SUNDAY, 8:31am: Greinke has a full player opt-out clause after the third year of the deal, a Dodgers source tells Jim Bowden of ESPN.com (via Twitter). Furthermore, if Greinke is traded during the course of the contract he can opt out at end of year.
He needs to opt out then… come to ATL. We may be able to use him then.
I could care less about the GM talk and money and options…Just not me. I like the field part. Hitting, throwing and evaluating players…
That said, the Dodgers really made a decent deal with Grienke don’t you think? They can trade him at a deadline if things don’t go well and get good players in return, Grienke can opt out and will if he doesn’t like it there and get another big deal, and by then these crazy amounts of money being given out wont seem so crazy.
Of course that depends on whether the parasitic contracts don’t kill the fans first!
Basically nobody wants Michael Bourn. We chose to sign BJ for a much cheaper deal, Nationals chose to trade for Span, and Phillies traded for Revere, Red Sox signed Victorino. All to avoid a huge long term investment for a pure speedster over 30 years old.
With our Braves giving BJ Upton 5 years 75 million, you really have to think that Wren offered something close to that for Bourn. Would be pretty funny if he now only get’s a handful of 4 year offers with less money than he expected. There just really isn’t any major fits for him where a team would go all out to bring him in.
Well, under the current CBA it’s the average of the Top 125 player salaries. I think it’ll probably be a one year, $14 million dollar deal next year or perhaps a bit less. I think both McCann and Prado will receive those offers if they have career average type years. No real reason for them not too with the current free agent contracts being handed out. And once again, plenty of teams will have money to spend next winter.
I do still expect the Braves to re-sign either Prado or McCann, but I’m less sure about that now than I was six weeks ago. Prado has every right now to demand a big deal – five year extension on top of the 2013 season. Six years, $63 million if I was his agent – five year, $55 million dollar extension. Insane that I was hoping for a $38 million dollar, four year deal for Prado. That is not happening with these prices.
It wouldn’t be that easy to trade Grienke now, Main reason he signed with the Dodgers cause they obviously offered more money than anyone else, and if things don’t work out what team would want to actually give us something valuable for a #2 starter making that much money… Also if things are not working out there’s a good chance that Grienke isn’t performing up to the standards of his contract. They overpaid big time. Blows my mind he is the highest paid RH starter in the game has produced this…
91 W 78 L 3.77 ERA 1 Time All Star, 1 Time Cy Young Winner, 1 Time received MVP/CY consideration. (All the same season, back in 2009)
Some team will overpay for Bourn. Mariners? But, his options certainly are decreasing and teams know that. But, Boras has been able to pull a rabbit out of his hat in the past when it seemed like there were limited options for one of his high priced free agents.
If Prado was a free agent right now, He’d easily be the best 3rd baseman on the Market. Oh and we could throw in that he’s a gold glove caliber LFer as well, Hell he could be a ok everyday 2nd baseman as well, all while having to ability to play 1B and SS in a pinch. 290+ Career Hitter, XBH machine, #2 hitter that teams would love to add. He would easily get a 5 year contract over 50 million for sure.
After all a older Angel Pagan with his lesser track record was given 4 years 40 million, A toasted Shane Victorino received 3 years 39 million…. Prado would cash in big time.
Makes sense. I was just looking at it froma trend standpoint money wise. These contracts appear to be rocketing out of control and Grienke will probably be the highest paid a month or so as teamstry to lock up their good ones.
I’m afraid we will never sign another dominant pitcher or be able to keep one that comes through the system. Can you imagine what Smoltz, Maddux…would get now?
I don’t expect the Mariner’s to go overboard on Bourn after how the Chone Figgins deal went down. Figgins was a MUCH better hitter also and see how that turned out…. The Reds are an option… Also whoever misses out on Hamilton could change gears and go for the leadoff man. But I still think that his original asking price will not be met. I wouldn’t be surprised if his contract is right around the terms of BJ’s.
Prado will get huge money. Best 2 hitter in the eague and can play anywhere a team needs him. Hs emand igoig to be off the charts because it wont be eams that just need a 3B. It’ll b teams tht need LF, 3B, 2B so it wont be just 2 or 3 teaqms trying to get him. Look at this year. How many teams need an OF? No, how many need a 3B? 2B? He is licking his chops for sure
Very true, the Braves will be able to afford to keep 1 star player under our current payroll. 15 million a year no longer get’s it done. Jason Heyward will likely be our first 20 million a year player. Enjoy Kimbrel while we have him threw the ARB years cause by the time he becomes a free agent he’ll be able to land a 4 years 80 million contract. Factor in what top closers are signing for now and then imagine it 5 years or whatever from now… Also Factor in that Kimbrel is easily the best in the business… Good thing we don’t have to worry about losing players like Heyward, Freeman, and Kimbrel for quite some time.
I think Graham’s legit, feel better about him than I ever did about Teheran… don’t know much about Sims other than stats and scouting reports, haven’t seen him pitch live. But I did see Wood a few times at Rome… I think he’s gonna be a good one. Wonder if they’re gonna keep him at Rome to start the season, he sure looked dominant already
I really don’t see how Wren will be able to lock Prado up. I mean he could try, but Prado just needs to have his average season in 2013 and he’ll be able to big money as a free agent. Wren would probably have to offer atleast 4 years 40 million to get Prado to take the security and run with it. But If I’m Prado I don’t talk any contracts and head to free agency. I’d be aiming for a 5 year contract around 65 million
VaBravesFan…yeah, that Figgins deal should scare them. It would be kind of funny for Bourn to get an offer that was less than what the Braves offered initially, but I doubt it. His deal should be around what BJ got…shouldn’t be a whole heck of a lot more.
Good pitching prospects, Jason. From the video I saw of Wood, the delivery is smoother now than it was at UGA. Graham has a chance to start if he can improve the changeup. Sims is young enough that his change should improve. All of them are Top 10 prospects in our system with some good upside.
