Braves “all good now,” what about the Nats?

(Staff writer Carroll Rogers is filling in for David O’Brien today.)

Wonder how that carpet is going to smell today in the Braves clubhouse? Ah, they’ll get it cleaned up. They always have. And the Braves will happily replace it in the offseason I’m sure. And maybe they’ll shag it up with champagne another time or two before the season is over.

Even if “all” the Braves did was clinch a wild card berth last night, I think they showed a little of what they can do in a one-game playoff with Kris Medlen on the mound and the stakes super high. (He’s scheduled to pitch if the potential wild card playoff game Oct. 5.)

Freeman in his jubilation

Freeman in his jubilation

After Medlen gave up the second home run to Donovan Solano, as surprising as it was to see the two-out, two-strike pitch to him go out to the opposite field and the Braves trailing again 3-2, the Braves got right back to work.

Eric O’Flaherty pitched a perfect eighth for his 26th consecutive scoreless appearance since July 15. Craig Kimbrel pitched a dominant ninth, and then in the bottom of the inning came the Chipper Jones double, Mike Dunn wild pitch, and Freddie Freeman launch job.

Loved what Freeman said in his TV interview on the field, after mentioning the heartbreak of last September’s collapse, when he said: “I think we’re all good now.”

I should say so.

According to ESPN Stats & Info, Freeman is the seventh player to hit a walk-off home run to clinch a playoff berth for his team, and only the second to do it with his team trailing in the game at the time. The other? Bobby Thomson for the 1951 Giants.

Business at hand

After going 9-18 last September and losing on the final day of the season, the Braves are 15-7 so far this September. That .682 winning percentage has them on pace for their second best month of the season. They went 18-8 in July (.692).

I think as a team this month they embodied what Medlen does when he’s on the mound – attack. Instead of “rearview mirror” mentality that Chipper referred to last night, they’ve continued to aggressively pursue the Nationals.

“We got caught kind of looking in the rearview mirror and counting down the days and whatnot and that’s the wrong attitude to have,” Jones said of last year. “You’ve got to go out there and take the bull by the horns and shoot for the top of the division and let the wild card be a byproduct of finishing second.”

The Nationals’ lead in the NL East is down to four games with eight games left, and right on cue, they’re sending John Lannan, rather than Stephen Strasburg, to the mound tonight in Philadelphia to try to remedy that. Lannan is 2-12 with a 5.79 ERA in 17 career appearances against the Phillies. (The Braves send Paul Maholm out tonight vs. Marlins ace Josh Johnson, whom Medlen out-pitched last Wednesday in Miami.)

The Nationals have lost five in a row at Citizens Bank Park and seven of eight against the Phillies overall. They are 5-8 against the Phillies on the season, the only team in the NL East they have a losing record against. They’ve watched the Phillies clinch against them three times in the past five years and were hoping to return the favor this series, but the earliest the Nats can clinch now is Friday.

But waiting for them on Friday is a date in St. Louis with the Cardinals, who are pretty highly motivated themselves to secure the last wild card spot. And after that? The Nationals have to face the Phillies again to close out the season. Just ask the Braves what that can be like.

Even though it’s still mathematically improbable that the Braves will catch the Nats, at the very least, the Braves could head into the playoffs the hotter team and with the momentum from a three-game sweep of the Nationals Sept. 14-16. Plus if the Braves win the wild card game, they could take advantage of the scheduling quirk this season and host the Nationals for the first two games of the Division Series.

The Nationals are 13-10 in September compared to the Braves’ 15-7. And a big reason for that is how the Braves are pitching. They have a 2.71 ERA this month, compared to the Nationals’ 3.55. And that makes all the difference because look at this: the Nationals have out-homered the Braves 39-14 in September and they’ve out-hit them .282 to .234.

As for the “byproduct”

Freeman's first ever walk-off homer clinches playoff berth

Freeman's first ever walk-off homer clinches playoff berth

So the Braves magic number to clinch homefield advantage over the Cardinals is three. Technically. But realistically it’s only two because if the Braves and Cardinals end up with the same record, the Braves win a tiebreaker based on head-to-head. The Braves have won five out of six games against St. Louis this season.

