Gators roll over Dawgs to stay at No. 1

I went 7-3 last week because I picked Arkansas to beat Ole Miss, Miami to beat Clemson, and Boston College to upset Notre Dame. Still, your humble scribe is 59-21 for the season. So let’s close out the month of October with the Fearless Friday Forecast.

 

 

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Florida is 7-0, ranked No. 1, but has a ton of questions about its offense. Tim Tebow is getting frustrated and last week against Mississippi State tried to make plays that simply weren’t there. But the Gators are due for a breakout game on offense and the defense will get LB Brandon Spikes back. Georgia has had a week off but it won’t be enough. Florida 27, Georgia 6.

 

2. Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt: Georgia Tech has won five straight and now has a chance to at least get into the BCS discussion if the Jackets can run the table and win the ACC championship game. When you’re 11th in the BCS, style points matter. Vanderbilt has a pretty good defense but it is hard to get ready for the Georgia Tech offense right in the middle of a rugged SEC schedule. Georgia Tech 35, Vanderbilt 10.

 

3. Ole Miss at Auburn: After stumbling against two good defenses from South Carolina and Alabama, Ole Miss is suddenly looking like a team that is capable of running the table. Dexter McCluster had 260 total yards on 29 touches in a win over Arkansas. Auburn (5-3) is struggling on offense after a 5-0 start. If QB Chris Todd, who has less than 100 yards passing in this last two games, doesn’t bounce back this one could get ugly. Ole Miss 31, Auburn 17.

 

4. South Carolina at Tennessee: Tennessee lost a very tough game at Alabama (12-10) last Saturday but showed some signs that things are heading in the right direction under Lane Kiffin. Quarterback Jonathan Crompton has completed 41 of 63 passes (65 percent) in his last two games. Montario Hardesty is becoming one of the best running backs in the country. This will be a very good game because the South Carolina defense is so good. But I’m giving the edge to the Vols at home. Tennessee 17, South Carolina 14.

 

5. Mississippi State at Kentucky: Head coach Rich Brooks and offensive coordinator Joker Phillips have done a masterful job since quarterback Mike Hartline was lost to an injury. The Wildcats now have a three-headed quarterback in Will Fiedler, freshman Morgan Newton, and versatile wide receiver Randall Cobb. Kentucky has scored 24 touchdowns his season and Cobb has nine of them. This kid is good. The Wildcats (4-3) are really beat up but I believe they get one step closer to their fourth straight Bowl.  Kentucky 24, Miss. State 17.

 

6. Duke at Virginia: Duke (4-3) needs two wins in its final five games to qualify for its first bowl since 1994. The Blue Devils are 2-1 in the ACC thanks in large part to quarterback Thaddeus Lewis, the ACC’s No. 2 passer (1,972 yards, 14 TD), who had 371 yards last week against Maryland. Virginia, also 2-1 in the ACC, is trying to bounce back from a pretty good beat down by Georgia Tech. Let’s go with Duke in a mild upset. Duke 24, Virginia 23.

 

7. N.C. State at Florida State: Is anybody playing better than Florida State quarterback Christian Ponder? Ponder had one of the better games ever by a Florida State quarterback last week when he completed 33 of 40 passes for 395 yards in a 30-27 come from behind win at North Carolina. The Seminoles trailed 24-6 and Ponder had three touchdown passes in the second half. N.C. State has struggled on defense and will have a tough time handling Ponder. Florida State 42, N.C. State 17.

 

8. Texas at Oklahoma State: Texas has won 11 straight against Oklahoma State and four times since 2003 has had to rally from significant halftime deficits to win. After struggling on offense most of the season, the Longhorns and Colt McCoy looked pretty impressive last week in a 41-7 win over Missouri. Oklahoma State (6-1) will put up a good fight but Texas looks like a team ready to win out and play in the BCS championship game. Texas 31, Oklahoma State 21.

 

9. Kansas at Texas Tech: This is not the best time to play Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were embarrassed at home by Texas A&M 52-30 last week. Red Raiders coach Mike Leach not only ripped his players, but he insulted their girl friends (I’ll let you look it up). Kansas, you should know, is 1-10 all-time against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are having some quarterback issues but they should still win at home. Texas Tech 31, Kansas 28.

