The Fearless Friday Forecast

 

Ouch.

 

Your Fearless Forecaster went 5-5 last week because he didn’t know that:

**–An unsportsmanlike conduct penalty (they’ve asked us not to call it excessive celebration) could be called for players looking into the stands or pointing to the sky. Nevertheless, LSU made the plays at the end of the game and deserved to beat Georgia.

 

**–The Tennessee offense could get any worse than it was. Auburn, to its credit, took advantage of that.

 

**–Miami would bounce back from an embarrassing loss at Virginia Tech and show a lot of heart to beat banged-up Oklahoma. Randy Shannon’s team is looking at 11-1.

 

**–Florida State’s football program could become more dysfunctional than it already was and lose on the road to Boston College.

 

**–Clemson could lose to a 1-3 Maryland team whose only win was against James Madison (38-35) in overtime.

 

That leaves us at 35-15 after five weeks. We’ll hope to do better this time out.

 

1. Georgia Tech at Florida State: If I’m Paul Johnson, I am concerned about what I will find when I get to Tallahassee. The Seminoles are going to rally and play great or they are going to go completely in the tank. I think Florida State will play hard but the truth is Georgia Tech is a better team. Georgia Tech 28, Florida State 24.

 

2. Georgia at Tennessee: After watching Georgia struggle to run the ball against LSU, it’s pretty clear what Monte Kiffin, the Tennessee DC, will do. He’ll stuff the run and bet that Georgia QB Joe Cox and WR A.J. Green can’t beat him. Georgia will speed up the tempo on offense and wear down the Tennessee defense in the second half. The Drama Dawgs win another close one. Georgia 21, Tennessee 17.

 

3. Florida at LSU: I’m not a doctor and I don’t play one on TV. But I’m here to tell you that Florida wins if  Tim Tebow plays. Florida also wins if Tim Tebow doesn’t play. It’s called defense and Florida has a great one. It will be a classic. Florida 17, LSU 14.

 

4. Auburn at Arkansas: Auburn showed me a lot by winning at Tennessee. Now the Tigers will be in a track meet in Fayetteville. Somebody in this game is going to have to make a defensive stop. Auburn has a better chance of doing it. Auburn 42, Arkansas 35.

 

5. Alabama at Ole Miss: Everybody is telling me what a great game this is going to be. I don’t see it. Alabama can beat you so many ways. They can grind it out. They can hit the big play. Jevan Snead, the Ole Miss quarterback, really struggled against a very good defense from South Carolina. Alabama’s defense is better. Alabama 28, Ole Miss 10.

 

6. Kentucky at South Carolina: The Wildcats will be without star cornerback Trevard Lindley which means they will have a greener than grass secondary. Do you think Coach Spurrier will want Stephen Garcia to take a few shots down the field? Gamecocks go to Alabama next week at 5-1. South Carolina 31, Kentucky 13.

 

7. Houston at Mississippi State: All I know is that Georgia Tech’s Josh Nesbitt, not know as a passer, threw for a career-high 266 yards against Mississippi State.  So what does that mean for Houston’s Case Keenum, who is completing 68 percent of his passes for 424 yards per game?  Houston 42, Mississippi State 31.

 

8. Boston College at Virginia Tech: The Hokies need to be careful not to look ahead too much to next week’s big trip to Georgia Tech. Boston College is struggling on offense but the Eagles are 4-1. If Virginia Tech QB Tyrod Taylor keeps playing well, the Hokies are going to be hard to beat. Virginia Tech 24, Boston College 14.

 

9. Michigan at Iowa: Iowa (5-0) might be the best team in the Big Ten but I will wait until the Hawkeyes play at Ohio State on Nov. 14 to make that judgment. Michigan lost a heartbreaker (26-20) in overtime at Michigan State last week and has the kind of spread offense that gives Iowa trouble. I still like the Hawkeyes. Iowa 21, Michigan 17.

 

10. Oregon at UCLA: The Ducks (4-1) have rebounded nicely after losing the opener to Boise State and have beaten California (42-3) and Washington State (52-6) in their last two outings. But Oregon may be without quarterback Jeremiah Masoli (knee). Nate Costa gets his first career start. Ducks win anyway. Oregon 31, UCLA 24.

