The Fearless Friday Forecast

 

Ouch.

 

Your Fearless Forecaster went 5-5 last week because he didn’t know that:

**–An unsportsmanlike conduct penalty (they’ve asked us not to call it excessive celebration) could be called for players looking into the stands or pointing to the sky. Nevertheless, LSU made the plays at the end of the game and deserved to beat Georgia.

 

**–The Tennessee offense could get any worse than it was. Auburn, to its credit, took advantage of that.

 

**–Miami would bounce back from an embarrassing loss at Virginia Tech and show a lot of heart to beat banged-up Oklahoma. Randy Shannon’s team is looking at 11-1.

 

**–Florida State’s football program could become more dysfunctional than it already was and lose on the road to Boston College.

 

**–Clemson could lose to a 1-3 Maryland team whose only win was against James Madison (38-35) in overtime.

 

That leaves us at 35-15 after five weeks. We’ll hope to do better this time out.

 

1. Georgia Tech at Florida State: If I’m Paul Johnson, I am concerned about what I will find when I get to Tallahassee. The Seminoles are going to rally and play great or they are going to go completely in the tank. I think Florida State will play hard but the truth is Georgia Tech is a better team. Georgia Tech 28, Florida State 24.

 

2. Georgia at Tennessee: After watching Georgia struggle to run the ball against LSU, it’s pretty clear what Monte Kiffin, the Tennessee DC, will do. He’ll stuff the run and bet that Georgia QB Joe Cox and WR A.J. Green can’t beat him. Georgia will speed up the tempo on offense and wear down the Tennessee defense in the second half. The Drama Dawgs win another close one. Georgia 21, Tennessee 17.

 

3. Florida at LSU: I’m not a doctor and I don’t play one on TV. But I’m here to tell you that Florida wins if  Tim Tebow plays. Florida also wins if Tim Tebow doesn’t play. It’s called defense and Florida has a great one. It will be a classic. Florida 17, LSU 14.

 

4. Auburn at Arkansas: Auburn showed me a lot by winning at Tennessee. Now the Tigers will be in a track meet in Fayetteville. Somebody in this game is going to have to make a defensive stop. Auburn has a better chance of doing it. Auburn 42, Arkansas 35.

 

5. Alabama at Ole Miss: Everybody is telling me what a great game this is going to be. I don’t see it. Alabama can beat you so many ways. They can grind it out. They can hit the big play. Jevan Snead, the Ole Miss quarterback, really struggled against a very good defense from South Carolina. Alabama’s defense is better. Alabama 28, Ole Miss 10.

 

6. Kentucky at South Carolina: The Wildcats will be without star cornerback Trevard Lindley which means they will have a greener than grass secondary. Do you think Coach Spurrier will want Stephen Garcia to take a few shots down the field? Gamecocks go to Alabama next week at 5-1. South Carolina 31, Kentucky 13.

 

7. Houston at Mississippi State: All I know is that Georgia Tech’s Josh Nesbitt, not know as a passer, threw for a career-high 266 yards against Mississippi State.  So what does that mean for Houston’s Case Keenum, who is completing 68 percent of his passes for 424 yards per game?  Houston 42, Mississippi State 31.

 

8. Boston College at Virginia Tech: The Hokies need to be careful not to look ahead too much to next week’s big trip to Georgia Tech. Boston College is struggling on offense but the Eagles are 4-1. If Virginia Tech QB Tyrod Taylor keeps playing well, the Hokies are going to be hard to beat. Virginia Tech 24, Boston College 14.

 

9. Michigan at Iowa: Iowa (5-0) might be the best team in the Big Ten but I will wait until the Hawkeyes play at Ohio State on Nov. 14 to make that judgment. Michigan lost a heartbreaker (26-20) in overtime at Michigan State last week and has the kind of spread offense that gives Iowa trouble. I still like the Hawkeyes. Iowa 21, Michigan 17.

 

10. Oregon at UCLA: The Ducks (4-1) have rebounded nicely after losing the opener to Boise State and have beaten California (42-3) and Washington State (52-6) in their last two outings. But Oregon may be without quarterback Jeremiah Masoli (knee). Nate Costa gets his first career start. Ducks win anyway. Oregon 31, UCLA 24.

