An early look at the five BCS games

 

 

Let’s take an early glance at the five BCS games. We’re not going to pick then until later. it’s a long time before they play and much can change. I will give you an early thought of where I’m leaning:

 

BCS championship: Alabama (13-0) vs. Texas (13-0), Jan. 7:  Based on the last game of the two teams Alabama, the SEC champ, is going to be about a touchdown favorite over the Big 12 champs, who needed some fortune and a 46-yard field goal at the buzzer to beat Nebraska for the Big 12 championship. Alabama was a supremely well-coached and confident team when it beat Florida 32-13 for the SEC title. The game will come down to Alabama’s ability to press and stress Texas QB Colt McCoy. That’s why I’m leaning to the Crimson Tide.

 

Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech (11-2) vs Iowa (10-2), Jan. 5: This will match an irresistible force, Georgia Tech’s rushing offense, against an immovable object, an Iowa defense that has given opponents problems all season and allows only 11.5 ppg.  Remember that some teams are able to use the extra preparation for bowl games to really teach their teams how to defend it. That extra time certainly helped LSU before beating Tech soundly in the Chick-fil-A Bowl last season. Still I’m leaning towards Georgia Tech.

 

Sugar Bowl: Florida (12-1) vs. Cincinnati (12-0), Jan. 1: A year ago Alabama faced an undefeated team from outside the Big Conferences in Utah. The Utes simply outplayed Alabama, who had not gotten over losing in the SEC championship game just a month before. The little guys get geeked up when they play one of the big boys because they have something to prove. What the Bearcats don’t have to prove is that Tony Pike and Mardy Gilyard can throw and catch the ball with great precision. I like Florida in this one if the Gators show up to play. Looks like Tim Tebow has to have one more good pregame speech in him.

 

Fiesta Bowl: TCU (12-0) vs. Boise State (13-0), Jan. 4: Some of the media boys and girls out there have been trashing this matchup because these two teams are matched against each other instead of one of the big boys. But when you walk through the selection process this was the best game for the Fiesta. The bowl took TCU with its first pick. The Orange then took Iowa off the table. The Fiesta’s choices were the Big East champ (Cincinnati) or Boise. Both were undefeated. Neither is a great TV draw. Boise had already proven it will travel to Glendale, Ariz. The Fiesta took the best bowl for them. I like TCU in this game because the Horned Frogs have the nation’s No. 1 defense (233.5 ypg)

 

Rose Bowl: Oregon (10-2) vs. Ohio State (10-2), Jan.1 : I like the Ducks for a couple of reasons. The first is quarterback Jeremiah Masoli is playing  as well as any dual-threat quarterback in the country. They can beat you with the run or the pass. Ohio State will be out to break a six-game losing streak by the Big Ten in BCS games. Ohio State, which played its last game on Nov. 21, has traditionally not handled the long layoff well if the opponent is pretty good.  I’m giving a definite early lean to Oregon.

We’ll take a look at the SEC and ACC Bowls later.

 

 

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366 comments Add your comment

ImADawg

December 8th, 2009
8:25 am

mike on lake hartwell

December 8th, 2009
8:26 am

ImADawg

December 8th, 2009
8:29 am

Woo Woo!!!

Would like to have seen TCU play a BCS team (other than Cin). Georgia Tech gets stuffed by the Iowa defense. Alabama, Florida, TCU, and Oregon are my winners.

Charlie Strong for head coach somewhere!!! Maybe Florida will hire Willie Martinez!!!

senoiadawgs

December 8th, 2009
8:29 am

Fiesta is a joke. So for all of the talk about the non-bcs conf. schools getting a shot at the big boys they play each other. BOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!! Totally defeats the purpose of allowing them in other than the big paycheck.

heywood jablomey

December 8th, 2009
8:29 am

wow tony, alabama beat alabama?? really?

and maybe ga tech beat itself in the game
w/uga. but of course we’ll never know b/c u
won’t talk about it.

Wow...

December 8th, 2009
8:29 am

According to Tony, Alabama beat Alabama to win the SEC!

greenchilidawg

December 8th, 2009
8:29 am

Bama certainly has the momentum and the better athletes, so I say Roll Tide. Iowa will defend the option and beat Tech. Florida will recover from the SEC championship loss in the 4th quarter, but it will be too late. TCU proves they are one of the best teams in the country and will even pick up an AP vote or two in the end. The Big 10’s woes continue in the Rose Bowl.

