Georgia nips LSU; Jackets win on the road

September of 2009 will be remembered as the month that teams couldn’t stand to be loved. Give a team some love, show them some respect, and they will promptly go in the tank for you. So many examples:

Ole Miss: I told everybody in the preseason I wasn’t on the Ole Miss bandwagon. But I didn’t expect the Rebels to go to Columbia and be overwhelmed. They dropped from No. 4 to No. 21 in the AP poll.

California:  The Bears have the best running back in the country in Jahvid Best and were thought to have a shot at their first Rose Bowl in 50 years. They rose to No. 6 and got embarrassed by the Quack Attack from Oregon, 42-3.

Miami: How many folks said that Miami was back after the ‘Canes thumped Georgia Tech and jumped into the Top 10? A little rain and an angry Virginia Tech defensive line changed all that up in Blacksburg. Now Miami looks average again.

Penn State: They were talking BCS championship when Joe Pa and the boys started 3-0 against Creampuff U. Iowa went into State College and proceeded to smack the Nittany Lions in the mouth.

In all we’ve had nine teams ranked in the Top 10 lose in September. Wow.

We went 7-3 in the picks last week because we believed in Miami, Penn State, and Clemson, which just could not finish a drive in the rain and lost to TCU at Death Valley, 14-10. That gives us a mark of 30-10 after four weeks.

Let’s get on with the Fearless Friday Forecast for the first Saturday in October:

 

 

 

1. LSU at Georgia: LSU is 4-0 and ranked No. 4 in the nation. The Tigers are also a three-point underdog at Sanford Stadium. Why? Because we have no idea how good LSU is. The Tigers, who were held to 30 yards on the ground by Mississippi State, are ranked 74th nationally in rushing. Coach Les Miles does not like that and vows to stick with the running game against Georgia. But the fact is Georgia has proven very vulnerable to the pass. The bottom line is this: If Georgia can stay under its average for turnovers (3 per game) and penalties (10 per game) the Bulldogs will win. Georgia plays its best game of the season. Georgia 24, LSU 20.

 

2. Georgia Tech at Mississippi State: Last year Georgia Tech had over 400 yards rushing against the Bulldogs. Expect Mississippi State to be better on defense under veteran DC Carl Torbush. But I’m wondering how much fire the Bulldogs have after the heartbreaking loss to LSU. If Georgia Tech quarterback Josh Nesbitt plays well again, the Yellow Jackets can get it done in Starkville. Georgia Tech 35, Miss. State 24.

 

3. Auburn at Tennessee: Auburn is No. 3 in the nation in total offense (526.25 ypg). Quarterback Chris Todd has nine touchdown passes in his last two games. But Auburn has not played away from Jordan-Hare Stadium this season and life on the road in the SEC is just different. Tennessee needs this one to avoid an 0-2 start in the SEC with Georgia coming up this week. If quarterback Jonathan Crompton doesn’t turn it over, and that’s a BIG if, the Vols find a way to win. Tennessee 21, Auburn 20.

 

4. Alabama at Kentucky: The Crimson Tide has improved in every game and right now may be the best team in the country. If QB Greg McElroy (7 TD, 1 INT) continues to have the hot hand, the Crimson Tide rolls and starts getting ready for next week’s trip to Ole Miss. Alabama 31, Kentucky 7.

 

5. Ole Miss at Vanderbilt: The last time Ole Miss quarterback Jevan Snead failed to throw a touchdown pass in a game was in 2008 against Vanderbilt. The Commodores intercepted Snead four times in beating the Rebels 23-17 in Oxford. So Ole Miss had better be on upset alert. I believe Houston Nutt’s team bounces back from a very difficult loss at South Carolina. Ole Miss 28, Vanderbilt 20.

 

6. Oklahoma at Miami: Landry Jones will start the game at quarterback for Oklahoma but no one is sure if the injured Sam Bradford will play. Oklahoma needs to win in order to stay in the national championship race. Miami wants to atone for last week’s beat down at Virginia Tech. The Sooners are too good on defense. Oklahoma 24, Miami 17.

 

7. Florida State at Boston College: Florida State, a.k.a Team Schizophrenia, plays a lot better away from home. Offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher said it’s time for the Seminoles to grow up. He’s right. Florida State 24, Boston College 10.

 

8. Clemson at Maryland: Ralph Friedgen and the Terps (1-3) could really use some positive energy at Byrd Stadium, where attendance is starting to dwindle. Clemson has too many offensive weapons. Clemson  31, Maryland 21.

 

9. Southern Cal at California: Both teams have a loss in the Pac-10 so the loser goes home and forgets about the conference championship. Trojans are back in the hunt at No. 7 and are able to control Cal’s Jahvid Best. USC 28, California 24.

