Projecting the BCS bowls

 

 

We’re getting down to crunch time, so let’s a take minute to project the five BCS bowls and explain why the matchups will occur.

Just remember that the two bowls that lose their designated conference champs to the BCS title game go to the head of the line when it comes time to pick. The bowl that loses the No. 1 team picks first. The bowl that loses the No. 2 team picks second.

Then remaining conference champs are placed in their designated bowls: Big Ten/Pac-10 to Rose; Big 12 to Fiesta, SEC to Sugar, ACC to Orange.

Then the remaining slots in the games are filled with this order of selection: Orange, Fiesta, Sugar.

So here we go. If you disagree, please tell me why,.

 

 

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP, Jan. 7, 2010

Matchup: Alabama vs. Texas

How it happened: Florida and Alabama are locked into the SEC championship game on Dec. 5. They could be ranked 1-2. As was the case a year ago, the winner goes to the big game.  With Baylor, Kansas and Texas A&M left, Texas should cruise to the Big 12 championship game and roll over the North Division champ.

 

ORANGE BOWL, Jan. 5, 2010

Matchup: Georgia Tech vs. Iowa

How it happened: Georgia Tech beats Duke on Saturday to clinch the ACC Coastal championship and then wins a rematch with Clemson in the ACC title game. After the automatic slots are filled in the BCS, the Orange Bowl will get the first pick. It will take Iowa at 10-2 because those Hawkeyes love to travel South in the winter.

 

FIESTA BOWL, Jan. 4, 2010

Matchup: USC vs. TCU

How it happened: Because it lost Big 12 champ Texas, the No. 2 team, to the national championship game, the Fiesta gets its pick of teams after the Sugar. Since there is no suitable replacement from the Big 12, the Fiesta takes USC, which will be 10-2 and ranked in the Top 10 if it wins its final three games with Stanford, UCLA, and Arizona. After the Orange takes Iowa, the Fiesta’s choices will be down to Cincinnati, TCU, Boise State or another two-loss conference runner-up. It will take TCU, which could be ranked as high as No. 3.

 

SUGAR BOWL, Jan. 1, 2010

Matchup: Florida vs. Cincinnati

How it happened: Because the Sugar’s designated champion (SEC) was ranked No. 1, the Sugar gets first pick among all the bowls after the BCS title game. The Sugar fills with Florida, the SEC runner-up. The Sugar will then pick last in the second rotation and will be left with Cincinnati, which gets an automatic bid as the Big East champ. 

 

ROSE BOWL, Jan. 1, 2010

Matchup: Ohio State vs. Oregon

How it happened: Ohio State (8-2) beats Iowa this week and Michigan next week to win the Big Ten championship. Oregon (7-2), which has only one loss in the Pac-10, recovers from its loss to Stanford and beats Arizona State, Arizona, and Oregon State to win the conference.

 

 

 

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621 comments Add your comment

Otto

November 10th, 2009
9:14 am

The BCS gets it correct in the Title Game.

Great to see we are not stuck in the days where Bama would be stuck in the Sugar with the Big 12 champ playing in another Bowl for a split title.

The winner will be the one true national Champ.

The down side is the other Bowl matchups are boring. The best bowls will be played outside of the BCS bowls.

I can live with the trade off.

Yellow Fuzz

November 10th, 2009
9:15 am

Bigtime?? Not,

And the georgia dogs get what they deserve. A trip to northern Louisiana and a free weedwacker in the Independence Bowl which is offering the Four tickets, four hot dogs, four cokes promotion that you and your big time program (LOL) scoffs at. Learn your new role big man. Lol.

Jake

November 10th, 2009
9:15 am

Will Fulme go to Memphis?