 

10. Southern California at Oregon: After Oregon lost the opener to Boise State, which included the infamous LeGarrette Blount punch, the program looked like it was in trouble. But first-year coach Chip Kelly stayed the course and right now the No. 10 Ducks (6-1) are playing as well anybody. Southern Cal (6-1) is No. 5 so this is basically a BCS elimination game. USC coach Pete Carroll, who always has his teams ready for the big games, is 4-3 against Oregon. Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play. On Halloween night it will be even more so. Oregon 24, USC 20.

 

 Please follow me on Twitter:

http://twitter.com/MrCFB

485 comments Add your comment

Andre "Pulpwood" Smith

October 30th, 2009
10:13 am

“But the Gators are due for a breakout game on offense” Other than the fact that they’re Florida, what have you seen this year to suggest that Florida is due for a breakout? At some point you have to accept the fact that this isn’t the offensive powerhouse of years past. Lazy journalists and ESPN hacks continue to tout the Gators as an offensive machine to justify their pre-season predictions. Florida wins tomorrow, but it will be close.

AltamahaDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:13 am

WOW! 6?

We can’t even muster a TD, or Walsh misses his first extra point ever? Or we sack Tebow 3 times behind his goal line?

parker

October 30th, 2009
10:14 am

Nobody has scored a TD on Tennessee in 8 quarters… why in the world does USC Jr. get in the endzone? Vols roll. It won’t be close!

Fleischman in Chi Town's bed

October 30th, 2009
10:16 am

DawginLex – you just used the word UGAy… guess u have sexual issues gerbil boy

GIT R DUN

wiley

October 30th, 2009
10:16 am

Cherokee…they are 7-1 can very well go 13-1…that is an elite team. I said ELITE TEAM not Elite Program….UF, USC, OSU, and Texas are Elite Programs…UGA and GT just have Elite teams. See the difference? I said no other one loss team ahead of us has signature wins…I never stated we had one because now the VT win doesnt look as strong.

DawginLex

October 30th, 2009
10:17 am

OK OK

So, I have MY OWN sexuality issues.

I just dont need anyone…reminding me.

Can we please talk about something else?

Stevie Janowski

October 30th, 2009
10:18 am

Tony — Can you please stop touting your predictive capabilities with such blather as “your humble scribe is 59-21 for the season.” Do you want a golf clap or what? It is easy, especially at the college level, to pick win/lose on games. Your win/lose predictions are fine, as long as they just used as a vehicle for discussing the games, but let’s not make a big deal out of the results. However, if you want to show how knowledgeable you are, pick against the spread, otherwise your 73.7% record is not all that impressive and you just discredit yourself by trying suggest otherwise.

Ramblin Rick

October 30th, 2009
10:19 am

Florida 40 Mutts 7

Georgia Tech IS the best college football team in the state… PERIOD.

Now go enjoy your trip to the Weedeater Independence Bowl leg humpers

Brian

October 30th, 2009
10:19 am

Tony, NC Central is a provisional FCS school and does not count toward Duke’s bowl eligibility. Please check your facts.

RogerDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:19 am

You Tech guys are complete tools. Georgia Tech is a 20-25 ranking at best…11 is a joke.

Jeepers

October 30th, 2009
10:20 am

To: Big South Georgia DAWG….

The AJC is certainly not pro-Georgia Tech. Aside from the Bradley and Schultz columns, the UGA and recruiting blogs are the other prominent blogs on this site. The Tech blog is buried in the Tech section. The Tech section also shows UGA recruiting news. I’d say that the AJC is still in bed with UGAg. THWG!

Eastside Jacket

October 30th, 2009
10:21 am

“Vanderbilt has a pretty good defense but it is hard to get ready for the Georgia Tech offense right in the middle of a rugged SEC schedule.”

Hmmmmm.

dawg in fla

October 30th, 2009
10:23 am

who says our dawgs won’t have a break out game. i believe in my G DAWGS!!!!!!!! remember 07 after the bye week. all things are possible to them that believe.

Clay

October 30th, 2009
10:23 am

Look, I graduated from UGA in 1991 and I don’t feel the game tomorrow will even be competitive. I think Tony is being kind to suggest UF would only be able to score 27.

Just because you pull for UGA does not mean you have to be a blind loyalist and start throwing out all the “IF we do this and IF we do that and IF they do this, then we can win the game” garbage. Look at the product on the field. After 7 games, we are what we are and I’m sure CBS is upset they’re stuck with this dog of a game in their #1 slot.

