely owned the SEC so what does that tell you. We have played Miami and UF every year since the 60s. We don’t duck anyone.

To the above poster, all that academics stuff is crap. Being in the ACC hasn’t done squat to help FSU’s academic rep. Likewise, being in the SEC will do nothing to harm it.

WhittNole

April 6th, 2010
1:10 am

I Disagree…”you show me your friends, and I’ll tell you who you are.”

[...] Barnhart is hearing whispers from conference commissioners indicating that the Big 10 is at least considering expanding to a superconference of 16 [...]

Juan from CHI

April 6th, 2010
2:46 am

Big XII,

The SEC splits is TV revenue evenly among all teams. That is also the method used by the Big 10. I think only the Big XII and PAC 10 split TV revenue based on schools individual deals.

Juan

Go Noles

April 6th, 2010
3:31 am

Umm, that might apply to individual people, but to apply that sort of logic to giant universities made up of thousands of people, that is a bit of a stretch, don’t you think?

Would you say FSU’s academic rep has improved due to its membership in the ACC? Any evidence? On the list of things that make a university great, athletic conference affiliation (Ivy league and possibly Big 10 withstanding) ranks somewhere around school colors and food quality in the student union food court.

The Big 16: Leather Helmet Blog

April 6th, 2010
4:01 am

[...] Tony Barnhart said yesterday that he has talked to : …a number of athletics directors and commissioners who are convinced that the Big Ten is positioning itself to seriously consider becoming college football first super conference by expanding to as many as 16 teams. [...]

[...] 10 Expansion talk… 16 teams? I just read an article by Tony Barnhart of the AJC that said there is talk of the Big 10 expanding to 16 teams… has anyone heard anything about [...]

[...] Tony Barnhart speculates about conference expansion after hearing a bunch of other people speculate about conference expansion. [...]

O.G. Eagle

April 6th, 2010
7:06 am

Looks like Walmart has sold alot of Bama t-shirts since the National Championship game….The band wagon is very full.

Beau

April 6th, 2010
8:22 am

I love you Sec guys! you take over any football blog about how great you are! why ? take away the fact your schools sucks @ education, and yes SEC is awesome! but don’t fool yourselves into think you will remain that way forever! ………. and stop saying the Bigten cant count.. you sound stupid! they didnt change the name cuz they thought they was adding another school.( N.D.) and the have 11 in the logo… come up with something new at least!

Steve Spurrier

April 6th, 2010
8:31 am

Florida blocks FSU. South Carolina blocks Klempsin. UGA blocks GT. It would be tough to expand in the same geographical area anyway. What’s the point? No, I think the SEC has to stretch to Texas and maybe also pick up WV and VT if they go to 16. East Carolina would also be a consideration if they committed to upgrading their facilities and why wouldn’t they?

Beau

April 6th, 2010
8:48 am

I don’t think anyone will go to 16 teams… but i believe 14 is the magically number.
at least for the Big Ten… and i don’t think they go with a east/west but instead with a rotation that switches every year, I.E. they never have one division lacking for more than two years. in football you never know what school has the once in 4/8 year golden year, but by rotating you keep the conference true, and yet have 3 in conference games to keep the rivals in place

Doug Coleman

April 6th, 2010
8:52 am

Army guy!
You have to admit it-the SEC has it right. The ACC sees the merit and would be foolish to expand. The return to prominence of FSU and Miami will erase any doubts about that conference period. And believe me they will return with a vengeance. For now the SEC is king with the Big12 somewhere in the shadows.
This very discussion is why college football rules the roost. God bless The Game!

