4:20 pm September 29, 2010, by David O'Brien
September 29th, 201010:46 pm
I would rather play SD or SF over Cincy. Cincy matches up well with us. We won 3-2 but all games were close.
SD up 1-0 at the end of two.
September 29th, 201010:47 pm
I saw this posted on Twitter.. does this seem correct?
“If I am reading correctly, there’s only one way for the Braves to not at least tie for the Wild Card, the Braves being swept by the Phillies, Padres going 5-0 (sweeping SF) and the Giants going 2-3 (being swept by SD). That would make the Braves 90-72, Giants winning the Wild Card at 91-71 and the Padres winning the NL West at 92-70. I think just 1 ATL win vs. the Phillies guarantees AT LEAST a #Braves Wild Card tie with either the Padres and/or the Giants.”
September 29th, 201010:48 pm
Going to bed but my guess is SD wins the next two games and we are in for a real dogfight this weekend.
Brave4life- We almost had it
September 29th, 201010:49 pm
“We win two more games, I don’t care what the Padres do,” Braves closer Billy Wagner said. “We win two more games, we’re going to the playoffs, and that’s what we’ve fought for.”
Is this accurate? Is there no potential for a 1 game play-off with San Diego, if we tie them?
Damn, Marlon Byrd that hit came one inning late
September 29th, 2010
exciting at least!
September 29th, 201010:50 pm
Brave4life- We almost had it:
It seems to make sense…I think. There are just so many combinations.
September 29th, 201010:51 pm
Cubs cant catch up to a mid 80s fastball
September 29th, 201010:52 pm
Damn Will Venable…
Venebable robs Aramis Ramirez of a 2-run blast
September 29th, 201010:53 pm
Will Venable, a Braves killer in every way has robbed 2 homers and 3 runs
2nd and 3rd in the 1st inning killed the Cubs, especially w/ 1 out
September 29th, 201010:54 pm
scratch that 0 outs
September 29th, 201010:55 pm
Great defense in San Diego, Fokudome robs SD of a hit
September 29th, 201010:57 pm
San Fran has 5 games left:
If they win 5, puts them at 94 wins, and the Pads are capped at 89.
If they win 4, puts them at 93 wins. If one loss is to San Diego, Pads are capped at 90.
If they win 3, puts them at 92 wins. If two losses are to San Diego, Pads are capped at 91.
If they win 2, puts them at 91 wins. If all three losses are to San Diego, Pads are capped at 92.
From my simple math, the best San Fran/San Diego win combination is 92/91 or 91/92 (meaning that if one team exceeds 92, the other cannot exceed 90). So, if Braves win 1, worst case scenario is a tie with one of the two West teams. Win 2, and Braves are in.
Billy is right.
Ukuga…..Wagner is correct. That would give us 92 wins and if San Diego wins out that would give them 92 but they get in as the division winner and SF loses out with only 91 wins.
September 29th, 201011:00 pm
I just dont want to face Halladay/Oswalt/Hamels
not even for 2-3 innings
September 29th, 201011:01 pm
If the Braves make it to the post season the first game they’ll play is Thursday. That is great news.
We all know the Braves have struggled this month, the reason is guys are tired, or handling nagging injuries(Prado who’s now obviously out of the picture). Tim Hudson was not himself, Johnny Venters was human showing signs of fatigue, Jair Jurrjens Eric O’flaherty and Takashi Saito all battling injuries, McCann is tired, Heyward has the thumb issue and hasn’t had many days off, Moylan is pitching A LOT seriously about every game this month, etc……
All of that are reasons for a disappointing September of 13-13. Well if the Braves get in they’ll get 3 days off, all of the sudden guys get healthy, they get more effective.
A well rested Tim Hudson will look like the Cy Young candidate he was before September.
Tommy Hanson will regain some velocity in his fastball and be even more effective than what he has been(he has been very good with the exception of a couple of starts in May and June).
Derek Lowe has been tremendous this month, big game pitcher just needed some big games.