 

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284 comments Add your comment

Quagmire

October 10th, 2009
7:03 pm

The grammatical and spelling errors in this board’s postings shows how stupid our country is overall.

DawgVoiceofReason

October 10th, 2009
8:38 pm

Only 4 things Georgia did well today: kick a field goal, punt, kick returns and block a punt. Everything else, running, passing, defense, coaching, effort, was terrible. Someone else predicted that we would make Crompton look like a Heismann Trophy canidate, and he was RIGHT. Credit UT for their running game and defense, too. The Georgia players have got to step it up big time the rest of the way or some of the other negative predictions about the season are going to come true.

JSS_62

October 10th, 2009
11:00 pm

Tony Banhart, your picks stink!

#2 BAMA FAN

October 11th, 2009
7:02 am

Wonder if paper bags makes a comeback in Georgia this week and the week after? Letting kiffin beat
the dawgs like a red headed step child is just terrible and Richt has do something about his defense.
If you think that losing to the vols is bad, losing to Vandy will be a total meltdown in nuclear terms!!
ROLL TIDE!!

TrueCrimson

October 11th, 2009
9:33 am

This season’s goals for the Georgia Bulldogs have now been greatly simplified:

1. Upset the Florida Gators.

2. Demolish the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

PattyFine

October 11th, 2009
9:34 am

I bet UT wins by large score…say 45-19

Atlanta Gator

October 11th, 2009
10:09 am

In the SEC, a win is a win is a win. Last night’s Florida-LSU game in Death Valley wasn’t pretty. It was a hard-fought defensive struggle that may have played to the greatest strengths of both teams: their defenses. When the Gators play the Tigers in Death Valley, I’ll take a 10-point win over a 7-point loss every time.

Congratulations to the Tigers for leaving everything they had on the field. The Gators and Tigers may meet again in Atlanta in December, but that’s up to the Tigers, who still control their own SEC destiny.

Atlanta Gator

October 11th, 2009
10:31 am

From the Associated Press wire article about Saturday night’s LSU-UF game—-

“When he was done beating the Tigers, several of them waited around for him to finish an interview so they could shake his hand at midfield.

“‘He came out there and gave a great effort,’ LSU defensive tackle Charles Alexander said. ‘He is one of the greatest college football players to play the game.’”

Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/ncaa/scoreboards/2009/10/10/40096_viewcast_recap.html#ixzz0TdaI04RY

I wish all SEC fans would show the same degree of sportsmanship that Charles Alexander and his teammates displayed after the game. Small gestures of respect DO matter.

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
10:42 am

“a win is a win”

That’s what one says after a very un-impressive win. Florida played LSU slightly better than did Georgia. Same with Tennessee — only more so.

jumbeauxtiger

October 11th, 2009
11:07 am

I continue to be amazed by Tebow. I have been a LSU season ticket holder since 1982 and have been to numerous road games all over the country. I have never watched a better player than him. He is the heart and soul of that team.

The Gators’ defense is very strong. Their game plan of pressuring Jefferson was the difference.

LSU’s defense played hard and is much improved over last year. However as a LSU fan I don’t understand why Miles didn’t play Jarrett Lee to provide some spark. Jefferson holds the ball too long and takes unnecessary sacks; 13 in the last 2 games. Why Russell Shepard did not play boggles my mind.

Congrats to the Gators for a hard fought and deserving win. Good luck the rest of the way.

Geaux Tigers
Go SEC

Atlanta Gator

October 11th, 2009
11:18 am

On other notes . . . .

Congratulations to the Yellow Jackets and their fans. Regardless of the present state of the Florida State football program, last night’s Georgia Tech win in Tallahassee was a big one. Despite an ugly loss to Miami, a 10-win season and a possible ACC championship berth are still within reach. The Jackets have a lot to play for.