Doug Coleman

April 6th, 2010
9:02 am

BamaStan and Otto-help here! Who is the freak imposter?
Now for the truth everyone needs to hear. 1. ND will not join a conference anytime soon. It’s the $$$ period. And when they arise as Bama and USC have look out-the kitchen will be on fire again and this is good for all of football. 2.12 is the magic number. 14-16 would forever erase tilts such as Bama-PSU, ND-Texas, or USC-Nebraska.Who would risk that? 3.Why insult Navy-I am an Army guy and I can tell you that the Navy dudes are tough and honorable men of character. Plus I have to admit they saved my bacon on a few occasions-so leave the Navy comments out. Some teams come and go-others are forever in the mix.
And now for the pain we all awaited-who rules colege bb now? The Duke Blue Devils of the ACC!? Congrats but it is painful to accept!

Beau

April 6th, 2010
9:18 am

i think the Big 12 proves that a set north/south is a bad idea! “any given Saturday” and all…even if the Big Ten goes 12,, i would hope its a rotating big ten instead of a East/West.. wouldn’t you Doug?

Canes5X

April 6th, 2010
9:49 am

If Miami were to join the SEC, would Florida still find a way to dodge them on the schedule?

Doug Coleman

April 6th, 2010
9:49 am

Beau-love that name! The key to the Big Ten is yes going with twelve teams but, keeping the Michigan-OSU, PSU-OSU, and other rivalries intact. So, go to a north-south scenario. But who goes where is a problem. ND would solve that but it will not happen. So who? Pitt is the team you will see creep in that back door! Forget about Texas, Nebraska, or the mighty Scarlet Knights of Rutgers. Any alignment you come up will be challenged but I for one would listen since this will rumble through the Big East, ACC, and the Big 12. The SEC is secure and this will not hurt them.
Otto and BamaStan?

McSweeney

April 6th, 2010
9:52 am

Bama Stan, you can’t just make stuff up and pawn it off as fact.

13 national titles? Come on now. I think we can all agree Bama is one of the all-time historic programs, but no school does more to pad its resume with fictitious titles. Of the 13 national titles claimed, one is dubious, one is questionable, and two are completely fabricated. In 1930 you finished the season ranked #2 behind Notre Dame in every major poll. In 1934 Minnesota was declared the national champion by 8 of the 12 existing polls. 1941 is a total lie, as you finished the season ranked #20 in the AP poll. And in 1973 you finished the season ranked #4 in the AP poll. Most credible sources–i.e. everything but the Alabama media guide–credits you with nine consensus NCs, not 13.

As for ND’s concessions, your claims aren’t accurate here either. ND does NOT get an automatic BCS bowl berth if they win 10 games. Their record is immaterial; they have to finish the season ranked in the Top 12 to be eligible for a BCS berth or finish in the Top 8 to get an automatic berth. I love how ND haters scream “favoritism” when it comes to BCS bowls and then conveniently ignore the fact that the BCS conference champion auto-bid format sent an 8-4 Purdue to the ‘01 Rose Bowl, a 9-5 Florida State to the ‘03 Sugar Bowl, an 8-4 Pitt to the ‘05 Fiesta Bowl, and an 8-5 Florida State to the ‘06 Orange Bowl. Four times in a 6-year period a BCS conference team with an average of 4.5 losses went to a BCS bowl, and you think it’s a crime if a 10-2 ND gets BCS consideration? Please.

Yes, ND gets a slice of the BCS payout even if they don’t participate in a bowl. And how is that different from every SEC school splitting the pots of every bowl with an SEC team in it, regardless if the SEC team plays in a bowl?

Do This

April 6th, 2010
9:55 am

SEC East – UF, FSU, UGA, Clemson, USC, UT, UK, Vandy
SEC West – Bama, Aub, LSU, Ole Miss, Miss St, Ark, Texas, T A&M

Doug Coleman

April 6th, 2010
10:02 am

Do This-Way too heavy on the Western side of your league proposal. Maybe switch LSU and say Vandy or UK?

Doug Coleman

April 6th, 2010
11:30 am

Cane5X-I do not care for the Gators or that shadey Coach Urban Meyer (former ND guy) but I will tell you this:Florida would have destroyed the Canes the last 6-7 years. and that is not a slam at you but a fact. So I doubt they are avoiding you.

oledawg

April 6th, 2010
11:58 am

Sorry, I don’t get it. If the Big 10 expands, they have more teams sharing the bigger pie. Why does that mean that we have to expand to keep pace? Pace with what?