Tired of stupid dawg fans

November 10th, 2009
9:18 am

You dawg fans are all the same. You have nothing intellegent to say so all you can do is call people names and make stupid comments. I am sure you guys will be in full force on the 28th but that is good. It will not take long for you to shut your stupid mouths and start booing your team and their coaches. Nothing like a fine redneck leg humper who IQ does not even reach his hat size. All you know how to do is guzzle beer and pee on the bushes. This week is all is good in the dawg nation after a beat down of a HS program. Next week we will fire CMR again. You people are pathetic. Hey dip, good name, 412 rushing yard, 102 called back because of penalties. Tech did not play its best but still came out on top. Wake = Tenn.

Brad

November 10th, 2009
9:18 am

Great question JB… we Gator fans are actually wondering the same. To answer your question, we should be okay on offense since John Brantley is a more than capable backup who would start most anywhere else in the country. Our young receivers must step up and be more consistent and as someone on this blog has already pointed out, Aaron Hernandez’s decision to stay or leave will be decisive. We’ll have Demps, Rainey, and Moody all back and we’re pretty deep on the o-line.

Where I’m concerned is on defense, particularly our linebacking corps. We lose both Spikes and his stellar backup, Ryan Stamper in the middle and we lose some of our depth at the other LB positions. We lose Jermaine Cunningham who, for some odd reason, gets overshadowed by Carlos Dunlap (Dunlap is awesome, but I decided this yr that Cunningham is the better of the two). And, again, Joe Haden might decide to leave a yr early. In short, we should be alright, but we will be a young group over all, which is always a concern.

And for all my fellow Gators on this blog, I wouldn’t be so overzealous in picking us over Bama in the SEC Championship… if we can’t protect Tebow better than we have, we WILL lose. He was sacked four times against Vandy, which is entirely unacceptable from our veteran o-line.

Miles

November 10th, 2009
9:19 am

Gators and Texas in the big game…

toga

November 10th, 2009
9:20 am

Georgia Fans-

Please stay off this message board. This is reserved for solid football teams going to relevant bowl games. Unless you clean house, Ga. Tech will own this state for many years to come. As an SEC fan, I like Tech, I wish they were in the SEC instead of the soft and weak Dogs.

Roll Tide

bamafan

November 10th, 2009
9:20 am

Gen Neyland – has Brantley transferred from FLA to BAMA and is now our QB?

m

November 10th, 2009
9:21 am

Otto…that is pure bs about them getting it right. Last year, Utah or Texas had just as much right to be in the championship game a florida or oklahoma.

the system is a joke.

UGA fans...

November 10th, 2009
9:22 am

..may not have shown up in full force for the TN Tech game last week, but all 92K tickets were sold! Can Tech ever say that all 55K tickets were sold, except when they play UGA? And, I have Tech season tickets, and I have already sold them for the UGA game!

Hey Dogtards

November 10th, 2009
9:26 am

UGA fans… said: “.may not have shown up in full force for the TN Tech game last week, but all 92K tickets were sold! Can Tech ever say that all 55K tickets were sold, except when they play UGA? And, I have Tech season tickets, and I have already sold them for the UGA game!”

I didn’t know how good you are depends on how many fans you have. Shouldn’t yall be better than 4-4 in the FBS with all those fans? How do you even fit that many fans on the field?

GTfanTN

November 10th, 2009
9:27 am

I think it is funny how UGA fans trash our Tech’s O…i think most UGA fans would love the stats we have and the points we put up..if you switched the stat sheets UGA would have 1 loss and tech would be fighting to be 500

Reality Check

November 10th, 2009
9:30 am

Even as bad as things are with UGA this year they still put 25,000 more people in the seats in Sanford Stadium for their game with lowly Tennessee Tech than Georgia Tech had for their game with Wake Forest.

TV viewer

November 10th, 2009
9:31 am

I watched the Tech game with Wake Forest on TV and I cannot understand why there were so many empty seats. What’s up with that?

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
9:32 am

M. We agree. The BCS is pathetic. Welcome to our world. Dawgs have been beating that drum for years. It’s useless.

Roll Tide

November 10th, 2009
9:33 am

We have the best team cash money for play can provide! Who cares that our players are totally illiterate! Roll Tide!

