Projecting the BCS bowls

 

 

We’re getting down to crunch time, so let’s a take minute to project the five BCS bowls and explain why the matchups will occur.

Just remember that the two bowls that lose their designated conference champs to the BCS title game go to the head of the line when it comes time to pick. The bowl that loses the No. 1 team picks first. The bowl that loses the No. 2 team picks second.

Then remaining conference champs are placed in their designated bowls: Big Ten/Pac-10 to Rose; Big 12 to Fiesta, SEC to Sugar, ACC to Orange.

Then the remaining slots in the games are filled with this order of selection: Orange, Fiesta, Sugar.

So here we go. If you disagree, please tell me why,.

 

 

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP, Jan. 7, 2010

Matchup: Alabama vs. Texas

How it happened: Florida and Alabama are locked into the SEC championship game on Dec. 5. They could be ranked 1-2. As was the case a year ago, the winner goes to the big game.  With Baylor, Kansas and Texas A&M left, Texas should cruise to the Big 12 championship game and roll over the North Division champ.

 

ORANGE BOWL, Jan. 5, 2010

Matchup: Georgia Tech vs. Iowa

How it happened: Georgia Tech beats Duke on Saturday to clinch the ACC Coastal championship and then wins a rematch with Clemson in the ACC title game. After the automatic slots are filled in the BCS, the Orange Bowl will get the first pick. It will take Iowa at 10-2 because those Hawkeyes love to travel South in the winter.

 

FIESTA BOWL, Jan. 4, 2010

Matchup: USC vs. TCU

How it happened: Because it lost Big 12 champ Texas, the No. 2 team, to the national championship game, the Fiesta gets its pick of teams after the Sugar. Since there is no suitable replacement from the Big 12, the Fiesta takes USC, which will be 10-2 and ranked in the Top 10 if it wins its final three games with Stanford, UCLA, and Arizona. After the Orange takes Iowa, the Fiesta’s choices will be down to Cincinnati, TCU, Boise State or another two-loss conference runner-up. It will take TCU, which could be ranked as high as No. 3.

 

SUGAR BOWL, Jan. 1, 2010

Matchup: Florida vs. Cincinnati

How it happened: Because the Sugar’s designated champion (SEC) was ranked No. 1, the Sugar gets first pick among all the bowls after the BCS title game. The Sugar fills with Florida, the SEC runner-up. The Sugar will then pick last in the second rotation and will be left with Cincinnati, which gets an automatic bid as the Big East champ. 

 

ROSE BOWL, Jan. 1, 2010

Matchup: Ohio State vs. Oregon

How it happened: Ohio State (8-2) beats Iowa this week and Michigan next week to win the Big Ten championship. Oregon (7-2), which has only one loss in the Pac-10, recovers from its loss to Stanford and beats Arizona State, Arizona, and Oregon State to win the conference.

 

 

 

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621 comments Add your comment

Eric Dawg

November 10th, 2009
4:22 pm

UGA can only defeat high school teams. GT is a high school team. Therefore UGA defeats GT Saturday after Thanksgiving.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
4:23 pm

Yeah. A projected 9 – 4 is not what we’re used to, but it is a rebuilding year. Still, the future looks very bright for the dawgs. Not sure if you noticed but the first 4 TDs last weekend against TT were scored by true freshman.

Truth?

November 10th, 2009
4:23 pm

The real truth is Truth – even if Florida didn’t get those calls you are talking about and even if they “suck” like you say they still destroyed Georgia 41-17 and you can’t take that away. Now that is the truth. 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17 41-17

Nesbitt sold me blow

November 10th, 2009
4:23 pm

Mark Wrecked… still in his 1st year of Georgia Tech fandom. All these years of being 2nd best, he doesn’t know how to handle what’s happening to his Jackets right now.

It’s funny how Tech fans bring up all this talk about bowl games…. Look at Tech’s bowl record as of lately. Terrible.

Burdell

November 10th, 2009
4:26 pm

Hey Cokehead—

How about our coach vs. your coach….CPJ 1 -CMR 0.

Can’t wait until the 28th….bulldongs.

Burdell

November 10th, 2009
4:26 pm

HBTD…like you said….TT.