 

10. Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (at Arlington,Tex.): The Razorbacks got slapped around by Alabama (35-7) and may have lost some of their confidence. Texas A&M leads the nation in sacks with over four per game. Hogs still win. Arkansas 31, Texas A&M 27. 

 

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285 comments Add your comment

johnny weissmuller

October 2nd, 2009
2:55 pm

Frank Wren

I guess thats how Florida feels about UGA.

3 wins since 1990 sounds just about as bad as 1-7 if not worse

JB

October 2nd, 2009
2:56 pm

Other than VT, who do you consider to be, “above avg”, in the ACC?

HBTD!!!

johnny weissmuller

October 2nd, 2009
2:59 pm

JB

Other than Flordia and Bama (LSU will get exposed tomorrow as a fraud) who is above average in the SEC?

Vandy? Kentucky? Miss St? Tenn? Carolina?

SEC = Bama/Florida and the pips

wiley

October 2nd, 2009
3:02 pm

GT(3-1), Miami(3-1), UNC(3-1), NC State(3-1), Clemson(2-2). All those teams are above average to good teams. None of those teams are great but they are above average. GT has played two ranked opponents and is 1-1, Miami is 2-1 versus ranked opponents, UNC is still a good team despite the GT loss, Clemson had a tough schedule but has a D that will win some games for them. I consider 8-4 above average and I do believe all these teams will go 8-4 or better.

JB

October 2nd, 2009
3:03 pm

Johnny, I love how you don’t answer the question or change the topic. To bad it doesn’t fly.

How bout you tell us how many ACC squads are currently ranked vs the SEC?

HBTD!!!

wiley

October 2nd, 2009
3:04 pm

Also have you seen NC State play?? That wilson kid is amazing….one of the best QBs in the nation. Keep an eye on that program. The Atlantic could come down to Clemson or them. In retrospect that SC loss doesnt look so bad for NC state…SC may be the second or third best team in the east.

JB

October 2nd, 2009
3:04 pm

Those are all “above avg”, to you? Really?

HBTD!!!

wiley

October 2nd, 2009
3:06 pm

I mean yes, based on the games played they are above average….average is 6-6, 7-5. Above average is 8-4 and 9-3. Why is this so baffling to you…open your eyes just because you live in the south you dont have to support only the SEC…there is good football being played elsewhere too.

CharlotteGator

October 2nd, 2009
3:07 pm

Hmmm…interesting….picked this up a few minutes ago from my google reader…

“The SEC has lapped the field so far this season in nonconference play.

Through the first month of the season, the SEC sports an 18-2 record in nonconference games against FBS opponents, which is far and away the best record of any conference.

Here’s how all the BCS conferences stack up to this point: SEC 18-2 (.900), Pac-10 15-7 (.682), Big 12 23-11 (.676), Big Ten 18-9 (.667), Big East 13-7 (.650) and ACC 10-11 (.476).”

Does this settle anything? Or is there some way to explain this away?

Tech75

October 2nd, 2009
3:08 pm

Hey JB – what does hbtd mean? I hate it when people invent non-obvious acronyms, then don’t explain them…

How about this one: “RJISRDYS”

“Roddy Jones is STILL running down your sideline”

JB

October 2nd, 2009
3:08 pm

Did I say there wasn’t? To that end, I don’t see 8-4 as above avg but if you are a big time ACC guy, I guess I understand.

HBTD!!!

KNelson

October 2nd, 2009
3:09 pm

Georgia will face a team that can actually play defense. Georgia will lose then another loss will follow in Knoxville and the screams will become louder for wILLIES head as the reality of a less than average season is upon them !

JB

October 2nd, 2009
3:10 pm

So, 75 you aren’t going to answer the question?

As for HBTD, it’s something you hear ALL the time. As a Maggot, I can see why you’d want to block it out. Let me help though, How Bout Them Dawgs!!!!

Tech75

October 2nd, 2009
3:10 pm

OK, just got it. Old school.

FLA DAWG

October 2nd, 2009
3:10 pm

1. I’ve had this sick feeling about the UGA / LSU Game all week. It reminds me of how I felt before the Bama Game when we believed The Dawgs had turned the corner. Result, Bama whacked us Big Time. I love my Dawgs but I think the D falls apart at the end of the first half and LSU wins by at least 10.