Hey Dogtards

November 10th, 2009
9:34 am

Reality Check said “Even as bad as things are with UGA this year they still put 25,000 more people in the seats in Sanford Stadium for their game with lowly Tennessee Tech than Georgia Tech had for their game with Wake Forest.”

Again, who cares? So you are telling me I can (i) have better seats (ii) for cheaper (iii) not have to drive all the way to Athens for the game (iv) be able to find parking when I get to the game (or take public transit) (v) be less crowded when I get there and (vi) not be stuck in traffic for an hour afterwards. AND I get to see a team that is just as good or better? What’s that you say? They don’t trash their campus at GT either? Why would you NOT be a Tech fan?

#1 BAMA FAN

November 10th, 2009
9:34 am

Gators will not beat BAMA with the “dive play”, they better come up with something else. I was at the SEC Championship last year and the GATORS were not more physical, it was the TIDE and they will be again this year. Tebow made the difference last year in the fourth quarter with the ankle high passes. Ramble on-be careful what you ask for, look at the 2011 schedule. RTR

R.U.KIDDIN'ME

November 10th, 2009
9:35 am

THE ONLY WAY THE GATOR’S STOP INGRAM IS…………SPIKES POKIN’ HIS EYE’S OUT!!!!

AZ Jacket

November 10th, 2009
9:37 am

30,000 plus student body, every redneck bubba in the state spending the rent money on UGA football tickets then I guess you can get a full stadium. I have season tickets and I will tell you the only visiting team that has the worst fans is when UGA comes to town. Most of them spend the day on all fours barking. I have been watching college football for 45 years and never have I seen a fan make a tackle or score a TD. Just does not happen. Tech’s fan base is small, that is true, less than 20,000 student body and most graduates leave the state for high profile jobs. Yes, due to the high academics and specialty fields we have a lot of students who could care less about football. For the idiot who said Josh does not attend class does not know CPJ. Dawg fans cannot take a rivalry, they want domination. That is over, you will win some you will lose some. Tech is back and we no longer have to stake our season on the last game.

Brandon Spikes (and grouges)

November 10th, 2009
9:38 am

das rite, i will grouge day eyz out. jes ax corch myers.

RxDawg

November 10th, 2009
9:39 am

toga, UGA has earned more right in this decade to belong on this blog than Bama. I know this is all knew to you and you aren’t sure how to act. It’s ok, you’ll get the hang of it pretty soon there chief.

It’s sad that the only good BSC bowl is the championship game. The rest are just weird match ups. I’d like to see them change up the runner up selection or something. They shouldn’t take turns selecting 1 team, they should take turns selecting 2 teams for a more appropriate matchup.

Brandon Spikes (and grouges)

November 10th, 2009
9:39 am

who carez about fanz in da stanz. mitchigun can hold over 100 tousand peoples buy day aint no goot. jes ax corch myers.

WTH

November 10th, 2009
9:40 am

OK, UGA wins, they have a bigger stadium and more fans. If the BCS was based on stadium size, UGA would be number 7. But alas, it is not based on stadium size.

Billy Ray Valentine

November 10th, 2009
9:41 am

you got a 10-2 Iowa team going to the Orange over a potentially undefeated Cincy team?

Where’s the medias “non-BCS darling” Boise State?

Why not take Cincy to the Orange bowl vs Tech
Florida vs TCU in the Sugar
and Boise vs USC in the Fiesta.

That would give Boise a chance to put up or shut up.
Cause if they do go 12-0 and go to the cotton bowl or the capitol one bowl, and win, then all you will hear is how they should have a shot at the national chamopionship because they were 13-0.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
9:41 am

AZ. Please tell me that you do realize NOT all UGA students get a ticket to every home game? There’s a lottery for about 10,000 per game. You do realize that??

