FINAL MOCK: Under “The Polian Plan” Falcons to take Gresham
Jermaine Gresham could be on Arthur Blank's plane later tonight for a trip to Flowery Branch. Gil Brandt says Jermaine Gresham is the next Kellen Winslow Sr.!!!
FLOWERY BRANCH – The Atlanta Falcons could throw “The Polian Plan” into action during the 2010 NFL draft, which is set for 7 pm. Thursday.
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The Falcons may want to do the same thing with quarterback Matt Ryan and continue to add weapons on offense.
Some of Polian’s first-round picks for the Colts have included running back Edgerrin James (1999), wide receiver Reggie Wayne (2001), tight end Dallas Clark (2003), running back Joseph Addai (2006), wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez (2007) and running Donald Brown (2009).
So while the Falcons appear to have a more pressing need in improving the defense — the team ranked 10th against the run (106.8 yards per game) and 28th against the pass (242.1 yards per game) last season — Falcons general manager Thomas Dimitroff could turn in a draft card with either Georgia Tech wide receiver Demaryius Thomas‘ or Oklahoma tight end Jermaine Gresham’s name on it.
David Caldwell, director of college scouting.
There is a Polian influence in the Falcons’ draft room. David Caldwell, the team’s director of college scouting, spent 10 seasons with the Colts before joining the Falcons in April of 2008. He played linebacker in college at John Carroll. (Aside: Quick, who’s the famous former NFL head coach who has the stadium named after him at John Carroll in suburban Cleveland? Answer below.)
Here’s how the Falcons’ draft day plans are shaping up:
1. THE POLIAN PLAN: Add a weapon for the offense.
If the Falcons stay put at 19, they’ll have shot at Gresham and Thomas. I’m projecting that they have Gresham rated higher than Thomas. He could come in and work with Tony Gonzalez while he improves his blocking.
Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma, 6-foot-5, 261 pounds: Gresham did not play last season after having surgery for torn cartilage in his right knee. He started his college career as a wide receiver for the Sooners. Former NFL executive Gil Brandt compares the fleet Gresham to Hall of Famer Kellen Winslow Sr.
Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech, 6-3, 224: The fact that he suffered a broken foot while preparing for the draft has not hurt his value. He’s the second receiver rated in the draft and appears to be a first-round lock. He showed his speed on streak routes at Tech as well as his blocking ability in the run game. He has to develop into an NFL-level route runner.
2. TRADE DOWN TARGETS: Get defensive help, second rounder
Under this scenario, the Falcons could end up trading down and picking up a second round pick. A trade down would signal they are going defense. Cincinnati and Baltimore could be trade partners. The Bengals like Gresham and the Ravens like Thomas.
Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri, 6-1, 241: Affectionately called “Spoon,” he led the team in tackles the past three seasons and was a team captain. Excellent motor and plays well in coverage. “If you play in the Big 12, every week you’ve got to come out and guard receivers,” Weatherspoon said. “You don’t want to be a liability in passing situations. I’m glad I played in the Big 12, and that will definitely help me out.”
Daryl Washington, LB, TCU, 6-2, 226: Played inside in the Horned Frogs 4-2-5 defense. He’s projected as an outside linebacker in the NFL, where he might need to add about 10 pounds.
3. TRADE UP TARGETS: The Baker move
Like he did with Sam Baker in 2007, if Dimitroff sees a player slipping away, the Falcons could make a little jump up to get him. Dimitroff said in a radio interview that it would cost about $8 million jump to move from 19 to the low teens. It wouldn’t cost as much to leapfrog over Pittsburgh in to get a clear path at Florida center Maurkice Pouncey if he gets past Denver or to take a shot at Michigan defensive end Brandon Graham.
Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida, 6-5, 318: He has been heavily scouted by the Falcons. Pouncey felt he did well diagnosing plays on the chalk board for the team at the NFL Scouting Combine. He won the Dave Rimington Trophy, which goes to the nation’s top center. He also played some right guard during his career. The 10-year chart (2000-09) reveals that only five centers have been drafted in the first round and none was selected higher than the 21st pick.
Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan, 6-1, 263: He’s the first defensive player in Michigan history to be voted the team’s most valuable player twice. He made a lot of plays (41 percent of his tackles) behind the line of scrimmage. Graham is stout, bench-pressing 225 pounds 31 times at the combine. He also had a good showing at the Senior Bowl and could be taken before the Falcons’ selection.
Well, in the Final Mock draft, (the one that counts), we side with The Polian Plan. Tonight we should hear this, “With the 19th pick in the 2010 NFL draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Oklahoma tight end Jermaine Gresham.”
AJC’s 2010 FINAL MOCK DRAFT
Staff writer D. Orlando Ledbetter projects the first round:
The Falcons could see Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford in his rookie season if he's selected, as expected, by the St. Louis Rams. The Falcons play at St. Louis on Nov. 21.
1. St. Louis Rams: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma, 6-foot-4, 236 pounds. In the past two drafts, the Rams passed on quarterbacks Mark Sanchez, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco. This time they pull the trigger.
2. Detroit Lions: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska, 6-4, 302. Coach Jim Schwartz, a former defensive coordinator, values a strong front line.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma, 6-4, 298. The Bucs get someone to anchor the defensive front and hope that he’s another Warren Sapp.
4. Washington Redskins: Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State, 6-5, 307. New coach Mike Shanahan wants someone to help get his running attack rolling. He needs a replacement for Chris Samuels, who retired because of a neck injury.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Brian Bulaga, OT, Iowa, 6-6, 312. The Chiefs go with Bulaga to help anchor the line. He fits the personality of the team that Scott Pioli is trying to establish.
Bryan Bulaga, Iowa.
6. Seattle Seahawks: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech, 6-4, 272. With the retirement of defensive end Patrick Kerney and the trade of defensive end Darryl Tapp, the Seahawks take Morgan.
7. Cleveland Browns: Eric Berry, DB, Tennessee, 5-11 5/8, 211. Only five safeties have been taken in the top 10 over the past 10 years. Berry, of Creekside High, becomes the sixth.
