Bulldogs will win because they HAVE to

 

The first week of the season always has a bunch of easy picks and honesty compels your Fearless Friday Forecaster to admit that none of the tough picks went his way:

Picking Georgia over Oklahoma looked good after the first possession of the game. Then Oklahoma State woke up and the Georgia offense took a nap for the rest of the day.

The Florida State pick over Miami looked promising until the Seminoles dropped a touchdown pass in the end zone as time expired.

I really thought Wake Forest was going to beat Baylor 24-21. Instead it was the Bears, and QB Robert Griffin, who prevailed by the same score.

So that gives us a modest record of 7-3. And it will only get tougher from here on. So let’s press on with this week’s edition of the Fearless Friday Forecast:

 

1. South Carolina at Georgia: The latest internet rumor has Joe Cox selling barbeque sandwiches out on East Campus and Buck Belue coming out of the broadcast booth to start at quarterback against South Carolina. That’s not true and neither was the rumor that Logan Gray would start ahead of Cox against the Gamecocks. Cox starts. Gray plays. Georgia wins because it HAS to with a trip to Arkansas coming up next week. Georgia 17, South Carolina 10.

 

2. Mississippi State at Auburn: Auburn and its new coaching staff got a solid test against Louisiana Tech while Mississippi State was picking on Jackson State. The good news is that a rookie head coach gets to say he is 1-0 in the SEC. That will be Auburn’s Gene Chizik. Auburn 35, Miss. State 17.

 

3. Vanderbilt at LSU: LSU had better hope the 478 yards its defense gave up at Washington was not a sign of things to come. This will be closer than the experts think. LSU 28, Vanderbilt 20.

 

4. UCLA at Tennessee: Tennessee takes a significant jump in class after pounding a bad Western Kentucky team. The goal is the same: Establish the run to make QB Jonathan Crompton comfortable. This is all about getting ready for the Mighty Gators next week. Tennessee 31, UCLA 17.

 

5. Troy at Florida: I thought Troy might have enough athletes to at least make this competitive for a half. But the Trojans lost their opener to Bowling Green. We do know that Troy is better than Charleston Southern. Florida 45, Troy 14.

 

6. FIU at Alabama: Coach Nick Saban told everybody—players, managers, media, and fans—that we are not allowed to overlook FIU. The Golden Panthers, who were 1-23 in 2006 and 2007, rolled to an impressive 5-7 last season. Okay coach, whatever you say. This game is about working on the offensive line and making QB Greg McElroy even more comfortable. Alabama 42, FIU 3.

 

7. TCU at Virginia: After losing to Bill & Mary last week, things don’t look good for the Cavaliers of Al Groh as TCU comes to town. Every time a Mountain West team plays an ACC team it wants to make a statement: We deserve an automatic BCS bid, not you guys. TCU 28, Virginia 17.

 

8. Jacksonville State at Florida State: Bobby Bowden has had a lot of gut wrenching losses to Miami. Given the time and place in his career, Monday night’s 38-34 defeat to the Hurricanes has to be right up there with the worst. The Seminoles bounce back and get ready for a trip to BYU. Florida State 45, Jacksonville State 14.

 

9. Notre Dame at Michigan: The fan bases at these two schools began the season in a bad mood. Both were calmed down a bit when Notre Dame beat Nevada (35-0) and Michigan beat Western Michigan (31-7). If Notre Dame loses, then the Urban Meyer rumors start again. If Michigan loses the heat gets turned back up on Rich Rodriguez. Notre Dame has more athletes and a veteran quarterback (Jimmy Clausen). Notre Dame 31, Michigan 27.

 

10. USC at Ohio State: USC has won eight straight non-conference games on the road. The Trojans will play a true freshman quarterback (Matt Barkley) making his first start on the road. Ohio State’s Terrell Pryor is just a sophomore and will have to play well for the Buckeyes to have a shot in the Horseshoe. USC has too much speed. USC 28, Ohio State 20.