Bama Aaron

November 10th, 2009
9:43 am

Great picks Tony. I’m amazed reading the posts on here how selective people’s memories are. Bama was leading that game last year going into the 4th qtr and only some great pinpoint passes by Tebow secured that game for them. I personally don’t think Tebow can do it 2yrs in a row and Bama will beat them by more than a TD. ROLL TIDE!

CharlotteGator

November 10th, 2009
9:44 am

JB,

In my humble opinion.

Offense:
QB – Clearly our biggest loss. Brantley is good, but you can’t come close to replacing Tebow right away. I hope I’m wrong, but good performances in the Spring or as a backup doesn’t mean we’ll still go through some growing pains. There’s no free lunch at the QB position in the SEC.
RB – largely unchanged here. This should be a position of strength.
OL – I think we’ll lose 3 starters w/ the Pouncey’s leaving. Line will be in flux for a bit, but we’ve built some good depth, so in time I think it can be good. Again thought, we’ll take our lumps.
WR – Losing Cooper is huge, but we get back C. Moore and A. Debose which I think should make up for Coop’s production. Similar to this year, this position is a total wildcard.
TE – Huge loss in Hernandez. Starting from scratch here with D. Parks having redshirted this year. Really wish we would have gotten O. Charles. He still owe’s us a crystal ball. :)

Defense:
DE – Losing Dunlap and Cunningham is huge. Really need some young guys to step up if we have any chance of being good. Some concern here.
DT – Lose some seniors, but they’ve been hurt all year anyway, so the depth we’re building now should keep this position at roughly the same level.
MLB – Losing Spikes and Stamper is gigantic. We’re going to find out how good the heralded J. Bostic really is. Similar to Brantley, we’re going to take our lumps at this position, but should improve with time as the kid is really talented.
OLB – We lose some players here, but this position has a ton of depth and talent so I think we’ll keep the same level here.
CB – I think we lose Haden but again would love to be wrong. Jenkins stays and will need to show up and improve on this year’s performance which has been average at best. We’ll need a young guy to step up here if Haden bolts.
S – Ton of depth here so even if we lose M. Wright, I think this position can hold and/or even get better.

Overall, the unknown with next year’s squad is very frightening, but somewhat exciting. I can see us going to UT early in the season and struggling (even losing), but getting better as the year goes on. Talent and coaching will be there, but there’s no substitute for experience and chemistry which the team will lack in key spots. I can see 8 wins happening but I could also see more. Next year will be a fun year for us Gator fans if we can just focus on enjoying it with no expectations. If for some crazy reasons expectations or abnormally high, then people might get sorely disappointed.

FactuAll

November 10th, 2009
9:45 am

re: Florida vs Bama.

Last year UF was a better team by eleven points. Tebow played as good of a 4th quarter as I’ve ever seen a QB play (then did an encore against Oklahoma).

I’m a Bama fan, but thought the 2008 Tide was a bit overrated. They were very fortunate with almost zero injuries, and a year when the SEC West was down.

Alabama is a much better team this year. Certainly the defense and special teams are better. The offense has struggled some in recent weeks, but I think they are better as well.

The question really is: is Florida better than last year? As long as No. 15 in in the field I wouldn’t bet against them, but I am leaning toward a Bama win.

godawgs

November 10th, 2009
9:46 am

Why Bama will win

The thing to note is defense wins in the SEC. Florida has a LOT of returning starters with mambo experience.

But I think Alabama will beat Florida because Florida is overrated. Their wins have not been convincing. Look for Mr. Heisman Ingram to play big for Alabama and run the ball well.

The team that runs best here will win. That’s going to be Bama.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
9:46 am

Tony. Good pick for BCS title game. As ususal, the Orange Bowl is once again the dud of the pack.

WTH

November 10th, 2009
9:46 am

Great post Charlotte Gator, it’s nice to see somebody with a reasonable assessment of their team.

Dacusville Slim

November 10th, 2009
9:46 am

Although I am a long suffering Tech fan living in Tiger Paw country(Klimpsin) I am afraid the Tigers gonna beat the Jackets for the Orange Bowl. Hope not but hard to beat same team twice in the same year.