As for our other home state team, the Dawgs appear to be in a sorry state after yesterday’s embarrassing loss to Lane Kiffin’s Volunteers. The Dawgs were anemic on offense, and pathetic on defense. How the heck did a talented defense make under-performing Vols QB Jonathan Crompton look like a Heisman candidate? How does Mark Richt field a team like this with five consecutive top-5 recruiting classes? I like Mark Richt, I think he’s a good coach and an even better man, but he needs to wake up to the fact that his fans, boosters and supporters will be talking about his job soon and not just the jobs of his defensive coordinator and assistants if he doesn’t take steps to fix the Dawgs’ defense. If I were a Dawg fan, I would be furious not because the Dawgs lost but because they looked “lost” against an arguably lesser team.

And speaking of the hot seat . . . what about Florida State? I said it earlier this week, but it bears repeating now that the Seminoles have officially posted their worst opening record since 1976 (Bowden’s first year and the last time the Seminoles opened 2-4): Bobby Bowden is a living legend whose time has come and gone. It’s now time for him to depart the stage for the greater good of the program that he built from mediocrity to dominance. No more talk about extending his contract through 2010. Bobby needs to recognize that every day longer he coaches delays the necessary and inevitable regime change that must accompany the rebuilding of the FSU program.

Alabama squashed Ole Miss in a game that was not as close as the 22-3 score would indicate. The Crimson Tide increasingly looks to be in the driver’s seat in the SEC Western Division, and they can control their own destiny by beating LSU and Auburn to return to Atlanta for a likely rematch of last year’s SEC championship game.

There will be more surprises in the SEC this season, but the hierarchy now seems to be established. After yesterday’s game, only Florida, Alabama, LSU, Auburn and South Carolina (!) look to still be in contention for the SEC title. Given the recent football history of AU and USC, it would appear to be a narrower 3-way race hinging on the outcome of the Bama-LSU and SEC championship games.

Atlanta Gator

October 11th, 2009
11:28 am

Coach O—-I have no idea for what team you cheer, but speaking as a long-time Gators fan, I am always happy when the Gators get a win in Baton Rouge. Since Spurrier moved on and Saban and Miles have revived the LSU program, the last four series games played in Baton Rouge have been decided by 12, 4, 4 and 10 points. The last three years, the winner of the LSU-UF game has played for and won the BCS national championship game. Frankly, you can mock the win as “unimpressive,” but I’ll take the damn win and run with it

Laughing @ UGA fans

October 11th, 2009
11:32 am

Where are all the UGA idiot posters now? You would have thought from reading the posts prior to the game UGA could just show up and win in K-town. NOT! This was a huge win for UT not only on the field but in the recruiting state of GA. Please continue to laugh at Lane Kiffin. Two programs going in different directions. Remember the 2001 UGA/UT game and Larry’s hobnail boot call? UGA went on to have a nice run.

UT broke UGA’s spirit yesterday. Get ready for more of the 90’s dominiation.

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
11:54 am

Atlanta Gator,

The outcome of the last four games has nothing to do with voodoo or Baton Rouge on a Saturday night. LSU had good teams for the past four years. The quality of the LSU team this year is questionable at best. They still haven’t done anything to indicate that they have a good team this year.

Still, like you said, a win is a win.

Congratulations on a very unimpressive win.

Joe Bob Thibodaux

October 11th, 2009
12:20 pm

LSU Tiger quarterback Jefferson doesn’t look like a winning SEC QB. He has talent, but his weaknesses undermined the possibility of success by the Tigers. 9 times in 10 the Gators would beat LSU this year. Tebow should win the Heisman again this year. LSU defense played well enough for Tiger win, but offense just doesn’t operate–season it too short for Jefferson to learn enough for a rematch with Florida. Tigers will be very lucky if they go 10-2.

If your team still has to play Florida, this might help:
The Florida center turned his head just before snapping the ball which could have been called against the Florida offense–but instead it resulted in Tigers being called off sides, again, and again. Finally in the 2nd half, the refs asked the center to quit it.
Even so, Gators were too much for the Tigers. Great win.

Go LSU TIGERS, whip up on Auburn.