 

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284 comments Add your comment

Nachos

October 9th, 2009
8:39 am

parker

October 9th, 2009
8:42 am

drama dogs choke in the rain! it will look just like last nights game with mizzoo and the corn kids. your theory might be right on the passing game, but it won’t be a passing game when the rain comes in buckets. Tenn. wins 9-6!

VolsnGoBlue

October 9th, 2009
8:49 am

Tennessee wins, Dogs are overrated and are squeaking by. Excessive celebration? why did they let a big ole kick return get inside their 40?

UGASlobberknocker

October 9th, 2009
8:50 am

Tech is going down.

KC in Athens

October 9th, 2009
8:53 am

Is anyone really dumb enough to think Tebow won’t play? Even so, I’m still giving LSU a good shot. Dawgs win in Neyland, improve to 3 and 1 in the SEC East. Hoping Florida gets a loss.

David

October 9th, 2009
8:54 am

The only two I disagree with are LSU/UF and Auburn/Arkansas. LSU at home at night = win like 90% of the time. On paper, Auburn may look like the better team but the typical pattern of unexpected SEC upsets will take place (ie SC over Miss) as Arkansas will somehow inexplicably win this game.

Brad

October 9th, 2009
8:54 am

Like your picks this week, Tony. The only thing I disagree with is that you think the UGA game is gonna be close. I think you’re underestimating just how bad the Tennessee offense has been this year. The 22 points they scored against Auburn is misleading, as a Tiger victory was never in any real jeopardy. Georgia is the better team (and I’m a Gator fan, for those of you who will undoubtedly accuse me of being a UGA homer).

SatchelBuzz

October 9th, 2009
8:55 am

We’re on a mission,….Sine Metu!

THWG!!!

Joe Schmoe

October 9th, 2009
8:56 am

This is kinda like the game GT played against Clemson last year. Lets get past the 1st quarter emotions and handle the game against FSU.

UGASlobberknocker

October 9th, 2009
8:56 am

UGA guys already go down!

Herschel Walker

October 9th, 2009
8:57 am

I can’t read

KC in Athens

October 9th, 2009
8:57 am

VolsNGoBlue, last I checked, Georgia wasn’t rated at all. Thank God we’ve got a cupcake like Tennessee to help us improve to 3 and 1 in the East.

Macclenny_dawg

October 9th, 2009
8:58 am

My prediction is Georgia scores first. Then they have a few series of 3 and outs. Tennessee finally scores and takes the lead. Next possession Georgia drives straight down the field to take a 3 point lead at the half. Georgia gets the ball to start the 2nd half has about 3 plays and turnover. Tennessee gets held to a field goal to tie the score. Georgia then has another 3 and out. Tennessee gets good field position and scores touchdown to take the lead. Georgia gets the ball and drives down to about the 10 yard line. Then a false start followed by holding penalty and settle for a field goal. Next Tennessee possession Tennessee gets 1 first down and punts back to Georgia with about 2 minutes left in the game. Georgia again drives right back down the field and scores winning touchdown with 45 seconds left. Tennessee then gets decent return and defense finally seals deal with Rambo getting interception. Another close game. This team is so predictable!!! They only play when they are challenged!!!!! Never play or coach a full 60 minutes. If this team played all the time with some urgency this team would be great!!!

VolsFan in ATL

October 9th, 2009
8:59 am

UGA goes down this weekend in a squeaker. It is a shame thowugh because both of our teams are just mediocre, but we should improve next year.

reebok

October 9th, 2009
9:01 am

Tech wins. Dogs win ugly. Florida wins whether Tebow plays or not. Michigan beats Iowa. Happy Friday and good luck (and no concussions) to all…

Eric

October 9th, 2009
9:02 am

There you go again. That penalty did not win the game for LSWho. They still had to score. And guess what, they did. Maybe you should say you didn’t know the UGA defense wouldn’t do their job on their last play of the game as your first excuse for going 5-5. Sheesh!

GT Alum

October 9th, 2009
9:05 am

I guess you couldn’t resist the temptation to beat that dead horse again regarding the excessive celebration penalty. Let it go Tony. LSU was clearly the better team and you’re acting like a 1st grader trying to make excuses for your team- coulda, shoulda, woulda. Are you still going to be talking about that call next week? Grow a pair Tony.

Nikki Sixx

October 9th, 2009
9:07 am

Nachos 1st!!!

Need some cheese with that whine?

