Gators roll over Dawgs to stay at No. 1

I went 7-3 last week because I picked Arkansas to beat Ole Miss, Miami to beat Clemson, and Boston College to upset Notre Dame. Still, your humble scribe is 59-21 for the season. So let’s close out the month of October with the Fearless Friday Forecast.

 

 

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Florida is 7-0, ranked No. 1, but has a ton of questions about its offense. Tim Tebow is getting frustrated and last week against Mississippi State tried to make plays that simply weren’t there. But the Gators are due for a breakout game on offense and the defense will get LB Brandon Spikes back. Georgia has had a week off but it won’t be enough. Florida 27, Georgia 6.

 

2. Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt: Georgia Tech has won five straight and now has a chance to at least get into the BCS discussion if the Jackets can run the table and win the ACC championship game. When you’re 11th in the BCS, style points matter. Vanderbilt has a pretty good defense but it is hard to get ready for the Georgia Tech offense right in the middle of a rugged SEC schedule. Georgia Tech 35, Vanderbilt 10.

 

3. Ole Miss at Auburn: After stumbling against two good defenses from South Carolina and Alabama, Ole Miss is suddenly looking like a team that is capable of running the table. Dexter McCluster had 260 total yards on 29 touches in a win over Arkansas. Auburn (5-3) is struggling on offense after a 5-0 start. If QB Chris Todd, who has less than 100 yards passing in this last two games, doesn’t bounce back this one could get ugly. Ole Miss 31, Auburn 17.

 

4. South Carolina at Tennessee: Tennessee lost a very tough game at Alabama (12-10) last Saturday but showed some signs that things are heading in the right direction under Lane Kiffin. Quarterback Jonathan Crompton has completed 41 of 63 passes (65 percent) in his last two games. Montario Hardesty is becoming one of the best running backs in the country. This will be a very good game because the South Carolina defense is so good. But I’m giving the edge to the Vols at home. Tennessee 17, South Carolina 14.

 

5. Mississippi State at Kentucky: Head coach Rich Brooks and offensive coordinator Joker Phillips have done a masterful job since quarterback Mike Hartline was lost to an injury. The Wildcats now have a three-headed quarterback in Will Fiedler, freshman Morgan Newton, and versatile wide receiver Randall Cobb. Kentucky has scored 24 touchdowns his season and Cobb has nine of them. This kid is good. The Wildcats (4-3) are really beat up but I believe they get one step closer to their fourth straight Bowl.  Kentucky 24, Miss. State 17.

 

6. Duke at Virginia: Duke (4-3) needs two wins in its final five games to qualify for its first bowl since 1994. The Blue Devils are 2-1 in the ACC thanks in large part to quarterback Thaddeus Lewis, the ACC’s No. 2 passer (1,972 yards, 14 TD), who had 371 yards last week against Maryland. Virginia, also 2-1 in the ACC, is trying to bounce back from a pretty good beat down by Georgia Tech. Let’s go with Duke in a mild upset. Duke 24, Virginia 23.

 

7. N.C. State at Florida State: Is anybody playing better than Florida State quarterback Christian Ponder? Ponder had one of the better games ever by a Florida State quarterback last week when he completed 33 of 40 passes for 395 yards in a 30-27 come from behind win at North Carolina. The Seminoles trailed 24-6 and Ponder had three touchdown passes in the second half. N.C. State has struggled on defense and will have a tough time handling Ponder. Florida State 42, N.C. State 17.

 

8. Texas at Oklahoma State: Texas has won 11 straight against Oklahoma State and four times since 2003 has had to rally from significant halftime deficits to win. After struggling on offense most of the season, the Longhorns and Colt McCoy looked pretty impressive last week in a 41-7 win over Missouri. Oklahoma State (6-1) will put up a good fight but Texas looks like a team ready to win out and play in the BCS championship game. Texas 31, Oklahoma State 21.

 

9. Kansas at Texas Tech: This is not the best time to play Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were embarrassed at home by Texas A&M 52-30 last week. Red Raiders coach Mike Leach not only ripped his players, but he insulted their girl friends (I’ll let you look it up). Kansas, you should know, is 1-10 all-time against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are having some quarterback issues but they should still win at home. Texas Tech 31, Kansas 28.

