Gators roll over Dawgs to stay at No. 1

I went 7-3 last week because I picked Arkansas to beat Ole Miss, Miami to beat Clemson, and Boston College to upset Notre Dame. Still, your humble scribe is 59-21 for the season. So let’s close out the month of October with the Fearless Friday Forecast.

 

 

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Florida is 7-0, ranked No. 1, but has a ton of questions about its offense. Tim Tebow is getting frustrated and last week against Mississippi State tried to make plays that simply weren’t there. But the Gators are due for a breakout game on offense and the defense will get LB Brandon Spikes back. Georgia has had a week off but it won’t be enough. Florida 27, Georgia 6.

 

2. Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt: Georgia Tech has won five straight and now has a chance to at least get into the BCS discussion if the Jackets can run the table and win the ACC championship game. When you’re 11th in the BCS, style points matter. Vanderbilt has a pretty good defense but it is hard to get ready for the Georgia Tech offense right in the middle of a rugged SEC schedule. Georgia Tech 35, Vanderbilt 10.

 

3. Ole Miss at Auburn: After stumbling against two good defenses from South Carolina and Alabama, Ole Miss is suddenly looking like a team that is capable of running the table. Dexter McCluster had 260 total yards on 29 touches in a win over Arkansas. Auburn (5-3) is struggling on offense after a 5-0 start. If QB Chris Todd, who has less than 100 yards passing in this last two games, doesn’t bounce back this one could get ugly. Ole Miss 31, Auburn 17.

 

4. South Carolina at Tennessee: Tennessee lost a very tough game at Alabama (12-10) last Saturday but showed some signs that things are heading in the right direction under Lane Kiffin. Quarterback Jonathan Crompton has completed 41 of 63 passes (65 percent) in his last two games. Montario Hardesty is becoming one of the best running backs in the country. This will be a very good game because the South Carolina defense is so good. But I’m giving the edge to the Vols at home. Tennessee 17, South Carolina 14.

 

5. Mississippi State at Kentucky: Head coach Rich Brooks and offensive coordinator Joker Phillips have done a masterful job since quarterback Mike Hartline was lost to an injury. The Wildcats now have a three-headed quarterback in Will Fiedler, freshman Morgan Newton, and versatile wide receiver Randall Cobb. Kentucky has scored 24 touchdowns his season and Cobb has nine of them. This kid is good. The Wildcats (4-3) are really beat up but I believe they get one step closer to their fourth straight Bowl.  Kentucky 24, Miss. State 17.

 

6. Duke at Virginia: Duke (4-3) needs two wins in its final five games to qualify for its first bowl since 1994. The Blue Devils are 2-1 in the ACC thanks in large part to quarterback Thaddeus Lewis, the ACC’s No. 2 passer (1,972 yards, 14 TD), who had 371 yards last week against Maryland. Virginia, also 2-1 in the ACC, is trying to bounce back from a pretty good beat down by Georgia Tech. Let’s go with Duke in a mild upset. Duke 24, Virginia 23.

 

7. N.C. State at Florida State: Is anybody playing better than Florida State quarterback Christian Ponder? Ponder had one of the better games ever by a Florida State quarterback last week when he completed 33 of 40 passes for 395 yards in a 30-27 come from behind win at North Carolina. The Seminoles trailed 24-6 and Ponder had three touchdown passes in the second half. N.C. State has struggled on defense and will have a tough time handling Ponder. Florida State 42, N.C. State 17.

 

8. Texas at Oklahoma State: Texas has won 11 straight against Oklahoma State and four times since 2003 has had to rally from significant halftime deficits to win. After struggling on offense most of the season, the Longhorns and Colt McCoy looked pretty impressive last week in a 41-7 win over Missouri. Oklahoma State (6-1) will put up a good fight but Texas looks like a team ready to win out and play in the BCS championship game. Texas 31, Oklahoma State 21.