 

 Please follow me on Twitter:

http://twitter.com/MrCFB

300 comments Add your comment

VolMan

September 11th, 2009
2:02 pm

Georgia’s going to get all of Lane and Monte Kiffin they can take on October 10–mark it down–the vols will dominate the dawgs: 41-20!!!! Lane Kiffin–the new sheriff in the SEC. The Vols are back. Look for an easy blowout over ucla this weekend!

Top Dawg

September 11th, 2009
2:08 pm

reservoirDAWG @ 9:57 a.m. – If your family were considerate, they would not plan a shower during a UGA game.

Gen Neyland

September 11th, 2009
2:21 pm

Gator Growl : The PAC is an offense minded conference…Heck, everything out west is offensively minded. Exception goes to USC West, and even then…

Zoo: I answered you yesterday. Albeit late, but I can’t stay on the computer all day, especially when the breakfast crowd comes into my Waffle House at dinner time…

DawginLex : I’ve said countless times that in 2008, UGA had the offense to overcome their defensive struggles. Game 1 showed they can’t play that game this year…

gdawginkalamazoo

September 11th, 2009
2:21 pm

reservoirDAWG, regarding that shower. From here you don’t look so well. Are you sure you are feeling okay? What is up with that runny nose and hacking cough you have?

Tide Rising

September 11th, 2009
2:26 pm

I agree with Tony. UGA wins because they have to. Program could melt down this season if they don’t.

LSU-Vandy- Vandy gives everybody a hard time but LSU has too much talent not to prevail.

Michigan-ND- ND gets exposed as the pretender it usually is. Lou Holtz saying ND plays in the national title game. Must be nice for ND to have their own Joseph Goebbels propagandizing for them.

USC- Too much speed and quickness for another plodding big 10 team in Ohio State

UT-UCLA- Pac 10 football is better than we SEC fans think but they are typically terrible on the road with the exception of USC. On the other hand I’m not impressed with UT beating up on the worst team in all of D1. UT is better but the idea that they are suddenly good is just a mirage. This could go either way.

Auburn over Miss. State. This should be interesting if for nothing more than to see how the 2 new spread offenses do. Everybody remembers 3-2 from last year. This should be much more entertaining.

Alabama and Florida games. Lets face it. Nobody much cares outside of Bama and UF fans.

MSU

September 11th, 2009
2:28 pm

Miss State will show great improvement this year starting tomorrow. MSU 24 AU 17

Aeschylus

September 11th, 2009
2:38 pm

Tony’s right: Georgia HAS to win (but WILL they!?). I expect it will be a typical, very tough and close UGA/SC game. As for Spurrier, forget last week: he will open up the playbook and throw some tricks Georgia’s way. He knows this is not NC State. Lest we forget, some pundits had his team as the #3 SEC team behind UF and UGA this year. I think that somehow, UGA will find a way to win. Perchance they “remember” some of the ways that they built that opening drive last week?
As for UT, VolMan, et al, I wouldn’t worry too much about UGA right now: that “new sheriff” as you call him has a (conference-wide, highly anticipated) date with destiny next week. UCLA will provide stiffer competition than you think though I think UT wins. However next week, UT is going to get the Gator’s A game and Urban Meyer will try to administer an historic thrashing on the Vols. The sportsmanship gods will hide their faces from this epic. The Vols are back? They defeated the 3rd worst team in college football (talk about “had to!”). For perspective, there were dozens of empty seats in Neyland Stadium last week as many of the Tennessee faithful are still “waiting to see.”
Back when UGA hired Richt I was certainly plussed–still am; though he now has history upon which he can reflect as well as to expectedly build. Nevertheless, UGA finds itself at a key juncture in the Richt era. This season has all the earmarks of broad change should things not materialize favorably–and quickly. I mention all that to say that while I think many admire moxie, one would be wise to curb the braggadocio until Kiffen & Co. do something significant (e.g. UGA’s 2001 signature win in Knoxville). Annihilating WKU does not suffice. Beating UF by ANY score? Now that would raise some eyebrows.