8. Oakland Raiders: Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers, 6-6, 325. The Raiders are comfortable with the explanation from Rutgers coach Greg Schiano about Davis’ fluctuating weight.
9. Buffalo Bills: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson, 5-11, 196. The Bills want to run the football and need to surround their quarterbacks with a weapon.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama, 6-4, 256. The Jags are not scared off by the fact that McClain has Crohn’s disease.
11. Denver Broncos: Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida, 6-5, 318. The Broncos want to anchor their offensive line with the Dave Rimington Award winner.
12. Miami Dolphins: Sergio Kindle, LB, Texas, 6-4, 255. The Dolphins have to replace outside linebackers Joey Porter and Jason Taylor.
13. San Francisco 49ers: Joe Haden, CB, Florida, 5-10 3/4, 193. The 49ers are not afraid of the slow 40-time he ran
Oklahoma State wide receiver Dez Bryant compares himself to Randy Moss.
at the NFL scouting combine.
14. Seattle Seahawks: Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma, 6-5, 318. The Seattle need to fortify their offensive line.
15. New York Giants: Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan, 6-1, 263. The Giants believe you can never have too many defensive ends.
16. Tennessee Titans: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida, 6-6, 265: The Titans are in the defensive end market after losing Kyle Vanden Bosch in free agency.
17. San Francisco 49ers: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame, 6-2, 223. The 49ers have seen enough of Alex Smith to know he’s not a franchise quarterback.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State, 5-10, 194. The Steelers have to address their porous secondary.
Some have Clemson flash C.J. Spiller going to Seattle as high as No. 6.
19. Falcons: Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma, 6-5, 261. The Falcons can’t resist his potential and take the best player available on the board. He’s projected to be the next great tight end in the league by some.
20. Houston Texans: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State, 5-11, 220. The Texans want to add a running game to give quarterback Matt Schaub more weapons.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma, 6-2, 225. The Bengals have a program in place to help players with a history of problems.
22. New England Patriots: Jared Odrick, DE, Penn State, 6-5, 301. He has the size to play that hybrid defensive end/outside linebacker spot in the mold of Mike Vrabel.
23. Green Bay Packers: Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida State, 5-11, 190. The Packers have him rated as the best cornerback in the draft, and he’s a nice system fit.
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama, 5-10, 196. Played his career in the shadows of Javier Arenas, but he’s the better pro prospect.
25. Baltimore Ravens: Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech, 6-3, 224. Perfect spot for Thomas, who can learn from veterans Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason.
26. Arizona Cardinals: Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee, 6-2, 329. He is a brute force player who’ll fit nicely along side of Darnell Dockett.
27. Dallas Cowboys: Earl Thomas, S, Texas, 5-10 1/4, 208. The Cowboys like his versatility in coverage.
Everson Griffen could be flexing for the Falcons in 2010. (Associated Press)
28. San Diego Chargers: Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech, 5-11 1/2, 222. The Chargers need to get their ground attack flourishing again and are impressed with the former ACC player of the year.
29. New York Jets: Everson Griffen, DE, USC, 6-3, 278. Is a natural fit for Rex Ryan’s defense.
30. Minnesota Vikings: Chris Cook, CB, Virginia, 6-2, 212. The Vikings need a big cornerback to go against the receivers they face in the NFC North.
31. Indianapolis Colts: Mike Iupati, G, Idaho, 6-5, 325. A small school product who fits nicely in the Colts’ blocking scheme.
32. New Orleans Saints: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri, 6-1, 241. The Saints have to get stronger on the flanks and must replace Scott Fujita, who signed with Cleveland in free agency.
Answer: Don Shula
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121 comments Add your comment
London Falcon
April 22nd, 2010
7:09 am
first
London Falcon
April 22nd, 2010
7:10 am
Pays to have the time difference on your side!
London Falcon
April 22nd, 2010
7:12 am
Gonna be interesting, everywhere I look someone is predicting a different name…. personally i’d go for Spoon, but all the names I hear we are interested sound good pick up’s.
O'Brien
April 22nd, 2010
7:20 am
DOL,
William Moore was injured in college, and he got injured last year after we drafted him. Sam Baker was injured in college, and he got injured last year after we drafted him. So as much as I like Gresham, I am concerned about his injuries.
I dont see the Falcons taking a TE, because he would not contribute much this year, and we have no second round picks. So we would not get a player who might help the 2010-2011 Falcons until the 3rd round, and I dont think our GM and coaching staff want to wait that long.
I say Falcons go defense at 19, or trade back and pick up a second round pick, and then go offense.
If Denver takes Pouncey with the 11th pick, I think Denver fans will be in an uproar. I think he falls to Pittsburgh.
Tweets that mention FINAL MOCK: Under “The Polian Plan” Falcons to take Gresham | Atlanta Falcons -- Topsy.com
April 22nd, 2010
7:31 am
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by D. Orlando Ledbetter. D. Orlando Ledbetter said: FINAL MOCK: Under “The Polian Plan” Falcons to take Gresham http://bit.ly/cUDk3G [...]
The Real Falcon
April 22nd, 2010
7:38 am
No center in the last 10 years has been selected higher than 21st is the first round. Neither will Pouncey.
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
7:42 am
The Real Falcon — I think you’re wrong. Pouncey will go 11th or 19th (if Steelers don’t trade Big Ben to Raiders add give up that pick as part of the deal).
O’Brien — So you’re not buying this well thought out Bill Polian Plan — add to the offense, fix defense later.
London Falcons — Enjoy!!!!
gman
April 22nd, 2010
7:46 am
PUHLEEASE
Reality
April 22nd, 2010
7:49 am
Did someone have some kool-aid for breakfast?
Smyrna Jacket
April 22nd, 2010
7:58 am
SPOON!
Rick Beach
April 22nd, 2010
8:01 am
Wow.Just Wow.
Really need to loosen that bow tie and let some oxygen get to that noggin.
TommyP
April 22nd, 2010
8:04 am
If I’ve learned anything, DOL, you absolutely have no clue. Every time I log on here, you’re telling us why this player and that player is the guy the Falcons will pick. I guess you’ve covered every option by now.
