Georgia nips LSU; Jackets win on the road

September of 2009 will be remembered as the month that teams couldn’t stand to be loved. Give a team some love, show them some respect, and they will promptly go in the tank for you. So many examples:

Ole Miss: I told everybody in the preseason I wasn’t on the Ole Miss bandwagon. But I didn’t expect the Rebels to go to Columbia and be overwhelmed. They dropped from No. 4 to No. 21 in the AP poll.

California:  The Bears have the best running back in the country in Jahvid Best and were thought to have a shot at their first Rose Bowl in 50 years. They rose to No. 6 and got embarrassed by the Quack Attack from Oregon, 42-3.

Miami: How many folks said that Miami was back after the ‘Canes thumped Georgia Tech and jumped into the Top 10? A little rain and an angry Virginia Tech defensive line changed all that up in Blacksburg. Now Miami looks average again.

Penn State: They were talking BCS championship when Joe Pa and the boys started 3-0 against Creampuff U. Iowa went into State College and proceeded to smack the Nittany Lions in the mouth.

In all we’ve had nine teams ranked in the Top 10 lose in September. Wow.

We went 7-3 in the picks last week because we believed in Miami, Penn State, and Clemson, which just could not finish a drive in the rain and lost to TCU at Death Valley, 14-10. That gives us a mark of 30-10 after four weeks.

Let’s get on with the Fearless Friday Forecast for the first Saturday in October:

 

 

 

1. LSU at Georgia: LSU is 4-0 and ranked No. 4 in the nation. The Tigers are also a three-point underdog at Sanford Stadium. Why? Because we have no idea how good LSU is. The Tigers, who were held to 30 yards on the ground by Mississippi State, are ranked 74th nationally in rushing. Coach Les Miles does not like that and vows to stick with the running game against Georgia. But the fact is Georgia has proven very vulnerable to the pass. The bottom line is this: If Georgia can stay under its average for turnovers (3 per game) and penalties (10 per game) the Bulldogs will win. Georgia plays its best game of the season. Georgia 24, LSU 20.

 

2. Georgia Tech at Mississippi State: Last year Georgia Tech had over 400 yards rushing against the Bulldogs. Expect Mississippi State to be better on defense under veteran DC Carl Torbush. But I’m wondering how much fire the Bulldogs have after the heartbreaking loss to LSU. If Georgia Tech quarterback Josh Nesbitt plays well again, the Yellow Jackets can get it done in Starkville. Georgia Tech 35, Miss. State 24.

 

3. Auburn at Tennessee: Auburn is No. 3 in the nation in total offense (526.25 ypg). Quarterback Chris Todd has nine touchdown passes in his last two games. But Auburn has not played away from Jordan-Hare Stadium this season and life on the road in the SEC is just different. Tennessee needs this one to avoid an 0-2 start in the SEC with Georgia coming up this week. If quarterback Jonathan Crompton doesn’t turn it over, and that’s a BIG if, the Vols find a way to win. Tennessee 21, Auburn 20.

 

4. Alabama at Kentucky: The Crimson Tide has improved in every game and right now may be the best team in the country. If QB Greg McElroy (7 TD, 1 INT) continues to have the hot hand, the Crimson Tide rolls and starts getting ready for next week’s trip to Ole Miss. Alabama 31, Kentucky 7.

 

5. Ole Miss at Vanderbilt: The last time Ole Miss quarterback Jevan Snead failed to throw a touchdown pass in a game was in 2008 against Vanderbilt. The Commodores intercepted Snead four times in beating the Rebels 23-17 in Oxford. So Ole Miss had better be on upset alert. I believe Houston Nutt’s team bounces back from a very difficult loss at South Carolina. Ole Miss 28, Vanderbilt 20.

 

6. Oklahoma at Miami: Landry Jones will start the game at quarterback for Oklahoma but no one is sure if the injured Sam Bradford will play. Oklahoma needs to win in order to stay in the national championship race. Miami wants to atone for last week’s beat down at Virginia Tech. The Sooners are too good on defense. Oklahoma 24, Miami 17.

 

7. Florida State at Boston College: Florida State, a.k.a Team Schizophrenia, plays a lot better away from home. Offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher said it’s time for the Seminoles to grow up. He’s right. Florida State 24, Boston College 10.