Marc

November 10th, 2009
4:29 pm

McElroy will not beat Florida. To beat the Gators a team will need studs at QB, WR and/or RB and a solid offensive line. With Florida’s corners, they can load the box to stop the run or blitz and allow Will Hill to play deep like Reggie Nelson. Jones might catch a few balls like he did last year, but he won’t break a big play like he did against LSU. When Peterson was out of the game no less.

TT is a D1AA school, just a reminder.

November 10th, 2009
4:29 pm

Wow, 4 Touchdowns by freshmen against powerhouse Tennessee Tech, yeah the future looks bright after that game. Florida, Tennessee, and South Carolina are no Tennessee Tech.

BuzztheKiller

November 10th, 2009
4:30 pm

Once again, for the slow reader UGA fans (or is that the same thing?), this blog is to discuss possible BCS matchups- nothing that relates to your team this year. Please move on to Big Bill’s Blawg and share a cry….you are dismissed.

wheelz007

November 10th, 2009
4:30 pm

The reason there is only 3 ranked teams from the SEC is simple-
Florida and Alabama are unbeaten, and so far, LSU’s only losses have come from those 2.

That means everyone has lost to some combination of the above 3 teams, plus a loss here and there to other SEC teams.

At this point, there is no clear cut #4 team in the SEC. There’s a lot of balance within the rest of the league.

Auburn, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Arky, and South Carolina have looked good some weeks, and not so good in others. Heck, even Miss State and Kentucky aren’t push-overs.

BuzztheKiller

November 10th, 2009
4:33 pm

Wow- what a fall when a UGA fan is actually bragging about who scored touchdowns against Tenn Tech….seems like just last year you were #1 preseason. Oh, it was last year, sorry.

BuzztheKiller

November 10th, 2009
4:34 pm

At least you beat Tenn and Tech in the same year….

wheelz007

November 10th, 2009
4:35 pm

That is why the SEC is known as the best conference. From top to bottom the league is strong. Every week is another quality opponent to play.

The SEC will probably send 10 teams to bowl games, and we’ll win most of them (at least 6 or 7).

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
4:35 pm

That’s the plan!

GHSA

November 10th, 2009
4:39 pm

I bet the top ranked high school team in Georgia AAAAA Lowndes in Valdosta could beat Tennessee Tech, maybe the Dawgs too.

Bryan (required)

November 10th, 2009
4:53 pm

All of your picks are spot on with mine Tony except for the title game. Alabama and Florida have both underachieved this year (granted both undefeated) but nothing I have seen this year would lead me to believe they can beat Tim Tebow this year. Percy Harvin sat out last year and they couldn’t do it then, are they any better now?

Slick

November 10th, 2009
4:57 pm

I guarantee all of Tony’s predictions will be wrong. He’s rarely right.

Tennessee's kicker kicks low

November 10th, 2009
4:58 pm

Florida’s kicker, Caleb Sturgis, can get the ball high in the air so there will be no blocked kicks by Fat Cody.

Nesbitt sold me blow

November 10th, 2009
4:58 pm

Too bad Lowndes isn’t the top ranked high school team… it’s grayson. nice try though.

Eric Dawg

November 10th, 2009
5:02 pm

To GHSA, You are right and that includes GT, a hihg school team.

Eric Dawg

November 10th, 2009
5:04 pm

GT will be the Champion of ACC ( Association of Cup Cakes)

delusional

November 10th, 2009
5:07 pm

I’m calling baloney, Tech beats Duke, but the DAWGS win out and Clemson defeats an overmatched GT squad on a neutral field, placing Clemson in the Orange and Tech on the outside of the BCS. Don’t believe it, just remember you heard it here first. GO DAWGS!

southridgegator

November 10th, 2009
5:18 pm

Tony, get a real job!

fieldofdreams

November 10th, 2009
5:19 pm

Here’s what’s going to happen: Texas and Boise run tables. TCU loses to Utah. AU beats Bama, which beats UF. GT irrelevant. Cincinnati loses to either WVU or Pitt. Voila: Texas v. Boise for The Big One. SEC pays cosmic debt for manipulating outcome of so many games. Get a grip, SEC: may the best team (really) win.

pmac

November 10th, 2009
5:30 pm

WTH

November 10th, 2009
5:36 pm

hbtd,

Did you really brag about who scored 4 TD’s against UGA? Wow

WTH

November 10th, 2009
5:37 pm

hbtd,

Sorry about that, I was still laughing from reading your post bragging about your freshman scoring 4 TD’s against TT, not UGA.