October 9th, 2009
9:09 am

Tony, did we watch the same game last week? Its laughable to me that you and others keep citing the penalty on AJ Green as the sole reason you lost. UGA got beat by a better team. Wake up and smell the coffee. And take your skirt off.

The 2 guys in the Allstate commercial

October 9th, 2009
9:10 am

We will defeat the ramblin wreck…
What’s the fine for streaking again?

Nikki Sixx

October 9th, 2009
9:11 am

The Fearless Saturday Forecast…….

Drinkin cold beer with Nachos all day!

EDGE

October 9th, 2009
9:11 am

Don’t get me wrong, I really really really want Tech to win, but the thing that keeps popping in my head is this: When was the last time FSU lost three in a row? I can’t remember a time and it scares me! Somethings just dont happen, like UGA beating UT and UF in the same year!

jumbeauxtiger

October 9th, 2009
9:11 am

Tech 31 FSU 27
Dawgs 20 Vols 14
Bayou Bengals 23 Gators 21
Auburn 41 Ark 30
Bama 28 Ole Miss 17
SC 24 UK 21
Houston 38 State 27
Va Tech 20 BC 13
Iowa 28 Mich 24
Oregon 31 UCLA 17

Geaux Tigers!
Go SEC!

T

October 9th, 2009
9:12 am

OK Tony.. you have whined enough about the penalty…. Your Dawgs Lost… get over it…

CW

October 9th, 2009
9:12 am

Tony, love your column and I have great respect for your knowledge of the college game, but saying you missed the UGA v. LSU pick because of the refs comes off like a cop out. Regardless of the call, UGA did not play very well at home against a league opponent. Doggies had plenty of chances to win, but didn’t.

Totally agree with your pick on Houston v. MS St. Those bulldogs couldn’t defend if you were the QB.

Georgia will look like world beaters against TN and take out some frustration on the Vols.

Wish I knew what would happen in Tallahassee. Agree that Tech is the better team, but outside of Va Tech, no other ACC team plays very consistently week-to-week. And, I’d lay odds that Miami does NOT go 11-1.

Paul H

October 9th, 2009
9:16 am

Reebok has it right. Dogs win but it may not be pretty. Our offense may be inconsistent but UT’s offense is consistently bad. That will be the difference.

Hate to admit it but Tech wins.

Florida beats overrated LSU with or without Tebow.

Gosh while I’m at it…

Auburn gets loss #1 at Arkanasas.

Bama beats Ole Miss but it’s closer than people think.

Kentucky sucks. SC works ‘em.

Miss State upsets Houston.

Michigan, Iowa, any Big Ten team… Who gives a rat’s.

DawginLex

October 9th, 2009
9:17 am

Dawgs lose 17-10 Hardesty runs for 125 because we can’t tackle and Crompton’s receivers catch a couple of passes.

Tech wins as FSU continues to implode 35-24.

Florida will beat LSU with Tebow playing 24-14

Arkansas 42 Auburn 38

SC 23 UK 21

BAMA 35 OLE MISS 24

MSU 49 Houston 45

VA Tech 28 BC 10

Michigan 27 Iowa 24

Oregon 27 UCLA 23

Paul H

October 9th, 2009
9:18 am

Dear T and GTalum –

you need to reread Tony’s article. He said that LSU deserved to win and they made the plays UGA didn’t. I don’t call that whining. I call it giving credit where credit’s due.

GT Alum

October 9th, 2009
9:19 am

MS State will beat Houston this weekend. And I agree with EDGE that its going to be extremely difficult to beat FSU to hand them their 3rd straight loss. I’ve been asking you writers all week- when IS the last time FSU lost 3 straight? Or 2 straight home games for that matter??

Jackets better show up in a big way. I think they will but I’m cautiously optimistic. Our record versus FSU needs to be plastered on every wall in the visitor’s locker room at Doak Campbell.

TigerBait

October 9th, 2009
9:19 am

GEAUX TIGERS! You are right Tony that LSU vs. UF will be a classic but LSU will win it’s 33rd straight Saturday night game in Death Valley! I agree with all your other picks! Good luck to all teams!

