Georgia Tech keeps rolling at Virginia

 

 

If Auburn’s offense had not been missing in action last week in a 21-14 loss to Kentucky, your Fearless Forecaster would have gone 10-0. We picked Georgia Tech’s upset of No. 4 Virginia Tech. We promised you and Arkansas-Florida would be closer than the experts thought. (Insert your comment about the officiating here).

That gives us a record of 52-18 on the season.

Except for Georgia Tech’s visit to Virginia, it looks like a less than exciting set of games this Saturday. But that’s when the fireworks—and the upsets—usually start.  Look for at least one big surprise this weekend.

Let’s get on with the Fearless Friday Forecast:

 

1. Georgia Tech at Virginia: It looks like Cavalier coach Al Groh has saved his bacon after an 0-3 start. Groh realized that the spread offense was not going to work and went back to basics. Now Virginia is playing power football and pretty good defense. But if Georgia Tech quarterback Josh Nesbitt keeps playing like he has the past four weeks, the Yellow Jackets are going to be very hard to beat. Tech rolls to 7-1. Georgia Tech 28, Virginia 13.

 

2. Tennessee at Alabama: The Volunteers are feeling kind of frisky since taking Georgia to the woodshed on Oct. 10. But Tennessee needs to realize that the Alabama defense is an entirely different animal.  Alabama, for instance, can actually rush the passer. This team eats quarterbacks for lunch and will make life very difficult for Jonathan Crompton. The Tennessee defense will keep the Vols in the game for about a half. But Alabama simply wears opponents down and beats them up. Alabama pulls away in the fourth quarter. Alabama 24, Tennessee 6.

 

3. Arkansas at Ole Miss: We wouldn’t have said this before the season started, but Arkansas will win this game because it has the better quarterback. Ryan Mallett was brilliant against the Florida defense last week and has 14 touchdown passes and only three interceptions. Jevan Snead of Ole Miss bounced back against UAB last week but he still has nine interceptions. Ole Miss could win this game because of its defensive front. But I just have a hunch that Arkansas is going to play well after the tough loss at Florida. Arkansas 24, Ole Miss 21.

 

4. Auburn at LSU: Auburn started 5-0 and got its fans all excited. Now the Tigers have dropped two straight to Arkansas and Kentucky and now their fans are getting worried. If Auburn quarterback Chris Todd can regain his touch, Gene Chizik’s team has a shot in Baton Rouge. That’s because LSU still hasn’t figured out what kind of offense it wants to be. Still, it’s worth noting that Auburn has not won in Baton Rouge since 1999. LSU 21, Auburn 14.

 

5. Florida at Mississippi State: Tim Tebow goes against his old offensive coordinator Dan Mullen, who is now the head guy in Starkville. Florida played one of its worst offensive games in a long time against Arkansas with four turnovers and six quarterback sacks. Tebow also had to carry the ball 27 times, which is something you’d rather not do with a quarterback who just had  a concussion. Mississippi State doesn’t have the athletes Mullen needs, but the Bulldogs are moving the ball on just about everybody. Florida could also be caught looking ahead to next week’s trip to Jacksonville to play Georgia. Florida wins another ugly game.  One historical note. If Tebow scores two rushing touchdowns, he will break Herschel Walker’s career SEC mark of 49.  Florida 24, Miss. State 10.

 

6. Vanderbilt at South Carolina: Vanderbilt has won two straight against the Gamecocks but don’t figure to make it three. Still Steve Spurrier has great respect for the Commodores, who manhandled his Gamecocks two years ago in Columbia. That loss started a five-game losing streak to end the season. South Carolina (5-2) needs this win to become bowl eligible. Spurrier also knows that his team is facing the really brutal part of its schedule with Tennessee, Arkansas, Florida, and Clemson remaining. “Our schedule is tougher the latter part of the year. We know that,” Spurrier said. South Carolina 24, Vanderbilt 7.

 

7. Clemson at Miami: Clemson fans are rightfully confused. They watched their Tigers lose to 1-3 Maryland on Oct. 3 and it appeared that Dabo Swinney’s team was falling apart. After an off week, which included some serious and sometimes heated discussions among coaches and players, Clemson comes back to dominate Wake Forest 38-3. So is Clemson finally starting to turn the corner under Swinney? We should find out Saturday when the Tigers go  to No. 10 Miami. The Hurricanes are 5-1 but they’ve only played three ACC games. They may also be the ACC’s best hope at a national championship team. I like Miami at home. Miami 21, Clemson 17.