 

8. Clemson at Maryland: Ralph Friedgen and the Terps (1-3) could really use some positive energy at Byrd Stadium, where attendance is starting to dwindle. Clemson has too many offensive weapons. Clemson  31, Maryland 21.

 

9. Southern Cal at California: Both teams have a loss in the Pac-10 so the loser goes home and forgets about the conference championship. Trojans are back in the hunt at No. 7 and are able to control Cal’s Jahvid Best. USC 28, California 24.

 

10. Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (at Arlington,Tex.): The Razorbacks got slapped around by Alabama (35-7) and may have lost some of their confidence. Texas A&M leads the nation in sacks with over four per game. Hogs still win. Arkansas 31, Texas A&M 27. 

 

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285 comments Add your comment

Stolen G

October 2nd, 2009
8:31 am

wow, really fearless tony. You went out on a limb with those picks. They pay you for this crap. LSU wins a close one, after we tear up the field again.

Emory Bellard

October 2nd, 2009
8:31 am

Go State!

Beat the Gnats!

reebok

October 2nd, 2009
8:35 am

Tony, I like your picks. I sure would like to see Miami get the win against Oklahoma, though. Good luck to my Yellow Jackets…and.. oh, what the heck…good luck to that team from Athens also.

Fleischman in Chattanooga

October 2nd, 2009
8:42 am

Will any of the LSU/UGAy fans be drinking in Athens tomorrow?

Corrine Brown

October 2nd, 2009
8:44 am

Crompton gets another “game ball”from the competition

Mikey

October 2nd, 2009
8:51 am

Stolen,
Somebody pee in your corn flakes this morning?
Tomorrow is the first Saturday in October…dont be so grouchy.
Maybe when you get your own blog you can pick em yourself.

Mikey

October 2nd, 2009
8:53 am

Burning question as we head into that first Saturday in October:
What’s the over/under for how many times we get Tebow updates from ESPN during games tomorrow?

Out of Town

October 2nd, 2009
8:57 am

Big Dog fan here, but when was the last time Tony picked against Uga? Florida last year maybe?

m

October 2nd, 2009
9:01 am

You mean you are picking Tech to beat a sec team on the road?? A team that played #4 lswho to basically an even game?? I wonder why you are picking the ACC team over the sec team?? Oh I know…in your heart of hearts you know the sec SUCKS this year. Good call.

Tony, does it occur to you that a lot of these games are not even upsets…they are just pointing how wrong the polls (that you worship) are? Get human opinion out of college football.

The best running back in the nation is Johnathan Dwyer.

Miami will beat oklaHOMO.

The sec is made up of alabammer and floriduh and the 10 dwarfs. lswho and ugag both suck….there will be a lot of sucking Saturday afternoon at the Cesspool at sanford and son stadium.

The ACC beat the sec 6 out of 10 in the regular season last year. The ACC will beat the sec 4 out of 7 this year. Why?? Because the ACC is a lot better than you give them credit for and the sec is a LOT worse…. a LOT worse.

Tony you are wrong almost as often as the polls are wrong. Mr. College football, my arse.

david

October 2nd, 2009
9:03 am

Thank you for not picking Miami.

Bobby Hebert

October 2nd, 2009
9:03 am

Fleishman,

Yes.

And probably taking dumps and whizzes on North Campus too. Watch your step.

And leave the kids at home.

Eastside Jacket

October 2nd, 2009
9:04 am

I think you’re right Out of Town. Tony’s UGA born and UGA bred and when he dies he’ll be UGA dead.

o-me

October 2nd, 2009
9:04 am

Picks from the HEART! Hope you’re right. Go GT & UGA………………………

Dave

October 2nd, 2009
9:05 am

UGA has schitzophrenia and LSU can’t get off the couch. It all depends on the Bulldogs and which team shows up. But I have a bad feeling about this one. Here’s to hoping and wishing against my gut feeling….

Eric

October 2nd, 2009
9:09 am

Thanks for the valuable insight, m-oron. WDE!!!