Jim Delaney is already responsible for foisting the BCS on an unexpecting College Football world and rigged it where Big 10 has played in more BCS games than any conference. It has reduced their competitiveness. They have eschewed conference expansion since before time and principally because of Jim Delaney. They have no Championship Game because of Delaney, yet they have touted their teams beyond their capabilities and pimped them up by having more bowls to take their teams. This is simple dilution in order to get more money while the competition falls off. Jim Delaney is no guru. He has heavy-handedly promoted the Big 10 into oblivion. The SEC has seen to that.

The SEC is the leader of the pack because they welcomed competition, something that Delaney says is not that important. His deal is to influence the NCAA on anything that gets money for him and sometimes the Big 10 with the least amount of competition. Ohio St is ranked each year beyond their capability and have become the most thumped team in College Football due to their undeserved props upward by ESPN (full of ingrown OSU people) who champion Delaney because he helps their cause. Well, BS to the BCS and the Big 10 expansion. I just don’t see how that will push us toward expansion in order to compete. By this reasoning we can expand the SEC to 24 teams and take over the NCAA and college sports. Hmmmmm. That idea may be worth pursueing. We could have two conferences, the SEC and the ROT (Rest of Them).

Doug Coleman

April 6th, 2010
12:55 pm

Beau-we gave your idea a long look and after careful consideration this scene emerged:1.The league will be an East/West formant due mainly to geography and 2.Your 12th team will be Pitt. Forget about ND since they appear to be the ‘Hottie’ that no one can catch at the present time with the scheme of things So here we go…

East-PSU, OSU, Pitt, Indiana, NW, Purdue
West-Michigan, MSU, Iowa, Illinois, Minn, Wisconsin

As for the SEC-they did the equation and the magic number is in fact 12!

c.coleman

April 6th, 2010
2:35 pm

ND will join the Big 10 because they really r starting to have a tough time scheduling opponents. They can make more money in the conference and still have there TV Contracts (Michigan has an exclusive TV contract with ABC). If ND ops out of joining the Big 10 then they will have to find 3 to 4 Quality opponents to play against. And in todays games of easy non conference games that will be come harder to do. So look at it this way. When ND joins the Big 10 they will want to bring along there natural rivals. That being Pitt. Texas and Texas A&M. Also this would give the Big 10 the two most winning est programs in college football. For those who think the all mighty SEC is all that, they should look at the all time records of the show down between the two conferences u might learn something. By the way will someone teach those Alabama fans how to count please.

Beau

April 6th, 2010
5:29 pm

ole Dawg.. your a bit crazy huh? the bigten expanded 1st then Sec, then Big 12 was formed and then the Acc…
the top teams in the bigten can play with the Sec schools.. Iowa has played the Sec 4 times in the last 10years ( 3-1) Penn st. 3 (2-1) Wis. 3 times (2-1) Mich. 5 times (4-1)

only OSU sucks against the Sec (0-4).

Beau

April 6th, 2010
6:13 pm

or if you want to look at it the other way from 1999-2010
FL (2-4) LSU ( 2 -2) Bambie ( 0-2) auburn (3-2) Georgia ( 3-0)

DJ

April 6th, 2010
7:30 pm

This won’t happen. The B10 plays 8 conference games now. If you have a two 8 team divisions, you would rarely play anyone from the other division (7 in division/1 out of division.

It would be like an old big ten vs. new big ten because most of the new teams would be from the east coast.