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
12:31 pm

Too bad Florida doesn’t play Auburn. It would help their strength of schedule. Looks like South Carolina will turn out to be the most powerful opponent that Florida will face during the regular season.

The only thing that the Swamp Lizards proved Saturday night was that they’re slightly better than Mississippi State and Georgia. The Gators are fortunate that MSU found a way to lose that game against LSU. Otherwise, they wouldn’t be able to claim that they have played against a ranked opponent this year.

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
12:54 pm

For those who think that I have a personal vendetta against the Gators, lets have a look at Florida’s 2009 schedule:

Charleston Southern – 2 & 3
Troy – 2 & 2
Tennessee – 3 & 3
Kentucky – 2 & 3
LSU – 5 & 1
Arkansas – 3 & 2
MSU – 2 & 4
Georgia – 3 & 3
Vandy – 2 & 4
South Carolina – 5 & 1
FIU – 1 & 4
FSU – 2 & 4

Florida is Number 1 because they finished last season as Number 1. Winning this schedule wouldn’t get a team into the Top Ten if they weren’t already there. Boise State has a better argument.

Joe Bob Thibodaux

October 11th, 2009
12:54 pm

Atlanta Gator: Gators probably could have scored again at the end of the game with either a field goal or TD. HERNANDEZ played a good game, too, for Florida. Coach O doesn’t give credit where it is due. Again, my hat is off to the Gators, and the gator fans I met at Tiger Stadium were first class–not a lizard in town.

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
1:02 pm

Joe Bob,

I can understand why LSU fans are happy with this loss. After squeaking past MSU and Georgia like you did, it was obvious that the No. 1 team in the country should have blown you guys right out of the stadium — regardless of which QB was taking snaps. That didn’t happen.

Florida and LSU may both have pretty good football teams this year, but neither team has really done anything on the field of play to prove that contention.

Joe Bob Thibodaux

October 11th, 2009
1:10 pm

O, we aren’t happy with the loss. We just got beat by a better team. We had our chances to win, and couldn’t. This is a tough conference, even the East, which you don’t seem to want to acknowledge. If the Gators get a chance to play Bama, or even Arkansas, I suppose that just isn’t any national competition. Oh well. I don’t know where LSU will be ranked after the loss, but they played a real good Florida club. If you think Boise is the prize, then, OK, thats your view. Who is your team?

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
1:17 pm

Gators play Arkansas next week. It will be the best team that they have faced this year. I predict that LSU will not lose next week. The Eastern Division of the SEC has become the weak sister of the Conference. Funny how things change.

I don’t have a team. I’m just an interested observer.

Joe Bob Thibodaux

October 11th, 2009
1:26 pm

LSU has a week off. Safe prediction!
This week is the beginning of the 2nd half of the season. From here on, everything matters a lot. Razerbacks should be able to score some points on Gators. I was really surprised that Tigers couldn’t score more. Fact is, the Tigers are still getting better. I believe Sheppard might have helped LSU offense, but coach Miles has mindset that doesn’t involve substitutions very much. I enjoy your comments.

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
1:26 pm

Joe Bob Thibodaux

October 11th, 2009
1:37 pm

In a way that is a surprise to me. The Offense just isn’t there. At this date, it looks like the D can play with any team, but the O, oh no.
Its a shame, too, because LaFell, Dickson, and Scott are good players. Jefferson just isn’t a pocket QB. Jefferson just doesn’t know how to get the players the ball–and doesn’t know how to avoid the sack. There just isn’t enough time left this season to work out his problems.
I was expecting Florida to pass the middle, but they didn’t. Tebow was not caught behind the line much–scrambled like a Heisman winner.
Thanks for the link.

Tide Rising

October 11th, 2009
1:40 pm

Whew! Just glad to get the Ole Miss game over with. I was more worried about this game than any other including VT, LSU, UT,AU. Could have been a lot better though. As dominating as our D was we’ve got some work to do on red zone offense.

UF-Great, dominating defense.

Ark- Better than we think and despite their loss I still think AU is going to be a helluva team. They just ran into a Ark team that happened to be clicking on all cylinders yesterday.