And Jared Odrick, @ 301 lbs., as a hybrid DE/LB? Are you friggin’ kidding me?
NFL News and Notes – April 22, 2010 | The Other 31
April 22nd, 2010
8:08 am
[...] Orlando Ledbetter of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution has the Atlanta Falcons choosing Oklahoma tight end Jermaine Gresham with the 19th overall pick in his final mock [...]
Gen Neyland
April 22nd, 2010
8:08 am
To be a fly on the walls in conference rooms around the league today. Please, please let Berry and Dan Williams end up in solid franchises (that means no Oakland’s and hopefully no Cleveland’s)…I’d hate to see EB reduced to playing the run as the opposition runs out the clock..!
O'Brien
April 22nd, 2010
8:09 am
DOL,
I like the Polian plan. I just dont like it (for this year) because Gresham would not help us out this year (since we already have Gonzales). And I’m not so sure Gonzales wont be productive for this season AND next. He stays in shape, eats right, and shows no signs of slowing down.
I think Pouncey goes to Pittsburgh. With Big Ben out for 4-6 games, that position (Center/Guard) becomes more important if its going to be Dixon or Batch under center.
Whopper Dawg
April 22nd, 2010
8:10 am
After last year’s draft netted zero starters and almost no situational players, if I were TD, I would be real leery going after damaged goods again (please see Jerry and Moore), Gresham would be an extremely foolish choice for that reason.
It is extremely obvious that your MO this year is to go against the grain and pick an offensive player to appear that you have some insight that most analysts do not have.
That indeed may work, and TD made many reaches last year and some will argue a pretty good reach for Baker (another injury prone pick) as well in 2008, because I would consider everyone of your picks a pretty severe reach at 19. 1) A center rated below many last year and when there are high value center picks later in the draft, 2) a receiver that never had to run routes, has a broken foot and has the dropsies and 3) an injured tight end.
If we pick any of those rather than dropping down and shoring up our defense, I will be severely disappointed. Now if Spiller drops to us, then you have a decision to make.
mountain_jim
April 22nd, 2010
8:19 am
Finally draft day! I think a trade down for a second and still get Spoon or Gresham is the play if all the top DEs are gone.
Falcons FAil No More
April 22nd, 2010
8:25 am
Just curious. If the Falcons don’t go with Gresham, but do in fact take Spoon. Who in next years projected draftees would be a good TE to draft?
GT Fan
April 22nd, 2010
8:27 am
Wow.. 3 Yellow Jackets in the 1st round would be awesome. It could also be a huge selling point in recruiting for GT. Hope it pans out that way. I am not so sure I would pull the plug and go TE with the 1st pick. I think DE, OLB or OL are the main priorities for this team to address in the 1st round. If you can’t get the player you want at #19, then trade down and pick up more picks and add more depth. Just sayin’…
Chattanooga Chuck
April 22nd, 2010
8:31 am
I see Rick Gosselin in Dallas has us taking Mike Iupati. I’d rather go for. a great offensive player than a mediocre defender (not that Weatherspoon or Graham is mediocre).
If Dimitroff were to pick Billy Bob Bobo from Cotton Patch State, then I’d believe Billy Bob was the finest player available. Whomever we pick will be our newest Falcon, so let’s support him no matter who it is.
Whopper Dawg
April 22nd, 2010
8:41 am
Big draft for TD, after an outstanding 2008. 2009 yielded no starters, three OCCASIONAL situational players, his first two picks were injury prone and turned out to be just that – injured. And after picking four, that’s right count’em four CBs in two years, we needed to sign a free agent CB to big bucks.
We need a lift out of this draft, a replay of 2009 would be disastrous. So, here is to TD regaining the magic touch of 2008 because it sure was missing in 2009.
SOUTH GA DAWG FAN
April 22nd, 2010
8:44 am
Tony G seems to be in great shape isn’t it possible that if the falcons have a great year that he could hang around at a higher level than most tight ends for a couple more years ?
does anyone remember who the fastest player at the combine was this year , I know it doesnt matter but I like to keep my eye on the burners, and see who goes after the speed in the draft
who knows if someone is fast enough Davis might take him in the first round and let a better player fall to the falcons.
No NFL team has ever used more than one tight end at a time. Nope. Couldn't happen.
April 22nd, 2010
8:48 am
Everyone saying Gresham couldn’t play this year because we have Tony Gonzalez … Explain to us exactly what’s stopping us from rolling out both at the same time? You’ve heard of a two TE set, haven’t you? Not to mention the fact that both players have experience at splitting out wide, meaning one or both can play a little WR.
This would be a fine pick. Gresham would have 2 years to learn from the greatest tight end in history.
PMC
April 22nd, 2010
9:03 am
Why spend it on Gresham and his bum knee in the 1st when you can get Dorin Dickerson or Jimmy Graham in the 3rd?
They already spent this years 2 on a TE. There are 5 or 6 very good TE’s in this draft. I’m not angry at them if they take Gresham (especially if they trade with the Pats and get back in the second) but if they take him at 19…. how are you going to get more urgent rushing the passer?
SavannahFalconsFan
April 22nd, 2010
9:07 am
If this mock draft turns out to be accurate, then Atlanta will be tormented by Spoon twice a year. I do not want to see that at all! If we don’t draft Spoon, please let someone in the AFC draft him…..please!
JP
April 22nd, 2010
9:08 am
I disagree with the Polian Plan. Build a team, don’t fill in the gaps as you go along. Good draft analysis though. I’m sticking with trade down, get Spoon and get back into 2nd round for DE. Then Boston center and TE in round 3.
So exciting though, draft time is here!
PMC
April 22nd, 2010
9:11 am
Does Dez Bryant really have a history of problems? Perrish Cox does sure… but Dez Bryant? Reggie Bush was taken 2nd in the draft was debated as the #1 overall pick and he just settled with Lloyd Lake whom he TOOK MONEY FROM IN COLLEGE! Dez Bryant lied about having a conversation with Deion Sanders and he forgot his “good cleats” Not to mention he’s a long way from the ball. It took Roddy White several years to understand what it took to be a #1 NFL receiver. It will probably take Dez Bryant that time too but character concerns? Not so much really.
