Bulldogs will win because they HAVE to

 

The first week of the season always has a bunch of easy picks and honesty compels your Fearless Friday Forecaster to admit that none of the tough picks went his way:

Picking Georgia over Oklahoma looked good after the first possession of the game. Then Oklahoma State woke up and the Georgia offense took a nap for the rest of the day.

The Florida State pick over Miami looked promising until the Seminoles dropped a touchdown pass in the end zone as time expired.

I really thought Wake Forest was going to beat Baylor 24-21. Instead it was the Bears, and QB Robert Griffin, who prevailed by the same score.

So that gives us a modest record of 7-3. And it will only get tougher from here on. So let’s press on with this week’s edition of the Fearless Friday Forecast:

 

1. South Carolina at Georgia: The latest internet rumor has Joe Cox selling barbeque sandwiches out on East Campus and Buck Belue coming out of the broadcast booth to start at quarterback against South Carolina. That’s not true and neither was the rumor that Logan Gray would start ahead of Cox against the Gamecocks. Cox starts. Gray plays. Georgia wins because it HAS to with a trip to Arkansas coming up next week. Georgia 17, South Carolina 10.

 

2. Mississippi State at Auburn: Auburn and its new coaching staff got a solid test against Louisiana Tech while Mississippi State was picking on Jackson State. The good news is that a rookie head coach gets to say he is 1-0 in the SEC. That will be Auburn’s Gene Chizik. Auburn 35, Miss. State 17.

 

3. Vanderbilt at LSU: LSU had better hope the 478 yards its defense gave up at Washington was not a sign of things to come. This will be closer than the experts think. LSU 28, Vanderbilt 20.

 

4. UCLA at Tennessee: Tennessee takes a significant jump in class after pounding a bad Western Kentucky team. The goal is the same: Establish the run to make QB Jonathan Crompton comfortable. This is all about getting ready for the Mighty Gators next week. Tennessee 31, UCLA 17.

 

5. Troy at Florida: I thought Troy might have enough athletes to at least make this competitive for a half. But the Trojans lost their opener to Bowling Green. We do know that Troy is better than Charleston Southern. Florida 45, Troy 14.

 

6. FIU at Alabama: Coach Nick Saban told everybody—players, managers, media, and fans—that we are not allowed to overlook FIU. The Golden Panthers, who were 1-23 in 2006 and 2007, rolled to an impressive 5-7 last season. Okay coach, whatever you say. This game is about working on the offensive line and making QB Greg McElroy even more comfortable. Alabama 42, FIU 3.

 

7. TCU at Virginia: After losing to Bill & Mary last week, things don’t look good for the Cavaliers of Al Groh as TCU comes to town. Every time a Mountain West team plays an ACC team it wants to make a statement: We deserve an automatic BCS bid, not you guys. TCU 28, Virginia 17.

 

8. Jacksonville State at Florida State: Bobby Bowden has had a lot of gut wrenching losses to Miami. Given the time and place in his career, Monday night’s 38-34 defeat to the Hurricanes has to be right up there with the worst. The Seminoles bounce back and get ready for a trip to BYU. Florida State 45, Jacksonville State 14.

 

9. Notre Dame at Michigan: The fan bases at these two schools began the season in a bad mood. Both were calmed down a bit when Notre Dame beat Nevada (35-0) and Michigan beat Western Michigan (31-7). If Notre Dame loses, then the Urban Meyer rumors start again. If Michigan loses the heat gets turned back up on Rich Rodriguez. Notre Dame has more athletes and a veteran quarterback (Jimmy Clausen). Notre Dame 31, Michigan 27.

 

10. USC at Ohio State: USC has won eight straight non-conference games on the road. The Trojans will play a true freshman quarterback (Matt Barkley) making his first start on the road. Ohio State’s Terrell Pryor is just a sophomore and will have to play well for the Buckeyes to have a shot in the Horseshoe. USC has too much speed. USC 28, Ohio State 20.