By the numbers

The Braves are 25-12 in one-run games on the season; they were 29-26 in one-run games last year. When Medlen gave up the two-run home run to Solano in the seventh last night, it was the first time since June 15 he had given up multiple runs in an inning. That snapped a streak of 102 2/3 innings, fourth longest in the majors since 1974, according to Stats Inc.

And oh yeah, with Jones’ double to start the ninth inning rally, he tied Roberto Alomar for 57th on the all-time hit list with 2,724.

Weekend plans

If you’re headed to Turner Field for Friday’s game and the Chipper Jones tribute, parking is by permit only so if you don’t have a parking pass, take MARTA. The pre-game ceremony starts at 7 p.m. For those who won’t make it, Fox Sports South will show the Chipper ceremony live in its entirety, commercial free.

Fox Sports South is also showing a replay on the special it aired on Jones last night. If you want to set your DVR, those replay times are Friday at 6 p.m. on Fox Sports South, Saturday at 11 p.m. on SportSouth and Sunday at approximately 5 p.m. on SportSouth after the Braves postgame show.

OK lineup and more shortly from the ballpark.

1,028 comments Add your comment

braves1

September 26th, 2012
2:21 pm

Kelly

September 26th, 2012
2:23 pm

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:23 pm

So the Braves magic number to clinch homefield advantage over the Cardinals is three. Technically. But realistically…

I don’t see why this is the case. It’s 2. Period.

TheOnlyBravesFan

September 26th, 2012
2:24 pm

Lame…. Thanks Carroll!!! Let’s go Braves and Phillies.

Jeff R

September 26th, 2012
2:25 pm

To continue from the last blog:

Bay Area Steve,

Jorge_Jorge comes across as not just a fry short of a Happy Meal, but a fries, bun, and burger short.

I tend to doubt Jorge_Jorge is as slow-witted as he makes himself out to be. I think he’s playing everyone a bit. That, or he’s clinically obsessed, in which case he should transfer his obsession from DOB to his feet… or Matchbox cars – whatever.

Jimmy

September 26th, 2012
2:25 pm

Yeah Brian, it is 2. Period.
Then, depending how far out we are from the Nats, we might can rest some guys and get them healthy.

Murph

September 26th, 2012
2:27 pm

No guessing; you’re still on probation for not outing Ward. Did you see where Murph seemingly admitted to it the other day? Like twice? I didn’t know if it was Murph being Murph, or if he was serious. I figgered the former, but I hate that you know and I don’t. And tell that ball-and-chain I ain’t shook. This here deal is anonynonymous.

Did BAS just accuse me of being Ward?

That’s it. I’ve had enough of this. 4 year old, incoming. Don’t bother locking the doors or windows, it won’t matter.

Veer

September 26th, 2012
2:27 pm

Wonder if Chipper will be in the lineup after being poured cold champagane yesterday through out his body. I suspect he will be out today with hypothermia or Colditis.

raleighbravefan

September 26th, 2012
2:28 pm

George – Time to give it a rest, Dude. You’re making a fool of yourself.

I believe the only one actually banned is PL. I’m pretty sure Ace and Mixxo were simply warned.

Ben

September 26th, 2012
2:28 pm

how do i get a parking permit then? Im driving from NJ and will be getting in ATL by 5 pm that day and was just going to drive over to the ted for the game

b_stackhouse

September 26th, 2012
2:30 pm

“Even though it’s still mathematically improbable that the Braves will catch the Nats”

How is it mathematically improbable the the Braves will catch the Nats? I would say it is improbable, but it is not mathematically improbable.

TheOnlyBravesFan

September 26th, 2012
2:30 pm

Brian is right… it is 2.

I wouldn’t be against resting a player or two tonight, win and it’s down to 1. Get Baker in somehow (RF?) and maybe give Overbay a start. Pastornicky, maybe? I dunno. We want to catch the Nats and all and keep the regulars playing, but the backups do need some ABs.