JP
April 22nd, 2010
9:11 am
Right SavannahFalconFan; I would hate to pass on Spoon and the Saints get him, only to end up becoming Defensive Rookie of the Year!
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
9:12 am
Can’t learn much on the practice squad. If I remember correctly Peele and Zinger (which by the way was a rookie last year) played very well in spurts last year, in their first learning under T.G.
Gresham is another wasted pick.
Jim in Ga
April 22nd, 2010
9:15 am
Have you been drinking the Dan Reeves cool aid? Why would we take a TE with the first pick when we just traded for TG? If they wanted an offensive weapon they should select Dez Bryant from OSU.
Michael
April 22nd, 2010
9:20 am
Dude…why don’t you just say you have no idea what they are gonna do and just stop with the crazy mocks? You’re literally all over the place now.
South ga boy in the atl
April 22nd, 2010
9:20 am
DOL. Well u have managed to pull another pick out of your …. With all due respect your mock draftness. Just kidding DOL.I think an elite TE is a better pick than a center in rd 1, at least. And it’s an interesting pick. I could see Mike M using some 2 TE sets and using Jermaine to go vertical on some routes, but the bad thing about this pick, beside it not helping at a critical need (OLB), is it probably would move Tony G out after this yr and I don’t think he’s ready to go nor do I think he should go. We could only afford these highly paid TE for one yr and since Tony G contract is up after this yr that would mean he is th odd man out. Gonzalez wants to win a super bowl and I think he has 2 or maybe even 3 yrs left but if we pay top dollar to Jermaine we won’t be able to keep both. Whereas if we take a TE in the 4th or 5th rd that could be groomed for the future, we could keep Tony G around. Let’s don’t overthink the situation DOL, just take Spoon or Graham and if they are both gone then let’s trade down.
Hey Hey Hey
April 22nd, 2010
9:23 am
I don’t care who we take as long as Rich McKay isn’t making the decision. Picking 19th, odds are long that whoever we get will become a major impact player. I’d prefer to trade down and get some good guys for our O&D lines.
atlfalcon
April 22nd, 2010
9:25 am
I like the pick; sure matt ryan would approve..we also run a lot of double tights, so he’ll see the field plentifully in year 1. I just want us to get tenant in 3rd, rennie in the 4th, jeff owens in the 5th
chc4
April 22nd, 2010
9:27 am
I’m glad Orlando isn’t our GM.
Tosin
April 22nd, 2010
9:27 am
DRAFT DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hamp
April 22nd, 2010
9:28 am
It would be perfect if we trade down and still get Spoon. I know the saints like him. Got my wings thawing out and will put some beer on ice. This is gonna be a fun ride. Now I need TD to do the right thing and get us a tackle machine spoon or graham either one of those two fit what we do perfectly.
ignition
April 22nd, 2010
9:28 am
I like the idea of taking Thomas more than Gresham, we need a reciever.
But better is to trade down and get a second round pic.
We have too many needs to not have a second round pic.
DP
April 22nd, 2010
9:31 am
DOL, the latest word is that Rolando McClain does not have Crohn’s disease. He recently went through a battery of medical exams that showed no signs of Crohn’s. Since Crohn’s is not curable, it appears that he was misdiagnosed several years ago. I had wondered how he could have had Crohn’s and never missed a practice or game in 3 years at Alabama, because when people with Crohn’s have a flare up it can be pretty debilitating: severe inflammation and joint pain, weight loss, blood loss, going to the bathroom all the time, etc.
It’s possible that McClain has IBS (Irritable Bowel Syndrome), which can have some of the symptoms of Crohn’s, which along with Ulcerative Colitis is under the category of IBD (Irritable Bowel Disease). IBS is much less serious than IBD.
McClain’s recent medical tests have been sent out to all NFL teams and it doesn’t appear that his health is a concern.
Calvin G. Sims, Sr.
April 22nd, 2010
9:36 am
We don’t need a Fork. We don’t need a Knife. All we need is a…
Go Falcons!!!
allan in texas
April 22nd, 2010
9:41 am
I like the Polian Plan. Go get the stud TE!
Bob Dylan
April 22nd, 2010
9:47 am
I think this Spoon dude is just another Gholston that was a bust for the Jets. The defense will be better by just getting last year’s players back. My prediction is that Atkins drafted out of the U, will become what we are all looking for in a linebacker and will be 2010’s breakout young star. TD should just draft all stud O linemen and run the damn ball.
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
April 22nd, 2010
9:48 am
buck @ 680 seems to think we’ll get taylor mays- which isn’t too bad. me thinks that pittsburgh is still going to trade big ben- changing the entire draft board. i still think we’ll land a DT or LB
The Alpha Male
April 22nd, 2010
9:48 am
Demaryius Thomas????LOL!!! What a joke!
ATL Fan
April 22nd, 2010
9:51 am
I don’t expect Brandon Graham will be on the board at 19, so it’s either Spoony or Gresham. Either would make good sense, but I wonder if TD will be gun shy on pulling the trigger on Gresham with the health concerns. Baker (rd 1), Jerry (rd 1) and Moore (rd 2) picks with injury histories in college and injuries in the pros, it would take a lot of guts to take that risk again.
If the Falcons could be certain to trade down and still get Weaterspoon (with a willing trade partner) it would make better sense to me. Glad I’m not the one who will be second guessed after this draft.
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
April 22nd, 2010
9:51 am
DOL- who is the WR you mentioned awhile back from Mizzou? He’s like 6′5″ or something like that- he’d be a solid 3rd/4th round pick
McBubba
April 22nd, 2010
9:52 am
Good analysis as always D-LED. I would be shocked, however, if the birds even considered Bebe at 19. I wish him success in the NFL, but that is too high. Here’s to hoping the birds can land a decent candidate to eventually replace Peterson.
Glenn
April 22nd, 2010
9:54 am
We don’t need a Fork. We don’t need a Knife. All we need is a…
Go Falcons!!!