The Indians’ primary goal in any trade is to young starting pitching that can A) add to their 0-to-3 core and B) make their 2013 rotation more presentable. Thus, they have talked to Arizona about pitchers such as lefty Patrick Corbin and righty Trevor Bauer in deals for Cabrera.
Figgins was a 292/365/390/755 hitter while averaging 45 steals a season before signing the contract at 32 years old. Then he totally feel off the cliff.
Also note that his final year with the Angels he walked over 100 times and produced a 298 AVG and 395 OBP… Then signed a 4 year 36 million deal… Lets pretend he was 32 years old this offseason and a free agent again after inflation he’d easily net 4 years 50+ million
MIBravesFan: Nice post of “Garden Party” by Rick Nelson who today is almost forgotten and underappreciated as a musician and singer. He was a teen idol in the 50’s due to his television show “Ozzie and Harriet”, where he performed his hits at the end of the weekly show, and that was a tremendous advantage to his record sales. Ozzie and Harriet was one of the better shows from the 50’s due to an appealing cast (they were a real-life family), great writing and excellent guest stars, including many starlets as girlfriends for Ricky and David, plus a lot of baseball and football players had roles as their jock friends.
Rick was a major teen idol and music star (he was 2nd to Elvis in number of charted and number 1 hits) until the British Invasion in 1964 reset the landscape and changed the rules. Rick put a real band (as opposed to just back-ups, which was the norm for most artists in those days) together, The Stone Canyon Band and was a pioneer in the country rock movement along with The Byrds, New Riders of the Purple Sage, Commander Cody, etc., but Rick didn’t have the commercial success that those other bands enjoyed. In fact his only big hit after 1964 was a novelty song “Garden Party” in 1972.
However his country rock albums in the late 60’s to the early 80’s under his name and The Stone Canyon Band are all very good and sound better with age.
Even his Top 40 hits of the 50’s and 60’s are rarely played on the oldies stations or channels, and that is a shame as he made a lot of great hits that were also great songs. His body of work is astounding as is the constant quality, but possibly due to bad career choices and relationships, drug use or whatever, he is not remembered today for the true pioneer and great musician that he was.
He and his band were killed in a fiery plane crash on New Years Eve 1985 and the cause of the crash has been shrouded in controversy since then…it was believed it was due to cocaine freebasing in the passenger compartment, but tests discounted that and said the cause was a faulty heater that caught fire. Supposedly all of the passengers were found laying at the exit door and burned to death trying to get out.
Rick Nelson was one of the great music talents in the mid 20th century and it is sad he is all but forgotten today.
And so concludes todays sermon.
Heyward will have a better next 5 years than Kemp, barring injury. Beyond that who knows. That’s why most of these contracts are thankfully 5 years or less. Those 10 year ones are just insane.
ugaaccountant, don’t disagree at all. If J-hey continues to progress, he will be an annual all-star. I think he has a 30/30 season in him with a .375+ OPS and a .900+ OPS. Let’s hope it’s this year!
NEW YORK (WFAN) – Surprise, surprise: Alex Rodriguez isn’t beloved among his peers.
The slugger, who continued his assault on the record books Tuesday night, was voted by 100 big-league baseball players as the sport’s second-most hated star (10 percent) behind White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski (34 percent) in a “secret survey” by Men’s Journal.
And look who came in third with 9 percentage points: jovial Yankees outfielder Nick Swisher.
“Everything about (Swisher) is annoying, from his mannerisms to his always wanting to ‘bro’ it down,” an unnamed American League veteran told the magazine. “Being around him is just exhausting.”
December 9th, 2012
10:16 am
I hope the Phils do sign Swisher and Ross…their antics will drive Charlie crazy.
**************
I did not know SWISHER was a bad actor like BJ, what has SWISHER done?
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I do not think SWISHER is a problem ballplayer. YANKEES are a class team who do not allow problems to stay with them year after year.
Can’t give up on Greinke even after he’s signed an absurd deal somewhere else?
And if you take out that outlier season of 09, his ERA is much closer to 3.80 in the three intervening years. It would have been nice if he’d ever come close to repeating his 09 numbers, but – unfortunately – it never happened, did it?
George_George: I didn’t say Swisher and Ross were “problems”, I was stating that their exuberant style of play is directly opposed to Cholly Manuel’s laid back way of doing things and it will be fun to watch the possible fireworks.
Nope, Grienke had 1 elite season, and has been darn good over his career, but he’s being paid like he’s a elite starter each year, and he’s just simply not. Now if he had that Cy Young season in 2012 I could understand the all the whoola.. But he didn’t.
Still coming off a 212 INN and 3.48 ERA season which is damn good, but 147 million good? I don’t think so.
Since 2010, Greinke has been the 7th most valuable pitcher per WAR, was the 7th most valuable this season. 5th since 2009… 5th best xFIP since then as well. Potential, just like BJ. Still an overpay…
Likely, he will get better over the next 3-4 years, most pitchers seem to do their best during their 28-32 years.
Well then why don’t you move over to a Dodgers’ blog and tell them how lucky they are to pay $24.5 mil a year for the next six years because he has a good xFIP. Honestly, I’m pretty sure we’re tired of hearing about it – and his WAR, too. Apparently he’s not coming to Atlanta for $16 mil a year – even if we do trade O’Flaherty.
Yeah but we have to compare Upton to other options. Hamilton and Bourn likely to cost much more. Also BJ is the youngest and likely to provide good value for the full 5 years of the contract, while Bourn might be better the next 2 years, I’m taking BJ for the final 3…. Also you know that Power/Speed guys cost alot.
jeffrey d – I think the reverse is true as well – you add the one season that makes your point of view look better, even though there were three much worse seasons since then. Had he actually come close to repeating that 09 season it might be different. But in the “what have you done for me recently” world of pro sports, the past three years are more important in seeing a current picture than one season four years back that resembles nothing else in his entire career.
I’m not crazy about the BJ Upton contract, but I do like how he’s only 28 and will be 33 when his contract is over. It’s not like we’re the Phillies handing out backloaded contracts to aging players.