 

8. Boston College at Notre Dame: Boston College has won six straight games in this series between the two major Catholic football playing schools. Paul Johnson of Georgia Tech will probably be the ACC coach of the year, but BC’s Frank Spaziani has to get some votes. The Eagles (5-2) were picked dead last in the ACC Atlantic and are currently leading the division. Here is your upset special of the week. Boston College 28, Notre Dame 24.

 

9. TCU at BYU: TCU (6-0) is No. 8 in the first BCS Standings and has a real shot to go 12-0 if the Horned Frogs can get past Max Hall and BYU. TCU has an underrated quarterback in Andy Dalton, whose 23 career wins at TCU is second only to the great Sammy Baugh, who had 29. Jerry Hughes might be the best defensive end in the country. This is the best game on the board this Saturday. TCU 31, BYU 24.

 

10. USF at Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh is 6-1 but the Panthers have been here before under Dave Wannstedt.  Pitt started 6-1 in 2006 and proceeded to lose its last five games to finish 6-6. The last time the Panthers were 7-1 was in 1982 when Dan Marino led them to a 9-1 start. Pittsburgh has found a star in freshman running back Dion Lewis, who is third in the nation in rushing at 131.14 yards per game. Pittsburgh, No. 20 in the first BCS standings, appears headed for a show down with No. 5 Cincinnati on Dec. 5 for the Big East championship. They will take care of USF. Pittsburgh 23, USF 13.

 

 

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298 comments Add your comment

Blue Darter

October 23rd, 2009
11:31 am

Mallett was “brilliant” against UF last week….Really?? He made a couple of nice throws but threw what should have been an INT if Jenoris Jenkins wasn’t staring straight into the sun.

Tony….12 of 27 for 224yds does not equal brilliant. Still like ‘em to handle Ole Mess this week.

DC Dawg

October 23rd, 2009
11:33 am

AZ Jacket, you just made my point sweet pants!!!

Vol of reason

October 23rd, 2009
11:37 am

Trade School Junkie. You need to chill out and not take things so personal. Tony writes a blog so you can waste your time blogging here. It’s a football game not life and death. Get some perspective.

GT JJ

October 23rd, 2009
11:37 am

I think Miami plays too well at home for Clemson. I’m looking for their slip up to be on the road (wake or usf best chances). Although, I will absolutely be pulling for the upset.

Good Grief

October 23rd, 2009
11:41 am

Tech fans have every reason to be excited and I don’t blame them for taking the opportunity to rib Georgia fans given that GT won the most recent game and their program looks to be headed in the right direction. But a little perspective here……..the SEC is ONLY now getting the hype they’ve deserved for 50 years. The conference has a winning record verses every other major conference……and no other conference comes anywhere close to sporting 6 teams who are among the the top 20 programs all time. There is no conference that has put more players in the NFL than the SEC and thats been a trend for 30 years. Not to mention that the interest in the SEC is unparrelled. The Yanks and Sox may not always be the best team (they are a lot) but they get the most coverage because they have the most fans.

jack bull

October 23rd, 2009
11:44 am

alabama will show us the real tennessee and hold crompton to under 170 yds. also showing us the real reason why he did so good against the dawgs… which is CWM.. when i was leaving the stadium in knoxville a few weeks ago, i tried to tell em up there that we had just given them false hope..

and did anyone see kiffin give UGA a few more back-handed slaps this week? he said Alabama’s defense will be much, much stronger than their last opponent’s(UGA), mainly because saban will change things up from week to week, whereas, their last opponent was just so predictable.. hmmm?!? he also made it clear that to him, UGA is now officially their biggest rivalry because of recruiting…so now we have how many big rivals? GT, UF, USC, AUB,,,now UT? not to mention UA or what used to be a huge rival, Clemson. why is it everyone wants to beat us so bad? oh, that’s right, to be the best, you have to beat the best!!!!! GO DAWGS!!!

DC Dawg

October 23rd, 2009
11:46 am

Vol of reason they are out of control, win a few games and they are Mortgaging their mopeds to get to Charlottesville to talk smack like they are playing for the BCS title game!!