TAGZILLA

April 6th, 2010
8:08 pm

If the SEC expanded, taking Louisville and West Virginia would be fine with me. Move Vandy to the SEC West. The SEC needs basketball power and those two would be perfect. The Louisville v Kentucky rivalry would evolve into being every bit as intriguing as the Duke v UNC rivalry, and just as heated. West Virginia brings a huge traveling fan base and would be a fine add for football and basketball. Both schools have been to Final Fours and BCS games, and have done well. If the Big 10 raids the Big East, then those two are who I want in the SEC. The ACC better hope that the Big 10 just gets Notre Dame, Pitt, and Rutgers so that they can pick up Syracuse and UConn, since Boston college desperately needs some actual conference rivalries. Cincy and USF could go back to C-USA.

[...] Barnhart, a fairly well-connected college football writer at the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, dropped some titillating tidbits about the Big Ten’s expansion plans today.  He often writes from the SEC perspective (as to be [...]

Tuesday morning buffet | balls.co.in

April 7th, 2010
6:26 am

[...] Tony Barnhart speculates about conference expansion after hearing a bunch of other people speculate about conference expansion. [...]

[...] Big Ten Superconference Barnhart is one of the most respected CFB writers in the country… What happens if the Big Ten goes to 16 teams? | Mr. College Football __________________ Jon Miller Publisher jonmiller@hawkeyenation.com twitter.com/hawkeyenation [...]

[...] that spent his career writing about, covering and having lots of sources in the college games. So, this is intriguing. The other big topic here has a chance to completely change college football as we know it. I’ve [...]

[...] What happens if the Big Ten goes to 16 teams? | Mr. College Football Quote: [...]

Doug Coleman

April 7th, 2010
3:33 pm

Going to sixteen teams for the Big ten (two?) would be the death of the conference and they know it! This bluster is to lure or force the Irish to join. And the Irish will exact a high price on and off the field of play. It’s that simple my great football loving fanatics!
Twelve is still the magic number folks-twelve!

[...] Barnhart, a fairly well-connected college football writer at the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, dropped some titillating tidbits about the Big Ten’s expansion plans today.  He often writes from the SEC perspective (as to be [...]

Diego

April 7th, 2010
4:46 pm

The Big 10 will expand to no more that 14 teams. Pittsburgh is in. If Notre Dame wants in they are in. They would also make more money.
This would one team would need to be added. Who knows what team that would be. Austin TX, is 1603 miles to State College PA (PSU) All non revenue sports travel by van. That is simply to far for the Lacrosse or tennis team to travel. The longest trip in the big 10 currently the longest Big 10 trip is State College to Minneapolis 995 miles.

michael z.

April 7th, 2010
4:50 pm

I do think the Big 10 is headed towards a 16 team superconference. I am not sure at this point if they will look to go east or west, but it is eventually going to happen. Here is one article about that I wrote about a 16 team conference including Texas that just makes alot of sense. Check it out if interested, I would love some feedback: http://thepolesposition.com/2010/02/18/2018-big-16-championship-ohio-state-28-texas-24/

Phil69

April 7th, 2010
5:00 pm

For all you SECers, each team in the Big 10 makes more annual TV money ($22 million each) than any team in any conference in the country because of the Big Ten network. That said, Big Ten expansion is going to be decided by the university presidents and not the athletic directors or the alumni. That means that money and academics is going to be the governing factor-not football or basketball rivalries or travel distances that fans may have to drive or fly for away games. Rutgers has over 21 million people within a 50-mile radius of its campus and is a good academic institution. Result: alot of TV sets with Big Ten network on basic cable. Syrucuse reinforces the NY market, is good academically and brings a top-10 basketball program to the table. Notre Dame needs no explanation. If the Big 10 goes to 16 members, Missouri brings in the St. Louis and Kansas City markets and Nebraska has a national following. All of these schools are in the top 100-150 academic schools in the country. Sure, the Big 10 presidents want more TV money to justify adding members, but they also care about academics and graduation rates of their atheletes.