Bay Area Steve

September 26th, 2012
2:30 pm

Apologies, Murph. You made a coupla posts the other day that seemed to imply…

Clearly, my comprehension again faltered. I’ll go put on a helmet, and try to bribe the 4yo with sopapillas.

Will

September 26th, 2012
2:31 pm

Not sure it matters right now if braves are hotter then the Nats cause its just as likely will be playing the reds in potential nlds.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
2:31 pm

Magic Number is 2 for home field in the coin flip game. Hopefully that can get squared away tonight.

raleighbravefan

September 26th, 2012
2:31 pm

“give it a rest” referres to the ridiculous obsession with DOB’s work schedule…Even more ridiculous, when you consider covering the games is only part of his job. Even the multi-Million dollar players get days off, for Pete’s sake!

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:32 pm

The magic number for having more wins than the Cardinals is 3. But the magic number for clinching home field in the wild card playoff is 2. Technically and realistically.

Bay Area Steve

September 26th, 2012
2:33 pm

“I do not think you are one of the better bloggers on here.”

OK, that frickin’ smarts. I’m not even in the 51 percentile? That’s worse than being accused of creating ward.

Gustopher

September 26th, 2012
2:34 pm

Great blog Carroll. Did Medlen give up the homer throwing his change up?

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:35 pm

The Braves have very little pressure on them right now. Certainly less so than the Nationals.

Despite completely unfounded comments by some here last night that the Braves were “not relaxed,” I thought they looked very loose and comfortable. And that helped them win, in the end.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:35 pm

Gustopher, both homers were on fastballs thrown to the wrong spot. Second one was especially bad…0-2 pitch down the middle.

Murph

September 26th, 2012
2:35 pm

I’ll go put on a helmet, and try to bribe the 4yo with sopapillas.

She only eats Chips Ahoy and Gogurt… strawberry. Heaven help you if you don’t have strawberry.

I have not posted under another name since my one post as Samantha back in whatever month that was, April? Before that I did one dot Don impersonation and was quickly called out for it.

Aside from those two posts I have never ever never posted under any other name other than Murph.

CB

September 26th, 2012
2:36 pm

BAS,you are in real trouble. A 4yr old and a 70yr old ninja coming after you. Be doubly afraid for you know not what direction death comes from.

Sopheee

September 26th, 2012
2:36 pm

chipontheroad

September 26th, 2012
2:37 pm

Ben you could do a park and ride probablly go to marta’s website but there is parking within walking distance be careful rough neighborhood in spots

Bat Masterson

September 26th, 2012
2:37 pm

Nice work, Carroll. Hope you got the knots out of your hair. Thanks

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
2:39 pm

Magic # = (# games left) – (# games ahead) +1.

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
2:40 pm

if # games ahead = xx.5, then Magic # = (# games left)-(# games ahead) + 1.5.

chipontheroad

September 26th, 2012
2:40 pm

Thanx Carroll et al

Man I really want to see us pick up another one on the enemy

Win One For The Chipper

September 26th, 2012
2:41 pm

If the Nats were playing the Marlins, Mets, and Pirates and we were playing the Phils and Cards, I’d say our chances were “improbable”. But since it’s reversed, I really like our chances to force a one-game, winner take all for the NL East play in game.

My prediction – Braves go 6-2, Nats go 2-6. Both end up 94-68. Huddy starts Thursday, Oct 4th on regular rest. Win or lose, Meds starts either the one-game wild card or Game 1 of the NLDS.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:44 pm

Magic number = 163 – (your losses) – (wins by the team you’re trying to beat)

Unless a tie clinches the race (for home field, it does since the Braves own the head-to-head tiebreaker)

If tiebreaker is owned,

Magic number = 162 – (your losses) – (wins by the team you’re trying to beat)

ncscoots

September 26th, 2012
2:44 pm

The Braves have very little pressure on them right now. Certainly less so than the Nationals.

I don’t know that the Nats would feel any pressure until their lead is series-length or less. You tend to be pretty loose knowing that even getting swept leaves you in first. Chip off another game tonight, though, and who knows?