 

9. Kansas at Texas Tech: This is not the best time to play Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were embarrassed at home by Texas A&M 52-30 last week. Red Raiders coach Mike Leach not only ripped his players, but he insulted their girl friends (I’ll let you look it up). Kansas, you should know, is 1-10 all-time against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are having some quarterback issues but they should still win at home. Texas Tech 31, Kansas 28.

 

10. Southern California at Oregon: After Oregon lost the opener to Boise State, which included the infamous LeGarrette Blount punch, the program looked like it was in trouble. But first-year coach Chip Kelly stayed the course and right now the No. 10 Ducks (6-1) are playing as well anybody. Southern Cal (6-1) is No. 5 so this is basically a BCS elimination game. USC coach Pete Carroll, who always has his teams ready for the big games, is 4-3 against Oregon. Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play. On Halloween night it will be even more so. Oregon 24, USC 20.

 

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485 comments Add your comment

Dawg_72

October 30th, 2009
11:39 am

collegeballfan, getting 25 touches by the TB spot won’t help against the Gators if they don’t also get yardage. Look what the Gators did to the #4 rusher in the nation (Dixon) last week. If our TB doesn’t make it across the scrimmage line often and with yards gained a large % of the time, then it’s lights out. Cox will get destroyed when we become one-dimensional. We’re now mixing up our offensive line for the 4th time. Guys playing new positions against this defense may not be the best medicine.

Seersucker Jacket

October 30th, 2009
11:41 am

OMG!!! I just realized that we’ve got to go to Nashville to play the Commodores. I just don’t know if my Jackets can rise to the occasion without the home-field advantage of over 1000 adoring fans eating free hot-dogs…

cherokee

October 30th, 2009
11:42 am

Wiley, Tech is NOT as good as these teams USC, LSU, and Oregon. not yet. You are caught up in this years excitement. Let things play out first. Anyone of those teams will beat Tech. Win out and you may get to play one of these teams, beat them, then you say your as good or better. But not now.

Tell it like it is

October 30th, 2009
11:46 am

Tech will blow past vandy.Ga To upset Fla 31-28 you heard it here first.

Gator Nation

October 30th, 2009
11:47 am

The Florida/Georgia game will be a lot closer than the AJC scribes and the betmakers think. Take Georgia and the pts and go pay off your adjustable rate mortgages! 15.5 or 16 is way to big a number.

I think Florida wins in a close game. As a long time gator fan I will also say this……Without question, Georgia is Florida’s biggest rival.

GO GATORS!

icedawg

October 30th, 2009
11:48 am

What have some of you been sniffin’? UGA ain’t no match for UF. We’ve been going down since the Greene, Pollack, Shockley, TD era and they’ve been going up. Our “stellar” recruiting classes have sent us to the “cellar.” Diminutive defensive backs, Linebackers instead of linemen. Running backs without blockers. Receivers have been the only standout position we’ve had over the last couple of years. UF in a cake walk, sorry. Auburn is also likely to upset Ole Miss.

j

October 30th, 2009
11:51 am

no contest. the puppies are going to get slobberknockered and they will curl into a fetal position and give up. get ready for the wake at tech. the dawg nation will be buried once and for all.

Tell it like it is

October 30th, 2009
11:53 am

Icedawg—–Stay cool,i’ve allready made my predition.

GatorGuy

October 30th, 2009
11:53 am

I think it is pretty funny that all these UGA fans think UGA can win based on the premise that UF has not been world beaters and “Should Have” lost to this team and “Could Have” lost to that team.

The part of the equation missing in that logic is that UGA DID lose to this team and that team and one other team too. Even if UF is not as good as last year, UGA is even worse.

Georgia is next

October 30th, 2009
11:54 am

Anything can happen, but it doesn’t add up. Florida’s defense is so good at every position they are not going to make many mistakes. This is a defense that has a couple of great players back that didn’t play against LSU who only scored 3 Points at home in front of 94,000+. A defense who has yet to give up more than 20 points yet in a game. Georgia’s D is going to have to play the game of it’s life to win this game. Good Luck!