 

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300 comments Add your comment

Kid Ray

September 11th, 2009
8:10 am

over Ok. State

m

September 11th, 2009
8:16 am

Thank God & Greyhound we weren’t playing William & Mary last night!

paul in J-ville

September 11th, 2009
8:24 am

Good calls Tony the prognosticator, these are not “more difficult” picks as you say they are, these are obvious. Only 1 game is even a minor challenge to predict the outcome (UGA/SC) but the rest are simply obvious. Can I please take a crack at going up against you and your record……PLEASE????

Picking Georgia over Oklahoma looked good...

September 11th, 2009
8:30 am

I thought they played OK State!!

VolsnGoBlue

September 11th, 2009
8:32 am

Notre Dame falls flat as michigans athletes are in better shape, playing in a newly expanded northern cathedral of college football (the BIG HOUSE), and are juiced to get into the top 25. Notre dame = ooooooverrrrrated

Carlton Powell

September 11th, 2009
8:33 am

Agree with the “have to” win by ‘Dogs Sat. pm. This MIGHT be one of the bigger games in CMR’s career. Lose, and there’s a real possibility of an 0-3 start. Bobby Petrino WILL outcoach CMR, so the players will need to be at their emotional best to win in F’ville. Currently, the ‘Dogs are a troubled program. If this Fabris guy REALLY thinks he can rationaize short kickoffs in the SEC, he needs to be replaced N-O-W. If the ‘Dogs have someone capable of kicking the ball into the endzone and do not choose to do so, that’s irrational behavior. As my bride asked last night, “what exactly does Mark Richt do duing the games?” I couldn’t answer, because I don’t know. The coaches need to get it together. It’s as if they hit the pause button last Nov. 28th, and hit play last weekend. Nothing has materially changed. Sat. evening will be interesting, to say the least.

tom-vinings

September 11th, 2009
8:35 am

if uga wins because it has to, it would of won last week (is losing to Big12 really a possibility???) I hope MR can pull the trigger to switch QB if Cox starts playing like Bobby Cox has been managing the Bravos… Maybe the name has doomed him.

JB

September 11th, 2009
8:36 am

I’m telling you, Florida and Bama, who appear to be the best of the SEC right now ought to have their butt’s kicked for these Schedules they are playing. It does not help the SEC. These patsies are week after week. Trust me, if Georgia were playing these and we were ranked in the top 10 , we would DROP EVERY WEEK IN THE POLLS. Hats off to Bama for VT, but check out the rest the next few weeks. I think there are a couple of Prison teams on there.

Matthew Marsee

September 11th, 2009
8:47 am

I like it, Tony. I predict you’ll go 9-1 this week. I like Mississippi State and Dan Mullen’s new offense over Auburn. And watch out, that Georgia/South Carolina game is going to be close. Real close. I say UGA just barely.

SimpleDawg

September 11th, 2009
8:49 am

The Dawgs better find the fire and passion required to excel in major college football, or the Warrior Chickens will grease the skids for a huge downhill slide. With that being said, the Dawggies should dispatch USC in a second half surge. But, beware of Ol’ Steve Superior. He loves to hate Georgia, and he loves to beat Georgia, especially since UGA ruined his senior season by handing the Gators there only loss.

The phantom holding penalty screwed Clempson, and saved the bugs from defeat. The bugs do have some talent on the team, but they can’t afford to do the Jekyll & Hyde thing very often or it’ll be a disappointing season in the ‘hood – and PJ’s head will explode like a nickle balloon. Opposing coaches will be looking to have Nesbit run it more and throw it more as a recipe for squashing the bugs.

JB

September 11th, 2009
8:52 am

Carolina at Georgia…..If it comes down to coaching, i’m worried. I’m nervous about our offense moving on their “pretty good” D. I’m encouraged about our D although. I;’m worry about Garcia having ALL day to find the open man. We need to turn the heat up on D.

SimpleDawg

September 11th, 2009
8:55 am

Have you ever seen a dumber half of football than that calamity of errors committed by by the Grape Gang of Pickens County – better known as the college that Clem named after his son.

Joe M

September 11th, 2009
8:56 am

Why do we spend our time discussing the things that happen in Athens. Things ARE NOT going to change in any way at anytime.

