Gators roll over Dawgs to stay at No. 1

I went 7-3 last week because I picked Arkansas to beat Ole Miss, Miami to beat Clemson, and Boston College to upset Notre Dame. Still, your humble scribe is 59-21 for the season. So let’s close out the month of October with the Fearless Friday Forecast.

 

 

1. Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville): Florida is 7-0, ranked No. 1, but has a ton of questions about its offense. Tim Tebow is getting frustrated and last week against Mississippi State tried to make plays that simply weren’t there. But the Gators are due for a breakout game on offense and the defense will get LB Brandon Spikes back. Georgia has had a week off but it won’t be enough. Florida 27, Georgia 6.

 

2. Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt: Georgia Tech has won five straight and now has a chance to at least get into the BCS discussion if the Jackets can run the table and win the ACC championship game. When you’re 11th in the BCS, style points matter. Vanderbilt has a pretty good defense but it is hard to get ready for the Georgia Tech offense right in the middle of a rugged SEC schedule. Georgia Tech 35, Vanderbilt 10.

 

3. Ole Miss at Auburn: After stumbling against two good defenses from South Carolina and Alabama, Ole Miss is suddenly looking like a team that is capable of running the table. Dexter McCluster had 260 total yards on 29 touches in a win over Arkansas. Auburn (5-3) is struggling on offense after a 5-0 start. If QB Chris Todd, who has less than 100 yards passing in this last two games, doesn’t bounce back this one could get ugly. Ole Miss 31, Auburn 17.

 

4. South Carolina at Tennessee: Tennessee lost a very tough game at Alabama (12-10) last Saturday but showed some signs that things are heading in the right direction under Lane Kiffin. Quarterback Jonathan Crompton has completed 41 of 63 passes (65 percent) in his last two games. Montario Hardesty is becoming one of the best running backs in the country. This will be a very good game because the South Carolina defense is so good. But I’m giving the edge to the Vols at home. Tennessee 17, South Carolina 14.

 

5. Mississippi State at Kentucky: Head coach Rich Brooks and offensive coordinator Joker Phillips have done a masterful job since quarterback Mike Hartline was lost to an injury. The Wildcats now have a three-headed quarterback in Will Fiedler, freshman Morgan Newton, and versatile wide receiver Randall Cobb. Kentucky has scored 24 touchdowns his season and Cobb has nine of them. This kid is good. The Wildcats (4-3) are really beat up but I believe they get one step closer to their fourth straight Bowl.  Kentucky 24, Miss. State 17.

 

6. Duke at Virginia: Duke (4-3) needs two wins in its final five games to qualify for its first bowl since 1994. The Blue Devils are 2-1 in the ACC thanks in large part to quarterback Thaddeus Lewis, the ACC’s No. 2 passer (1,972 yards, 14 TD), who had 371 yards last week against Maryland. Virginia, also 2-1 in the ACC, is trying to bounce back from a pretty good beat down by Georgia Tech. Let’s go with Duke in a mild upset. Duke 24, Virginia 23.

 

7. N.C. State at Florida State: Is anybody playing better than Florida State quarterback Christian Ponder? Ponder had one of the better games ever by a Florida State quarterback last week when he completed 33 of 40 passes for 395 yards in a 30-27 come from behind win at North Carolina. The Seminoles trailed 24-6 and Ponder had three touchdown passes in the second half. N.C. State has struggled on defense and will have a tough time handling Ponder. Florida State 42, N.C. State 17.

 

8. Texas at Oklahoma State: Texas has won 11 straight against Oklahoma State and four times since 2003 has had to rally from significant halftime deficits to win. After struggling on offense most of the season, the Longhorns and Colt McCoy looked pretty impressive last week in a 41-7 win over Missouri. Oklahoma State (6-1) will put up a good fight but Texas looks like a team ready to win out and play in the BCS championship game. Texas 31, Oklahoma State 21.

 

9. Kansas at Texas Tech: This is not the best time to play Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were embarrassed at home by Texas A&M 52-30 last week. Red Raiders coach Mike Leach not only ripped his players, but he insulted their girl friends (I’ll let you look it up). Kansas, you should know, is 1-10 all-time against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are having some quarterback issues but they should still win at home. Texas Tech 31, Kansas 28.