Lord of the Lizards

October 9th, 2009
9:20 am

I’m being honest when I say I just can’t pick Fla/LSU. Too many variables…does Tebow play and if he does how much and how effective will he be?? Something tells me thats it’s all gonna come down to a critical play or turnover. Georgia will defeat Tennessee, I’ll say by 10 points just so the Vols can declare another moral victory. Saw some of the “Lane Kiffin Show” on Sun Sports the other day and he was saying this and that about how critical this and that was because it was only a 4 point loss to Auburn. But didn’t Tenn score a touchdown on like the last play of the game to make it even that close?? He was acting like it was anybodys game at the end. Anyway, anybody ever notice how shifty that guys’ eyes are on that show? He will look to the extreme left (at the host) and then extreme right but never right into the camera close up, only when they pan away. At very first, I thought he just didn’t know what camera to look into, but he did it the whole time! I’m telling you, that guy is the “tricky Dick” of college football, a complete fraud!

GT Alum

October 9th, 2009
9:21 am

Paul H- he’s been whining about it all week and stated on the radio that it is the “single worst officiating call he’s ever seen in his 32 years covering college football.” That sir, is called whining. And its a delusional comment on top of the crying..

LSU Fan

October 9th, 2009
9:21 am

TB

Quit Bit*hing about the penalty. UGA had just as much time as LSU to drive down the field, which they were doing until Noodle Arm Cox throws a pick right into the chest of Perry Riley (who is from GA). Enough with it already!

SimpleDawg

October 9th, 2009
9:21 am

Most fans would pick Tech over FSU….and Tech should beat FSU, but the ACC is so inconsistent this year that there are no sure things in any game. If FSU wins Saturday, be prepared for another PJ meltdown…stupid players.

Georgia has better players than Tennysee, and they should win by 2 touchdowns….only, the Dawgs are no lock to score 2 touchdowns. Which Georgia team shows up this weekend…and do they finally bring both there offense and their defense? Talk about stupid players…how can you not line up correctly on a kickoff? Georgia’s glaring weakness seems to be coaching…or rather, the lack there of.

Bamma rolls Ole Miss….Jevan Snead is going to have to sleep with a night-light after this game. He’ll have nightmares of big Bama boys slinging him around like Raggedy Andy. It will be a good day to check out the chicks in The Grove, but not a good football day for Ole Miss fans.

Awbarn’s Limo hits a Razorback in Fayetteville. The Razorback walks away; Awbarn needs a tow truck. Putrid Bobby ruins the Chizler’s day.

LSU needs to beat Florida in order to lose the over-rated tag. Saint Tebow performs a miracle and heals himself. But, that’s where the miracles end. LSU’s offense scores enough points to win a defensive struggle. Crawfish etouffee and Jack Daniels trumps perch and Busch Light.

The Warrior Chickens struggle to beat Kentucky, but defense wins the game…and SC has more of it than UK.

Va Tech hammers BC….

What’s all of this blather from the Lil Yeller Fellers about Va Tech having Tech in their name? What about Texas Tech, Tenn Tech, La Tech, Cal Tech…does GIT have some trade school trademark filed that no one knew about?

Dale

October 9th, 2009
9:22 am

Let’s see———-LSU will have 94,000 fans in the stands–11 on the field. On Saturday night Jefferson sprouts wings, Scott rides his Pegasus up and down Tiger Stadium and LSU roars as the stadium rocks-LSU 27-19—and it’s 6-0 already–Geaux you Bayou Bengals !

Tide Rising

October 9th, 2009
9:24 am

1) UGA-UT- UT has a tough D and a physical running game. Georgia has been Dr. Jekkyll-Mr.Hyde- Ya never know if the Georgia offense that walloped Ark and S. Carolina. is going to show up or if the offense that struggled against Okay state and LSU will show up. But for me the difference is that Joe Cox has flashes of brilliance whereas Crompton is consistently terrible. QB edge means UGA-20-17 over the vols.

2) LSU-UF- Still not sold on LSU. UF has so many weapons, the D is rock solid, and Brantley steps in comfortably. Gators by 10.

3) Teams backed in to a corner like FSU either rise to the challenge and respond or they just flat out give up and melt down. I think Tech wins either way but if FSU isn’t at least focused then Tech can win by double digits.

4) I’m shocked that everyone thinks Bama is going to blow away Ole Miss. Not so fast my friends. We’ve won 5 in a row over Ole Miss but 4 of them were won in the final minute, 2 on the last play. Ole Miss has had this game circled for a freaking year, its in Oxford, and you can bet they are going to be more jacked for this game than any game on their calendar in years.