WTH

November 10th, 2009
5:39 pm

delusional,

That’s the first appropriate and accurate screen name for a Dawg fan that I seen.

DawgRie

November 10th, 2009
5:55 pm

I thought the BCS Bowl games (excluding Rose Bowl) had title sponsors that paid millions of dollars to have their name attached. If the media doesn’t recognize legal contracts and support this wishes of the bowls, we may lose sponsors and ticket prices will go up.

Starring Peter Graves as Capt. Clarence Over

November 10th, 2009
6:03 pm

Eric Dawg: If Ga Tech is a high school team, then UGA must be a junior high school team after losing to them last year.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
6:09 pm

WIH. “Bragging”???? Nah. I’ll leave that kind of stuff to you guys. Try again.

jason

November 10th, 2009
6:35 pm

I think UF and or UA would be a toss up for the MNC. Either way, one of those two will have the MNC Trophy when all is said and done.

Wm. Powell

November 10th, 2009
6:43 pm

Call me crazy, but if Clemson meets Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship, I think Clemson will win the re-match.

Tide4u2c

November 10th, 2009
6:48 pm

Until somebody beats the Gators they are the team to beat now having said that.After reading through I see Gator and other fans overlook alot.First off Florida’s offense has struggled this year just like Bama’s so don’t act like Florida has played lights out like last year.

Also Alabama has played better teams than Florida has Bama has beat 4 ranked teams while Florida has beat 1 which is why their stats may look alittle better than Bama’s stats.Bama has been tested in tough games more times than Florida has.

We all knew going into this season Florida had an easy schedule but now verybody overlooks that and eventhough they’ve had an easier schedule they have not blown out teams like they did last year and have struggled on offense to beat them easier teams they have played.

I can’t help but wonder after seeing Florida’s offense struggle with a easier schedule how Florida will do when they play Alabama and finally really be tested by a tested team who has beat more ranked teams than Florida has. I guess we’ll see

The Ole Ball Coach

November 10th, 2009
6:51 pm

When UGA kicks yechs rear this year these nerds will be crying

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
6:52 pm

Good call Powell. Clemson’s the most well balanced team in the ACC this season. Solid offense with good balance of pass and run; very strong defensive front (although I think their star DT is out. Not sure for how long). Overall defensive team speed reminds me of an SEC defense.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
6:55 pm

Tide4. I like Bama in a matchup with the Gators. I don’t see Florida offense moving much on Bama’s defense. Conversely, I think Bama will be able to run the ball and control clock. As always, turnovers will be key, but I see bama in 17 – 10 kind of affair.

What

November 10th, 2009
6:58 pm

So, does ND get in the bcs because SC is? Why is SC in the running for anything? LSU keeps moving up after losses. It all makes no sense

Tide4u2c

November 10th, 2009
7:10 pm

Alabama has never really had a top ranked QB(eventhough Bama is the only college team that has had 3 different QB’s go onto the NFL to win superbowls- Bart Starr,Joe Namath and Kenny Stabler)and Bama has never had a heisman trophie winner(maybe Ingram can change that) and yet Alabama has 12 national championships.

Tide Rising

November 10th, 2009
7:24 pm

Florida vs Alabama

I see a lot of posts saying the defenses cancel each other out and that the difference is then Tebow vs McElroy. And without a doubt everybody says take Tebow. You don’t want to bet against Tebow. I would agree with that. Can’t argue against that logic.

On the other hand while we give the edge to Tebow over McElroy people forget that we have Mark Ingram. Florida has several good backs but no Mark Ingram. Edge right back to bama to even it out again. And on that note I will make one prediction with confidence. I don’t think anyone, not even Florida, can completely shut down our running game when we commit to the run. Ingram will get over 100 yds. And if he doesn’t then obviously we lose.

Both have great defenses. Florida is no. 1 while Bama is 4th. However, Bama has played a tougher in conference schedule and also picked up VT nonconference so the stats are a little distorted in Florida’s favor in that regard. Still both defenses are great and as some other posters have noted I think they just cancel each other out.