Kind of like judging Brady Anderson’s career based on that 50 something HR season. Never came close to that prior to or afterwards, but that’s his defining year, right?
But in the “what have you done for me recently” world of pro sports, the past three years are more important in seeing a current picture than one season four years back that resembles nothing else in his entire career
True. And I don’t think Greinke is as good as his ‘09 season or as bad as his worst season. And I certainly don’t think he’s worth whatever gigantic contract he’s going to receive.
I just don’t like when people will nitpick stats to support their argument.
“If you ignore all the times Uggla struck out, he hit .324 last year!”
jeffrey d- Well, no one has suggested BJ Upton will never strike out and you’re the first that ever showed his stats if he had. KInd of like comparing apples to kumquats.
Mako – It’s one thing seeing Minor’s performance improve drastically from his first 37 starts to his final 13 than it is to view Greinke’s one excellent season to three poor to fair years prior and three fair seasons afterwards.
Here is another thing to remember about this offseason. They back loaded BJ Upton’s contract so that gave us even more flexibility this offseason. But if Wren isn’t gonna make a significant move, they should re-visit the contract format and pay him more now and less in 2017
TOBF – Still being a freaking Twit. Don’t know why I expect anything else. Like I said – why don’t you just head over to the Dodgers’ blog and indulge your man love of a player you may see pitch against us twice a year for the foreseeable future.
Dude isn’t coming here and will never put up another 22.09 ERA ever again – just like he didn’t before or since ina seven year career.
Maybe Minor pitches to those numbers again, maybe not, but I’d say there’s more chance he will than that Greinke will ever repeat his trip to Oz.
But also makes you think that Wren really does plan on adding a real everyday player. Like I’ve said from a money stand point, just about every single player we’ve discussed we can afford to take on there full salary for 2013. By back loading Upton’s contract, the Braves basically made another 2.5 million available this offseason. Also he was able to move Hanson and his estimated 3.5 million salary for a 500k reliever who can help alot.
Seems like he’s been positioning himself for another big move from the start. We havent traded any young pitching and still have roughly 10-13 million to spend. He’d likely only us all of it for a move that makes total sense, cause we all know Wren likes to have a few million laying around to help with mid season moves. But as of right now we only have about 83 million on the books, were expected have have around 95 million total tho
Come on, Ward. Who cares about AAA filler utility types?
Let’s get back to obsessing (or in my case, continuing) about who is going to be in LF. I hope there is still a chance at an impact guy like Gordon, Choo, or Willingham. Come on…Dayton must be infatuated with some of our minor leaguers and still drooling over Teheran.
If Wren is gonna settle with the platoon stuff in LF/3B, I’d like to see Heyward and Prado locked up, while also paying Upton more in 2013 than originally planned. We have the money so we should atleast use it. I’d rather pay Upton more now than in 2016 and 17….
Another pitcher who put up a phenomenal season – 2.63 ERA, 22-10 record – Dontrelle Willis. Let’s judge his career based on that one yeqar, too – I mean, why not? He did put up those numbers, right?
Doc Halladay only posted an ERA under 3.00 (for a full season) once before turning 28… 2.93 ERA in 2002, when he was 25 (same age Zack was when he posted his 2.16). Doc did post a 2.41 in 2005, at age 28, but he only pitched in 19 games.
Since then, he posted 4 straight years of ERAs under 2.80, from 2008-11.
Don’t say never, Lew. Greinke is a strong #2, could become a #1 if he improves over the next 4 years as most pitchers do. Right now, he’s definitely better than any of our starters. We’ll see at the end of the season.
VaBraves – I just don’t see them re-doing Upton’s contract and I don’t see that how much we have left now matters in the least on locking up Prado and/or Heyward. That will be much more contingent on what comes off the books the next several years.
My “eye test” on Uggla is that he should have a nice batting average on balls in play. When he connects, he normally hits it solid. Like really solid, among the best at hitting a ball with some authority. However that stat earlier got me to look and he’s actually well under the average babip over the last 2 years. Guys, I really think we’re going to see some excellent improvement from Uggla just from a steadying out in the luck that goes into babip.
I’m not crazy about the BJ Upton contract, but I do like how he’s only 28 and will be 33 when his contract is over. It’s not like we’re the Phillies handing out backloaded contracts to aging players……”
Yes, no more retirement contracts to 33 year old guys. Well…….UGGLA sorta in between. I don’t like it and never did. But we needed that bat then and still do now unfortunately.
Let’s go get SH BONIFACIO {HINSKI replacement] to work with RH JOHNSON [DIAZ replacement] in left and put PRADO in as an emergency LF/2B back-up/back-up.
That frees RH PRADO to play 3B with LH FRANCISCO as a RH back-up glove and the only LH bench bat.
RH JANISH is already in as SS/2B back-up.
Are we going to put RH MEJIA on the bench for FREEMAN’s back-up going into the season? Maybe.
Or RH GATTIS to back up RH JOHNSON in left and RH LAIRD when LH MAC gets back? Prolly not.
LH BIFF as the last bench bat and 5th OF instead? Prolly not.
RH LAIRD – C [After MAC's return]
RH JOHNSON – OF
LH FRANCISCO – 3B
RH JANISH – SS/2B
Looks to me like we need a LH bench bat. A light-hitting switch-hitter named BONIFACIO in the OF isn’t the worst option I would think. Of course, he’d still have to be available.
Yeah OnlyBraves – Whatever. Enough of this freaking ZG crap. He signed elsewhere, not in our division and we should MAYBE see him pitch aghainst us twice a year for the next six.
Time to face facts – whatever he does or doesn’t do means nothing whatsoever to the Braves. Nothing – not if he goes 34-3 with a 1.21 ERA and not if he goes 3-34 with a 21.10 ERA.
It wouldn’t be a total redo just to pay some of his 2017 salary in 2013. Just make an adjustment, go ahead an knock out a little more 75 million early as possible since we have so much extra money. It would be a positive move, atleast better than not doing anything and having 10 million for a mid season move which is overkill.