AZ Jacket

November 10th, 2009
9:47 am

I am not sure why this blog is full of UGA fans anyway. I thought this was a discussion on BCS bowls. I don’t think I saw UGA mentioned in the article, which was very hard for Tony. Oh well, I guess UGA just wants to hang with the big boys. Since going from #1 last year to not being ranked this year it is difficult to handle. Look dawg fans you do have the past to bring up, while the Ala, Fla, TCU, BS, GT,and Texas are looking at now. It is reall funny that when you don’t have a good football team and really not sure that you will in the future, all you can do is talk about what you did in the past and how many fans you have. sic

AZ Jacket

November 10th, 2009
9:48 am

HBTD, Orange Bowl dud of the pack….mmmmm…bet UGA would love to be there.

AZ Jacket

November 10th, 2009
9:50 am

Dacusville Slim, have faith in CPJ. 2nd game of season is way in the past.

CPJ ain't goin anywhere anytime soon

November 10th, 2009
9:50 am

CPJ has publicly stated he made a promise to his daughter that she wouldn’t have to change high schools any more… So the soonest you goons should be talking about another school hiring him away is 2011. That being said, CPJ has also stated he is very happy at GT and he is just getting this thing going… Dream on, dawggies…

AZ Jacket

November 10th, 2009
9:51 am

HBTD, and those who don’t get a ticket in the lottery buy a ticket. you know that to be true. You did not dispute my redneck theory did you?

Georgia Yech

November 10th, 2009
9:52 am

You are right AZ Jacket!!! We are the big boys! The perennial powerhouse! We can’t be stopped! We are so awesome!….. Wait….. We got stomped in a bowl game last year. We haven’t sniffed a BCS bowl game in years. We could barely hold off Wake Forest, and Vandy (the worst team in the SEC) played with us for the majority of the game.

Long Time Listener, First Time Caller

November 10th, 2009
9:52 am

Whenever Tony gets outside his comfort zone (UGA, the SEC) he makes mistakes and exposes himself for the fraud he really is. If Iowa loses to Ohio State NO WAY is Iowa going to a BCS bowl over an undefeated Boise State. In no way does the Big 10 gets 2 teams in. My guess is that it will either be Tech or Clemson vs. TCU in the Orange (or USC with TCU in the Fiesta)vs. Bosie. (Cincy was in the Orange Bowl last year and would not be invited back this year, they (or Pitts are destined for the Sugar). Also not realizing that the Big East gets an automatic invite — classic Tony mistake. All this clown cares about is UGA and the beloved SEC yet he call himself Mr. College Football. If anyone is Mr. College Football its is ESPN’s Heirbstreet (even though he is a Ohio State homer).

In who do you believe is the real Mr. College Football.

hey dogtards, you're an idiot

November 10th, 2009
9:52 am

“Tired of stupid dawg fans”. You know nothing about football, or observation in general. Talking about UGA fans booing. I have never seen that. If you were at that Tech game last week against that basketball team you would have noticed Tech fans booing when they were down 14-0. And I don’t think it was even halftime yet!! I mean come on techies, I heard you booing on TV. You think that looks good to recruits, or anyone for that matter? You’re down by only two touchdowns and the booos start raining down. Talk about fairweather fans. Know your football you clown. But then again, you probably don’t care to be at the game because you are a newly found tech fan. I’m not worried about your likes, you will be gone soon, just like your program and will be back to irrelevancy. See every team gets its chance, and every team has a down year. Teh difference is, big programs bounce back. See Florida two years ago, LSU last year, Tenn these past few years, Miami these past few years, FSU will be there shortly. Sorry nerds, but Tech just doesn’t have the fan base and especially, doesn’t have the money or motivation from your AD to be a consistent powerhouse. Money is what’s important nerds, you should know that, and tech isn’t known for there alumni collections…I’m not even sure if they have a fund. As you probably don’t know, but will now…UGA’s athletic association is in the top 5 most profitable in the country. They will be back, just like the teams mentioned above, and the nerds will be back to mediocrity in an awful conference. Enjoy it while you can nerds.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
9:52 am

AZ. Sure the dawgs would love to be in the Orange bowl. Duh. I was simply noting that it’s the worst matchup of the pack, which it has been for the past several years. You’re not getting all defensive again just because tech is projected to play in that game are you??