 

10. Southern California at Oregon: After Oregon lost the opener to Boise State, which included the infamous LeGarrette Blount punch, the program looked like it was in trouble. But first-year coach Chip Kelly stayed the course and right now the No. 10 Ducks (6-1) are playing as well anybody. Southern Cal (6-1) is No. 5 so this is basically a BCS elimination game. USC coach Pete Carroll, who always has his teams ready for the big games, is 4-3 against Oregon. Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play. On Halloween night it will be even more so. Oregon 24, USC 20.

 

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485 comments Add your comment

Postero's Ghost

October 30th, 2009
9:19 am

Trick or Treat!

swampthing

October 30th, 2009
9:20 am

Gators Roll!!

Mikey

October 30th, 2009
9:21 am

Tony, does the 6 for UGA mean a TD with a missed x point or 2 FG???
Come on…with #8 we will at least score ONE TD…

Upset special is OK State over the longhorns…

Dink

October 30th, 2009
9:23 am

Go Dawgs! Beat the Gators!!

Eastside Jacket

October 30th, 2009
9:24 am

So Vanderbilt’s D won’t be able to stop Tech’s offense because of all the rugged SEC teams they’ve been playing?

I’ve gotta admit, I haven’t heard that excuse yet.

Gator Bob

October 30th, 2009
9:24 am

Agree…..Florida rolls – think dawgs will fight hard – but totally outclassed as a “team” and will yet again outcoached.

Joe fsu

October 30th, 2009
9:26 am

If FSU had 1-2 losses, Ponder would probalby be the Heisman leader.

Gator Hater

October 30th, 2009
9:26 am

All those picks are righ on except the last….USC plays big games very well and usually get a win.

By the way….thanks for the blog….I don’t know what else I would do sitting on the crapper every morning.

Fla Tide

October 30th, 2009
9:27 am

UGA won’t make a game of it at all. Florida is just a better team at every position, except one player, #8 Green.
I still like USC ovr UT. I know UT is hot after last week, but I got a feeling crazy Garcia might light them up…..in Snotsville.

DawginLex

October 30th, 2009
9:29 am

Eastside, I’m pretty sure that is not what he said. It is hard to prepare for GT’s offense in the middle of playing a rugged SEC schedule. He didn’t say they won’t be able to stop it because of the SEC teams they have been playing.

Tony, I’m glad you didn’t pick us to win because in all likelihood we won’t win. I still believe we have a chance if we can not turn the ball over. Florida has lived off of turnovers in big games.

23-21 UGA with no TO’s and 6 or more sacks by the D
Usual fare and Gators cover

Big South Georgia DAWG

October 30th, 2009
9:30 am

I’m sick and tired of all the anti-UGA pro Georgia Tech media this year. We own this state in college football, and everyone knows it. One year of luck, and all the writers are jumping off our bandwagon to Tech. That sucks.

Denver Dog

October 30th, 2009
9:32 am

Fla Tide, you forgot punter. This is when UGA can shine, but they are really outmanned here this year. This is Urban’s senior class and they are good. Don’t expect much of a game without some big breaks. Too much on the line for UF, they are seniors and won’t be looking anywhere except at UGA. GO DOGS

King of Sandy Springs

October 30th, 2009
9:32 am

Seems like I hear this every week now, “UF is ready for a break out game.” You wish, they’re very beatable, and I expect they will get U(sic)GA’s best. The Dogs are better than Arkansas and MSU, they knock off the media’s #1.

South Carolina Dawg

October 30th, 2009
9:32 am

Hire Kirby Smart!!!

SuperB

October 30th, 2009
9:33 am

Florida should have lost to Arkansas, and could have lost to Mississippi State– but by the grace of Penn Wagers. And you, Mr. Football, say Georgia has no chance. The Hell they don’t. Georgia is better than Arkansas or Mississippi State and can win. The Gators just haven’t looked like world beaters.