Jair Jurrjens all this time off might give him enough time for his knee to heal, and we all know that when he is on his game you’ve got yourself a cy young type pitcher.
The bullpen everybody is awesome. When you say that you’re worst reliever will be Kyle Farnsworth, it means you have a tremendous bullpen.
Watch out NL
September 29th, 201011:02 pm
If we win the first two games Bobby probably scratches Hudson on Sunday so he can go in the first playoff game. Hope that happens.
September 29th, 201011:03 pm
Kyle Kendrick owns the Braves,
September 29th, 201011:04 pm
I wanna see lowe start game one of the playoffs, especially the way he has been pitching
September 29th, 201011:06 pm
Watching the Cubs/Padres game on MLB extra innings, Cubs treating this like a playoff game
September 29th, 201011:08 pm
Brave4life- We almost had it
September 29th, 2010
They all love D Lee want to see him get to playoffs!
I don’t mind Lowe in game one just thought Bobby would go with Hudson. Minor would probably pitch Sundays game if they win the first two.
September 29th, 201011:11 pm
I may be wrong but I believe that the Braves clinch if SF and SD lose tonight and tomorrow. SD would be at 87 wins and SF would be at 89. Even if the Braves got swept, SD would have to win all 3 to tie, and even then SF would be stuck at 89. Maybe wishful thinking but we’ll see what happens.
September 29th, 201011:14 pm
Timmy your math adds up to me.
September 29th, 201011:17 pm
especially Carlos Zambrano if you know what i mean
September 29th, 201011:18 pm
Padres pulling out the Chicken
They are officially all in.
September 29th, 201011:20 pm
Koyie Hill couldnt handle the pitch
September 29th, 201011:21 pm
Wells is battling with himself, can’t throw strikes
September 29th, 201011:23 pm
Well looks like Padres might squeeze this one out especially because of that great bullpen of theres
DP ends the inning
Lets get some friggin runs….please
September 29th, 201011:24 pm
The Cubs were robbed of 3 runs, they’d be winning 3-2
And hit it somewhere besides Center
September 29th, 201011:30 pm
geez chris young is looking like a cy young, even though he lost more than 5 mph on his fastball and everything is up =/
September 29th, 201011:31 pm
Burrell 3 run jack
both teams winning
September 29th, 201011:32 pm
… Cubs can’t hit and the Giants are winning, I was hoping at least one of them would lose
September 29th, 201011:33 pm
its all about locating, as the Braves would say
He is locating perfectly high in the K zone
September 29th, 201011:34 pm
I doubt any one loses tonight, both bullpens are pretty good. Bright side is that SD Padres will have to face the Giants pitching
September 29th, 2010
the pads pinch hit for young…here comes the bullpen!
September 29th, 201011:35 pm
Chris Young out of the game
now solve that bullpen
September 29th, 201011:36 pm
This night couldnt be going any worse, honestly.
Can’t believe f’n Venable.
That’s just ridiculous.
What’s happening is …. the Giants are basically pushing the Padres away in the division race. And if both teams win tomorrow — which they likely will —- and then the Giants win on Friday night, then THAT race is over.
So, they’ll rest their starting pitchers on Saturday and Sunday (as well as Posey and the old guys like Huff and Burrell) …. and not give two craps about those two games.
If the Braves lose on Friday night …. which is certainly a liklihood with Beachy pitching …. then they’ll have a one-game lead over the Padres with two to play. Which is nice. But both teams will be facing other teams that don’t care …. but the Phillies will still have a potent lineup … even if they’re resting guys. The Giants won’t. So their road will be much easier in those final two games.
F’n Venable. This thing could be over … if he doesn’t make those f’n plays.
September 29th, 201011:38 pm
Pat Burrell for LF?
September 29th, 201011:39 pm
I’m pulling for the Padres, mainly for their fans’ sake.
To have the season locked up only to lose 10 in a row, and to miss out on the playoff entirely, would be too painful. When the Braves beat them in the first round, at least that would be fair!