Go Tech

October 23rd, 2009
12:04 pm

This is a different Tech team from the recent past. Sure, after a big win we would’ve easily let up in the past. Not this time, not with this coach. He is keeping them focused and I like how we’ve been beating the teams we should be beating: Miss. State, FSU, UNC. I just don’t see a let up from this coach and this team. GT wins 28-20.

Tony has a right to say whatever he wants, and I’m glad he is picking Tech these days (otherwise he would look foolish picking against the local team that’s on a roll). But he shouldn’t be lobbying the football world against Tech by saying only UM has a chance. He is showing his true colors with a statement like that and I hope we can make him eat those words later in the year. Our only recourse is to focus on the business at hand and JUST KEEP WINNING!!

Hokie Fan

October 23rd, 2009
12:06 pm

Got 12 – I don’t remember saying that BUT that being said, lots of us were thinking that (including myself) and right now we’ve spent the last few days cleaning off the tire tracks on our backs from last weekend and throwing away the delusions of the Crystal trophy.

Say what you want about the ‘bama game – it’s a loss and that’s that. It will be very interesting to see how this all plays out in the ACC.

I’d be lying if I said I didn’t want to go to Tampa and then Miami but show me an ACC fan who doesn’t want to make those trips. It will be fun to watch.

yellowjacket82

October 23rd, 2009
12:11 pm

GT wins easily. Missy State upsets UF & UF hangs 60 on the DAWGS next week.

theoHOO

October 23rd, 2009
12:22 pm

Tech relies on big plays, like any other team, only the plays have to come on big runs. Those runs aren’t a function of elusive, open-field talents; rather, they’re based on precise and effective blocking against teams that insist on stuffing the box. UVA doesn’t play the kind of defense that a well-executed Tech offense would thrive against. It’s not a 4-3 with the safeties up, like Virginia Tech and others run against the Wreck. And even though we know Tech will run and run and run (and occasionally pass), the truth is we’ll stay boring and rely on sure tackling from linebackers reading the plays from the comfort of being two yards off the line of scrimmage. True, if they fill and miss the tackle, Tech will get first downs. But the big runs would depend on safeties and DBs being blocked or out of position, which would seem unlikely. Our plan this year will be the same as last: rely on reaction from the LBs to make sure tackles for gains of no more then 4 yards, force third downs of three yards or more, and then rely on one of the nation’s best third down defenses to force punts. If Tech can’t get big plays on offense, they may try to press — which is what they did last year that got them to make turnovers and bad decisions. If they’re more patient this year than last, that could change things. Problem is, they’ll be on the road where emotions can get the better of a visiting team. Sure, tech will be favored, but one should not be surprised if they get caught looking in Charlottesville.

Go HOOS!

Mark

October 23rd, 2009
12:29 pm

How can the 42nd ranked team Mich St, be favored against the #6 ranked team, Iowa? If this isn’t proof the polls are a joke, I don’t know what is.

Atlanta Gator

October 23rd, 2009
12:53 pm

Trade School Junkie

October 23rd, 2009
12:54 pm

Just a few extra thoughts about the GT-UVA game before the weekend:

Bobby Bowden: “We just couldnt stop that GT offense.”

Frank Beamer: “We just couldnt stop that GT offense.”

GT won in Tallahassee for the 1st time EVER.
GT beat VT…in Atlanta…for the 1st time…since 1990.

GT has (17) starters returning from 2008 with.
UVA has (8). Thats not a typo…(8).

UVA stats thru 6 games are incredibly bad !! Against BAD teams !!

CPJ surely knows that if Clemson beats Miami,
then that will obviously help GT in the BCS standings.

To MAXIMIZE…the boost GT will get in the BCS rankings,
then GT needs to win…CONVINCINGLY. No “28-24″ close game Bullsh**
like Tony Bias is offering.

I expect to see GT lay a beatdown on UVA.

For BCS “style” points, CPJ needs a CONVINCING blow-out type of win.

And, I think thats exactly whats gonna happen.

GT-O is gonna put up HUGE points, and GT-D will play for a shut-out.

It wont surprise me at all if its somethng like: GT:56 UVA:9

Atlanta Gator

October 23rd, 2009
12:55 pm

(7) Miami over Clemson, 27-17. Randy Shannon may or may not get the Canes back to the Promised Land, but Dabo Swinney does not appear to be the solution for what ails the Tigers.