“……So Lew can take out Greinke’s good season, as if it never happened… using Lew’s logic…
take out Minor’s 2nd half of 2012 (something he hasn’t come close to before or since then haha), Minor has a 5.52 ERA……”
GREINKE has more ML exposure at this point, and MINOR doesn’t. In fact, I don’t think you can draw a proper comparision between the two at this stage of their respective careers.
I would trade Teheran for a one yr rental over Glimartn whom while I am not comparing him to ommy Glavine, I don;t think he will be Jo Jo either.
I see him as something in betweeen. A decent innings eating durable mid rotation SP. He will be needed in two yrs. Maybe he might be needed in ‘14, Malholm is up after next yr.
I don;t think Teheran is going to make it, so a 1 yr rental like Choo is more value than what we will get our of Teheran our of a whole career. I see him as a right handed Jo Jo which is obviously not good. I just do not like what I have seen or read. I don’t believe in him.
He is not the first prospect who failed. Other GM;s may see it the same way.
If you’re a fan of the great Johnny Cash — and really, who is not? — see if you can watch this video tribute while listening to his duet with Rosanne on “September When It Comes” without coming close to losing it.
I get that BABIP has some luck involved…. But the more predictable you are (dead pull hitter) the less luck there is. Uggla hits it hard, but right at the third baseman on the line all the time.
4,816 comments Add your comment
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:04 am
@JeffPassan: #Dodgers filed for bankruptcy in “11. Since, spent $684M on Kemp, Ethier, Puif, Gonzalez, Crawford, Beckett & Greinke.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:05 am
it’s gonna blow up
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:06 am
SUNDAY, 8:31am: Greinke has a full player opt-out clause after the third year of the deal, a Dodgers source tells Jim Bowden of ESPN.com (via Twitter). Furthermore, if Greinke is traded during the course of the contract he can opt out at end of year.
He needs to opt out then… come to ATL. We may be able to use him then.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:06 am
I would still rather have Coco than some of the others being tossed around. Billy is always looking for young arms. No bites on the Rios idea?
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:07 am
Well you also gotta factor in the Braves would receive a draft pick after he leaves
Exactly… makes it worth trading TRex imo.
Mark
December 9th, 2012
10:13 am
I could care less about the GM talk and money and options…Just not me. I like the field part. Hitting, throwing and evaluating players…
That said, the Dodgers really made a decent deal with Grienke don’t you think? They can trade him at a deadline if things don’t go well and get good players in return, Grienke can opt out and will if he doesn’t like it there and get another big deal, and by then these crazy amounts of money being given out wont seem so crazy.
Of course that depends on whether the parasitic contracts don’t kill the fans first!
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:13 am
Basically nobody wants Michael Bourn. We chose to sign BJ for a much cheaper deal, Nationals chose to trade for Span, and Phillies traded for Revere, Red Sox signed Victorino. All to avoid a huge long term investment for a pure speedster over 30 years old.
With our Braves giving BJ Upton 5 years 75 million, you really have to think that Wren offered something close to that for Bourn. Would be pretty funny if he now only get’s a handful of 4 year offers with less money than he expected. There just really isn’t any major fits for him where a team would go all out to bring him in.
Lemke's Knuckler
December 9th, 2012
10:14 am
Unless there are two teams willing to hand out another “silly contract” it might take a while for the market to come back to reality.
I think “silly contracts” IS the new reality.
Efrim
December 9th, 2012
10:15 am
Well, under the current CBA it’s the average of the Top 125 player salaries. I think it’ll probably be a one year, $14 million dollar deal next year or perhaps a bit less. I think both McCann and Prado will receive those offers if they have career average type years. No real reason for them not too with the current free agent contracts being handed out. And once again, plenty of teams will have money to spend next winter.
I do still expect the Braves to re-sign either Prado or McCann, but I’m less sure about that now than I was six weeks ago. Prado has every right now to demand a big deal – five year extension on top of the 2013 season. Six years, $63 million if I was his agent – five year, $55 million dollar extension. Insane that I was hoping for a $38 million dollar, four year deal for Prado. That is not happening with these prices.
kenhotlanta
December 9th, 2012
10:16 am
I hope the Phils do sign Swisher and Ross…their antics will drive Charlie crazy.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:21 am
Mark
It wouldn’t be that easy to trade Grienke now, Main reason he signed with the Dodgers cause they obviously offered more money than anyone else, and if things don’t work out what team would want to actually give us something valuable for a #2 starter making that much money… Also if things are not working out there’s a good chance that Grienke isn’t performing up to the standards of his contract. They overpaid big time. Blows my mind he is the highest paid RH starter in the game has produced this…
91 W 78 L 3.77 ERA 1 Time All Star, 1 Time Cy Young Winner, 1 Time received MVP/CY consideration. (All the same season, back in 2009)
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:25 am
Some team will overpay for Bourn. Mariners? But, his options certainly are decreasing and teams know that. But, Boras has been able to pull a rabbit out of his hat in the past when it seemed like there were limited options for one of his high priced free agents.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:26 am
Efrim
If Prado was a free agent right now, He’d easily be the best 3rd baseman on the Market. Oh and we could throw in that he’s a gold glove caliber LFer as well, Hell he could be a ok everyday 2nd baseman as well, all while having to ability to play 1B and SS in a pinch. 290+ Career Hitter, XBH machine, #2 hitter that teams would love to add. He would easily get a 5 year contract over 50 million for sure.
After all a older Angel Pagan with his lesser track record was given 4 years 40 million, A toasted Shane Victorino received 3 years 39 million…. Prado would cash in big time.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:26 am
Efrim and other prospect followers…what’s your opinion on Graham, Wood, and Sims? Graham legit?
Mark
December 9th, 2012
10:28 am
Vabraves
Makes sense. I was just looking at it froma trend standpoint money wise. These contracts appear to be rocketing out of control and Grienke will probably be the highest paid a month or so as teamstry to lock up their good ones.