Is a spork !!! One day I will try that new double down sandwich . Fried chicken instead of bread is so genius . I’m starting to think Brandon Graham will fall in our laps . If not I think we take Everson Griffen . If the Polian plan doesn’t have a section on filling obvious needs its not a very good plan . We need defensive pressure direly .
monty
April 22nd, 2010
9:55 am
I don’t see us picking a TE when he isn’t going to start this year. We will probably need one next year or the year after but I can’t see TD using a 1st rounder on a nonplayer this year.
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
9:55 am
Speculation I have from all the blogs lately are the we are dismissing the players ability we already have with a draft pick that in know way can help this year.
Here is 1st, 2nd and 3rd year players we have? Has everyone forgotten?
No one other than a WR or RB will help this year.
DL-
Kroy Biermann 3rd year
Peria Jerry 2nd year
Thomas Johnson 3rd year
Trey Lewis 3rd year
Maurice Lucas 2nd year
Vance Walker 2nd year
Now look at our RB’s and WR’s
WR-
Troy Bergeron 2nd year
Harry Douglas 3rd year
Brain Finneran 10th year
Micheal Jenkins 7th year
Andy Strickland- 2nd year
Eric Weems 3rd year
Roddy White 6th year
RB-
Olvie Mughelli- 8th year
Jerios Norwood- 5th year
Antone Smith- 2nd year
Jason Snelling 4th year
Micheal Turner 7th year
Plenty of youth on D, and not enough on O, We need to spend that pick on an impact player for a RB or WR. The list above proves my theory.
LB-
Spencer Adkins Rookie from Miami
Robert James 2nd year from Arizona State
Curtis Lofton 3rd year
Stephen Nicholas 4th year
OL-
Sam Baker entering 3rd year
Justin Blalock 3rd year
Ron Bruggerman Rookie from Iowa
Tyson Clabo- 5th year
Harvey Dahl- 5th year
Garrett Reynolds 2nd year
Blake Sclueter 2nd year
Jose Valdez 2nd year
Matty Ice
April 22nd, 2010
9:59 am
D-Led, how many times has Thomas Dimitroff said he conducts a “needs-based” draft. What part of “need” does Jermaine Gresham fill out? Please answer me that……
Mularkey does not even like tight ends that much (although that was his position in his playing days). If Falcons were the Colts, Jets, Chargers, Vikings – teams that are more complete – then I would be all for taking a player like Gresham and groom him – but Falcons have gaping holes in their defensive right now that need to be plugged. Grabbing Gresham would not be “needs based” – outside of QB, Tight End is probably our smallest need right now.
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
10:07 am
My abve post got jumbled out of order for some reason-
But here is my hopes.
19th pick- WR or RB, we trade Micheal Jenkins to NE or Philly for a second rounder or third rounder. Both teams need WR help too.
2nd thru 6 th round we draft OL, DL, and LB not in that order.
Whew glad I could help.
Mel Kiper
April 22nd, 2010
10:12 am
After last years draft in which top 2 picks were non factors after injuries, I do not believe that the Falcons will draft anyone with medical questions. Gresham has a history of knee injuries going back to high school. The falcons are not going t draft a back-up tight end in the first round. I think they will try to get an impact defensive player, but are in a position to take “best athlete available”.
PMC
April 22nd, 2010
10:15 am
Two words. Reggie Kelly.
SavannahFalconsFan
April 22nd, 2010
10:16 am
We would be lucky to get a 7th rounder for Michael Jenkins.
PMC
April 22nd, 2010
10:17 am
Jeff Nicely done.
Marcus
April 22nd, 2010
10:19 am
DOL,
You can claim that you got it right on Mock Draxt xxx and emotions made you change 
I guess the big smokescreen ends tonight. In a way, with all the change in your mocks (WR Thomas, DE Graham, OL Pouncey, LB Weatherspoon, TE Gresham) you covered your bases
thing is, your boy over at SI.com (Peter King) had gone loco and projects us to pick Texas S Earl Thomas. Send over the short bus to pick him up.
Mel Kiper
April 22nd, 2010
10:20 am
Jeff,Michael Jenkins is not worth a 5th round pick in a trade, No one in the league thinks John Abraham wil return to his previous form so a pass rusher makes much more sense.
ugaclassof2004
April 22nd, 2010
10:21 am
A TE in the first round? Sounds like an Al Davis pick to me!
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
10:28 am
Kiper- You might have missed my point. We are young on D- yes we struggled last year. But look aga
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
10:31 am
Kiper-No pass rusher in the draft will help this year, regardless of what Abe does. how many of the young players above in their 1st through 3rd year has been major contributers? This pick is no diffrent 1-3 years away from making a major impact.
A WR or RB on the other hand with our lack of and aging group (listed in full) can or could make a major impact in year one.
Dawgs Over tech Again
April 22nd, 2010
10:32 am
First it was Pouncey and now we are taking a TE with Dez Bryant (who you have playing at OU? Try OSU) still on the board. This is classic AJC!
Mr. Phil
April 22nd, 2010
10:33 am
This is unacceptable. WE CANNOT let the Saint’s have Spoon and use him to shut down our TE Gresham for the next 5 to 7 years!
GATORZONE
April 22nd, 2010
10:35 am
IF the Falcons take Gresham, they would have used this year’s first and second rounder on a tight end. Also, another player with injury questions. After last year, there is no way that Dimitrov does that. They should trade down if Graham or Spoon are not availble.
Terrell
April 22nd, 2010
10:39 am
DP,
David Garrad has Crohn’s and he hasn’t missed a game with the Jags because of it. There are ways to control the flar ups such as taking things like Remicade and other drugs similar that help control the flar ups. Not everybody has sever Crohn’s some may not experience all the symptons that you mentioned
We_Run_This_Country
April 22nd, 2010
10:42 am
It appears Morgan Burnett is headed for the 1st round as well now. Dallas has a man-crush on him. I believe Dwyer slips to the 2nd round. If all of this holds true, it appears GT will have 3 1st rounders and 1 2nd rounder. GT players will be off the board before a single UGA player is picked. So much for all of those STAR rankings that the recruiting services hand out.
……and not bad for a little high school offense! LOL!