RT

October 2nd, 2009
9:11 am

The vowels D is stout, played the hell out of UF, and will come to play against AU’s powerful O. AU needs to step up on its special teams (not letting the other team start at the 35-45 will greatly help) and its D needs to make tackles on first contact, not after the offensive player has bounced off 3 or 4 defenders first. AU will correct those problems on D & special teams and seems to be balanced enough to “take what the D gives them” and still score… hopefully at least 1 more than UT.

Okefenokee Dawg

October 2nd, 2009
9:11 am

m represents Tech so well.

The Gator

October 2nd, 2009
9:11 am

m, you just can’t stand hearing what the entire nation knows. The ACC is mid tier or lower. They’ll throw in the occassional surprise, but there will still only be 17,000 people at the ACC Championship game, the Comedy Channel will be broadcasting it and the only reason the ACC Champion will go to a BCS Bowl is because of the contract. Meanwhile the SEC Champioship game will set more attendance records, networks will sell their souls to broadcast it, Florida will win the National Championship and the SEC will go 9-1 in it’s bowls. So just sit down, shaddup and turn on the SciFi Channel, wudha?

DawginLex

October 2nd, 2009
9:14 am

m the idiot brags about beating SEC bottom feeders. Maybe we should schedule Duke, UVA and Maryland and brag about being 3-0 vs ACC.

Thing is we don’t need to because we play a real football schedule already. since we have beaten Tech 7 out of 8 and 30 something out of the last 40 something, maybe we should drop them from our schedule to upgrade the OOC schedule. Playing ACC teams, when the ACC is so poor, only downgrades our SOS.

Coach Mark Richt

October 2nd, 2009
9:16 am

We will destroy the coon arse, cordog smelling, foul mouth looserainas!!

Not Disappointed

October 2nd, 2009
9:17 am

Go Pups! GO Jackets!

Ramblin Wreck!

m

October 2nd, 2009
9:19 am

dawginlex, with the possible exception of alabammer and floriduh…the entire sec is bottom feeders.

Have you ever seen the sec suck worse than it does this year?

By the way that bottom feeder lswho that the bottom feeder ugag plays on Saturday, defeated bottom feeder miss st by 4 inches!!

45-42…glad it STILL hurts so bad…and it is only the beginning.

Not Disappointed

October 2nd, 2009
9:19 am

DawginLex, how do you let M get to you. I gave up long time ago.

Good week all! Ramblin Wreck!

Blog on my friends! Blog on!

You guys need to stop...

October 2nd, 2009
9:22 am

…picking on m – he is just too easy a target since he is consistently wrong!

azcat225

October 2nd, 2009
9:23 am

Stolen G, you are getting as tiresome and juvenile as m, and that’s saying a lot. If it distresses you so much to read Tony’s column, might I make a suggestion? Don’t.

RxDawg

October 2nd, 2009
9:27 am

Well here we are in week 5 and we still don’t really know about a lot of teams.

LSU at UGA: Don’t bet on this one. The most overrated team in the SEC plays the most undisciplined team in the SEC. Most people are saying the dawgs will win, that includes Vegas who gave says we’ll win by 3. Whaaat!? So the #18 team is favored over the #4 team by 3 huh. Unfortunately I’ve channeled my inner Munsonism and I’m just not feeling it for the dawgs. We have had 4 games to try to turn around mistakes in penalties and turnovers. It hasn’t happend and I see no reason to think that will change right now. The dawgs can get by lesser teams playing sloppy football, but that wont cut it when they face teams of equal athletic talent. LSU is equal. I say the dawgs lose this one.

Auburn at Tennessee: I wouldn’t touch this one betting wise either. Auburn has been on a roll and really racking up the offensive stats. But they’ve been doing against no one and really have only beaten West Virginia. They barely did that and the jury is still out on WVU. UT doesn’t have a QB. But they do have a good running game and a fantastic D. This one is a coin flip to me. But I’m going to say UT get’s the upset because of two things. One they are at home. Two, Auburn runs a cute misdirectional offense. Those kind of offenses can be very productive. Till it runs up against a good solid defense. Then it can get blown up. That said, if Auburn can pull out a win here than watch out in the SEC west. But I think UT will pull it out.

Georgia Tech at Miss St: ACC vs SEC. Only it’s one of the better ACC teams vs SEC bottom feeder. Last year Tech destroyed MSU. Last week MSU almost beat LSU, but had a huge let down as they couldn’t get in the endzone with 4 short tries. MSU will get better under new coach Dan Mullen, but not yet. Tech runs all over them.