Perfect Option

October 30th, 2009
10:25 am

I can understand why fans could be in awe of Fl and Bama ranked number 1 and 2 because supposedly geniuses that have the inside on sports see it and vote that way..but why do you local sportswriters agree? Look at both of their schedules. Fl played Troy, Charleston Southern and will play FIU, and big deal win over Ms St. Bama played FIU, North Texas and upcoming Chattanooga. The two teams do not even play each other in regular season. Who are the sissys of these athletic departments tha sets up these opponents? At least, UGA had the guts to play Oklahoma State. I can see one Div 1A school for everyone to play as your mulligan, but 3 of them? And you expect me to crown you number one? PLAY SOMEBODY.. What a crock of manure

Not Disappointed!

October 30th, 2009
10:26 am

I have to take the Jackets and Pups with the points. Atlanta Falcons are driving me to drink more coffee.

Ramblin Wreck!

Gt4ever

October 30th, 2009
10:29 am

Wiley
There is NO ONE that wants the Jackets to be a top 5, 10 team more! Elite teams have GREAT defenses. Our defense has showed promise at times, but for the most part, it has failed most of the time. It has failed against good and bad teams, making the assessment that until this staff recruits, we just haven’t proven to be of “elite” status… Team or otherwise. I would rather think logically/rational versus what my heart tells me. Rational thinking would suggest that we have a bright future, if this staff can recruit with the big guys. Time will tell, and I will be a fan win or lose!

WH

October 30th, 2009
10:29 am

Auburn Rolls! War Eagle

AU 42 Ole Miss 20

Paul H

October 30th, 2009
10:31 am

Florida beats Arkansas by 3 (with help from the refs), Miss State by 10. Yet somehow they are going to blow out UGA? Yeah right.

Snoop Dog

October 30th, 2009
10:31 am

Its the schnizzle ma dazzile

My dawgy dawgs are go n razzle ma dazzle the gaterds

EW

October 30th, 2009
10:31 am

Clay, with that kind of attitude are you sure you didn’t go to Tech for grad school? You may be right that we are what we are, but UF struggled against LSU (who we should have beaten) and Arkasas (we beat them). If you don’t think we can keep it close I think you are blind my friend. I am not an idiot who is going to believe we are going to blow them out, but I always believe we can put it together and win. If I didn’t believe that, there would be no reason for me to be a fan.

TS

October 30th, 2009
10:31 am

Florida had one flash on offense this year at Kentucky. 30+ points in the 1st quarter. Unfortunately, we all know how that game ended and no one knows how big an impact the hit still has on Tebow. Florida can do waaay better then they’ve shown up to this point on offense. A lot of people say that it isn’t there. It still is, we’ve just seen one half of excellent play by the offense all season. On the flip side of that, our running game has been very impressive save two games. I think Moody has a “HERE I AM!” game this weekend. We have three excellent running backs that battle for carries and make the most of it when they get the opportunity. Maybe this is the game we incorporate the air attack. I’d sure like to see it beacuse this Florida team is very dangerous when both are clicking.

Dawg Alumni

October 30th, 2009
10:33 am

There is no reason to dispute this article. Richt and his staff have not done a very good job lately. That better change!!!

As long as Martinez stays UGA football will sink further into the depths of mediocrity until it reaches a level that only teams like Vanderbilt, Duke and UTEP have been.

Rebel Fan

October 30th, 2009
10:34 am

TB,

I agree with you on most of these picks. Snead is goingto have to play well for the rebs to win. McCluster is going to have to have another big game as well. Ole Miss, however, has to really get after the Quarterback Saturday if they are going to win against Auburn. Should make for a very interesting game on the Plains. TB, I have a question for you. Saturday is the 50th anniversary of LSU’s Billy Cannon’s run against Ole Miss. Why didnt Ole Miss and LSU play tomorrow and why dont they play every Halloween weekend? They used to.

To all of UGA fans, I say this . . . Good Luck. I hope you guys can put a beatdown on Florida. That’s the optimist in me, however, Florida will probably prevail. Let’s hope Richt and company has one more upset in them.

wiley

October 30th, 2009
10:36 am

GT4ever…I agree with you about the defense but they have made plays to win games…with the exception of the Miami game. I know how you feel as a tech fan because we have had several teams appear to be good only to have major let downs against inferior teams…but PJ is not Chan Gailey. We dont need 5 star talent to have a good defense…we had some good ones under Tenuta and now we are recruiting better…look at all the 4 star players we have committed to play defense. I was just pointing out that we are just as good as the other one loss teams…USC, LSU, and Oregon.