SEC will receive from its new 15-year, $2.25 billion contract with ESPN

April 7th, 2010
5:57 pm

WAKE UP BROTHERS

April 7th, 2010
11:35 pm

some points….

a) stop the roll tide and go dawgs partisanship in this discussion.. it does no good in long term solutions.

b) quit pointing arkansas out the door.. the sec are brothers, so please do not throw your brother under the bus.. same with kentucky, to suggest they move to sec west would destroy about 100 years of rivalry with their current sec east brothers.. we are all part of the same family, keep this in mind.

c) $$$$ is a motivator, do not forget this or we all will be in peril. money comes from academics (via research dollars) and athletics (via tv revenue – MFB & MBB). we are probably generally fans, but decisions are made at the top with an eye to the bottom line. modern major colleges are factories for research and entertainment – see also the current 96 team NCAA basketball expansion for proof.

d) understand the difference between owning your product (see also Big 10 network) and renting your product (see also SEC deal with ESPN). one creates a revenue stream that grows over time, and the other offers fixed installments over 15 years. if you attended a university in the SEC, you should be able to figure out which is which.

e) while new to our SEC brothers, this discussion has been going on for awhile in other conferences – I might suggest http://frankthetank.wordpress.com/ as there are about a dozen well debated blogs on the expansion topic (warning.. a lot of reading to get through them all – but many interesting thoughts). as this site has had about 500,000 hits, my guess is it is reaching many folks. A good discussion might be what a 16 team SEC would look like. for those not old enough to remember, the SEC and ACC were one in the same in the old Southern Conference.

f) I would like to see the SEC be the best conference for my children and grandchildren, but for that to happen we must all stick together and fight side by side as brothers in defending against those who would like to see us fail. S – E – C !! S – E – C!! S – E – C!!

ps.. thank you mr. barnhart for this article, i know you can pull my email from this post if you would be kind enough to correspond with me.

My 2 cents worth

April 8th, 2010
12:28 am

16 team SEC – if Big 10 goes to 16

SEC East: UGA, Ga Tech, UT, Vandy, UK, UNC, UF, and USC

SEC West: Texas, Texas A&M, Bama, Auburn, LSU, Arkansas, Ole Miss, and Miss St

adding Ga Tech, UNC, and Texas .. would boost basketball
adding Texas and Ga Tech would boost football
adding Texas and Carolina would add their states Senators / Congressmen in Washington
adding Texas and Carolina would enhance TV markets (big bang in extra revenue)
adding Texas A&M would add research, and make Texas politicians happy (you have to take both)

with UM or FSU, you are just overlapping UF TV footprint, at least with Ga Tech you get academics to compensate for the UGA overlap..

a collection of state schools could lead to a research pool like the Big 10 has with the (CIC) – which contributes about 6 BILLION per year to be spread among Big 10 schools (compared to 200 MILLION a year from the TV contracts) – as 6 Billion > 200 Million PER YEAR!

Will Smithrock

April 8th, 2010
12:54 am

You are blowing smoke, my friend. The Big Ten and SEC are far too intelligent to expand to an unruly mishmash of 16 teams. The old Western Athletic Conference tried it in the 90s and the longstanding members (BYU, Utah, Air Force, etc.) all bolted to form a more manageable 9-team Mountain West Conference. 12 teams is the max for a manageable conference. The Big Ten is set with Notre Dame joining. The only other schools they would consider are fellow AAU (American Assoc. of Universities) members Pitt, Missouri, Nebraska or Texas, and it will only be ONE of them.

cwillfromdatx

April 8th, 2010
2:41 am

I think the SEC will stay the same or will move one team out(ark) and one team in(GT). The SEC is fine. As for the Big 10, they will add one team. ND. As for the Big 12, they will lose one team(Buffs) but will bring in Ark. Texas will not or ever move to the SEC because of smartness not sports. Their is only one school in the SEC that is at the top and that is Vandy. While the Big 10 has everyone thats above every school in the SEC. So i see Texas staying in the Big 12

do the math

April 8th, 2010
9:37 am

i personally agree that 12 is the magic number, but i am just a fan. If i were a decision maker, I would want 16 as it stays in the math.. 2×2 = 4, 4×2 = 8, 8×2 = 16, 16×2 = 32, 32×2 = 64, and 64×2 = 128. when dealing with brackets these are the magic numbers, and translate to the greatest possible revenue streams. If you do not think the #1 motivation behind all this is $$, then you probably believe in unicorns and the tooth fairy. (14 just does not make good math brackets).