Georgia Yech

November 10th, 2009
9:53 am

Coach Paul Gobbler doesn’t care about his daughter. He will make her switch schools again. He could careless about Georgia Tech, it’s just a stepping stone before he goes and brings his triple option elsewhere.

G8R GRAD

November 10th, 2009
9:55 am

Tony:

Assuming your picks play out, I can see the Gators losing the Sugar for the same reason(s) Bama did last year.

CharlotteGator

November 10th, 2009
9:57 am

Wow I need to proofread. Sorry about the typos grammar police.

Bammers – I was at the SECCG last year and will be there again in a few weeks. While I agree that Tebow’s performance was a huge part of the W, I don’t think you can discredit, the Gator D’s contribution. From what I remember/saw, they were just as physical as Bama’s. They got smashed in the 3rd quarter, but then responded in the 4th and put some hits on JPW, Coffee, and Ingram.

I expect another classic matchup this season. If Tebow isn’t protected forget it, half the stadium will be empty in the 4th. If McElroy gets pressured it could go the other way. In my opinion, the whole game will come down to pass protection. Both teams will get there’s on the ground (albiet in totally different ways), the special teams are roughly equal, so it will all come down to which QB is protected. I hope the Gators can pull it out, but it’s tough to see us protecting Tebow, if the zone blitzes from Vandy were blowing us up.

And I know I’m breaking from the company line, but Mr. Tebow really needs to improve by that game as well if we are to win. He’s had happy feet, is not seeing the field, and has been average with his decision making in my opinion. Receivers are running open, but the combo of no time to throw and how it contributes to bad decisions or lack of progressions/reads from Tebow has decimated our passing game.

oleballfan

November 10th, 2009
9:57 am

Why isn’t a 10-2 Oklahoma State an credible for the B12 representative in the Fiesta Bowl?

The Cowboys are as good as USCw. And, why do the Trojans get such preferential treatment?

KingGator

November 10th, 2009
9:58 am

yes, please pick against the Gators!! Love it when you tell us we “can’t” do something. You might pick Bama, but you know deep down who you’d put your $$ on, and it ain’t Bama!! Anybody that bets against Tebow in his senior season would be a fool!!

Go Gators!!

Bubber

November 10th, 2009
9:59 am

1. Tech sux!
2. Bammer sux!
3. Florida sux!
4. Rocky top sux!

Did I leave anyone out?

Oh, yeah!

5. Auburn sux! Sorry cousins.

Woof!!!

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
10:00 am

AZ. I’m sure that some of the students that do not get a ticket in the lottery end up buying one off the street, but my guess is that would represent a very small group. College students generally do not have $60 extra bucks to fork out for a ticket.

Denver Dog

November 10th, 2009
10:00 am

Glad that the Techies have something to cheer about this year. I hope they figure out it is better to cheer for thier own team than to run down some other ones. I congratulate them on a great season and hope that they win out until the Sat after Thanksgiving, and then win out from there.

I see it like this UF in the championship game to play Tex.

The rest are meaningless as the BCS has made it only a 2 team chase.

As usual, Charlotte Gator has a perspective. The only other questions that I have are: Which coaches will you lose too! I say that Strong goes somewhere as a HC this year? Maybe SC.

The next question I’d like to think about is who goes to ND? Will it be a Saban, Mayer type, or will they go after Cincy coach?

Jackets have done a great job this year; Gators have done one heck of a job too! Those right now are the best good stories in football.