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
10:42 am
I guess it really doesn’t matter at the end of the day. It isn’t our money to spend on a D sub or special team player for the first year or two, with gurantees of 10-20 miliion. We will have to wait until tonight.
Glenn
April 22nd, 2010
10:42 am
Thinking that Trent Williams is going at 14 is just dumb . The Raiders wouldn’t let him get past 8 .That’s how obvious his talent is .
BFALCON
April 22nd, 2010
10:47 am
DOL, Take those sick days. Man I know you have to sell papers, but you are all over the place with these picks. I think Gresham will be a good pro, but Tony will be here this year and next. The last time I checked we play in the same div. as the world champs. We cannot outscore the Saints. We have to build the defense up and try to slow them down. If our 1st pick is not a def. player I will be pissed. Another thing we need to sign D.Sharper. The guy is a baller and he knows D.Brees having spent a year there.Sharper and DeCoud would give us two ballhawking safeties. I want Graham, Morgan, Weatherspoon.
hawesg
April 22nd, 2010
10:53 am
I have now decided that the entire point of DLed’s Mock Drafts is to create a stir in his comments section. Clearly they are not intended to predict whom the Falcons will take.
Mel Kiper
April 22nd, 2010
10:54 am
Jeff, Brian Orakpo, Brian Cushing and Clay Matthews were all impact pass rushers as rookies last year.
Get real
April 22nd, 2010
10:56 am
I read another article on the AJC this morning written by Ledbetter where he mentioned that several mock drafts show the Falcons taking Pouncey.
HA!!
Only Ledbetter’s mock drafts showed that. Trying to give his own mock drafts credibility – doesn’t work when everyone knows he’s got no clue on this! Remember when he stated that Dimitroff wouldn’t mislead him about who the Falcons were picking? HE WAS STUPID ENOUGH TO BELIEVE DIMITROFF WOULD TELL A REPORTER WHAT THE FALCONS WERE THINKING!!!
hahahahahahahahaha
Screen Pass
April 22nd, 2010
10:58 am
@ Jeff
Nice analysis and great points.
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
10:58 am
3 out of how many were drafted?
hawesg
April 22nd, 2010
10:59 am
I certainly could see the Falcons trading down a little and taking Jerry Hughes later in the first round. Maybe taking Navarro Bowman with a second round pick from, say, New England.
Prof
April 22nd, 2010
11:02 am
Orlando, orlando, orlando. Pulease.
1) You copied and pasted the second paragraph that starts with “Bill Polian.” At least correct the font size so it’s not so obvious you plagarized.
2) “Dimitroff said in a radio interview that it would cost about $8 million jump to move from 19 to the low teens.” Um, genius, the 19th pick IS THE LOW TEENS!!!!! 13 and 14 are the HIGH TEENS!!!
3) Give it up on Pouncey at 19. I’ll give you 100 to 1 odds if you’re confident enough. C’mon – your $10 will get my $1,000 if you’ve got the balls to back up your repeated blabbering.
(IT’S FROM MY OWN PRINT ARTICLE. WE CALL THAT RE-PURPOSING. GET THAT RIGHT BEFORE YOU TRY TO CALL SOMEONE OUT. At 4 a.m. high/low teens, whatever. Betting is illegal. —DOL)
4) You’ve got Pouncey listed at 11th? This is even dumber that showing him at 19th.
The AJC will let anyone write a column.
Hangman
April 22nd, 2010
11:04 am
nfl news, I think you snagged it. AJC’s wonderful predictor has make so many predictions that one is bound to happen. Then DOL can lean back and say “I predicted that!”
Mel Kiper
April 22nd, 2010
11:07 am
JEFF YOUR FOOTBALL KNOWLEDGE IS NON EXISTANT, JENKINS FOR A SECOND ROUNDER????????? NOBODY IN THIER RIGHT MIND WOULD DO THAT OR THINK THAT. IF HE WAS WORTH A SECOND ROUND PICK WHY WOULD THE FALCONS NEED TO DRAFT A RECIEVER IN THE FIRST ROUND. YOU MUST BE KIN TO LEDBETTER!!
Bub
April 22nd, 2010
11:10 am
Crap-shoot. Pick somebody who can suit up first game. And please no more injured players. Enough already. Durability over divas.
Bobby Godd
April 22nd, 2010
11:11 am
Gresham will not be a factor this year…Thomas would be. We already have an All Pro TE. Gresham might be the TE next year and could sit back this year learning the system but why use your top pick for help next year????
FEAR THE TALON
April 22nd, 2010
11:14 am
I SAY TRADE DOWN WITH NEW ENGLAND @ 22 & GET A 2ND ROUNDER!!! THERE’S PLENTY OF TALENT THIS YEAR!!!
Mr. Phil
April 22nd, 2010
11:25 am
DOL: Let me help you out.
The Falcons only have two real choices here and Pouncey, Gresham, and Graham are not in the conversation. Graham and Pouncey will probably be gone (trading up for either is an expensive waste that can not be afforded).
The choice will be between ‘Spoon and Jerry Hughes. So you decide do you want Hughes- a potential great blitzing LB who will need to learn to cover- or Spoon- a great cover LB who will need to improve his pass rush skills. Any other suggestions at 19 are pointless.
BTW- Demaryius Thomas goes in first 16 picks guaranteed.
FalconsFan284
April 22nd, 2010
11:27 am
Pouncey will be a nice Second Round pick for St. Louis or Detroit. I will really enjoy reading your hate blogs when the Falcons get Sean Weatherspoon.
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
11:33 am
Reality — No Kool-Aid. Just coffee and McDonalds for breakfast. I packed my lunch. Got some baked chicken and water. Don’t know about dinner yet.
Tommy — Sign up for “The Polian Plan.”
Whopper Dawg — Spiller is not get drafting by the Falcons even if he drops to 19. Take that one to the bank.
Chattanooga Chuck — Goose is a beast, but Iupati is not the pick.
Michael — This is the only mock that counts and will be graded by my official scorer (My Dad.) I get points for direct hits and number of correct picks in the first round. Last year I think I had 27 of 32.