do i personally want to see 16 team conferences, or a 128 team NCAA basketball tourney? NO! NO! NO!

do i think it will happen in my lifetime? YES$$ YES$$ YES$$

the point is.. if this is the future, i would rather see the SEC be proactive, not reactive!!

[...] other Big Ten expansion news, Barnhardt writes about a 16 team Big Ten, spurring another round of PANIC duly shot down by DocSat, resurrected by the St Louis [...]

really?

April 9th, 2010
2:49 am

The Big 10 has far more to offer than the SEC, and if Texas and A&M leave the Big 12, that is where they will land. Football money is big, but research/academic money is much much much much bigger.

And the Big 10 is the undisputed king of the research/academic side of this argument. Football (and sports in general) = tens to maybe a hundred million dollars. Research money = hundreds of millions of dollars, maybe more.

SEC might be the best football conference, but the Big10 is the conference that brings prestige and money.

Big11Ten

April 10th, 2010
9:27 pm

The SEC only cares about football. High school and college. The Big Ten has the highest acedemic and offers more varsity sports than anyother conference except the Ivy League. Football is the reason the Big Ten is looking to expand, but believe me, if they do not fit their standards, they will not be invited. The only SEC schools that meet Big Ten standards are Florida, LSU, and Arkansas.

[...] man Tony Barnhart posted an interesting blog entry this week that, if true, could have serious implications for college football and the SEC. In the [...]

Ron

April 12th, 2010
6:01 pm

Great article. The Big Ten would indeed be well-advised to consider adding Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Rutgers and UConn all in one fell swoop. That would effectively block the ACC from making further inroads in the northeast plus add four schools with strong academics and significant rivalries with each other. As a Minnesota grad who lives in Texas, I saw the Big 8 strengthen itself immensely by grabbing four major Texas schools, which effectively ended the Southwest Conference. Like the old Southwest Conference, the Big East in football has sort of an underdog appeal, but it is really a hodge-podge of teams that is not taken seriously on a national scale as a major football conference. The Big Ten is capable of appealing to the New York market in ways the Big East really cannot and would greatly improve long-term prospects for recruiting, finances and national visibility by becoming the first 16 team “superconference”.

FortyNine49

April 13th, 2010
3:28 pm

If the Big East gets raided like that, they would have but one way to go – South…and who knows if that would even be the “Big East” or something else. The league would have no choice but to create a north/south divisional line-up, but would probably remain east (of the Mississippi River).

If you added Marshall and East Carolina and then went into the deep South to pick up Memphis, Southern Miss, and Central Florida, that would start to regain a plausible core for keeping it together. If, however, the ACC and SEC get into the superconference game who knows what will happen. The SEC can pick on the ACC and Big XII, so we might see more dominoes flying than ever before.

I could easily see a team or two left over from the Big East raid going to the ACC. And the Big XII might come a little farther east if they have to do that. SMU, Rice, TCU…nah. The Texas schools hate each other, so I cannot see them adding more from the Lone Star state. What a guessing game.

michael z.