 

10. Southern California at Oregon: After Oregon lost the opener to Boise State, which included the infamous LeGarrette Blount punch, the program looked like it was in trouble. But first-year coach Chip Kelly stayed the course and right now the No. 10 Ducks (6-1) are playing as well anybody. Southern Cal (6-1) is No. 5 so this is basically a BCS elimination game. USC coach Pete Carroll, who always has his teams ready for the big games, is 4-3 against Oregon. Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play. On Halloween night it will be even more so. Oregon 24, USC 20.

 

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485 comments Add your comment

how2fish

October 30th, 2009
11:23 pm

It’s never UGA’s fault they lose its always the refs! UGA 2010 natl champs!

Charleston Dawg

October 30th, 2009
11:36 pm

A win for UGA is a long shot but could happen. Doubtful but maybe. We just aren’t coached up and have too many issues with the run game, qb, and secondary. Just those 3 smell like a loss. Hopeful but being realistic. But…it’s always good to be a Georgia Bulldog. GO DAWGS!!!

CatsFly

October 30th, 2009
11:45 pm

Who will be ranked higher at beginning of next year, UGa or UNC. UNC has an elite defense this year, two deep everywhere, and they are all coming back. They will have a 4-year starter at QB, and there incoming offensive linemen are among the nation’s best.

Matter of fact, I would like to see UNC vs UGa in a bowl game this year. What’ya think?

tt

October 30th, 2009
11:52 pm

Pass the butter…………

tennessee tom

October 31st, 2009
5:02 am

these ga fans ,need to keep kicking the can past the grave yard,4th in the east is as good as it gets,humble pie is all you get for halloween

43 Dawg

October 31st, 2009
6:14 am

Georgia owns Florida. Yes, it is true. Check the records: 46-38-2 UGA. Also, the most lopsided score was 75-0 UGA (November 7, 1942). So there you have it!

jerry

October 31st, 2009
6:59 am

JUMBEAUXTIGER: USC certainly does have a knack for winning big games. Since 2001 Pete Carroll is 32-5 vs. teams ranked in the top 25, a winning percentage of 86%, which I believe is a higher winning percentage than Richt has in all games.

GR82BAG8R

October 31st, 2009
7:15 am

Actually, Coach 0, Dodd’s complaints about other SEC schools recruiting practices was they would wait until after signing day to cut the players that they had signed a scholarship. That way they were prevented from signing with other schools. Dodd felt that once you signed a player to a grant in aid scholarship you had an obligation to him. Other schools did not. This was one of several issues that drove Dodd to leave the SEC. Look at his record. He was able to compete in the SEC. He just grew to dislike the mindset.

GR82BAG8R

October 31st, 2009
7:20 am

43 Dog, it would be more accurate to say “Georgia OWNED Florida”, since the bulk of Georgia’s victories were many years ago. It would be more accurate to say that for the recent past – - and more importantly foreseeable future – - that Florida OWNS Georgia. It is ok to acknowledge and respect past accomplishments, but to revel in them too much shows you have no hope for a future.

Pit Bull

October 31st, 2009
8:07 am

Hello Gator fans, in the past (check the records), Dawgs always took away the Gators candy at the most cruical times. Sorry Gators, you’re nat. championships hopes are going out the window! It is writtten!

Pit Bull

October 31st, 2009
8:22 am

To the idiot that says said Richt wants out at Ga. Ga has one of the top recruiting areas in the country.(top 5). Much better than Fla State. The only reason Fla state had good teams is because Ga and Fla were weak (GA because of it’s Coaches) so Bowden raided Ga as well as Tenn. Richt has tried to close the boarders but now Tenn, Bama and SC and Tech are starting to hit Ga. hard. If Richt doesn’t do something about Martineze and the inferior Coaching staff the whole program could take a serious set back that would be VERY hard to overcome. Richt must get tuff. At Fla. State, he would be a complete failure. Fla State can’t recruit any more being in the girly basketball conference, the ACC.

Slap That DAWG

October 31st, 2009
8:35 am

UGA’s toast … excuse me so I can have mine.

Fleischman in Chi Town's bed

October 31st, 2009
8:38 am

This time tomorrow the mutts will be WHINING & CRYING about Willie Martinez and how the refs screwed them over.

“Take your medicine son”

Alabama Jack

October 31st, 2009
8:44 am

I know it would help Tech iF the dawgs won, but I J-U-S-T C-A-N N-O-T R-O-O-T F-O-R D-A-W-G-S.

GO GATORS. KICK BUTT, BIIIIIG TIME.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
9:10 am

Delbert D.