JB

December 8th, 2009
8:31 am

Tech is playing a real football team……….They will lose. Hell, my Dawgs beat them……………Until Johnson pays attention to both sides of the Ball, Tech will be good, not great, just like my Dawgs.
When this set of Skill players leave Tech, There will be a let down…..i just don’t see Tech Getting 4 or 5 new stars like they have now replaced. Welcome to 7-5 Tech. glad to have you in the club.

jason

December 8th, 2009
8:31 am

Tony, I understand the selections, but I still don’t like the Fiesta match up. I would rather see the 3 small coference teams go head to head with the “Big Boys”. Kind of a put up or shut up deal. My thoughts would be TCU vs UF, Cinci vs Tech, and Iowa vs. BSU. These games would be more interesting. Look at TEch vs Cinci. To unstoppable offenses going head to head; that would be a very entertaining game. Also the nation’s #1 defense squaring off with UF and Tebow’s refusal to win. In a perfect scenario, the last second would have ticked off the clock in the Big 12 Champ and TCU would be playing UA for the MNC, but that wouldn’t be fair to the BCS or the “Big Boy” conferences, now would it?

Jr. Editor

December 8th, 2009
8:31 am

“We’re not going to pick then until later. it’s a long time before they play”

“Alabama was a supremely well-coached and confident team when it beat Alabama 32-13 for the SEC title.”

C’mon, I know it’s a blog, but at least proofread or give it to an editor that’s awake this early. As a Gator, I wish the second line was true. Prolly the only way we win that game.

Poor effort this morning…

ImADawg

December 8th, 2009
8:32 am

bwaaaaa!!! I didn’t catch the Bama beating Bama line!!!

And to think Tony writes columns and is on TV

Barkin'Dog

December 8th, 2009
8:32 am

Alabama was a supremely well-coached and confident team when it beat Alabama 32-13 for the SEC title. — Tony… you may want to fix that.

jason

December 8th, 2009
8:34 am

Enter your comments here

JB

December 8th, 2009
8:36 am

Come on guys, none of you have ever made a mistake at work ?

Any word ( from Anybody) about new coaching prospects in Athens ? man, there aren’t even rumors getting out. Tells me it might be after Bowl season before we know anything.

Let's Go

December 8th, 2009
8:37 am

You guys get off Tony’s back. I mean what do you expect he did go to Georgia.

Robesi

December 8th, 2009
8:37 am

Alabama got lucky drawing the second best team from the state of Texas…

Dink

December 8th, 2009
8:39 am

Good post Tony, I’m surprised TCU & Boise St weren’t matched up against teams from the bigger conferences instead of each other. LSU vs. Penn State should be a good one and for some reason I think Stanford vs. Oklahoma will be a good one also.

Go Dawgs!

Peadawg

December 8th, 2009
8:41 am

Hey Tony, you ever proof-read your work? Or were you not taught that in middle school English class?

Got 12?

December 8th, 2009
8:41 am

Texas’s only chance is for Ingram to win the Heisman. Without that distraction, Bama exposes the Big 12 which is down this year. Take a look at the teams Texas has played this year. Check the defensive stats of those teams then compare those stats to Bama’s. On paper, this is a mismatch but that’s why we play the game. (Actually, the game is played for money but you get the point.)

Reed Hall Rat

December 8th, 2009
8:41 am

Agree with Dink

At least we aren't UGA

December 8th, 2009
8:47 am

UGA- 33 arrests in last 3.5 years. Even Tennessee and FLA have been surpassed.

Stay classy UGA.

Seems odd...

December 8th, 2009
8:53 am

Why hasn’t Tony addressed the situation in Athens yet? Nor did he respond about UGA’s won over Tech. Almost seems like he is avoiding the topic of UGA. What gives? Perhaps he’s afraid he won’t be able to co-author anymore UGA books if he says something too negative…

Alphare

December 8th, 2009
8:55 am

You know how kids do, they get hyped if you shower them with praises and awards. If Texas fans keep sending roses and cards to Bama players, Texas will have a better chance.

m is short for mullet

December 8th, 2009
8:56 am

At least we aren’t UGA, what kind of dumda$$ post is that sparky???

Scott

December 8th, 2009
8:59 am

I’ve never understood the fascination with arrests on these blogs, especially when 90% of the arrests involve non-DUI-related traffic offenses.

toga

December 8th, 2009
9:01 am

Alabama will be ready for Texas and win big. The 2010 crop of kids coming in looks very good. Alabama is back on top and will stay for a long time to come. Will anybody challenge Florida in the east next year? Getting tired of playing Florida every time we go to the SECCG.

Roll Tide!

Florida Loses Again!

