Atlanta Braves: Does this team still have a shot at NL Wild Card vs. Rockies?

In her “Braves could play two one-game playoffs” piece, the AJC’s Carroll Rogers sets out the scenario under which Atlanta might host two deciding post-regular season games:

“If the Braves finish in a three-way tie with the Phillies and Rockies, they would play Monday to decide the division winner and if they lose, another game Tuesday to decide the wild-card winner.

That would happen if the Braves go 5-0, the Phillies go 0-5 and the Rockies go 2-3.

Here are the teams’ schedules, including results for all three clubs from Tuesday, Sept. 29. The schedules end Oct. 4.

Braves – at home vs. Marlins (9/29-30) LOSS vs. Marlins on 9/29 … at home vs. Nationals (10/1-4)

Phillies – at home vs. Astros (9/29-10/1) WIN vs. Astros on 9/29 … at home vs. Marlins (10/2-4)

Rockies – at home vs. Brewers (9/29-10/1) WIN vs. Brewers on 9/29 … away at Dodgers (10/2-4)

YOU TELL US: Which scenario listed above is most likely to happen, given the three teams’ schedules? Will the Braves play one, two or no deciding games at The Ted?

GOING TO THE GAME? Our Inside Access blogger, Jamie Gumbrecht, has some cool “know before you go” hints geared to save Braves fans time and money.

86 comments Add your comment

Daniel

September 30th, 2009
11:59 am

The Rockies can still go 2-3 in the final five. Problem is I don’t thiink the Braves can go 5-0. I really hope I’m wrong though

desibrave

September 30th, 2009
12:05 pm

Lets take the Tie with the phillies out of the picture. Phillies are going to the division. Our best chance is Wildcard. So we have to go 5-0 which is highly likely. This team can do it. Big question is 2-3 by Rockies. Looks like the Brewers are giving hard time for Rockies. So lets say they go 1-1 the rest of this series with Brewers. That means Dodgers have to win the series against Rockies. Dodgers are managed by Joe Torre who would respect the schedule and make sure he fields his best team during that series. Dodgers own Rockies this season 12-3 so far. And the games are in LA. So pretty good chances for Braves to get into a tie with Rockies. Javy is on the mound today so we still Believe!

dylan

September 30th, 2009
12:06 pm

Marc in FL

September 30th, 2009
12:08 pm

Last night was inflating, still proud of this team though, keep on keeping on Braves!

dylan

September 30th, 2009
12:08 pm

i BELIEVE!!!!!!!

Wes

September 30th, 2009
12:18 pm

I don’t think the Braves have a shot at the NL East title… those fightin’ Phils pretty much have it already. However, the Braves just need to take care of business at the Ted this weekend and basically win all of their remaining games. And we need major help from the Brew Crew and Dodgers to beat the Rockies.

I will be at the Ted tonight… GO BRAVES!

Michael C

September 30th, 2009
12:24 pm

The NL east is out of the question, however, the wild card is still a good possiblity. Hopefully the Brewers can come through and thankfully the Dodgers are still fighting to maintain the best record in the NL. Also another incentive for the Dodgers is that they want the want the Braves to win the Wild card. That would mean the Dodgers would face the Braves if they maintained the best record, otherwise they would have to face the Cardinals in the first round, the three headed monster of a pitching staff for the Card’s is not desirable for the team with the best record in the NL! GO BRAVES!!!

DHD

September 30th, 2009
12:25 pm

It’s the old “one day at a time” thing. We have to win tonight and the Rockies lose tonight, or it’s history. Pretty simple.

DC Bravesfan

September 30th, 2009
12:45 pm

That’s the problem with a 7 game win streak, it’s gotta end sometime…The Braves can win out, and COL can lose one to MIL, and 2 to LAD, that would do it. A sweep of COL by LAD would be crucial! Too bad their race isn’t tighter…

RHR

September 30th, 2009
12:46 pm

I wouldn’t call the wild card a “good possibility” … I wouldn’t have even called it that before the loss last night. It was always a long shot. The dodgers are playing like crap and the rockies have luck on their side every year in September, it seems. If we had another week to play then I’d put money on the braves but we don’t. I do think the Braves are playing better than any team in the NL right now, its a shame they likely won’t be playing next week. I love how they have turned it around this second half and will be a contender all season in 2010 not just a 2nd half contender like they were this year. Thanks for making it interesting til the end, Braves.

mexican-brave

September 30th, 2009
12:47 pm

we can still make it!!! let’s support this team, folks…they have played unbelievable baseball fot the past couple of weeks, so let’s cheer them on!!! I STILL BELIEVE!!