Really, only Werth has any experience with a pennant race, and I’m sure his brightest memory is 2007 and chasing down the Mets. If anything, he knows how that feeling of confidence and inevitability can arise in the chaser’s clubhouse. Still, it’s got to get a little closer before any of that would come into play, I think.

Bay Area Steve

September 26th, 2012
2:45 pm

Your version: “Magic # = (# games left) – (# games ahead) +1.

if # games ahead = xx.5, then Magic # = (# games left)-(# games ahead) + 1.5.”

My version: Magic # = whatever Brian tells me it is.

As an aside, I really miss Braveheart’s magic number posts. You know, it’s mid-April, and he’s posting magic number is 156.

ncscoots

September 26th, 2012
2:48 pm

As an aside, I really miss Braveheart’s magic number posts.

I miss the guy, period.

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
2:49 pm

I love the way the team uses the the media to work in things like “parking is by permit only”, as if the Braves own every single lot within walking distance of TF.

Will parking be at a premium? Yes. Will you be able to find a parking spot on your own? Yes.

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
2:49 pm

LOL…. far be it from me to one-up Brian!

phil

September 26th, 2012
2:50 pm

Why are we thanking Carroll for getting the knots out of her hair?

Not that I’m not thankful she did, if she did….

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
2:50 pm

Magic Number is more relevant than games back.

I always grow frustrated when people say things like “didn’t lose any ground becuase both teams lost.”

No. No. No.

A lot of folks don’t seem to get this until the magic number drops into the teens.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:51 pm

usnavyvolfaninva, your method uses smaller numbers and is easier to do in your head. But my method is a little simpler, since there’s one formula, regardless of whether you’re “half a game” back, or not.

I have a spreadsheet that tells me the magic numbers and elimination numbers for all teams, in each race. All I have to do is update the wins and losses by each team every day.

TheOnlyBravesFan

September 26th, 2012
2:51 pm

Ben you could do a park and ride probablly go to marta’s website but there is parking within walking distance be careful rough neighborhood in spots

Only just “in spots”?

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
2:52 pm

ah….I see.
The secret is out.

Warhead

September 26th, 2012
2:52 pm

Thanks for giving us a rundown on the weekend plans, Caroll! Much appreciated! Can’t wait to be there in person Friday night. Going to be awesome.

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
2:52 pm

LaRoche has experience with a pennant race.

He also has experience with stopping at 3B b/c he has diarrhea and then getting thrown out at home.

Murph

September 26th, 2012
2:53 pm

What happened to Braveheart? Seems like we’ve lost a lot of quality guys from the blog this season. Feels like we should have one of those memorial video tributes at the end of the season.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
2:53 pm

He also has experience with stopping at 3B b/c he has diarrhea and then getting thrown out at home.

Wait, he wasn’t on the team last year. Or were you being literal?

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
2:53 pm

The old IBEW facility on Central Ave. no longer offers parking (although, I’m really not sure who or what is monitoring that lot). It used to be, if you were heading north after a game, that was just about the best place to have your car parked.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
2:54 pm

I have a spreadsheet that tells me the magic numbers and elimination numbers for all teams, in each race.

Who wants to talk about that when we can talk about the RH relief spot in the bullpen for 2013???

:)

ncscoots

September 26th, 2012
2:54 pm

LaRoche has experience with a pennant race.

Yeah, forgot about Adam. He’s more likely to keep their stuff in one sock than anybody on that club.

Somebody go hurt him. :-)

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
2:56 pm

Ben (Leland Grove): Would you consider Luke Sims to be the same kind of mold as Sean Gilmartin and Mike Minor, or are you higher on him?

Matthew Eddy: Sims is definitely cut from a different cloth than Gilmartin or Minor, and you should expect different results. Just don’t expect them to come in Double-A until probably 2015. Sims pitched and also played shortstop in high school, so he’s not quite as refined as other first-round pitchers, but still the Braves must be excited with the raw tools — athleticism, plus fastball, plus curve — they have to mold into a pitcher.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
2:58 pm

Sims is certainly my kind of first rounder….

Especially for a team who had spent their previous two first rounders on high floor guys. Gotta take some risk once and a while, right?…..