2. GT / MS. Mississippi State gets revenge in a big way. M.S. by 13!

3. Auburn / UT. Auburn Tigers by 7.

4. Bama / KY. KY makes it a Game – for the first quarter. Bama wins by 17.

5 – 10. Who Cares.

wiley

October 2nd, 2009
3:15 pm

how is 8-4 not above average? Half of the SEC, ACC, big east, or whatever conference would love to be 8-4. Only two or three teams a year are usually 8-4 or better in a given conference in a given year. Now 8-4 might not be average to a fan of UF, LSU, or UGA because of the 9-3, 10-2 season of late but ask vandy, arkansas, auburn, Tennessee, kentucky, or south carolina if 8-4 is above average because all of those teams were below 8-4 last year. Only the top of your conference is 9-3, 10-2, 11-1 so 8-4 is above avearge….no matter what conference.

johnny weissmuller

October 2nd, 2009
3:16 pm

FLA DAWG

For your sake and mine, I hope you are wrong about the UGA and GT games

I honestly think LSU is WAY over-rated BUT you guys did hang half a hundred on them at their place…..if anyone is thinking about having their vengeance, it’s LSU…not Miss St

Stupid UGA boys

October 2nd, 2009
3:17 pm

It is so funny how bad clowns like FLA Dawg want tech to fail. What they don;t realize is that now WE ARE BETTER THAN YOU and are not going ot lose to Miss St or any other bottom feeders in the SEC like UGA.

Stupid UGA boys

October 2nd, 2009
3:19 pm

Tech 75 – LOL on the RJISRDYS…how about MRISGOCBPJ – Mark Richt is Still getting out coached by Paul Johnson

m

October 2nd, 2009
3:23 pm

I do the “ugly girl” and stare at myself in the mirror for hours when I am not blogging.

31-0 at the half

October 2nd, 2009
3:34 pm

Wear the black jerseys on Saturday Dawgs, they worked out well for you last year.

Disco Inferno

October 2nd, 2009
3:42 pm

Any word on what dance the UGA defense will be doing in the 3rd quarter Saturday?? Coach ‘em down Willie!

KNelson

October 2nd, 2009
3:50 pm

Has Georgia been able to stop any team this season? Anybody can score on them and now they get to face teams that can stop the little offense they have !

dyldawg

October 2nd, 2009
4:19 pm

m do u even know what a bottom feeder is?? get off

dyldawg

October 2nd, 2009
4:20 pm

KNelson shut up

Another Dawg

October 2nd, 2009
4:37 pm

Tech doesn’t realize that we do this year in and year out. They have a flash in the pan and think they’ve ignited a wildfire. The difference is we want our entire coaching staff fired for 10 win seasons; Tech is still trying to figure out what a 10 win season looks like.

We’ll see how the backpedaling starts once it gets closer to November, the ACC has again lost its relevance (Virginia Tech included), and the SEC Championship game again determines the national champion.

m

October 2nd, 2009
4:40 pm

Knelson is a re-tard

Frank Wren

October 2nd, 2009
4:41 pm

Here’s how all the BCS conferences stack up to this point: SEC 18-2 (.900), Pac-10 15-7 (.682), Big 12 23-11 (.676), Big Ten 18-9 (.667), Big East 13-7 (.650) and ACC 10-11 (.476).”

Give them a minute. they will come up with some excuse shortly. They dont like hearing the SEC is the best even though it is pretty much a universally accepted fact right now. May not be the case in 10 years but right now the SEC is basically the minor leagues for the NFL.

Bottom line South Carolina would be a major player in the ACC. In the SEC they have almost no chance.

Frank Wren

October 2nd, 2009
4:43 pm

Another Dawg

Thats right on. We are 3-1 and very unhappy. They are 3-1 and on top of the world.

Tells you alot about the difference in the two programs.

Go UTAH

October 2nd, 2009
5:00 pm

Hey “31-0 at the half”…..If you want to refer back to last season, how about we talk about my boys pimp-slapping your overrated crimson butts?

KNelson

October 2nd, 2009
5:15 pm

Speaking of “scoring”, I just scored this sweet Armani sweater vest for 80% off, and all I had to do was give the salesman a Rusty Trombone in the parking lot! Win-win!

johnny weissmuller

October 2nd, 2009
5:16 pm

Frank Wren

Again SEC = Florida/Bama and the pips

I have never seen MEN relying on the rep of other men when you have done NOTHING….. It is quite laughable. Only fans of Bama and Florida and maybe LSU can come on here and talk about how tough the SEC is because everyone after that is just average

UGA, USC east, Kentucky, Vandy, Ole Miss, Miss State, Auburn, Tenn, and Ark have no right to claim how ‘tough’ the SEC is

Oh and South Carolina would be a ‘major player’ in the ACC? Ok, so explain how a CONSISTENTLY underachieving Clemson has OWNED S carolina? Since 2001, Clemson has finished the season with at least 4 loss but somehow S Carolina has only been able to beat Clemson twice???

johnny weissmuller

October 2nd, 2009
5:17 pm

Think about that stat before you get back to relying on the success of LSU, Bama, and Florida

Sick of It

October 2nd, 2009
5:24 pm

Of course USC is “back in the hunt”. Is ANYBODY suprised by that???? They are ESPN’s favorite team…

GOJACKETS

October 2nd, 2009
6:23 pm

DOES ANYONE REALLY CARE ABOUT UGA? NO

LOL

October 2nd, 2009
6:33 pm

How about this one:

TFAFR

Tech fans are f*cking retards!