RHR

September 30th, 2009
12:47 pm

The NL east is out of the question

*sigh*

If only we were chasing the mets…

BravesfaninWis

September 30th, 2009
12:48 pm

One series to determine the WC winner at the most.. There is no way in hell that the Phillies will go 1-4 in their next 5 games against the Brewers and Marlins.. They are the Division Champs in my eyes.. There is a chance that the Braves can go 4-0 in their final 5, but this team brought the entire fan base back down to reality last night.. I do feel good about tonight with Javy Vazquez on the mound, but we still have to pitch Derek Lowe against the Nats, and Lowe has been horrific lately.. As long as we don’t pitch Lowe, Hudson, or Kawakami in the next 4 games, we could be alright.. If it were up to me, it would be Vazquez, Hanson, and Jurrgens in the final 5 games, but I know that won’t happen.. So therefore, I think the Braves are going home after the final game of the season, and no playoffs..

BravesfaninWis

September 30th, 2009
12:49 pm

I meant 5-0 in their final 5, not 4-0 :)

timthebrave

September 30th, 2009
12:49 pm

The Braves can still get a tie for the wildcard. I believe and will be cheering at the Ted tonight

Nova Scotia Steve - Is Worried

September 30th, 2009
12:49 pm

I think if can somehow be two games back…going into the final 4…we still have a shot.

BUt we need to win against Nolasco tonight…and the Brewers have to somehow beat Colorado.

The Rockies are going to be pummped up after that big win last night…

timthebrave

September 30th, 2009
12:51 pm

Even if they don’t they have been fun to watch. I enjoy the hustle and the fire they are playing with. Did you see Prado hustling down the line in the 9th. That is exciting baseball. Go Braves!

GT Brill

September 30th, 2009
12:53 pm

We have to run the table. If only we had brought up Tommy Hanson at the beginning of the year.

TheCircleH

September 30th, 2009
12:57 pm

Everyone is right. the Phillies will win the division. Probably tonight. Good news for Braves fans is that they will then set their sights on Home Field Advantage, where they trail the Dodgers by 1.5 . That’s good for the Braves because the Dodgers can’t let up, so Colorado losing all 3 isn’t that far a stretch.

Phinfan

September 30th, 2009
12:57 pm

Win tonight and go brewers
< Previous Day
2009 NL Standings
East W L PCT GB RS RA EXPW EXPL DIV WC POFF
Philadelphia 91 66 .580 - 795 684 93.8 68.2 99.9 <0.1 99.9
Atlanta 86 71 .548 5 722 620 89.0 73.0 0.1 7.4 7.5
Florida 84 74 .532 7.5 750 750 86.0 76.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Coolstandings @ 7.5 chance to get card

Sam

September 30th, 2009
1:01 pm

Just the fact that the Braves still have a chance at the division title is amazing considering where this team was just a couple months ago.

I don’t know about you guys but this playoff chase has really got me excited about October baseball for the first time in a couple years.

37YrBravesFan

September 30th, 2009
1:05 pm

Division, no. And I think that they will miss the Wild Card by one game…unfortunately.

GO BRAVES!!

Dan c

September 30th, 2009
1:13 pm

Enter your comments here I don’t think they can win the division. they can win out. Five games is possible. There playing the best ball in years. It isn’t over till it’s over.

CC in Denver

September 30th, 2009
1:15 pm

With their win the Rockies eliminated the Marlins from playoff contention and can do likewise to the Giants tonight with a win (or SF loss).

In playoff odds land, the Rockies’ playoff chances increased by 18% according to Sportsclubstats to 90.4%. At BP, the Rockies’ odds are now at 92.5%, with at 2.6% chance at the division. It’s amazing what one good day can do.

Scenarios for a WC tie:

COL ATL SF SF

0-5 89 wins 3-2 89 wins 5-0 89 wins

1-4 90 wins 4-1 90 wins

2-3 91 wins 5-0 91 wins

3-2 92 wins

4-1 93 wins

5-0 94 wins

Ray Pugh

September 30th, 2009
1:17 pm

Carroll,

If we ended the season tied w/ the Phillies for the divisional lead, there would be no tiebreaker as we have the better record against them head-to-head this year.

jeff

September 30th, 2009
1:22 pm

I think they’ll miss out the wild card by one or two games. Will be pulling for them. Hopefully something will happen and they’ll get in.

The one thing though is that even if they get it, they aren’t going to win a championship. Of all the national league teams in it, I don’t see any of them that are that dominating unless a bunch of players get hot. It wouldn’t be shocking if the Braves were able to win a round or two. In the end though, the national league playoffs are pretty much going to be to see who gets to lose to the eventual champs in the world series.

Believernot

September 30th, 2009
1:25 pm

Enter your comments here
Maybe next year. Too many chances gone by (how many men left on base last night, how many blown saves along the way, how many times swinging and grounding out on the first pitch from a struggling pitcher……..). The Braves are done and so am I.