October 30th, 2009
9:08 pm
“Coach O” – You go right on believing whatever works for you. A scholarship is offered, accepted, and after team activities have begun, the “Grant-in-Aid”, as they were called was reneged. That’s a hell of a way to operate as an academic institution.

And you go on believing that college football is primarily about providing academic scholarships to deserving young men. Dodd had a great record in the SEC, but Dodd wasn’t the HC anymore when he decided to get out of the SEC — he was the AD. The kids who went through tryouts understood full well that all of them wouldn’t make the cut. Just because they couldn’t jump to another team that same year doesn’t mean that they couldn’t play. We still have the same situation in college football, but we call it ‘grey-shirting’ now. Freshmen weren’t even allowed to play in those days anyway.

Dodd quarterbacked for Gen Neyland. You are never going to convince me that he was some kind of ‘touchy-feely’ sensitive guy. He was a hard-nosed, hard-a$$ed football coach. That’s how he managed to win in the SEC. He saw the writing on the wall. Tech wasn’t at the top of the heap anymore, so he abandoned the heap. Can’t say I blame him, but there’s no point in resorting to revisionist history to explain what happened. I remember what happened — I didn’t read about it in a book.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
9:21 am

GR82BAG8R,

I assume that it is your contention that Coach Dodd NEVER cut a players scholarship, because he had an “obligation” to make sure the kid graduated once he signed them — no matter how useless they might be to his football team?

Give me a break…

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
9:40 am

Maybe it’s wishful thinking but in the past Coach Richts teams have gotten better as the season progresses and although it was only Vanderbilt I saw some improvement on both sides of the ball. By the way some of you sportwriters had Vandy beating the Dawgs. The Gators have shown all season they are not the powerhouse of last year and with a few breaks here and there the Dawgs could pull out a huge upset.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
9:47 am

I’m curious to see if Florida feels the need to open up their offense in order to beat the Dawgs in this game. Alabama and Florida have both been sand-bagging on offense since they entered conference play. Both coaches know that this season doesn’t mean squat unless they meet in the Georgia Dome in December. An ordinary football team can’t afford to engage in these kinds of shenanigans, but Florida and Alabama aren’t ordinary teams this year. They are both members of a small, elite group of football squads that are head and shoulders above the vast majority of their competition. They’re both coaching for the playoff game.

Why would they do this? Two reasons. You don’t want to give your opponent game film of your best offense and allow the opposing defense to nail down your every tendency and find every chink in your armor. SEC defenses are just too good for that. The second reason is that you don’t want to risk getting your play-makers hurt before you get to the Big Game.

Traditional rivalry games are the fly in the ointment of such a strategy. You never know, in one of these games, if the opposing team is going to come out and play over their heads. It happens. That’s why there is so much excitement about these games. Look at how well Tennessee played against Alabama. Think about the 2007 Alabama vs. Tennessee game. The same 6 & 6 Bama squad that lost to LA Tech pounded a good Tennessee team with five of their key players on the bench due to a last minute suspension.

Florida has a decision to make in this game and Alabama faces the same decision next week when they face LSU. Can they continue to get away with doing just enough to win — or do they have to lay it all on the line? It will be interesting to see.

Pit Bull

October 31st, 2009
9:51 am

Coach O, you’re full of yourself. Go relax and have a beer!

GR82BAG8R

October 31st, 2009
9:55 am

Coach 0, I gave you the truth. Dodd never cut a player on scholarship without cause, unlike others in the league who were keeping players on scholarship to prevent others from signing them, then cutting them after signing day. If you want to revise history go ahead. Dodd was successful in the SEC. His records prove it. He had a personal feud with Bear Bryant over Bryant’s players lack of discipline. That, combined with Tech always having to share revenue from bowl games with the rest of the SEC, led him to leave the SEC.

Born2Buzz

October 31st, 2009
10:10 am

First off, why does anyone address Tony on their posts. Tony doesn’t read any of the posts. He writes his column and never looks again, as though he is still writing a newspaper article.
Second, Tony likes to spout his record as a predictor, without ever taking into account point spreads. Not to hard to just pick winners and losers, and he still has trouble doing that sometimes.

Now, on the games, I am really pulling for the Bulldogs. If they beat UF it will make our game the end of November that much more important. Unfortunately UGA’s D just looks too pourous. Come on Dogs, channel some old Erk passion and hunker down.

Jackets roll over Vandy. Will be interesting to see how GT & UF fare against the same opponent on successive weekends.