I’m afraid we will never sign another dominant pitcher or be able to keep one that comes through the system. Can you imagine what Smoltz, Maddux…would get now?
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:30 am
I don’t expect the Mariner’s to go overboard on Bourn after how the Chone Figgins deal went down. Figgins was a MUCH better hitter also and see how that turned out…. The Reds are an option… Also whoever misses out on Hamilton could change gears and go for the leadoff man. But I still think that his original asking price will not be met. I wouldn’t be surprised if his contract is right around the terms of BJ’s.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:30 am
Greinke: 3.37 ERA since 2009… 23rd best among starters, right behind CJ Wilson who signed 5/75 last year. Damn.
Mark
December 9th, 2012
10:33 am
Prado will get huge money. Best 2 hitter in the eague and can play anywhere a team needs him. Hs emand igoig to be off the charts because it wont be eams that just need a 3B. It’ll b teams tht need LF, 3B, 2B so it wont be just 2 or 3 teaqms trying to get him. Look at this year. How many teams need an OF? No, how many need a 3B? 2B? He is licking his chops for sure
ugaaccountant
December 9th, 2012
10:34 am
Mark, we’re just waiting on a new owner to see if we get back in the upper tier ballgame. With Liberty, we won’t be. Simple as that.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:34 am
Mark
Very true, the Braves will be able to afford to keep 1 star player under our current payroll. 15 million a year no longer get’s it done. Jason Heyward will likely be our first 20 million a year player. Enjoy Kimbrel while we have him threw the ARB years cause by the time he becomes a free agent he’ll be able to land a 4 years 80 million contract. Factor in what top closers are signing for now and then imagine it 5 years or whatever from now… Also Factor in that Kimbrel is easily the best in the business… Good thing we don’t have to worry about losing players like Heyward, Freeman, and Kimbrel for quite some time.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:34 am
I think Graham’s legit, feel better about him than I ever did about Teheran… don’t know much about Sims other than stats and scouting reports, haven’t seen him pitch live. But I did see Wood a few times at Rome… I think he’s gonna be a good one. Wonder if they’re gonna keep him at Rome to start the season, he sure looked dominant already
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:37 am
I really don’t see how Wren will be able to lock Prado up. I mean he could try, but Prado just needs to have his average season in 2013 and he’ll be able to big money as a free agent. Wren would probably have to offer atleast 4 years 40 million to get Prado to take the security and run with it. But If I’m Prado I don’t talk any contracts and head to free agency. I’d be aiming for a 5 year contract around 65 million
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:38 am
VaBravesFan…yeah, that Figgins deal should scare them. It would be kind of funny for Bourn to get an offer that was less than what the Braves offered initially, but I doubt it. His deal should be around what BJ got…shouldn’t be a whole heck of a lot more.
Efrim
December 9th, 2012
10:38 am
Good pitching prospects, Jason. From the video I saw of Wood, the delivery is smoother now than it was at UGA. Graham has a chance to start if he can improve the changeup. Sims is young enough that his change should improve. All of them are Top 10 prospects in our system with some good upside.
Mark
December 9th, 2012
10:40 am
Off to church guys. You all have a great Sunday morning!
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:40 am
From Rosenthal’s blog:
The Indians’ primary goal in any trade is to young starting pitching that can A) add to their 0-to-3 core and B) make their 2013 rotation more presentable. Thus, they have talked to Arizona about pitchers such as lefty Patrick Corbin and righty Trevor Bauer in deals for Cabrera.
Ok, Spuill for Choo!
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:43 am
need my Falcons to win, and the Niners, Packers, and Bears to all lose… #1 seed would be ours
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:43 am
Thanks, Efrim. I just read a little about them and was surprised at their fastball. Considered power pitchers?
Venice Jim
December 9th, 2012
10:43 am
Andy McCullough @McCulloughSL
Zack Greinke from 2010 to 2012: 604 IP, 3.83 ERA, 106 ERA+, 3.78 K/BB. R.A. Dickey, 2010 to 2012: 616.3 IP, 2.95 ERA, 129 ERA+, 3.12 K/BB.
Venice Jim
December 9th, 2012
10:43 am
Andy McCullough @McCulloughSL
Zack Greinke from 2010 to 2012: 604 IP, 3.83 ERA, 106 ERA+, 3.78 K/BB. R.A. Dickey, 2010 to 2012: 616.3 IP, 2.95 ERA, 129 ERA+, 3.12 K/BB.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:45 am
Figgins was a 292/365/390/755 hitter while averaging 45 steals a season before signing the contract at 32 years old. Then he totally feel off the cliff.
Also note that his final year with the Angels he walked over 100 times and produced a 298 AVG and 395 OBP… Then signed a 4 year 36 million deal… Lets pretend he was 32 years old this offseason and a free agent again after inflation he’d easily net 4 years 50+ million
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:54 am
Jon Heyman @JonHeymanCBS
no matter what happens with Ryu & didgers today at deadline, dont be surprised if dodgers pursue anibal or lohse, too.
Seriously. Enough.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
10:56 am
Greinke, Gonzalez, Crawford, and Kemp basically are being paid what the Braves entire payroll amounts to.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
10:57 am
Jason
And you know, I’d take Jason Heyward over any of them.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
11:00 am
I love J-Hey and he is just touching his potential, but I am still in love with a healthy Kemp…!
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:02 am
Well I’d take Kemp over Heyward
George_George
December 9th, 2012
11:04 am
kenhotlanta
December 9th, 2012
10:16 am
I hope the Phils do sign Swisher and Ross…their antics will drive Charlie crazy.
**************
I did not know SWISHER was a bad actor like BJ, what has SWISHER done?