Aeschylus

September 11th, 2009
2:43 pm

I misspelled, “Kiffin” above. Mea culpa.

gte268p

September 11th, 2009
2:46 pm

will win because they have to? Wow, your logic astounds me.

yellarjacket4life

September 11th, 2009
2:54 pm

Dawgs get it done tomorrow. They get back to smash mouth football and run the ball down the chicken’s throats taking some pressure off Joe Cox.

Maybe CMR will do a better job substituting at WR, so Green, Moore,and King don’t have to play every single snap and are fresh late in the game. Plus I’d like to see what Marlon Brown can do. 5 star recruit right??? Dawgs 27 uSC 17

This is one Jacket fan eating a little humble pie after that second half showing on offense. Gotta be able to throw the football to keep the defense honest or we could be in trouble. Our offensive line keeps getting manhandled at the line of scrimmage. Hopefully CPJ will make some adjustments before we travel to Miami.

Joe Cox

September 11th, 2009
3:01 pm

enter this weeks excuse here

gdawginkalamazoo

September 11th, 2009
3:02 pm

yellarjacket4life, good post dude. Now you guys know how we felt last year. Pretty scary isn’t. Your in control then all hell breaks loose. Only difference is you guys won last year.

how2fish

September 11th, 2009
3:03 pm

Gator Zone when did the ol ball coach…ever play anything close to the vest..if they COULD have beat NCST by 60 they WOULD have…and by all means lest fire CMR today…hell we lost a game so off with his head! Damn folks remember it was 20 YEARS between SEC titles before he got here…methinks too many of the Bulldog Nation have Bama-itis..aka Gene Stallings…slow down take a deep breath…there are good things coming if some of the fringe and closet bugs will just relax. Tide Rising good points..

Aeschylus

September 11th, 2009
3:08 pm

Lest it appear that I am being hard on the Vols–of course I am not; just a bit of reality and proffering a rebuttal to comments raised about a mid-season game. I do concur with “ATLVOL” above. Most UT fans I know would say the same things.

Someone mentioned UGA should warm up on a lacky program before the SEC part of the schedule. Hitherto that has been the practice for a number of seasons. Actually the challenge of an Ok. State is preferable–at least to this fan. At any rate, the date with the Cowboys was the return game from 2 seasons ago. Obviously the ‘Pokes have improved.

Audi et alteram partem

crow tastes good

September 11th, 2009
3:10 pm

The Lone Trumpeter
September 9th, 2009
10:46 am
Johnson beat richt once and let his players trim the hedges and make rings over it. Best coach? Not even in the ACC. Wait till tomorrow night and the talk about who is the better coah will end. Bowers just bought an apartment in atl beacuse he will live in the GT backfield for 3 hrs this year.

JAwGe PuPpiEs

September 11th, 2009
3:21 pm

Look at the Bright side JAWGE FANS instead of wasting your time watching your puppies get their brains bashed this year. You can finally do some of those things you have been neglecting to do on those uneventfull saturdays. You can………

Prepare for the big move and change the tires on your house
Go get your GED
Support a real NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP PROGRAM the GYM DAWGS

JAwGe PuPpiEs

September 11th, 2009
3:22 pm

Go to a orthodontist about your severe under bite

JAwGe PuPpiEs

September 11th, 2009
3:23 pm

wash your drool stained 1980 National Championship T Shirt

JAwGe PuPpiEs

September 11th, 2009
3:25 pm

Shave your back

JAwGe PuPpiEs

September 11th, 2009
3:25 pm

shave your wife’s back

Alabama Fan

September 11th, 2009
3:27 pm

VolMan – Saying it, doesn’t make it true.