I give Florida the edge in punting and intangibles. Hard to argue with success and I would probably make them anywhere from a 4 to 7 pt favorite. As long as they are the defending champions you have to give them the respect and credit they deserve until you can actually beat them instead of just talking about beating them.

Ivan Maisel

November 10th, 2009
7:29 pm

“And let’s face it, Nick Saban’s brand of football does not dazzle, unless you get a charge out of seeing opposing offenses expire from asphyxiation.” Ivan Maisel

SC Rules!!!

November 10th, 2009
7:37 pm

OK SEC homers, I’M surprised none of y’all have stepped up to claim a match-up with us? SC is clearly NOT as dominant as in recent past; here’s your chance to get a piece of us, yet no takers come bowl time. Clearly all the chest thumping over the past couple of years has to be mean something. Where’s the bravado? Where’s the “SEC is the greatest this & that” Where’s the short hairs to say “Pete we want to play y’all in the Sugar/Fiesta bowl” Where are you??? All I heard last year was how we ducked UGA in the Rose Bowl vs. Illinois; well we’re not hiding in the shadows, when the SEC/Sugar Bowl has their turn to pick, we’ll be waiting for the phone to ring. I’m sure the silence will be deafening! Fight On!!

Abilene

November 10th, 2009
7:38 pm

But UGA is not going to a BCS bowl, maybe no bowl at all.

Richt has to go. Say it: “Richt has to go.”

Write it on the blackboard 1000 times: “Richt has to go.”

Getting tired of all the BCS bowl talk when UGA likely won’t even qualify for ANY bowl.

Richt has to go.

joe

November 10th, 2009
7:39 pm

a few comments

1st IF Clemson and GT both make it to the ACCCG, I think it will be a more entertaining game than the SEC championship game.

2nd Atlanta fan… Both GT and UGA have been placed on Probation within the last 5 years. Clemson has not.

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=2227377

http://www2.ncaa.org/wps/ncaa?key=/ncaa/NCAA/Media+and+Events/Press+Room/News+Release+Archive/2004/Infractions/University+of+Georgia+Placed+On+Probation+for+Violations+in+Mens+Basketball

3rd all of this is a moot argument.

Abilene

November 10th, 2009
7:39 pm

Florida over Texas for the championship, 35-27.

joe

November 10th, 2009
7:40 pm

uhh SC Rules? In these here parts that refers to South Carolina… and the only rule they have is losing.

we are smart enough in these parts to refer to USC as Southern Cal.

HBTD

November 10th, 2009
7:44 pm

SC. I think any SEC team would love the matchup with SC. SC is one of the premier programs in the country with great tradition. There’s also something about the mystique of SC. The problem is that the BCS and bowl ties ends always seem to preclude an SEC SC matchup. I know a couple of years ago, I was really hoping for an UGA SC matchup in the Rose Bowl, but Rose Bowl would not budge from their Big 10 tie in and I think sent Illinois out to play SC in what I thought was a meaningless game. We ended up in the Sugar playing a meaningless game against Hawaii. Under the current scenario, it seems the only matchup possible between and SEC and SC team would be in the BCS championship game.

Marie the Dawg Girl

November 10th, 2009
7:46 pm

Eric Dawg, stop running down Tech and get with the program. Keep focused on screaming for Richt to be sacked. Running down Tech isn’t going to make UGA any better, but getting rid of Richt will.

The only way for UGA to be back in the SEC championship and BCS bowls is to get a winning coach. And that’s not Mark Richt. It’s not Paul Johnson either. No way our players are smart enough to run those complicated option plays.

Terri in Valdosta

November 10th, 2009
7:48 pm

I think Texas will beat Alabama by a score of 24-17 in the big game. Just a guess.

SC Rules!!!

November 10th, 2009
7:55 pm

joe,

Ever heard the phrase: “We are SC!”?? SC is the school/team; Southern Cal is where we live. (SoCal)

HBTD,

I couldn’t AGREE more, the matchups that year were STUPID! An UGA vs. SC Rose or Sugar would have been bigger than the NC game, which in hind sight is probably WHY that didn’t happen. Here’s hoping they get it right this time! Fight On!!