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:06 am
Nick Swisher is a great actor
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=atgdppplpWM
kenhotlanta
December 9th, 2012
11:07 am
MIBravesFan: Nice post of “Garden Party” by Rick Nelson who today is almost forgotten and underappreciated as a musician and singer. He was a teen idol in the 50’s due to his television show “Ozzie and Harriet”, where he performed his hits at the end of the weekly show, and that was a tremendous advantage to his record sales. Ozzie and Harriet was one of the better shows from the 50’s due to an appealing cast (they were a real-life family), great writing and excellent guest stars, including many starlets as girlfriends for Ricky and David, plus a lot of baseball and football players had roles as their jock friends.
Rick was a major teen idol and music star (he was 2nd to Elvis in number of charted and number 1 hits) until the British Invasion in 1964 reset the landscape and changed the rules. Rick put a real band (as opposed to just back-ups, which was the norm for most artists in those days) together, The Stone Canyon Band and was a pioneer in the country rock movement along with The Byrds, New Riders of the Purple Sage, Commander Cody, etc., but Rick didn’t have the commercial success that those other bands enjoyed. In fact his only big hit after 1964 was a novelty song “Garden Party” in 1972.
However his country rock albums in the late 60’s to the early 80’s under his name and The Stone Canyon Band are all very good and sound better with age.
Even his Top 40 hits of the 50’s and 60’s are rarely played on the oldies stations or channels, and that is a shame as he made a lot of great hits that were also great songs. His body of work is astounding as is the constant quality, but possibly due to bad career choices and relationships, drug use or whatever, he is not remembered today for the true pioneer and great musician that he was.
He and his band were killed in a fiery plane crash on New Years Eve 1985 and the cause of the crash has been shrouded in controversy since then…it was believed it was due to cocaine freebasing in the passenger compartment, but tests discounted that and said the cause was a faulty heater that caught fire. Supposedly all of the passengers were found laying at the exit door and burned to death trying to get out.
Rick Nelson was one of the great music talents in the mid 20th century and it is sad he is all but forgotten today.
And so concludes todays sermon.
Heath
December 9th, 2012
11:08 am
Swisher is a very high energy guy, but I don’t think he’d a problem in any clubhouse.
ugaaccountant
December 9th, 2012
11:09 am
Heyward will have a better next 5 years than Kemp, barring injury. Beyond that who knows. That’s why most of these contracts are thankfully 5 years or less. Those 10 year ones are just insane.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
11:12 am
ugaaccountant, don’t disagree at all. If J-hey continues to progress, he will be an annual all-star. I think he has a 30/30 season in him with a .375+ OPS and a .900+ OPS. Let’s hope it’s this year!
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:12 am
NEW YORK (WFAN) – Surprise, surprise: Alex Rodriguez isn’t beloved among his peers.
The slugger, who continued his assault on the record books Tuesday night, was voted by 100 big-league baseball players as the sport’s second-most hated star (10 percent) behind White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski (34 percent) in a “secret survey” by Men’s Journal.
And look who came in third with 9 percentage points: jovial Yankees outfielder Nick Swisher.
“Everything about (Swisher) is annoying, from his mannerisms to his always wanting to ‘bro’ it down,” an unnamed American League veteran told the magazine. “Being around him is just exhausting.”
George_George
December 9th, 2012
11:14 am
George_George
December 9th, 2012
11:04 am
kenhotlanta
December 9th, 2012
10:16 am
I hope the Phils do sign Swisher and Ross…their antics will drive Charlie crazy.
**************
I did not know SWISHER was a bad actor like BJ, what has SWISHER done?
********************************************************************
I do not think SWISHER is a problem ballplayer. YANKEES are a class team who do not allow problems to stay with them year after year.
George_George
December 9th, 2012
11:15 am
Dare I say it? Blog seems fast today.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
11:17 am
UM, George x 2, what about A-Rod? You don’ think he has been a problem?
George_George
December 9th, 2012
11:18 am
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:12 am
Thank you for the INFO.
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
11:22 am
Blog definitely seems faster today.
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:22 am
Can’t give up on Greinke even after he’s signed an absurd deal somewhere else?
And if you take out that outlier season of 09, his ERA is much closer to 3.80 in the three intervening years. It would have been nice if he’d ever come close to repeating his 09 numbers, but – unfortunately – it never happened, did it?
kenhotlanta
December 9th, 2012
11:26 am
George_George: I didn’t say Swisher and Ross were “problems”, I was stating that their exuberant style of play is directly opposed to Cholly Manuel’s laid back way of doing things and it will be fun to watch the possible fireworks.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:28 am
Lew
Nope, Grienke had 1 elite season, and has been darn good over his career, but he’s being paid like he’s a elite starter each year, and he’s just simply not. Now if he had that Cy Young season in 2012 I could understand the all the whoola.. But he didn’t.
Still coming off a 212 INN and 3.48 ERA season which is damn good, but 147 million good? I don’t think so.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:29 am
Since 2010, Greinke has been the 7th most valuable pitcher per WAR, was the 7th most valuable this season. 5th since 2009… 5th best xFIP since then as well. Potential, just like BJ. Still an overpay…
Likely, he will get better over the next 3-4 years, most pitchers seem to do their best during their 28-32 years.
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:29 am
In reality, Greinke in 2010 was 63rd in MLB in ERA, 58th in 2011 and 27th last year. Yep, he’s trending better, anyway.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:35 am
Since 2009, among CF… BJ Upton is 11th in WAR (behind people like Bourn, Victorino, Torii Hunter, Gardner, Pagan, and Chris Young)
19th in wRC+… behind Cody Ross, Fowler, Melky, Jon Jay, and Beltran
9th in HR, 10th in RBI, 8th in runs scored….
“Potential”
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:36 am
Well then why don’t you move over to a Dodgers’ blog and tell them how lucky they are to pay $24.5 mil a year for the next six years because he has a good xFIP. Honestly, I’m pretty sure we’re tired of hearing about it – and his WAR, too. Apparently he’s not coming to Atlanta for $16 mil a year – even if we do trade O’Flaherty.
Heath
December 9th, 2012
11:41 am
Getting the feeling Francisco/Prado’s/Johnson will man 3B/LF next year.