Snoop Dog

October 30th, 2009
10:38 am

Enter your comments here

Gt4ever

October 30th, 2009
10:39 am

LOL, Wiley

Here is to HOPING your RIGHT! Roll Jackets and THWG!

ChewDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:40 am

RablinRed – Apparently, I need to correct myself. It seems NCCU was not able to meet the required 90% scholarship rate that would allow Duke to count the win. So, you’re right, 3 more to get a bowl.

Reptillicide

October 30th, 2009
10:40 am

Tony,

as a UGA alum, you cannot put your desire to be right in your pick’ems over your school pride. I too think the Gators will likely win, but I cannot bring myself to pick Florida in my office pool. I feel that it is almost traitorous. Obviously you are obligated to show journalistic objectivity, but even so, in a pick’em it is anything goes… you don’t have to pick the overwhelming favorite. It is too late for you to rectify your wrongdoing this weekend Tony, but I implore you to consider your roots when clean old fashioned hate week arrives.

EW

October 30th, 2009
10:43 am

One thing I’ll say as a UGA fan about Tech, I haven’t seen that team quit on a game yet. I honestly think UGA has better athletic talent overall, but I would give anything to see our guys play with that fire (not to mention seeing a little fire from ol CMR as well). Josh Nesbitt has run over more people than Samuel, who was supposed to be a bruiser. When the games on the line, there’s no question who is taking over for them and who they’re riding to the finish. There will be a certain guy in JAX tomorrow (more than likely dressed as Superman or Jesus) and everyone knows he will take over if it’s close. Where is that for UGA? I’ll concede that A.J. can take over a game, but who’s gonna get him the ball? I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, UGA lacks leadership and accountability. I’ve always felt players can respond better to peer leadership, weather it’s someone holding you accountable or leading by example. Our young guys need it and I just haven’t seen it.

Hick from the sticks

October 30th, 2009
10:43 am

I’m no “Mr. College Football”, but if I had to answer as to who is playing better quarterback-from a solely statistical standpoint, I would venture there’s a guy in South Bend that might be playing a little better than Ponder.

Just sayin’.

EW

October 30th, 2009
10:44 am

i used the wrong “weather”..i know

DawginLex

October 30th, 2009
10:44 am

My impostor shows back up. You are the joke gerbil boy.

how2fish

October 30th, 2009
10:45 am

Blah Blah Blah..lets play football I pray we beat the reptiles like rented mules..it will take a “punch them in the face and steal their hot cheerleaders” attitude in 07 we played with passion and the Gators folded let’s do it again! Tony I really think the 07 Gators were a better team at this point of the season that the way this team is playing..we have a chance…Go Dawgs !

take off the freaking rose colored glasses

October 30th, 2009
10:45 am

ok…time for a little history lesson.

1. 1997 – UGA gets pounded by Tennessee, goes to jacksonville a big underdog vs. the number one ranked defense in college football. Robert Edwards shreds the vaunted Gator D and weak armed mike bobo uses a short passing game to win. Joe Kyne’s defense makes sure that the gators quarterback -whom I believe is an ABC commentator now – spends most of the afternoon on his back.

2. 2006- Tebow is hurt, UGA suffers early SEC loss to USC and gets pounded by UT in Knoxville. The Staph infection rides Knowshown Moreno’s legs to an upset of the gators. UGA’s defense makes sure that Tebow spends most of the afternoon on his back….while still giving up lots of points.

and now, we move to the present day….one would say….history is on our side.
Yes, UGA has a similar story line to ‘97 and ‘06. BUT…here’s the difference….

1. We have no Knowshown, or Robert Edwards – and that is the way georgia wins in Jacksonville…a strong running game.

2. We have no defense.

‘yall keep drinking whatever you are drinking. time to take off the rose colored glasses and deal with the facts…..

Ugay

October 30th, 2009
10:47 am

Ugay going to .500 with the gator chomp!
Da da da dah dah dah dah dah
Gator Bait!