April 14th, 2010
12:48 pm

Really, you are exactly correct. I wrote an article detailing what I call the walmart effect; maximizing your profit by swallowing up the competition. Bigger equals more money. If the Big 10 absorbed Texas and A&M plus three other Big 12 schools (really doesn’t matter which ones, though the Big 10 will pick the best academic schools at this point), they would command about $8 billion dollars in research grants and have a quarter of the U.S. senators in their hip pocket. Will a 16 team conference work? Who knows, but that kind of consolidation of research grants might make it worth trying (and hard for schools invited to say no). If interested, my whole article can be read at: http://thepolesposition.com/2010/02/18/2018-big-16-championship-ohio-state-28-texas-24/

Doug Coleman

April 15th, 2010
11:36 am

OK people of the Big East-time for the ugly truth to emerge. If the Big Ten (two) raids the Big East the party is over and this becomes a basketball league only if even that! Football will be a corpse. It is incredible that the Big East leaders are idly sitting by while the Neros of the Big Ten are going to burn Rome down. And let us not forget about the felons of the ACC who lie, cheat, and steal with the finest of the rogues.
The solution? Tough formula but we have it. The hottie team to get would obviously be the Irish of Notre Dame. Instant exposure. But probably not to occur. Be brash. Reoffer Boston College which has no rivalries at all in the ACC. Now for the coup:pursue Navy (you think they were tough last year? look out-just ask the Irish and Ohio St), UCF, Southern Miss.,East Carolina (with that new coach look out), Marshall, Temple, Buffalo, and persuade Nova to go D1. The “SUPER CONFERENCE’ template is born and in a short few years this conference would be more than able to hold its own with anyone with the presence and foundations of West Virginia, Pitt, louisville, and the re-emergence of Syracuse. UCONN and USF are also becoming a very nice force.
The idea here is to be aggresively proactive. Do not wait for the “Pearl Harbor’ raiders to come calling-slam the door in thier face, reel in a huge media contract, and beat them to the punch. This may bring tears to non football schools in the Big East that well… have to go…sorry Depaul, Providence, Seton Hall, St Johns and maybe Marquette who are somewhat deadbeats overall. This is about the reality of survival. Now who is going to throw that first punch? As Bernie Mack would have said (God bless his soul) “Are you listiening ADS and Presidents of the Big East?”

onlinepole

April 15th, 2010
4:40 pm

The Big 10 will expand to 16 in order to get the programs it wants. I’d be happy with adding just 3 (UT, ND & Nebraska) but to get UT you have to take A&M which gets you to an odd number of 15 which is a problem for basketball scheduling and a possible inconvenience for football because divisions wouldn’t be of equal size.

If the Big 10 gets ND, they don’t need to add a football playing member of the BE to get the NYC market since ND & PSU are the 2 most popular college football programs in NYC. Not that NY is that large of a TV market for college football. NYC is a bigger market for college hoops, so adding Syracuse would be needed to get that market place which is not desireable due to Syracuse underperforming in football. If a 16th is needed it’s a tossup between Rutgers and Mizzou. Mizzou would bring a slice of the KC market, Big 10 already has a health share of St Louis with the Illinois and other Big 10 alumni there.

Will be very interesting to see who #16 is. Adding UT, ND and Nebraska would be huge for the B10 and change the college football landscape in a big way. Furthermore with UT, Nebraska and A&M gone, Colorado very well may bolt for the Pac10 if they can get a yes vote from Stanford. Losing Colorado would make it harder for the B12 to get Utah to come to a conference with no teams in the west. Utah woud then wind up in the Pac10 if they get a BCS conference invite.

Losing just Rutgers and ND would not cripple the BE, it would be the aftershock of what the B12 would do after losing UT, A&M, Nebraska and possibly Colorado. That would force the B12 to look east and any BCS conference would rather add programs that are already in the BCS than ones that are not which would make USF, Cincy & Lville prime B12 targets. Adding those 3 means the B12 would only need to add one nonBCS program to get back to 12 (Utah,BYU ?)

The BE would then be minus Rutgers, Cincy, USF & Lville, dropping down to 5 football playing members which is 1 below the 6 minimum needed to play a conference sport. This also assumes that the ACC doesn’t decide to expand to 14 by adding WVA & Pitt.

The BE is a poorly run conference, putting hoops only programs with football playing programs in the same division of a conference is foolish, too many square pegs in round holes. If the BE was run intelligently they would seperate into 2 divisions sharing the same conference name; all football programs plus ND in one division and the non BCS football playing programs in the other. That way each group could expand(or not) without any input from schools that don’t share their athletic vision.