Bama at Kentucky: Ha! Bama is giving the cheerleaders playing time by the 2nd half.

Oklahoma at Miami: Awesome out of conference game on paper. But Oklahoma smashes Miami. Miami is just too young and Oklahoma brings in a pretty good defense for a Big 12 team.

USC at Cal: Both had huge upsets and lost games they were not supposed to lose. Cal’s was last week. Eh…USC probably has the horses to stop Cal’s running game. Don’t bet against Carrol’s boys in big games. USC wins this and ESPN becomes the USC backup QB battle show again.

Arkansas vs Texas A&M: Interesting out of conference matchup. Middle of the road Big 12 plays middle of the road SEC. Arkansas lost a close one against UGA, and then lost huge to Bama. I don’t know too much about Texas A&M. I’ll say Petrino gets his hogs back on track and go with the SEC on this one. This is honestly a guess though.

m

October 2nd, 2009
9:28 am

Has GT won their bowl game against the SEC yet? Oh, darn, they STILL got blown out.

DawginLex

October 2nd, 2009
9:28 am

i guess that puts MSU and Tech in the same category, m.

Neither one of you could beat LSU

We aill try and hold up the honor of the state Saturday

Not diss,

It’s cool we all know m is a tool. Even the Tech folks

bank walker

October 2nd, 2009
9:28 am

Nice pics big Tone, I also feel like the Dawgs will have a big game tomorrow! GATA DAWGS!!

PMC

October 2nd, 2009
9:29 am

I think Miami rebounds well and beats Oklahoma.

Mutt Nonsense

October 2nd, 2009
9:30 am

Mikey,

Jealousy doesn’t suit you. Worry about your own game/team and try and pick up after yourself this weekend.

merculf

October 2nd, 2009
9:32 am

The only 2 games that matter this weekend are UGA/LSU and AU/TN. UGA wins at home and AU wins on the road. WDE!

RAMBLE ON!!!

October 2nd, 2009
9:35 am

dawginlex, back off m, he speaks the truth.

Tony, GT rushes over 400 yards on all bulldogs.

Frank

October 2nd, 2009
9:35 am

Mark this down!Those one play per game nothings with Logan Gray have been a ruse.Watch for him to drop back and throw deep.Easy touchdown!

coach smith

October 2nd, 2009
9:39 am

If WASHINGTON can roll up OVER 500 yards on LSU amd MissSt can move the ball at will on them, GEORGIA may get 50+

I think it is a replay of last year’s game Georgia 52 LSU 38

CharlotteGator

October 2nd, 2009
9:39 am

I’ll be watching two games this weekend, UGA-LSU and Oklahoma – Miami. I’ll be mildly interested in AU-TN more out of curiosity. I expect all three to be good, hard-hitting affairs. So glad football is back in our lives.

As a Gator, I’m hoping UGA gives LSU a brutal, physical game and wears them down some. Probably pull for LSU just so they don’t come back home w/ something to prove and maybe get a big head. Definitely a stretch I know, but is probably what tips me to the LSU side in this 50-50 match-up. Well, that and having lived in Atlanta and worked with/around what I consider the minority of the Dawg fanbase. My disdain is going back to healthy rival levels, but I suspect I’ve got a few more years of detox here in football purgatory (ACC country) before I lose the extra animosity towards the Dawgs. All in all, I expect it to be a great game and look forward to watching a lot of the great players on both teams duke it out.

m

October 2nd, 2009
9:41 am

dawginlex, the entire sec is bottom feeders. We play three of the bottom feeders this year. And Tech will stomp all three of the sec bottom feeders.

The sec sucks.

ratherBgambling

October 2nd, 2009
9:42 am

Cal bombs USC

LSU over them Dogs

Auburn over UT on an int returned for TD, Crompton drops out of school and is located 3 months later selling used cars in Tifton

Miss St over St. Simons

The U rebounds at home

CharlotteGator

October 2nd, 2009
9:47 am

“The ACC will beat the sec 4 out of 7 this year. Why?? Because the ACC is a lot better than you give them credit for and the sec is a LOT worse…. a LOT worse.”