Tide Rising

September 11th, 2009
3:27 pm

JB,

Relax on the hatefest and whining over Bama and Florida’s schedules. I can’t speak much for the Gators except to say that they’ve always had FSU and in some years FSU and Miami in the same season. Not their fault that both have been down recently.

As for your criticism of us I suggest you take a harder look at UGA’s past schedules under Richt.
2001- Ark State, Houston, GT who you have to play every year.
2002-Clemson(7-6 mediocre), Northwestern State(AA), New Mexico State, GT
2003-Clemson(9-4), MIddle Tennessee, UAB, GT
2004-Ga. Southern(AA), Marshall, GT
2005-Boise State(9-4 in the WAC), LA-Monroe, GT,
2006-Western Kentucky, UAB, Colorado(2-9), GT
2007- OSU( 7-6 record, 4th in division), Western Carolina(AA), Troy, GT
2008- Ga Southern (AA), Central Michigan, Ariz. State(5-7 losers), GT
These teams are middle tier in their respective conferences and UGA scheduled them in years when they were mediocre at best. Clemson was 7-6, OSU 7-6, Colorado 2-9.Arizona State 5-7.
Boise was 9-4 playing in the wac and this was their worst year sandwhiched around 6 better years. There are probably a half dozen sec teams that would have gone 11-2 playing in the wac that year whose only 2 other decent teams are Fresno St. and Hawaii.

That leaves the Clemson team of 2003 at 9-4 as the only decent but not great team that UGA played ooc in the Mark Richt era. You can mention this year’s OSU team but everyone on this blog knows that they will lose to Texas, OU, probably TT, and maybe 1 or 2 other teams and finish barely in the top 25 if they do at all and probably 3rd or 4th in their own division. This is a team whose best record in the past 10 years is 9-4. I am not impressed.

Richt and Damon Evans do NOT schedule teams that historically figure to be in the top 3 of their respective conferences, ie the big boys.

At least Bama steps up to the plate and plays the big boys, teams expected to be either tops or in the top 3 of their respective conferences. Examples- OU in 2002-3, OU finished 12-2 both years and was no. 1 several weeks. UCLA in 2000 and 01 and FSU in 07 although both were not great and similar to UGA’s ooc opponents. In 08 we played 9th ranked Clemson which at the time was the ACC conference favorite. Not our fault they faded. We played ACC 2 time champion and preseason ACC favorite VT this year. And next year we play Penn State which won the big 10 last year and is the favorite to win the big 10 this year.

The Alabama name is a national brand name because throughout our history we have played marquee intersectional home and homes and one game matchups against national powers in their prime such as ND, USC, UCLA, Nebraska, OU, Ohio State, Penn State, Miami, VT, there are more I could mention but you get the point. Before UGA played a mediocre 5-7 ASU the dawgs had not traveled outside the immediate southeast during the regular season to play a big time opponent in 50 something years.

Do some research and start playing the top 1-3 teams in a bcs conference rather than the middle tier so so teams before criticizing Bama’s ooc record.

JAwGe PuPpiEs

September 11th, 2009
3:29 pm

Change the Dale Jr. tribute paint scheme on your truck from a Red # 8 to his new Green and white #88.

Got 12?

September 11th, 2009
3:32 pm

This weekend, I’m pulling for Mississippi A&M although I believe East Alabama Male College will win. Dang gone it!

Tide Rising

September 11th, 2009
3:34 pm

JB and others,

One last thing. I’m not getting down on Georgia or Richt who I think is a fine coach and who I, along with most bama fans, respect and admire. I know some of you guys are upset that things haven’t started out that well for UGA. Just don’t resort to things like criticizing someone else’s ooc schedule just because you are a little frustrated. That’s all Forrest Gump has to say about that.

G8R GRAD

September 11th, 2009
3:47 pm

More useless conjecture:

AU 24
MSU 14
Weagle, weagle . . . .