Cubs give up a walk, run scores.
Wild pitch, run scores.
Another walk, run scores
not making em fight for it much there guys
September 29th, 201011:40 pm
hopefully tomorrow will be a better outcome
September 29th, 201011:44 pm
whats the pitching matchup like tomorrow?
September 29th, 201011:48 pm
Both Giants and Padres have advantages in starting pitching.
Cubs will throw Gorzelanny against Padres’ Garland — who isnt great, but solid. Good news, I guess, is that the Cubs are so RH dominated that they might be able to do well against a lefty starter.
Diamondbacks and Giants both start rookies, but Giants’ rookie is better ….. don’t really care if both the Giants and Padres lose tomorrow.
But one of them NEEDS to.
September 29th, 201011:50 pm
if the Cubs don’t win tonight, they might have to settle for a series split.
Gorzelanny is not a great pitcher. The Cubs have lost 6 of the last 8 games he’s started (their two wins you might ask? Against the Pirates and our own Atlanta Braves). And Garland himself isn’t that great either, but he’s no Gorzelanny sorry to say.
September 29th, 201011:53 pm
Can’t be mad at the Cubs. Winning two out there was all we could hope for … just with the Dbacks wouldnt lay down in San Fran like they have.
September 29th, 201011:54 pm
September 29th, 201011:59 pm
I’m mad at the CUBS if they don’t come back and win this game that mean that we can’t win the wild card on Friday night
September 30th, 201012:05 am
Brave4life: No, I don’t think that’s possible. Way too much stuff to do postgame
September 30th, 201012:08 am
childog75: cubs and padres play again tomorrow. it’s a four-game series, not three
N Nine (Melky sucks!)
September 30th, 201012:13 am
We’ve all had our share of bashing Mr. Lowe. Now the time has come to give props for job well done. That dude was dealing today. . He’s no Maddux, but he’s got at least 15 wins for us again. Very impressive work!
September 30th, 201012:23 am
Cubs aint doing us no favors.
September 30th, 201012:32 am
Mike Hampton is in for the D-Backs. Gosh how I miss that guy………..
September 30th, 201012:36 am
Nobody on the blogosphere tonight?
September 30th, 201012:37 am
September 29th, 2010
Damn Will Venable…”
That guy was a pest with his bat when we played them.
September 30th, 201012:38 am
I could get a record for most comments in a row maybe?
DOB sorry bout your Jayhawks I like ol’ Turner and think he can change things around down there. Gonna be fun this year for the Skers against them though!!
September 30th, 201012:40 am
So who we going to pitch this weekend?? Tommy, someone, and Huddy?
September 30th, 201012:41 am
D-Backs leadoff double in 9th, still 3-1 Giants.
September 30th, 201012:43 am
O Beachy on Friday ok.
September 30th, 201012:44 am
Mark Reynolds is horrible. Dude is hitting .199. Sure lots of homers but can’t even hit .200? lol garbage
September 30th, 201012:47 am
1st and 3rd for D-Backs. Kelly is up to bat. Can he help the Braves from half a country away?? Come on kid!
September 30th, 201012:48 am
Ya of course he strikeouts like the donkey he is.
September 30th, 201012:49 am
way to step up Kelly, boo
Damn giants win.
September 30th, 201012:51 am
Braves won their game. That was the only thing they could control for the day. They did not lose any ground to either team.
September 30th, 201012:52 am
now we have to take 2/3 from the Phillies. cant rest any players.
Both Giants and Padres won.
Padres have to lose tmr.
Good night all
September 30th, 20101:01 am
the quickest time the braves can clinch is saturday.
September 30th, 20101:15 am
September 30th, 20101:20 am
I started The Blog Awards which I will do Again this year during X-Mas Time, I wish Buck And Kinkade would Chime in as well as Leo, because I know they read the blog
September 30th, 20101:22 am
What have you seen that makes you think Beachy losing is a likelihood?? I think under the circumstances he’s pitched great, and could have won twice if he had any offense or defense behind him. For a rookie making his 1st 2 major league starts on the road, I think he did quite well. Now he knows he can compete and he’ll be at home. I think he’ll throw a fine game. Now if they can just solve Kendrick….