Speak Easy

October 30th, 2009
11:55 am

GT rolls over Vandy. This “good D” that Vandy has is 85th in the country against the rush. Tech is the second best rushing team in the country. That just doesn’t match up. If it rains it is like the UVA game. If not this gets ugly quick. I’m thinking no rain it’s more like Gt-49 Vandy-21 with a late score from Vandy.
UGA turns the ball over to much to stay in the game against Urban’s boys. However, I do agree that UGA will score a touchdown. Cox will once again underthrow AJ, he will come back to the ball make a guy miss and score like he does once a game.

Lord of The Lizards

October 30th, 2009
11:58 am

Florida 27 UGA 24…Monte Kiffin joins Jon Gruden with the Washington Redshins next year (that seems to be a pretty hot rumor).

McDawg

October 30th, 2009
12:00 pm

the key will be to out scheme them

Charlie (is) Strong

October 30th, 2009
12:00 pm

Georgia couldn’t score 31 on this defense if they sneak a healthy Stafford on the field in a Cox jersey.

Party at Joe Cox's to watch SEC Title Game

October 30th, 2009
12:04 pm

Joe Cox formally invites you to a party to watch the SEC title game
December 5, 2009
5 P.M.
4910 Sacked Way – Athens, Ga 30605
BYOB

Atlanta Gator

October 30th, 2009
12:04 pm

Tony—-No offense, sir, but I wish you had picked the Dawgs instead. The Gators could use some bulletin board material for this game.

Kirk Herbcorso

October 30th, 2009
12:05 pm

DAVID buggie – that record is going the other way fast!!!!!!!!! History is ALL the dogs have to talk about.

saintsimonds

October 30th, 2009
12:06 pm

UGA in the petrol independence bowl…with all that talent? looks like they’ve recruited the wrong players..ala..Joe Cox

Kirk Herbcorso

October 30th, 2009
12:07 pm

Sneaked a peek at Tech’s playbook. They are going to run the ball.

saintsimonds

October 30th, 2009
12:08 pm

The Dawgs just aren’t very good this year..7-5 at best…dadgummit

Thogwummpy

October 30th, 2009
12:10 pm

What makes Florida so dangerous, is they can sustain drives because Tebow converts 4th down and three with his short runs. It’s stunning that no defensive coordinator has figured out the answer. Quite simple really. When Florida is in that position (as they are many times a game), a clever coach will substitute-out his linebackers, shifting his defensive linemen back…and replacing his defensive line with the biggest linemen from the OFFENSE…thus giving incredible size and stopping power up front. That’s how to stuff Tebow in short situations. Somebody know how to get word over to UGA on how to do that? Because Martizez isn’t going to figure out such a scheme…and hey, I’ve got a job. However, stop Tebow in those short situations, and UF is vulnerable. Just sayin’.

Tech75

October 30th, 2009
12:11 pm

Kirk Herbcorso – I agree; but on which play? LOL

G8R GRAD

October 30th, 2009
12:13 pm

I need the Gators to beat the Dawgs and Kiffen’s Vols to beat Spurrier.

That happens and UF is going to Atlanta!

Woo-hoo!

GO GATORS!

how2fish

October 30th, 2009
12:14 pm

Gator Nation good post is will be close. Gator Guy you miss the point we don’t CARE how good/bad you have played so far…we WANT to whip your butts..period end of discussion. I’d want to beat you guys even IF you had been playing like the NO.1 team the pudits say you should be playing like..your FLA and No.1 and undefeated…and beating your guys will be SWEET !!

VOL Fan

October 30th, 2009
12:15 pm

LOL@ Charlie 12:00!!!

Atlanta Gator

October 30th, 2009
12:15 pm

As a triple Gator alumnus who has chosen to make his permanent home here in Georgia, I know I have a somewhat different perspective on the Florida-Georgia rivalry than many of my fellow Gators, and certainly a different one from most of my Dawg neighbors and friends.