UA 35
FIU 7
Foregone conclusion.

southgadawg88

September 11th, 2009
3:47 pm

SC is horrible..I’m not worried about this game…I am curious as to who gets some carries to back up Samuel.After all the hoopla with the QB situation yesterday….I’m sure Gray will get a series or two in the 1st half.

gdawginkalamazoo

September 11th, 2009
3:54 pm

Nov 17, 2007 in Tuscaloosa.

Reality

September 11th, 2009
4:06 pm

JB,
Dont get mad at the Florida and Bama schedule. Get mad at the fact that Georgia isn’t smart enough to schedule those same games. Oh well if you drop a couple of spots the first couple of weeks because the team is a prison team. Point is, its like a preseason game and the little things get worked out before you play the big boys.

Born2Buzz

September 11th, 2009
4:07 pm

Tony sounds just like any 12 year old UGA fan.

UGA wins because they HAVE TO, they just HAVE TO. Not because they are the better team, they just HAVE TO. PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE let them win. They HAVE TO.

And your point being?

September 11th, 2009
4:11 pm

Gdawgzoo,

Oct. 14, 2006 Nashville

Gen Neyland

September 11th, 2009
4:12 pm

Aeschylus : Tennessee opening day history not your forte, Bard..? Me thinks you might have found my Sippin’ Solvent stash. While you’re researching, please see : Florida, any year or UGA 2006/2008 for examples. Thank you for participating.

ooc schedule

September 11th, 2009
4:25 pm

Tide,

Good poitns. Didnt know the dawgs past schedule was so bs. you right too scared to play the big boys.

SHAKE N BAKE

September 11th, 2009
4:29 pm

when was the last time we were 0-2 and GT was 2-0 to start a season

GT

September 11th, 2009
4:37 pm

Notre Dame hasn’t got the coaching to beat Mich. South Carolina comes to Athens and just shows up with Spurrier on the sideline and a mental cased Georgia team is going to fall about. Spurrier had two extra days to get ready and he could have done it in seven. TCU will beat the daylights out of Va. kind of like Southern Cal did last year. Maybe it is time the ACC felt like they had to prove something and losing this game will make people wonder why the BSC free pass goes to the ACC. Ohio State may show the ACC you don’t have to be that good to get a lot of love, as they get beat 21 points by USC.

NEXT #13

September 11th, 2009
4:40 pm

JB, NO WAR WANTED OR NEEDED!! YES EVERY YEAR YOU’D LIKE TO SEE A LOADED SCHEDULE FOR YOUR DOLLAR BUT IN REALITY THAT’S JUST NOT GONNA HAPPEN!! STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE YEAR PROGRESSES SO WE’LL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE JUST HOW THAT PANS OUT!!! AGREED??!!

A

September 11th, 2009
4:43 pm

Okay. The homer Tony has now picked the Bulldogs twice this season. My guess is that Tony will pick them to win every game except possibly Florida. This guy really has no credibility

[...] in a loss to Oklahoma State, but its defense looked decent against a very good Cowboy offense. At 0-1 there have already been rumors of a quarterback change at Georgia, but Mark Richt seems to be [...]

reebok

September 11th, 2009
5:08 pm

What a shocker! Tony Barnhart picks Georgia to win!

Oh, and Notre Dame is as overrated as always. Michigan will flatten them.

Everybody have a great weekend.

Monticello Dawg

September 11th, 2009
5:09 pm

I think it is too early to be pronouncing greatness on the South Carolina defense. They may turn out to be very good, but my impression of NC State was that of a team without many offensive weapons. Russell Wilson, All ACC quarterback?? SC has some talented defensive ends, but I believe they start two freshmen in the secondary. They may be highly recruited, but there is a good possibility of some blown assignments in their second collegiate game.