September 30th, 20101:27 am
Not To Mention I will be Doing My “Head of The Class” Assessment (Where I do the grading of the players/mgmt in which I give grades to based on their 2010 performances) Sometime within the next 2 weeks or So….
Just a Hint, almost every one Passed the test but the ones that didn’t are going to get laid into hard…! And I’m pretty sure that most people know just from my posts on here…
I’ll give a little start into it…I give Wren a B+ as of now, nevermind I give him a B-/C+ depending on the rest of the season….
Time to cool out to some old Patti LeBelle and ConFunkshun and go to bed…
September 30th, 20101:34 am
Of Course Someone had to Mention us getting Pat Burrell againin the offseason…?
I though we’ve seen that movie before…?
Hell No To Burrell! He’s Off the Roids/HGH, I’d take Otis Nixon Back! He can probably still out run the team excluding J-Hey!
September 30th, 20101:50 am
great series against the Marlins. Just what the Dr. ordered.
Again, not trying to downplay Prado’s importance to this team (when healthy – and even when not, he’s one of the, if not THE leader of this team), but there has been an ongoing conversation for weeks on the ole’ blog about whether healhty “bench” players can be more productive than a starter at 70 percent (or whatever percent they might be at with a nagging injury).
Conrad just proved today (and last night) that a guy good enough to be in the majors that is healthy, is likely better suited to contribute than even a great player when they aren’t capable of doing the things that make them great when healthy.
As unfortunate as Prado going down for the year is. If he wasn’t going to get healthy enough to be the Prado we’ve come to know, it might just be the best thing for this team right now. Prado wasn’t getting it done in the 3-hole the past few weeks.
The only part I don’t like about it in the post-season is that Conrad is the exact kind of bench/role player that comes up big late in post-season games as a PH and sometimes it might work out better to get him the one AB when Bobby wants a guy like him at the plate, rather than him getting 3 AB during the entire game. Just makes Hinske that much more important on the bench.
But today was a GREAT win. Great series sweep. Backs against the wall and they came through all three games. Good stuff.
What can you say about D-Lowe? Guy’s been HUGE in September. Sure it would have been nice for him to go 7 or even 8 innings. But with this bullpen, many of us have been saying all year, that if these starters simply get into the 7th inning with a lead, I like our chances.
This bullpen was already great. Add in a red-hot Craig Kimbrel and NOBODY is going to want to go into the 7th or 8th inning against us trailing by a couple of runs. Very fun series to watch.
The stat ESPN showed on Wagner coming into today is amazing. 7 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, and 16 K’s.
For the first time in a long time we have a handful of guys in the bullpen that MISS bats. That’s huge in October. If this team can scratch and claw it’s way to 3-4 runs per game, it should be real interesting.
This team will go only as far as the lineup lets them. Could be one of those playoff series where we give up 8-9 runs in 4 games and lose the series if the bats don’t come up with the big hits.
Of course, they still have a little work to do to get in the dance, but it’s looking good with SF and SD playing each other the final 3 games and Philly sending the JV team out there. Would have been nice for both SF and SD to lose tonight. But that would be too easy, right?
Much needed off day tomorrow. Guys should get a good rest with an off day and sleeping in their own beds before the final 3 games. Should be a fun weekend. Either way, the season has been a success.
Kudos to DOB. He called it early on. He said it would come down to the final weekend and that he had the phillies winning the east with the Braves winning the wild card. Maybe I should take him to Vegas. We could take in a Whitesnake concert or something!