December 8th, 2009
9:01 am

Tony-

You just don’t get it. Tebow is just not a good QB–ranked #49 passer, #61 rusher. Without Percy, his lack of QB skills are exposed–terrible delivery. Strong and other Assist Coaches will be distracted with moves to Louisville. Cincy’s QB Pike leads the nation in the red zone, Tebow is horrible in the red zone, 35% accurate and averges 1.78 ypc rushing in the red zone. Tebow doesn’t trsut his fellow RB’s either—complete ball hog–didn’t hand them the ball 1 time in the ENTIRE 2nd Half in the SEC Championship. tebow could not motivate his team with any of his speeches or jumping up and down–they’re growing tired of hearing the same speech over and over and then seeing him fall apart like the Bama or MSU games. Tebow thinks this is all about HIM, that’s why he’ll lose–football cannot be won 1-on-1—-it’s not golf! Tebow is the most selfish teammate and the most overrated player in college.

Floridan

December 8th, 2009
9:01 am

Florida will not win the Sugar Bowl is it forfeits the running game as it did in the SEC Championship game (carries by: Moody – 0. Demps – 1, Rainey – 2).

Crimson BA

December 8th, 2009
9:01 am

I guess its good the BullFrawgs don’t have to prepare for a descent bowl. Now they will have more time to negotiate plea bargains. Oh yeah, and find a coach… They better look around at area high schools, because no GOOD College DC in their right mind wants that job. Five Star Graveyard!!!

Sam Houston

December 8th, 2009
9:04 am

TCU-Boise St playing each other; what a cop out by the BCS. The major colleges won’t schedule them to improve their strength of schedule and now the BCS makes them play each other.

GaDawg

December 8th, 2009
9:05 am

UGA arrests, driving violations. Tenn. and UF arrests = Felonies. Right, stay classy

MTNC

December 8th, 2009
9:06 am

Tech’s offense is looking less and less “unstoppable” to me. If UGA’s defense, with all the problems it had this year, could stop them, then any decent defense with discipline enough to play assignment football can stop them. Certainly if they have a month to look at film and work on the assignments.

Dawg Fud

December 8th, 2009
9:09 am

Crimson BA,

re: “descent”

are you referring to the perceived state of our program (in decline) or a respectable bowl bid…?

Get a Grip

December 8th, 2009
9:11 am

Crimson BA, do you really believe no good college coach would be interested in coaching at UGA? Really? You embarass yourself with your total lack of objectivity. It seems that the same thing could’ve been said about Alabama only a few years ago. You alluded to one of the reasons that any coach looking to move up the ladder would want to come to UGA: an endless supply of blue chip recruits.

JWalker

December 8th, 2009
9:16 am

So who is going to be the next DC in Athens?

Wally's Butt

December 8th, 2009
9:22 am

Shreveport. What an awesome place.

Dawg Fud

December 8th, 2009
9:22 am

JWalker,

My money says Reggie Herring, LB’s coach of the Dallas Cowboys, is going to be seriously considered for the LB or DC job.

An early look at the five BCS games

December 8th, 2009
9:22 am

[...] the story on Topix Posted in [...]

James

December 8th, 2009
9:25 am

Actually UGA’s defense didn’t stop Tech at all in that game, after purposely harming Nesbitt, Shaw comes in and throws an interception. Additionally, we had a botched snap that was fumbled. There was no stopping of GT’s offense in that game by GA. And again, if Thomas doesn’t drop that catch (can’t fault him, he’s played great for us all year), then we arguably go down the field and win by 7.

VegasGT

December 8th, 2009
9:26 am

Well – no real shock that just about every UGA fan will pick against GT, probably similar to the % of GT fans that will pick Texas A&M. Those kind of responses should generally be thrown out, too much emotion in them.

As for the BCS Bowls, I see Alabama continuing their trend. They are clearly the best team in College football right now. I see UF handling Cinci, TCU dominating Boise, and Oregon beating Ohio State.

The GT/Iowa game looks like a very good game. Everyone points to Iowa’s defense in this one and the month to prepare. While I think that both the quality of their defensive play and the prep time are in their favor, I do not think that it assures Iowa of a win. Clemson saw it live twice and used time during the summer to prepare and they still didn’t have it “figured out”. As long as GT executes, the offense will be hard to stop. Everyone points to LSU and says that they figured it out, but if you watched the game (and looked at it again later) it is apparent that GT shot itself in the foot. I assure you that CPJ learned something from that experience. Iowa will need to focus on something they have not seen and try adapt. GT will see the same thing they see all year long. Iowa’s offense has not been the most consistent either, even looking back prior to the NW game. The game I look at for them to see how we might fare would be the Michigan game. Michigan managed to score 28 on them with as close to GT’s style of offense as they saw all year. I think it’s safe to say GT is a better team the Michigan. This game should be a fun one to watch and a very good match-up. I would not want to have to pick this one.