Dr. Ken — The Mizzou Wideout is Danario Alexander (6-5, 215)
Jeff — Nice roster analysis. Sounds like your a Polian Plan proponent, too.
Marcus — Don’t score those others. This is the one that counts It says FINAL!!!
DP
April 22nd, 2010
11:43 am
DOL, I’ve seen reports that Darren McFadden might be available. Any chance the Falcons could be interested? I’d like to see them get somebody to play behind Turner and potentially replace him in a year or two. McFadden was a beast in college. He’s looked like a bust so far in the NFL but he’s played for the Raiders so I don’t know if he can be fairly judged at this point. What would the Raiders expect to get for him?
Ryan
April 22nd, 2010
11:46 am
Take Gresham with 1st pick, trade norwood for a 2nd round pick and draft a linebacker or safety. Look to get McCluster out of Ole Miss in the 3rd or 4th round to replace Norwood.
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
11:50 am
I compiled this list of DL, LB,and OL from the past three drafts
(since 2006) 1st Round Picks. Draw your own conclusion. Is this type of a player really worth guranteed money? I don’t see many impact players here. A few, but not many.
OL
2006 D’ Brickshaw Fergurson
2006 Davin Joseph
2006 Nick Mangold
2007 Joe Thomas
2007 Levi Brown
2007 Ben Grubbs
2007 Joe Staley
2008 Jake Long
2008 Sam Baker
2008 Jeff Otah
2008 Gosder Cherilus
2008 Branden Albert
2008 Chris Williams
2008 Ryan Clady
2008 Duane Brown
2009 Jason Smith
2009 Andre Smith
2009 Eugene Monroe
2009 Alex Mack
2009 Micheal Oher
DL-
2006 Haloti Ngata
2006 Kamerion Wimbley
2006 Brodrick Bunkley
2006 Tamba Hali
2006 John McCargo
2006 Mathias Kiwanuka
2007 Gaines Adams
2007 Adam Carriker
2007 Justin Harrell
2007 Anthony Spencer
2007 Amobi Okoye
2007 Jarvis Moss
2007 Jamaal Anderson
2008 Chris Long
2008 Glenn Dorsey
2008 Vernon Gholston
2008 Sedrick Ellis
2008 Derrick Harvey
2008 Lawrence Jackson
2008 Kentwan Balmer
2009 BJ Raji
2009 Tyson Jackson
2009 Aaron Maybin
2009 Robert Ayers
2009 Larry English
2009 Brian Orakpo
2009 Peria Jerry
2009 Evander Hood
LB-
2006 AJ Hawk
2006 Ernie Sims
2006 Chad Greenway
2006 Bobby Carpenter
2006 Manny Lawson
2007 Patrick Willis
2007 Lawrence Timmons
2007 Jon Beason
2008 Keith Rivers
2008 Jerod Mayo
2009 Aaron Curry
2009 Brian Cushing
2009 Clay Matthews
Screen Pass
April 22nd, 2010
11:55 am
“BTW- Demaryius Thomas goes in first 16 picks guaranteed.”
Mr. Phil, who do you have taking him that high? I notice he moved up to inside the top 20 prospects on Scouts Inc.
Cowboys five time champs
April 22nd, 2010
11:58 am
The road to the superbowl for them cowboys start now. Sorry Atl
DePlane
April 22nd, 2010
11:59 am
DOL…I appreciate all your Mocks. I like the way you don’t let some of these wind bags derail you. As someone who has access to various sources, your ear is closer to the ground than mine and I respect your draft prognostications and have enjoyed your draft coverage.
I do believe the Falcons want an immediate contributor in the 1st. I believe they want to win now. So many scenarios that could play out. It will be fun to see where the chips fall. Can’t wait!
Jeff
April 22nd, 2010
12:02 pm
Here is the same list for RB and WR 1st round picks. I think I would put my eggs and money in this basket. It goes to show better value in Skill players.
RB
2006 Reggie Bush
2006 Laurence Maroney
2006 Deangelo Williams
2006 Joseph Addai
2007 Adrian Peterson
2007 Marshawn Lynch
2008 Darren McFadden
2008 Felix Jones
2008 Jonathan Stewart
2008 Rashard Mendenhall
2008 Chris Johnson
2009 Knowshon Moreno
2009 Donald Brown
2009 Chris Wells
WR
2006 Santonio Holmes
2007 Calvin Johnson
2007 Ted Ginn Jr.
2007 Craig Davis
2007 Robert Meachem
2007 Dwayne Bowe
2007 Anthony Gonzales
2009 Darrius Heywardbey
2009 Micheal Crabtree
2009 Percy Harvin
2009 Jeremy Maclin
2009 Hakeem Nicks
2009 Kenny Britt
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
12:04 pm
We_Run_this Country — you’ve got a hold of some bad information.
BFalcon — Feeling pretty good. I’ve never taken a sick day. Feeling good and ready for tonight!!!
hawesg — Bad assessment on your part. Just like you’re at Disney, FEEL THE MAGIC!!!
Get real — Um, GET REAL. Just like you’re at Disney, FEEL THE MAGIC!!!
Prof — THANKS FOR CALLING ME A GENIUS!! I certainly feel like one today.
Mel Kiper — Jenkins was a first. Are you related to Matt Millen?
DP — No interest in McFadden. Falcons like their running backs.
Pro -gnosticator
April 22nd, 2010
12:17 pm
No Colt McCoy in the first?
Really?
Pro -gnosticator
April 22nd, 2010
12:19 pm
Bradford #1?!!!!
He hurts his little shoulder every time he’s tackled!
Tom Petty
April 22nd, 2010
12:31 pm
The Waiting is the hardest part….
Mel Kiper
April 22nd, 2010
12:44 pm
YES oRLANDO jENKINS WAS A 1ST ROUNDER BUT YOU COULD NOT TRADE HIM FOR SQUAT
Mel Kiper
April 22nd, 2010
12:46 pm
i KNOW WHER HE WAS DRAFTED WE WERE TALKING ABOUT TRADE VALUE YOU ARE SO CONFUSED
Mr. Phil
April 22nd, 2010
12:57 pm
Screen Pass : Denver Pick 11
Mel Kiper: Jenkins trade value= Conditional 7th rounder if the Falcons through in cash, a bag of popcorn, and a soda pop.