Adding the following basketball oriented programs Dayton, Xavier, Butler, Bradley, St. Louis, Wichita St & Creighton would make the basketball division of the BE on a par with the basketball programs of the football BE division and give the collective BE (with at least 22 programs) the best and deepest hoops conference in the nation.

Eric in Ohio

April 19th, 2010
12:56 pm

Don’t forget that the Big East can dispand the football side of the Big East by this June without penalty (i.e. if everyone decides to dispand). THis I beleive was part of the original pac they made when the first raid happened). Doubt it will happen but there is that scenario to consider.

michael z.

April 19th, 2010
7:28 pm

online poll, I have a 16 team model where the Big 10 raids the B12. I think my model makes sense in terms of placing the teams in two divisions, timezones, etc. I’m not going to paste the whole thing in here, but if interested, check it out at: http://thepolesposition.com/2010/02/18/2018-big-16-championship-ohio-state-28-texas-24/. This really could be done.

Bearcat8290

April 21st, 2010
11:38 am

Everyone that thought the Big East was such a lousy conference was wrong. Now the Big Ten has potentially decided they want a couple of our schools. In order to do that, the Big Ten will have to wait 27 months and each team will have to pay the conference 5 million to leave. The Big East changed it’s policy after the raid in 2003 of Miami, VT and Boston College. So the Big Ten will have to wait. If they choose four from the conference, they won’t start play until 2013-2014 season. If four join from the Big East, the conference will receive 20 million total or 5 million from each team. The Big East will probably go after Central Florida and Marshall. East Carolina and Memphis may also be in the picture. Many Cincinnati fans love the Big East for all sports. I don’t ever see Cincinnati going south as an SEC school even though I think they are a desirable school with two recent Big East championships. I see possible move for Cincinnati to the Big 12 or ACC. Ohio State will NOT allow CIncinnati to join the Big Ten. Took much competition for the Suckeyes in the bUCkeye state. GO BEARCATS. BamaStan- I didn’t know that universities could get NCAA titles on the internet. IS that why Alabama has so many titles?

KB

April 22nd, 2010
2:58 pm

No one has mentioned moving up App State out of 1-AA (sorry im old school) to join the MAC to replace Marshall when they move to the Big East

Fred

April 22nd, 2010
8:28 pm

Miami & FSU in a 14 team SEC would break the freakin bank with the TV contract.

Texcane1982

April 24th, 2010
7:38 pm

Otto

April 5th, 2010
9:43 am
“Miami vs. Clemson? Miami draws bigger TV viewership, Clemson draws bigger ticket sales. The SEC is making their money off the TV contract not at the Ticket Counter. However, Miami’s image (which imo does not reflect the current program) does clash with the SEC culture. It is an intersting debate”

LOL……..are you being serious? Miami is the perfect cultural fit, a culture that believes in winning at all costs and breaking the rules if need be. The U has accumilated a nice resume of violations dating back to the Lou Saban era of the 70’s. Both Miami and Florida St are perfect for the SEC “culture”, they have no problem recruiting thugs and breaking the rules to sign said thug.

[...] the Big Ten’s growth, and the latest speculation points even to the possibility of the conference swelling to 16 teams, essentially creating a “Super [...]

Laura Frost

May 25th, 2010
4:33 am

Every one is entering the final round of preparation, must read the (U.S., others enter final phase of World Cup tune-ups by latimes) http://articles.latimes.com/2010/may/24/sports/la-sp-us-soccer-20100525

I still see a possibility of some surprises in top 16 and top 10. Lets see what happens.

Best Regards,
Laura Frost,
community association with http://www.oleole.com
(the official partners for Fifa Worldcup 2010)

[...] Barnhart is hearing whispers from conference commissioners indicating that the Big 10 is at least considering expanding to a superconference of 16 teams. The [...]