Or every year, if it were me running the show.

Murph

September 26th, 2012
2:58 pm

Where will Graham likely pitch next season?

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:00 pm

Going to be exciting to have two Top 40 picks next year.

I mean, Wren wouldn’t give up a 1st for someone like Nick Swisher, right?

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
3:00 pm

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:01 pm

Where will Graham likely pitch next season?

Right next to Medlen, in front of scoots house so that he can watch two sub 6 footers throw day in and day out……

RC

September 26th, 2012
3:02 pm

Who wants to talk about that when we can talk about the RH relief spot in the bullpen for 2013???

Or who will play CF for the Braves in 2013 and beyond? (My vote is for Pagan)

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:02 pm

Seriously Murph, I wouldn’t put it past the Braves to start him in Triple-A Gwinnett. But the good money is on him throwing another 40 innings for Mississippi while he works on his changeup.

phil

September 26th, 2012
3:04 pm

A spreadsheet?

Really?

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:05 pm

A spreadsheet?

Really?

I have dozens of spreadsheets I’ve created for various baseball purposes. It’s a hobby.

RC

September 26th, 2012
3:05 pm

LaRoche has experience with a pennant race.

He also has experience with stopping at 3B b/c he has diarrhea and then getting thrown out at home.

He must have passed it on to Kyle Farnsworth….now I’m angry about that game all over.

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
3:05 pm

Josh Hamilton for CF.

Bat Masterson

September 26th, 2012
3:06 pm

Why are we thanking Carroll for getting the knots out of her hair?

It seems I read something on here, last night, about her tweeting she had knots in her hair from the champaign. I’m not certain I even know what that means.

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
3:06 pm

Brian,
I’d do that, too, but I can’t seem to master the formula creation on Excel. Simple additions is one thing, but coming up with that formula would probably take me all day.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:07 pm

Heyward is hitting .231/.264/.394 in his last 26 games dating back to August 27th – 110 plate appearances. He’s taken 5 walks, struck out 19 times in that timeframe.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:09 pm

Simple additions is one thing, but coming up with that formula would probably take me all day.

Oh, that’s nothing. For example, here’s one of the formulaa I use in my spreadsheet that rates all the teams:

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

ncscoots

September 26th, 2012
3:09 pm

Right next to Medlen, in front of scoots house so that he can watch two sub 6 footers throw day in and day out……

My windows are probably too high for me to notice them, LOL.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:12 pm

The above formula is used to find the total number of wins by all Braves opponents this season (by individual game), adjusted by taking their games against the Braves out of their record. As of right now, that number is 11,120.

jeffrey d

September 26th, 2012
3:13 pm

Who’s the 70 year old ninja?

haggard

September 26th, 2012
3:13 pm

Thanks Carroll !

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
3:16 pm

Brain,
How can you have a total of over 11,000 wins?

RC

September 26th, 2012
3:17 pm

Brian from SC,

Get some indirect references in that thing man! Evaluating formulas like that drive me crazy…so much easier to create another sheet and break things into smaller pieces.

haggard

September 26th, 2012
3:19 pm

David O’Brien @1:11 and 1:37

Good stuff–especially the part about sitting next to your girlfriend on the couch in your living room. Long distance (2 hours away) has been a part of my life for the past 16 months, which has cut into quite a bit of blogging time, yet is surely pleasurable in so many other ways,(such as: she’s become a Braves fan).

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:21 pm

How can you have a total of over 11,000 wins?

For example, the Nationals have 93 wins. If you discount their games against Atlanta, they have 83 wins. The Braves have played the Nats 18 times. 83 times 19 is 1,577. That formula above is basically doing that for every team the Braves have played this season. They all add up to 11,120.

You have to do it that way, because the fact that the Braves play Washington 18 times, as opposed to 3 times, makes their schedule more difficult.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:22 pm

Here you go scoots:

Eric (Atlanta): Can you explain what you mean by “A wrist wrap compromises his control of his breaking ball” with regard to Mauricio Cabrera? Also, what’s his ulitimate ceiling as a starter?