Denver Dog

October 30th, 2009
9:39 am

Eastside, for sure you didn’t go to Tech as you couldn’t scored high enough on your reading comphensiion to have gotten in school at that fine institution. I don’t see USC doing anything but winning out. Dark Visor will win at UT as they are on the prowl, and Auburn pulls the upset.

Otto

October 30th, 2009
9:40 am

Okie St does not stand a chance against with Bryant gone and I thought their RB was injured.

I don’t think UGA gets a TD against UF unless it is a turnover score by the defense or kick return. Bobo had 6 3 and outs against LSU and another 6 at Tennessee. The UF defense is better than both teams.

S Car. beats UT in a battle of defenses. I enjoy watching these game

Oregon tops USC in 42-35 style boring shootout. Watch the last 5 minutes of the game and you will see all you need to.

Saint Simons

October 30th, 2009
9:41 am

45 – 42 !!!!!!!!!!!!!! hahahahahahahahahahahahaha

dan

October 30th, 2009
9:41 am

Tony

I think the most shocking stat for both teams is the turnover ratio : Florida is -1 and UGA is -11( which is worst in the SEC). Of all the stats that are damming of Willie’s defense, this one is the worst! Turnovers can significantly change the complection of a season. Florida was +22 in turnovers last year which is insane! I always felt the Gators had a very good team last year, but what made them great was the turnover margin. If you don’t turn the ball over to them, and if you force some turnovers yourself, the Gators are very beatable even with their talent on defense. So the question becomes: who’s more likely to capitalize on each others miscues? Florida has a better defense, but UGA is coming off a bye week, and I’d like to think that our players and coaches haven’t been standing around with their fingers up their asses for the last two weeks( then again I never underestimate the total incompetence of our coaching staff). I think most folks in the media still think that this Gator offense has the potential to explode at anytime, but it doesn’t! They just don’t have a very potent record. UGA has the worst defense in the SEC and Arkansas is number 11. They only gave up 23 points to the Gators. MSU in 9 in the total defense and only gave up 29. These are NOT good defenses, and they held the Gators to under 30 points without a bye! I’m telling you right now Tony, the ONLY way the Gators cover this spread is if they get turnovers. Otherwise it will be another squeaker.

randy

October 30th, 2009
9:42 am

super b
fla looks at the ga game differently than miss st or ark.

Dink

October 30th, 2009
9:44 am

Otto

Well said, enjoy your spot-on posts.

Go Dawgs!

Exley DAWG

October 30th, 2009
9:44 am

You never know. One special teams score and win the turnover battle and we might win.

Perfect Option

October 30th, 2009
9:44 am

Hey Barnhart, how about looking at Josh Nesbitt as a Heisman candidate, tell me what exactly has he NOT done to get you to ignore his stats? You were all over praising C J Spiller but Nesbitt has more yardage not to mention his leadership abilities to get GT on top in the ACC, what is up with that?

RxDawg

October 30th, 2009
9:45 am

1. Not so fast my friend! Dawgs win. A rested Georgia team knocks off a tired Florida team. Don’t go against the history of the bye week. Plus, it’s Haloweeen MUAHAHAHAHA

2. No candy for vandy

3. Ole Miss > Auburn

4. I actually think Darth Visor pulls this one out. I believe the vols are running low on fuel.

5…6…7…8…Oh wait, a game I actualy care about.

8. I think this is where Texas has their slip up for the season. The go down to the cowboys.

9…10. USC has had their slip up for the season. Oregon lost to Boise St. USC takes control and wins their own personal conference again.

RogerDawg

October 30th, 2009
9:45 am

Enter your comments here

PG

October 30th, 2009
9:46 am

Once again, you need to do your research. People reminded you of it earlier in the week but you evidently didn’t pay attention. Duke needs THREE (3) more wins because NC Central is a provisional FCS school, not a full fledged FCS school. Therefore the win doesn’t count towards the bowl requirement. At least we now know that Barnhart doesn’t read comments about his articles.

RogerDawg

October 30th, 2009
9:47 am

There are some folks gonna be in for a rude surprise Saturday evening. UF is not that good. Mark Richt coaches the boys up and wins this one on heart.