It goes back to Florida 07. CMR jumpeed out of his shell and tried to do some things different and it blew up in face when his imagge took a hit. Then he spends the rest of the season ajnd entire off-season apologizing when he had nothing to apologize for. In is not in his character to change from vanilla to any other flavor. He tried it once and it bit him in the butt. He WILL NOT try it again.

It is what it is…vanilla. Georgia will win most of its games in any given year. They may win the East if UF and UT are down in the same year, not likley to happen now with those two head coaches. They may even win the SEC if the East and West are down, again, not likely. I don’t see another SEC Championship for Richt. NC – NEVER! My God, beating Tech will be as ahrd as anything from here on out.

VANILLA! So much for blowing the lid of the program. 02 potential, where did you go?

David

September 11th, 2009
8:58 am

The only one I disagree with is UGA vs SC. I feel that it’s actually Spurrier and Co. that HAS to win and I think they will by a score of something in the neighborhood of 13-10.

RxDawg

September 11th, 2009
9:02 am

Not that I’m upset…but last time I checked USC HAS to win also. I beat my chest before the OSU game. You don’t see me beating now. I’m not sure what to expect here. Might as well do a coin toss honestly. I’ll cautiously take the dawgs since it’s at home.

GT vs Clemson game was really good last night. I’m glad Tech won BUT most of their points came off of trickery. That wont work all year. To their credit though, I thought Clemson was going to come back for the vicotry but Tech held strong. It will be interesting to see the rest of their season. But I’m thinking a little bit overated and pretenders for the ACC, not contenders.

78 DAWG

September 11th, 2009
9:03 am

The Columbia South Carolina Times is saying this is the biggest game in the history of South Carolina football!

Da truth

September 11th, 2009
9:04 am

JB — just be glad your dogs do not play Bama or Ole Miss this year. Don’t dare try to rip us…you have had your share of GA Southern in years past. GA finally plays an OOC game (OSU) and start whining. Bama has had to put up w/ everybody else getting bye weeks the week before them for years. I think it was a couple of years ago…Bama faced six SEC terams w/ byes the week before!! UCLA, Clemson, VT, Penn ST next two years…. And FLa plays FSU &GA every year and MIami most years. Can’t help they are not top 15 material nowadays.

Nachos

September 11th, 2009
9:05 am

BIG SURPRISE !!! TONY JABRONI PICKING HIS BELOVED DAWWWWGS

Fleischman in Chattanooga

September 11th, 2009
9:13 am

Meet me in the bathroom

RxDawg

September 11th, 2009
9:16 am

Notre Name is way overrated. I agree that Meeechigan wins this one.

Dabo Dawg

September 11th, 2009
9:17 am

The difference between UGA and Clemson is win or lose the Tigers look good while the dawgs look pathetic win or lose……

Got 12?

September 11th, 2009
9:18 am

Clemson didn’t look good against Bama last year.

41 38 49 38 45 24

September 11th, 2009
9:20 am

Thats 6 games now and counting that the dawgs didnt look good.

RxDawg

September 11th, 2009
9:22 am

For Clarity:

I agree with VolsnGoBlue that Michigan wins the game.

FLA DAWG

September 11th, 2009
9:23 am

I agree with you Tony in that The Dawgs HAVE TO win. My guess is you’ll finally see the coaching staff kicking some butt on the sidelines if there’s a letdown. But in the end I am not so confident The Dawgs WILL win because Bobo is calling the O plays and Martinez is calling the D plays. Many Dawg Fans (and some players I’ll bet) have already lost faith in these guys.
My hope is for a win but my prediction is SC 13 UGA 10.

Ohio State fan

September 11th, 2009
9:25 am

“It goes back to Florida 07. CMR jumpeed out of his shell and tried to do some things different and it blew up in face when his imagge took a hit. Then he spends the rest of the season ajnd entire off-season apologizing when he had nothing to apologize for.” – Really?