Matthew Eddy: When a scout says a pitcher has a wrist wrap, he’s referring to the excess motion at the back of his arm swing, where a pitcher will flick his wrist in an upward motion. The thought is that since this motion complicates one’s arm stroke and (theoretically) makes it more difficult to repeat one’s delivery taht it will affect release point and thus command. Good examples of big leaguers with wrist wraps are Ublado Jimenez or Homer Bailey.

Disbott3000

September 26th, 2012
3:24 pm

Well, guys, it’s 3 because there is always the slight chance that the second wild card may not be the Cardinals. It is only 2 if that other position is the Cards, so there you go.

Alright Braves, keep chasing the Nats until it’s over. Maybe the Phillies would enjoy nothing more than to ruin their parade and will play them extra-tough. Go Braves!!

Disbott3000

September 26th, 2012
3:24 pm

Well, guys, it’s 3 because there is always the slight chance that the second wild card may not be the Cardinals. It is only 2 if that other position is the Cards, so there you go.

Alright Braves, keep chasing the Nats until it’s over. Maybe the Phillies would enjoy nothing more than to ruin their parade and will play them extra-tough. Go Braves!!

Disbott3000

September 26th, 2012
3:24 pm

Well, guys, it’s 3 because there is always the slight chance that the second wild card may not be the Cardinals. It is only 2 if that other position is the Cards, so there you go.

Alright Braves, keep chasing the Nats until it’s over. Maybe the Phillies would enjoy nothing more than to ruin their parade and will play them extra-tough. Go Braves!!

Lew

September 26th, 2012
3:24 pm

veer – Colditis ? Really? And you truly wonder why we call you an idiot?

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:24 pm

Dave (Atlanta): Did any of Danville’s other Latin players (RHPs Ernesto Silva and Williams Perez, 1B Aris Alcantara, OF Felix Marte) impress?

Matthew Eddy: The two Danville prospects not ranked who stood out were 3B Carlos Franco and RF Felix Marte. Franco is a fine defensive third baseman with arm strength who switch-hits and has enough power to be interesting. Marte is more of a long shot because he’s limited to the corner outfield, but he has good balance and bat control at the plate. One manager described him as a quick-twitch player with power, so he’s at least interesting.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:24 pm

That fourth sentence in my 3:21 post should say “83 times 18″.

Way Too Much Kool-Aid Around Here

September 26th, 2012
3:26 pm

Folks, this is a DISASTER. Folks, how can you tip your cap to this? Can you imagine the 20k EMPTY SEATS AT THE TED???? The Braves already have the worst fans on the planet…why show it on television?
Folks, I am usually here to Tip the Old Cappa but not this time. The Bravos worked really hard to get to this choke position. I rather them do it without the national spotlight…thank you very much!
Folks, no cap tipping today. Just thank the Lucky Stars that Fredi and Cocks are two different types of managers because we could be looking at more chocking let me tell you! Folks,
its gonna get ugly!

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:26 pm

Well, guys, it’s 3 because there is always the slight chance that the second wild card may not be the Cardinals. It is only 2 if that other position is the Cards, so there you go.

Wrong. The Braves’ magic number for clinching home field over the Brewers, Dodgers, or any other team is already zero. The only teams that can possible get the #1 wild card now are Washington, Atlanta, and St. Louis.

The Braves eliminated Milwaukee and Los Angeles from #1 wild card contention last night. Believe me, I’ve been keeping track of those magic numbers, too.

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
3:27 pm

Actually Disbott, The Braves have “eliminated” all teams below St. Louis from contention in the WC game.

Braves have 89 wins
Dodgers & Brewers each have 75 losses

89 + 75 = 164

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
3:28 pm

So, there you go.

Murph

September 26th, 2012
3:29 pm

Who was the guy the Braves drafted who is coming back from a really bad broken leg?

UKUGA

September 26th, 2012
3:29 pm

I think my favorite part about Disbott 3000’s incorrect WC post is that it posted three times.

Tami

September 26th, 2012
3:30 pm

Carroll’s on to something, Everyone! I just checked the Braves’ website. Every…single…advance…parking ticket for every single lot is SOLD OUT!!!