Atlanta Gator

October 23rd, 2009
12:55 pm

(8) Boston College vs. Notre Dame (?). Sorry, but I just don’t have a feel for either of these teams right now, and I get the sense that both programs are at sea and trying to find a sense of themselves. No bet on this one — any bet would be nothing more than random.

MarbleRye

October 23rd, 2009
12:56 pm

Here’s how it’ll really go down: Miami will whip Clemson, Clemson flails on its way to a 6-6 season, loses its bowl and Tommy Bowden ver2 STILL remains on as head coach because Clemson’s athletic department is just that ball-less.

Atlanta Gator

October 23rd, 2009
12:56 pm

(9) TCU over BYU, 27-21, in the Battle of the Letters.

(10) Pitt over South Florida, 27-17. Pitt could sure use Dan Marino under center now, but the Panthers are still good enough to contend for the depleted Big East’s conference title in 2009.

Good luck to all the teams for whom you cheer, and may the best teams win (they usually do).

Go Tech

October 23rd, 2009
1:01 pm

Hey Tony, if you aren’t a UGA homer, then why does your Friday forecast only link to AJC’s UGA homepage, and not GT’s?

a special year ????

October 23rd, 2009
1:06 pm

perhaps…. but we must go week to week an overlook no one.

dis n dat…

- re cpj… tony mentions his chances are pretty good to win acc coy for two straight. he is starting to hear accolades from opposing coaches on a national level. urban myers attended a few his coaching clinics. he is accomplishing a good season with another coaches players.

espn announcers said that of all the one loss teams, gt had the best chance to win out. if we were fortunate enough for that to happen we would be 12-1. i know i know that will be a tough row to hoe.

going a bit further… my guess is that their will be around 10 total teams with 1 loss or less at the end of the season. i can see maybe 2 undefeated teams.

funny things do happen sometimes at the end of seasons as the stress mounts for each team to win out. remember when TheOSU leapfrogged from like no 6 into the nc game over the last 2 weeks of the season a few years back?

if gt were fortunate enough to win out we should be mid top 10. also keep in mind that gt plays in the acc coastal. the coastal is by far the best of the acc. duke is looking competitive, and uva is looking a whole lot better. than we have 3 good teams in gt um an vt. the stage is set…..

13-1. mnc game or not i would be stoked.

No BCS

October 23rd, 2009
1:08 pm

GT4Ever
“As Lee Corso says, “not so fast my friend” and puts on his GT Buzz helment. Tech rolls against the Cavs. 42-10.”

LOL! If Corso puts on the GT Buzz helmet, you just got the kiss of death. The Corso Jinx.

Not trying to start a lynch mob. I’m actually pulling for Georgia Tech; however, I just think history has shown that many teams after a huge win one week have a meltdown the next. And considering the history GT has had at Virginia, don’t be too surprised if Virginia wins this one.

How2fish

October 23rd, 2009
1:09 pm

Go Tech in answer to why Tony;s forecast has NO link to the GT homepage..easy…Tony has taste…good luck vs VA this weekend but….. please…link to GT’s homepage.I think not.

Burdell

October 23rd, 2009
1:22 pm

theHOO–

Do you really think that CPJ has not coached against and defeated a 3-4 defense? It’s not like you guys are the Steelers or anything!!!

GO JACKETS!! BEAT THE YOOHOOS!!!

Atlanta Gator

October 23rd, 2009
1:22 pm

GT For You And Me

October 23rd, 2009
1:28 pm

GT had a huge win vs the noles one week. Beat VT the next week. No let down………… Enough said!!!!!!! Go Jackets………………

jumbeauxtiger

October 23rd, 2009
1:30 pm

I have tried to post my picks 3 time today :(

jackette

October 23rd, 2009
1:33 pm

Clemson has always had the talent but coaching is another story, otherwise they could control Miami and pull off the victory..still though, Tigers can do it in spite of coaching and a few Miami fumbles or interceptions

GTSteve

October 23rd, 2009
1:35 pm

Miami is one QB injury away from being done for the year….the problem is that kid is so fast it is hard to catch him

HokieNOT

October 23rd, 2009
1:44 pm

HOAXIE Fan, your team isn’t going anywhere…I do not care what kind of record Florida State has, when you play the Noles in Tallahassee its a battle, any team that has a recruiting year like they do year after year and for GT to win there means they are up for the challenge at VA. So too bad for your team. And Clemson honestly has more talent than your team as well. The coaches there need to figure out what to do with it hopefully it will be this weekend in Miami.

gdawginkalamazoo

October 23rd, 2009
1:52 pm

Hey people lay off of Tony and his SEC coverage. After all he is on THE premier SEC show on Saturday afternoons. Not the Thursday night ACC show on FSS.