Mr. Phil
April 22nd, 2010
12:58 pm
through=throw
Screen Pass
April 22nd, 2010
1:20 pm
@ Mr. Phil
Thanx. Scouts Inc. / T. McShay have Cinci taking D. Bryant at 21, Pats taking TE Gresham at 22 and Balt Ravens taking D. Thomas at 25. I had hoped we could trade down and still maybe get him but it sure doesn’t look like it. I would feel much better about value by picking up a 4th rounder with D. Thomas pick. Crazy draft this is gonna be lol. If you Google “scouts inc nfl draft” and go down to a site listed as “slumz.boxden” they put up the “insider” 7 round draft for free
mez
April 22nd, 2010
1:21 pm
if we trade up it needs to be to get CJ Spiller. He’s the most talented player in the entire draft.
Big B CH 99
April 22nd, 2010
1:29 pm
No one knows what in the hick is gonna happen, Don Banks latest mock has Derrick falling to the Falcons and the chances of that are 0%. We just know that something weird will happen to throw a curve into everything, there will be some kind of trade.
PHIL
April 22nd, 2010
2:25 pm
Here is something I can’t quite understand. Why is Morgan ranked so highly? Potential? I see him against LSU NOTHING against UGA NOTHING, against Iowa NOTHING. Against the ACC he may have done well. Why do they believe against NFL caliber tackles he will do well enough to be a first round pick?
Scott Case
April 22nd, 2010
2:49 pm
Anyone have a guess at to exactly what time to tune in for the Falcons pick? Limited exposure to Mel Kiper and ESPN is good for my brain
Seattle Falcons Fan
April 22nd, 2010
3:01 pm
Tony G. has 2 years left….. wait until next year and grab Kyle Rudolph (N.D.) next year. That would give him a year to train under Gonzo. I don’t like drafting players that were hurt in college. W. Moore, Sam Baker, P. Jerry…….
FINAL MOCK: Under “The Polian Plan” Falcons to take Gresham … Help
April 22nd, 2010
3:12 pm
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cajdawg
April 22nd, 2010
3:25 pm
TE makes no sense for first round pick since second pick was traded for Tony Gonzalez.
If they want guard or center, hopefully they can move back in the first round to make pick.
No to the GT receiver.
Seattle Falcons Fan
April 22nd, 2010
3:36 pm
SI has D. Morgan or E. Thomas falling to us at #19…….
Seattle Falcons Fan
April 22nd, 2010
3:38 pm
DLED….. I don’t like the pick but thanks for showing us all possible reasonable (unless someone falls to us) options and giving us something to think about….
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
4:18 pm
Scott Case — About 10:15 should be a good time. They can pick as late at 10:42.
Seattle Falcons Fan — Thanks. I didn’t like it either, but based on my intel and what we know about the value of the players, that was the direction to take the last mock.
Cajdawg — TE makes a ton of sense. If this kid is the Next Kellen Winslow Sr. you keep a HOFer at that spot for the next decade plus. Also, you want to stock the weapons for Matt Ryan for years to come. THIS IS CALLED THE POLIAN PLAN.
About to head out to Flowery Branch!!! Wish I had a police escort. Will let y’all know if I get any really interesting phone calls on the ride out there.
jtiger610
April 22nd, 2010
4:38 pm
I agree with Mr. Phil. It took forever to read all these comments, so I’m glad I found one that ACTUALLY MADE SENSE! Having said that Spoon is the best choice in my opinion, though Hughes is a close second. GO FALCONS!!!
mystikal
April 22nd, 2010
4:40 pm
DOL, if Dez Bryant were to drop to the falcons and Thomas n Gresham are still available what do you think they would do?
The Sham
April 22nd, 2010
4:41 pm
DOL – GLAD TO SEE YOU’VE COME AROUND TO MY WAY OF THINKING. GRESHAM IS THE MAN AT THAT PICK! TRADE UP OR DOWN AND IT’S A DIFFERENT ARGUEMENT, BUT I THINK BP IS RIGHT ON WITH THIS. BUT WHAT ELSE WOULD YOU EXPECT AS BILL POLIAN STOLE THIS PICK FROM ME… I CALL IT: The SHAMeless Plan
DawgNDallas
April 22nd, 2010
4:53 pm
DOL – Following your Polian line of logic, would it be the craziest thing in the world to draft Ryan Mathews? Turner is great when he’s healthy, but a lot of teams carry two good backs. Snelling wasn’t amazing. Norwood’s not really panning out with all his injuries. We could draft Mathews, and trade one Norwood or Snelling for a pick.
mystikal
April 22nd, 2010
5:19 pm
I like Graham, just not in a falcons uniform. @ 6′1 just can’t see him doing much damage. Am cool with the Pouncey pick, but think he will be gone. Am cool with Spoon only if we trade down and pick up an extra pick. Beyond all that I think it would be interesting if Gresham, Bebe Thomas, and Dez Bryant were all still on the board. Decisions, decisions…
Not Disappointed!
April 22nd, 2010
7:01 pm
come on Bey Bey!
Ramblin Wreck!
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
7:42 pm
One for One — Bradford to the Rams. Direct Hit!!!
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
7:44 pm
Two for Two — Suh to the Lions. Direct Hit!!!
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
7:50 pm
DAWGNDallas — Mathews would fit. They like their RBs. They have visited or even worked out a running back to my knowledge.
D. Orlando Ledbetter
April 22nd, 2010
8:05 pm
THE SHAM — Great minds think alike!
The Sham
April 22nd, 2010
10:44 pm
DOL – What are you talking about? Like I said for the last few weeks – GRESHAM is a bumb! Take Witherspoon!
That was the real SHAMeless plan!!!
I’ll have to admit that I had fallen a sleep on SW mainly bc he’d been discussed for a while and I was hoping out loud with Gresham. I’m not upset with the pick bc this kid will play. I can’t say that for Pouncey (aka – Ben’s new Bouncy) had he lasted one more pick. Thank you Steelers!