Poor sportsmanship is nothing to apologize for? You sound a lot like Congressman Wilson who yelled “you lie” at Obama the other night. Sportsmanship and civility are important.

gdawginkalamazoo

September 11th, 2009
9:26 am

Tony, this is UGA football we have to win every game. Things will be better this week and the Dawgs roll into Arky with 1-1 record and some big time confidence. Looking at the ESPN football page it seems most of the articles are related to the swine flu. That may be the deciding factor this year other than injuries.

NEXT#13

September 11th, 2009
9:26 am

YOU TELL’EM, DA TRUTH !!! THE WEAK TEAM’S WANNA PLAY US FOR A BIG PAYDAY TO HELP THIER PROGRAM’S !! HELL, FIU WAS GONNA CAN THE CHEERLEADING SQUAD B/C THEY COULDN’T AFFORD THEM AND THE NEW BASKETBALL COACH IZZY THOMAS !! THEM GORGEOUS DOLL’S HAD A BIKINI CARWASH AND RAISED $50,000 JUST TO KEEP IT GOING !! KUDO’S TO THEM!!

Where have you gone jim Bob Cooter ?

September 11th, 2009
9:27 am

Tony-

1) I think this game means more to USC than to the Dogs. One thing we do know : UGA won’t see a better defense this season. If Steve Spurrier has another good game in him as a play caller ,it will be this one .I think SC wins an old fashioned game,1960’s style 14-10. If the Dogs lose here ,it will be look out below in the East.

2) AU is worlds better tha MSU at this point. Cow College cruises 31-10.

3) Vanderbilt will kick a late field goal that will give them just enough points to lose by 4 touchdowns. LSU 41- 10

4) They’ll be pouring them tall and cold at the Purple Porpoise this Saturday in Gainesville. By the second quarter ,Larry Blakeney may wish he could pick up a few to go. UF 196- Troy 7

5) UCLA brings its golden boy (Rick Neuheisel) into Rocky Top to take on Tennessee’s new wunderkind Lane Kiffin. Would anybody else rather see these two’s wives play in the Lingerie Bowl ?
Just asking…Vols win because it’s at home,but it’ll be colser than fans expect. UT 24 UCLA 10

6) Why is it that Florida Atlantic can field a decent team so soon after going Division I ,but FIU ,(just down I-95 ), is such a train wreck ? The Panthers take another whoopin on the road UAT- 54 FIU 7

7) Given the way things went in Virginia’s opener, The Al Groh Show should be sponsored by U-Haul , Mayflower and Two Men & A Truck this week. 7 months to prepare and they lose to…William and Mary ? TCU brings the pain 41-10

8) Jax State at FSU . hort week or no, the ‘Noles will win this one in a walk. FSU 54-10

9) ND at Meeechigan. Neither of these teams would be any better than the 5th best in the SEC,but you would think that this was the NC game for all the hype it has generated. Both are undefeated. Big deal , the leaves haven’t even changed yet. I guess ND wins ,but Michigan makes it a four quarter game. Hard to believe that an entire network will be devoted to this. ND 31- UM 19

10) USC at OSU . Ohio State got caught looking past Navy last week to the beating they will absorb from a real team this week at home. USC(w) 38 OSU 10.

Chained Dawg

September 11th, 2009
9:27 am

Our coaching staff at UGA are bunch of buffoon’s. Got plenty of talent and resources but cant make it work. I think Dabo Dawg has a point.

JB

September 11th, 2009
9:27 am

Da Truth…..that is all true………BUT, Our AD, Evans has MADE IT A POINT in the last 2-3 years to BEEF UP or Schedule…..AND HAS, while the chest beaters in the conference line up Several weak teams. Yes, we will also have a couple to play, but not 5 or so. Now with Johnson at Tech, That has even become tough ( we lost last year to them). Look at your schedule. you’re only hurting yourself. If you run the table, you won’t be allowed to play for the NC this year. Not enough Quality wins, But heck, we could say the same about Ohio St. EVERY YEAR.

Dawg Fud

September 11th, 2009
9:30 am

Dawgs have to win but that does not mean a darn thing. We have to WANT to win and stop at nothing to win. Big difference.