Dawg Nation

December 8th, 2009
9:29 am

They should have picked the Dawgs to play in the Orange Bowl instead of Tech. Didn’t we beat Tech? I think we deserve it more than they do.

Atlanta Gator

December 8th, 2009
9:30 am

Unless something strange happens, Alabama beats Texas. The Tide defense is clearly superior, and the Tide offense is balanced. The Texas defense is suspect, and

As for the Sugar Bowl, I hope that Spikes, Tebow and Meyer can shake off the SEC loss and return to form. I suspect Cincinnati will give them all the Gators they can handle . . . with last year’s Sugar Bowl upset as an object lesson, hopefully Meyer can and will restore and maintain the Gators’ focus for another 24 days. A 13-1 season capped with a Sugar Bowl victory would be a good, if not perfect, way to end this senior class’ capped career.

Tough for me to get excited about the rest of the BCS games. Perhaps I’ll comment more as those games draw closer.

Dawg Fud

December 8th, 2009
9:31 am

VegasGT – i am not picking against Tech in the Orange Bowl

James – there is a lot of excuse making in that post

DFWTX Dawg

December 8th, 2009
9:31 am

Let me start off by saying I’m fed up with the bowl system. It’s time for a playoff.

This year’s Bama team is one of the most disciplined football teams I’ve ever seen. Bama’s secondary will blanket the Texas receivers and force coverage sacks or McCoy to take off and run. Bama’s secondary is never out of position. SEC Champ = National Champ for the 4th consecutive year. I pick Bama to win 27-13.

GT would rank among middle tier SEC teams. The only reason they beat UGA in 2008 was b/c UGA’s defense took the 2nd half off and GT doubled their effort. That offense simply doesn’t work against disciplined defensive units and GT’s defense is definitely not physical enough to play in the SEC. GT would certainly lose to the following SEC teams: Bama, UF, LSU, Tennessee, and we already know the outcome against UGA. I’m taking Iowa.

The Gators will rebound and rebound big. Unlike Bama in last year’s Sugar Bowl, I think they’ll go into this game with a serious chip on their shoulder and destroy their opponent. The outcome will be more like the 2008 Sugar Bowl.

I like TCU and Oregon in the other 2.

PDawg

December 8th, 2009
9:31 am

Why do we keep making derogatory posts about our opponents? Is it just to make our mediocre program look equal?

Shreveport Bound & Down

December 8th, 2009
9:31 am

No preview of the Weed-eater Independence Bowel? What the heck Tony ?????

2010 is our year!

Krogunner

December 8th, 2009
9:33 am

No pick on Shreavport?

Gator Mike

December 8th, 2009
9:33 am

The Gators stunk up Atlanta, and BAMA was the better team last Saturday. I have no ill feelings towards BAMA except the have a carpetbagger for a head coach. He stiffed Michigan State to go to LSU; stiffed LSU for the Dolfins; stiffed the Dolfins for BAMA. He will eventually stiff BAMA. BAMA better be alert for the emergence of Auburn in the West over the next 2 years. The same goes for UF being aware that UGA and UT will be back next year. Carolina will continue to mudle around in overall mediocrity, but they will be more dangerous.
I want all of the SEC Teams to win their Bowl Games. I do not believe that BAMA will have an easy a time with Texas as they did with UF. Texas will be very focused. The Gators are iffy because I fear they will have a “woe is me” day like BAMA did against Utah last year.
Additionally, it does not look like the Dunlap issue is going away. Apparently, he has not apologized to the team, and his suspension continues. Loosing Charlie Strong will leave a huge “temporary gap”, but Dan McCarney can easily fill the void.
Also, good luck to UGA, Carolina, LSU, Auburn, UK, Ole Miss, etc in their respective bowl games.
The SEC needs the wins.

Joe Cox Better than Tebow?

December 8th, 2009
9:37 am

Absolutely. Joe Cox beat Timmy in TD’s, YARDS, and took 50% less SACKS.

Alabama Loved the Independence Bowl in 2007

December 8th, 2009
9:38 am

Alabama Shreveport Independendce Bowl 2007, Natl Champs 2009

Georgia Shreveport Independendce Bowl 2009, Natl Champs 2011