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:41 am
And if you take out that outlier season of 09, his ERA is much closer to 3.80
So when you take out the stats that don’t support your argument, your point of view is bulletproof
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:41 am
TOBF
Yeah but we have to compare Upton to other options. Hamilton and Bourn likely to cost much more. Also BJ is the youngest and likely to provide good value for the full 5 years of the contract, while Bourn might be better the next 2 years, I’m taking BJ for the final 3…. Also you know that Power/Speed guys cost alot.
richbrave
December 9th, 2012
11:44 am
GREINKE to the DODGERS.
So NOW the dominos start to fall? And we get a starting LF’er and two bench bats, or not.
Mako
December 9th, 2012
11:44 am
And if you take out Minor’s good couple of months, he’s the worse pitcher in baseball
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:44 am
jeffrey d – I think the reverse is true as well – you add the one season that makes your point of view look better, even though there were three much worse seasons since then. Had he actually come close to repeating that 09 season it might be different. But in the “what have you done for me recently” world of pro sports, the past three years are more important in seeing a current picture than one season four years back that resembles nothing else in his entire career.
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:44 am
I’m not crazy about the BJ Upton contract, but I do like how he’s only 28 and will be 33 when his contract is over. It’s not like we’re the Phillies handing out backloaded contracts to aging players.
richbrave
December 9th, 2012
11:45 am
I like MINOR because his worst was back a ways, and his good was toward the end of this season. His overall trajectory is up it appears.
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:47 am
Kind of like judging Brady Anderson’s career based on that 50 something HR season. Never came close to that prior to or afterwards, but that’s his defining year, right?
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:48 am
But in the “what have you done for me recently” world of pro sports, the past three years are more important in seeing a current picture than one season four years back that resembles nothing else in his entire career
True. And I don’t think Greinke is as good as his ‘09 season or as bad as his worst season. And I certainly don’t think he’s worth whatever gigantic contract he’s going to receive.
I just don’t like when people will nitpick stats to support their argument.
“If you ignore all the times Uggla struck out, he hit .324 last year!”
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:49 am
And yes, that’s accurate
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:50 am
Minor definitely looked great in the 2nd half, hopefully he can pick up where he left off. Could be a very good #3 type pitcher for years to come.
Heath
December 9th, 2012
11:54 am
Speaking of Uggla… Is he signed through 2016?
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:57 am
Dan Uggla is under contract for 3 more years for 39 million. Will be 35 years old in final year
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:57 am
jeffrey d- Well, no one has suggested BJ Upton will never strike out and you’re the first that ever showed his stats if he had. KInd of like comparing apples to kumquats.
Mako – It’s one thing seeing Minor’s performance improve drastically from his first 37 starts to his final 13 than it is to view Greinke’s one excellent season to three poor to fair years prior and three fair seasons afterwards.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:58 am
So Lew can take out Greinke’s good season, as if it never happened… using Lew’s logic…
take out Minor’s 2nd half of 2012 (something he hasn’t come close to before or since then haha), Minor has a 5.52 ERA
Heath
December 9th, 2012
11:59 am
…nvm. 2015 for Uggla. I wonder if he’d ever migrate to 3B of LF?
Lew
December 9th, 2012
11:59 am
Excuse me – Uggla, not Upton.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:59 am
Here is another thing to remember about this offseason. They back loaded BJ Upton’s contract so that gave us even more flexibility this offseason. But if Wren isn’t gonna make a significant move, they should re-visit the contract format and pay him more now and less in 2017
Lew
December 9th, 2012
12:05 pm
TOBF – Still being a freaking Twit. Don’t know why I expect anything else. Like I said – why don’t you just head over to the Dodgers’ blog and indulge your man love of a player you may see pitch against us twice a year for the foreseeable future.
Dude isn’t coming here and will never put up another 22.09 ERA ever again – just like he didn’t before or since ina seven year career.
Maybe Minor pitches to those numbers again, maybe not, but I’d say there’s more chance he will than that Greinke will ever repeat his trip to Oz.
Lew
December 9th, 2012
12:07 pm
Obviously 2.09 and not 22.09.
David O'Brien
December 9th, 2012
12:08 pm
DOB – Is there a rumor on the Braves looking into Ramiro Pena 3rd baseman from the Yankees, who put him on waivers? Just wondering? — Ward
Yes. As of last night, wasn’t signed yet. Utility infielder.
By the way, he has a lower career OBP (.266) and OPS (.553) than Paul Janish.
jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
12:09 pm
Obviously 2.09 and not 22.09.
22.09 is a horrible season
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:10 pm
But also makes you think that Wren really does plan on adding a real everyday player. Like I’ve said from a money stand point, just about every single player we’ve discussed we can afford to take on there full salary for 2013. By back loading Upton’s contract, the Braves basically made another 2.5 million available this offseason. Also he was able to move Hanson and his estimated 3.5 million salary for a 500k reliever who can help alot.
Seems like he’s been positioning himself for another big move from the start. We havent traded any young pitching and still have roughly 10-13 million to spend. He’d likely only us all of it for a move that makes total sense, cause we all know Wren likes to have a few million laying around to help with mid season moves. But as of right now we only have about 83 million on the books, were expected have have around 95 million total tho
JasonInFL
December 9th, 2012
12:12 pm
Come on, Ward. Who cares about AAA filler utility types?
Let’s get back to obsessing (or in my case, continuing) about who is going to be in LF. I hope there is still a chance at an impact guy like Gordon, Choo, or Willingham. Come on…Dayton must be infatuated with some of our minor leaguers and still drooling over Teheran.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:15 pm
If Wren is gonna settle with the platoon stuff in LF/3B, I’d like to see Heyward and Prado locked up, while also paying Upton more in 2013 than originally planned. We have the money so we should atleast use it. I’d rather pay Upton more now than in 2016 and 17….
Lew
December 9th, 2012
12:15 pm
jeffrey d – Yeah, it is.
Another pitcher who put up a phenomenal season – 2.63 ERA, 22-10 record – Dontrelle Willis. Let’s judge his career based on that one yeqar, too – I mean, why not? He did put up those numbers, right?