I love the Dawgs but would not bet against South Carolina in this game. They are faster, bigger and more physical than OSU.

People keep syaing the “it” factor will get us through the day. Yet, we have not seen any element of “it.” Hopefully this week!

GO DAWGS!

Dawg Fud

September 11th, 2009
9:32 am

Ohio State fan – it’s not like Richt punched an opposing player in the throat.

Tide4u2c

September 11th, 2009
9:32 am

I don’t want to hear people complain about Bama’s schedule because last year before the season all we heard about was how tough Bama’s schedule was with too many road games on top of it plus we heard how easy Florida’s schedule was.Nobody gave Alabama a chance and yet Bama proved everybody wrong winning 12 games in a row. But by the end of the year everything changed Bama had a easy schedule because the SEC was down,etc and after beating top SEC teams including Georgia and LSU. So I don’t want to hear all of the complaints about Bama’s schedule.

Otto

September 11th, 2009
9:34 am

FLA DAWG don’t forget Fabris coaching the special teams. UGA break a kick off for a TD by returning when its 8 yards deep in the end zone. Who really want to start at the 20 anyways?

NEXT#13

September 11th, 2009
9:35 am

JB….I COUNT 3 TEAMS THIS YEAR….3 !!! THE REST ARE SEC TEAMS IN THE STRONGEST DIVISION IN THE CONFERENCE !!! WHAT’S YOUR POINT ???!!! IF WE RUN THE TABLE WE WILL PLAY FOR THE MNC DESPITE YOUR THOUGHT’S !!!!

TACO

September 11th, 2009
9:35 am

Big surprise!! Nachos is still a retard.

Dooley's Cardiologist

September 11th, 2009
9:35 am

SC struggled to beat one of the worst teams in the ACC last week. As much as it pains me to say it, the Dawgs get the “W” this weekend.

kramers2009

September 11th, 2009
9:36 am

I just hope Ole Miss can keep it close against the Flu this weekend. The Rebels spotted them a big lead, but it looks they might have what it takes to come back and win that game.

kramers2009

September 11th, 2009
9:36 am

Enter your comments here

FLA DAWG

September 11th, 2009
9:36 am

Otto,
Yep, I did forget to add Fabris to our illustrious list of performance coaches. Thanks for the reminder!

Got 12?

September 11th, 2009
9:38 am

Tide4,

Don’t take it personal. AJC bloggers love to complain. Check this out: I don’t like the way some of the commentators look in HD. See, even I’ve joined in.

Next week, I plan to work on my whining.

Jigger

September 11th, 2009
9:39 am

Georgia scores 20 or more on SC.

gdawginkalamazoo

September 11th, 2009
9:39 am

Otto, I agree it probably shocks everybody when the kids takes off from 8 deep. The gunners are running full balst letting up a bit thinking “he’s gonna take a knee” then BAM out he goes.

How did OSU kick the ball that far anyway?

Dshep

September 11th, 2009
9:42 am

Pres

September 11th, 2009
9:44 am

Georgia will win because they have to win…that is very lousy reasoning.

GeoffDawg

September 11th, 2009
9:44 am

I agree. The Mountain West does deserve an automatic BCS bid over the ACC and the Big East.

Dooley's Cardiologist

September 11th, 2009
9:45 am

Tony,
USC vs. OSU looks a little too close to me. USC wins by a ton.

FLA DAWG

September 11th, 2009
9:45 am

Well, well Ohio State Fan is back with more smack. You may want to think before you blog my friend. Dawg Fud put your butt back in the chair. When Woody Hayes strangled a Clemson player on National TV you have no place criticizing ANY other coach. And when you then use the outburst incident (which the man apologized for almost immediatley afterwards) because of the same outrage MOST AMERICANS feel about the LIES of your buddy Obama you lose all credibility.
But back to college football. The Dawgs will stink this year and that will make you happy. Ohio State will do better because your coaching is better.

Dooley's Cardiologist

September 11th, 2009
9:47 am

Mountain West????????? I am hoping against hope that I didn’t just see that. MAYBE over the Big East.