As I always do around this time of the college football season, I ask all of my fellow Gator and Dawg bloggers to show some of the maturity, courtesy, good sportsmanship and old-fashioned Southern manners that most of us learned at our parents’ table. We can be rivals, and we can support our teams, but let’s not be intentionally obnoxious to each other. Let’s all try to exhibit good sportsmanship in victory or defeat. Athletic defeat is never fatal, and victory is never final. There is always a rematch, and another season. Let’s all try to behave like our teams have been champions before.

Recruitnik

October 30th, 2009
12:15 pm

Tony you suck as does your show.

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:18 pm

My prediction (and I do love the Dawgs):

Florida 38 Georgia 3

yes, we are that freaking awful

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:18 pm

Have mercy on us, Atlanta Gator. Have mercy.

Tell it like it is

October 30th, 2009
12:19 pm

The university of Ga is a proud university reppresented by its football team.I can’t see UGA giving anything to Fla.I see UGA going down to Jacksonville and in a hard fought game prefailing and bringing pride and tradistion back to the university of GA.Glory Glory to old Georgia.

Atlanta Gator

October 30th, 2009
12:19 pm

G8R GRAD—-I was just thinking the same thing about Charlotte Gator when I saw your post. Didn’t realize I was MIA, too. I have posted every other day or so, but I have also been dealing with several priority professional matters that have distracted me from what really matters in life (college football), so I have not been posting with my usual frequency.

macrotech

October 30th, 2009
12:20 pm

I continue in my contention, that if the dawgs can find a ‘leader’ to step up and rally the troups, the dawgs could become a force to be reckoned with! So far, the only players worth highlighting are Green, Curran and the punter. Green is hampered by a quarterback that has a tough time getting the ball to him (yes, I remember how this feels…remember Ball to Johnson?), Curran is spending WAY too much time on the field and your punter SHOULD be good…he gets too much ‘playing time’! I remain stunned that someone on that team hasn’t taken a stand in that locker room!

Regarding all this GT vs. UGA bantor…just look at the blogs…uga fans are spittin’ mad and crying for the heads of the coaching staff…Tech? We’re pretty pumped about things! THIS year, Tech is the team in the state of Georgia…just the way it is! GO TECH!!!

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:22 pm

We said, Atlanta Gator. Ditto.

I vacation with a close family friend who is a Gator and one of my best friends married a Gator. Whenever this rivalry starts to get the best of my emotions I often ask myself “would you be embarassed if those two people saw me acting/talking like that?”…along with my mother, of course.

With that being said, I hope we kick some Gator tail this weekend! Alas, I am a realist.

GO DAWGS!

Atlanta Gator

October 30th, 2009
12:23 pm

Dawg Fud—-You give me far too much credit for my limited influence, and I suspect this year’s Florida-Georgia game will be closer than you fear or I would like. I’m actually concerned that this game tees up nicely as a classic upset for the Dawgs. The Gators cannot play like they did against Mississippi State again and not expect a bad outcome against Georgia.

Reality Check.........WAKE UP

October 30th, 2009
12:24 pm

Georgia and Florida both would be 4-1 in the SEC, if not for ……………………………………………. the SUSPENDED REFS.

gdawginkalamazoo

October 30th, 2009
12:24 pm

Okay everybody time to set your clocks ahead to Saturday 3:30 PM.

CPJ

October 30th, 2009
12:24 pm

I am absolutley certain that my scheme will (er, would) work in the NFL-BTW what are the exact rules on chop blocking in the NFL

how2fish

October 30th, 2009
12:25 pm

Atlanta Gator good post, I would dearly love to win this one however if the Dogs give it their very best and come up short so be it. I’ll tip my hat to Urban and the Gators and move on..here is to a great hard fought game with few flags and fewer injuries to the players! Go Dawgs!

G8R GRAD

October 30th, 2009
12:26 pm

HE LIVES!