At this point it looks like S Carolina is the only remote challenger to UF in the east. The thing is though that there is no way that Carolina beats both UF and Bama so with 2 sec losses even if UF drops one game somewhere they are extremely unlikely to lose 2 games. So it looks like UF has pretty much wrapped up the east after all.

Bama definitely has a decided advantage in the west division race since we’re now up by 1 game. I can see us losing 1 game maybe but I don’t see us losing 2 games. It will be hard for LSU and Auburn to both go the rest of the season without losing at least one. They play each other so that one game will eliminate one of the 2.

Lotta football still be played though and I’ve already started worrying about a South Carolina team that is one poor 3rd down Garcia pass away from being undefeated. Its looking to me like Carolina might be the 3rd best team in the conference and certainly the 2nd best in the east.

TrueCrimson

October 11th, 2009
1:50 pm

I agree about South Carolina. How much motivation will SOS crank up by pointing out to his players that they are the visitors for the Homecoming Game in Tuscaloosa?

I knew that Arkansas was improving when Bama played them. They did a good job of stuffing the Tide’s power running game and forced Bama to beat them with big plays. Alabama seemed hell-bent on establishing a clock consuming, plain vanilla power game against the Rebels. It was a good game plan and it worked, but I would have liked to see more TD’s and less FG’s. Probably good for the team in the long run to win it like they did though?

As others before me have already said, a win is a win in the SEC.

RTR!!!

jumbeauxtiger

October 11th, 2009
3:12 pm

Joe Bob,

You are right about Jefferson and I am angry that Miles failed to put Shepard in for even one play and would not give Lee a chance to provide a spark. I don’t mind losing to Florida but at least try to win!

There are alot of unhappy tiger fans today and justifyably so. This in no way is taking away anything from the Gators. They are a very solid team.

Thank goodness for our D or we would have been blown out.

Geaux Tigers
Go SEC

Joe Bob Thibodaux

October 11th, 2009
3:29 pm

jumbeauxtiger: In the Georgia game, it looked like everytime Scott and Sheppard were in the same backfield, chaos. I think Sheppard doesn’t know but about 3 plays, so he is keyed on. If he were ever to chuck a pass, then something besides raw talent might emerge. This was a highly motivated Tiger team that played about as well as it was able, considering the QB play. If LSU were to try to beat Florida, Sheppard as Wild Tiger back might have been interesting. I have the feeling that something else must be going on with Sheppard. I, for one, wanted to see Jarrett Lee after 3Q in the GA game. He is more of a drop back passer. Problem is, he was thrown to the wolves last year, and his luck was extremely bad. He is bound to get his day later this year because Jefferson in the 2nd half looks like a deer caught in the head lights.

jury

October 11th, 2009
4:40 pm

Mark Richt is not disciplined. He seems more concerned with who likes him, especially his hair. He’s not a first-rate SEC coach. Not enough physical pain in his life. No hunger. When UGA understands this, maybe games like Tennessee will go well. UGA defense is so full of holes you’d be better off straining spaghetti.

Mr Jones

October 11th, 2009
7:07 pm

Tony are you going to blame the refs again for Ga losing?

Coach O

October 11th, 2009
7:48 pm

I will be surprised if Tony doesn’t lay the blame squarely where it belongs. The zebra’s helped LSU beat Georgia last week. Georgia didn’t need any help to lose to Tennessee. The time for excuses is passed.

Florida and South Carolina are the only legitimate threats in the SEC East.

crow tastes good

October 11th, 2009
9:57 pm

early prediction on this week’s fearless friday forecast: Tony expects UGA to beat Vandy!

to all those dog fans who guaranteed the win over Kiffin and that Tech would get crushed by FSU – EAT UP!!

Nachos

October 11th, 2009
10:16 pm

Hey Eric, Roswell Ed and all you other barners…..

HOW BOUT THEM TIGERS? WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAW WEAGLE. MALZAHN IS GOD

Coach O

October 12th, 2009
7:31 pm

I was wrong. Tony doesn’t want to discuss the game at all.