Brian

September 30th, 2009
1:31 pm

Ray Pugh, that would be the case if the Braves and Phillies both had a better record than the Rockies. Because there is a third team involve, there would be a playoff. This would be the case whether they were tied with the Rockies, or if the Rockies were ahead of both teams. (In that case, obviously, there wouldn’t be a playoff game with Colorado, just between the Braves and Phillies).

paw paw

September 30th, 2009
1:37 pm

me and grandson dugout tickets tonight.. thanks nana chipper will carry braves tonight
(we hope) WE BELIEVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Good Grief

September 30th, 2009
1:37 pm

At best we’d have to hope for a tie of the wild card. The loss last night and the Rockies win hurt. I don’t think the Braves have a chance if they dont win out – the braves need to win all 5 games to make it

bass stringerfish

September 30th, 2009
1:41 pm

Great call CircleH…my only fears to the equation was us actually winning 5 (hey Pittsburgh beat the Dodger who are trying to clinch 2 times in a row….) and after LA does clinch they’d play the second teamers and even then not that hard..but with that home field advantage on the line…WOW! that made me feel a lot better about how they will attack until the last day….Watching every game via MLB.com from Utah (snow last night by the way…) Go Braves!!!

brent a.

September 30th, 2009
1:41 pm

Tonight is the spring board for the rest of the week. Win tonight, and this team will be licking its chops as it approaches the week-end.

Win tonight and 5-0 is more than reasonable. Lose tonight, and they could be almost eliminated by midnight.

Go Braves!

john

September 30th, 2009
1:44 pm

I definitely think they can win out, but Colorado losing three is going to be a long shot, especially with the way the dodgers have been playing.

it's over

September 30th, 2009
1:45 pm

Who cares … it’s football season

Nostalgia

September 30th, 2009
1:47 pm

This reminds me of the battle with the Dodgers in ‘91! Those were awesome times and they used to give out the gigantic foam tomahawks!

Borg

September 30th, 2009
1:53 pm

It’s over Commander – the Braves are fleeing into the woods.

atlindenver

September 30th, 2009
1:59 pm

The Rockies have a three game lead in the WC race. If the Braves go 5-1 and the Rox go 3 and 3, the Rox will still be ahead by one. Someone needs to double check their math…

mexican-brave

September 30th, 2009
2:03 pm

atlindenver…there are just 5 games left on the season

Sg

September 30th, 2009
2:06 pm

All season I have not been able to get that Phillies game out of my head from the beginning of the season where we were up by 7 or 8 in the late innings and they came back. If we end up one game out of the wild card, that is the one that will haunt me.

That being said, we still have a pulse and we are still fighting. Let’s see what happens tonight and discuss tomorrow…

Pete

September 30th, 2009
2:11 pm

Enter your comments here
What scenario puts the Braves in ??
How about NONE ?
They have about as much a chance as Appalachain State winning the NCAA Football national championship.
This is still Atlanta………….right ??? LOL

Doug B

September 30th, 2009
2:14 pm

We will be watching the Braves all the way in Houston, TX and we….
BELIEVE!!!

Bob Horner

September 30th, 2009
2:26 pm

Chipper,
You are not a power hitter anymore, lay down a bunt and move Martin over to second.

Gibby

September 30th, 2009
2:28 pm

The Braves aren’t going anywhere but back home where they belong. Typical Bobby Cox team — close, but no cigar. LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL

Innocent Bystander

September 30th, 2009
2:31 pm

If the Rockies don’t lose tonight or tomorrow, I don’t think the Braves will be motivated enough to sweep the Nats. I don’t see LA sweeping them this weekend, unfortunately.

Pete

September 30th, 2009
2:33 pm

Michael, you call the Braves WC chances “good” being 3 games back with 5 left to play? That is quite a stretch, to say the least!

Coop

September 30th, 2009
2:33 pm

Gibby – Don’t be tool.

Gibby

September 30th, 2009
2:36 pm

The Atlanta Braves: For Those Who Are Satisfied With “Almost”
HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA

Pete

September 30th, 2009
2:36 pm

atlindenver double check YOUR math there are only 5 games left so going 5-1 would be most difficult lol

McFly

September 30th, 2009
2:44 pm

Ray, Sorry, you’re WRONG. The tie w/Philly just decides the HOME team for the playoff game.

Buzz29

September 30th, 2009
2:44 pm

The best pitch that a hitter will see during an at-bat is on the 3-0 count. Why in the hail won’t they swing the dam bat! And don’t tell me it’s because they want them to make them throw a strike. 84% of the time the 3-0 pitch is a fastball belt high down the middle. Take a chance! I miss Greg Olson. GO Jackets!