What in UT’s games so far makes anyone think they are capable of scoring enought points to win against a decent D. SC and the Ole Ball Coach send Lane into another excuse rant.

The only other games of interest on the schedule are UT & Okie St and USC & Oregon. I think UT beats OSU but since it’s in Stillwater it’s going to be close. Would love to see that upset.
And if Oregon beats USC will Boise move up in the BCS since they are the only ones to beat the Ducks.

It would be nice if Tony would actually engage in a discourse with fans about college football, but he probably would get tired of the juvenile rantings of folks like Yellow Fuzz and RogerDawg and just do what he does now, post and forget it.

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
10:12 am

Coach O you got to be kidding to say the Gators and Tide were sandbagging plays for future games. They both have almost and should been beat more than once this season. Alabama has a good defense but NO offense and the Gators are just not as good as last year, maybe better than the rest of the SEC but there are several teams in the Nation that could beat the both of them easily.

Orlg8r

October 31st, 2009
10:43 am

It’s a beautiful day for a little pound puppy blood letting, down here in central FL. Ya’ll are welcome to come down to stay for a little (very little) while. I was thinking that perhaps you should keep that all time favorite Ga hero Michael Vicks’ cell phone number on speed dial. I’m thinking there’s going to be a lot of miserable dawgs looking for a quick way to end it all, starting sometime just after kick off.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
10:46 am

GR82BAG8R,

Don’t pretend that I don’t know what you’re talking about. Dodd’s so-called feud with Bryant was all about Coach Bryant refusing to kick one of his players off of his team for hitting a Tech player who quit on a play before it was over. It’s always sad to see a football player get hurt, but it IS, after all, a contact sport.

Dodd’s contention was that he could divine the “evil” intentions of the Bama player from watching the game film. He argued that the kid should lose his scholarship because he “intended to hurt” the Tech player. Guess what? Every guy on the gridiron “intends to hurt” the other player when they hit them. Dodd should have taught his players that they don’t quit on a punt coverage play just because a fair catch is signaled.

Here’s an old SI article that discusses the debate over whether SEC football should be played for fun or for winning the game:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/magazine/MAG1147916/1/index.htm

There certainly was debate at the time. It was primarily the losing teams that didn’t like the hard-nosed, aggressive attitude that Bear Bryant brought to the SEC game. But that attitude is exactly what made the SEC the dominant football conference in the nation. You may not like it on a philosophical level, but you can’t deny that Florida and Alabama are at No. 1 and No. 2 right now because they are carrying on that smash-mouth, domineering tradition.

Bobby Dodd may have grown soft in his retirement from coaching, but he used the very same methods to rack up wins in the SEC when he was the Head Coach. He learned these methods from Coach Neyland when he played for him at Tennessee.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
10:48 am

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
10:12 am
Coach O you got to be kidding to say the Gators and Tide were sandbagging plays for future games. They both have almost and should been beat more than once this season. Alabama has a good defense but NO offense and the Gators are just not as good as last year, maybe better than the rest of the SEC but there are several teams in the Nation that could beat the both of them easily.

Maybe so. But Georgia ain’t one of them. Why is that?

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
11:02 am

Strang things have happened in the Gator Bowl. Do you know why Steve Spurrier hates Georgia so bad? They beat his Gator team (when he was the Quarterback) who were heavily favored and knocked them out of the National Spotlight and he Hasn’t gotten over it. Like I say strange things happen in the Gator Bowl and it’s Halloween.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
11:04 am

Born2Buzz,

Tony don’t owe you squat. Picking winners is just a fun pastime. Picking point spreads is a fool’s game for gamblers. It has nothing to do with football. It has everything to do with separating a dummy from his hard-earned money.

The only Georgia game that Tech needs to worry about is the one they play in Atlanta on November 28. You guys had better just think about Vandy today. They may be the worst team in the SEC, but that don’t mean they’ll just lay down for Tech.

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
11:06 am

Papa Dawg,

That much is true. Best of luck to you and the Dawgs. It should be a helluva game.