We beat UK comfortably last week we struggled without Donta Hightower on D and allowed 133 yds rushing which broke the Bama commandment that thou shalt not rush for 100 yds against our D. Ole Miss is 4-1 and in the one loss they simply were out of sync and not sharp due to all the practice time missed. 19 players missed practice time due to the flu sweeping their campus and you can’t underestimate the impact that had on their one loss.

I think and hope we win but I think its crazy to think we’re going to blow them out.

5) Auburn-Ark. – Tossup game but I’m taking Auburn 31-28 because overall I think they are slightly better and they have momentum on their side. Chizik really has Auburn rolling and if they stay healthy I think they’ll continue to have a tremendous y

Steve

October 9th, 2009
9:25 am

Tony, making excuses for your picks just like Georgia making excuses whenever they lose. Does not surprise me one bit. You really are the typical Georgia fan.

TigerBait

October 9th, 2009
9:25 am

SimpleDawg, don’t forget there will also be plenty of gator stew, gator bites, bbq gator and gator etouffe too!

Unbiased observer

October 9th, 2009
9:28 am

Yep, its clear that Tony needs to grow a sack.

#2 BAMA FAN

October 9th, 2009
9:30 am

Hope the hogs can play a little defense and out score the barn. The crimson tide will roll and the dawgs will beat smokey’s butt saturday!!

VolsFan in ATL

October 9th, 2009
9:31 am

Tony please, stop with the whining already. Lord it is getting old.

PMC

October 9th, 2009
9:31 am

Georgia has a bad to terrible line and incapable running backs. Why stuff the run when you don’t have to? I think they focus on bringing pressure and forcing Cox into some poor throws that they can pick off.

Georgia’s Running Backs and OL don’t scare anyone. There’s no reason to walk up the safeties.

senoiadawgs

October 9th, 2009
9:32 am

Maclenny_dawg… Wow I think I have watched that on TV about 50 times in the last 4-5 years. Good post.

GT 37 FSU 26
UGA 10 TN 9
UF19 LSU 10 Tebow does not play
AU 45 ARK 27
AL 32 Ole Miss 13
SC 27 UK 16
MissState 41 Houston 40
BC17 Va Tech 16
Michigan 24 Iowa 23 A FR QB who ever heard of such
UCLA 31 Oregon 27

BankerDawg

October 9th, 2009
9:32 am

Tony-

You think we have the type of offense that can wear down a Monte Kiffin defense?

Really?

Is it because we run it so well between the tackles? We churn out first downs and run clock? Have we been watching the same games this year?

I’m an alum as well, and would love to be an optimist, but if I look at this game objectively, I just cannot see how we solve their D. Plus, they will be playing with an extreme amount of urgency as another loss drops them to 0-3 in the conference.

Richt’s road history says we win, but I have no idea what Georgia team will show up this year in Knoxville….I think we lose a close one.

UT96

October 9th, 2009
9:35 am

3 to 0 in triple overtime, not predicting a winner.

LOL

October 9th, 2009
9:36 am

READ WHAT HE SAID MORONS!

“An unsportsmanlike conduct penalty (they’ve asked us not to call it excessive celebration) could be called for players looking into the stands or pointing to the sky. Nevertheless, LSU made the plays at the end of the game and deserved to beat Georgia.”

Can you people even read or are you just so hung up on calling UGA fans whiners that is does not matter what anyone says? He clearly stated that LSU deserved to win the game, but you clowns still want to call him a whiner. Just STFU already!

Joey

October 9th, 2009
9:39 am

Simple Dawg, if having better players really mattered, UGA would not have gone 10-3 last year with blowout losses to equally if not less talented UF and Bama. And lack of coaching is right on the money.

UT96

October 9th, 2009
9:43 am

As an amendment to the earlier post: whomever wins the UT-UGA game, never team will leave happily. This is going to be a very sloppy, ugly game.

Dawg fans: 50% chance of rain, bring your ponchos. Have a safe trip up to Knoxvegas!

UT96

October 9th, 2009
9:43 am

“neither”

how2fish

October 9th, 2009
9:45 am

To the morons that didn’t read the entire article..Tony DID state that LSU made the plays when they needed them and DESERVED to win…and as much as I hate it I have to agree..