I found this interesting. One because I didn’t know Miss Cleo was on here guaranteeing the future; I’d like some Lotto numbers as well please.

Two, the ACC currently stands at 0-2 (funny how this isn’t ever mentioned) meaning they can only lose one of the remaining matchups left all season to hit this guaranteed mark. Looking at the remaining games, do you only see one more loss?

GaTech – MSU
GaTech – Vandy
Clemson – USCe
FSU – UF
GaTech – UGA

Also, are 2 wins against the SEC’s worst two teams really that impressive?

collegeballfan

October 2nd, 2009
9:48 am

“California: The Bears have the best running back in the country in Jahvid Best.”

No running back is any better than his OL & the opponents DL.

EW

October 2nd, 2009
9:52 am

m has peni$ envy.

m

October 2nd, 2009
9:55 am

CharlotteGator,

Tech will win all three of their games against the sec bottom feeders and clemson (as usual) will stomp a mudhole in their in-state sec bottom feeder.

Their is a possibility that fsu will lose to floriduh but that still makes 4 out of 7.

If the sec was anywhere near as good as these sec idiots try to claim, the sec would win all 7. But they won’t.

And don’t fret over the Acc being 0-2 with the sec so far this year because they did the same thing last year and ended up 6-4 with the overrated bottom feeding sec.

Stolen G

October 2nd, 2009
9:57 am

and UGA has crystal balls envy

slim jim

October 2nd, 2009
9:59 am

Dan Mullan’s first signature win–the Bullies upset the Yellow Jackets.

how in the world can you pick UGA over LSU? LSU’s ranked 4 for a reason. UGA had to have a field goal kicker beat lowly Arizona State.A team with Gus the field goal kicking mule could beat ASU!

Texas AM > Arkansas
Auburn > UTK
Bama >Kentucky
Clemson > Maryland (blowout)

How does Cal lose by 30 plus points to the O? We know Cal is over-rated, maybe Best is also over-rated:
USC > Cal

Will

October 2nd, 2009
10:00 am

Big Tone, as bad as I want to say UGA is going to get it together and finally impress, I am hesitant to say it plus the fact it be online for everyone to see. After all, I have been predicting (unsuccessfully) this for 4 weeks. What will make this week any different? I’m thinking we are just a jinked team with penalties and stupid coaching decisions(see poch kick).

I think it’s as simple as this…If we don’t get pressure on the qb we will lose. Sweet Willie usually struggles with a running qb so I am definitely nervous. However I am excited about the opportunity and I will be in the stands yelling my ass off and yes Gov Perdue, I will be rowdy again this week. If you don’t like it stay at the house.

CharlotteGator

October 2nd, 2009
10:00 am

“Also, are 2 wins against the SEC’s worst two teams really that impressive?”

If the answer is yes, then does that mean the South Division of the Colonial Athletic Assocation (CAA) is on par/equal with the ACC? You know, since they’re 2-2 when matched up head to head. What about the Sun-Belt? They’re 1-1.

Can’t have it both ways. If the dregs of the ACC don’t represent the conference as a whole, then 2 Tech wins against the bottom SEC squads don’t amount to much.

Nachos

October 2nd, 2009
10:03 am

Allbarn’s “high flying” up-tempo offense will be EXPOSED by Monte and Coach “O” defense. Tennessee 17 Allbarn 3.

LOL

October 2nd, 2009
10:04 am

Is this the first RAMBLE ON!!! sighting since the massacre down in Miami? We were starting to worry about you moron, thought you might have drowned on your own tears.

m-keep dreaming buddy, Dwyer is not even the best running back in the ACC this year.

ALXGatorFan

October 2nd, 2009
10:04 am

Great stuff Tony! Really enjoy reading your blog.

EW

October 2nd, 2009
10:05 am

M- here’s an idea. Rather than attack TB DAILY, which is almost as tiresome as seeing you use the phrase “overrated bottom feeding sec” EVERYDAY, why don’t YOU start writing the Friday blog and posting here. That way we can all decide who is really full of shi*. No bashing TB or the SEC without backing it up with FACTS, like a real writer. And if the SEC is bottom feeding, who’s at the top? Explain that to me. And tell me how those SEC bottom feeding LSWho tigers fed on your jackets, I forgot.