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
11:17 am

Hey Tony B have you lost your courage picking the Gators to score only 26. I wonder if Wonder Boy will still be in the game in the fourth quarter if the Gators are running away with it. We know how Coach whats his name likes to run up scores especially against the Dawgs

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
11:19 am

My predictions FWIW:

Arkansas wins
Ole Miss wins
LSU wins
Kentucky wins
Florida wins
South Carolina wins
Georgia Tech wins

I don’t have a crystal ball. These are best guesses based on what I’ve seen so far this season. That said, on any given Saturday…

dad gum

October 31st, 2009
11:27 am

this will make you all feel better I promise, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E8GuH9oDHrU

UGA ALL THE WAY

October 31st, 2009
11:28 am

I definitley agree Mikey…. Tony?????? You honestly think UGA’s GREEN isnt gonna score a SINGLE TD???? LOL, C’mon….. if they have to A.J. will line up at QB and throw a TD to himself

Pago Flyer

October 31st, 2009
11:37 am

Didn’t Mark May and Lou Holtz last night say FL will get 50 points today!

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
11:46 am

UGA ALL THE WAY,

That’s exactly what Brett Favre did in his first play for the Packers. ;-)

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
11:47 am

Well, it wasn’t a TD. But he did complete a pass to himself.

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
11:52 am

DOWN YEAR All teams have them. You have to Man Up, accept them and load up for the future. At least we haven’t gone thru what Big Bad Nortre Dame went thru a couple of seasons ago

Coach O

October 31st, 2009
11:52 am

dad gum,

Unfortunately, the ratio at Tech isn’t ‘golden’.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLAvhE4a_hI&feature=related

UGA ALL THE WAY

October 31st, 2009
12:13 pm

LOL, Coach O. Im a fanatic UGA fan, granted they havent had a yr worth bein to fanatic about but… i honestly believe just cuz of the HYPE of this game that it will be either a GREAT game or a TERRIBLE. no in between…

Brock

October 31st, 2009
1:01 pm

HBTD- this is actually a college football blog. I know you GA fans think you invented college football but really….get over yourselves.

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
1:11 pm

Hey Brock, last time I checked GA. is a College Football Team so if you don’t want to read about a certain team then DON”T

Brock

October 31st, 2009
1:15 pm

Papa Dawg. Until you can read stop talking. HBTD claimed this was a bulldog blog. But thanks for caring.

Delbert D.

October 31st, 2009
1:21 pm

GR82BAG8R – Thanks for your additional input on the SEC scholarship issue.

“Coach O” – I didn’t read it in a magazine. Where were you in 1964?

It must have really been peeved when when CMR still guaranteed the scholarship to the Benedict kid in Florida who recently had his knee ruined with ACL, MCL and other massive damage.

No, Boddy Dodd is not the “patron saint” of college football coaches, only the ones who believe in scholarship, leadership and integrity. Guys like the following, many of them his peers:

Frank Broyles
Doug Dickey
Paul Dietzel
Terry Donahue
Ray Graves
John Ralston
Darrell Royal
Doug Weaver

And the 32 winners of the Bobby Dodd Coach of the Year award.

Papa Dawg

October 31st, 2009
1:27 pm

Sorry Brock that you think I really care

Delbert D.

October 31st, 2009
1:31 pm

“Coach O” – Editing problem, should have said “You must have been peeved…”

On the Darwin Holt-Chick Graning incident: don’t you remember the sequenced photos in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution on Sunday that clearly showed the elbow cheap shot to the face? Did you see the game on TV? By todays standards, Holt would have been suspended for the year. The incident with the Oregon RB against Boise State was nothing compared to what Holt did.

Brock

October 31st, 2009
1:33 pm

cared enough to post and respond. just sayin….

Brock

October 31st, 2009
1:37 pm

Hey….. back to football. I thing Ga has a good chance of winning this game. Florida is capable of slipping up 1 game a year (like tech always does) and this looks to be setup perfect for Ga. Should be a great game.

Delbert D.

October 31st, 2009
1:55 pm

Looks like Iowa may be exposed (finally) today. 21-7 Indiana early in 3rd quarter.

Pit Bull

October 31st, 2009
1:59 pm

Urban Meyer is a genius at getting his players fired up. Of course his players would believe anything he says because they are not to bright to begin with. They are too dumb to see Urban is just using them for his own gain. He could care less about them. Calling two back to back time outs after a route shows his compassion for the young men playing the game. Tebow is just plain naive and two faced, god bless.

Missy

October 31st, 2009
2:12 pm

I am so nervous that I don’t know if I can watch the game. I have this dread that the Gators will win by 30-40 points.

Gayle in Winder

October 31st, 2009
2:15 pm

If we do get blown out, at least it will hasten the day when Mark Richt will no longer be head coach, so at least something good will come out of it.

One hour to go. Warming up the TV and chilling down the adult beverages. ;-)

My best guess: Gators 42, Dawgs 10.