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:16 pm
Doc Halladay only posted an ERA under 3.00 (for a full season) once before turning 28… 2.93 ERA in 2002, when he was 25 (same age Zack was when he posted his 2.16). Doc did post a 2.41 in 2005, at age 28, but he only pitched in 19 games.
Since then, he posted 4 straight years of ERAs under 2.80, from 2008-11.
Don’t say never, Lew. Greinke is a strong #2, could become a #1 if he improves over the next 4 years as most pitchers do. Right now, he’s definitely better than any of our starters. We’ll see at the end of the season.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:18 pm
Doc: 3.70 ERA thru age 28, 3.02 since then
Greinke: 3.77 ERA, since age 28… based on what Doc did, he’d be about 3.09
Lew
December 9th, 2012
12:19 pm
VaBraves – I just don’t see them re-doing Upton’s contract and I don’t see that how much we have left now matters in the least on locking up Prado and/or Heyward. That will be much more contingent on what comes off the books the next several years.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:22 pm
didn’t Dontrelle get hurt?
ugaaccountant
December 9th, 2012
12:23 pm
My “eye test” on Uggla is that he should have a nice batting average on balls in play. When he connects, he normally hits it solid. Like really solid, among the best at hitting a ball with some authority. However that stat earlier got me to look and he’s actually well under the average babip over the last 2 years. Guys, I really think we’re going to see some excellent improvement from Uggla just from a steadying out in the luck that goes into babip.
richbrave
December 9th, 2012
12:24 pm
“…..jeffrey d
December 9th, 2012
11:44 am
I’m not crazy about the BJ Upton contract, but I do like how he’s only 28 and will be 33 when his contract is over. It’s not like we’re the Phillies handing out backloaded contracts to aging players……”
Yes, no more retirement contracts to 33 year old guys. Well…….UGGLA sorta in between. I don’t like it and never did. But we needed that bat then and still do now unfortunately.
Let’s go get SH BONIFACIO {HINSKI replacement] to work with RH JOHNSON [DIAZ replacement] in left and put PRADO in as an emergency LF/2B back-up/back-up.
That frees RH PRADO to play 3B with LH FRANCISCO as a RH back-up glove and the only LH bench bat.
RH JANISH is already in as SS/2B back-up.
Are we going to put RH MEJIA on the bench for FREEMAN’s back-up going into the season? Maybe.
Or RH GATTIS to back up RH JOHNSON in left and RH LAIRD when LH MAC gets back? Prolly not.
LH BIFF as the last bench bat and 5th OF instead? Prolly not.
RH LAIRD – C [After MAC's return]
RH JOHNSON – OF
LH FRANCISCO – 3B
RH JANISH – SS/2B
Looks to me like we need a LH bench bat. A light-hitting switch-hitter named BONIFACIO in the OF isn’t the worst option I would think. Of course, he’d still have to be available.
Hugo Z Hackenbush
December 9th, 2012
12:25 pm
Gee, I guess Greinke didn’t like Stone Mountain enough to pass up the extra 50 mil, eh?
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:26 pm
guess not… can’t find anything saying he was
Lew
December 9th, 2012
12:28 pm
Yeah OnlyBraves – Whatever. Enough of this freaking ZG crap. He signed elsewhere, not in our division and we should MAYBE see him pitch aghainst us twice a year for the next six.
Time to face facts – whatever he does or doesn’t do means nothing whatsoever to the Braves. Nothing – not if he goes 34-3 with a 1.21 ERA and not if he goes 3-34 with a 21.10 ERA.
Hugo Z Hackenbush
December 9th, 2012
12:29 pm
Nobody likes a liar, TOBF.
VaBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:29 pm
It wouldn’t be a total redo just to pay some of his 2017 salary in 2013. Just make an adjustment, go ahead an knock out a little more 75 million early as possible since we have so much extra money. It would be a positive move, atleast better than not doing anything and having 10 million for a mid season move which is overkill.
richbrave
December 9th, 2012
12:31 pm
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
11:58 am
“……So Lew can take out Greinke’s good season, as if it never happened… using Lew’s logic…
take out Minor’s 2nd half of 2012 (something he hasn’t come close to before or since then haha), Minor has a 5.52 ERA……”
GREINKE has more ML exposure at this point, and MINOR doesn’t. In fact, I don’t think you can draw a proper comparision between the two at this stage of their respective careers.
Not Disgusted
December 9th, 2012
12:36 pm
I would trade Teheran for a one yr rental over Glimartn whom while I am not comparing him to ommy Glavine, I don;t think he will be Jo Jo either.
I see him as something in betweeen. A decent innings eating durable mid rotation SP. He will be needed in two yrs. Maybe he might be needed in ‘14, Malholm is up after next yr.
I don;t think Teheran is going to make it, so a 1 yr rental like Choo is more value than what we will get our of Teheran our of a whole career. I see him as a right handed Jo Jo which is obviously not good. I just do not like what I have seen or read. I don’t believe in him.
He is not the first prospect who failed. Other GM;s may see it the same way.
TheOnlyBravesFan
December 9th, 2012
12:37 pm
Hugo, I wasn’t responding to your remark… but rather to my previous question about Willis
Brava
December 9th, 2012
12:38 pm
Jon Heyman @JonHeymanCBS
ron washington on michael young trade: “if there was crying in baseball … i’d be crying.” #rangers conf call
David O'Brien
December 9th, 2012
12:38 pm
If you’re a fan of the great Johnny Cash — and really, who is not? — see if you can watch this video tribute while listening to his duet with Rosanne on “September When It Comes” without coming close to losing it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rxYQZmTzgoE
Hugo Z Hackenbush
December 9th, 2012
12:38 pm
My sincerest apology. I should know better by now.
Heath
December 9th, 2012
12:41 pm
I get that BABIP has some luck involved…. But the more predictable you are (dead pull hitter) the less luck there is. Uggla hits it hard, but right at the third baseman on the line all the time.