Satrring Kam Fong as Chin Ho

September 11th, 2009
5:22 pm

Tide 4u2c, Whoa up there little mister. You circus elephants beat an ACC team with a really bad offense with a 4th quarter surge. LSU barely got past WASH ( a PAC ONE member). And last time I looked, Utah was running all over you in the Sugar Bowl. Hate to be the one to break it to you but I will. Bama ain’t all that good. You have a nice team but you’re not top 5 material. Holler at me if you wish, but when it’s all said and done, Bama loses 3 times

Satrring Kam Fong as Chin Ho

September 11th, 2009
5:24 pm

General Neyland, my investigation shows you’re dead. Are you a spirit?

D

September 11th, 2009
5:35 pm

Wow what great insight. They will win b/c they have too. Tony u are a genius!

Trey

September 11th, 2009
5:37 pm

Ga is going to get the crap beat out of them again. Why would anyone pick that crap football team to win? Did you morons not see last week???
Sec is a joke this year except for UF.

SC 27
GA 13

Yawn

September 11th, 2009
5:39 pm

Tony is suppose to be the genius when it comes to college football. They even call him Mr College Football. And he picks ga. Too funny. He’s clueless as our most ga fans.

Gen Neyland

September 11th, 2009
5:42 pm

Ho : No, but I know spirits. Scotch is my spirit of choice but I have been known to down a couple of Budweisers in the day…and at night for that matter.

NEXT #13

September 11th, 2009
5:59 pm

HI HO! HI HO! DO YOU DARE TO LET US KNOW! WHICH THREE IT’LL BE,OH FIDDLE DEE DEE!! HI HO HI HO!!

Crimson nation

September 11th, 2009
6:22 pm

Kam Fong,

Thanks for breaking it to us that we are not top 5 material and that we will lose 3 games. If we’re not top 5 then who is? Last time I checked that over rated OK State is 5th. Despite their win over the dogs this is a team whose best record in last 10 years is 9-4 and whose defense was 93rd last year. If you take a look at the teams behind us its very difficult to make the argument that any of them would be top 5 material and that we aren’t.

You say VT isn’t that great. Funny but they were talking national title run before the Bama loss. They also are the 2 time acc defending champion and also have the distinction, along with only Texas and USC, of winning 10 games or more over the last 5 years in a row. You should at least put your bias aside and realize that VT deserves some respect as a team that is consistently good.

Last time you checked Utah was running all over us. Fine. Last time I checked Utah was the nation’s only unbeaten team and finished 2nd in the nation. Still laughing. The mountain west counterpart BYU took down 3rd ranked OU and the game was tight long before Bradford got hurt.

And BTW, who exactly can beat us that we will finish with 3 losses? You can’t possibly be talking about the regular season. Its possible that we could drop one game, lose to UF in the seccg, and drop a bowl game against a really good opponent and end up with 3 losses. But if you think this Bama team loses 3 games in the regular season then I would like some of whatever you’re smoking.

Crimson nation

September 11th, 2009
6:26 pm

Next #13,

If Kam Fong is talking about us losing 3 games including the postseason its possible but even then not likely. But losing 3 games in a season in which we will be favored in every game. Not! Ole Miss and LSU both have a decent shot at us but that’s about it. No UF or UGA on the regular season schedule.

Tide4u2c

September 11th, 2009
6:50 pm

Chin Ho,

I suggest you pay more attention to the Crimson Tide.Just becuse you predict 3 losses for Alabama does not mean much but I would’nt do it because it can make you look like you don’t have much football knowledge.This is a new Alabama team this is not a Mike Shula coached team with reduced scholorships and its time you realized that.I bet you were one of the ones predicting Bama would not do well last year eventhough there were signs the previous year(07) that Bama was on the rise, sure Alabama my have sputtered toward the end of the 07 season with depth problems plus 4 players suspended(text books)on top of it but desite that Bama was in every game and nobody beat Bama by more than 7 points including LSU and even Georgia by 3.Depth probelms are behind us now thanks to two number 1 recruiting classes in a row. You may not like the Crimson Tide but you obviously don’t know what you are talking about.