September 30th, 20104:11 am
The only part I don’t like about it in the post-season is that Conrad is the exact kind of bench/role player that comes up big late in post-season games as a PH and sometimes it might work out better to get him the one AB when Bobby wants a guy like him at the plate, rather than him getting 3 AB during the entire game N8
We don’t find situations for Conrad, situations find him
September 30th, 20108:01 am
Not saying this will happen but a three way tie became more of a possibility overnight. Braves would have to go 1-2 against Philly. Then if San Diego wins tonight and goes 2-1 against San Fran that would tie them with Atlanta. The 3-way tie would be complete if SF loses tonight and goes 1-2 as mentioned against SD.
The only other scenario for a three way tie is for San Diego to lose tonight and SF win and then SD sweeps San Fran. Again the Braves would have to go 1-2 for any scenario to occur.
September 30th, 20108:11 am
Saito’s Samurai garb seems to be working………not to mention KK’s Geisha getup.
September 30th, 20108:17 am
Yep…and RAW DOG came through for the team once again yesterday! I hope he’s able to maintain his awesome tear!
September 30th, 20108:40 am
Lowe is the 1st Brave to get 5 wins in Sept since Maddux in 2002.
September 30th, 20108:42 am
so if the padres lose tonight our lead goes to 2 games right? and if they win it goes to one game right?
September 30th, 20108:46 am
article by ken rosenthal about backups keeping Braves in the Wild Card race
September 30th, 20108:48 am
Yes we have a 1.5 game lead so a win or loss by SD give us a half game up or down.
September 30th, 20108:55 am
Let’s assume the Padres and Giants win today – going into the weekend:
a) Braves get swept
Only salvation would be a sweep by the Giants over Padres. If the Giants win 2 of 3, there would be a playoff in Atlanta with Padres for the wild card.
b) Braves sweep – they are automatically in.
c) Braves win 2 – final record 92-70
Padres sweep – they win the division and the Giants are out – Braves in. Padres win 2 – Braves are in. Padres win 1 – Braves are in.
d) Braves win 1 – final record 91-71
Padres sweep – they win the division, Braves and Giants have a playoff for the wild card in Atlanta. Padres win 2 – Giants win division and Braves and Padres have a 1-game playoff in Atlanta. Padres win 1 – Braves are in.
So they need 1 win for a playoff and could be in outright if the Padres lose two – 2 wins and they are in. If there is a playoff, Lowe will pitch – probably against Lincecum if it’s the Giants.
Of course the Padres or Giants could lose today, making things even better for the Braves. Bottom line is, the Braves’ chances are pretty good. Wild card playoffs will be in Atlanta.
September 30th, 20109:01 am
Once again Lowe coming through when it counts the most, earnnig alot of that 15 mil.
September 30th, 20109:04 am
Brooks Conrad t-shirts for sale! Just Get’r-Done!
5-0 with a 1.17 era in September thats getting it done when it counts.
K with a K
WEAR NAVY BLUE FRIDAY OCT 1st!!! All fans are being asked to wear Navy Blue to Fridays game to show some unity and make the stadium look Awesome….Wear your Navy blue Braves fans!
September 30th, 20109:08 am
I’m thinking 18-20 game winner next year, the way he’s pitching of late. He looks like a completely different pitcher than earlier in the year.
September 30th, 20109:18 am
Whose to say if Jason,Prado,Chipper and Medlen don’t go down we don’t run away with the division? I think we would have applied so much pressure and been able to keep our foot on their throat they couldn’t of come back like they did, but give the Phillies credit they had their share of injuries too. Just wish the timing had been reversed,timing is everything. Braves take 2-3 things should take care of themselves, it’s in their hands now, barring a Padres sweep. Just get in and then scrap for everything you can get and hope the pitching holds up.
If the Padres and Giants lose today, the Braves are guaranteed a playoff at least, even if they get swept by the Phils. If the Padres alone lose today, the Braves are guaranteed a playoff at least unless they get swept by Phils and Padres sweep Giants.
Lowe now has value and probably could be traded during off season. Irony is, we probably will not want to trade him now. It wold be great to unload KK, but he has no trade value, IMO.
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