Dawg (west)

October 2nd, 2009
6:37 pm

Johnny, If I’m not mistaken 4 of the ‘average’ teams you named won as many games as tech did last year.

Screeder1

October 2nd, 2009
6:56 pm

Tony, I like most of your picks but I must disagree with AU pick. Cromptom not making mistakes, like Coach Green said at Arizona, “he was what we thought he was!” Against any SEC or good defense, he is a turnover machine. I just hope after this game for Auburn (since most people are picking TN just like they picked WVU and La Tech over Auburn) people might start believing they are for real. I think Auburn is a more diverse offense than Fla too since they aren’t relying on one guy like Tebow.

FLA DAWG

October 2nd, 2009
7:08 pm

Johnny W………. I hope I’m wrong about The Dawgs!

Stupid…………….I EXPECT GT to fail.

Miss. State proved to themselves they could play good ball last week (I actually picked them to upset LSU and was wrong by 1 foot). They are playing for REVENGE & WITH CONFIDENCE against GT. I think this will be a Smashmouth Game with Miss. State on top.

Side Bar: Alot of Gator Chat on Dawg Blogs lately – I smell fear coming out of Gainesville. Gator Fans began this season with confidence in victory. Now they approach games with fear of losing. Same thing happend a couple of years ago when we finally beat ‘em.

Reality Check

October 2nd, 2009
7:12 pm

M you are a tool. If LSU sucks then what does that make the pesky bees? You lost horrbily to pretty much that same team last year. Its fine that you have a different opinion as most dawg fans but at least let your points make some kind of sense.

superDawg

October 2nd, 2009
7:38 pm

m the acc really sux bad.

Soul Train Dancer

October 2nd, 2009
7:48 pm

Boy you sure are smart Tony, what a dumbass.

hedgepruner

October 2nd, 2009
8:02 pm

GT 31
ms 20

uga 44
lswho 39

vols 27
ua 24

sou cal 38
cal 17

m you are an embarrasement to our fan base GO AWAY !

TrueCrimson

October 2nd, 2009
8:26 pm

Fairly sound picks — except for the homer call for the Atlanta team. Auburn is lucky to have played MSU early. I don’t think that they could win a re-match. Neither can the Jackets.

TrueCrimson

October 2nd, 2009
8:32 pm

Not Tarzan (but plays him on TV),

Sure… The SEC only has 2 NC caliber teams this year, but the ‘rest of the conference’ can play with the ‘rest of any other conference’ out there.

No premiere team in any other conference faces the threat of an upset week in and week out like the top tier of the SEC does.

t-dawg

October 2nd, 2009
8:47 pm

Whats this talk about LSU is #4 for a reason. Ole Miss was rank #4 for a reason!!!!! Dawgs take this one. I would like to see cox go to Charles a little more Sat.

TrueCrimson

October 2nd, 2009
8:57 pm

LSU is #4 because they haven’t lost… yet.

They haven’t looked impressive so far, but improvement isn’t out of the question. If they win their all of their games, they could win the NC.

My guess is that they lose Saturday. We’ll see.

Y’all all have a great weekend, y’hear?

RTR!!!

UGA

October 2nd, 2009
9:05 pm

Will somebody remind me what school it was that whipped the GT bugs into the turf last year in their bowl?

I can’t remember. I think they were from the SEC though.

And I think it was LSU. But, with the way some of the yellow tards are flaming LSU, I must be wrong.

Nachos

October 2nd, 2009
9:25 pm

Hey barner posters… go back into hiding with your best friend “Roswell Ed”. Your team is irrelevant and no one cares about your second tier SEC program.

Saban is god

Speak Easy

October 2nd, 2009
10:39 pm

Here’s how they go.

UGA beats LSU 35-31.
UGA jumps ahead early but has to hang on late. This in no way means that UGA is stellar because LSU is extremely overrated.

GT beats MSU 31-14
Tech is to good for the home field advantage to matter. This score contigent on Scott Blair actually making a field goal. Cow-bells be damned.

UT beats AU 21-17
Auburn has yet to play a good team. UT defense looks to be to much.

Alabama beats UK
Do I even need to elaborate?

Ole Miss beats Vandy 28-10
Rebs bounce back and Vandy is overwhelmed but scores a late touchdown to save a little face.

Oklahoma beats “The U” 42-35
No pass defense in this one. I take the over.

Florida State beats BC 35-10
If pattern holds true FSU plays great this weekend and looks awful against GT next weekend at home.

Cal beats USC 24-17
This is based soley on Cal wanting to bounce back after last week and I just dont think USC’s offense is that great.