I’ve somehow missed your occasinal contributions, Atlanta Gator.
Your counsel has been sorely missed!
I trust you’ll be in front of a TV at 3:30 tomorrow afternoon?
Professional obligations or not, it’s the Fla/GA game, for cryin’ out loud!
Have a great weekend, mi buen amigo!

GO GATORS!
and
GO VOLS!

Lunchtime Links | MrSEC.com

October 30th, 2009
12:27 pm

[...] of the two players’ legacies.3.  Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution makes his weekend predictions right here.4.  The AJC’s Jeff Schultz does the same here.5.  Ron Morris of The State thanks folks need [...]

gdawginkalamazoo

October 30th, 2009
12:28 pm

Atl Gator, you have to remember how bad Crompton was before he played the dawgs. I think Tebow either gets put down early or has a career day passing. Except for that 5 yard poke for the TD record.

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:29 pm

Don’t worry Atlanta Gator. We are good for at least three turnovers tomorrow. I am sure Florida will use those opportunities wisely. You see the Gators are well coached and this rivalry means something to them.

I truly get the sense that Goergia players don’t look forward to this game anymore and play too tense. It is like Richt does not understand — especially frustrating considering he is a Miami grad and an former FSU assistant.

You would think beating Florida would be high on his radar and would coach with some passion.

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:30 pm

By the way…Florida’s entire defense could start for the Tennessee Titans.

gatorman770

October 30th, 2009
12:31 pm

Still waiting for the Gators to payback the curdawgs for one of the greatest examples of the dawgs continuance total lack of class and sportsmanship on the gridiron when they ran up the score on the Gators 75-0 in 1942 and 51-0 in 1968, but unforunantly this won’t the year – Gators beat curs in another close game 28-6!

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:31 pm

When is Charlie Strong going to get his shot at a Head Coaching job? He deserves it.

For example, if I were the Virginia AD, I would dump Groh and hire him in a heartbeat.

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:33 pm

In 1942 we had Frank Sinkwich (and Charley Trippi). Damn Good Heisman Dawg!

Dawg Fud

October 30th, 2009
12:35 pm

how2fish – agreed. i can take getting beat. i hate freaking losing.

i can live with it if we play our hearts out and come up short. such is life sometimes.

AWJ

October 30th, 2009
12:40 pm

I am sick of all the Tech fans whining about their rankings. The 1 loss teams in front of you have been good for years, even winning several national championships as of late. College football respect in the polls is built on recent <5 year history. Tech needs to worry about 1) winning the rest of their games 2) Winning ACC champ 3) Winning their BCS game and 4)repeat next year…..

Honest Lee

October 30th, 2009
12:40 pm

Go Dawg fans – keep on dreaming!

Tide Rising

October 30th, 2009
12:44 pm

Diablo69,

UT didn’t “miss” 3 field goals. They came up short on one because of distance and on the other 2 they simply got blocked. Missing denotes the idea that the kicker just missed it. The reality is that Bama stuffed 2 of those kicks. Give credit where credit is due.

The ACC is a good conference with a lot of good teams but no great teams. In terms of overall winning % interconference the ACC is in no way comparable to the sec over the past several years. in BCS performance its the same thing. The ACC won its first bcs bowl game in 8 or 9 years with the win over Cincy of all people last year. Meanwhile the sec has won something crazy like 10-12 not sure of the number bcs bowl games in the same time span.

Same thing with overall bowl performance. SEC was 6-2 last year while the acc was 4-5. The year before the sec went 7-2 while I think the acc either had a losing record or was maybe one game over .500

And while the sec may have embarrassing out of conference losses from time to time like Bama-LaMonroe 3 years ago the ACC has these embarrassing losses with regularity against far lesser foes. This season look at James Madison, WIlliam & Mary, and Richmond. 3 embarrassing games in a single season.

The sec has also won 3 straight national titles and 4 of the last 6.

I’ve got nothing against the acc. They have a lot of decent teams and play decent football. But by any measure of performance they simply don’t stack up to the sec in the 2000s. Not even close in fact.