Will

October 30th, 2009
10:47 am

First of all you know I am a UGA grad and a major fan. However it may shock you that the game I would most like to attend this week is the Oregon/SC game Sat night. My mother went to Oregon and I have been to a couple of games which include the95′ Rose Bowl when the Ducks played Jo-Pa and Kerry Collins. Anyways, Eugene is an awesome town and the fans will be rockin’ on Halloweens Night. I would love to be at that one having a couple of cold beers. Plus it won’t be 90degrees like it is in Jax.

As far as my Dawgs are concerned I really thought yesterday my team would pull out a victory but after reading your blog I now have major concerns: Can we run the ball? Can Willie change his defense based on what UF gives us? Will Coach Fab pooch kick it if we can score? Will Coach Bobo try and spread the field out in order to get our play-makers the ball? I hope the answer is “yes” but we will soon see. The question is what happens if we get blown out? Say 65-3 or something? This is a BIG, BIG game for CMR & co.

BuzztheKiller

October 30th, 2009
10:49 am

Keep on crying little dog fans- you punks like to dish it out but sure can’t take it. Bunch of little boys cyring because their favorite team is down this year….boo freaking hoo. Welcome to reality.

I actually hope you win tomorrow, as I have said on the other blogs. Win the next four and get to 8-3, get ranked again top 25. Tech needs some SOS help to move up in the BCS. Come on, you can do it! Also – Urban is a even bigger tool than Mark Richt.

Miles

October 30th, 2009
10:49 am

Mr. Barnhart, I hope you’re right about the USC game. A Trojan loss will knock them out of the National Championship picture. Say your prayers!

DawgsLickBalls

October 30th, 2009
10:50 am

UGA fans have it easy. They don’t have to worry about where they are in the polls or the BCS. They don’t have to guess at which bowl game they’ll go to so they can make travel plans. They don’t have to worry about finding SEC Champ game tickets. They don’t have to worry about their QB or RB getting injured, because their backups sure couldn’t be any worse. They don’t have to worry about whether or not their head coach will make good decisions, because they already should have accepted the fact that’s he’s a mediocre coach.

how2fish

October 30th, 2009
10:50 am

Ramblin Rick

LSU just scored again.

JoshG.

October 30th, 2009
10:51 am

Wow. Really bold predictions there, Tony. Did you lift those straight off of a vegas spread sheet? Even your wacky upset Oregon pick is also everyone else’s. You sure you don’t want to go out on a limb and pick LSU over Tulane?

Tech82

October 30th, 2009
10:53 am

RogerDawg @ 10:19 writes: “Georgia Tech is a 20-25 ranking at best…11 is a joke.”

Would that be as big a joke as UGA being ranked #1 in the preseason polls last year? We earned our ranking by beating the teams on our schedule. You lost your ranking in embarrassing fashion by losing to the teams on yours.

GO JACKETS! THWG!

timthebrave

October 30th, 2009
10:53 am

I heard that you can count 1 win versus lower division football as far as securing a bowl bid

Jake

October 30th, 2009
10:55 am

Tenn. 30 SC 14

Tell it like it is

October 30th, 2009
10:55 am

What do you get when you cross a gator with a bulldog—E-Reptile Dysfunction Ga-31-Gators-28

RogerDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:55 am

Ga will get the crap beat out of them. Wish we were good like GT. Now that is a well run team with a good coach. I just hope we can get bowl elgible.
Tech will crush the commahores.

how2fish

October 30th, 2009
10:55 am

BuzztheKiller good luck tomorrow too! Nov 28th is coming and I want you bugs way up in the polls…the beatdown will be much sweeter that way..see I doubt your bunch can lose to UGA and still end up at the end of the year with a higher ranking than UGA..reason the shock will destroy any chance of a Bug bowl win…just not tough enough to overcome..sad really..

And another thing....

October 30th, 2009
10:56 am

You said it Big South Georgia Dawg!!!!! Go Dogs!!!!

Diablo69

October 30th, 2009
10:56 am

Somebody help me understand this – because UNC can make a game winning field goal and UT cannot (misses 3 in fact) the ACC is an inferior conference? Who has UNC lost to out of conference? How does this win reflect poorly on the ACC?

So, basically, last year when an unranked Ole Miss teams beats mighty Florida in the swamp that shows how stong the SEC is, but this year when a talented UNC squad finally puts it together to beat VT on the road that shows how weak the ACC is. That logic is nothing but a double standard.

Finally how sad is it that the only ammunition UGA fans have against GT is that a team Tech dominated just got beat by another team that Tech dominated…