UGA 24
UF 21

As far as those gnats….you slip on this game…Vandy has a pretty good D boys.

Vandy 20
Gnats 16

BurningRedBleedingBlack

October 30th, 2009
9:48 am

One way or another UGA will fight the hated gator to the finish this year…who knows until the game is played!

Gt4ever

October 30th, 2009
9:48 am

I am picking UGA over UF this weekend…… GT will hopefully beat Vandy, I doubt it will be 35 – 10. A W is good enough for me…. We are still not a top 10 team,barely top 20, but with time we could be better…

Lumpkin Street Larry

October 30th, 2009
9:49 am

Florida 46, Georgia 13. Sorry guys; the Georgia defense couldn’t stop a three year old girl from grabbing the candy.

Cam

October 30th, 2009
9:51 am

Fla 23 Ga 13
Gt 38 Vandy 7
Tenn 20 Sc 17
Va 21 Duke 17
Fsu 42 Nc State 31
Tex 26 Ok st 21
Ore 41 Usc 39

ugablows

October 30th, 2009
9:52 am

your a fawking tool Tony, nice try using your terrible pick karma to try and give ugay a win but it won’t work

i hope ugay loses 223-0

Stinger

October 30th, 2009
9:54 am

Tech 41 Vandy 10

Floriduh 38 UGA 20

Tech sucks

October 30th, 2009
9:55 am

Tebow throws 3 picks. 1 returned for TD. UGA gets another TD via Boykin kick return, and Caleb King and A.J. Green each score as well.

Dawgs 28 Gators 17

BIRD DAWG ONE

October 30th, 2009
9:55 am

Looks like Tony has been reading his BLOG to much. 21 point underdogs huh? Guess his feeling wont get hurt by all them gator fans that love the GA BLOG. No touchdown either? Tony’s feeling must have been really hurt.

dan

October 30th, 2009
9:56 am

I think the most shocking stat for both teams are the turnover ratio: Florida is -1 and UGA is -11( which is worst in the SEC). Of all the stats that are damming of Willie’s defense, this one is the worst! Turnovers can significantly change the complection of a season. Florida was +22 in turnovers last year which is insane! I always felt the Gators had a very good team last year, but what made them great was the turnover margin. If you don’t turn the ball over to them, and if you force some turnovers yourself, the Gators are very beatable even with their talent on defense. So the question becomes: who’s more likely to capitalize on each others miscues? Florida has a better defense, but UGA is coming off a bye week, and I’d like to think that our players and coaches haven’t been standing around with their fingers up their asses for the last two weeks( then again I never underestimate the total incompetence of our coaching staff). All you guys in the media act like the Gator offense can explode at anytime, and I’m telling you that it doesn’t have that ability! To further illustrate my point, UGA is 12# is total defense in the SEC. Arkansas and MSU are 11# and 9# in total defense, and they held the Gators to 23 and 29 points without bye weeks. What’s your argument for that Gator fans? I mean wouldn’t you expect the Gator offense to “come alive” versus these teams? Either the Gator offense is very mediocre, or they have been slacking off the last two weeks. Personally, I think the Gators are too well coached to slack off that much! I just don’t think they’re that explosive on offense. Without the defense and special teams generating turnovers, the Gators won’t cover that spread.

Fleischman in Chi Town's bed

October 30th, 2009
9:58 am

Kirby Smart ain’t going back to UGAy…. why would he want to leave a top 5 program for somewhere that is going down the toilet ?

P.S. UGAg had Kirby Smart a few years ago & let him go! Idiots

RamblinRed

October 30th, 2009
9:59 am

I wouldn’t be shocked to see UGA pull an upset and i’m a GT guy.
When every week you hear the same thing – FL has been playing poorly and is ready for a breakout week – you start to realize maybe no breakout week is coming. I think it ends up being a close game.

One correction – Duke needs 3 wins in its last 5 to qualify as it played 2 non-FBS teams.

I also think GT will have a closer game than many expect. Natural letdown game and the 4th road game in 5 weeks.