Could prove troublesome for us getting there since Marta is no where within our route to Turner Field. Nice.

Tami

September 26th, 2012
3:32 pm

P.S. This is for the Friday, September 28th game featuring the Chipper Tribute.

usnavyvolfaninva

September 26th, 2012
3:32 pm

I though about responding to Veer’s post, but I figured there’s no WAY someone would throw such a wet blanket over what happened last night, and actually mean it. Veer, you’re dead inside, dude.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:32 pm

He kinda had a point, that really, a team doesn’t just have a magic number relative to one team. Each team has a magic number relative to every other team in the league. It’s just that the magic number relative to the closest team is the one that is most relevant.

In this particular case, he is wrong because the Braves have already eliminated every other wild card team but the Cardinals.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:32 pm

Who was the guy the Braves drafted who is coming back from a really bad broken leg?

Fernelys Sanchez – outfielder.

Brian from SC

September 26th, 2012
3:33 pm

It’s just that the magic number relative to the closest team is the one that is most relevant.

Rather, the magic number relative to the team currently ahead, or for a team already in first, relative to the team in 2nd, is most relevant.

Probably a better way of putting it.

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:33 pm

Wow, Freddi. Still chasing the Nats?

Atlanta Braves ‏@Braves
Tonight’s lineup vs. MIA (7:10, SPSO/680AM/BRN): Constanza 8 Prado 7 Heyward 9 Jones 5 Freeman 3 Uggla 4 McCann 2 Simmons 6 Maholm 1

Efrim

September 26th, 2012
3:34 pm

Richard B. (West Columbia, SC): What do you think is the ceiling for Mauricio Cabrera from Atlanta? Does he project as a #2/3 starter or a bullpen arm? Reports so far have been good and the Braves have a track record of turning guys like Cabrera into very serviceable MLB arms.

Matthew Eddy: Cabrera has the raw tools to start, so that’s why he ranked as the league’s top righty pitching prospect. He could develop an intriguing mid-rotation profile if his breaking ball takes another step forward in the next 2 seasons. Maybe you’d like to see him miss more bats or walk fewer batters against Appy competition, but that’s just nitpicking when talking about an 18-year-old who has had success and already holds 93-94 mph velocity though his starts.

TheOnlyBravesFan

September 26th, 2012
3:36 pm

In 251 PAs, the Braves as a team have a .210/.291/.279/.570 line against Josh Johnson, tonight’s Marlins starter. They have 46 Hits over 219 ABs. The only XBH against him are 9 doubles and 2 HR. The Braves have 13 RBI against him. They have drawn 25 BBs and have K’d 66 times.

The only batters to have never faced him are Boscan, Jeff Baker, Juan Francisco, and Tyler Pastornicky. Chipper and BMac have hit him well, with BAs over .260 across 40+ ABs.

Prado, Heyward, Bourn, Overbay, Uggla, and Freeman all struggle against him (min of 10 ABs). Uggla is in fact, hitless. Might be a good time to give him an off day. Rev at 2nd!!!

For his career, Johnson is 6-5 in 18 starts (104 IP) against the Braves with a 2.29 ERA. At Turner Field, in 7 starts (48.1 IP) , he is 2-0 with a 1.49 ERA.

DerekZ

September 26th, 2012
3:37 pm

The Braves are totally DOUBLE PITS TO CHESTY.

DerekZ

September 26th, 2012
3:37 pm

The Braves are totally DOUBLE PITS TO CHESTY.

DerekZ

September 26th, 2012
3:37 pm

The Braves are totally DOUBLE PITS TO CHESTY.

DerekZ

September 26th, 2012
3:37 pm

The Braves are totally DOUBLE PITS TO CHESTY.

Ben

September 26th, 2012
3:37 pm

thanks for the answers guys, the parking for friday is all sold out! Didn’t know this was possible lol i bought parking tix for sat and sun. is taxi a possibility to get to the game friday?

TheOnlyBravesFan

September 26th, 2012
3:37 pm

And the lineup’s already been posted…. Constanza in CF? Guess Bourn isn’t ready to go again yet. :/

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