Not Disappointed!

October 23rd, 2009
1:54 pm

Good Picks Tony! Gt Rolls!

Stinger

October 23rd, 2009
1:59 pm

Paul Johnson would kick Croso’s arse.

GoneFishin'

October 23rd, 2009
2:00 pm

I agree with Atlanta Gator… QWERTY

GoneFishin'

October 23rd, 2009
2:04 pm

GT should win, but UVA has Scott on their side. Notre Dame wins, better job praying this week. Clempson has a shot, Dabo will probably be shot if he loses. Florida rolls over Miss. St, nuff said. Bama destroys Tenn, Ingram will stone cold truck through some Vols. Arkansas will beat ole miss.

Tony Brain-fart

October 23rd, 2009
2:05 pm

Barnhart’s got his nose so far up Slive’s arse,
he could tell what Slive had for breakfast.

GTSteve

October 23rd, 2009
2:15 pm

Tony is really not a SEC homer, he just gets paid by the SEC networks, so he does as he is told

ARdawg

October 23rd, 2009
2:20 pm

AZ Jacket

Boo fuggin Hoo. Put your big boy panties on and act like you have a pair. When hell freezes over and it actually is 7 of 15 will give you credit then. A word of caution, don’t hold your breath. The officiating is an issue. Sticking your head in the sand to that fact does not make it go away. Much like you do over the crappy teams the Bugs have been fielding for the last decade. Your head was in the sand but it didn’t change the fact Tech plain out sucked. You’ve got a good looking team and hope you give us a game TG weekend. Relish in that instead of the vile you have for the Dawgs.

DC Dawg…LOL…..you are correct sir

Tim Tivo

October 23rd, 2009
2:22 pm

I’m leading the Heisman voting so far and I’ve thrown all of 8 td passes halfway through the season. Sam Bradford threw 50 when he won it last year. But I will certainly improve on being 84th in the nation in passing. 84th. If I get into the top 50 I’m a shoo in for the Heisman. After all, I’m tim tivo

Nachos

October 23rd, 2009
2:23 pm

How2fish – that was an original comment! how long it take you to come up with that? 2-3 hours??? go watch your 1980 UGA natl championship video loser.

BYE

TRG

October 23rd, 2009
2:26 pm

Petetong, QWERTY

TRG

October 23rd, 2009
2:29 pm

peteetong, qwerty

Got 12?

October 23rd, 2009
2:38 pm

Regarding Lee Corso thing, has Tech ever played in the GameDay marquee game? If so, when?

Burdell

October 23rd, 2009
2:41 pm

Got 12?–

Yes. Opening game of the 2006 season at home vs. Notre Dame. ND got lucky…Brady Quinn brought them back and won 14-10 (if memory serves).

Burdell

October 23rd, 2009
2:42 pm

And yes, I believe Corso picked the Jackets….Corso curse in full effect.

Mikey

October 23rd, 2009
2:44 pm

Enter your comments here

Bobby Petrino

October 23rd, 2009
2:45 pm

I just wanted to tell Mr. Slive that the check cleared.
thanks…

Mikey

October 23rd, 2009
2:46 pm

Oops…hit submit before commenting…

I would like to gradulate the gator for the best defense I have seen in stopping the mighty razorback.
go gator.

Got 12?

October 23rd, 2009
2:48 pm

Tech won the ND game so Corso must have picked ND.

Will Tech be a part of another GameDay marquee game before the Bama game in 2013?

Got 12?

October 23rd, 2009
2:49 pm

(I choose to only remember the ND game Tech won.)

Buck Belue

October 23rd, 2009
2:55 pm

I wish I were the OC of the dawgs. Why come I got no chance like Bozo?