Grizzlies09

October 30th, 2009
10:01 am

UGA-Florida stat of the day:
The team coming off a bye week has won 13 out of the last 14 years. Unfortunately for Geogria, Florida normaly has the bye week. We all know this UGA team has great talent thats just waiting to show up. Coach Richt will have the bots ready. If you arent ready for Florida, you probably shouldnt play for UGA. Gona be a hell of a weekend. Go Dawgs!!!!

Jon

October 30th, 2009
10:02 am

GO DAWGS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BEAT THE GATORS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

the real Old Gold

October 30th, 2009
10:02 am

This doesn’t have anything to do with anything, but I think if I were on the field Saturday I would get into the other guy’s face after a play and say quietly… “trick or treat b!+ch” … just to set the tone for the rest of the game.

DawginLex

October 30th, 2009
10:05 am

REPEAT:

Anyone who refers to the University of Geaorgia as “UGAY” is doing so to mask his/her own sexuality issues.

That is all.

ChewDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:05 am

I keep looking for a way to declare a UGA upset. UF is certainly weak and UGA COULD be a good enough team if they can find a way to fire on all cylinders for four full quarters. But they’ve not done that in two years now, not since Auburn in 2007. Even the Vandy win was an average showing at best (we’re talking about the same team that couldn’t score a TD on Army, yet managed to do it on my beloved Dawgs). Florida is vulnerable and UGA is rested and looking to prove something…but it won’t be enough. Dawgs go into the half with the lead, but Martinez’s failure to adjust his play calling to what the other team is doing means Meyer eats UGA’s soft-cover zone for lunch in the second half. UF wins by two scores but doesn’t cover.

And, Tony, Duke beating Virginia isn’t an upset. Check recent history (35-3 ring a bell?). Virginia is on it’s way to the bottom of the ACC and Duke is no longer a doormat. Duke may not blow it wide open, but they should win easy. So long as the boys on the field don’t get ahead of themselves.

DawginLex

October 30th, 2009
10:05 am

Georgia, not Geaorgia

CMR Wins the 2009 George Hamilton Cocoa Butter Open

October 30th, 2009
10:06 am

UGA will give about 45 up to the Gators.

They could’ve kept that number lower, however, had they not decided to start practicing solely for Paul Johnson’s offense after the Vandy game.

wiley

October 30th, 2009
10:07 am

GT4ever…are you kiding me? What hasnt GT done to prove they are a top ten team…we are 7-1 and no matter which way you slice it we deserve a top ten ranking. No one loss team in front of us has any greater signature wins…USC lost to Washington and has not beaten any good teams, Oregon lost to Boise St and hasnt beat any good teams, and LSU scored 3 points at home against a UF team that is not playing well…also they have no signature wins. The only reason we arent in the top ten is the fact we play in the ACC…when we lost to Miami we all but droped out of the rankings…the BCS system is bias. The ACC may not have an undefeated team but they surely have one elite team…its GT.

Trade School Junkie

October 30th, 2009
10:07 am

In 2008, Tony “Bias” called for UGA to beat Bama in the “Blackout.”
Yeh, it was a “funeral” alright.

Then, a few weeks later, he picked UGA to beat Florida.
Another blow-out loss for his dogs.

So, Mr. Bias thinks Florida is gonna mop the field AND the parking lot with GA.

So, that should mean either Florida scores, like 100, and destroys GA, or this could be a late game Florida win.

ChewDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:11 am

RamblinRed – correction…they only need two. You can only count one WIN over a FCS school. Duke lost to Richmond but beat NCCU. The other three wins are over legit FBS schools (Army, NC State, and Maryland).

12 & 21

October 30th, 2009
10:12 am

It will really be sweet next week when all of the bulldawg nation is hiding somewhere tail tucked after another beat down by the Gators.

News flash Dawgnation………….GT is taking over the state.

cherokee

October 30th, 2009
10:12 am

Wiley, Tech is not an elite team. One decent season does not make you “elite” run the table with your BCS game, do the same next year, then you can start talking elite. Tech has no signature wins either, they beat a Va Tech team that loss to North Carolina, and they loss to Miami. They are good but not “elite”